XAUUSD: Recovery after the correctionOANDA:XAUUSD After printing a new high at 4059 and retesting the prior high in yesterday’s session, gold came under clear selling pressure. A short-term downtrend has formed. For today’s session, the priority is to look for sell entry when price pulls back into the resistance zone. You can read my previous analysis here:
Today’s balance level: 3950 . If 3950 breaks to the downside, price may continue lower toward before a recovery develops.
📉 Analysis
The short-term structure has shifted to lower high/lower low (LH/LL) intraday , consistent with a tactical correction.
The zone is also a Margin Zone , containing significant CME liquidity and a cluster of Long-call contracts from prior sessions.
Key resistance:
Strong resistance:
Strong support:
📊 Trading Plan
Buy the dip:
Wait to buy at with confirmation.
Targets: first 3950, then .
Stop: below the M5 low of the signal candle. Move to BE at +1R.
Sell at resistance:
Watch reactions at .
If a clear rejection appears (rejection/engulfing), consider a sell entry for the next corrective with target is .
Stop: above the corresponding resistance, manage flexibly.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Goldprediction
Gold fell sharply. Will there be a strong rebound?Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the market has experienced a deep price correction. This correction is primarily due to news headlines; coupled with gold's recent upward trajectory, reaching new highs, most traders are taking profits.
After hitting a low near 3945, the price has experienced a slight rebound.
The 1-hour chart shows that the MA5 and 10 moving averages show signs of crossing upward, while the MA20 and 30 moving averages turn downward, but the trend is relatively smooth; after the price pulls back and touches the lower track of the Bollinger band, although it rebounds slightly, it is still trading in the middle and lower tracks.
In the short term, pay attention to the 3990 resistance level. After breaking through, the price may rebound sharply and reach above the 4000 mark. Quaid recommends a light long position between 3940 and 3950, with a profit range of 3980 to 4000.
If the upward resistance level cannot be broken for a long time, the price will likely correct again, accumulating momentum and waiting for new catalysts to guide the market's new trend.
Has gold’s expected sharp drop signaled a market top?Gold’s movement yesterday was nothing short of thrilling—it broke down and plummeted from high levels, ultimately failing to hold above the critical 4,000 mark.
On the 1-hour chart, the moving averages have started to turn downward. From the 1-hour candlesticks, it’s clear that upward momentum has weakened significantly, and a double-top pattern has already taken shape on this timeframe. In the short term, gold is under pressure below 4,000, so any rally to higher levels presents an opportunity to enter short positions.
The current rhythm of gold is also crucial. If it doesn’t see a sharp pullback during the Asian session and instead maintains strength into the European session, continuing its slow, bullish upward crawl, gold may adjust by "trading time for space." In this case, it could extend its upward move, then surge strongly amid news-driven catalysts to complete a market washout. Therefore, whether gold shows strength or weakness today will be a key determinant.
Anyway, since gold has begun to fall from its highs, it's best to continue shorting in the short term. If the market continues to weaken, we can't rule out a short-term peak in gold.
Resistance Level:3995,4001,4015
Resistance Level:3944,3930,3910
Trading Suggestions:
① Short gold yesterday after it started falling from 4058 and rebounded to 618, or around 4015.
② Short gold around the top-bottom reversal point of 4000.
Short positions entered yesterday with me at 3977 can continue to be held. If the market rises to 4000, increase your position and continue shorting gold.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
Gold sees regular profit taking, direction unchanged
News:
Gold futures weakened during U.S. trading on Thursday (October 9th). This followed Wednesday's record high, prompting short-term futures traders to take profits. The ongoing U.S. government shutdown and other geopolitical uncertainties are keeping safe-haven demand for precious metals steady, which will provide short-term support for both precious metals.
Global stock markets saw mixed overnight performance, but overall strength was evident. After hitting record highs overnight, U.S. stock indices are expected to remain stable upon the New York market open.
Specifically:
Technically, December gold futures bulls have a significant overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is closing futures prices above key resistance at $4,100.00.
Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below key technical support at $3,850.00.
First resistance is seen at the all-time high of $4,080.00, followed by $4,100.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $4,020.20, followed by $4,000.00.
Strategy:
Long Position3960-3950,SL:3940,Target:4000,4030
Gold enters the adjustment phase, rebound and then shortGold has broken below its rising trend line, entering a correction phase. After breaking below 4000 points, it has experienced a waterfall-like decline, forming a double top.
Our short positions entered below 4050 have all yielded good returns, in line with our recent short-selling expectations. The main reason for tonight's sharp drop is profit-taking at high levels, coupled with the easing of Middle East relations. Since gold has fallen below 4000 points, a continued downward correction to test 3900 is highly likely in the short term.
Operation strategy: Continue to enter short positions at 3977 (the position of the previous rising top and bottom conversion), target 3944.
Resistance levels: 3977, 3986, 4000
Support levels: 3944, 3930, 3900
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
Gold’s Pullbacks Reveal Bearish Strength — 3960 in Sight!After gold retreated from around 4060, it encountered resistance and fell back frequently during the rebound. Although gold still maintained an overall bullish trend, the bullish momentum has obviously weakened, and the short-term gold market has entered a high-level fluctuation stage. Currently, the highest level of gold has reached around 4060. According to the current structure and rebound momentum, if gold cannot effectively break through the recent high of 4060, then gold is likely to form a secondary high point during the oscillation process and form an M-shaped double top structure with the recent high point.
Therefore, although gold is in an overall bullish trend, we still cannot ignore the considerable risk of a pullback in the short term before it effectively breaks through the high of 4060. At present, gold is testing the 4000 mark under the pressure of technical patterns. If the 4000 mark cannot withstand the test, gold may continue to retreat to the area around 3960.
Therefore, in short-term trading, we can still consider waiting for gold to rebound to the 4030-4040 area and try to short gold, first aiming at the retracement target area: 3990-3980; followed by 3960-3950!
XAUUSD 15m – EW Short SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 15m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a short setup. Price has completed wave (v) and is now retesting the Fibonacci cluster between the 0.618 and 0.88 retracement levels, which aligns with a potential reversal zone.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4059.16, serving as the invalidation level. My Take Profit levels are set at 3991.32 (TP1), 3985.71 (TP2), and 3965.74 (TP3), targeting the projected completion of the next corrective leg.
If price moves above the invalidation level, this wave count is no longer valid.
Good luck and trade safe!
Gold is experiencing a pullback. Trend Analysis.Spot gold fluctuated and weakened in early Asian trading on Thursday, falling nearly 1% to near the $4,000 mark, hitting a low of $4,001.33. However, it quickly rebounded above $4,020, buoyed by buying. On Wednesday, gold prices not only broke through $4,000 for the first time, but also hit a new all-time high of $4,059.07, driving silver prices to a record closing high.
However, just as the rally was in full swing, a sudden turn in the Middle East geopolitical situation—a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel—quickly cooled market risk aversion, leading to a pullback in gold prices on Thursday. This warrants investor caution. Investors should monitor further news on the Middle East situation and shifts in risk aversion, wary of the possibility that this factor could prompt more long-term profit-taking, triggering a deeper correction in gold prices. They should also be mindful of any dip-buying support.
After Wednesday's rally, gold reached a high near 4059. It reached a high during the consecutive Asian and European sessions, then retreated slightly in the US session, reaching a low near 4000, consistent with the previously analyzed strategy of buying on dips to key levels.
In the short term, maintain a bullish long position, with 4000 as a defensive level. Focus on the previous high of 4060. If it doesn't break, take short-term profits. If it does, the market could potentially head towards 4100 or even higher.
In addition, keep an eye on Thursday, which could be a turning point this week, potentially leading to a sweeping decline.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on the 4050-4060 resistance, and the short-term support below is 4000-3990.
Strategy:
Go long near 4010, with a stop-loss at 4000. Profit range: 4650-4060.
The adjustment has begun, seize the opportunityGold has remained in overbought territory for the past month. After four consecutive days of strong gains, investors have taken profits, and gold's safe-haven appeal has waned. US President Trump stated that a resolution to the Middle East conflict is "very close." Previously, Israeli and Hamas officials expressed cautious optimism about ongoing negotiations in Egypt, believing that the two-year Gaza conflict could end.
From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator has been in the overbought range. As mentioned before, the recent rise in gold was driven by news. When geopolitical tensions ease, gold will definitely adjust. Today's trend is in line with our expectations. At this stage, we only need to focus on the 4000 point support. If it falls below this position, the next support will be at 3977-3980.
Those who followed me in entering short positions below 4050 today have already taken profits on some of their positions near 4020, and will gradually take profits on the remaining positions near 4000.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
Gold Over $4K: Blow-Off Top or Launchpad Higher?Gold (GC1!) has been one of the most beautifully trending markets over the past two years — a textbook example of structure, momentum, and clean technical behaviour. We’ve been following it closely since February 2024, and every markup and re-accumulation phase has respected the 5 / 10 / 20 / 50 MA stack perfectly.
Now, price has reached the key $4 000 zone after yet another powerful rally leg. The big question: are we seeing a blow-off top forming, or is this simply another launch pad before the next expansion higher?
Personally, I think we might need a flush toward the 50 MA (orange) to reset momentum and shake out late buyers before any real continuation. That said, I won’t even think about shorts unless the Daily closes below the 20 MA — the trend is still firmly bullish until proven otherwise.
Let’s be honest though… this is where everyone suddenly becomes a top-caller, trying to outsmart a two-year uptrend 🤦♂️. We just keep it simple — follow the chart, trust the EMAs, and stay bullish until the structure actually breaks down.
Key points:
• Daily trend remains bullish with EMAs cleanly stacked.
• A healthy pullback toward the 50 MA could reset momentum.
• Short bias only valid after a Daily close below the 20 MA.
• Holding above 20 ma keeps continuation structure intact.
• Bias remains bullish until proven otherwise.
Questions for you:
1. Do you think this is the final blow-off or just another launch pad before 5K?
2. How far do you see this pullback going — 20 EMA bounce or full flush to the 50 EMA?
3. Are you still riding the trend, or are you one of the many trying to call the top too early?
Enter the market with a short position and wait for a pullbackYesterday, as expected, the price fell from around 3977 to 3940, resulting in significant profits on both short positions. We subsequently suggested going long near 3920. Unfortunately, we didn't reach our expected entry point.
Gold has broken through 4000 points as expected by the market. The current high is 4025, which has reached what we call the resistance area. Be prepared to enter a short position here. Don’t worry about whether it is a bullish trend or a decline. The only thing that matters is making money in the end.
It is worth noting that gold and the US dollar have shown a rare trend of simultaneous strengthening recently. The rise in gold is mainly driven by short-term news, but from the perspective of historical linkage, the strong pattern of the US dollar as the pricing currency of gold is sustainable. If the US dollar continues to rise in the future, it will inevitably significantly suppress the upward space of gold, which further supports our current decision to arrange short positions.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
The short-term adjustment of gold is for a better rise
News:
During the Asia-Europe session on Wednesday, spot gold hit a bottom and rebounded. Affected by the ceasefire agreement signed by Hamas in Gaza, it fell nearly 1% during the session, and then rebounded sharply. It is currently down 0.07%, and its price is stable above the historical high of US$4,000 per ounce.
Gold smells a familiar smell of sweeping here, which is in line with our expectations. According to the signal strategy given yesterday, if the price reaches 4020-4025, enter the long position and you can make a profit now.
Specifically:
The bullish momentum has not been broken. The upper double-line support on the hourly chart, along with the channel line, serves as a defensive dividing line.
This rally, which began at 3280 in August, accelerated in September and doubled in October, with a nearly $780 surge, setting a new record and reshaping market perception.
The two closest waves, one at 3720 and the other at 3820, sought support for further gains.
The upper double-line support on the hourly chart is currently between 4000 and 4010, tentatively serving as the dividing line for any shifts in momentum. Holding the upper double-line support level will ensure the overall bullish momentum remains unchanged, and any short-term pullbacks and accelerations are intended to facilitate a stronger rally.
Strategy:
Long Position4020-4030,SL:4010,Target:4060,4080
Bullish Retracement Setup on Gold (XAU/USD)a bullish retracement setup on Gold (XAU/USD) in the 30-minute timeframe. After a downward correction, price has bounced from a minor support zone and is now showing signs of recovery toward the previous resistance area (target zone). The setup features a defined entry zone, stop-loss below the support, and target at the resistance level—indicating a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a long (buy) position.
Gold XAUUSD Breakout Setup | VWAP and Market Structure Explained📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis
Gold remains in a bullish trend overall 💪. On the 30-minute timeframe, price is approaching a key level of resistance near the previous swing high.
📈 The VWAP bands show price pressing up toward the first deviation, suggesting momentum remains strong — but this is also where we often see short-term reactions.
💡 Trade idea:
If price can break above the previous high and the first VWAP deviation, then a retrace and retest of that level could offer a potential long opportunity for continuation 🏹.
However, if this setup fails to materialize and price rejects from the current zone, we abandon the long idea and wait for clearer confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Continued adjustments. Follow the trend.Gold started a steady rise right after the Asian market opened on Wednesday, reaching a high of around 4058.
In the recent market, the bulls have become completely numb to the repeated record highs. In the early stage, the market thought that the integer level of 4000 might form a certain suppression and achieve a callback effect; the fact is that this integer level has no resistance, which also makes the market refresh our cognition. On Wednesday, the U.S. market was trading sideways at a high level. After retreating to around 4026 in the European market, it continued to rise, and the upper pressure position continued to rise.
The moving average system is intact. After a pullback near 4000 in the early Asian session, it continued to rise.
The 4-hour chart shows that the market is in a period of consolidation and correction at a high level, with prices temporarily under pressure near 4050. Currently, the short-term moving average continues to show signs of slight downward divergence, suggesting a consolidation and correction in the short term. The 1-hour chart shows that after a period of narrow range fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. There may be some room for a short-term rebound, but the momentum will be relatively small.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on a pullback to around 4025, with a stop loss at 4015 and a profit range of 4050-4060.
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year.
The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point.
• The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter.
• Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation.
• Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989
SL: 3980
TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070
SL: 4077
TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in.
• On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops.
• Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure.
🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted that gold was extended and due for a retracement.
Price failed to hold above 4046 and sharply pulled back, testing the upper edge of the First Reaction Zone, which also aligns with the MA50, now acting as dynamic support.
For bullish momentum to continue toward 4064 and 4080, price needs to reclaim and hold above 4046.
Failure to do so could trigger another retest of the reaction zone and potentially a deeper pullback toward the lower support levels before buyers step back in.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4046
4064
4080
Support:
4020
4000
3970
3937
3909
🔎Fundamental Focus | October 9, 2025
Today’s spotlight is on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which is expected to set the tone for the day. Markets will be watching closely for any hints on rate-cut timing or comments addressing economic risks amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.
Additional Fed officials — Bowman and Barr — are also scheduled to speak throughout the day, which could add layers of volatility if their remarks differ in tone from Powell’s.
With U.S. data releases still limited by the shutdown, today’s Fed communications will be the key market driver.
Do you dare to follow the short selling?Judging from the hourly chart, gold rebounded after testing the lower support several times, and stagnated after rebounding to around 4040. After closing the hourly line with a doji, it formed a large negative line. This pattern means that gold may pull back to test the lower support in the short term. Secondly, gold is still under trend suppression in the short term, so we have good reasons to short it.
If gold rebounds again to around 4030-4040, we could consider a light short position, with an eye on 4015-4000.
For more real-time updates, please follow🌐
Short GoldBy hitting ATH I now see a small retracement which is the move that I'm catching.
Has we can see, the price broke the brevious low (orange block) and made an internal retracement (green block/sell block) which was the entry point, the confirmation that validated my trade was the long bearish engulfing candle so I am targetting the levels in between 4,000-3,986 and there most probably the bulls will take control again.
XAUUSD on swing 4080 markXAUUSD is still maintaining the bullish streak Trapping the traders on intraday basis. I will buy gold on every dip till my Traget 4080
What will I do Today?
I took small buy trade at 4028 and expecting the upside move.
-My target will be $4080 & 4065 In extension !!
Additional Tip:
-If H4 closed below 4025 then market will test 3990.
The support is stable. Buy on pullbacks.The strong pattern of the gold market continues, and prices continue to break through historical highs. This strong upward trend has become the new market norm, reinforcing investors' optimistic expectations. However, as gold prices continue to climb to new heights, market sentiment is tinged with a touch of caution, with some investors becoming uneasy about the excessive short-term gains and fearing the possibility of volatile fluctuations.
Although there have been technical pullbacks recently, the pullbacks have been relatively small and have not changed the upward trend. In the current clear, one-way upward trend, a rational trading strategy aligns with the primary trend, viewing each pullback as an opportunity to enter long positions on dips rather than a sign of a trend reversal.
Judging from the 4-hour chart, the current key support area is around 4000, which is an important watershed for judging the strength of the short-term trend. Trading strategies recommend buying on pullbacks, patiently waiting for prices to fall back to support levels before buying. Be wary of high-level volatility and avoid frequent trading during periods of uncertain direction.






















