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Gold at a Crossroads: Bullish Breakout or Bearish ReversalGold Technical Analysis – February 9, 2026 Following the sharp market volatility over the past few days, Gold is currently in a critical phase, trading around a key psychological level. Below are the details for the upcoming price directions: Pivot Point: 4968 This is today’s market key. As long as the price remains above this level, the Buyers maintain control. Scenario 1: Continued Bullish Momentum If the price sustains its position above 4968, we expect the following movements: First Target: Reaching the resistance level at 5050. Expansion: Breaking and stabilizing above 5050 will open the path for Gold to reach higher levels at 5090 and eventually 5150. Note: Reaching these highs requires sustained buying pressure. Scenario 2: Decline and Selling Pressure (Bearish View) Any movement below the 4968 pivot point will shift the overall trend to the downside: The Breakout: If the price loses momentum and settles below 4968, a bearish wave will begin. Downside Targets: The price will head toward the support level at 4920, and if pressure persists, it will test the 4880 level. Summary: Above 4968: Bullish (Targeting 5050, 5090, 5150). Below 4968: Bearish (Targeting 4920, 4880).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvarMayi
2
All Eyes on $4,920: The Decisive Pivot for Gold's Next Move!Current Status: Neutral / Bearish Bias Pivot Point: $4,920 Market Overview: Gold is currently trading below the key pivot level of $4,920. The market is at a crossroads, and we are closely watching whether the price can maintain stability below this point or if a recovery is imminent. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Outlook) As long as Gold continues to trade below the $4,920 pivot, the bearish momentum will remain intact, targeting the lower support zones: Target 1: A retest of the immediate support at $4,820. Target 2 (Confirmation): A decisive breakout below $4,820 will accelerate the downtrend toward $4,745 and potentially $4,690. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Corrective Rally) If Gold gains enough buying liquidity to stage a recovery and breaks above the pivot: Condition: A confirmed 1-hour candle close above $4,920. Upside Target 1: Resistance at $5,015. Upside Target 2: Further extension toward the $5,090 psychological level. 📍 Key Technical Levels Pivot Point: $4,920 Resistance: $5,015 | $5,090 Support: $4,820 | $4,745 | $4,690 🔍 Summary Bearish Bias: Below $4,920 (Stay cautious). Bullish Shift: Above $4,920 (Recovery expected). ⚠️ Risk Management: Always protect your capital with a Stop Loss. High volatility is expected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EvarMayi
Gold's Power Struggle: Who Controls the 4960 Zone?📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis 📅 Date: February 5, 2026 📉 Bearish Scenario If Gold trades and remains below the 4960 level, further downside momentum is expected, targeting the following levels: Target 1: 4820 Target 2: 4745 📈 Bullish Scenario Any price action holding above the 4960 level could trigger a temporary recovery (correction) toward: Target 1: 5015 Target 2: 5090 📍 Key Technical Levels Support: 4820 – 4745 – 4690 Resistance: 5015 – 5090 – 5150
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EvarMayi
Goldman Sachs 2026: The New Architect of Capital?Goldman Sachs (GS) is no longer just an investment bank; it is evolving into a geopolitical and technological hedge fund. As the firm approaches its Q4 2025 earnings report this Thursday, January 15, the market anticipates more than just beat-and-raise metrics. Investors are pricing in a fundamental transformation. The stock has outperformed the broader financial sector, driven by a decisive pivot toward asset management stability and aggressive AI integration. Geopolitics & Geostrategy: The Commodity Supercycle Goldman Sachs has positioned itself as the primary architect of the "New Trade Order." * Resource Nationalism: The bank’s research arm correctly predicted the 2025 commodity squeeze. They are now doubling down on "critical mineral sovereignty," advising governments on securing copper and lithium supply chains essential for the AI arms race. * Trade Flows: GS is leveraging its global footprint to navigate the fragmented US-China relationship. By facilitating "friend-shoring" deals between the US, Japan, and the UK, the bank has captured high-margin advisory fees from complex cross-border restructuring. Business Models & Innovation The firm is successfully reducing its reliance on volatile trading revenues. * Asset Management Pivot: The shift to stable, fee-based revenue is working. Asset & Wealth Management now acts as the firm's ballast, smoothing out the jagged edges of investment banking cycles. * Private Credit: GS has aggressively expanded into private credit, filling the void left by regional banks. This move captures higher yields and cements deep relationships with private equity sponsors who value speed over regulation-heavy traditional lending. Technology & High-Tech: The AI Dividend Goldman Sachs is arguably the most aggressive adopter of "Agentic AI" on Wall Street. * Internal Efficiency: The deployment of proprietary Large Language Models (LLMs) for coding and compliance has reportedly improved developer productivity by 40%. This is not just cost-cutting; it is operational leverage. * Fintech Patents: Patent analysis reveals a surge in GS filings under classification G06Q (Data Processing/Financial). The focus is clear: automated algorithmic trading and blockchain-based settlement layers that reduce counterparty risk. Management & Leadership: The 2025 Reshuffle The leadership restructuring initiated in early 2025 is bearing fruit. * Culture Shift: The "Managing Director Class of 2025" is notably younger and more tech-centric. This demographic shift is dismantling the rigid silos of the past, fostering a "One Goldman" culture that cross-sells effectively between trading, banking, and wealth divisions. * Executive Compensation: Renewed focus on executive security and cyber-protection benefits reflects the heightened threat landscape facing high-profile financiers. Macroeconomics & Economic Outlook The macroeconomic backdrop for 2026 favors the Goldman playbook. * Dealmaking Revival: With interest rates stabilizing, the M&A freeze has thawed. Corporations are flush with cash and looking to deploy it. Goldman, having led the 2025 league tables with $1.48 trillion in advised deals, is the prime beneficiary of this pent-up demand. * The "K-Shaped" Recovery: The bank’s strategy aligns perfectly with the current economic reality. High-net-worth clients continue to prosper, driving wealth management inflows, while corporate consolidation drives banking fees. Cyber & Security: The Fortress Balance Sheet Trust is the ultimate currency. * Cyber Defense: The bank’s "Zero Trust" architecture is now a selling point for institutional clients. In an era of state-sponsored cyber warfare, GS positions its custodial services as a digital fortress, superior to arguably less secure decentralized competitors. Conclusion Goldman Sachs enters 2026 not as a passive participant in the markets, but as an active shaper of them. By fusing geopolitical foresight with technological aggression, the firm has built a moat that is difficult to cross. Thursday’s earnings will likely confirm what the stock chart already suggests: the "Vampire Squid" is back, and it is smarter than ever.
NYSE:GSLong
by TradeThePool
Gold price trend analysis today!Market News: On Wednesday (January 7th) in early Asian trading, spot gold fluctuated at high levels, briefly touching the $4500/ounce mark. This was influenced by geopolitical tensions triggered by the US arrest of the Venezuelan president, with the US also discussing options for acquiring Greenland, including "using military means to advance the objective," further escalating geopolitical tensions. This continued to push international gold prices towards historical highs. The global financial markets at the beginning of 2026 are at a crossroads of high geopolitical risks and monetary policy adjustments. The status of London gold as a safe-haven asset has been further consolidated. With the unfolding events in Venezuela and Greenland, and supported by the potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, gold prices are expected to continue challenging new highs. Traders should closely monitor the upcoming non-farm payroll data and international developments! Technical Analysis: Gold prices are moving within a trend-buying structure, maintaining the expected strong bullish breakout above the $4500 mark. The daily chart shows consecutive strong bullish candles, with a gain of $170 over two trading days. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages have moved up to 4426 and 4395 respectively, and the price is trading along the upper Bollinger Band. On the shorter-term 4-hour and hourly charts, the Bollinger Bands are widening upwards, the moving average system is also widening upwards, and the RSI indicator is turning upwards above the midline. Technically, this chart presents a typical "resistance after an uptrend" structure. Before a decisive break above 4500, the market needs sufficient trading activity and momentum accumulation around this level. A more conservative trading strategy is recommended: buy on dips, waiting for the price to retrace to support levels before entering the market. Today's market movement was somewhat subtle. In terms of time cycles, Wednesday is a day prone to trend reversals and pullbacks. Gold Trading Strategy: Short-term buy gold at 4435-4445, stop-loss at 4425, target 4500-4530; Short-term sell gold at 4510-4520, stop-loss at 4530, target 4450-4420; Key Levels: First Support: 4462, Second Support: 4445, Third Support: 4420 First Resistance: 4516, Second Resistance: 4537, Third Resistance: 4565
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FlyingTowardsWealth
How far can geopolitical panic go?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold prices opened higher today, influenced by the geopolitical turmoil over the weekend. The 4H chart clearly shows a head and shoulders bottom pattern, indicating a short-term bullish structure. However, caution is advised as the gap could create technical resistance and trigger a pullback. Therefore, people should not blindly chase rising prices. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level of 4430-4440. If the price rebounds to this level for the first time, consider shorting gold with a small position. The support level is around 4365-4355. We can consider going long if it pulls back to this level. The current strategy is to buy low and sell high within this key range, adapting flexibly
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xbcp6216
Analysis of gold price trends over the next 15 days!Market Analysis: On the first trading day of 2026 (Friday), the precious metals market initially rebounded strongly, but subsequently retreated from its highs. While London gold prices turned lower, silver, platinum, and palladium maintained their upward trend. Market preference for precious metals has clearly intensified at the start of 2026, driven by both macroeconomic interest rate logic and geopolitical risk pricing. Investors currently widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at least twice this year (25 basis points each time). Under this expectation, lower real interest rates will improve the relative attractiveness of non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. Looking ahead to the next 15 days, from a medium- to long-term perspective, spot gold remains in a strong cycle. The main driving factors include: the Federal Reserve's interest rate cutting cycle, global geopolitical tensions, continued central bank gold purchases, and rising gold ETF holdings. The US military action against Venezuela has triggered geopolitical uncertainty, strengthening global risk sentiment and providing significant support for international gold prices, with potential for further short-term gains. Technical Analysis: This week saw two tests of 4300 and two rebounds to 4400, representing a structural adjustment after the sharp decline. Gold has formed a head and shoulders bottom pattern; a firm hold above 4400 would likely trigger another surge, targeting 4500 and 4550. Given the overall trend, it's unwise to predict the top. However, failing to hold 4400 indicates a low-level consolidation after the sharp drop. Will next week's opening price move in the opposite direction to this week's? Coupled with the weekend's safe-haven news from Venezuela, a direct upward move is highly probable. The weekly chart shows selling pressure above, suggesting the adjustment may continue, but gold is generally in a bull market, and the potential for a deep correction is limited. On the daily chart, after Monday's sharp drop, the market entered a period of consolidation. The 4400 area has now become a key resistance level; a break above this level could lead to renewed strength and a challenge for new highs. Gold Trading Strategy: Buy gold at 4280-4290 (short-term), stop loss at 4270, target 4350-4380; Sell gold at 4380-4390 (short-term), stop loss at 4400, target 4320-4300; Key Levels: First Support: 4310, Second Support: 4292, Third Support: 4275 First Resistance: 4350, Second Resistance: 4378, Third Resistance: 4400
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FlyingTowardsWealth
Bullish or bearish? How to trade gold in the new year?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD The trading strategy given yesterday did not provide suitable trading opportunities in the evening. After the market opened this morning, it rebounded from around 4328, only $3 away from our entry point of 4325. However, as everyone knows, I was sleeping during the Asian session and hardly participated in any trading, so I unfortunately missed this trading opportunity. Currently, gold prices have rebounded after testing the 4285-4275 level.It's not advisable to get involved in rapidly fluctuating markets, as it's too easy to trigger stop-loss orders. Don't envy those who make huge profits in one wave or another, whether it's real or not is still unknown. Just focus on doing your own thing and remember that what we need is to achieve steady and consistent gains. Based on the current trend, the upside resistance level to watch is 4335-4355, the short-term support level is 4260-4250, and the key defense level is 4210-4200. Observe first. If the rebound continues and reaches the resistance level around 4335-4355, then consider shorting with a small position. Wait for my subsequent trading signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by xbcp6216
Black Monday: How to get out of a losing position?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold is currently in a slow upward trend, but due to the significant drop at the beginning of the week yesterday, it will be difficult for gold prices to achieve a direct V-shaped reversal. It is expected to gradually stabilize through repeated fluctuations. My strategy remains primarily bullish, with bearish as a secondary approach. Currently, judging from the hourly and 4-hour charts, the short-term support is around 4365-4355. If it pulls back to this level, we can consider taking a small long position with a stop-loss order. Watch for resistance at 4395-4405. If the price rebounds to this level for the first time during the day and encounters resistance, consider a small short position. Today, a slow, oscillating pattern is expected to continue. Trading should be conducted within the key range, with appropriate stop-loss orders in place. A steady and cautious approach is advised, and short-term traders should look for opportunities to take profits at resistance levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xbcp6216
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 4H chart using SMC + EMA + HTF support logic. ⸻ Market Context (4H) • Primary bias: Bullish continuation (after correction) • Strong impulsive sell-off was corrective, not a trend change • Overall higher-timeframe structure is still bullish • Price is now reacting from a key HTF support zone ⸻ What Just Happened • Price swept sell-side liquidity aggressively • Immediate rejection from lows → strong bullish reaction • This indicates smart-money absorption at discount • Market is now in a recovery / rebalancing phase ⸻ Key Levels on Chart HTF Demand / Strong Support Zone ~4,285 – 4,325 • Labeled as key strong support level • Previous consolidation base • Where institutions previously accumulated • Area of highest-probability defense FVG / Re-entry Zone ~4,345 – 4,365 • Inefficiency left by impulsive drop • Ideal pullback / continuation zone • Price already reacting here (green arrow) ⸻ Trade Idea (Primary Scenario) BUY Setup (Continuation Play) • Entry: 4,345 – 4,365 • Stop Loss: Below 4,285 • Targets: • TP1: 4,403 (EMA 50 / mid-structure) • TP2: 4,480 • Final TP: 4,520 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Checklist Before committing size, look for: • Bullish engulfing from FVG • Strong rejection wicks • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Price holding above the strong support zone ⸻ Invalidation • 4H close below ~4,285 • Acceptance below HTF demand If that happens → bullish continuation is invalid, and deeper downside is possible. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup shows classic HTF liquidity grab → reaction → continuation: • Sell-side liquidity taken • Strong HTF demand respected • FVG acting as re-entry • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
Correction vs. Reversal: How Will the Market Choose?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Good morning. Last Friday, I warned of the possibility of a market pullback after a surge, and the market has now successfully delivered on our prediction. If you have paid close attention to my analysis and have not blindly followed the trend, then congratulations on successfully avoiding market risks Gold prices have now fallen below the daily MA5 and may see further pullback. The next key level to watch is the short-term support around 4430, which is last week's low. A small long position could be considered on the first touch of this level, with a key support level around 4400 (the daily MA10). If this level holds, gold prices are likely to rebound Therefore, our goal is clear, if the market continues to fall and retraces to around 4430-4420, we will take a small long position. If the decline continues to the daily MA10, we will consider adding to our position around 4410-4400. In short, we will only trade at key price levels, we will not consider trading in other areas
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xbcp6216
1
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + trend-channel continuation. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Price is respecting a well-defined ascending channel • Market structure remains higher highs & higher lows • EMAs: • EMA 50 above EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support • Recent consolidation near highs = absorption, not reversal ⸻ What Price Is Doing • After the impulsive rally, price paused at internal resistance • This pause is forming a controlled pullback • The projected path shows a dip into discount → continuation higher This is classic trend continuation behavior. ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Lower Blue Area) ~4,475 – 4,495 Strong confluence here: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 support (~4,498) • Rising channel support • Clear reaction point (green arrow) This is the high-probability long zone, not the current price. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the impulse low → recent high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Institutions typically rebalance longs here in an uptrend ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,475 – 4,495 • Stop Loss: Below demand & channel (~4,455) • Targets: • TP1: 4,535 (recent high) • TP2: 4,560 • Final TP: 4,575 – 4,580 (marked target / upper channel liquidity) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only execute if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from the zone • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,455 • Acceptance below channel support + EMA 50 If this occurs → bullish continuation idea is invalid, and price may rotate deeper. ⸻Mr smc Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • OTE + demand + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Key edge: wait for price to come discount and confirm buyers, don’t chase highs. Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using trend structure + SMC + Fibonacci OTE. ⸻ Market Context • Overall bias: Bullish • Price is respecting a rising channel • Market structure still shows higher highs & higher lows • Recent drop is a healthy pullback, not a trend reversal ⸻ Why Price Is Pulling Back • Price reacted near short-term resistance (0 level) • Profit-taking + liquidity sweep caused a retracement • Pullback is heading into a discount zone within an uptrend ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~4,465 – 4,480 This zone has strong confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 support • Rising trendline support • Clear reaction level (green arrow) This is where buyers are expected to defend the trend. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the recent impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 → shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook area for trend continuation entries ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,465 – 4,480 • Stop Loss: Below demand & trendline (~4,450) • Targets: • TP1: 4,500 (internal structure high) • TP2: 4,525 • Final TP: 4,551 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only enter if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-TF CHoCH • Failure to close below the demand zone • Momentum expansion after tapping the zone ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,450 • Acceptance below trendline + EMA 50 If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek the lower support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a high-probability bullish pullback: • Trend intact • Fib OTE + demand • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci + trend continuation. ⸻ Market Context • Overall bias: Bullish • Price is respecting an ascending trend structure • Higher highs & higher lows remain intact • Recent move down is a controlled pullback, not a reversal • EMA structure: • EMA 50 above EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support ⸻ Pullback Logic After the impulsive rally: • Price retraced into: • Trendline support • EMA 50 • Fib discount zone • This signals healthy consolidation before continuation ⸻ Key Demand Zone (Blue Area) ~4,455 – 4,465 Confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib 0.62 – 0.79 retracement • EMA 50 • Rising trendline support • Marked reaction (green arrow) → buyers stepping in This is the high-probability buy zone. ⸻ Fibonacci Insight Measured from the latest impulse low → high: • 0.5 → shallow reaction • 0.62 – 0.79 → optimal institutional rebalance zone (OTE) Price reacting here supports trend continuation ⸻ Trade Idea (Example Plan) Buy confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,455 – 4,465 • Stop Loss: Below demand & trendline (~4,440) • Targets: • TP1: 4,500 (range high) • TP2 / Final: 4,540 (marked target point) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Enter only if you see: • Bullish engulfing / strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Momentum expansion from the zone ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,440 • Clean break and acceptance below EMA 50 + trendline If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek the lower FVG/demand. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • EMA + Fib + demand confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
Gold – Buy near 4487, target 4530-4540Gold Market Analysis: Despite the Christmas holiday, the market was closed yesterday, and many countries are still on holiday today. However, gold prices didn't remain stable due to the holiday; instead, they entered a volatile, volatile trading pattern. Wednesday saw a surge followed by a sharp pullback, and I predict gold will continue to fluctuate today. Regardless of the volatility, the overall bullish trend remains unchanged, and the daily moving averages are still in a bullish position. The previous high-level doji was merely a sign of weakness at high levels, not a topping signal. Even if it were a topping signal, it would require time and space to form a top. Today, we'll focus on the minor support level of 4487, which is also a moving average support. Additionally, as long as 4470 holds, the Asian session is generally considered strong. These two levels present buying opportunities. Will gold reach new highs? Currently, it seems so, for several reasons: US inflation and the escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine both support buying opportunities in gold. Our strategy today is to look for buying opportunities first. Support levels are 4487 and 4470, with strong support at 4450 and resistance at 4530. The key level for determining market strength or weakness is 4470. Fundamental Analysis: These past few days have been a holiday, with few major data releases. However, the escalating US-Venezuela relations and the worsening Russia-Ukraine situation are providing short-term geopolitical support, significantly benefiting gold prices. Trading Recommendation: Gold – Buy near 4487, target 4530-4540.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FlyingTowardsWealth
Latest gold price trend analysis today!Market News: On Friday (December 26th), the precious metals market experienced a surge after the Asian trading session opened. Spot gold jumped over $60 intraday, reaching a new high of $4531, while London gold prices are currently around $4520 per ounce. Silver prices also surged at the open, hitting a new historical high. Driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors, geopolitical uncertainties, and structural demand, international gold prices are expected to reach new highs by the end of 2025! Once liquidity recovers after the holidays, gold still has the potential to start a new round of increases. Although high prices are putting pressure on jewelry demand, leading to a decline in consumption, investment demand for gold bars and coins remains relatively stable. This divergence between investment and consumption further highlights the structural shift in the global gold market. Technical Analysis: Gold maintains its upward trend and the buy-on-dips structure remains intact. Every day, different people try to predict the top? Ask about the top? The fact and the result is a continuous upward surge, constantly breaking historical highs—this is the only fact. Wednesday's daily chart closed with a small bearish doji, but this pattern is not a topping formation and is more likely seen as a continuation of the upward trend. Currently, the 10-day and 7-day moving averages on the daily chart continue their golden cross and upward opening, moving up to 4388/4420. The price continues to rise along the upper Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator is in overbought territory above 80. The shorter-term 4-hour and hourly charts also maintain a strong upward structure, with the moving average system showing a golden cross and upward opening, and the price remaining within the upper Bollinger Band. Intraday trading for gold should focus on buying on dips! Gold Trading Strategy: Buy gold at 4480-4485 (short-term), stop-loss at 4460, target 4530-4550; Sell gold at 4560-4565 (short-term), stop-loss at 4580, target 4500-4480; Key Levels: First Support: 4500, Second Support: 4483, Third Support: 4461 First Resistance: 4547, Second Resistance: 4570, Third Resistance: 4592
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FlyingTowardsWealth
XAU/USD ) Beriash trend analysis Read the captionSMC Trading point Update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + trend exhaustion logic. ⸻ Market Context • Strong impulsive bullish move into highs → signs of buy-side liquidity taken • Price is now stalling at resistance • Momentum is weakening after expansion → distribution phase ⸻ Key Area (Supply / Liquidity Zone) • Upper blue zone (~4490–4500) • Multiple rejections (red arrows) • Equal highs / liquidity pool • Classic SMC supply zone • Indicates smart money selling into late buyers ⸻ EMA Structure • EMA 50 far extended from price • Typical behavior after strong rallies: • Price returns to mean value • EMA acts as a magnet → correction likely ⸻ Bias Bearish retracement / reversal scenario This is not a trend change yet, but a high-probability corrective sell after liquidity grab. ⸻ Trade Idea (Example Plan) Sell from Supply • Entry: 4488 – 4500 (sell on rejection / confirmation) • Stop Loss: Above supply zone (~4510–4520) • Targets: • TP1: 4426 (EMA 50) • TP2: 4380–4365 (key support / demand zone) • Final target: ~4367 (marked target point) RR potential: 1:3 to 1:5 depending on entry ⸻ Best Confirmation Signals Wait for one of these at supply: • Bearish engulfing candle (1H or 15m) • Long upper wicks (failed breakout) • Lower-timeframe CHoCH / BOS • Decreasing bullish volume ⸻ Invalidation • Clean 1H close above 4500 • Acceptance above supply zone • Strong continuation with no rejection If that happens → bearish idea is invalid. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading Point Summary This setup is: • Liquidity grab at highs • Supply + overextension • Mean reversion toward EMA & demand Patience matters — wait for confirmation, don’t chase. If you want, I can: • Break this down into a 15m or 5m execution model • Or help you define partial profit & trailing logic Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
13