Goldminers
SA Seabridge Gold: 93.3% Score - And Why I'm Watching CloselyIs this the World's Largest Undeveloped Gold Project?
Gold has been on a tear in 2025, and for good reason. Rate cuts on the horizon, central banks accumulating, geopolitical uncertainty everywhere. In this environment, I have been scanning for gold equities that combine technical strength with real assets. Seabridge Gold NYSE:SA emerged with a 93.3% score on my system, one of the highest I have seen in the precious metals sector this year. Here is what I found when I looked under the hood.
So Why This Stock Caught My Attention
I evaluate over 15 technical conditions with intelligent weighting, and NYSE:SA passed nearly every checkmark. The setup shows Perfect Order moving average alignment, with price trading comfortably above all key averages. The 3-month gain stands at 67.33%, more than double my 30% threshold, while relative strength versus SPY registers at 62.36%. Against its own sector, SA leads by 64.22%.
The price structure confirms a healthy uptrend with 5 higher highs and 5 higher lows over the last 10 days, weekly timeframe aligned, and the stock sitting just 5.85% below all-time highs. Momentum indicators across the board confirm bullish conditions. Most importantly, the risk warning section shows all clear: no distribution detected, no warning signals, no chasing situation.
The only weakness is the Tightening score at 39 out of 100, suggesting the consolidation needs a few more days to compress before the ideal breakout emerges.
The Company Behind the Score
Seabridge Gold is not your typical gold miner. They do not operate mines. Instead, they acquire, explore, and advance world-class deposits, then partner with major mining companies to develop them. This asset-light model means lower operational risk and massive leverage to rising metal prices.
Their flagship is the KSM project in British Columbia's Golden Triangle, and the numbers are staggering: 47.3 million ounces of gold and 7.3 billion pounds of copper in reserves. This makes KSM the world's largest undeveloped gold project and the third-largest undeveloped copper resource. The 2022 Pre-Feasibility Study outlines a 33-year mine life with all-in sustaining costs of just $601 per ounce, compared to the industry average of roughly $1,500. That cost advantage comes from copper byproduct credits and access to BC Hydro's clean, cheap hydroelectric power, giving KSM one of the lowest carbon footprints of any large-scale mining project globally and I like Green companies a lot.
What separates Seabridge from other developers is execution. They spent over $1 billion and 20 years advancing KSM through exploration, economic studies, and permitting. In July 2024, they secured "Substantially Started" status from the BC government, locking in environmental permits for the life of the project. Most competitors are still fighting permitting battles. Seabridge already won that war.
Beyond KSM, the portfolio includes Courageous Lake in the Northwest Territories with 11 million ounces of indicated gold, and the Iskut project just 20 kilometers from KSM, which management believes could become "another KSM" based on recent drilling results at Snip North. A maiden copper-gold resource at Iskut is expected by early 2026.
The Catalyst That Could Change Everything
CEO Rudi Fronk announced on November 12 that Seabridge is now in direct negotiations with a preferred JV partner after three finalists completed site visits. A deal could come before year-end. This is the moment the company has been building toward for 25 years.
The JV structure makes sense for everyone. Seabridge lacks the $5-6 billion needed to build KSM alone, but they hold 100% of a permitted, de-risked, world-class asset. Major miners have the balance sheets but struggle to find quality projects at this scale. The expected deal structure involves a phased earn-in, allowing Seabridge shareholders to retain meaningful exposure while a larger partner funds development.
B. Riley Securities raised their price target from $50 to $65 on December 2, citing rising gold and copper prices and the imminent JV catalyst. Stonegate Capital values the company between CA$42 and CA$67 per share. Current price: around $29.
My Take
SA checks nearly every box on my system. Perfect Order alignment, exceptional relative strength, clean risk profile, proximity to highs, and a fundamental story that could drive significant re-rating. The macro environment supports gold, the company sits on irreplaceable assets, and a transformational catalyst is weeks away.
I am watching for a decisive break above $29.31 with volume confirmation. If the consolidation tightens further and gold holds its strength, this setup could deliver. The 10 EMA will serve as my trailing stop reference.
Bottom Line
SA has the technical setup, the fundamental story, and the timing. I hope it follows the path of NASDAQ:GLUE which has gained nearly 50% since I first highlighted it.
Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal research and trading approach. It is not financial advice. I may hold or initiate a position in SA. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions
GDX: two alternative scenarios for the coming weeks. Tracking two alternative scenarios for the coming weeks.
But as long as price remains below the November highs, the preferred expectation is for one more leg down to re-test the November lows, and ideally a deeper move toward the 64 support zone.
If price manages to break out above the November highs, I would still prefer to see additional consolidation and a proper handle formation to complete the base before considering the move a more sustainable breakout.
Chart:
HUI/GLD showing weekly exhaustionUnderstandable given the Euphoria in the Precious metals markets the past two weeks.
Is the Bull Run completely over?
I don't think so.
#Silver has yet to Hit $95
and is merely testing it's own breakout level of its historical all time high's.
As this ratio is indicating the past few weeks it appears it wants to come back into previous resistance zones and also reset the RSI to around 50, so still in a bull market.
Would be a welcome correction.
GDX - Gold Miners ETF: Inverse Head & shouldersGold prices have surged to unprecedented levels in light of recent trade policy changes. The announcement by US President Donald Trump regarding a new 25% tariff on essential imports such as cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals has created a wave of uncertainty among investors. This risk-off sentiment has driven many to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold.
Nevertheless, this upward momentum may encounter challenges if a trade agreement with China comes to fruition. A successful deal could alleviate global trade tensions, leading to a decrease in gold demand and possibly resulting in selling pressure.
However sustained high bullion prices could prove to be a significant advantage for gold miners. The GDX ETF is showing a persistent inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential for further gains.
#JX - Bull Market about to resume, massive inv Head & Shoulders.The Canadian venture index
After completing one Inverse Head and Shoulders that made target and overshot into expected resistance.
Has now setup a massive larger inverse head and shoulders that projects to previous all time high's last seen nearly 20 years ago.
The venture index is full of junior miners and commodity companies that have a letter .v Suffix
Once it has done retracing I expect it to attack the neckline for the Big pattern breakout.
Canadian Venture index --- Inverse head & shouldersGold has reached unprecedented heights, approaching the $3000 mark—a prediction we made with precision. Now is the moment to turn our attention to silver and the mining sector.
To start, let's examine the Canadian venture index, which is displaying a promising inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am confident that the logarithmic projection will be achieved without much difficulty.
Gold Holds Near Record Highs📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD (XAU/USD) continues to consolidate near its all-time high, with price currently trading around $3,863 after retreating slightly from the peak. The chart shows a clear bullish channel, with immediate Support Zone at $3,840–$3,847 and a Resistance Zone at $3,900–$3,905. Any corrective dips into the support area are likely to attract fresh buying, keeping the upside bias intact.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,847 (near support retest)
Stop Loss: $3,836 (below channel and support zone)
Take Profit: $3,905
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 5.13
🏦 Macro Background
Gold’s bullish momentum is underpinned by three key themes:
US Government Shutdown Risk – A Republican spending bill failed in the Senate, increasing the likelihood of a partial shutdown, which supports safe-haven demand.
Dovish Fed Expectations – Markets are pricing in a 95% chance of a rate cut in October and a 75% chance of another in December, keeping USD under pressure.
Geopolitical Risks – Rising tensions over US missile supplies to Ukraine and Middle East instability continue to drive safe-haven flows into bullion.
Together, these fundamentals reinforce gold’s upside bias, making dips attractive for buyers.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,900 – $3,905
Support Zone: $3,840 – $3,847
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a bullish consolidation phase near record highs, with the path of least resistance to the upside. A retest of the $3,840–$3,847 support zone may provide a solid long opportunity targeting $3,900+. Fundamentals continue to support safe-haven demand and weaken USD, keeping gold well-bid.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold enters the overbought zone, you can short it on ralliesWhy is gold so strong? Ultimately, it's driven by multiple factors: the Federal Reserve entering a cycle of rate cuts, financial and trade factors, and war. However, this doesn't mean gold won't need a short-term correction! Large cycles provide directional guidance, while smaller cycles determine the rhythm.
Yesterday, the gold market completed its final formation for September. After a strong, volatile rally at the beginning of the month, it broke through multiple round numbers, reaching a record high of 3872 in late trading before consolidating. The monthly line finally closed at 3858, forming a large, saturated bullish candlestick with a slight shadow. This monthly gain of over $400 is primarily due to the Federal Reserve's initiation of a new round of rate cuts against the backdrop of poor US data, which heightened market risk aversion, and the intensified conflict in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine. This strong upward trend has led to a strong upward trend. While this large bullish candlestick has the technical potential to continue its upward trend, a rapid short-term rise can also lead to a technical divergence. If the market continues to rise without adjustment and encounters resistance, it can easily lead to profit-taking.
As mentioned before, the increase this time has exceeded 500 US dollars, which has entered our risk zone. Technically, it has deviated from the pattern and entered the overbought zone. Most people in the market are bullish now, but I think the benefits of chasing the rise now are greater than the risks, and there are still opportunities to make profits by shorting gold. So today we are still considering shorting gold on rallies.
Resistance: 3872, 3893
Support: 3843, 3812
If you don't have a detailed trading plan for gold, follow my updates. I'll update my strategies and ideas daily for your reference, helping you avoid detours on your trading journey.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (15m timeframe) chart analysis:
---
Bullish Gold Setup
Chart Pattern: Price broke out of a triangle consolidation after retesting the order block (OB, yellow zone). This signals accumulation before continuation.
Order Block (OB): The zone around 3,836 – 3,840 acted as a strong demand area. Price respected it and bounced back.
EMA Support:
50 EMA (red) is sitting just above the OB, providing short-term support.
200 EMA (blue) is trending upward, confirming underlying bullish bias.
Projection: The breakout is expected to expand higher toward the measured move target.
---
Target Point
3,883.44 is the projected upside target.
This aligns with the breakout projection and prior liquidity grab zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trading Idea
Bias: Bullish.
Entry Zone: Pullback toward 3,836 – 3,840 OB for confirmation.
Target: 3,883.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,816 (200 EMA) would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest deeper retracement.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) 30-min chart you shared:
---
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Setup (M30 Chart)
Market Structure:
Price is moving inside a bullish ascending channel.
Current retracement is pulling back toward a fair value gap (FVG, H4) highlighted in yellow.
Price is still holding above the 50 EMA (3806.16) and 200 EMA (3766.40), both sloping upward → confirming bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Demand / FVG H4): 3810 – 3820 region (yellow box).
EMA 50: Acting as dynamic short-term support around 3806.
EMA 200: Stronger bullish base at 3766.
Target Point: 3857.19 (resistance zone & top of channel).
Price Expectation:
Likely scenario:
Price may retrace into the FVG support zone → bounce upward → continue inside the channel toward the target point 3857.
As long as the structure holds above 3806 (EMA 50), the bullish setup remains valid.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Bias: Bullish
Target: 3857.19 Key Support: 3810 – 3820 zone (FVG + EMA confluence)
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
The trend has not changed, bulls are still the main themeGold experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with both bulls and bears having a very volatile day. Gold has rebounded to around 3855 and then fell into high-level fluctuations. There is no good entry point in the current trend, so waiting and watching for the time being is a good decision. If gold in the US market continues to rise to around 3870 and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will participate in shorting gold moderately based on market conditions. If gold first falls back to around the intraday starting point of 3825, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold.
First, Trump’s new round of tariffs will take effect tomorrow, October 1st. Second, the risk of the US government shutdown has not been eliminated, and short-term risk aversion still lingers in the market. At the same time, the gold price is still above the MA10 moving average, and the short-term bullish structure has not been destroyed. Therefore, for intraday trading, I still tend to focus on long positions and short positions as a supplement.
TRIPLE BOTTOM: COEUR MINING #CDEThe Triple Bottom Pattern is a bullish reversal chart formation defined by three separate troughs occurring at approximately the same price point, succeeding an extended downtrend.
This pattern indicates a possible shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, generally suggesting a robust support level from which the asset's price could increase.
How to Recognize the Triple Bottom Pattern on a Chart:
Prior Downtrend: Prior to the emergence of the triple bottom, there must be a clear downtrend in the asset’s price. This establishes the framework for the reversal pattern.
Three Troughs: Identify three separate price troughs or lows. These troughs should be approximately at the same price level, with slight variations.
Volume Consideration: Typically, volume decreases during the formation of the troughs and rises during the price increase between them. A notable increase in volume during the breakout (when the price surpasses resistance) enhances the pattern’s credibility.
Separation Between Troughs: Each trough ought to be spaced apart by a duration of time with a moderate price increase in between. This price increase often halts at a similar resistance level, creating the apex of the pattern.
Breakout: The validation of the pattern occurs with a breakout above the resistance level established at the peaks between the troughs. The breakout indicates a potential reversal of the preceding downtrend.
Powerful Reversal Indicator: The Triple Bottom Pattern is highly regarded by traders as it signifies a robust shift in market sentiment. Following a prolonged downtrend, the formation of three successive troughs at approximately the same price point demonstrates a significant support level.
This support area is where buyers regularly step into the market or where the selling pressure begins to diminish. The mere occurrence of the price testing this level three times without breaking through indicates a decline in bearish momentum.
Duration: The pattern may develop over a span of several weeks to several months. Extended formations typically yield more substantial reversals.
Predictive Power: Once the Triple Bottom is validated—usually through a breakout above the resistance level—it can give traders a target price, presenting a quantifiable method for potential profit. By calculating the distance from the resistance level (established at the peaks between troughs) to the bottom of the pattern, and subsequently projecting that same distance upwards after the breakout, traders can establish price targets and modify their trading strategy as needed.






















