Wait for confirmation and execute SELL BTCUSD signal✏️BTCUSD is trading in a narrow range of 117000 and 114500. It is quite difficult to have a trading strategy in this range. The best is to wait for the sellers to be strong enough to break 114500 to find SELL signals to a stronger support zone. Or wait for the buyers to react around the upper resistance zone of 117000. Because this is a breakout zone in the past with retests.
📉 Key Levels
SELL Rejection 117000
SELL DCA Trigger Break of Support Zone 114500
Target 110000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Goldprediction
XAUUSD/BUYSure enough, gold prices rebounded after retreating to 3338, resulting in a short-term price increase of $8 per ounce.
The gold market is awaiting news to drive a rally. Just now, when it was about to hit 3350, it retreated. I interpret this as a tentative rise, as bulls are currently in control. This test is merely a test to see if bears will launch a counterattack. As expected, the bull-bear game is a tug-of-war. Both bulls and bears are now vying for the crucial 3345 level. This level serves as a short-term reversal point for the month. If bulls seize this level, the market will continue to rise. If bears seize this level, the market will experience short-term downward fluctuations.
In the latter half of the New York market, I believe the market will fluctuate within a range of approximately $10. The Swing Trading Center recommends continuing to buy.
XAUUSD/BUYAfter the New York market opened, the gold price hit 3350 before retreating. This indeed reached the profit target set by the swing trading center. The current price has retreated to 3342, but the decline has not continued. This is because the previous resistance level of 3345 has formed a certain support level after breaking through this level and then retreating. In short, the short-term focus should be on whether the 3340-3345 range stabilizes. If so, gold prices may rise again after the upcoming Federal Reserve news.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up update on our 1H chart idea:
After completing both our Bullish target at 3352 and Bearish target at 3327, we now have a lock below 3327 which opened the swing range down towards 3304. We did get the drop, but not the full test of 3304 before price turned back up.
Right now, we are seeing a break back above 3327 and heading towards a retest of 3352 once again. This is in line with our ongoing plan to buy dips, but we must also keep in mind that the swing range remains open. This means any swings can still clear the gap left in that 3304 region before moving higher.
So, while we continue to buy dips, we need to be mindful that open swing ranges can extend moves in either direction.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3374
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3374 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3398
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3398 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3327 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3327 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD/ Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of analysis Gold (XAU/USD), 2H timeframe:
Trend Context: Price is moving inside a descending channel, showing continued bearish pressure.
Key Resistance Zone: The yellow highlighted area around $3,340 – $3,347 is acting as a supply zone / resistance, aligned with the 200 EMA, reinforcing bearish bias.
Rejection Signals: Multiple rejections (red arrows) confirm sellers are defending this zone.
Bearish Setup: Price is expected to reject from resistance and continue lower within the channel.
Target Point: The projection suggests a decline towards $3,302, aligning with previous swing levels and channel support.
RSI: Currently mid-level (~51), showing no strong momentum shift yet, but still leaves room for downside pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary Idea:
Gold is respecting the bearish channel and supply zone. As long as price stays below $3,347, the setup favors a bearish continuation targeting $3,302.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
The dividing line 3330-3340 is not broken and rebounds to short#XAUUSD
After repeated fluctuations in the white session last night, gold fell below 3320 in the NY session and closed with weak fluctuations. 📊This morning, gold hit a low near 3311,📉 which aligns with our short-term outlook.✅
Judging from the monthly chart, the decline of gold in recent weeks has not been smooth, and each time it has been accompanied by a relatively strong rebound. 📈Today, there is a rebound near the 3311 line below. This point deserves our attention.👀 Previously, NFP achieved a big rise after breaking through here.🚀 At the same time, this point is also the area of the daily 100-day moving average.🐂
The first time it hits this point, it is bound to usher in a bullish resistance, and this is indeed the case.⚖️ Once it falls below this point, the next step will be the 3300 integer mark, 🥅and it may even hit the previous low, which is also the lower track of the daily line around 3280.↘️
Although the current market is relatively strong in short-term selling, we should not be overly bearish in the short term.↘️ After all, the impact of the news has not completely dissipated. The Federal Reserve will also release the meeting minutes in the evening NY session, 📰so we still need to be vigilant that the bulls may counterattack at any time.📈
In the short term, pay attention to the upper 3330-3340 bull-bear dividing line. If you encounter resistance and pressure in this range, you can consider shorting in batches with light positions, looking towards 3315-3300, and defending 3345. If the rebound effectively breaks through 3345, gold may fluctuate again.📊
🚀 SELL 3330-3340
🚀 TP 3315-3300
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#GOLD... market perfectly holds today resistance that is around 3340-41
keep close that area because if market hold it in that case we can expect a drop towards our supporting areas.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 3340-41 on confirmation.
gold luck
trade wisely
GOLD'S likely scenarios on Jackson Hall Symposium (AI ANALYSIS)Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s stance on interest rates significantly influences gold prices due to gold’s sensitivity to monetary policy, real interest rates, and the U.S. dollar. Below is a concise analysis of likely scenarios and projections for gold prices under bearish, flat, and bullish rate outlooks, based on economic principles and market dynamics observed up to August 20, 2025.
Powell’s Rate Outlook | **Gold Price Outlook
Bearish (Expects Rate Hikes)** | **Bearish**: Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset, leading to price declines. A stronger U.S. dollar, often a result of tighter policy, further pressures gold prices. **Projection**: Gold could drop 5-10% from current levels (~$2,500/oz) to $2,250-$2,350/oz, depending on the magnitude of hikes signaled (e.g., 50-100 bps). Safe-haven demand may mitigate losses if geopolitical risks persist.
Flat (No Change in Rates)** | **Neutral to Slightly Bullish**: Stable rates maintain the status quo, with gold supported by ongoing uncertainties (e.g., inflation, geopolitics). Real yields and the dollar would likely remain steady, allowing gold to hold or modestly appreciate. **Projection**: Gold prices likely range-bound between $2,450-$2,600/oz, with potential for slight gains if inflation expectations rise or the dollar weakens.
Bullish (Expects Rate Cuts)** | **Bullish**: Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold and weaken the dollar, boosting gold’s appeal. Increased liquidity and inflation fears further drive demand. **Projection**: Gold could rally 8-12% to $2,700-$2,800/oz, especially if cuts are aggressive (e.g., 75-100 bps) or if economic slowdown fears intensify safe-haven buying. |
Key Factors Across Scenarios
Dollar Strength: Inverse correlation with gold; a stronger dollar (bearish outlook) suppresses prices, while a weaker dollar (bullish outlook) supports gains.
Real Yields: Rising real yields (bearish) hurt gold; falling or negative yields (bullish) enhance its appeal.
Market Sentiment: Geopolitical risks or equity market volatility could amplify gold’s safe-haven demand, moderating bearish outcomes or boosting bullish ones.
Inflation Expectations: Persistent inflation supports gold in flat or bullish scenarios, as investors seek hedges.
**Note**: Projections assume no major external shocks (e.g., geopolitical crises or unexpected economic data). Real-time market reactions to Powell’s statements, such as at the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium (August 2025), could introduce volatility. If you’d like, I can search X or the web for recent sentiment or data to refine this analysis.
What's your thoughts?
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 20.08.2025Gold trading in bearish channel with price at 3324 after support at 3312.
Resistance zones: 3329-3331, 3340-3343.
Low volatility indicates consolidation.
Potential for a retest of 3312 if bearish momentum resumes.
Watch for a break above 3341 as it could signal a trend reversal.
Trading Idea:1
Entry: 3329-3331
Stop Loss: 3338
Take Profit: 3312
Condition: Bearish candlestick at resistance.
Trading Idea:2
Entry: 3341-3343
Stop Loss: 3350
Take Profit: 3325
Condition: Bearish candlestick at resistance.
Notes.
Confirm with volume increase on sell-off. Watch for false breakouts above 3340-3341.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchPrice failed to break the $3,344 resistance yesterday, followed by a sharp move lower. It is currently trending just below the $3,324 resistance. Price remains capped under both moving averages, and the structure stays bearish.
The first resistance is at $3,324. A sustained move above $3,344 is needed to shift momentum, opening the path toward $3,364 and $3,386. If buyers fail to reclaim this level, the downside bias remains intact, with risk of a test into the Secondary Support Zone ($3,304–$3,281). A clean break below that would expose the HTF Support Zone ($3,254–$3,229).
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,324
‣ $3,344
‣ $3,364
‣ $3,386
‣ $3,406
Support:
‣ $3,304
‣ $3,281
‣ $3,254
‣ $3,229
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
The main event today is the FOMC Meeting Minutes , which could provide clearer signals on the Fed’s rate path and drive sharp moves in gold.
⚠️ Risk/Volatility Warning:
High-impact news flow begins today with the Fed minutes and continues into Thursday’s data and Friday’s Jackson Hole Symposium. Expect increased volatility and fakeouts – manage risk carefully and wait for confirmation before entering trades.
Gold 4h | BearishGold has been trading within a bearish parallel channel on the 4H timeframe, respecting both upper and lower trendlines with clear momentum to the downside. Price structure continues to form lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming the prevailing bearish trend.
🔎 Key Observations:
Bearish Market Structure – The sequence of lower highs and lower lows indicates sellers are firmly in control. Each rally attempt has been capped below previous highs, showing strong supply pressure.
Parallel Channel – Price action is respecting the channel boundaries. Recent rejections from the upper trendline reinforce the bearish outlook.
Psychological Level – 3300 – The 3300 zone stands out as a major psychological level and a potential magnet for price. It also aligns with historical demand, making it a critical support to watch.
Momentum – Current candles show strong bearish bodies with weak rejections, highlighting continued downside pressure.
📉 Bearish Outlook:
If sellers maintain control, Gold is likely to extend the move down towards the 3300 demand zone. A clean break below this level could open the door for deeper corrections.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
Base Case (Bearish Continuation): Price respects the channel and continues lower toward 3300.
Alternative Scenario (Temporary Pullback): A minor retracement to retest 3345–3355 resistance before continuing lower.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Watch for bullish reversal signals around 3300, as this level may attract strong buyers.
A breakout above 3370 would weaken the bearish bias and suggest short-term strength.
✅ Summary:
Gold remains bearish on the 4H chart, with sellers driving momentum toward the 3300 psychological level. Unless bulls step in aggressively, the downside remains the path of least resistance.
Gold Price Analysis August 20Gold reacted correctly to yesterday's scenario when selling pressure dominated and the price touched the important support zone of 3312 - completing the first target. With the current decline, the possibility of returning to 3285 soon is very high. However, investors need to pay attention to the risk of volatility from the FOMC's statements.
In the short term, prioritize the SELL strategy following the downtrend. BUY orders should only be considered when there is a clear confirmation signal from the buyers at the 3385 area.
Trading plan:
SELL: when the price retests the resistance of 3330 and is rejected.
SELL DCA: if the price breaks the support zone of 3312.
XAU/USD Continues to Fall and Approaches $3,300 per OunceGold has now extended its four-session losing streak, with prices dropping more than 1.5% in the short term. So far, bearish pressure remains active, as gold has lost some of its appeal as a safe-haven asset, mainly due to easing global geopolitical tensions and growing expectations that central banks may begin considering rate cuts. These developments have shifted attention toward riskier assets, leaving gold demand on the back foot. If this environment persists, the precious metal could face stronger selling pressure in the near term.
Sideways Movement Holds Steady
Since mid-April, gold has been trading within a lateral range, with the upper boundary around $3,400 per ounce and support near $3,200. So far, price action has been insufficient to break out of the channel, keeping the lack of clear direction as the dominant technical structure. As long as this channel holds, the neutral setup may continue to dictate price behavior in the coming sessions.
Technical Indicators
RSI:
The Relative Strength Index remains slightly below the neutral 50 level, signaling that selling momentum has taken control in the short term. However, the lack of a strong downward slope in the RSI has become notable. If the line continues to flatten, it could confirm a clearer phase of market indecision.
MACD:
The MACD histogram is also reflecting similar behavior, hovering close to the zero line, indicating that the recent moving average strength remains in a neutral zone. As long as this persists, gold is likely to remain trapped in a low-momentum environment.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,400 per ounce – Key Resistance:
This marks the top of the lateral channel. A breakout above this level could open the door to new highs, potentially establishing a more sustained bullish trend.
$3,300 per ounce – Current Support:
This level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average, making it a technical pivot zone. If price continues to struggle at this level, the sideways structure may remain intact for several more sessions.
$3,200 per ounce – Critical Support:
This level forms the lower boundary of the range. A decisive move below this area could strengthen the bearish outlook and trigger a new downtrend that may dominate over the longer term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
XAUUSD: Fake Out Confirms Bearish Pressure, Eyeing 3323 & 3314Hello guys.
We recently saw a fake-out above the descending channel, which trapped early buyers and confirmed that sellers are still in control. Despite the QML formation in the highlighted zone, the bearish pressure remains dominant.
As long as the price trades below the fake-out high, the overall trend continues to point downward. My immediate downside targets are:
3323 (first key level)
3314 (secondary target, potential liquidity grab zone)
If sellers manage to hold momentum, we could see a continuation deeper into the channel.
⚠️ Keep in mind that a clean break above the fake-out level would invalidate this bearish outlook.
XAUUSD 15m – EW Short SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 15m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to identify a short opportunity. The current structure suggests a continuation to the downside after the corrective move.
An additional confluence here is the red-shaded supply zone, which aligns with my projected entry area and strengthens the setup.
I am entering at 3347.26, with a Stop Loss at 3351.87 and a Take Profit at 3322.53, targeting the next support level.
Good luck and trade safe.
Bullish Setup on Gold – Targets Ahead!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is still moving in the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) and near the Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the rising waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,371 AFTER breaking the Resistance lines .
Second Target: $3,394
Third Target: $3,407
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,317
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: Buy low, sell high in volatile marketYesterday's strategy hit its stop-loss, primarily because the entry point was too early. If the entry point had been at 3330, support would have been stronger.
Now the gold price has once again fallen back to around 3330, you can consider entering the market again.
Recently, gold prices have been volatile due to a reduction in risk aversion following talks between Trump and European leaders, including Putin and Zelensky, on ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
However, without a substantive agreement, gold prices will not experience a significant decline in the short term and will primarily fluctuate within support and resistance ranges.
Upper resistance is at 3355, while lower support is at 3325. A break of either level will break the volatile trend in gold prices.
In terms of operation, you can rely on resistance and support to sell high and buy low.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts with our chart idea playing out like we analysed.
After hitting our Bullish target at 3352 yesterday we stated that we had no ema5 cross and lock confirming the rejection and that we are now seeing price head towards the bearish target at 3327.
Bearish target has now copmpleted at 3327 just like we said. We will now look for ema5 lock below to open the swing range or failure to lock will see price test the upper Goldturns again.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3374
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3374 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3398
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3398 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3327 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3327 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Beware of gold selling wave, surprise attack!
💡Message Strategy
Shining signs of progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks dampened gold demand, leaving bulls in a wait-and-see mood.
Traders pared back bets on a sharp Federal Reserve rate cut in September after Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. The PPI rose in July at its fastest monthly pace since 2022. Furthermore, preliminary data released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed one-year inflation expectations rising to 4.9% from 4.5%, and five-year inflation expectations rising to 3.9% from 3.4%.
These data suggest strengthening price pressures, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve is adopting a hawkish stance, which in turn is seen as a headwind for non-yielding gold.
On the geopolitical front, Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to meet with his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky for a peace summit, raising hopes for an end to the protracted Russia-Ukraine conflict and potentially limiting any significant gains in the safe-haven precious metal.
📊Technical aspects
Gold is currently under pressure on the daily trend, with the short-term moving average maintaining a narrow fluctuation at a low level. The current price is temporarily supported around 3330, but the rebound strength and continuation on the daily line are relatively weak, and a slight break may occur before a continued downward trend.
Technical indicators on the four-hour chart are slightly negative, suggesting that bulls should be cautious in positioning for any meaningful appreciation in the short term. Therefore, any subsequent rise is more likely to face strong resistance near the 200-period simple moving average on the four-hour chart, which is currently located in the $3,345-3,350 area.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3345-3350,SL:3380,Target: 3300,3280