Get started

Goldprediction

XAUUSD Gold Analysis | Weak Pullback → Bearish ContinuationIn this XAUUSD (Gold) analysis, the market is currently showing a weak pullback within a bearish structure after a confirmed liquidity sweep from the higher timeframe supply zone. Price has already formed a lower high, indicating that sellers remain in control. The current movement appears to be a corrective pullback into a key sell zone (4720–4740 area), where we expect potential rejection. 📉 Key Concepts in This Analysis: Liquidity sweep from major supply zone Bearish market structure (lower highs) Weak bullish pullback (correction phase) High-probability sell zone reaction 📊 Outlook: If price confirms rejection inside the sell zone, the most likely scenario is a bearish continuation toward the 4680 and 4650 demand zones. An alternative scenario would be a direct continuation without a deeper pullback. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk properly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXGoldVision
8
GOLD 15M – Short SetupHi fellow traders, On the 15M GOLD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential short setup. Price is moving within a corrective structure after the recent impulsive move. The wave development suggests that the correction may be completing, with a potential continuation to the downside. I am entering at the current price. Stop Loss: 4747.60 Take Profit: 4600.25 If price breaks above the stop level, this setup is no longer valid. Good luck and trade safe!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by OGwavetrader
8
Continue to short the trendInfluenced by weekend news, spot gold opened lower today, breaking through $4,700, and silver also opened lower, while US crude oil opened higher, breaking through $100. The news is still unfolding, and as we've said, just following the news blindly will only lead us astray; because we have no idea what the next piece of news will be. Therefore, we must focus on the market itself. Gold opened sharply lower, breaking below $4,730 and the lower limit of its recent consolidation range. This suggests a clear short-term bearish trend, but don't be overly optimistic—gold prices are still within the weekly range of $4,600-$4,800. We expect to see shorting on rallies: the price may attempt to fill the gap before falling back. Downside risk: $4,600 is the last line of defense before gold prices actually fall. If the price breaks through this support level, we will definitely see a drop to $4,500, and then $4,400. Intraday short-term support is between $4635 and $4640. Main strategy: Sell on rallies. The target is to sell around $4730-35. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD SAXO:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
TVC:GOLDShort
by Chuck_Wilson
2
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levels 12/04/25Expecting a bearish open due to recent news Overview Gold is currently navigating a high-volatility "coiling" phase. As of mid-April 2026, the price action is trapped between structural Fibonacci support and psychological resistance, heavily influenced by the ongoing diplomatic efforts in the Middle East. Technical Breakdown 1. The Long Trigger (Buy Entry): $4,770 Logic: This is a Momentum Breakout entry. Entering at $4,770 signifies a move above the local consolidation zone and a successful defence of the lower support tiers. Target: Primary resistance at the $4,800 psychological level, followed by the major supply zone at $4,860 (Green Resistance Line). Confirmation: A 4-hour candle close above this level confirms that buyers have absorbed the recent "Sell the News" pressure. 2. The Short Trigger (Sell Entry): $4,730 Logic: This is a Structural Breakdown play. $4,730 acts as a critical pivot point on the Fibonacci scale (near the 0.5/0.618 transition). Target: A retest of the deep structural support at $4,645 (Red Support Line). Confirmation: A break below $4,730 suggests that the "Safe Haven" premium is rapidly exiting the market, signaling a shift from a bullish to a neutral/bearish bias. Fundamental Drivers (Middle East Context) The market is currently reacting to the U.S.-Iran-Pakistan diplomatic corridor. Bullish Case ($4,770+): If negotiations hit a stalemate or if sporadic skirmishes in Lebanon escalate, Gold will likely reclaim its war premium and push toward $4,900. Bearish Case (Below $4,730): If a formal two-week ceasefire is ratified and the Strait of Hormuz remains stable, expect a "cool down" period where Gold sheds its recent gains to find a fundamental floor. Key Levels to Watch Major Resistance: $4,850 - $4,860 (Green Lines) Immediate Pivot: $4,750 Major Support: $4,645 (Red Line) Risk Note: Given the current 2026 geopolitical climate, volatility is exceptionally high. Ensure your stop-losses are adjusted for wider spreads. Trade Safe! Disclaimer: This is a technical/fundamental analysis for educational purposes and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
XAU/USD | $4,800 Battle: Why Bulls Target $5,100 NextXAU/USD - The Gold Heist: Institutional Layering Plan for the Next Leg Up 💰 "Steal from the Market, Don't Let the Market Steal from You" 💰 🔥 THE THIEF'S INSTITUTIONAL EDGE PLAN (Day/Swing Trade) Strategy: The "Layer Cake" Heist (Layered Limit Orders) The market is volatile, and guessing the exact bottom is a fool's game. Professionals scale in. We are looking for a Bullish Breakout/Pullback setup. We anticipate a test of the 4,800 liquidity pool, but we will place our traps below that to catch the run-up. 🚪 THIEF ENTRY (Layering Strategy Method) You asked for "Any Price Level Entry" - here is the smart way to play that range. Do not FOMO one big position. Spread your limit orders like a true silent operator. Layer 1 (Aggressive): $4,600 - Testing the recent support base where buyers are known to lurk . Layer 2 (Tactical): $4,700 - Catching the breakout of the recent consolidation range . Layer 3 (Breakout Confirmation): $4,800 - The "No Man's Land" becoming support. This is the final boarding call before the rocket . 💡 Thief Tip: You can increase layers based on your own bankroll. Small size, wide net. Patience is the lockpick. 👮‍♂️ POLICE FORCE TARGET (Escape with the Loot!) The Police (Resistance) is setting up a classic trap at the psychological barrier. Take Profit Zone: $5,100 🎯 Why here? This zone aligns with extreme Overbought conditions on the RSI and is likely where smart money induces a Correction. This is the "Bull Trap" where we hand our bags to the latecomers and escape into the shadows . Note to Thief OG's: *This is MY target. If you see a quick $20-$30 profit before this and your gut says "RUN," then run. You can make money then take money at your own risk. No loyalty to targets, only to profit.* 🛑 STOP LOSS (The Getaway Car) If the heist goes wrong, we do NOT go to jail. We live to steal another day. Thief SL: $4,500 🛡️ Reasoning: A break below $4,500 signals the bullish structure is broken and we are likely heading toward a deeper correction zone ($4,200-$4,300). The market says "Not today," and we listen . Note to OG's: I am not recommending only my SL. This is where I admit defeat. It's your own choice to hold or fold. Capital preservation is the Thief's first commandment. 📰 THE INTEL BRIEFING (Real-Time Fundamental Factors - April 2026) This is what the market ACTUALLY said this week. I don't make the news; I just steal based on it. Current Market Status (April 13, 2026): Gold is trading around $4,749 after a sharp rejection from the $4,800 area. The market is caught in a "War-Flation Paradox" . Bearish Weight: Real Yields (10Y Treasury) are elevated, and the U.S. dollar is showing strength. This is currently suppressing safe-haven demand despite Middle East tensions. Hedge funds have been liquidating to cover margins elsewhere, causing this choppy dip . Bullish Floor: Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have NOT blinked. They maintain long-term targets of $5,400 to $6,300 based on sticky Central Bank buying and ETF inflows. This dip is being bought by institutions, not retail . The Catalyst This Week: Watch the Fed Beige Book and U.S. PPI Data. Also, the ceasefire narrative with Iran is fragile. If talks collapse again, expect a spike to $5,000+ . We are positioning bullish because the structural floor is holding, but we are using a wide layer net because of volatility. 📊 ASSET & CORRELATION SNAPSHOT Primary Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) The Dollar Vibe: TVC:DXY (Watch closely! A weaker dollar below 100 is the wind beneath gold's wings. If DXY bounces, we must be cautious as it acts as a headwind to our metal) . Energy Check: $WTIOIL / NYSE:CL (Oil & gold have a "frenemies" relationship right now. High oil = inflation fear = theoretically good for gold, but high oil also = Hawkish Fed = Stronger Dollar = Bad for gold. Watch this correlation carefully!) . The Paper Threat: TVC:TNX (10-Year Yield). If yields spike toward 5%, gold tends to sweat. This is the "opportunity cost" hitting the safe-haven trade . 🦹‍♂️ THIEF OG'S MOTIVATION CORNER "The market is a vault. Most people stand outside begging for scraps. You? You're a professional. You have a drill, a map, and a getaway driver. Plan the trade. Trade the plan. And remember: Elephants get rich on peanuts. It's the small, consistent scores that build the empire." "Don't chase the price. Let the price come to your layer. Be the spider, not the fly." 🕷️ 👇 Smash that 🚀 if you're ready for the breakout! Drop a 💰 if you use layering entries! Let's get this idea trending!
FX:XAUUSD
by The-Thief
2
Range trading strategy: Initiate with a short position.Looking at the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the upper band at 4826 and the lower band at 4682. Currently, the price is consolidating slightly above the middle band. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages are intersecting near the middle band. The trading range is expected to narrow further next week, with attention focused on the 4700-4800 range. Next week, the international gold market will likely remain volatile due to a mix of bullish and bearish factors. Short-term trading recommendations: Short at $4780-$4800, with a target of $4720-$4700; Long at $4700-$4720, with a target of $4780-$4800. Given the breakdown of negotiations between the US and Iran this weekend, I will first attempt a small short position at the opening of Asian trading on Monday, and then quickly close the position to lock in profits. More Strategies ➤➤➤➤➤➤➤➤◍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_Golden_Master
XAUUSD 4H:Corrective Pullback Before Potential Bullish ExpansionGold has transitioned from a strong bearish impulse into a structured recovery phase, with price gradually reclaiming ground after the sharp sell-off. The recent sequence of higher lows reflects improving sentiment, while momentum begins to stabilise following the aggressive downside move. Current price action suggests a developing continuation structure, where short-term consolidation or a minor pullback could act as a reset before the next leg higher. The market is showing signs of absorbing selling pressure, indicating that buyers are starting to regain control. If this structure holds, the path of least resistance shifts towards further upside, with the potential for a stronger expansion move once the current corrective phase completes. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by WeTradeWAVES
Watch the gap. Waiting to short sell.Influenced by international news over the weekend, the market opened with a gap down; the primary focus right now is the gap-filling level at 4740. Currently, the red bars on the MACD indicator are narrowing rapidly, signaling a significant waning of bullish momentum. The KDJ indicator has turned downward, indicating weak rebound potential, while the RSI indicator has broken below the 50-mark threshold, suggesting a rapid cooling of bullish market sentiment. With the price having breached the support levels of both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, the previous rebound structure has been completely dismantled, establishing a clear short-term trend of choppy downward movement. The 1-hour chart shows a short-term rebound followed by a second pullback. After the price recovered, it fell again, and the key level to watch is the resistance above. For short-term strategies, it is recommended to short with a small position when the price rebounds to the 4730-4740 range. More Strategies ➤➤➤➤➤➤➤➤◍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_Golden_Master
4
XAUUSD Analysis - Ascending Triangle Breakout SetupGold is currently consolidating within a tightening ascending triangle, wedge structure after a strong impulsive move. Price is holding above the key support zone around 4738-4750 while repeatedly facing rejection near 4800-4810 resistance. This indicates accumulation before a potential breakout. The trend bias remains slightly bullish as price is respecting the rising trendline but confirmation is needed with a clean breakout above resistance. A fakeout or liquidity sweep below 4738 is also possible before the real move. Trade Plan – Buy Setup Buy Zone: 4738-4755 Trigger: H1 bullish rejection or strong bullish engulfing from support Targets: 4800, 4840, 4865 Invalidation: H1 close below 4720 Trade Plan – Sell Setup Sell Zone: 4800-4820 Trigger: H1 bearish rejection or double top formation Targets: 4755, 4738, 4700 Invalidation: H1 close above 4840 Market is in compression breakout soon. Buy dips from support or sell rejection from resistance. Best trade comes after breakout confirmation. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
2
Gold 4H — Inversion or Rejection? Two ScenariosXAUUSD 4H Analysis Gold is currently trading inside a 4H bearish FVG. I have two scenarios: Bullish scenario (preferred): If price closes above the bearish FVG and creates an inversion, I will look for buy setups on lower timeframes. Bearish scenario: If price respects the 4H bearish FVG and closes below, I will look for sell setups with confirmation. Personally, I favor the bullish scenario based on liquidity perspective, as the probability of higher prices is currently stronger.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TradesWithVahid
3
XAUUSD Gold Analysis Today | Bearish Continuation📊 In today’s XAUUSD (Gold) analysis, the market continues to respect bearish structure after a clear rejection from the liquidity zone. Yesterday’s liquidity sweep and distribution area provided a strong reaction, confirming selling pressure in the market. Price is now consolidating below resistance, showing signs of bearish continuation with weak bullish momentum. 🔻 Key Points: Liquidity sweep followed by rejection ✔️ Lower high formation confirms bearish structure ✔️ Consolidation before potential expansion ✔️ Price holding below key resistance zone 📉 Outlook: The most likely scenario is continued downside movement toward the 4650 zone, as long as price remains below the current resistance area. ⚠️ This analysis is based on price action, liquidity concepts, and supply & demand zones, focusing on current market structure behavior. 📍 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects current market structure. Always manage your risk before entering any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXGoldVision
2
XAUUSD Gold Analysis Today | Bearish Continuation📊 In today’s XAUUSD (Gold) analysis, the market continues to show bearish structure after a clear rejection from the liquidity / supply zone. After sweeping liquidity at the highs, price formed a lower high, confirming potential continuation to the downside. Current price action is showing weak bullish momentum and consolidation, indicating sellers are still in control. 🔻 Key Observations: Liquidity sweep followed by rejection Lower high formation (bearish structure intact) Weak bullish momentum / consolidation Price holding below key resistance zone 📉 Scenario (Most Likely): Continuation toward the 4650 zone after minor consolidation or pullback. ⚠️ This analysis is based on price action and market structure concepts such as liquidity, supply & demand, and trend continuation. 📍 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects current market structure. Always manage risk before entering any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXGoldVision
8
Gold Breakout Holds -> Bulls Target the 5,000 ZoneHi! Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a clear ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance boundaries. The recent move shows a confirmed breakout above the prior horizontal resistance around 4,780, indicating bullish continuation strength. Price is currently consolidating just above the breakout level, which now acts as support. The highlighted demand zone around 4,720-4,750 aligns with the channel’s mid-range support, making it a key area for potential pullbacks. As long as the price holds above this zone, the bias remains bullish. A shallow retracement into support followed by higher lows would reinforce continuation toward the upper channel boundary, with a projected move toward the 4,950-5,000 region. A clean break below the demand zone, however, would weaken the structure and suggest a deeper correction within the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
6
Gold Weekly Summary and Outlook for Next WeekThe highest level of trading is never about mastering countless techniques, but about understanding cycles, staying true to oneself, and following the natural order. This week saw a "rise followed by consolidation" trend, with gold prices briefly reaching 4850. However, due to profit-taking and technical selling pressure, gold prices quickly fell back, and after several rebounds to around 4800, they were all pushed down, finally closing near 4749. In the short term, two key support levels are the resistance at 4780-4800. A break above this level would target highs of 4860 and 4920. Support lies in the core support zone of 4680-4720, formed by this week's low and the daily moving average. A break below this level would target the 4600 and 4550 levels. Overall, gold is currently facing both downside and upside resistance, and is likely to continue its range-bound trading in the short term. Next week's economic data is relatively light, with the focus on a flurry of speeches from Federal Reserve officials. Instead of getting bogged down in directional judgments, we should face reality: in 2026, with multiple variables intertwined, gold is unlikely to experience a one-sided trend, but rather a complex trend of "upward shift of the central point + amplified volatility". Using a range-bound strategy might be more practical than betting on the direction. After all, ceasefires can collapse at any time, inflation can spike at any time, and the Federal Reserve can change its mind at any time; this is the norm in the gold market. OANDA:XAUUSD BLACKBULL:XAUUSD SAXO:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD SAXO:XAUUSD
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Chuck_Wilson
2
Weak trend. Continue shorting.From a technical perspective, the Bollinger Bands on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are contracting, indicating that the market has entered a consolidation phase. Current support is centered around the 4700 level, while upside resistance is located within the 4740–4760 range. The market's core characteristics are currently defined by a recurring tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and the suppressive effects of high interest rates. Geopolitical events are driving short-term volatility, while the fundamental logic—stemming from high inflation coupled with delayed interest rate cuts—continues to dictate the medium-term direction. For trading in the US session, continue to focus on the gap resistance around 4745. If it fails to break through effectively, you can continue to short. Short-term trading recommendation: Continue to short in the 4745–4750 range, targeting 4700–4670. More Strategies ➤➤➤➤➤➤➤➤◍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_Golden_Master
Gold prices could plummet if US-Iran negotiations break downThe weekend's US-Iran talks failed to yield positive results, which was actually expected. As I mentioned in previous articles, the conditions offered by both sides were difficult to meet, so the outcome of the talks was naturally unlikely to be good. As a result, crude oil opened higher today, while gold opened lower. Judging from the current trend of gold prices, it is attempting to fill the gap. Looking at the 1-hour chart, gold has formed a small head and shoulders pattern. Once the price breaks below 4600, it is likely to continue its decline. If the situation escalates further and crude oil rises again, gold prices will also face downward pressure. In the short term, gold will continue to be influenced by the US-Iran situation, and everyone should pay close attention. My view on today's market is to short at higher levels. Gold is currently filling the gap, which presents a good opportunity to short. The 4740-4760 range is today's high and also the gap level. As long as it cannot be broken, it presents an opportunity to short.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ronnie_John
XAUUSD (Gold) Market Analysis📊 XAUUSD (Gold) Market Analysis – Bullish Structure Building 🚀 🔍 Market Overview Gold is currently trading inside a rising channel, showing a clear bullish recovery trend after a strong rejection from the main support zone near 4,200. Price action indicates controlled upward momentum with higher lows forming consistently. 📈 Technical Structure ✅ Ascending Channel: Price respecting both support & resistance trendlines. 📊 Dynamic Support (EMA Curve): The curved orange line is acting as a strong dynamic support, pushing price upward. 🔁 Retest Zone: Current price hovering around 4,700–4,680 support area — key decision zone. 🧠 Smart Money Insight 💡 Accumulation likely occurred near the bottom (main support). 📌 Current consolidation suggests continuation phase, not reversal. 🔄 Minor pullback = healthy correction within trend. 🎯 Key Levels 🔻 Support Zone: 4,550 – 4,680 🔺 Resistance (Short-term): 4,800 🚧 Main Resistance: 5,200 🎯 Bullish Target: 5,040 – 5,050 🚀 Trade Idea 🟢 Buy Scenario: From support zone with confirmation 🎯 Target: 5,040+ ❌ Invalidation: Break below 4,550 ⚠️ Risk Note If price breaks below the channel support, expect a deeper correction toward 4,400 zone before any bullish continuation. 🏁 Conclusion 📈 Gold remains bullish overall, and current pullback offers a potential buy opportunity. Watch for confirmation signals before entry.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarketStrategysignals