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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3593 and a gap below at 3562. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3593 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3593 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3613 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3613 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3638 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3638 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3658 BEARISH TARGETS 3562 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3562 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3528 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3528 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3492 3470 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3470 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3438 3408 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, This is still a follow up update on our 4chart idea which is still valid and in play with the final gap still in range. Previously we had our Bullish target 3424 and finished off with ema5 cross and lock above this level opening 3499. This gap was filled last week just like we analysed followed with another cross and lock above 3499 opening 3561, which was also hit. We now finished off last week with a cross and lock above 3561 leaving 3615 open. Failure to test this final target will see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3424 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3499 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2615 - BEARISH TARGETS 3347 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3277 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3234 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2996 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update Range Break, Gap Confirmation & Next Target Achieved As anticipated in our previous update, price finally pushed through for a test of 3433, confirming the strength of the upside momentum we discussed. This test produced a candle body close gap open for 3564, which has now been successfully achieved just as projected. The close above 3564 further unlocks 3683 as the next long-term upside target. An EMA5 lock will serve as added confirmation for continuation toward this zone. Meanwhile, both 3564 and 3433 now transition into key support levels for this chart idea. Current Outlook 🔹 3564 Target Reached Our gap target has now been completed with a decisive candle body close above. This confirms bullish continuation and shifts focus to the next zone. 🔹 Next Objective – 3683 The successful 3564 break opens a fresh long-term target at 3683. EMA5 lock confirmation will strengthen the case for this move. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3272 (pivotal floor) 📉 Short Term Supports – 3433 & 3564 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3683 Thanks as always for your continued support, Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
CBDCs, Cryptocurrency, & the coming Redenomination RevolutionDisclaimer: this is not financial advice - this is strictly speculation and scenario planning, and totally not drawn on privileged information from powerful people. Please consume responsibly. Let's set aside memecoins, rugpulls, and corpo coin acquisitions to focus on what actually matters: macro. I'm married to the money, so I follow macro wherever it goes. And it's going into CBDCs and cryptocurrency. You could say it started in the past 12 mos with the GENIUS bill, tariffs, BRICS' concept coins, etc but the truth is more devious than that. The macro perspective is much more than the flow of money, its the sentiment and interest of policy makers, national actors, and IGOs. In other words, groups that make money through passive taxation create macro conditions to control or create outcomes that influence how you make or spend money. They are interested in strategic payoff over cashing out. This means the way they look at crypto is different than retail and investors. As groups, you seek legitimacy for a profit payoff, they seek strategy for a power payoff. Fiat currency is not some platonic ideal willed into being by the laws of nature, it's entirely an instrument of the national interest. In other words, it exists only so long as policymakers find it strategically useful. So let's look at their strategy. For almost three years now, your world leaders and central bankers have been preparing for a reserve currency transition scenario. They've made sudden pivots to programmable currency R&D, they've been hoarding gold into CBs and taking extra steps to keep it quiet, they've been making strange comments about fantastical banking crisis scenarios, adjusting payment options for hydrocarbons (the USD is an international soft-peg), signaling the desired end of the dollar reserve (or oddly making protecting the dollar reserve part of their political platform), and building cross-border systems (BRICBridge/mBridge) to facilitate non-SWIFT or SWIFT legacy exchange/insurance/settlement capabilities. Certain essential economic entities in the West have been prepped as well but are not yet in position to disclose. Meanwhile, Ray Dalio is already identifying our monetary order as the primary vulnerability. He's not the only old rich person to notice. Buffet is done with markets by EOY. You could say that value investing is retiring. Contrary to popular opinion, this reserve currency transition will not take place as an Orwellian CBDC takeover or some BTC moon shot, but will instead be pitched as a redenomination opportunity - likely while GSIC banks are closed to customers (including ATM withdrawals and transfers and social payments or welfare services). Before I get into the why this will happen, let's briefly look at the fragility of the modern monetary system under fiat. If you think of the economic macrosystem as a living body, then you can understand, especially from recent memory, how a global infection could quickly bring just about everything to a halt. The lifeforce of the economic-being is the free-flow of USD. Powell has sufficiently proven this. In fact, you could almost argue the last 5 years have been the perfect demonstration of this gameplay loop. But you can't mistake the heart for the entire circulatory system. Liquidity is a digital dependency today. If the power goes out, there is no liquidity. If Window's crashes, there is no liquidity. If Crowdstrike gets hacked, liquidity is grounded (and air travel canceled). Liquidity is a luxury. It has been a luxury for all of human history. Only in times of conventional peace and American-led globalization have people begun to delude themselves otherwise. It will not work they way most think in tough times. Especially in our just-in-time widget meets server-based-bookkeeping era. The boardgame of money has never been flatter or more fragile. In an age of infinite KYC and a Bigger Brother, a major ATM corralito will not look like your Great-Grandfather's breadlines. Accounts will be electronically frozen (thus no withdrawals or personal payments) and social payments will be halted for several days or even up to several weeks (thus no welfare). Due to incredible complexity risk, capital controls will be applied like circuit breakers to shut everything down. This is how it will be done in major countries and how it has been done in small countries in recent years. M1 M2 M3 will be iced by natsec nitwits and placed under conservatorship. They will give you any and every excuse. Power outages, Russians, 4chan hackers, Iran, North Korea, Powell, Biden, a virus, weather, a disaster, Chyna, anything. They might even blame me. To be truly forward in global macro, having an understanding of financial securities is not enough. National securities are a necessary intersect. If the NYSE went down unexpectedly for a few days, it would in effect generate a "stroke" for the velocity of the USD. Only one link in the financial accounting chain needs to be halted to warrant shutting down the entire electronic transaction system. There is no fractal redundancy, so to speak - everything is connected and dependent on that largely centralized and live bookkeeping data feed, otherwise the whole body gets hospitalized. This is the great weakness of centralized finance and merchant services and I'm sure I'm preaching to the choir here. Only M0, select banking accounts (some community/credit & a chosen GSIC or two - IE, not Deutsch Bank), and alternative banking through cryptocurrency, will operate in that short window until your country's cartel sets a withdrawal rationing figure and initiates redemption options for the redenomination process. This process would likely involve the favorite GSIC (in the US) JP Morgan & the Post Office - giving national coverage to all area codes. You would convert your fiat, likely in cash and at a flat rate exchange that would be difficult for the layman to valuate, and receive the new notes. It could take several days to over a week before the rationing window is brought online. And even longer for the redemption system to be in place to convert federal notes to treasury notes (TL: CBDCs). These treasury notes will be backed by national assets - varying by nation, but always playing to their strengths. In the US, this means energy commodities, PMs, and the strategic crypto reserve and associated coins that service cross-border activity. The latter is the big money play, and has specifically been legalized through GENIUS to facilitate the merchant/business level transition when that occurs (the business-level redemption process will be aided by current crypto capability - which we will get in the DD section). I don't know if this board cares about PMs, but as a general standard, most nations that go through redenomination (a figure in the 100s) will opt to double or triple PM reserves (current standard is 20%), and will be interested in cross-border cryptocurrency (mBridge and/or crypto for BRICs, most of the G88, and potentially Eurozone). The reserve currency system under the US will come to an end at this point without any legal moves necessary to close the Federal Reserve. Initially, this will seem like a huge problem for the US alone. In reality, the opposite will be true. If you're a shoemaker in that pitiful collection of tourist destinations we call the EU, this is especially for you - because the fight over a national versus a continental currency solution could paralyze you all further. To wit, for the US and the world: it will likely mean the end of the housing market as a game of musical chairs, which will be the end of the global monetary system under its current paradigm for all major nations. Now I'm not trying to create fear and panic, even though that's the main thing this website does. No one will starve or get sent to the streets during a cash crash in a developed country in the contemporary era. The situation will start as a misunderstood market event. But there will be a Bretton-Woods tier recalibration at a national (likely international) level to follow shortly after. The "forum building" stage of this event has already begun. Tariffs are revealed to be part of broad but messy geopolitical strategy, the escalation of which will engage the monetary system itself (goods>ports>share listings>national bonds). You will see that sequence begin to play out in the months to come, especially after the Rio Reset dud and the Swiss paper metal tariff. Trump's "deals" with certain countries keep getting delayed or reneged. He will continue his holding pattern on this matter, switching between punitive and TACO to extend the tariff negotiation horizons. 1.Global Blocks The CCP are positioning to replace their dependency on the US-led Rules Based Order. When foreign policy suits and grey moustaches say 'RBO X' or 'US superpower Y', they mean reserve currency and maritime system dominance. It all comes down to coins and boats, as it always has. For our purposes, only the former is of interest (but buy all your high end electronics soon, because further tariff escalation will draw in shipping and port strategies - even if we freed up Panama beforehand). This isn't the right board for the investor note from hell, but all indications are a go for a reserve currency challenger framework to be officially announced Q4 or H1 of 2026. Most ongoing projects intend to connect commodities to currencies. This is necessary to build an alternative SDR. Certain nations and entities in the ME will be likely facilitators and front men for this framework (particularly to ease or lobby the G88). This is battlelines over bucks. Your favorite loose lips sink ships guy already came out rambling about it when he posted out of the blue about BRICs challenging the USD. I hope you all understand by now that when it wasn't a topic on Fox and Friends, then it's because he repeats what he is told in private. When China introduces a settlement CBDC (with Russian, various Eurasians + some MENA, and potentially Brazilian support), their international accounting will require reserves to be interchangeable with other CBDCs. These reserves will be similar to the Special Drawing Rights, but include commodities (particularly those favorable to the majority of partners; aka what they produce or already hold). This means more gold and possibly silver, to start (imagine going from 20% standard gold reserve holdings to 40/60 + 10 in silver). Later platinum, lithium, uranium, and other frontier tech minerals which will be increasingly valuable and likely included. Regardless, this transition will push Chinese investors (retail and institution) out of UST (even if the tariff threat has ended). It's not a reserve for them any more, it may even be illegal to hold UST over a certain amount. That could happen overnight. The inevitability of this sequence shouldn't be underestimated. Many of the big holders of US bonds, aka those with a stake in the ticker we call USD, are not friendly at best. Others are always looking for ways to hedge their risk. This is not the free-market as you understand it. It's being Eli Lilly but your biggest stakeholder is RFK Jr. You know that's not gonna last, right? For Europe, the reactive risk is closely related to disaster or conflict risk. Tariffs might be enough too. I'm leaning towards Germany or the UK accelerating the contagion for the broader continent. German manufacturing and energy are critically vulnerable. German PMI has been in effective contraction for 27 of the last 30 some months, and last year saw a record-breaking number of bankruptcies in the country. Both UK or Germany would handle an economic downturn poorly due to rising populist movements jumping on alternatives ( = national bond credit risk = currency vulnerability). The possibility of a second Brexit event following a commanding populist return is not priced in. Likewise, another pandemic or an expansion of Russia's war would lead to a tap out of EU economic unity. Annoyingly, the French and Germans are unlikely to search for an economic relief package of a conventional nature or one that is associated with American interests. In other words, they will be working with ME and Asia if the EU does not guarantee European continental harmony on a new Bretton-Woods framework (which I don't think they will). Japan also falls into the reactive risk category. The question is the cause package. They have no cushion and all it takes is a little shove. Yes they has a high savings rate, but purchasing power and their import dependencies (high-pop island country) negates any security they think that will provide. It's unlikely 3rd world exporters will keep the basic necessities flowing (think in terms of virtual water exports) for the next GFC or summer famine/disaster. 3rd world imports and access to cheap food underpins much of the shadow economy for Asia (see local news over rice cost) - so consumption would crash along with rising unemployment (uncaptured but real) - and the BOJ has no room to stop unemployment without sacrificing their national corporate champions (RIP Buffett) (and thus more unemployment in their zero-entrepreneurial environment). All of this is a pretzeled way of saying that conventional economic shocks could trigger the cash crash, or vice versa. Unconventional risk - like MENA cyberwar risks (who knows what blowback we might face after Iran), or even geophysical concerns like another "1000 year event" (happening every month now) but this time in a major financial area like Tokyo or SF (do you buy or sell disaster bonds in that scenario?). Suffice to say, the unconventional supporting fuel will be there. No one ever signals the big deflationary event to the greater public. But rest assured my fellow stallions, the leading signal flares for the USD are the health of the CNY, JPY & EUR. The rest is just conversation. As mentioned, the ensuing crash will be salvageable at a policy level, and thus not an inevitable depression, but only after the Bretton-Woods process comes to surface and settles, which could take most of 2026/27. This will be your golden crypto opportunity. 2.Opportunity DD Unlike the last global financial crisis, cryptocurrencies and blockchain tech are now an available solution for short term cash access and long term platform use. They are already a wedge in the US economy. People will vote with their wallets to protect their purchasing power by moving into liquidity (cryptocurrencies). Thus the demand for respective nations/regions to produce their own national digital currency to offset will rise. This isn't to say that physical coins (especially silver) won't be in a state of colossal demand (silver at 180 by 2029). But because most consumer and business transactions, debts, liabilities, taxes, etc still happen by digital bookkeeping, then cryptocurrencies (stablecoins in particular) will take priority until a national/international alternative is released. Which will come very quickly - likely by late summer of 2026. Crypto will remain bid as a trust arbitrage trade afterwards. I am providing this ahead of time, because a gradual buy in is the safest and most reasonable way to leave a mark on the market. TO OWN (in the interests of crypto): 1.PMs - physical ideally or by exposure to miners and mining ETFs. I have an 8,000$ price target for gold by 2029 (in 2025 dollars). I have 180$ price target for silver by 2029 (in 2025 dollars). Platinum = higher. I could go on and on about PMs. Decades ago I had a simple question: do prime mines sell gold and aggregates to government customers without reporting it? To answer that question, I am happy to report that I am still alive today. If you don't believe in internet magic money or virtual math money is too complicated, this asset is your first stop. It's a Golden Age. Take the hint. See KGC, GLD, GOLD & GDX. 2.Commodities - Lithium. Copper. Aggregates. Historically a great way to make money if you like buying Russian billionaires their yachts, creating nightmare company towns in central Africa, or funding "mining" companies that are fronts for the military industrial complex (MLM & MP = strong buy). 3.JVs - sophisticated only (which is a legal definition, not an aspiration). Not RE though (even utility related). All those watch-collecting power plant andy's on CNBC will make some money, but not as much as they think. 4.C-Word - WSB has the F-Word, Trump has the N-Word, and we have the C-Word. Again I'm preaching to the choir here, but it needs to be said anyway. As mentioned in the next section, there will be a valuation wild west period in which the shelf-stable stablecoins, other coins, and blockchain platforms will be used by developing countries and rich countries alike to fill in interoperability gaps and as a natural solution based on cost, availability, and immediacy for retail and small business needs. Only the most totalitarian countries, see Europe and China, will gatekeep over this. I strongly suggest buying and holding any digital currency currently settling it's legal hearings in the Southern District of New York. Or any digital coin holding company recently sued by the SEC (the Big Long will be the movie this time). And any that are based in the US via a foundation or corporation (IE, not BTC, which is owned and created by a British national), or start with letter X. Because {X} marks the spot, that's the DD. It is not a coincidence or accident the very first crypto Trump mentioned for the national crypto reserve was XRP - a coin he likely had never even heard off until hours before making that tweet. There was no BTC or ETH mentioned until spaces like this hurt themselves in confusion. Why? Because BTC was created by a British national who also owns a commanding share. ETH does not have the business or banking relationships or the payment efficiency edge - and again, founder residency (Russian/Canadian) and controlling organization (Swiss) are foreign. The XRP Ledger is strategically useful and the leading contender for cross-border activity. Cardano is of interest (and in relationship) to banks and governments around the world for tokenizing assets under the redenomination era. Virtually every traditional financial asset will be tokenized for legal, tax, and accounting purposes. That includes home and car ownership. Solana is a further potential where speed and cost matter most. Finally, though unmentioned by the tweet, XLM already has a CBDC use-case track record and should be considered as well. What else do XRP, ADA, SOL, and XLM have in common? American founders, with USA-based organizations. This isn't about jingoism, this is about strategy. You need to leave the history, anonymity, and grassroots community aspect behind for now. I agree that those attributes made crypto special in earlier eras, but it doesn't mean it will make you money in the redenomination era. It does not matter if your favorite Goonercoin has a better white paper or more airdrops. What matters is which coins are all-in on their chosen nations, and their efforts to generate relationships with banks, businesses, and governments associated with that respective nation. That is all that matters. You can rinse and repeat with your own countries, but I would focus on these aforementioned first, and then exchange to your local equivalent later. TO NOT OWN: 1.RE - will take the world's biggest beating when the EUR, USD, CNH, and JPY lose 30-40% of their value. The Reserve Recession event will be particularly painful for the elderly (pension+property) - thus adding to the pressure for CBDC solutions as a retirement welfare solution. In sum, the 30 year lending architecture will no longer exist. Many pensions will convert to digital currency systems. I wonder if that 401(k) inclusion recently has anything to do with this? 2.Sectors: all sectors except healthcare and industrials. Be wary of consumer staples and utilities, especially if you want to derisk your poorfolio from geopolitics. 3.Cash Accounts: don't be that guy who keeps 25k in his savings account. If you don't have a credit card, that's fine, but for everyone else, that money needs to be in physical assets, or intelligently invested. Remember, you aren't trading market volatility, you're hedging against monetary-systemic risk. 4.Other Currencies tied to the old monetary system - especially NIRPers. You could long the AUD/JPY, for instance, but don't own either via futures or ETFs (IE: FXE, FXY, etc - not even as a short). 5.Inflated Assets: in general, anything boosted by cost of money engineering (the modern monetary system function) will deflate. Lots of discretionary goods, luxury, travel, etc (Veblen goods). Investor Note: Do not expect cash to disappear. Those that engage in these cash crash predictions tend to be conspiratorial or hold prepper-mindsets. Those fear biases rarely align with reality. Besides a short ATM shock, cash will exist as usual during and alongside any monetary system transition, it will simply be a losing hedge. Ease of use redemption options at post offices and big banks will not be the only incentive for most people. Businesses and merchants will lead the way. As of this July, stablecoins are effectively legal in the US, when backed by the amorphously defined US Dollar (who's definition could change overnight with the right EO). This was a key green light to industry, giving them the option to navigate outside the conventional monetary architecture if need be - effectively defanging many potential capital controls for businesses. During the transition, businesses will quickly opt for the decentralized and reliable digital alternatives due to accountability, transparency, and availability - many options already exist to serve enterprises (unlike 07-08 monetary challenge), so this "free market" movement won't be entirely retail or consumer led. As mentioned before, don't be surprised if there is a prepared and proactive solution from the GSICs this time (unlike 08, which was reactive). 3.Outsider Information, Bessent, and the Golden Age: To summarize, crypto on the 'TO OWN' list will platform and support the CBDCs to come. Those free-market coins will present massive investment opportunities for several years to come. Eventually, you can and many of you will likely have to convert them to the digital winners of tomorrow, which will all be CBDCs. And yes, the US will eventually have a state-backed digital currency under the treasury via the redenomination process. It won't be called a CBDC because it won't be backed by a central bank, but a consortium of banks under the US Treasury, who's reserves will be required (gold) at far higher ratios than many CBs (2-3x current), but still held at the US Treasury. Will it be a golden dollar to serve the so-called Golden Age? Before he became president, Trump had a long record of statements and publicized deals that supported gold as an investment, in settlement, and as a part of a monetary system. If investors studied his ramblings the same way they study Powell's statements, they would see this. Either way, there will be an American CBDC at minimum, even if it's wrapped in golden foil and comes with QR codes on red hats. The Secretary of Fake Teeth knows this, and he and his foreign country comparables have planned for it. With all due respect to him, he was part of an all-star team of FX traders, the best of the best. They understand what makes or breaks nations from a currency standpoint and they have a track record of macro mania to prove it. He was the analytics mastermind behind Black Wednesday (NOT Druckenmiller or Soros). He's literally the currency guy (though gold was almost always his biggest position), and now in command of the top currency and the entire mirage of the modern monetary infrastructure as soon as Powell is out. He's the one who pitched the idea of a shadow Fed Chair. I don't know if he'll get that, but I do know he will get the next best thing: being remembered as the trader that successfully margin called the Federal Reserve. That's why he was chosen, he's going to oversee the biggest currency revolution in modern history. Simply put, over 88% of global GDP will be functional within a CBDC currency architecture according to the Atlantic Council's CBDC tracker, BIS industry research, and my own review - likely by the Q2 2026. That's a lot of imminent coverage for a reserve currency system replacement that wouldn't be needed for 20-40 years, according to modern economists (TL: wagies). Is it possible the people who facilitate cross-border cash flows in the billions know something consumers don't about the near-future status of our dollar reserve system? Or a matter of curiosity that a tracker like this is hosted on the preeminent US/EU think tank? Instead of, for instance, ronpaulgold.com-? The transition between the known reserve and liquidity system (USD dominance) to the upcoming digital cash systems of many qualities and styles (programmable currency playground) will constitute the largest global valuation crisis window ever. Even if, at first, only the M3 or M2 is replaced or two-tracked (in the USA). Even if they use some kind of national AI to help balance the exchange markets and oversee a new lending and credit model (spoiler: that's coming). Maybe it will be great in your country, maybe not. Ultimately, it's not a depression or a problem, not if you're prepared for it. That's my recommendation - to be prepared for an unexpected currency swap on a national or international scale unlike anything crapitalism has ever seen before. Upside to any downside: you make enough money and its hard to be depressed. Yes, there will be inflation, and everything will appear to fall (rise for room temp IQs) as the fiat cost of money paradigm goes offline and confusion around the redemption under redenomination structure is common for general consumers. But in purchasing power, certain commodities and cryptos will crab market instead of play dead for great vol plays, and in some cases, represent the last great financial investment opportunities. They are on the functionality shelf that some solution-makers will draw from, so rumor over their potential incorporation will drive tremendous spikes that will mint more millionaires from the lower classes than any other time in history. Some of you reading this will be in that cohort, I guarantee it. There is much more to be said about CBDCs, credit systems & lending, taxation changes, debt forgiveness, UBI/prebates, SWFs, and such - as all will fold into a new paradigm under programmable currency. It warrants another giant reddit thread that few will read, but you should have the right to know what neo-feudalists are planning with your money systems. From the Vineyard to the Hamptons to Jupiter Island, the dumb rich has become the dumb majority. Many of them will find out just how dumb the hard way. Wouldn't it be nice to know ahead of time? To not be caught off guard for once? The cypherpunks designed crypto for a scenario like this. It's the failsafe for when fiat inevitably fails. You may very well be able to hold most of your liquid wealth in cryptocurrencies over CBDCs. Maybe it depends on the year of adoption, or maybe your countries policies. But doing nothing is the only bad option, and its the choice most will make. Why take the flat risk of a programmable purgatory of software patches, invasive KYC, geofenced value, and conditionalized capital controls? Some of these CBDC solutions will not be sound, depending on your country. It's entirely possible they all lean authoritarian in implementation or inefficient and deflationary in practice. Don't comply without question. Thinking is still free. I'll give the same advice I'd give anyone in any era in any place on Earth: sound money = sound mind. I started retail trading before most of you were born, back when Metatrader was an advanced piece of software and worked with an IP from the isle of Dominica. I understand the appeal. Doing your own research, "working" your own hours, drawing an income from anywhere in the world. Of only being responsible for your own wins or your own loses. You had the choice between life as a broke serf or a broke merchant, and you chose the latter. Historically speaking, some of you made a smart bet. Lifelong wagies will never know what a privilege this has been. Win or lose, you took your own risks - you set fear aside to try your hand at making a fortune. There's a big trillion dollar bank account floating around out there and you only need to press the right buttons to withdraw as much as you like. That's the trading market. How cool is that? It's the pirate's life and I sincerely hope it continues. I don't want to log on to this board 10 months from now and see one big cleanup on aisle 9. That's why I'm here to do the needful for free. Thank you for reading my ZH parody. See you on the margins.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CountofCoins
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook | Gold (XAU/USD) Correlation📈 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at Key Support | 🪙 Gold at Record Highs 🔎 Quick Summary: • DXY holding 97.70 support inside a descending channel. • A rebound could push it back toward 98.25 – 98.50. • Meanwhile, Gold is sitting near $3,600/oz, at all-time highs, fueled by safe-haven demand and central bank buying. • The DXY’s next move will help decide if Gold keeps climbing or pauses. ⸻ 💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook On the 4H chart, the Dollar Index remains inside a descending channel. It has been forming lower highs and lower lows, yet the 97.70 level has repeatedly held as strong support. • 🔹 Buyers are defending this zone, showing demand. • 🔹 A rebound could take price back to the 98.25 – 98.50 supply zone. • 🔹 A breakout above 98.50 would be significant, opening room toward 99.00+. This makes the 97.70 region a critical turning point for DXY. ⸻ 🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Context Gold is trading at record highs around $3,600/oz 🚀 — a level never seen before. • 🌍 Central banks continue to accumulate gold aggressively. • 🏦 Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. • ⚖️ Persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand. Correlation with DXY: • 📉 If the Dollar rebounds, Gold could slow down or consolidate after its massive rally. • 📈 If the Dollar breaks below support, Gold could see further upside, possibly testing higher targets near $3,700/oz and beyond. ⸻ 📊 Conclusion The Dollar Index is sitting at make-or-break support. A bounce would show Dollar strength and may cool off Gold’s rally. But if DXY weakens further, Gold could extend its surge into new record territory. At this point, Gold remains the undisputed leader in the market, with DXY’s next move likely deciding how fast momentum continues. ⸻ ⚡ Summary in one line: 💵 DXY at critical support — 🪙 Gold shining at record highs, waiting for the Dollar’s next move.
TVC:DXYLong
by KhaleelSuliman
XAUUSD: Consolidating the bullish momentumHi everyone, it’s Ken! At this moment, gold is shining with strong appeal. The market is moving within a steep channel, and price action continues to respect its structure, forming higher highs without showing weakness. Not long ago, gold broke a key resistance level and might come back to retest it. Interestingly, this area also aligns with the “golden zone” from the last breakout. If buyers defend it well, the bullish outlook remains valid, with the next target aiming toward 3,660 – the channel’s peak. As long as price stays above the support and the rising trendline, the uptrend remains intact. However, if it slips below, chances of a deeper pullback will rise. Stay patient, wait for confirmation before entering, and always protect your capital with proper risk management. Wishing you success!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kenn_Nguyen
5
Gold 3600, nothing is impossible! 💡Message Strategy Amidst the volatile global economy, gold, the king of safe-haven assets, has once again shone brightly. This week, driven by a combination of technical, fundamental, and key economic data, gold prices achieved one of their strongest weekly performances in recent years, breaking through key resistance levels and setting new all-time highs. Spot gold prices started the week at $3,446.61 per ounce, then, after a period of volatility, settled firmly around $3,590 per ounce by the close, marking three consecutive weekly gains. This not only ignited the enthusiasm of Wall Street bulls but also significantly strengthened the confidence of ordinary investors that inflation is once again a market focus. 📊Technical aspects First of all, congratulations to my friends who follow me. When gold was at the bottom of 3330, our idea was to rise firmly. Now the gold position has reached 3600, which is in line with our expectations and has brought rich returns to investors. The release of the non-farm payroll report, which fell far short of market expectations, immediately ignited another surge in gold prices, pushing the price close to $3,600 per ounce. As expected, despite reaching these unprecedented highs, gold prices have seen little significant pullback, closing the week around $3,585 per ounce, demonstrating the gold market's strong resilience and upward momentum. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3540-3550，SL:3520，Target: 3620
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Extended Pullback Ahead: A Golden Opportunity for ShortsDue to the stimulation of the NFP market, gold continued to refresh its historical highs, continued to break through the recent high of 3578, and touched the 3600 mark as expected. According to the current market structure, the bullish momentum of gold is strong, and there is no obvious peaking signal in the short term. As the center of gravity of gold continues to rise, the current short-term support will move up to the 3570-3550 area, and the short-term strong support is near the 3530 area. However, in this extreme market, we shouldn't blindly chase gold at high levels to avoid being buried in a crash. Two key details emerge from this: 1. Gold experienced a significant pullback near 3578, retreating to around 3511. 2. Gold failed to hold above 3600 before Friday's market close, falling back to around 3586, indicating some profit-taking. Furthermore, the current surge in the gold market is driven by news and, to some extent, has deviated from technical indicators. Market sentiment is extremely euphoric, making it vulnerable to a sudden collapse during this period. Furthermore, after this period of digestion, expectations of a rate cut have largely faded, potentially leading to a potential exit by large investors and panic selling. Therefore, I do not think that chasing gold at high levels is a rational and correct strategy. Gold may still retrace to the 3570-3550 area in the future, or even continue to retrace to the area around 3530. Of course, this is another opportunity to make short profits in the short term. I currently hold a short position with the average price around 3582. If you also hold a short position like me, I think we can seize the profit opportunity of the gold pullback next!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Daily Chart Analysis –> Triangle BreakoutHello guys! Gold has finally broken out of a large triangle consolidation pattern that has been building for weeks. The price action respected both the top resistance line and the bottom support line multiple times, showing clear compression before the breakout. 🚀 Recently, the price broke above the top line of the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout. This kind of move usually signals the start of a continuation phase with momentum in the direction of the breakout. Based on the measured move from the triangle formation, the projected target sits around 3,591.60 USD. Price is currently trading near 3,476 USD, which still leaves room for further upside. 💡 Typically, after such a breakout, the market may retest the broken resistance line (now turned support) before resuming its move higher. (but the pullback is not certain now) Summary: Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Direction: Bullish Current Price: 3,476 USD Target: 3,591.60 USD As long as Gold holds above the broken triangle resistance, the bias remains bullish toward the projected target. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
16
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?Gold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating below 3,600 after a strong bullish run. Current structure shows price resting near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This suggests engineered sweeps before the next expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone sitting at intraday discount; potential continuation area. • 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if price rejects. • 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance zone likely to be rebalanced. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction • Entry: 3,572 – 3,574 • Stop Loss: 3,565 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,585 o TP2: 3,595 o TP3: 3,605 👉 Demand block aligned with bullish order flow. Look for liquidity sweep and rejection to resume trend. ________________________________________ 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction • Entry: 3,530 – 3,528 • Stop Loss: 3,537 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,520 o TP2: 3,510 o TP3: 3,500 👉 Intraday supply zone and pivot. Best used for quick scalps against trend, targeting downside liquidity. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Bias remains bullish overall, but intraday shorts are valid for scalps. The cleaner setup is buying into 3,572–3,574 for continuation toward 3,600+. Smart money may sweep liquidity at 3,530 before reversing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
The Federal Reserve's loss of independence may be increasingGold Technical Analysis: After seven consecutive days of gains, gold closed in the red yesterday for the first time. Based on the pattern of strong unilateral trends, such first negative candlestick patterns are often corrections. Today's close is likely to be positive, continuing the previous unilateral rally. For further gains, the key prerequisite is to hold the 5-day moving average, which has moved up to the 3550-3545 area today. Even if there is a false breakout followed by a pullback, there is no need to panic. As long as gold prices remain above the 5-day moving average at the close, the strong unilateral upward trend will remain intact, and further attempts to reach new highs are possible. From a 4-hour perspective, gold prices are currently hovering between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Key support is the middle Bollinger Band (which has moved up to the 3555 area). As long as the 4-hour chart holds support at the middle band, the bullish trend will remain strong. If it fails to hold, a periodic pullback is possible, but this pullback remains an opportunity to buy on dips and does not alter the unilateral trend. Friday's trading strategy should closely follow the 5-day moving average and the 4-hour moving average, with a focus on dips and longs. Even with short-term disturbances, it is important to focus on the trend and seize opportunities to buy after corrections. Overall, the short-term trading strategy for gold next week is to focus on dips and longs on pullbacks, supplemented by rebounds and highs. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3600-3620 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3570-3560 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel1
Market Review. Next Week's Analysis.Gold's performance this week is consistent with last weekend's analysis. Driven by Friday's non-farm payroll data, gold hit a high of 3600. By the close of the week, gold reached a high of 3600 before fluctuating and retreating to around 3586. Gold still shows no signs of a significant unilateral decline, and bulls remain strong. Next week, we will continue to maintain a long-term strategy on pullbacks. Considering the 3600 high reached before the close, if bulls continue to push upward, the 3600 resistance level will be difficult to withstand the bullish momentum. Stabilizing above 3600 is only a matter of time. However, pullbacks may be necessary to build momentum during the upward push. Gold's performance this week saw a high of 3600 before fluctuating and retreating. Support below is expected to be around 3555-3360, followed by 3535-3345. The short-term bullish trend line has moved up to around 3530. With prices trading above 3530, maintain the "train long" strategy and avoid counter-trend short positions. Quaid wishes everyone a happy weekend and see you next week.
FX:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone. Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact. If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone. Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Non-farm payrolls are a surprise, and gold hits a record high!Last week, the US dollar index recorded a slight increase at the beginning of the week. The long-term bond yields of countries such as the UK, France, Germany and Japan rose to multi-year highs, putting pressure on non-US currencies and giving the US dollar a respite. Subsequently, a series of weak US employment data dragged down the performance of the US dollar index. Friday's non-farm payroll data was a big surprise. The US dollar fell sharply in the short term and almost wiped out all the gains of the week. It finally closed at 97.72, with an overall slight decline of 0.12% during the week. Gold rose sharply last week and set new highs. As of Wednesday, it had risen for seven consecutive trading days, mainly due to expectations of a Fed rate cut and the market's risk aversion due to tariffs and the US economic outlook. Friday's weak non-farm payroll data helped push gold to a new high, briefly breaking through $3,600, marking the third consecutive week of gains. Spot silver also rose for three consecutive weeks, closing at $40.96, the highest level since 2011. It can be clearly seen that the current lower support on the hourly chart is around 3580. Before the non-farm payrolls data last Friday, the high point of gold was around 3580. After the non-farm payrolls, gold once touched the high of 3600, and the low point of the retracement on Friday night was also here at 3580-3573. Therefore, the current short-term support is at 3580-3570. If it is said that it still cannot retrace to below 3580-3570 today, then gold may refresh the high point of 3600 again in the future. On the contrary, if gold falls below 3570 today and refreshes the low point of Friday's retracement, you should be careful. Judging from the hourly chart, if the entity falls below 3570, it may accelerate back to around 3560. Everyone must pay attention to this. There are many people who go long at the opening today, but the possibility of gold accelerating back cannot be ruled out. Therefore, today's operation is basically to maintain a long position. It is nothing more than a point issue. If it can stabilize above 3580-3570, then you can go long based on this range. On the contrary, if it falls below 3570, you need to wait for the support here at 3560 to go long. However, remember one thing, once it falls below 3560, don't go long again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel1
Gold price analysis on September 8✍️ Gold Analysis Gold price is currently reacting around the 3600 round mark. The main strategy is still to wait for corrections to the support zone to find BUY opportunities. Up to now, there is no signal from the daily candle showing that the selling force wants to take profits strongly, so the priority trend is still to buy when the price holds above important levels. In particular, breaking the support of 3514 will be a signal to further strengthen the uptrend. 📌 Important price zones BUY: when the price reacts at the support zone of 3575–3560. Upward target: 3600 in the immediate future, 3650 further. SELL: when the price breaks the trendline and support of 3360. Downward target: 3514.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices fluctuated downward. Is the trend changing?Gold prices surged last week, hitting multiple new highs; as of Wednesday, they had risen for seven consecutive trading days, primarily driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut and risk aversion stemming from tariffs and the US economic outlook. From the 1-hour chart, gold's high before last Friday's non-farm payrolls report was around 3580. After the release of the non-farm payrolls data, gold briefly reached a high of 3600. The low of last Friday's US market pullback was also around 3580. Currently, strong support lies in the 3575-3580 range. If prices stabilize above 3575 on Monday, they could retest the 3600 high. Conversely, if gold falls below 3575, retesting Friday's pullback low, caution is advised. Most traders remain long at the Asian open on Monday, so the possibility of an accelerated market pullback cannot be ruled out. If the price stabilizes above 3575, it could still fluctuate between 3375 and 3600. However, if the pullback accelerates below 3560, the trend is likely to change. Strategy: Go long near 3575. Set a stop loss at 3560, with a profit range of 3590-3600. Short near 3610, with a stop loss at 3620, and a profit range of 3580-3570-3560.
FX:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader
Maintain bearish outlook, expecting a waterfall in the eveningAlthough the gold price has fallen slightly in the past two days and the short positions in my hands have generated certain profits, the gold price has never been able to effectively reach the ideal TP, so I did not choose to close the position. Since the price began its decline from 3578, which became a short-term high, I've executed my short trade according to my trading plan and remain in the position. Yesterday I also stated that if gold rises due to data, I will choose to increase my position, so that even if the final result is not satisfactory, we can still generate good profits through the multiple high-level short positions we hold. From a technical perspective, the market focus during the day is on the NFP data, and gold is expected to remain volatile before the data is released. The lower 3540-3530 area is an area of intensive trading in the early stage, which provides certain support for gold prices in the short term. If the NFP data tonight is bullish for gold, gold may rebound in the short term with the help of 3540-5330, but the bulls are more likely to choose to sell off after the data is released. Once gold falls below 3540-3530, it can be regarded as the start of a short-term correction trend. In the short term in the future, the lower side can be seen at 3510-3500, or even lower expectations. If tonight's NFP data is bearish for gold, then consistent with the current severe overbought nature of gold's technical indicators and the need for a correction based on a top-side divergence, gold's decline could accelerate, potentially finding support around 3510-3500 or even 3480. In short, no matter whether the NFP data is good or bad, gold needs to be adjusted. We are bearish and will definitely get good returns. Let us look forward to the arrival of the waterfall tonight.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ALLEN-BOSWELL
Will it continue to soar next weekor will it rise and then fallThe bullish outlook for gold remains unchanged for next Monday. In a continuous upward trend, short-term pullbacks often serve to restore bullish momentum, while rapid, deep declines can actually provide momentum for a sustained upward move. Gold prices rebounded quickly after retreating to around 3573, further reinforcing market confidence in a stronger outlook. A key turning point for next Monday's trend lies at 3600, Friday's high. A break above this level will be the primary target for continued bullish activity. Key support lies below 3560, a previous top-bottom reversal level that has been initially tested and shown to be supportive. Therefore, the recommended strategy for future trading is to maintain a bullish outlook above 3560. Short-term short-term buying is recommended within this range, but the overall trend remains focused on buying on dips until this key support level is effectively broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel1
Is a rate cut confirmed? Be wary of the market.Non-farm payroll data: US non-farm payrolls increased by only 22,000 in August (far below the expected 75,000), the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, and June's data was revised downward to -13,000 (the first negative growth since December 2020), marking three consecutive months of slowing job growth. The market has pushed the probability of a September rate cut to 99%. With the release of the non-farm payroll data, a rate cut is now a foregone conclusion, with differing opinions on whether to cut by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Gold prices remained strong this week, with the moving average system showing a standard upward divergent pattern. Recently, gold prices have consistently risen against the 5-day moving average, which has become a key short-term support line in the current market. As the market continues to move, the 3578 high has been broken, raising concerns about upward resistance. Further attention is being paid to the 3610 area. This level represents the current resistance level in the rising channel formed by the highs and lows since gold started its upward trend at 3120, and is also a level to watch next week. When gold retreats and rebounds and hits the 3610 pressure level next week, we must be wary of a market reversal. The current expectations of interest rate cuts have basically been consumed. In terms of operations next week, Quaid believes that we should gradually participate in short selling, and the key position is around 3610.
FX:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader