XAUUSD: Caution advised ahead of NFP releaseOANDA:XAUUSD current bullish momentum is weakening, and traders are extremely cautious ahead of the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change, which is expected to be USD-positive , accompanied by gradually emerging profit-taking pressure from investors. Therefore, I expect gold to have a significant correction soon after completing the upward move above the area.
You can read my previous analysis here:
There has been the appearance of long put contracts from CME traders being deployed into the market , which is a move to guard against a potential decline in gold in the future.
However, this is only the market’s preparation, and at present there is no sign of a reversal .
Continue to look for buy setups toward Targets 1 and 2. Pay attention to the Margin zone, where CME traders are concentrating a large number of contracts, which may cause price to reverse.
Key resistance:
Key strong support: ,
Margin zone:
Wait for confirmation of a Buy (Pull) signal from MagnetOsc Turbo on the lower timeframes after price breaks above the resistance zone and pullback. Place the stop below the most recent M5 swing low when the entry signal appears.
Continue to look for buy setups toward Target 1 & Target 2, while closely watching for reversal signal.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Goldprediction
Gold Price Eyes Upside Targets After ConsolidationKey Observations:
Current Price: Around $3,867.92
Support Zone: Near $3,865.00 (indicated as the entry region for a potential long position)
Stop Loss: Placed below recent low at $3,855.018
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: $3,875.109
TP2: $3,880.404
TP3: $3,884.974
Price Action:
Market is recovering after a strong downward move.
Recent candles suggest consolidation or base-building near support.
A projected zigzag arrow indicates a bullish breakout expectation.
Risk-Reward: Favorable with a small stop and multiple profit targets.
📈 Trade Idea:
Strategy: Long/Bullish Reversal
Entry: Around $3,865.00
SL: $3,855.018
TP Levels: $3,875.109, $3,880.404, $3,884.974
Bias: Bullish, based on support holding and upside targets being defined.
Gold 1H – Will Liquidity Above 3903 Fuel Reversal?Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,872 after multiple ChoCHs, with the next liquidity cluster resting above 3903–3901. Market structure shows engineered liquidity sweeps possible at premium supply, aligning with short-term sell opportunities. On the downside, a defined FVG buy zone and discount demand around 3832–3834 provide scope for continuation if tapped.
From the macro side, traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. economic data, while a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks in energy markets continue to shape volatility. This backdrop supports tactical plays: fading rallies into premium supply while preparing to join the move from discount demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3903–3901 (SL 3910): Premium liquidity sweep zone. Downside targets at 3880 → 3860 → 3845.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3832–3834 (SL 3825): Discount demand aligned with FVG mitigation. Upside targets at 3855 → 3875 → 3890+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep at 3903–3901
• Entry: 3903–3901
• Stop Loss: 3910
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3880
• TP2: 3860
• TP3: 3845
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Mitigation at 3832–3834
• Entry: 3832–3834
• Stop Loss: 3825
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3855
• TP2: 3875
• TP3: 3890+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains range-bound but liquidity-driven. Expect engineered sweeps above 3903 before deeper corrections, while discounted dips into 3832–3834 offer potential continuation setups. Flexibility is key: fade rallies at premium, but scale into buys if liquidity clears into discount demand.
Waiting for a trend? A continued rise?In early Asian trading on Wednesday, prices rallied before retracing several times, providing continuous confirmation of bullish entry opportunities. Prices surged sharply around the European session, accelerating past the highs and encountering short-term resistance below the 3900 mark. The US ADP data, released below previous expectations, failed to drive price gains, suggesting the market may test support levels in the short term.
Gold prices are currently fluctuating around 3865. Bulls are focusing on $3850, which has become effective support. Go long immediately upon reaching this target. If prices successfully rise from around 3850 and stabilize above 3875, bulls will likely continue their push towards the 3900 mark on Thursday. Conversely, if prices fail to hold above this level, prices are likely to develop a shoulder-top pattern and experience a short-term correction.
Trading strategy:
Go long in the 3850-3855 area, with a stop-loss at 3840 and a profit target at 3875. Break through 3875 and stabilize in the European session, then go back to 3870 to cover the position, with the profit target at 3900.
Pay attention to 3853, and sell short when the price goes high.Currently, gold is fluctuating and adjusting around 3870-72. We have made good profits by shorting gold at 3891. We have already notified the market to lock in profits a few hours ago. From the trend, we can see that the bullish momentum has weakened significantly. At this stage, we just need to wait patiently for gold to break through the support line of 3853.
Resistance: 3875, 3893
Support: 3853, 3828
Bearish Momentum Builds: Gold Aims for 3850–3840Gold touched around 3895 during its rise and then began to retreat, reaching a low of around 3856. Currently, gold is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3870. According to the current trend, gold will not continue to maintain its strong position in the short term, and because of the US government shutdown, there may be no economic data in the short term. Out of caution, the market may also press the pause button on gold to ease the upward trend!
From a technical perspective, gold fell from around 3872 to around 3793 yesterday, with a retracement of as much as $79; while today gold only fell from 3895 to around 3856, with a retracement of only $39. Judging from the adjustment space and testing cycle, the gold correction is not sufficient and there is still demand to continue to fall, at least to the 3850-3840 area.
As gold retreats, it may be difficult for the bullish momentum to regain its strength in the short term. Under the counterattack and pull of the bears, the high-level volatility trend may be exacerbated. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3870-3880 area. If it is difficult for gold to break through this area in the short term, gold may continue to fall to the 3850-3840 area through this resistance area. Once it falls below this area, gold may continue to fall to the 3820-3810 area.
So in terms of trading, I still think we can continue to try to short gold in the 3870-3880 area, first looking at the retracement target area: 3860-3850.
Gold continues to make new highs. Watch for key support levels.With the government shutdown, data collection and reporting by federal agencies may be delayed or suspended. Therefore, employment and inflation reports scheduled for release in the coming days may not be published, creating uncertainty and fueling a flight to safety.
Since the start of this week, gold has essentially set new all-time highs almost daily. While there have been significant pullbacks, they have been short-lived, and gold has rebounded to new highs. The surge in gold suggests that pullbacks are merely opportunities to buy.
On the 1-hour chart, after reaching its all-time high of 3895, gold's momentum has slowed. The moving average system is flattening out, and after several attempts to break below support, gold has rebounded. In the short term, there is strong support below, with the lowest point reached at 3856. As long as gold doesn't break below 3856, it is likely to continue its strong upward trend.
Trading Strategy:
Buy at 3855, stop loss at 3845, target profit range: 3880-3890-3900.
Gold at PRZ – Crab Pattern in PlayGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise as I mentioned in my previous idea and created a new All-Time High(ATH) again .
How long do you think the trend toward forming a new ATH will continue?
Gold is currently trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
In theory, Elliott waves , PRZ , and Resistance lines could be the start of a correction, even a deep one( End of the main wave 5 ) .
There is also a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern seen in the Gold chart that could lead to a decline in Gold .
I expect Gold to start correcting again.
First Target: $3,819
Second Target: $3,807
Third Target: $3,793
Stop Loss(SL): $3,854
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
The trend remains unchanged; will 3900 become a new high?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The gold monthly line closed with a large positive line, indicating that gold has officially entered the stage of bullish momentum expansion. It was originally expected that gold would break out of the double top structure and short positions could be held to see a sharp decline, but because the Democrats and Republicans failed to reach an agreement on a short-term spending plan, the US government officially shut down at 0:01 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday. This will not only affect the release of important data such as ADP NFP, but will also affect the US economy to a certain extent, thereby indirectly affecting the gold trend. This is also the main reason for choosing to change TP to 3855 to take profit in the short term.
Judging from the market trend and structure, the current rising channel has not been broken, so we are still mainly bullish on gold today. Focus on the 3850 support below. As long as this point is held, gold still has room to rise. On the contrary, once it is lost, it will further test the 3830 support. Focus on these two key supports, and you can arrange long orders during the day based on the strength of gold's pullback. Pay attention to the pressure of 3875-3870 on the upside. Once it breaks, gold will test the channel pressure of 3890-3900.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAP UPDATEWeekly Chart Update – Follow Up
3732 Hit & Closed Above, 3806 Gap Opens – Now Completed
Previously we highlighted 3732 as the breakout target after confirming strength above 3659. That level was successfully achieved, and now we’ve gone a step further: 3806 has officially been HIT, completing this weekly chart idea.
This also means all of our multi-timeframe chart ideas have now completed, a full sequence cycle from setup to fulfilment.
Interim Outlook
We’ll share some interim analysis tomorrow to guide through the remainder of this week. On Sunday, a brand-new multi-timeframe analysis will be prepared and shared, laying the foundation for the weeks and months ahead.
In the meantime, if we see any corrections back into the existing chart idea range, the outlined levels remain valid for structure and range management.
Current Outlook
🔹 3806 Range Gap Completed
The final upside expansion objective has now been fulfilled, completing the cycle.
🔹 Correctional Supports – 3659 & 3576
Any detachment below raises correctional risk. 3659 and 3576 (Goldturn) remain critical support zones, with the channel top confluence offering a potential bounce zone.
Updated Levels to Watch
📉 Supports – 3659 & 3576 (correctional zones), deeper floor at 3482
📈 Resistance – 3806 (completed), awaiting new upside mapping in upcoming analysis
Plan
The bullish structure has completed its full range cycle into 3806. From here, corrections into support zones would be healthy resets, while we prepare to track fresh setups in the next multi-timeframe framework.
Flexibility with structure and levels remains key as we transition into the next phase.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Fear-driven pullback? Still strong.From a daily chart perspective, gold is currently in a very strong uptrend. The price has been steadily rising, supported by the 5-day moving average, and has seen four consecutive days of gains. Wednesday is expected to see further upward momentum.
The Bollinger Bands are widening upwards, and the moving average system is perfectly aligned in an uptrend, confirming the strength of the upward trend. The key support level is around 3820. As long as the price doesn't break below this level, the strong uptrend will likely continue. Therefore, the trading strategy should remain focused on buying on dips.
The 4-hour chart shows that while there was a significant pullback on Tuesday, the price did not break below the middle Bollinger Band. Following this, a strong rebound quickly recovered the losses and reached a new high, indicating that the previous decline was merely a technical correction, not a trend reversal. In terms of short-term operations, we need to focus on the key support area of 3855-3850 below, and we can wait for the price to fall before choosing an opportunity to go long.
Trading Strategy:
Buy at 3855-3850, with a stop loss at 3840. Target profit levels: 3880, 3890, 3900.
Gold is approaching $3,900, is $4,000 still far away?
News:
On Wednesday (October 1st), the US government shutdown officially took effect in the early hours of US Eastern Time. Congress failed to reach a consensus on a temporary funding bill (CR) for fiscal year 2025, resulting in the suspension of operations of agencies such as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The release of the non-farm payroll report (originally scheduled for October 3rd) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data (October 15th) have been delayed indefinitely (depending on the duration of the shutdown).
This has heightened uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's decision-making. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the originally scheduled October 28-29 meeting has fallen from 90% to approximately 80%. The market has turned to alternative indicators such as the ADP employment data, but these alternative sources are less accurate and may lead to a more conservative policy path.
The current US dollar index (DXY) is at 97.78, down 0.1% on the day and down nearly 10% this year. The RSI is neutral to weak (47.6), reflecting that the safe-haven demand has not been significantly activated; spot gold (XAU/USD) is at $3,883, up 0.6% on the day, and the RSI is overbought (64), setting a record high, highlighting its role as a non-US dollar safe-haven asset; the 10-year US Treasury yield remained stable at 4.15%, with limited intraday fluctuations. Market concerns about supply disruptions were offset by short-term safe-haven buying.
Specifically:
Judging from the 1-hour market trend, the bulls are fluctuating at a high level with a positive closing. Short-term support below is at 3860-50, and the important support at 3830 is also on the agenda. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. The main strategy is to buy on pullbacks. In the middle, be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will provide detailed operation strategies in the channel, so please pay attention to them.
Strategy:
Long Position3850-3860,SL:3720,Target:3900
XAUUSD Analysis: Rising Wedge StructureThe 1-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) is currently presenting a rising wedge structure, a pattern known for its potential reversal characteristics when it forms after a strong upward move. This wedge is neatly defined by converging support and resistance trendlines, capturing price action within a narrowing upward channel.
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout Above the Wedge Resistance
In the bullish case, if the price breaks above the upper resistance trendline decisively with strong momentum and volume, it will signal a continuation of the uptrend. This could push Gold prices toward $3,920–$3,960 and possibly even the psychological $4,000+ mark in the short term. For this to play out, the breakout should be clean and sustained, not a false spike followed by a quick sell-off. Traders looking for long opportunities should wait for a confirmation candle and place stops below the breakout zone.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown from the Wedge Support
Alternatively, if Gold fails to break out and drops below the wedge's lower support, it will trigger a bearish reversal pattern. This breakdown could accelerate downside momentum, pulling prices back toward $3,820, followed by $3,760, and possibly even $3,700 or lower. Such a breakdown would confirm the wedge's bearish implications and shift intraday sentiment into a corrective or reversal phase. In this scenario, short trades can be considered with strict stop-loss placement just above the breakdown candle.
Scenario 3 – Sideways Consolidation Before Decision
If neither a clear breakout nor breakdown occurs, Gold may enter a sideways consolidation zone around current levels ($3,860–$3,880). This would indicate temporary indecision in the market and a potential buildup before a sharp move in either direction. This type of price action can trap both bulls and bears if acted upon prematurely. Therefore, in this scenario, it is best to remain neutral and patient, waiting for volatility to pick a direction.
Final Thoughts for Traders
Gold is at a critical juncture, and traders must approach this setup with discipline. The rising wedge structure demands clear confirmation before execution, and each scenario offers its own opportunity — but also its risks. Always follow strict risk-reward ratios, and avoid emotional trades inside the wedge before confirmation.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic events or dollar strength/weakness that could act as a catalyst for the breakout or breakdown.
XAUUSD POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is showing strong momentum and a possible move to the upside.
Market sentiment remains supportive for buyers, and price action indicates strength for a bullish continuation.
This could be a good opportunity to watch closely, as buying pressure may lead to further gains in the coming sessions.
Gold prices soar, where will the short positions go?Currently, gold is encountering resistance and falling back near 3893-3895, and the bullish momentum has weakened slightly. As mentioned earlier, the current price has reached our risk area. A large part of the reason for today's rise is that the US government has officially shut down. This kind of news-stimulated rise is not long-lasting. After encountering resistance, it will fall like a waterfall. The technical indicators have diverged and are overbought, and most funds cannot participate in long transactions in this extreme rising pattern. In order to increase liquidity, gold also needs a correction, so we consider continuing to short gold near 3893. To increase liquidity, gold also needs a pullback, so we are considering continuing to short gold around 3893.
Resistance: 3900, 3925
Support: 3872, 3843
Gold Buy Setup – High Probability Reversal from Key Zone
Price tapped into a strong demand zone near 3855, showing signs of a bullish reversal. Clean structure and potential for upside. Watch closely for confirmation and manage risk wisely.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis
3930 is still pending Our previous commantary sucessfully TP HIT As we took buy from 3855-3867 Both TP HITS at 3890
What will I do on NY SESSION?
I'm buying gold on every DIP
✅️ My First buying will be start from 3870 area - if the market drops for retest on H4 BOS I will took buy trade with very strict Stoploss.
✅️Secondly my buying area will be 3835-3845 zone where we have structurel support and liquidity meets the bottom trendine.
-My target will be 3930 In extension !!
Additional TIP: Buy the dips
GOLD at immediate Support ? whats next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our couple of ideas regarding gold and now again market make a immediate supporting area that is around 3876 to 3880
keep close that region and if market staying above that means there is further roam to upside,.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold Hits New Highs; Can It Break Through 3900?This week, key economic data releases to watch include the US ADP employment report, the ISM Manufacturing PMI, and the crucial September non-farm payrolls report. If data continues to show a slowdown in the U.S. economy, it will reinforce expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which will be good for gold.
While an October rate cut is highly anticipated, any clues about the future path of interest rates could cause market volatility.
On Wednesday, gold generally showed a volatile upward trend, breaking through a new all-time high in early Asian trading, reaching a high of 3895.37. The 3900 level seems unable to halt the price's upward momentum. From the perspective of technical indicators, the 1-hour chart shows that the price rebounded on Tuesday and touched the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and then rose strongly to a new high of 3875. The moving average system is arranged in a straight line upward, and the momentum of gold bulls remains abundant.
The 4-hour moving average shows a golden cross bullish arrangement, the price remains above the 5-day moving average, the gold price is above the middle Bollinger band, the gold bulls are strong and remain unchanged. In the short term, pay attention to the MA10 moving average position of 3870-3875 area. You can still go long when the price pulls back to this position.
Trading Strategy:
Buy around 3870, with a stop loss at 3860. Target profit range: 3890-3900. Hold the position if it breaks above 3900.
XAU/USD Intraday Consolidation and Bullish Breakout Setup ?Key Observations:
Current Price: $3,886.485
Recent Trend: Strong bullish momentum leading into a consolidation zone.
Consolidation Range:
Support Zone: Around $3,883.056–$3,882.998
Resistance Zone: Around $3,893.792–$3,898.092
Trade Setup:
The green box indicates a potential accumulation/consolidation phase after the bullish move.
The black zig-zag line suggests a range-bound movement within the consolidation box.
An upward arrow indicates a bullish breakout is anticipated from this range.
Stop-loss is placed just below $3,883 (around $3,877.383).
Target zones are near recent highs ($3,893.792 and $3,898.092).
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish continuation pattern following the consolidation.
If price respects the current support zone and breaks out above resistance, the bullish target is around $3,898+.
A break below the support and stop-loss zone may invalidate the bullish setup.