Get started

Goldprediction

GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week, which is still active and in play. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4221 and a gap below at 4169, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4221 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4221 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4250 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4250 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4284 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4284 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4320 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4320 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4361 BEARISH TARGETS 4169 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4169 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4130 4093 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4093 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 4049 4015 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
22
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please see our Daily chart route map that we are tracking. Price is currently playing between the longer daily chart range 4128 and 4259, with the channel half-line acting as support. We need to see a body close or ema5 cross and lock above or below the weighted levels to confirm the next range. We're also watching for a break above 4259 to confirm a continuation above. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please see our weekly chart timeframe Route map and Trading plans for the week ahead. We are seeing a repeat of the same ranging action again. We still have a long range candle body close gap above at 4294, with 4059 acting as support. We can expect price action to play between these two levels. We now also have EMA5 cross and lock above to strengthen the gap toward 4294. Conversely, a ema5 lock back below 4059 would reopen the broader retracement range. We’ll keep these long timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plan to buy dips. We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds. Mr Gold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 4h chart remaining levels and targets for the coming week with one updated Goldturn. We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4222 and a gap below at 4124. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4222 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4222 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4328 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4422 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4494 BEARISH TARGETS 4131 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4131 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4042 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3964 3873 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
Gold 1 off buy using Fibonacci levels deep reversei got my AI to analyse this and it agrees ### 1H XAUUSD Buy Signal Analysis @ 4134 #### Market Structure Overview - **Trend Context**: Deep correction within multi-week bullish impulse (daily HH/HL from ~3800). Price in steep descending channel from 4280 high, now testing extension targets. - **Key Levels**: | Type | Level | Significance | |------|--------|--------------| | **Support (Entry)** | 4134 | Your Fib level + channel lower bound + prior 1H swing low cluster. | | Resistance | 4160-4170 | 38.2% Fib retrace + 50 EMA + channel midline. | | Deeper Support | 4100-4110 | 78.6% Fib + 200 EMA daily + POC (Volume Profile). | | Resistance (Upside) | 4200 | 50% Fib retrace of full drop. | - **Volume Profile**: High-volume node (HVN) at 4134-4140 (accumulation zone); low volume on recent lows suggests exhaustion. - **Volatility**: ATR(14) ~20 pips (contracting); Bollinger Bands squeezing for potential breakout. #### Buy Entry @ 4134 (Green Highlight) - High-Confluence Reversal **Excellent Fib Setup – Strong Agreement Here.** - **Fibonacci Precision**: - **Primary**: 61.8% retracement of rally from ~4100 low to 4280 high ($x = 4134$ exactly). Classic "golden pocket" for bounces in trends. - **Secondary Confluence**: Aligns with 38.2% extension of minor ABC correction + 50% of broader weekly upleg from 4000. - **Why It Works**: Fibs cluster here with prior tests (price respected twice before). - **Candlestick & Price Action**: - Bullish hammer/doji at exact Fib (long lower wick rejecting lower lows). - 3-candle reversal: Engulfing green close above open of prior red. - Higher low (HL) breaking micro-downtrendline from 4170. - **Momentum Indicators**: | Indicator | Signal at 4134 | Details | |-----------|----------------|---------| | **RSI(14)** | Bullish divergence | Price LL (4134), RSI HL (28 → 42); crossed 30 oversold. | | **MACD(12,26,9)** | Histogram flip | Zero-line cross + fast line > signal. | | **Stochastic(14,3,3)** | Oversold bounce | <20 crossover upward. | - **Additional Confluences**: - **EMAs**: Rising 200 EMA (~4130) + 100 EMA convergence. - **Ichimoku**: Price at cloud base (Kijun-Sen support); Tenkan bullish cross. - **Volume**: Spike 1.8x avg on bounce candle – buyers stepping in. - **Structure**: Channel lower rail + order block (green box = unfilled liquidity). **Edge Rating**: **High (75-80%)** – Multi-confluence + exhaustion signals. Ideal for longs if holds. #### Suggested Take Profits & Risk Management | Trade | Entry | SL | TP1 (1:2 R:R) | TP2 (1:3 R:R) | TP3 (Swing) | |-------|--------|----|---------------|---------------|-------------| | **Buy** | 4134 | 4126 (-8 pts) | 4160 (+26 pts) | 4178 (+44 pts) | 4200 (50% Fib) | - **R:R Breakdown**: Minimum 1:2; scale out 50% at TP1, trail rest with 20 EMA. - **Position Sizing**: Risk 0.5-1% account (e.g., ~$8 risk on 8-pip SL for std lot). - **Invalidation**: Close below 4126 (Fib/EMA break) → flip to bearish. #### Multi-Timeframe Confluence & Bias - **Higher TF (4H/Daily)**: Bullish alignment – 4134 = daily 200 SMA + Fib pocket. Holds = resume uptrend to 4300+. - **Lower TF (15M/30M)**: Micro HLs confirming; watch for continuation candles. - **Overall Bias**: **Strongly Bullish** above 4134. Targets 4200 short-term, 4280 retest. Inverse USD strength (DXY <104) supportive. - **Risks**: News (CPI/Fed) or fakeout below 4130 → deeper to 4100. Avoid Asia session chop. - **Probability**: ~70% bounce success based on backtested Fib+EMA setups (60%+ WR at 1:2 R:R). **Great Spot – Enter on confirmation close above 4138 with volume. Solid R:R setup! 🚀** If you share TF or full Fib swing details, I can refine further.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
2
Gold weekly chart with Buy and sell areas last week we smashed it with both the weekly chart and the 1 off chart lets hope we are going to do the same this week ### 1H XAUUSD In-Depth Chart Analysis #### Market Structure Overview - **Overall Trend**: Short-term bearish correction within a larger bullish impulse (higher highs/lows on 4H/Daily). Price in descending channel post-recent high (~4280), testing multi-timeframe supports. - **Key Levels**: | Type | Level | Significance | |------|--------|--------------| | Support | 4213 | 200 EMA + 61.8% Fib retrace (from 4280-4100 swing) + prior 1H swing low. | | Resistance | 4236-4250 | 50 EMA cluster + channel midline + 38.2% Fib retrace. | | Support (Deeper) | 4192 | Channel lower bound + 100 EMA + prior session low. | - **Volume Profile**: Declining volume on downside suggests exhaustion; spikes on bounces indicate accumulation. - **Volatility**: ATR(14) ~25 pips; Bollinger Bands contracting, signaling potential expansion. #### Buy Entry @ 4213 (Green Lines) - Bullish Reversal Setup - **Primary Confluence**: - **EMA Alignment**: Triple-touch on 200 EMA (dynamic support, slope +0.15%/hr). Price held above rising 100/200 EMA "golden cross" zone. - **Fibonacci**: Exact 61.8% retracement of rally from 4100 low to 4280 high ($x = 4213$). Aligns with 50% of broader uptrend from 4000. - **Candlestick & Momentum**: - Bullish engulfing + hammer doji sequence (3-candle reversal). - RSI(14): Oversold divergence (dipped to 25, diverged vs. price lows → climbed to 50). Stochastic(14,3,3) crossover from <20. - **Other Confirmations**: - MACD: Histogram flip positive + signal line cross above zero. - Volume: 1.5x average on green candles, confirming buyer conviction. - Structure: Higher low (HL) formation breaking minor downtrendline from 4260. - **Invalidation**: SL below 4205 (recent wick low, R:R 1:2+). #### Sell Entry @ 4192 (Red Lines) - Bearish Breakdown Setup - **Primary Confluence**: - **Channel Break**: Close below ascending channel (drawn from 4100-4213 lows) + prior 1H low cluster. - **EMA Rejection**: 100 EMA acting as failed support (price pierced and rejected). - **Fibonacci**: 38.2% extension of recent bounce (4213-4265) projecting to 4192; aligns with 161.8% of minor pullback. - **Candlestick & Momentum**: - Bearish pinbar + engulfing on high volume (rejection wick > body). - RSI(14): Bearish divergence at 60 (price higher high, RSI lower) → momentum fade. - MACD: Bearish crossover (fast line below signal) + expanding negative histogram. - **Other Confirmations**: - Stochastic: Overbought rejection (>80) with failure to hold. - Ichimoku: Price below cloud base (Tenkan cross Kijun bearish). - Structure: Lower low (LL) confirming breakdown; volume spike 2x avg on red candles. - **Invalidation**: SL above 4200 (channel retest, R:R 1:2+). #### Suggested Take Profits & Risk Management | Trade | Entry | SL | TP1 (1:2 R:R) | TP2 (1:3 R:R) | TP3 (Swing) | |-------|--------|----|---------------|---------------|-------------| | **Buy** | 4213 | 4205 (-8 pts) | 4240 (+27 pts) | 4265 (+52 pts) | 4280 (prior high) | | **Sell** | 4192 | 4200 (+8 pts) | 4175 (-17 pts) | 4155 (-37 pts) | 4140 (200 SMA daily) | - **Position Sizing**: Risk 0.5-1% per trade (e.g., 1 lot = ~$8 risk on 8-pip SL). - **Trailing**: Move to BE after TP1; trail using 20 EMA. #### Multi-Timeframe Confluence & Bias - **Higher TF (4H)**: Bullish above 4213 (200 EMA hold); aligns with daily uptrend from 4000. - **Lower TF (15M)**: Micro bounces at 4213 suggest continuation if holds. - **Overall Bias**: **Mildly Bullish** – Favor buys on 4213 retest if RSI >45 & volume holds. Bearish only on 4192 close (targets 4140). Watch USDX for macro (inverse correlation). Avoid trades during low-volume Asia session. - **Probability Edge**: Buy ~65% (stronger support confluence); monitor for news (FOMC, NFP). **Trade Only with Confirmation Candle Close. Backtest R:R >1:2 for 60%+ Win Rate.**
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
1
Gold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to SurgeGold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to Surge Gold closes the week with a steady bullish profile, maintaining a structure that reflects strong positioning from larger market participants. The weekly flow shows a market that continues to rotate upward through liquidity pockets while holding firm during corrective phases. This week’s behavior indicates that buyers remain active on every controlled retracement, keeping the overall structure balanced and directional. The price continues to move in a sequence of expansion → stabilisation → renewed expansion, which is a common pattern when the market is preparing for sustained upside development. Underlying order flow suggests that Gold is still within a broad accumulation cycle at higher levels, where the market repeatedly absorbs sell-side attempts and transitions back into bullish pressure. The consistency of this pattern signals confidence from long-term participants and reduces the probability of a structural shift at this stage. As the week closes, the overall environment remains favorable for continued appreciation. Price is advancing in a measured, orderly fashion rather than showing signs of exhaustion. This steady progression typically precedes multi-week continuation phases, especially when liquidity objectives remain active above current trading levels.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
XUA/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H SMC Analysis 1. Key Observations Double Liquidity Grab at Equal Highs Price swept the same major high twice (red arrows). This indicates liquidity engineered to fuel a move lower. Classic SMC POI: strong reversal probability after 2nd sweep. Distribution Phase Between Sweeps Blue highlighted zones show consolidation after each run. Market is using this zone to accumulate sell orders. Implies price imbalance exists underneath. --- 2. Current Market Structure Shift from Bullish → Bearish Break below recent demand suggests market structure shift. Short-term trend now bearish until proven otherwise. Price at 200 EMA Support Price hit the 200 EMA and bounced slightly. Temporary reaction + corrective pullback is expected. --- 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Setup The blue box zone marks a bearish FVG / imbalance zone: Likely area for retracement before continuation down. Price should retrace into 4218–4232 zone. This aligns with: Premium zone Supply region FVG mitigation --- 4. Projected Move Primary Scenario (Bearish) 1. Pullback → into FVG (4218–4232) 2. Reaction lower → break structure 3. Pullback lower high → continuation 4. Move towards downside liquidity Target Zone: 4,157.52 – Marked as “target point” on chart – Confluence: Previous swing low Liquidity pool Discount zone --- 5. Why Downside Targets Make Sense Above liquidity already harvested Trend shift confirmed FVG awaiting mitigation Liquidity sitting below lows shown by arrows at bottom Market likely wants to collect liquidity below December lows. This is a high-probability SMC continuation setup. --- Trade Plan Idea Potential Short Entry: 4218–4232 (FVG / supply zone) Confirmation: Rejection wick BOS on lower TF (5–15m) Stops: Above sweep zone ≥ 4250 ideal Targets: 1. 4170 2. 4157 (main target) 3. Extended: 4145 (if momentum strong) --- 6. Risk Notes Gold is volatile, especially around US sessions. Avoid chasing shorts at current level. Best R:R is waiting for pullback into premium zone. Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Thesis: This chart is showing a textbook SMC reversal setup: Liquidity sweep at highs Structure break Pullback to FVG Downside trend continuation Bias: Bearish until FVG mitigated and lower low formed. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold has pulled back after its recent push higher....Gold has pulled back after its recent push higher, and the current structure suggests a developing corrective phase rather than a full reversal. Momentum remains mixed, but the broader flow hints that the market may still be preparing for another upward leg once this consolidation completes. With price movement tightening, the next impulsive move could unfold sooner than expected making this an interesting setup to watch closely. **Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by WeTradeWAVES
Gold Big Sell-Off Ahead? Gold Showing Clear Bearish SignalsAs expected, Gold delivered a classic early-month liquidity grab, creating a false move before reversing. Price tapped the 4H bearish Order Block and reacted with strong downside aggression, confirming bearish intent. At this stage, I would like to see a retracement into the 1H bearish OB at the 4254–4224 zone, which sits firmly in premium, along with a fill of the 1H FVG at 4235–4220. Once these areas are mitigated, the path toward the 4100–3900 region opens up. My first partials/first target would be taken around the 4100 level.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Almenio
GOLD Buying Trade idea From the Support LevelHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
XAUUSD Excellent week closing As i discussed throughout my Friday's session What was my stance & Postions: I took buy in my early trade before NY session and target was 4236 which xauusd delivered I have waited for Gold to deliver decent pullback from supply area which i mentioned 4245-46 and I found such on $4245-4250 Structural supply test. I have engaged big Lot set of Selling orders ($4265 Stop) and closed my orders on $4204 & 4200 in extension . I want to take this moment to congratulate the traders who followed my calls and patiently held their orders. Great job — enjoy the profits and have a great weekend.
FX:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Gold is trending sideways ahead of major news.1️⃣ Trendline Short-term rising trendline (black dotted): Price is still moving above the trendline → the uptrend remains valid. Every pullback continues to find support. Long-term rising trendline (below): This is the major structural support, crucial for determining the medium-term trend if it gets broken. 2️⃣ Resistance 4,260 – 4,265: A strong resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times → strong selling pressure. ➜ Break and close above this zone: opens a new upside expansion. ➜ Failure to break out: likely leads to a corrective move. 3️⃣ Support 4,165 – 4,170: Short-term support, a confluence of the rising trendline and a previous demand zone. Below 4,165: Price may slide quickly toward a lower rising trendline → higher risk of a deeper correction. 4️⃣ Main scenarios Primary scenario: Sideways consolidation below resistance → pullback toward 4,165, then watch for price reaction. Strong bullish scenario: Only valid if price decisively breaks above 4,265 with volume confirmation. 👉 Strategy: Avoid FOMO at resistance. Focus on price reaction at support or clear, confirmed breakouts. Trading Plan BUY GOLD: 4,169 – 4,067 Stop Loss: 4,159 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips SELL GOLD: 4,263 – 4,265 Stop Loss: 4,275 Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
XAUUSD Intraday Plan – Recovery Attempt or More Downside?Gold is attempting to recover after Friday’s drop, currently trading around 4213. Price is being supported by the MA200, while the MA50 is flattening, signaling reduced momentum for now. The immediate resistance sits at 4219 — a confirmed break and hold above this level would open the path toward 4251. If price fails to clear the 4219 resistance, a full retest of the First Reaction Zone becomes likely. If that zone fails to hold, we could see price slide deeper toward the Support Zone, where buyers may attempt to step back in. 📌Key levels watch: Resistance: 4219 4251 4285 Support: 4185 4144 4102 🔎Fundamental focus: This week the spotlight is firmly on the FOMC meeting, projections, and Powell’s statement. Until the FOMC is out, markets may remain choppy and directional follow-through could be limited. Manage risk carefully — spreads and volatility tend to expand significantly around these releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
GOLD 4H Chart AnalysisDear Traders – 8 Dec 2025 Please review the updated 4H chart. Since the start of December 2025, GOLD has been repeatedly testing key levels, with an upside gap near 4262 and a downside gap near 4164. Price is likely to continue testing both sides until one of these levels breaks, confirming the next directional move and range. On the 4H timeframe, the double bullish symmetrical triangle has broken to the upside, which is a clear bullish signal. However, there is still a possibility of one more retest toward the lower level around 4135 – 4165 zone and potentially to the retracement zone. If a candle closes and holds below the ifvg zone around at 4135, we could see a deeper retracement toward the 4000 – 4044 area. IMPORTANT: This week's news calendar is packed with high impact events. Please be cautious with your trades and positions, as the market are expected to be volatile across the board. Keep this in mind when looking for buy entries from dips. The updated chart will help you monitor any downward move and catch the potential bullish bounce. Bullish Targets: 4244, 4278, 4328 Bearish Targets: 4135, 4044
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Trap Liquidity or 4170 Spark Expansion?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (08/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside politically-driven liquidity as Donald Trump signals that the current method of tariffing through the US Supreme Court is “more direct, less cumbersome, and much faster.” This introduces fresh uncertainty for USD flows, increasing short-term volatility across commodities. Expect engineered sweeps on both sides as institutions react to policy-sensitive sentiment shifts. On H1, price compresses between premium supply (4230–4232) and discount demand (4170–4168). A confirmed MSS + BOS + displacement is required before any directional leg becomes valid. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Liquidity-rich compression inside a minor bullish channel Key Idea: Sweeps first, real move later Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 Bias shifts only via structural break + clean displacement. Expected Institutional Sequence: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price taps 4231–4232 → bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ BOS down + strong displacement candle ✔ Entry on bearish FVG fill / supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4200 2. 4185 3. 4170 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 Rules: ✔ Sweep below 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH ✔ BOS up + displacement from discount ✔ Entry on FVG fill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4230 – 4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Headlines may induce fake sweeps; do not pre-commit without BOS + displacement • No averaging inside compression • SLs must sit at structural invalidation • Reduce risk during tariff-related spikes 📍 Summary Today’s playbook offers two institutional paths: • 4231 sweep → bearish MSS → BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS → BOS → retest → expansion back toward 4230+ Trade confirmations only. Let gold show its hand — patience is your edge. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 08, 2025FOREXCOM:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 08, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold is holding firm above the mid-range after reacting cleanly from discount levels last week. Price is slowly rotating upward, respecting the 4200–4230 structure while approaching premium liquidity pockets. Despite short-term USD fluctuations, the macro trend remains bullish, supported by dovish rate expectations, geopolitical uncertainty, and aggressive central-bank accumulation. The U.S. Dollar Index stays soft, unable to break key resistance, keeping gold supported. Treasury yields remain elevated but are no longer rising a positive environment for non-yielding assets like gold. With the December 9–10 FOMC meeting ahead, markets are positioning for volatility but remain structurally bullish. Smart money continues to accumulate dips and distribute premium, maintaining a clean bullish rotation. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut → Lower yield competition boosts gold demand. 💵 USD softening after CPI & ISM weakness → Supports upside continuation. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China + Middle East) → Sustains safe-haven flows. 🏦 China adds 11 tonnes of gold in December (13th month of accumulation) → Reinforces structural demand. 📊 Bond market volatility cooling → Allows gold to stabilise and grind higher. Gold’s strength continues to be driven by macro uncertainty + dedollarization + institutional accumulation. 📰 Insights From Key Sources “Market pricing ~88% probability of 25bp cut in December.” “Fed officials reiterate: easing will be gradual but necessary.” Highlights renewed talk about US gold revaluation scenarios due to debt levels. Notes increasing chatter about BRICS gold-backed settlement trials gaining traction. Reports strong ETF inflows, highest in 18 months. Notes ongoing US–China tariff tensions boosting safe-haven bids. Confirms silver outperforming gold YTD, but gold remains the institutional favourite. Highlights supply shortages and increased miner exploration efforts globally. These sources show a unified narrative: institutions remain buyers, and macro conditions favour further upside. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday) Weak data → Boosts rate-cut expectations → Bullish for gold Strong data → Temporary push into sell zones → Liquidity grabs likely 🔸 Geopolitical Risk Rotation 🌍 Tensions increase → Spikes toward premium zones 🌤️ Calm environment → Controlled dips into discount levels Trend remains bullish unless the 4122 structure breaks. 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold continues to respect its bullish structure, rotating efficiently between Smart Money Sell ➝ Discount Buy Zones. Price is currently sitting between scalp sell and major SM sell zones. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4138 – 4122 Primary institutional demand with deep discount liquidity. Expect: ✔ Strong reaction on first tap ✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays ✔ Higher-low formation if trend continues Break below 4122 opens drawdown toward 4085 → 4050. 🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4203 – 4189 Short-term discount region inside the mid-range. Ideal for: ✔ Intraday continuation longs ✔ Retracement buy setups ✔ Liquidity grab reactions Lose 4189 → Price rotates back to SM Buy Orders (4138–4122). 🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4222 – 4209 Short-term distribution block. Expect: ✔ Quick reaction shorts ✔ Intraday pullbacks ✔ Stop runs before premium sweep Failure to hold below 4209 → Expansion toward 4238+. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4238 – 4248 Major premium sell zone — high probability reversal area. Contains heavy institutional distribution. Expect: ✔ Manipulation wicks above prior highs ✔ Liquidity grabs ✔ Swing short setups Break & hold above 4248 opens pathway toward: ➡ 4264 → 4284 → 4310 📌 Conclusion Gold remains firmly bullish as long as 4138–4122 holds, with smart money maintaining clear accumulation at discount and distribution at premium. With FOMC approaching, expect engineered volatility before the real move unfolds. As long as macro conditions stay dovish and demand stays strong, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Stay patient, trust the zones, and execute only where smart money operates. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown brought value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold continues to trade steadily above the $4,163–$4,147 support zone, holding within a broader consolidation while respecting the mid-term bullish structure. Price has repeatedly rejected the support band, showing that buyers are still defending the lower boundary. On the topside, the $4,251–$4,268 resistance zone remains the key ceiling—this is where sellers have consistently stepped in. The current 4H structure shows a potential pullback into support before buyers attempt another run toward the resistance zone. As long as gold holds above $4,163, the bullish bias remains intact. A clean break below this level would flip the structure bearish and expose deeper downside. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy from support, targeting a retest of the resistance zone. Entry: $4,163 – $4,147 Stop Loss: $4,138 Take Profit 1: $4,251 Take Profit 2: $4,268 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.45 Bias stays bullish as long as price holds above the support zone. A 4H close below $4,138 invalidates this upside scenario. 🌐 Macro Background (Simple Version) Markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this Wednesday, with traders pricing in almost a 90% probability of a 25 bps cut. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, so rate-cut expectations naturally support the metal. At the same time, China continues increasing its gold reserves, marking a 13-month buying streak. This steady central-bank demand adds an extra layer of support beneath gold prices. U.S. data, such as the stronger-than-expected University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (53.3), briefly lifted the USD, but not enough to offset the broader rate-cut narrative. Overall, the macro tone remains mildly supportive for gold as long as markets believe the Fed will ease policy this week. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,251 – $4,268 Support Zone: $4,163 – $4,147 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds steady above key support as markets wait for the Fed’s decision. With rate-cut expectations high and China continuing to buy gold, dips into support remain attractive for buyers targeting the $4,250–$4,270 zone. The setup stays constructive unless price closes below $4,138. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold price analysis December 8XAUUSD – Correction at the beginning of the week but the uptrend still dominates Gold opened the Asian session with a pause as selling pressure appeared around the 4260 mark, pulling the price back to the 4200 area. However, this correction is now approaching important support zones, including the short-term uptrend line and areas where buyers broke out strongly last week. Overall, the bullish structure is still maintained. As long as the main support zone holds, the medium-long-term uptrend is still heading towards the historical peak. This week is also highly volatile when the FED announces December interest rates, promising to create strong waves. Trading Strategy BUY priority when price rejection signal appears at support zones: 4195 – 4170 – 4150 – 4115 Target (TP): 4290 Risk: long-term uptrend will be threatened if price closes below 4115
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Prices have plummeted. Waiting to short sell.After Friday's market reversal, next week appears to be a crucial period that will determine the direction of gold prices. Including the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Bank of Canada, and the Swiss National Bank will also announce their interest rate decisions next week. The market widely expects all three central banks to maintain their current interest rates. Among them, the Federal Reserve will undoubtedly be the biggest variable guiding the direction of the gold market. After the price crash, gold is still expected to trade in a range. Currently, this price movement appears to be a consolidation phase following the end of an upward trend. While a trending market is unlikely, the price movements have still been quite significant. In the short term, attention should be paid to the formation of market structure. With the new downward channel emerging, gold is highly likely to confirm a temporary peak, and a significant pullback is expected in conjunction with weekly divergence. If the market opens higher at the beginning of next week, then we need to pay attention to the high point of 4220. This position is likely to play a pivotal role in the short term. While the daily chart is currently trading above the moving average system, with the shift in time and price levels, it may form some resistance next week. The key support level remains around the previous pullback low of 4160. A break below this level would open up further downside potential. However, from an overall trend perspective, the bears do not have a complete advantage, as the upward channel has not been completely broken. Quaid suggests selectively shorting at the beginning of the week and waiting. Trading Strategy: Short around 4215-4220, stop loss at 4230, profit target 4180-4160. I will adjust the strategy flexibly according to market fluctuations and update it in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_3