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Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently building imbalance around intraday highs, while demand sits lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow. • 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, ideal for liquidity sweep reaction. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,565 – 3,563 • Stop Loss: 3,560 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,585 o TP2: 3,595 o TP3: 3,600+ 👉 Expect liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction • Entry: 3,594 – 3,596 • Stop Loss: 3,601 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,592 o TP2: 3,590 o TP3: 3,585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560 👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp only with strict risk control. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,630 – 3,628 • Stop Loss: 3,637 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,610 o TP2: 3,600 o TP3: 3,590 👉 Targeting liquidity resting below intraday lows; best for quick shorts. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps remain short-lived opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Extended Pullback Ahead: A Golden Opportunity for ShortsDue to the stimulation of the NFP market, gold continued to refresh its historical highs, continued to break through the recent high of 3578, and touched the 3600 mark as expected. According to the current market structure, the bullish momentum of gold is strong, and there is no obvious peaking signal in the short term. As the center of gravity of gold continues to rise, the current short-term support will move up to the 3570-3550 area, and the short-term strong support is near the 3530 area. However, in this extreme market, we shouldn't blindly chase gold at high levels to avoid being buried in a crash. Two key details emerge from this: 1. Gold experienced a significant pullback near 3578, retreating to around 3511. 2. Gold failed to hold above 3600 before Friday's market close, falling back to around 3586, indicating some profit-taking. Furthermore, the current surge in the gold market is driven by news and, to some extent, has deviated from technical indicators. Market sentiment is extremely euphoric, making it vulnerable to a sudden collapse during this period. Furthermore, after this period of digestion, expectations of a rate cut have largely faded, potentially leading to a potential exit by large investors and panic selling. Therefore, I do not think that chasing gold at high levels is a rational and correct strategy. Gold may still retrace to the 3570-3550 area in the future, or even continue to retrace to the area around 3530. Of course, this is another opportunity to make short profits in the short term. I currently hold a short position with the average price around 3582. If you also hold a short position like me, I think we can seize the profit opportunity of the gold pullback next!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold price analysis on September 8✍️ Gold Analysis Gold price is currently reacting around the 3600 round mark. The main strategy is still to wait for corrections to the support zone to find BUY opportunities. Up to now, there is no signal from the daily candle showing that the selling force wants to take profits strongly, so the priority trend is still to buy when the price holds above important levels. In particular, breaking the support of 3514 will be a signal to further strengthen the uptrend. 📌 Important price zones BUY: when the price reacts at the support zone of 3575–3560. Upward target: 3600 in the immediate future, 3650 further. SELL: when the price breaks the trendline and support of 3360. Downward target: 3514.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
CBDCs, Cryptocurrency, & the coming Redenomination RevolutionDisclaimer: this is not financial advice - this is strictly speculation and scenario planning, and totally not drawn on privileged information from powerful people. Please consume responsibly. Let's set aside memecoins, rugpulls, and corpo coin acquisitions to focus on what actually matters: macro. I'm married to the money, so I follow macro wherever it goes. And it's going into CBDCs and cryptocurrency. You could say it started in the past 12 mos with the GENIUS bill, tariffs, BRICS' concept coins, etc but the truth is more devious than that. The macro perspective is much more than the flow of money, its the sentiment and interest of policy makers, national actors, and IGOs. In other words, groups that make money through passive taxation create macro conditions to control or create outcomes that influence how you make or spend money. They are interested in strategic payoff over cashing out. This means the way they look at crypto is different than retail and investors. As groups, you seek legitimacy for a profit payoff, they seek strategy for a power payoff. Fiat currency is not some platonic ideal willed into being by the laws of nature, it's entirely an instrument of the national interest. In other words, it exists only so long as policymakers find it strategically useful. So let's look at their strategy. For almost three years now, your world leaders and central bankers have been preparing for a reserve currency transition scenario. They've made sudden pivots to programmable currency R&D, they've been hoarding gold into CBs and taking extra steps to keep it quiet, they've been making strange comments about fantastical banking crisis scenarios, adjusting payment options for hydrocarbons (the USD is an international soft-peg), signaling the desired end of the dollar reserve (or oddly making protecting the dollar reserve part of their political platform), and building cross-border systems (BRICBridge/mBridge) to facilitate non-SWIFT or SWIFT legacy exchange/insurance/settlement capabilities. Certain essential economic entities in the West have been prepped as well but are not yet in position to disclose. Meanwhile, Ray Dalio is already identifying our monetary order as the primary vulnerability. He's not the only old rich person to notice. Buffet is done with markets by EOY. You could say that value investing is retiring. Contrary to popular opinion, this reserve currency transition will not take place as an Orwellian CBDC takeover or some BTC moon shot, but will instead be pitched as a redenomination opportunity - likely while GSIC banks are closed to customers (including ATM withdrawals and transfers and social payments or welfare services). Before I get into the why this will happen, let's briefly look at the fragility of the modern monetary system under fiat. If you think of the economic macrosystem as a living body, then you can understand, especially from recent memory, how a global infection could quickly bring just about everything to a halt. The lifeforce of the economic-being is the free-flow of USD. Powell has sufficiently proven this. In fact, you could almost argue the last 5 years have been the perfect demonstration of this gameplay loop. But you can't mistake the heart for the entire circulatory system. Liquidity is a digital dependency today. If the power goes out, there is no liquidity. If Window's crashes, there is no liquidity. If Crowdstrike gets hacked, liquidity is grounded (and air travel canceled). Liquidity is a luxury. It has been a luxury for all of human history. Only in times of conventional peace and American-led globalization have people begun to delude themselves otherwise. It will not work they way most think in tough times. Especially in our just-in-time widget meets server-based-bookkeeping era. The boardgame of money has never been flatter or more fragile. In an age of infinite KYC and a Bigger Brother, a major ATM corralito will not look like your Great-Grandfather's breadlines. Accounts will be electronically frozen (thus no withdrawals or personal payments) and social payments will be halted for several days or even up to several weeks (thus no welfare). Due to incredible complexity risk, capital controls will be applied like circuit breakers to shut everything down. This is how it will be done in major countries and how it has been done in small countries in recent years. M1 M2 M3 will be iced by natsec nitwits and placed under conservatorship. They will give you any and every excuse. Power outages, Russians, 4chan hackers, Iran, North Korea, Powell, Biden, a virus, weather, a disaster, Chyna, anything. They might even blame me. To be truly forward in global macro, having an understanding of financial securities is not enough. National securities are a necessary intersect. If the NYSE went down unexpectedly for a few days, it would in effect generate a "stroke" for the velocity of the USD. Only one link in the financial accounting chain needs to be halted to warrant shutting down the entire electronic transaction system. There is no fractal redundancy, so to speak - everything is connected and dependent on that largely centralized and live bookkeeping data feed, otherwise the whole body gets hospitalized. This is the great weakness of centralized finance and merchant services and I'm sure I'm preaching to the choir here. Only M0, select banking accounts (some community/credit & a chosen GSIC or two - IE, not Deutsch Bank), and alternative banking through cryptocurrency, will operate in that short window until your country's cartel sets a withdrawal rationing figure and initiates redemption options for the redenomination process. This process would likely involve the favorite GSIC (in the US) JP Morgan & the Post Office - giving national coverage to all area codes. You would convert your fiat, likely in cash and at a flat rate exchange that would be difficult for the layman to valuate, and receive the new notes. It could take several days to over a week before the rationing window is brought online. And even longer for the redemption system to be in place to convert federal notes to treasury notes (TL: CBDCs). These treasury notes will be backed by national assets - varying by nation, but always playing to their strengths. In the US, this means energy commodities, PMs, and the strategic crypto reserve and associated coins that service cross-border activity. The latter is the big money play, and has specifically been legalized through GENIUS to facilitate the merchant/business level transition when that occurs (the business-level redemption process will be aided by current crypto capability - which we will get in the DD section). I don't know if this board cares about PMs, but as a general standard, most nations that go through redenomination (a figure in the 100s) will opt to double or triple PM reserves (current standard is 20%), and will be interested in cross-border cryptocurrency (mBridge and/or crypto for BRICs, most of the G88, and potentially Eurozone). The reserve currency system under the US will come to an end at this point without any legal moves necessary to close the Federal Reserve. Initially, this will seem like a huge problem for the US alone. In reality, the opposite will be true. If you're a shoemaker in that pitiful collection of tourist destinations we call the EU, this is especially for you - because the fight over a national versus a continental currency solution could paralyze you all further. To wit, for the US and the world: it will likely mean the end of the housing market as a game of musical chairs, which will be the end of the global monetary system under its current paradigm for all major nations. Now I'm not trying to create fear and panic, even though that's the main thing this website does. No one will starve or get sent to the streets during a cash crash in a developed country in the contemporary era. The situation will start as a misunderstood market event. But there will be a Bretton-Woods tier recalibration at a national (likely international) level to follow shortly after. The "forum building" stage of this event has already begun. Tariffs are revealed to be part of broad but messy geopolitical strategy, the escalation of which will engage the monetary system itself (goods>ports>share listings>national bonds). You will see that sequence begin to play out in the months to come, especially after the Rio Reset dud and the Swiss paper metal tariff. Trump's "deals" with certain countries keep getting delayed or reneged. He will continue his holding pattern on this matter, switching between punitive and TACO to extend the tariff negotiation horizons. 1.Global Blocks The CCP are positioning to replace their dependency on the US-led Rules Based Order. When foreign policy suits and grey moustaches say 'RBO X' or 'US superpower Y', they mean reserve currency and maritime system dominance. It all comes down to coins and boats, as it always has. For our purposes, only the former is of interest (but buy all your high end electronics soon, because further tariff escalation will draw in shipping and port strategies - even if we freed up Panama beforehand). This isn't the right board for the investor note from hell, but all indications are a go for a reserve currency challenger framework to be officially announced Q4 or H1 of 2026. Most ongoing projects intend to connect commodities to currencies. This is necessary to build an alternative SDR. Certain nations and entities in the ME will be likely facilitators and front men for this framework (particularly to ease or lobby the G88). This is battlelines over bucks. Your favorite loose lips sink ships guy already came out rambling about it when he posted out of the blue about BRICs challenging the USD. I hope you all understand by now that when it wasn't a topic on Fox and Friends, then it's because he repeats what he is told in private. When China introduces a settlement CBDC (with Russian, various Eurasians + some MENA, and potentially Brazilian support), their international accounting will require reserves to be interchangeable with other CBDCs. These reserves will be similar to the Special Drawing Rights, but include commodities (particularly those favorable to the majority of partners; aka what they produce or already hold). This means more gold and possibly silver, to start (imagine going from 20% standard gold reserve holdings to 40/60 + 10 in silver). Later platinum, lithium, uranium, and other frontier tech minerals which will be increasingly valuable and likely included. Regardless, this transition will push Chinese investors (retail and institution) out of UST (even if the tariff threat has ended). It's not a reserve for them any more, it may even be illegal to hold UST over a certain amount. That could happen overnight. The inevitability of this sequence shouldn't be underestimated. Many of the big holders of US bonds, aka those with a stake in the ticker we call USD, are not friendly at best. Others are always looking for ways to hedge their risk. This is not the free-market as you understand it. It's being Eli Lilly but your biggest stakeholder is RFK Jr. You know that's not gonna last, right? For Europe, the reactive risk is closely related to disaster or conflict risk. Tariffs might be enough too. I'm leaning towards Germany or the UK accelerating the contagion for the broader continent. German manufacturing and energy are critically vulnerable. German PMI has been in effective contraction for 27 of the last 30 some months, and last year saw a record-breaking number of bankruptcies in the country. Both UK or Germany would handle an economic downturn poorly due to rising populist movements jumping on alternatives ( = national bond credit risk = currency vulnerability). The possibility of a second Brexit event following a commanding populist return is not priced in. Likewise, another pandemic or an expansion of Russia's war would lead to a tap out of EU economic unity. Annoyingly, the French and Germans are unlikely to search for an economic relief package of a conventional nature or one that is associated with American interests. In other words, they will be working with ME and Asia if the EU does not guarantee European continental harmony on a new Bretton-Woods framework (which I don't think they will). Japan also falls into the reactive risk category. The question is the cause package. They have no cushion and all it takes is a little shove. Yes they has a high savings rate, but purchasing power and their import dependencies (high-pop island country) negates any security they think that will provide. It's unlikely 3rd world exporters will keep the basic necessities flowing (think in terms of virtual water exports) for the next GFC or summer famine/disaster. 3rd world imports and access to cheap food underpins much of the shadow economy for Asia (see local news over rice cost) - so consumption would crash along with rising unemployment (uncaptured but real) - and the BOJ has no room to stop unemployment without sacrificing their national corporate champions (RIP Buffett) (and thus more unemployment in their zero-entrepreneurial environment). All of this is a pretzeled way of saying that conventional economic shocks could trigger the cash crash, or vice versa. Unconventional risk - like MENA cyberwar risks (who knows what blowback we might face after Iran), or even geophysical concerns like another "1000 year event" (happening every month now) but this time in a major financial area like Tokyo or SF (do you buy or sell disaster bonds in that scenario?). Suffice to say, the unconventional supporting fuel will be there. No one ever signals the big deflationary event to the greater public. But rest assured my fellow stallions, the leading signal flares for the USD are the health of the CNY, JPY & EUR. The rest is just conversation. As mentioned, the ensuing crash will be salvageable at a policy level, and thus not an inevitable depression, but only after the Bretton-Woods process comes to surface and settles, which could take most of 2026/27. This will be your golden crypto opportunity. 2.Opportunity DD Unlike the last global financial crisis, cryptocurrencies and blockchain tech are now an available solution for short term cash access and long term platform use. They are already a wedge in the US economy. People will vote with their wallets to protect their purchasing power by moving into liquidity (cryptocurrencies). Thus the demand for respective nations/regions to produce their own national digital currency to offset will rise. This isn't to say that physical coins (especially silver) won't be in a state of colossal demand (silver at 180 by 2029). But because most consumer and business transactions, debts, liabilities, taxes, etc still happen by digital bookkeeping, then cryptocurrencies (stablecoins in particular) will take priority until a national/international alternative is released. Which will come very quickly - likely by late summer of 2026. Crypto will remain bid as a trust arbitrage trade afterwards. I am providing this ahead of time, because a gradual buy in is the safest and most reasonable way to leave a mark on the market. TO OWN (in the interests of crypto): 1.PMs - physical ideally or by exposure to miners and mining ETFs. I have an 8,000$ price target for gold by 2029 (in 2025 dollars). I have 180$ price target for silver by 2029 (in 2025 dollars). Platinum = higher. I could go on and on about PMs. Decades ago I had a simple question: do prime mines sell gold and aggregates to government customers without reporting it? To answer that question, I am happy to report that I am still alive today. If you don't believe in internet magic money or virtual math money is too complicated, this asset is your first stop. It's a Golden Age. Take the hint. See KGC, GLD, GOLD & GDX. 2.Commodities - Lithium. Copper. Aggregates. Historically a great way to make money if you like buying Russian billionaires their yachts, creating nightmare company towns in central Africa, or funding "mining" companies that are fronts for the military industrial complex (MLM & MP = strong buy). 3.JVs - sophisticated only (which is a legal definition, not an aspiration). Not RE though (even utility related). All those watch-collecting power plant andy's on CNBC will make some money, but not as much as they think. 4.C-Word - WSB has the F-Word, Trump has the N-Word, and we have the C-Word. Again I'm preaching to the choir here, but it needs to be said anyway. As mentioned in the next section, there will be a valuation wild west period in which the shelf-stable stablecoins, other coins, and blockchain platforms will be used by developing countries and rich countries alike to fill in interoperability gaps and as a natural solution based on cost, availability, and immediacy for retail and small business needs. Only the most totalitarian countries, see Europe and China, will gatekeep over this. I strongly suggest buying and holding any digital currency currently settling it's legal hearings in the Southern District of New York. Or any digital coin holding company recently sued by the SEC (the Big Long will be the movie this time). And any that are based in the US via a foundation or corporation (IE, not BTC, which is owned and created by a British national), or start with letter X. Because {X} marks the spot, that's the DD. It is not a coincidence or accident the very first crypto Trump mentioned for the national crypto reserve was XRP - a coin he likely had never even heard off until hours before making that tweet. There was no BTC or ETH mentioned until spaces like this hurt themselves in confusion. Why? Because BTC was created by a British national who also owns a commanding share. ETH does not have the business or banking relationships or the payment efficiency edge - and again, founder residency (Russian/Canadian) and controlling organization (Swiss) are foreign. The XRP Ledger is strategically useful and the leading contender for cross-border activity. Cardano is of interest (and in relationship) to banks and governments around the world for tokenizing assets under the redenomination era. Virtually every traditional financial asset will be tokenized for legal, tax, and accounting purposes. That includes home and car ownership. Solana is a further potential where speed and cost matter most. Finally, though unmentioned by the tweet, XLM already has a CBDC use-case track record and should be considered as well. What else do XRP, ADA, SOL, and XLM have in common? American founders, with USA-based organizations. This isn't about jingoism, this is about strategy. You need to leave the history, anonymity, and grassroots community aspect behind for now. I agree that those attributes made crypto special in earlier eras, but it doesn't mean it will make you money in the redenomination era. It does not matter if your favorite Goonercoin has a better white paper or more airdrops. What matters is which coins are all-in on their chosen nations, and their efforts to generate relationships with banks, businesses, and governments associated with that respective nation. That is all that matters. You can rinse and repeat with your own countries, but I would focus on these aforementioned first, and then exchange to your local equivalent later. TO NOT OWN: 1.RE - will take the world's biggest beating when the EUR, USD, CNH, and JPY lose 30-40% of their value. The Reserve Recession event will be particularly painful for the elderly (pension+property) - thus adding to the pressure for CBDC solutions as a retirement welfare solution. In sum, the 30 year lending architecture will no longer exist. Many pensions will convert to digital currency systems. I wonder if that 401(k) inclusion recently has anything to do with this? 2.Sectors: all sectors except healthcare and industrials. Be wary of consumer staples and utilities, especially if you want to derisk your poorfolio from geopolitics. 3.Cash Accounts: don't be that guy who keeps 25k in his savings account. If you don't have a credit card, that's fine, but for everyone else, that money needs to be in physical assets, or intelligently invested. Remember, you aren't trading market volatility, you're hedging against monetary-systemic risk. 4.Other Currencies tied to the old monetary system - especially NIRPers. You could long the AUD/JPY, for instance, but don't own either via futures or ETFs (IE: FXE, FXY, etc - not even as a short). 5.Inflated Assets: in general, anything boosted by cost of money engineering (the modern monetary system function) will deflate. Lots of discretionary goods, luxury, travel, etc (Veblen goods). Investor Note: Do not expect cash to disappear. Those that engage in these cash crash predictions tend to be conspiratorial or hold prepper-mindsets. Those fear biases rarely align with reality. Besides a short ATM shock, cash will exist as usual during and alongside any monetary system transition, it will simply be a losing hedge. Ease of use redemption options at post offices and big banks will not be the only incentive for most people. Businesses and merchants will lead the way. As of this July, stablecoins are effectively legal in the US, when backed by the amorphously defined US Dollar (who's definition could change overnight with the right EO). This was a key green light to industry, giving them the option to navigate outside the conventional monetary architecture if need be - effectively defanging many potential capital controls for businesses. During the transition, businesses will quickly opt for the decentralized and reliable digital alternatives due to accountability, transparency, and availability - many options already exist to serve enterprises (unlike 07-08 monetary challenge), so this "free market" movement won't be entirely retail or consumer led. As mentioned before, don't be surprised if there is a prepared and proactive solution from the GSICs this time (unlike 08, which was reactive). 3.Outsider Information, Bessent, and the Golden Age: To summarize, crypto on the 'TO OWN' list will platform and support the CBDCs to come. Those free-market coins will present massive investment opportunities for several years to come. Eventually, you can and many of you will likely have to convert them to the digital winners of tomorrow, which will all be CBDCs. And yes, the US will eventually have a state-backed digital currency under the treasury via the redenomination process. It won't be called a CBDC because it won't be backed by a central bank, but a consortium of banks under the US Treasury, who's reserves will be required (gold) at far higher ratios than many CBs (2-3x current), but still held at the US Treasury. Will it be a golden dollar to serve the so-called Golden Age? Before he became president, Trump had a long record of statements and publicized deals that supported gold as an investment, in settlement, and as a part of a monetary system. If investors studied his ramblings the same way they study Powell's statements, they would see this. Either way, there will be an American CBDC at minimum, even if it's wrapped in golden foil and comes with QR codes on red hats. The Secretary of Fake Teeth knows this, and he and his foreign country comparables have planned for it. With all due respect to him, he was part of an all-star team of FX traders, the best of the best. They understand what makes or breaks nations from a currency standpoint and they have a track record of macro mania to prove it. He was the analytics mastermind behind Black Wednesday (NOT Druckenmiller or Soros). He's literally the currency guy (though gold was almost always his biggest position), and now in command of the top currency and the entire mirage of the modern monetary infrastructure as soon as Powell is out. He's the one who pitched the idea of a shadow Fed Chair. I don't know if he'll get that, but I do know he will get the next best thing: being remembered as the trader that successfully margin called the Federal Reserve. That's why he was chosen, he's going to oversee the biggest currency revolution in modern history. Simply put, over 88% of global GDP will be functional within a CBDC currency architecture according to the Atlantic Council's CBDC tracker, BIS industry research, and my own review - likely by the Q2 2026. That's a lot of imminent coverage for a reserve currency system replacement that wouldn't be needed for 20-40 years, according to modern economists (TL: wagies). Is it possible the people who facilitate cross-border cash flows in the billions know something consumers don't about the near-future status of our dollar reserve system? Or a matter of curiosity that a tracker like this is hosted on the preeminent US/EU think tank? Instead of, for instance, ronpaulgold.com-? The transition between the known reserve and liquidity system (USD dominance) to the upcoming digital cash systems of many qualities and styles (programmable currency playground) will constitute the largest global valuation crisis window ever. Even if, at first, only the M3 or M2 is replaced or two-tracked (in the USA). Even if they use some kind of national AI to help balance the exchange markets and oversee a new lending and credit model (spoiler: that's coming). Maybe it will be great in your country, maybe not. Ultimately, it's not a depression or a problem, not if you're prepared for it. That's my recommendation - to be prepared for an unexpected currency swap on a national or international scale unlike anything crapitalism has ever seen before. Upside to any downside: you make enough money and its hard to be depressed. Yes, there will be inflation, and everything will appear to fall (rise for room temp IQs) as the fiat cost of money paradigm goes offline and confusion around the redemption under redenomination structure is common for general consumers. But in purchasing power, certain commodities and cryptos will crab market instead of play dead for great vol plays, and in some cases, represent the last great financial investment opportunities. They are on the functionality shelf that some solution-makers will draw from, so rumor over their potential incorporation will drive tremendous spikes that will mint more millionaires from the lower classes than any other time in history. Some of you reading this will be in that cohort, I guarantee it. There is much more to be said about CBDCs, credit systems & lending, taxation changes, debt forgiveness, UBI/prebates, SWFs, and such - as all will fold into a new paradigm under programmable currency. It warrants another giant reddit thread that few will read, but you should have the right to know what neo-feudalists are planning with your money systems. From the Vineyard to the Hamptons to Jupiter Island, the dumb rich has become the dumb majority. Many of them will find out just how dumb the hard way. Wouldn't it be nice to know ahead of time? To not be caught off guard for once? The cypherpunks designed crypto for a scenario like this. It's the failsafe for when fiat inevitably fails. You may very well be able to hold most of your liquid wealth in cryptocurrencies over CBDCs. Maybe it depends on the year of adoption, or maybe your countries policies. But doing nothing is the only bad option, and its the choice most will make. Why take the flat risk of a programmable purgatory of software patches, invasive KYC, geofenced value, and conditionalized capital controls? Some of these CBDC solutions will not be sound, depending on your country. It's entirely possible they all lean authoritarian in implementation or inefficient and deflationary in practice. Don't comply without question. Thinking is still free. I'll give the same advice I'd give anyone in any era in any place on Earth: sound money = sound mind. I started retail trading before most of you were born, back when Metatrader was an advanced piece of software and worked with an IP from the isle of Dominica. I understand the appeal. Doing your own research, "working" your own hours, drawing an income from anywhere in the world. Of only being responsible for your own wins or your own loses. You had the choice between life as a broke serf or a broke merchant, and you chose the latter. Historically speaking, some of you made a smart bet. Lifelong wagies will never know what a privilege this has been. Win or lose, you took your own risks - you set fear aside to try your hand at making a fortune. There's a big trillion dollar bank account floating around out there and you only need to press the right buttons to withdraw as much as you like. That's the trading market. How cool is that? It's the pirate's life and I sincerely hope it continues. I don't want to log on to this board 10 months from now and see one big cleanup on aisle 9. That's why I'm here to do the needful for free. Thank you for reading my ZH parody. See you on the margins.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CountofCoins
Gold Daily Chart Analysis –> Triangle BreakoutHello guys! Gold has finally broken out of a large triangle consolidation pattern that has been building for weeks. The price action respected both the top resistance line and the bottom support line multiple times, showing clear compression before the breakout. 🚀 Recently, the price broke above the top line of the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout. This kind of move usually signals the start of a continuation phase with momentum in the direction of the breakout. Based on the measured move from the triangle formation, the projected target sits around 3,591.60 USD. Price is currently trading near 3,476 USD, which still leaves room for further upside. 💡 Typically, after such a breakout, the market may retest the broken resistance line (now turned support) before resuming its move higher. (but the pullback is not certain now) Summary: Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Direction: Bullish Current Price: 3,476 USD Target: 3,591.60 USD As long as Gold holds above the broken triangle resistance, the bias remains bullish toward the projected target. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
18
**"Gold Price Rebounding from Support:Potential Move Toward 3436This chart shows the **price movement of Gold (XAU/USD)** on a **daily timeframe**. ### Key Points: * **Support Zone** : Around **\$3,266**, this is the area where price has bounced up multiple times, meaning buyers step in here. * **Resistance Line**: Around **\$3,436**, this is the level where price has been rejected before, meaning sellers are strong here. * **Current Price**: Around **\$3,293**. ### What the Chart Suggests: * Price is near the **support** zone again. * If the support holds, the green arrow shows a possible move **upward**. * Price may first move up slightly, pull back, and then try to **break above resistance** at \$3,436. Gold is in a sideways range. It's near a strong support level and might go up from here toward the resistance level, as shown by the green line.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jasromana61
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3593 and a gap below at 3562. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3593 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3593 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3613 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3613 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3638 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3638 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3658 BEARISH TARGETS 3562 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3562 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3528 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3528 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3492 3470 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3470 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3438 3408 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
20
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, This is still a follow up update on our 4chart idea which is still valid and in play with the final gap still in range. Previously we had our Bullish target 3424 and finished off with ema5 cross and lock above this level opening 3499. This gap was filled last week just like we analysed followed with another cross and lock above 3499 opening 3561, which was also hit. We now finished off last week with a cross and lock above 3561 leaving 3615 open. Failure to test this final target will see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3424 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3499 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2615 - BEARISH TARGETS 3347 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3277 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3234 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2996 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update Range Break, Gap Confirmation & Next Target Achieved As anticipated in our previous update, price finally pushed through for a test of 3433, confirming the strength of the upside momentum we discussed. This test produced a candle body close gap open for 3564, which has now been successfully achieved just as projected. The close above 3564 further unlocks 3683 as the next long-term upside target. An EMA5 lock will serve as added confirmation for continuation toward this zone. Meanwhile, both 3564 and 3433 now transition into key support levels for this chart idea. Current Outlook 🔹 3564 Target Reached Our gap target has now been completed with a decisive candle body close above. This confirms bullish continuation and shifts focus to the next zone. 🔹 Next Objective – 3683 The successful 3564 break opens a fresh long-term target at 3683. EMA5 lock confirmation will strengthen the case for this move. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3272 (pivotal floor) 📉 Short Term Supports – 3433 & 3564 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3683 Thanks as always for your continued support, Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook | Gold (XAU/USD) Correlation📈 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at Key Support | 🪙 Gold at Record Highs 🔎 Quick Summary: • DXY holding 97.70 support inside a descending channel. • A rebound could push it back toward 98.25 – 98.50. • Meanwhile, Gold is sitting near $3,600/oz, at all-time highs, fueled by safe-haven demand and central bank buying. • The DXY’s next move will help decide if Gold keeps climbing or pauses. ⸻ 💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook On the 4H chart, the Dollar Index remains inside a descending channel. It has been forming lower highs and lower lows, yet the 97.70 level has repeatedly held as strong support. • 🔹 Buyers are defending this zone, showing demand. • 🔹 A rebound could take price back to the 98.25 – 98.50 supply zone. • 🔹 A breakout above 98.50 would be significant, opening room toward 99.00+. This makes the 97.70 region a critical turning point for DXY. ⸻ 🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Context Gold is trading at record highs around $3,600/oz 🚀 — a level never seen before. • 🌍 Central banks continue to accumulate gold aggressively. • 🏦 Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. • ⚖️ Persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand. Correlation with DXY: • 📉 If the Dollar rebounds, Gold could slow down or consolidate after its massive rally. • 📈 If the Dollar breaks below support, Gold could see further upside, possibly testing higher targets near $3,700/oz and beyond. ⸻ 📊 Conclusion The Dollar Index is sitting at make-or-break support. A bounce would show Dollar strength and may cool off Gold’s rally. But if DXY weakens further, Gold could extend its surge into new record territory. At this point, Gold remains the undisputed leader in the market, with DXY’s next move likely deciding how fast momentum continues. ⸻ ⚡ Summary in one line: 💵 DXY at critical support — 🪙 Gold shining at record highs, waiting for the Dollar’s next move.
TVC:DXYLong
by KhaleelSuliman
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone. Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact. If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone. Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Rockets Toward 3600 on NFP—How Can Shorts Escape？After the NFP market unexpectedly broke out, gold is currently testing the 3600 mark, and the bullish momentum is strong. However, when gold is facing the pressure of the 3600 psychological level, it is showing signs of stagflation at a high level. So I still think that before gold completely stands above the 3600 mark, it is still necessary for gold to retreat first. Because the gold market rose sharply under the influence of the NFP market, many investors were unable to intervene in the market in time, and even some investors who had already bought gold at high prices were not determined. Therefore, once gold experiences stagflation at a high level, some unsteady chips may first consider taking profits, thereby triggering panic selling; on the other hand, the gold market has risen sharply, and off-market wait-and-see funds dare not enter the market easily. Due to the lack of liquidity, gold may lead to weak continuity, so there is also a need for a pullback to increase liquidity! I still hold a short position in gold, with an average entry price of around 3582. Although there is a certain floating loss at present, the risk is still controllable and within expectations, so there is no need to be too nervous for the time being. I still expect gold to retreat to the 3570-3560 area before the market closes today.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
GOLD WEEKLY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, After completing our 1h, 4h and daily chart ideas this week, please now see update on our weekly chart idea, which we also smashed into pips!!! As anticipated - This time, bulls followed through in full force: ✅ We got our Target Hit at 3482 after confirming the gap from the body close above 3387. ✅ To finish the week on a high, we also completed our long-range axis target at 3576, which has been highlighted on the chart since the beginning of our tracking on this chart idea. 🔹 3482 Gap Target Achieved The upside gap has now been fully confirmed and met. 🔹 Axis Target 3576 Completed The higher-timeframe target we’ve tracked since the start has been fulfilled, marking a strong close to the week. With both the 3482 gap and 3576 axis target achieved, the bullish roadmap we’ve tracked has now played out to completion. Near-term, we’ll watch how price reacts around 3576. A strong close above could open fresh upside extensions, while failure here may trigger a healthy pullback toward 3387 for retest. We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA5 alignments, and structure expectations going forward. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD – New All-Time High Gold has just reached a new all-time high, touching the level of 3598.10 for the first time in history. With this move, the market has created a new Higher High (HH), placing the price near a very significant resistance zone. 🔎 Key points to watch: If price holds above this zone, continuation of the bullish momentum remains possible. However, in case of rejection, we could expect a pullback towards the 3500 and potentially 3440 levels. 📊 This zone will be crucial for defining the next direction of Gold. Traders should pay close attention to how price action behaves in the coming sessions.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by ForexAnalizaShqip
Outlook and Trading Ideas for Gold and Bitcoin in the FutureDriven strongly by the newly released non-farm payrolls data, the international gold price has achieved another breakthrough rally. It not only refreshed the recent high but also further consolidated the current bullish trend, which is fully consistent with our previous core view of "entering the market on retracements". For subsequent operations, we have a clear point: as long as there is no effective breakdown of the core support level at 3530, it is acceptable even if the entry point is more aggressive. The stop-loss distance should not be a reason to deter entry; simply reducing the position size will suffice. In the current strong trend, the "courage" to enter the market in line with the trend is far more important than obsessing over an extremely "precise entry point". Excessively pursuing a perfect entry point may instead cause one to miss out on the trending market. In contrast, Bitcoin's performance during the same period was relatively moderate and failed to stage a strong breakout like gold. However, the market's resilience is still prominent: after multiple downward tests, the support level around 107,000 below has never been effectively broken. Moreover, judging from the trajectory of recent low points, there is a gradual upward trend, indicating that bearish momentum is continuously fading and the bottom area is becoming increasingly clear. For Bitcoin, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of "exchanging time for space": there is no need to rush to chase the rally; instead, wait for the price to retrace, then build long positions in batches and gradually. By holding positions patiently to absorb short-term fluctuations, we can wait for the release of upward space after the trend becomes clear.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
XAUUSD on DROP on NFP??We have two patterns at moment head & Shoulder on H1 and Rising wedge pattern on H4. Today's NFP is comming and Expectations for this NFP aren’t high. A decent result could lift dxy and push gold lower. What possible scenario we have? • XAUUSD on undisputed bullish rising wedge channel,I'm expecting market will fall from 3556-3563 range and my Targets will be 3510 them 3490. •  secondly if any H1-H4 candle closes above 3580 then our analysis will be invalid All the entires should be taken once all the rules are applied
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
Forecast Overview Ahead of NFP Release Forecast Overview Ahead of NFP Release Bullish Scenario (Weak NFP Data) Consensus sees NFP adding around 75,000 jobs (slightly higher than July's 73,000), with unemployment likely rising to 4.3% and average hourly earnings cooling to 3.7% year-on-year. MarketPulse FXStreet +1 In this scenario, gold could break above its $3,578–$3,579 record high, potentially rallying toward $3,600 and even $3,879 if bullish momentum intensifies. FXEmpire +1 FXStreet Bearish Scenario (Strong NFP Data) Should job creation exceed expectations (perhaps above 75,000), gold may face corrections down to $3,450–$3,400. TradingView +1 Neutral Scenario (In-line Data Around Expectations) With NFP numbers close to forecasts, expect sideways movement or technical consolidation, likely within $3,540–$3,578. Traders might prefer range-based strategies. TradingView FXStreet
FX:XAUUSD
by Themba_PM
XAUUSD Ready for a slight Pullback ?XAUUSD Still way Bullish on every time frame. This could do a little pull back on H4 and D1 Analysis. What are your thoughts ? Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market. Disclaimer: The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading foreign exchange (Forex) on margin involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of leverage can work both for and against you. Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. There is a possibility that you may incur a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be fully aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from a licensed and independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by forexnawaab