Can technical factors boost gold? (Must-read for traders)After three consecutive days of strong rebounds, spot gold has entered a period of sideways trading, trading around $3,370 in the European session, with a short-term seesaw pattern. A slight rebound in the US dollar index has weighed on gold prices, but market expectations of a September Fed rate cut remain supportive. Furthermore, lingering global trade uncertainty has prevented a significant decline in safe-haven demand.
Fundamentals:
Gold's recent upward momentum has been driven by weak US economic data and rising expectations of rate cuts. Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a significant weakening in the labor market, reinforcing market bets that the Fed will begin another round of rate cuts in September. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the market's expectation of a September rate cut has exceeded 90%. Meanwhile, US factory orders plummeted 4.8% in June, further highlighting economic weakness.
On the other hand, US President Trump signed an executive order last week raising tariffs on imports from dozens of countries, with the minimum tariff rate reaching 15% for countries with trade deficits with the US. With these measures about to take effect, this uncertainty continues to weigh on global market sentiment and supports gold's safe-haven properties.
However, a slight rebound in the US dollar partially offset gold's upward momentum. Traders will be watching the upcoming US ISM Services PMI data to determine whether the economic slowdown has spread to the services sector.
Technical Analysis:
On the daily chart, gold prices have recently traded between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands (3343.59) and 3411.09, failing to break through key resistance. The overall trend remains within the medium-term range, with no clear trend emerging.
The recent candlestick chart pattern forms a typical "sideways fluctuation" pattern, indicating significant pressure near the previous high of 3438.80, while the lower Bollinger Band (3276.09) provides support, suggesting a short-term "box consolidation" pattern.
On the MACD indicator, the fast and slow lines are near the zero axis, while the DIFF and DEA lines have formed a slight golden cross, but the angle is gentle. The red bar has limited momentum, indicating insufficient upward momentum and a lack of a strong rebound.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained at 54.81, within the neutral to strong range, indicating a lack of clear short-term price direction. Market sentiment remains cautious. Further attention will be paid to whether the price stabilizes above the middle Bollinger Band or retreats to test previous support levels.
Market Sentiment Observation:
Current gold market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Traders are pricing in a high level of interest in the Federal Reserve's rate cut, driving a short-term rebound in gold prices. However, the dollar's resilience remains, limiting gold's upside potential. Indicators show a lack of significant inflows into gold ETFs, suggesting the market has not yet fully shifted to a defensive position.
The technical chart shows a typical "consolidation platform," indicating that the market is awaiting clearer policy or data guidance. Investors remain interested in safe-haven assets, but their willingness to chase higher prices is weak. In the short term, market sentiment may continue to be constrained by fluctuations in external macroeconomic data and shifting policy expectations.
Market Outlook:
Bull Perspective:
Analysts believe that if gold prices break through the upper Bollinger Band at 3411.09 and the MACD indicator expands, further upside potential is expected, with the previous high of $3450 in sight. If the Federal Reserve signals a clear interest rate cut or if the US economy continues to weaken, gold could see a mid-term trend reversal and resume its upward trend.
Bear Perspective:
Analysts believe that if gold prices remain constrained in the 3400-3411 range and fall below the middle Bollinger Band and moving average support, a short-term pullback could occur, testing the lower support band at $3276. If the ISM Services PMI exceeds expectations and the US dollar strengthens again, gold could return to bearish momentum. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025 CMCMARKETS:GOLD
Goldlong
Gold Extends Gains as USD Weakens📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices are extending their gains during the Asian and European sessions today, as the US dollar weakens following weaker-than-expected US jobs data. Rising unemployment and a softer Non-Farm Payroll report boosted expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in September. The US 10-year Treasury yield also dipped slightly, supporting gold's safe-haven appeal.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,385 – $3,390
• Nearest Support: $3,365 – $3,370
• EMA: Price is trading above the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bullish trend
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles show steady buying pressure with stable volume, but we should monitor potential profit-taking if price nears the $3,390–$3,400 zone.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rise in the short term if USD weakness persists and bond yields stay low. However, failure to break above $3,390 could lead to a pullback toward support levels.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3,365 – $3,368
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,362
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3,392 – $3,395 (if reversal signal appears)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,398
GOLD undecided: Looking for a positive outlookThe current market context on GOLD seems undecided and heavily influenced by news release and macroeconomic catalysts. The recent reversal from the support was pretty decisive, catching short-sellers off guard and forcing them to cover positions.
However, the structure has yet to produce a clean breakout beyond the mid-range, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either side.
The probability of a pause or reversal here under this circumstances may increase substantially as well. But if I were to take a side I would definitely choose more upside , before any correction begins.
This is a high-risk zone for positioning without confirmation. The market is potentially preparing for a breakout or a fakeout, and patience is key. Wait for clear signs of intent before committing.
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
- Follow for more real-time gold trading strategies and save this idea if you find it helpful!
Technical indicators are bullish across the boardInfluenced by the NFP data, gold prices rose strongly, fully recovering last week's losses. The current gold market has broken the previous bull-bear equilibrium and remains in a strong upward trend. We are currently bullish but will not chase the rise. We will wait for gold to fall back and stabilize before trying to go long. Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation. If gold touches the upper short-term resistance of 3365-3370 again in the European session and encounters resistance and pressure, you can consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. If the gold price breaks up strongly, pay attention to the key suppression level above 3375-3385.
As the price of gold continues to rise, the support has moved up. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3345-3330 below. If it retreats and stabilizes, you can consider going long. Independent traders must strictly implement trading plans, and those who are not sure about the market must set stop-loss orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold's Next Move? Eyes on the Liquidity Trap Below!Gold has created internal liquidity during the New York session and is now moving downward. There is liquidity resting below the recent swing lows, and beneath that lie bullish Pending Demand (PD) arrays. If the market takes out this liquidity, we can then look for bullish confirmations from the PD arrays for potential buy opportunities.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
Gold rises for three consecutive days! Buy the dip or hold on?Market News:
Spot gold prices fluctuated at high levels in early Asian trading on Tuesday (August 5), currently trading around $3,380 per ounce. Driven by weak US economic data, rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, and intensifying global trade tensions, international gold prices continued their upward trend from last Friday, marking their third consecutive day of gains. Driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut, geopolitical risks, and a weakening US dollar, gold maintains strong upward momentum in the short term. From a medium- to long-term perspective, gold's investment value remains significant. Global economic uncertainty, ongoing trade conflicts, and the potential resurgence of inflationary pressures all provide solid support for gold. Investors should pay close attention to the US June trade balance and July ISM non-manufacturing PMI data, which will be released this trading day.
Technical Analysis:
Last week, gold closed with a long lower shadow, a bullish candlestick pattern. This is a clear sign of stabilization, and the price remains firmly within the middle band. This week, the upward trend may continue, with repeated attempts to test the resistance point derived from the lower band of the previous upward trend. This maintains a bullish outlook for the medium- to long-term trend, and represents a period of strength within this bullish trend. The daily short-term trend also remains bullish. The recent three-month consolidation period is a correction, with the lows gradually moving higher. The longer the sideways trend, the stronger the potential for a bull market continuation, both in terms of strength and timing, once it breaks higher. Last Friday, a strong bullish candlestick pattern formed at the bottom, stabilizing the 5-day moving average and returning to the converging triangle channel. This suggests a continued bullish outlook today. A pullback confirms support at the lower band of the converging triangle, approximately 3345-48, also the 10-day moving average. After testing support in today's Asian session, support is indeed present. Focus on the upper band around 3410.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold: Buy at 3362-3365, stop loss at 3354, target at 3380-3400;
Short-term gold: Sell at 3407-3410, stop loss at 3419, target at 3370-3350;
Key points:
First support level: 3370, second support level: 3363, third support level: 3350
First resistance level: 3397, second resistance level: 3410, third resistance level: 3422
XAU/USD(20250805) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Goldman Sachs: We expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times starting in September; if the unemployment rate rises further, a 50 basis point cut is possible.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3367
Support and Resistance Levels:
3407
3392
3383
3352
3342
3328
Trading Strategy:
If the stock breaks above 3383, consider buying, with the first target price at 3392. If the stock breaks below 3367, consider selling, with the first target price at 3352.
Gold Breaks Resistance – May Target $3400 Next📊 Market Overview:
• Gold continues to rally in early U.S. session as September rate cut expectations by the Fed rise due to weak jobs data.
• U.S. Dollar weakens and 10Y Treasury yield falls, supporting gold.
• Risk-off flows and long-term inflation concerns push safe-haven demand for gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,390–$3,400 (short-term breakout zone)
• Nearest Support: $3,365–$3,370
• EMA: Price is trading above EMA09 and EMA50, confirming bullish momentum
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: Consecutive bullish H1 & H4 candles above $3,375 confirm breakout. Volume increasing, suggesting strong buying pressure.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue rising toward $3,400 if current bullish momentum holds. However, short-term pullback or profit-taking near $3,395–$3,400 is possible after a rapid $50+ rally.
💡 Suggested Trade Setups:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3,375–$3,378 (pullback buy)
🎯 TP: $3,395–$3,400
❌ SL: $3,372
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3,397–$3,400 (countertrend short)
🎯 TP: $3,375–$3,380
❌ SL: $3,403
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold saw a strong rally on Friday following the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and is now trading near a key resistance zone.
At this resistance, a short-term pullback is likely as traders lock in profits.
We expect the correction to be contained within key support levels, and if price holds in that zone, the uptrend is likely to resume, targeting new highs.
Will gold resume its rally after the correction? Share your view below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Can Patience Unlock This XAU/EUR Opportunity? 🚨💰XAU/EUR: EURO HEIST IN PROGRESS – THIEVES GO BULLISH!💥🏴☠️
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🧠 PLAN OF ATTACK:
🎯 Bias: Bullish (Gold’s about to flex on the Euro)
🎯 Entry: Any price – thief don’t chase, we wait in the dark. ☠️
🎯 Stop Loss: 2877.00 – 💥 tripwire before we vanish
🎯 Target: 2950.00 – get in, grab the gold, ghost the market 👻✨
🎯 STRATEGY: LAYERING METHOD – THE THIEF'S FINE ART
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💣 Layered entries across key price zones – stealth mode ON.
🧱 Let the market walk into our trap — snatch liquidity, don’t provide it.
🛠️ Execution Details:
🔹 No breakout chasing. No FOMO.
🔹 Set multiple Buy Limits across the zone.
🔹 Let price come to us like moths to gold flame 🔥
🛑 RISK PLAN – NEVER BLEED ON A ROBBERY
🎯 SL at 2877.00 – below vault support
🔑 Lock it. Walk it. Don’t argue with a stop.
💬 Adjust based on size, but don’t turn a job into a gamble.
🏁 TARGET EXIT: 2950.00 – THE HEIST PAYDAY
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⏱️ Don’t overstay. This isn’t a staking farm – it’s a smash-and-grab.
📉 Trailing SL recommended if you’re playing with size.
📊 Thief's Quick Insight:
🔍 Momentum: 📈 building
💶 EUR softness = GOLD opportunity
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Gold Continues Its Upward Momentum Despite Short-Term Pullback📊 Market Summary
• Spot gold slipped slightly by ~0.1% to around $3,354–$3,361/oz due to profit-taking after last week’s sharp rally following weaker-than-expected U.S. job data
• The U.S. added only 73,000 jobs in July, boosting expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, with a current market probability of around 81%
• Ongoing geopolitical risks, trade tensions, and robust central bank and ETF gold demand continue to support the long-term bullish outlook
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance: ~$3,360–$3,370/oz (short-term highs, potential profit-taking zone).
• Nearest support: ~$3,330/oz (watch for buying interest on pullbacks).
• EMA09: Price is currently hovering around the short-term EMA (~EMA09), still below EMA50, indicating a mild sideways bias. According to Economies.com, gold hasn’t confirmed a stable uptrend above EMA50 yet
• Candlestick / volume / momentum:
o Today's candle shows mild profit-taking, but momentum remains bullish from the prior session. Volume shows light distribution, not strong selling.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
• Gold may continue rising slightly in the short term if the upcoming U.S. inflation data (due August 12) remains soft, reinforcing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut
• Conversely, if the U.S. dollar strengthens unexpectedly or new data comes out more robust, gold could retreat back to the $3,330 zone.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD : $3,370–$3,373
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,377
BUY XAU/USD : $3,330–$3,333
🎯 TP:40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,327
Gold prices soar to new highs!Market News:
Spot gold prices fluctuated at high levels in early Asian trading on Monday (August 4), currently trading around $3,349 per ounce. Gold prices surged by over 2% last Friday (August 1), reaching a weekly high. This is due to the fact that US July non-farm payroll data fell far short of expectations, increasing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Furthermore, Trump's new round of tariff announcements has fueled safe-haven demand. Global economic uncertainty, a weakening US dollar, and rising expectations of a Fed rate cut have all provided strong momentum for the rise in international gold prices.
Against the backdrop of continued global economic uncertainty, gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset is expected to further increase. Investors should closely monitor market trends to seize potential opportunities. This trading day, attention should be paid to the US June factory orders monthly rate and continued monitoring of news related to the international trade and geopolitical situation.
Technical Analysis:
From a macro perspective, the monthly chart shows four consecutive long upper shadows and three dojis. This high-level doji formation in an uptrend is overwhelming, prompting caution in buying and caution in the market. Be wary of potential sell-offs in the future. We have repeatedly emphasized the importance of the monthly gold chart in recent months!
On a weekly basis, gold bottomed out and rebounded last week, hitting the middle support band and rebounding. Prices remain within the range, currently shrinking to 3268-3438. The Bollinger Bands continue to close, while the MA5 and MA10 levels remain in a volatile pattern. A unilateral trend still needs time to develop. On a daily basis, there was an extreme rally on Friday night, with the daily chart closing with a large real bullish candlestick. The price directly broke through the short-term moving average and the middle support band, forming a strong Yang-enclosing-Yin pattern. This is a positive bullish signal. So, is it a good time to buy on Monday?
I personally don't recommend buying directly from high levels. Gold rebounded from 3268, surging nearly $100 over two trading days without a significant pullback. Even if there was a pullback on Thursday, it was a single-digit pattern, which doesn't provide solid support for a bullish rally. Therefore, I don't recommend chasing long positions. Instead, watch for a potential sell-off after a rally. Focus on resistance at 618 and resistance near 3376, a previous top-bottom reversal.
Looking at gold on both the 4-hour and hourly charts, the Bollinger Bands are showing signs of opening after last Friday's surge. However, it's important to note that such surge-like openings are generally not sustainable, and will close again upon retracing technical indicators. The 4-hour candlestick chart is currently trading above the upper band, no longer favoring a buy-now-up move. The 1-hour moving average is blunting, and the upper band of the Bollinger Band is about to close. Overall, while gold is strong, it's best not to chase the bulls. Focus on selling opportunities on rallies today, and then consider a bullish move after a pullback.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold: Buy at 3330-3333, stop loss at 3322, target at 3360-3380;
Short-term gold: Sell at 3375-3378, stop loss at 3387, target at 3340-3320;
Key points:
First support level: 3342, second support level: 3330, third support level: 3316
First resistance level: 3376, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
Weak non-farm payroll data injects newconfidence into gold bullsGold rebounded strongly late last week, shaking off early-week losses and surging toward key resistance at $3,400 per ounce as weak US jobs data rekindled hopes for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Spot gold closed at $3,363.16 on Friday (August 1st), up 2.23% on the day, or $73.24, after hitting a high of $3,363.37.
Lukman Otunuga, senior market strategist at FXTM, said Friday's rally in gold prices was impressive, driven by a plunging US dollar.
"From the chart, bulls were on a rampage that day, with $3,400 within 2% of the price at that point," he said. "With prices breaking through $3,330 resistance, the weekly chart is significantly bullish. A weekly close above this level could signal a move toward $3,400."
Last week, gold faced significant selling pressure after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and Chairman Powell raised uncertainty about a possible September rate cut.
"We haven't made a decision about September yet," Powell said at a press conference following the Fed's decision.
After disappointing U.S. job market data, lingering doubts about a September rate cut dissipated. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. economy created only 73,000 jobs last month. Furthermore, total job growth in May and June was revised downward by 258,000. According to the revised data, only 14,000 jobs were created in June and 19,000 in May.
"This weaker-than-expected jobs report has dented confidence in the U.S. economy and put pressure on the dollar as markets anticipate a more dovish Fed, potentially leaning toward rate cuts to stimulate growth," said Aaron Hill, senior market analyst at FP Markets. "For gold, the disappointing jobs data reinforces its role as a hedge against economic uncertainty, supporting prices as investors seek stability."
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market currently sees a 92% probability of the Fed easing monetary policy in September. Last Thursday, the market saw only a 38% chance of a rate cut.
Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, said the Federal Reserve may ultimately regret its decision to hold interest rates steady earlier this week.
"A rate cut in September is a definite possibility, perhaps even a 50 basis point cut, to make up for lost time," he said.
Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, said he sees the potential for gold prices to steadily rise to $3,400 an ounce given the sharp shift in interest rate expectations.
"If the Fed signals a dovish stance, speculative inflows could push gold prices above the psychological $3,400 level, especially as investors seek safe havens during economic uncertainty," he said. "Technical indicators, such as a bullish trend in gold ETFs and rising open interest, support this potential breakout. We believe traders are already positioning for a dip bounce, with some analysts pointing to seasonal patterns in gold that typically gain traction after August. While volatility may still limit near-term gains, the overall trend looks positive, and the typical summer lull may be over."
This week will be light on economic data, with investors continuing to digest Friday's jobs report. Meanwhile, some analysts expect the economic uncertainty stemming from President Trump's ongoing trade war and global tariffs to further boost safe-haven demand for gold.
Trade tensions are providing another layer of support for gold. President Trump set an August 1st deadline for countries to finalize a trade deal. While the United States reached agreements with Japan and the European Union, resulting in a 15% increase in import tariffs, many major trading partners still face the risk of tariff increases.
As a result, exports from many countries now face significant cost increases. Specifically, Canada, the United States' second-largest trading partner, faces a 35% tariff increase. Meanwhile, India faces a 25% increase, Taiwanese exports will be subject to a 20% tariff, South African products face a 30% tariff, and Swiss goods face a 39% tariff.
Pepperstone market strategist Michael Brown said he remains bullish on gold, citing global trade uncertainty as a key factor driving its value as a monetary asset.
He said: "The diversification of reserves away from the US dollar and into gold, particularly in emerging markets, will continue for the foreseeable future. Of course, potential safe-haven demand stemming from concerns about the state of the US economy will further support the bullish view. The upside levels to watch remain the $3,400 mark, followed by a high of around $3,445, and then a potential run towards the all-time high of $3,500. I certainly wouldn't rule out the possibility of new highs in gold prices before the end of the year."
Chris Vecchio, Head of Futures Strategy and FX at Tastylive, said he sees gold as a very beneficial global currency.
"Tariffs mean that countries will trade less in US dollars, so I expect gold to continue to perform well as the world searches for an alternative monetary asset."
XAUUSD 15m XAUUSD Possible Pullback Buy SetupThis is what I'm looking at currently for gold. The breakout from the range and reclaim of previous resistance as support indicates buyers are in control, but market is approaching heavy resistance above, so I'm looking for “buy dips” rather than chasing late longs.
Gold Trend Reversal: MSS Completed Eyes on OB and Breaker Block!The gold market has executed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) in the New York session, indicating a trend reversal. Initially, the market made a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, but later dropped sharply and closed below the MSS level, confirming a bearish shift. Currently, the market is likely entering a retracement phase and may look to fill its Pending Demand (PD) arrays.
There are two critical levels from which the market could potentially drop again:
1. The first is an Order Block (OB).
2. The second is a Breaker Block (BB).
Keep a close watch on these two levels. If the market returns to either and presents bearish confirmation signals, it could resume the downward move towards swing lows.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
Gold is significantly bullish, where can we short?The positive non-farm payroll report pushed the market from 3300 directly above 3330, demonstrating overall bullish momentum. Congratulations again, everyone. Real-time strategies are like a beacon guiding your investment journey. The market will never disappoint those who persevere and explore wisely. Charlie advises against blindly chasing highs. Trading advice (first hit is valid): Focus on key support levels: 3300 and 3310. Go long if these levels are reached.
~For those who want to go short above 3350-55, only use a stop-loss and feel free to try~ PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
How to accurately grasp the gold trading opportunitiesGold was greatly affected by the positive non-farm payroll data, and it rose strongly, with the increase completely covering all the losses this week. The current gold trend has completely reversed the previous bull-short balance. After breaking through the 3300 level and rising to around 3355, it maintains strong upward momentum, and the possibility of further testing the 3360-3375 area cannot be ruled out. Due to the strong positive data, if everyone fails to chase the long position or set a breakout long position in time in the first wave of the market, the subsequent pullback opportunities may be relatively limited, so it is necessary to maintain an active strategy in operation. It is recommended to continue to be bullish when it retreats to the 3335-3320 area, and the upper target is the 3360-3375 pressure range.
Gold Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Sweep.Gold has recently broken out of a parallel channel during the New York session, followed by a strong upward move triggered by the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news event. Currently, the market is trading near a key trendline resistance zone. In this area, the price has also swept the liquidity residing above recent highs, indicating that potential buy-side liquidity has been taken out.
This level now becomes critical for observation. If the market forms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or provides any valid bearish confirmation — such as a strong rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or a break of lower timeframe support — then there is a high probability that a downward move may follow from this zone.
As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and wait for price action to confirm the bias before executing any trades. Acting on confirmation rather than assumptions protects both capital and strategy.
How to maintain stable operations before NFP dataYesterday, gold closed the month with a long upper shadow doji candlestick, indicating strong upward pressure, with monthly resistance at 3439-3451. Today marks the beginning of the month, and with the release of numerous data indicators such as NFP, unemployment benefits, and PMI, there is considerable uncertainty, so intraday trading should proceed with caution.
Judging from the daily chart, the current MACD indicator is dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator is running oversold, indicating a low-level fluctuation trend during the day. At present, we need to pay attention to the SMA60 moving average and the daily middle track corresponding to 3327-3337 on the upper side, and pay attention to the intraday low around 3280 on the lower side. The lows of the previous two days at 3275-3268 cannot be ignored. There is a possibility that the low-level oscillation will touch the previous low again.
From the 4H chart, technical indicators are currently flat, with no significant short-term fluctuations expected. Low-level volatility is expected to persist within the day. Then just focus on the support near 3275 below and the middle track pressure near 3307 above. Looking at the hourly chart, gold is currently oscillating below the mid-range band, with resistance at 3295-3307 to watch in the short term.
Overall, the market is expected to remain volatile before the release of today's data. Based on Wednesday's ADP data, this round of data is also expected to be around $100,000. The contrast between ADP and NFP last time deserves our caution. The current market is basically optimistic about the short-selling situation, which is exactly what I am most worried about. If the gold price can stabilize above 3,300 before the NY data, the possibility of NFP data being bullish cannot be ruled out.
Intraday European trading suggestion: if the current gold price falls back to 3285-3280 and stabilizes, you can consider short-term long positions, with the target at 3295-3305. If the gold price tests the low of 3275-3268 again and does not break through, you can consider a second chance to go long. After making a profit of $10-20, you can consider exiting the market with profits. The market is volatile and unstable, so be sure to bring SL with you and pay close attention to the impact of the NFP data. Conservative investors can enter the market after the data is released.