Gold Faces Resistance – Possible Short-Term Correction📊 Market Drivers:
• Expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates have supported gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding the metal.
• The US dollar tends to weaken amid signs of slowing economic growth, which supports safe-haven demand for gold.
• Geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank demand also add upward pressure on gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~ $3,700 – $3,720 / ounce; a strong psychological round number level drawing market focus.
• Nearest Support: ~ $3,660 – $3,645 / ounce; if this breaks, gold could test deeper support near ~$3,580.
• EMA: Gold is trading above the EMA50 in many analyses → medium-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Signs of stalling near resistance; momentum could weaken if the USD firms up or if the Fed signals caution. Overbought RSI and momentum indicators could trigger a short-term pullback.
📌 View:
Gold may see a short-term pullback if it fails to break above the ~$3,700–3,720 resistance zone. If bearish catalysts emerge – such as a stronger USD or a hawkish Fed stance – gold could retreat towards ~$3,645–3,660 support.
On the other hand, a clear breakout above ~$3,700 could open the way towards ~$3,720 and higher.
💡 Short-Term Trading Strategy (Scalping before news):
• SELL XAU/USD at: 3688 – 3692 (near short-term resistance)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3695
• BUY XAU/USD at: 3672 – 3668 (near intraday support)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3665
Goldlongsetup
With the meeting coming, will gold prices soar or plummet?Technical analysis of gold: Judging from the current trend, gold is approaching the 3700 mark. Bulls are surrounding it but not attacking, waiting for guidance from the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Overall, gold has risen by nearly $400 since it rose from 3311. For now, it is still in a bullish trend. Don't easily say it has reached the top before the trend reverses. From a technical point of view, the intraday support point is reflected in the daily cycle. On the unilateral moving average of the H4 cycle, the lower support is in the 3660-3650 area. You can just focus on these two points and go long. In principle, we don’t guess the top of the upper space, but the visible target is expected to be around 3710-3720. If it continues to rise, it may even reach 3730. After a phased rise during the U.S. trading session, we will see whether we can keep long positions and wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision based on actual conditions. The Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates this time, but the first rate cut will not be a large-scale release of money. It is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The market performance is to sell expectations and buy facts. The current rise in gold from the end of August to September has achieved expectations. Therefore, after the actual confirmation of the rate cut, the market is expected to move in the opposite direction because the expectations have been fulfilled, and the historical performance is the same. To sum up the above: for the lower support, first pay attention to the area around 3660, and continue to look up to the 3680-3690 area. If the support is broken strongly, you can participate in long positions in the 3630-3620 area. At present, pay attention to the area around 3685-3695 in the short term and try to short. On the whole, the short-term strategy for gold today is still to arrange long positions on dips, supplemented by light positions in short positions when it rebounds to key resistance levels. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3700-3720 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3660-3650 line of support.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on 09.17.2025 and is this a major breakthrough?Here's Anfibo. With my yesterday's plan, our sell OANDA:XAUUSD order reached more than 200 pips, the buy order was 30 pips short of matching the entry and missed 150 pips short. But that's okay, I have a new plan today for everyone to follow:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3676 - 3660
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3694 - 3700 - 3705 - 3719 - 3745
✅ BUY SCALP: 3675 - 3677, SL 3674, TP 3694 - 3700 - 3719
❌ SELL SCALP: 3719 - 3721, SL 3723, TP 3700 - 3675 - 3660
- - - - - - - - - - - - -
✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Hope is right lol! xoxo
Gold is about to face a stormGold fell continuously but found support around the 3,660 level and began to rebound—just as mentioned yesterday, the 3,658-3,662 range is a top-bottom conversion zone. As long as this level remains unbroken, the bullish trend is not over. However, given the upcoming interest rate decision, we remain bullish but will no longer chase highs, as we need to be cautious of a sudden trend reversal. Remember: the unchanged long-term trend does not mean there will be no corrections amid the uptrend. When most people start celebrating, we must maintain awe for the market. Focus on resistance around 3,685-3,690 and support around 3,658-3,662.
Below are my personal views on the interest rate decision:
It can be said that a rate cut at this meeting is almost a foregone conclusion; the only uncertainty is whether it will be 25 or 50 basis points.
A 25-basis-point rate cut with a hawkish tone (45% probability)
Currently, market expectations for a Fed rate cut are extremely high. The mainstream expectation on Wall Street is three 25-basis-point cuts in September, October, and December, totaling 75 basis points. If the Fed’s statement and Powell’s press conference fail to hint at a further rate cut outlook or implicitly approve a consecutive cut in October, this could well be interpreted as a "hawkish rate cut," and market expectations will tighten afterward. This will be the biggest risk of this meeting—there is potential for a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move in the short term, pushing the U.S. dollar higher. Conversely, assets like U.S. stocks and gold may face selling pressure due to "bad news after good news," combined with profit-taking and technical overbought conditions.
A 25-basis-point rate cut with neutral-to-dovish wording (45% probability)
Compared with the Fed’s June projections, both the number and magnitude of rate cuts have increased, but Powell maintains ambiguous and neutral wording. This will fully align with current market expectations. In this scenario, the U.S. dollar will likely trade sideways in a lower range in the short term, while assets like U.S. stocks and gold will consolidate in higher ranges. The market will wait for new signals to seek a breakout.
An unexpected 50-basis-point rate cut (10% probability)
This scenario would be like a shot in the arm in the short term. Although most assets (except the weakening U.S. dollar) will benefit temporarily, it may trigger market concerns that the Fed has surrendered to political pressure and lost its independence, as well as deep worries about the U.S. economic situation. At the same time, a sharp U.S. rate cut will drastically narrow the interest rate differential with overseas markets, leading to a tendency for large amounts of U.S. dollar capital to flow out of the U.S. market—this will put short-term pressure on U.S. stocks. Therefore, this scenario may not be a real positive for U.S. stocks. In contrast, gold will benefit as safe-haven demand continues to be boosted.
Don’t fight the market, act when the time is right!Driven by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a weakening US dollar, gold prices continued to climb this week, reaching a historic high of $3,700 on Tuesday. Market expectations are that the Fed will announce a 25 basis point rate cut in its upcoming meeting. If Chairman Powell further emphasizes concerns about the job market and confirms a path of three rate cuts this year in a subsequent press conference, gold prices are expected to gain renewed upward momentum.
From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows solid support in the 3665-3660 range. If gold prices hold this level before the European session, it will provide a strong defensive foundation for bulls and can also be considered a useful reference area for short-term long positions. Once the price re-establishes itself at the 3700 level, it is expected to further challenge the 3710-3720 resistance level. A breakout with strong volume could open up further upside potential, continuing the bullish trend.
Prior to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the market is likely to remain volatile at high levels, accumulating momentum for major news releases. We recommend primarily buying on dips. The current bull-bear watershed is 3650; if this level falls, be wary of the risk of a further correction.
GOLD HITS RESISTANCE AT 3,703 – SHORT-TERM PROFIT TAKING LIKELY📊 Market Drivers:
- Gold reached a historic high at US$3,703/oz, driven by stronger-than-expected U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial Production data, though a weaker USD continues to provide support.
- Markets are now awaiting the upcoming Fed meeting to gauge potential monetary policy adjustments — creating uncertainty and possible volatility for gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~ $3,703/oz — the recent peak. A breakout with strong volume could open the way towards US$3,750–3,800.
• Nearest Support: ~ $3,650–3,670/oz. Holding this level is crucial to prevent a deeper pullback.
• EMA-09: Price is fluctuating around the 9-period EMA on the short-term chart. A drop below the EMA could signal a corrective phase.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Clear profit-taking pressure appeared when price touched 3,703.
• RSI is in the overbought zone near the peak — warning of a potential short-term pullback.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may pull back slightly in the short term due to profit-taking after hitting the record high, especially if the USD strengthens or U.S. data continues to surprise on the upside.
However, if support at US$3,650–3,670 holds, gold could rebound and head towards US$3,750–3,800 should the Fed deliver dovish signals.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 3,712 – 3,715
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3,718
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3,657 – 3,660
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 3,654
ANFIBO | XAUUSD got ATH on 09.16.2025 and what?Gold has made a new breakout by breaking through the sizeway zone and rising to a new ATH. The plan is that we need to pay attention to the price zone around the 3700 resistance. Today's plan is as follows:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3675 - 3655
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3700 - 3705 - 3745
✅ BUY SCALP: around 3675, SL 3670, TP 3700 - 3745
❌ SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3655
✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Hope is right!
The opportunity is right in front of you, don’t miss it!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold showed a rapid downward retreat in the Asian session, breaking through the 3630 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. It fluctuated and consolidated around the 3630 mark in the European and US sessions, and finally ushered in a strong rise by bulls. The price of gold accelerated to break through and stand above the 3670 mark to set a new historical high. The gold bulls rose as expected, and there are still new highs above, so we are patiently waiting for gold to continue to rise. When it falls back, we will continue to look for opportunities to enter the market and go long. Yesterday, we responded flexibly around the key points, and made precise arrangements with two-way thinking to achieve a double kill of long and short, a steady harvest, and perfectly reach our goals. Today we continue to wait for further declines. After all, all indicators are bullish. Don’t guess the top if the bulls are strong. If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is on Thursday, then the line around 3700 will also be within reach. At present, don’t blindly chase the longs above the 3680 line. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3670-3360. If it pulls back to this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3650. As long as the daily closing level does not fall below this position, any pullback is an opportunity to go long, and the main tone of participating in the trend will remain unchanged. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3675-3360, target 3690-3695. If it breaks, look at the 3700 line.
Gold Hits New ATH, Eyeing $3700 Psychological Barrier📊 Market Developments:
Gold surged sharply and set a new all-time high at $3,697/oz. The main driver comes from expectations that the Fed may soon signal rate cuts, while investors seek gold as a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty.
📈 Technical Analysis:
• New Resistance: $3700 (psychological) – $3708 (Fibonacci extension).
• Nearby Support: $3690 – $3685 (previous ATH breakout zone).
• EMA 50 & 100 on H1: Both remain upward sloping, reinforcing the bullish trend.
• H1 Candle: Strong momentum, but a short pullback may occur around 3700.
🔎 Outlook:
The uptrend remains dominant; however, the $3700–$3708 zone is a key psychological barrier where short-term profit-taking may emerge. If price holds above $3685, the bullish momentum is likely to continue.
🎯 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY (safe entry): 3691 – 3688, SL: 3685, TP: 40–80–200 pips.
• SELL short-term (scalping): Around 3700–3705 if H1 reversal candles appear, SL: 3710, TP: 30–60 pips.
GOLD - XAUUSD - IDEAS FOR THE DAYTeam, please carefully looking at the GOLD pattern,
it was consolidation range between 3620-3650 before breaking the channel. this is 5 minutes channel
but if you carefully look at 4 hour channel - the range created during 10 APRIL to 25 AUG before break out.
Short term GOLD should pull back toward 3667-65 - if you are short, stop loss at 3685-90
target short term zone at 3667-65
Medium term if you could hold longer within a week, we should expect the pull back toward the 3500-3400 zone - please review 4 hours chart.
LETS GO
Which comes first, 3600 or 3700?International gold prices continued to fluctuate within a narrow range, hovering around the 3640 level. The range continued to narrow, and market sentiment clearly became more cautious. This phenomenon is due to investors entering a cautious wait-and-see phase regarding the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which has weakened trading appetite and led to low price volatility.
From the 1-hour candlestick chart, gold prices are currently under pressure from a short-term downward trend line, with 3650 becoming the core bull-bear dividing line for today's market. If prices remain below 3650, short-term range-bound consolidation is likely, and caution is advised regarding the risk of a subsequent test of support. If prices break through and stabilize at 3650, it will indicate that short-term resistance has been broken, bullish momentum is expected to be re-released, and the market may resume its strong upward trend, heading towards the previous highs of 3656-3660.
Regarding downward support, the primary focus is on the lower band of the ascending channel. If this fails, strong support will focus on the 3600 mark. This level is not only a key support level that has been repeatedly tested previously, but also a crucial defensive line for the bullish trend on the daily chart. A break below this level would trigger a periodic correction.
Considering the high market uncertainty before the Fed’s interest rate decision is implemented, the recommended operating strategy is to focus on short-term trading: whether going long or short, positions must be strictly controlled to avoid large losses due to sudden fluctuations in news. The core principle is to “quit while you are ahead.”
Can gold break through the resistance level?Whether you go long or short, you can make money, the only exception is the greedy. To invest, you must block excitement, or at least don't get excited at the wrong time. Emotions play a key role in all transactions. Spend all your time studying trends, never go against the trends, learn to follow, and then you can learn the essence. There is no invincible general in the financial market, and a person cannot make money beyond the scope of cognition. Investing itself is an assessment of self-cognition.
After gold fell to 3626, it rebounded slightly. It is still in a state of volatility as a whole, and the volatility is narrowing. From a technical point of view, the bullish momentum has not been exhausted, and the sideways movement of the gold market at this stage is far from over. From a big cycle perspective, 3675 is not a high point. However, as the interest rate decision approaches, both bulls and bears may turn to wait and see, and the short-term market is expected to be dominated by fluctuations, waiting for the Fed's monetary policy guidance! The upper resistance level is the pressure level formed by the two recent high points, and the support is at the lower track of the rising channel and the strong support of 3600.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Plan [15.10.2025 - 19.10.2025]Here is my XAUUSD plan for next week:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES : 3625 - 3595 - 3580 - 3575
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES : 3665 - 3670 - 3700
✅ BUY SCALP : around 3595, SL 3580, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3670
❌ SELL SCALP :
(1) 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3645 - 3600
(2) 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3610
✅ SWING BUY : 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL : 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Enjoy it guys! 😊
Can gold continue to rise next week?With the right direction, the journey is not a problem. Time will prove your strength, and strength will win the future. Let trust become profit. The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best path. When the trend emerges, act accordingly; don't buy against the tide.
Gold had a relatively perfect week. After a slight pullback on Friday, it rose again. It found resistance around 3656-60 before oscillating and stalling. This level serves as a bridge between the past and the future. Next week's interest rate decision will be a key focus, and both market news and technical indicators are bullish for gold. Let's wait and see. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid mistakes.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is 3628-30, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3600. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, it can continue to maintain the rhythm of pulling back to low and buying in line with the bullish trend. The main strategy is to buy on dips.
I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
3655 accurately shorted gold to seize the opportunity of declineGold fluctuated higher today, rising from 3630 all the way to 3657. However, after encountering resistance at this level during the European session, it ultimately retreated. The overall trend remains consistent with our previous analysis and strategy. Today's strategy is to short on rebounds around 3655, watching for pullbacks. The current low has been around 3637, resulting in a small short-term gain of approximately 150 pips. Congratulations to those who followed this strategy for a solid win! For those who are short-term traders, it's recommended to lock in profits or lower your stop-loss to avoid profit taking. For those holding medium-term positions, manage your positions appropriately and patiently await the next wave of opportunities. Following the trend and executing your plan are the keys to stable profits in the market.
Gold Set to Extend Gains as Fed Rate Cuts Loom📊 Market Developments:
Gold is supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, lowering the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Recent U.S. labor market data showed weakness, with higher jobless claims and downward revisions in nonfarm payrolls.
CPI inflation remains elevated, while PPI softened slightly, reinforcing bets on policy easing.
A weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields further boost gold’s appeal.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,670 – $3,674, with further upside potential toward $3,700–$3,730.
• Nearest Support: $3,600; if broken, next levels at $3,561–$3,536.
• EMA: Price is trading above EMA50 and EMA200, keeping the bullish structure intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum: RSI remains elevated, showing strong upward momentum though slightly overbought; dips are being bought quickly.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rise in the short term if Fed maintains a dovish stance and U.S. data remain soft.
However, stronger-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed signals could trigger a pullback toward $3,600 or lower.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• SELL XAU/USD: $3,682 – $3,685
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3688
• BUY XAU/USD: $3,617 – $3,620
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3614
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 12.10.2025 ???After breaking the H1 uptrend line, Gold returned to the Fibo retracement zone 0.5 with a strong rebound, the current price is moving around the price zone 3655 and still maintains a strong rebound. Pay attention to the following important zones for today's strategy:
>> SELL SCALP: 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3655 - 3625 - 3600
>> BUY SCALP: around 3595, SL 3588, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice weekend guys! :D
XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW 🚀 XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 CPI Results (September)
Core CPI m/m: 0.3% (In line with forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.3%)
CPI m/m: 0.4% (Above forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.2%)
CPI y/y: 2.9% (In line with forecast: 2.9%, previous: 2.7%)
📈 MMFLOW Insight – What This Means for Gold (XAUUSD)
1️⃣ Headline CPI Beat Signals Sticky Inflation
The uptick to 0.4% m/m surprised markets and indicates inflationary pressures are not cooling as much as expected.
This strengthens USD short-term and pushes Treasury yields higher. The initial reaction is selling pressure on gold as traders price in a more hawkish Fed stance.
2️⃣ Core CPI Stability Offers Mixed Sentiment
Core CPI staying flat at 0.3% suggests underlying price pressures remain steady.
This tempers extreme hawkish expectations, leaving room for gold to recover after initial volatility, especially if yields stabilize.
3️⃣ Medium-Term Implications
Despite today’s stronger headline CPI, inflation remains on a downtrend y/y (2.9%), supporting the broader narrative of a Fed pivot in the coming months.
Central banks (esp. PBoC & EM countries) continue to accumulate gold, which underpins long-term bullish bias.
🔑 Technical Reaction Zones (M15/M30)
Resistance: 3,648 – 3,654 (Trendline/React FIB)
Support / Liquidity Zones:
• 3,624.33 – Key Zone Support BUY
• 3,612.54 – CP/React Zone FIB
• 3,599.23 – Major BUY Zone
🛠 Trading Approach After CPI
Expect whipsaw price action: an initial spike lower (USD strength) followed by potential recovery if buyers defend liquidity zones.
SELL Scalp: Only on strong rejection from 3,648–3,654 with tight SL.
BUY Opportunity: Watch for confirmed bounce signals at 3,624 / 3,612 / 3,599.
Stay nimble: CPI-induced volatility can sweep both sides before choosing direction.
✅ Summary
The hotter CPI print adds near-term pressure to gold, but the overall structure and central bank demand remain supportive. Expect liquidity sweeps before a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time execution updates, liquidity setups, and professional market insights during this volatile post-CPI session.
Gold Spikes After CPI but Faces Profit-Taking Pressure📊 Market Move:
Right after the CPI release, gold surged from $3613 to $3643, but profit-taking quickly dragged prices back to around $3635.
📈 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance: 3645 – 3650
🔻 Support: 3626 – 3620
📉 Short-term EMA still points upward, suggesting the uptrend remains intact, though momentum has weakened after the spike.
🧐 Outlook:
Gold is undergoing a technical pullback after the sharp rally; the market needs further H1/H4 candle confirmation to see if the bullish move toward 3650+ continues.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
o Wait for a retest of 3626–3620; if reversal candles appear, consider a Buy following the trend.
o If price breaks below 3620, risk opens for a deeper drop toward 3610–3605.






















