Goldprediction
Gold XAUUSD: Overextension, Pullback, and Key Opportunities📊 Watching Gold (XAUUSD), we’ve seen price make an aggressive push higher, leaving the market looking overextended after such a strong run.
🔎 From here, I’m anticipating a retracement back toward equilibrium ⚖️. In the short term, this sets up the possibility of a counter-trend short opportunity.
📈 Longer-term, my focus remains bullish. I’ll be looking for price to retest key support zones and then confirm strength with a bullish break of market structure. That would offer a high-probability continuation entry 🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Gold’s Bullish Run: Ascending Channel Targets $3715Hi guys!
Gold has been showing incredible strength lately. Earlier, it formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, broke out, and hit its target perfectly.
Now
Things are getting even more exciting. We’ve just seen a widening pattern develop , and price has already broken out of it to the upside. That’s another strong signal that bulls are firmly in control.
At the same time, gold is respecting a clear ascending channel, and with momentum pushing higher, the next key target sits around $3715, near the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price holds above the broken pattern zone, the outlook stays strongly bullish, and dips are likely to be bought up quickly.
Trend: Bullish
Target: $3715
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
The upward trend has been broken; are the bears doomed?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
I had to go out for something on Friday, so I left everyone with a bearish trading strategy. As the gold price rose on Friday night, the limit order I set at 3685 before leaving was activated. At present, friends who have referred to the trading strategy should be holding short positions like me. Let’s briefly analyze the possible market trends on Monday and how to arrange the short positions in hand.
First, let’s review Friday’s trend. Driven by news and large-scale buying intervention from major ETF funds, gold in the US market broke the trend and began to rise. The 15-minute chart formed a classic W-shaped pattern, forming a double bottom near 3645. It then rebounded, breaking through the short-term resistance around 3660-3665, and ultimately rising to around 3685.
The daily chart shows that Friday saw a large bullish candlestick close, with gold prices once again stabilizing above the MA5 moving average. This suggests a renewed bullish rally, and gold prices may continue to rise on Monday.
At the same time, you can observe silver, which is also a precious metal. The upward trend of silver has not been broken, so the bulls still exist in the short term, which indirectly reflects the possibility of gold rising on Monday. But one thing worth noting is that when gold hit a new historical high earlier, silver also hit a new high. This time, silver broke through again, but gold did not follow suit and break new highs. This involves issues such as exchange rate conversion. Therefore, sometimes the US dollar and silver can be used as a reference for us, but we should not trust them too much.
Overall, my judgment on gold on Monday is that it may continue to rise at the opening and touch around 3700 before encountering resistance and falling back, falling to near the turning point and then rebounding. Therefore, friends who hold short positions do not need to worry too much. Friends with sufficient funds can consider adding short positions around 3700 and adjust the TP of all short positions in their hands to 3670-3660. For those with smaller accounts or who can't effectively manage their trades, consider hedging to protect your account and unwind the hedge after the pullback. On the contrary, if gold falls directly, we can still look towards 3670-3660.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 22.09.2025Gold has recently broken its all-time high and is currently trading at 3711, signaling continued bullish momentum in the market. However, after such a strong breakout, a short-term retracement is likely as price action tends to revisit previous consolidation zones to gather liquidity. I'm now watching the 3693–3696 area closely—a key level where gold previously consolidated before the breakout. This zone is expected to act as a liquidity pocket, where the market may dip briefly to shake out early long positions and trap impatient sellers before resuming its upward trajectory. This kind of move is typical in strong trending markets, where price pulls back to retest former resistance turned support and collect orders before the next leg higher. My plan is to go long in the 3693–96 range, with a tight stop-loss placed at 3685, just below the liquidity sweep zone, minimizing downside risk. The target for this trade is 3725, anticipating that momentum will carry gold to fresh highs once the pullback completes and institutional buying steps back in.
Analysis of gold price intraday trend!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Monday (September 22nd), spot gold prices saw slight fluctuations and are currently trading at $3,690 per ounce. Last week, after the Federal Reserve unanimously announced its first interest rate cut of the year on Wednesday as expected, the London gold price quickly broke through a record high of $3,700. The ongoing Middle East crisis and the Russo-Ukrainian conflict, now entering its third year, are also supporting gold's upward trend. This rally, which has lasted five consecutive weeks, is primarily driven by three factors: first, the market firmly expects the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates in the second half of this year and even into 2026; second, the ongoing instability in the Middle East and the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian conflict; and third, the continued weakening of the US dollar. Although it rebounded slightly after the Fed's decision, it remains generally weak. The "sell on good news" principle seems to be reassuring. Looking ahead to this week, the market will be expecting a series of key data releases, including the September PMIs for the US, Japan, and Europe on Tuesday, the final US second-quarter GDP and durable goods orders on Thursday, the US PCE inflation report on Friday, and speeches by several Fed officials, particularly the views of new Fed member Milan. These data will directly impact the probability of a Fed rate cut in October, currently priced at 91.9%.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's daily chart showed a correction with consecutive declines. The New York closing price fell below the 10/7-day moving averages, with gold and the US dollar moving in lockstep. Friday's sharp rise saw a strong close in late trading, with the daily chart closing strongly positive. The New York closing price once again crossed above the 103660 MA, and the 7/5-day moving averages remained upward. Technically, the four-hour and hourly charts show gold prices re-entering the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages forming a golden cross and opening upward, and the RSI indicator trading above its mid-axis. Early trading on weekly pullbacks is primarily for buying low, with selling high as a secondary consideration.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold long at 3672-3675, stop loss at 3663, target at 3700-3720;
Short-term gold short at 3727-3730, stop loss at 3739, target at 3690-3670;
Key points:
First support level: 3675, second support level: 3662, third support level: 3646
First resistance level: 3703, second resistance level: 3716, third resistance level: 3728
XAU/USD(20250922) Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Board Governor Milan: Expects continued rate cuts in the coming months and will work to convince other policymakers to cut more quickly; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: Two more rate cuts this year would be appropriate.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
3667
Support/Resistance Levels:
3719
3700
3687
3647
3634
3614
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 3687, consider entering a buy/sell position, with the first target at 3700.
If the price breaks below 3667, consider entering a sell position, with the first target at 3647.
Gold is Ready For Bull After Forming a Strong SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals.
Core Setup
Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276).
A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move.
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets:
TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8%
Scenario 2: Correction First
Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to:
TP1: $2,920
TP2: $2,650
If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected.
Macro Alignment
Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid.
Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold.
Inverse correlation with DXY:
DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold
DXY above 100 → signals correction
Effect on Altcoins
If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins.
If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold.
This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3692 and a gap below at 3673. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3692
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3692 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3717 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3742
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3742 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768
BEARISH TARGETS
3673
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3673 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3650
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3650 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3622
3592
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3592 WILL OPEN THESECONDARY SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3696 and a gap below at 3655. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3738
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3778
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3811
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3845
BEARISH TARGETS
3655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3583
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3546
3509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3458
3409
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update
3683 Target Achieved, Long-Range 3789 Opens
Great finish last week as we got the 3683 target hit following candle body and EMA5 lock above 3564. This clean breakout move confirms the strength of the bullish momentum and completes the next phase of our projected sequence.
We are now seeing candle body close above 3683, which has opened the long-range upside target at 3789. A sustained EMA5 lock above this zone will further confirm continuation strength.
For this momentum to remain healthy, we want to see the channel top act as support on any correction, establishing a solid base for the range expansion. A hold here would validate the breakout structure, while failure to maintain support risks fading back into the channel.
Current Outlook
🔹 3683 Target Reached
Projection played out with precision as the EMA5 lock above 3564 confirmed continuation, giving us the upside completion into 3683.
🔹 Next Objective – 3789
Price action now extends higher, with body closes above 3683 opening the door toward the 3789 target. EMA5 lock here will be the key confirmation for strength.
🔹 Channel Top Support Crucial
The channel top now flips into potential support. Holding above it will sustain the bullish breakout narrative, while any breakdown back below risks a fake-out.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3433 & 3564
📉 Deeper Support – 3272 (pivotal floor)
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3789
Thanks as always for your continued support,
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update
3659 Retested & Closed Above, 3732 Gap Opens
Last week we saw 3659 tested again, and this time we finished with a weekly candle body close above the level, officially opening the gap toward 3732. This marks a significant step in confirming continuation of the bullish sequence.
At the same time, we must note a detachment left below at 3576. Both 3659 and 3576 now act as correctional support zone levels to keep in mind should price pull back before continuation higher.
Current Outlook
🔹 3659 Retest & Close Above
The weekly body close above 3659 clears resistance and validates upside progression.
🔹 Long-Range Gap Toward 3732
With 3659 cleared, momentum now shifts focus to 3732 as the next upside objective. EMA5 lock confirmation here will further solidify strength.
🔹 Correctional Supports at 3659 & 3576
While the path to 3732 is open, 3659 and 3576 both serve as important levels of support. A healthy correction into these zones would help establish a strong base for continuation.
Updated Levels to Watch
📉 Supports – 3659 & 3576 (correction zones), deeper floor at 3482
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3732
Plan
The long-range gap above 3732 is now active. A continuation higher depends on holding recent breakout levels:
Thanks as always for your support,
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold: Major New Option Portfolios Signal Strong Moves AheadFriday’s CME report showed a surge in large option blocks in gold — two of them stand out.
🔹 1. "Long Condor" on December Futures (GCZ24)
This is the most significant structure added:
Targets a move below $3,620 or above $3,780
In other words: a breakout is expected, not consolidation
📌 Key point:
A "Long Condor" profits from volatility, not direction.
It wins if price moves sharply — up OR down — but loses if it stays flat.
💡 My note:
When I first encountered delta-neutral strategies like this as a Forex trader — my brain exploded.
No directional bias… yet clearly positioned for action?
That was the moment I realized: options are a different game.
🔹 2. Bull Call Spread (Oct Series): $3800–$3850
Another key play:
A classic bullish call spread at 3800/3850
Target: upside beyond current levels
But here’s the difference:
Unlike the "Long Condor", this one needs a clear upward move — and soon. Within a few days.
This isn’t about volatility.
It’s a directional bet that gold will rise.
🧠 Bottom Line:
One portfolio says: "Breakout coming — no matter which way."
Another says: "Gold goes up — and soon."
Are they aligned?
Contradictory?
Or could both win?
Trade smarter, not harder! Looking to boost your profits with valuable market insights and data-driven entry points? Join us or keep moving!
XAU/USD UpdateXAU/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Gold is showing strength after reclaiming the 3,664 – 3,657 zone, turning it into a support.
Key levels:
3,664 – 3,657 → support zone. Holding above this confirms continuation of the uptrend.
3,684 → current resistance being tested. A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for a move toward higher targets (3,720+).
As long as price stays above the support, Gold remains bullish in structure.
Risk scenario: If price falls back below 3,657, downside pressure may return, with 3,463 as the next major support.
Cycle support: 3,267 is a critical long-term level. Gold must hold this area to maintain the broader green cycle trend.
📌 Summary
Above 3,664 – 3,657 → bullish continuation confirmed.
Break above 3,684 → opens further upside targets.
Below 3,657 → downside risk increases, watch 3,463 as key support.
3,267 → major cycle support for long-term trend.
Explaining the Lower Timeframe Function and Its Role in Trading Introduction
Candlesticks on higher timeframes summarize long periods of trading activity, but they hide the internal balance of buying and selling. A daily candle, for instance, may show only a strong close, while in reality buyers and sellers may have fought much more evenly. To uncover this hidden structure, Pine Script offers the requestUpAndDownVolume() function, which retrieves up-volume, down-volume, and delta from a chosen lower timeframe (LTF).
Function in Practice
By applying this function, traders can measure how much of a move was supported by genuine buying pressure and how much came from selling pressure. The function works across timeframes: when analyzing a daily chart, one can select a one-minute or one-second LTF to see how the volume was distributed within each daily bar . This approach reveals details that are invisible on the higher timeframe alone.
Helper for Data Coverage
Lower-timeframe data comes with strict limitations. A one-second chart may only cover a few hours of history, while a one-minute chart can stretch much further back. To make this limitation transparent, a helper was implemented in our code: it shows explicitly how far the available LTF data extends . Instead of assuming full coverage, the trader knows the exact portion of the higher bar that is represented.
//══════════════
// Volume — Lower TF Up/Down
//══════════════
int global_volume_period = input.int(20, minval=1, title="Global Volume Period", tooltip="Shared lookback for ALL volume calculations (e.g., averages/sums).", group=grpVolume)
bool use_custom_tf_input = input.bool(true, "Use custom lower timeframe", tooltip="Override the automatically chosen lower timeframe for volume calculations.", group=grpVolume)
string custom_tf_input = input.timeframe("1", "Lower timeframe", tooltip="Lower timeframe used for up/down volume calculations.", group=grpVolume)
import TradingView/ta/10 as tvta
resolve_lower_tf(bool useCustom, string customTF) =>
useCustom ? customTF :
timeframe.isseconds ? "1S" :
timeframe.isintraday ? "1" :
timeframe.isdaily ? "5" : "60"
get_up_down_volume(string lowerTf) =>
= tvta.requestUpAndDownVolume(lowerTf)
var float upVolume = na
var float downVolume = na
var float deltaVolume = na
string lower_tf = resolve_lower_tf(use_custom_tf_input, custom_tf_input)
= get_up_down_volume(lower_tf)
upVolume := u_tmp
downVolume := d_tmp
deltaVolume := dl_tmp
//──── LTF coverage counter — counts chart bars with valid Up/Down (non-na) 〔Hazel-lite〕
var int ltf_total_bars = 0
var int last_valid_bar_index = na // new: remember the bar_index of the last valid LTF bar
if not na(deltaVolume)
ltf_total_bars += 1
last_valid_bar_index := bar_index
int ltf_safe_window = ltf_total_bars
var label ltf_cov_label = na // label handle for the “coverage” marker
Use in Strategy Development
Because both the main function and the helper for data coverage have been implemented in our work, we use the Hazel-nut BB Volume strategy here as a practical example to illustrate the subject. This strategy serves only as a framework to show how lower-timeframe volume analysis affects higher-timeframe charts. In the following sections, several charts will be presented and briefly explained to demonstrate these effects in practice.
In this example, the daily chart is used as the main timeframe, while a one-second lower timeframe (LTF) has been applied to examine the internal volume distribution. The helper clearly indicates that only 59 one-second bars are available for this daily candle. This is critical, because it shows the analysis is based on a partial window of intraday data rather than a full day.
The up/down volume split reveals that buyers accounted for about 1.957 million units versus sellers with 1.874 million, producing a positive delta of roughly +83,727. In percentage terms, buyers held a slight edge (≈51%), while sellers were close behind (≈49%). This near balance demonstrates how the daily candle’s bullish appearance was built on only a modest dominance by buyers.
By presenting both the margin values (e.g., upper band margin 13.61%) and the absolute money flow, the chart connects higher-timeframe Bollinger Band context with the micro-timeframe order flow. The annotation “Up/Down data valid starting here” reinforces the importance of the helper: it alerts the user that valid LTF volume coverage begins from a specific point, preventing misinterpretation of missing data.
In short, this chart illustrates how choosing a very fine LTF (1 second) can reveal subtle buyer–seller dynamics, while at the same time highlighting the limitation of short data availability. It is a practical case of the principle described earlier—lower-timeframe insight enriches higher-timeframe context, but only within the boundary of available bars.
Analysis with One-Minute LTF
In this chart, the daily timeframe remains the base, but the lower timeframe (LTF) has been shifted to one minute. The helper indicates that data coverage extends across 353 daily bars, a much deeper historical window than in the one-second example. This means we can evaluate buyer/seller balance over nearly a full year of daily candles rather than just a short slice of history.
The up/down split shows buyers at ≈2.019M and sellers at ≈1.812M, producing a positive delta of +206,223. Here, buyers hold about 52.7%, compared to sellers at 47.3%. This stronger bias toward buyers contrasts with the previous chart, where the one-second LTF produced only a slim delta of +83,727 and ratios closer to 51%/49%.
Comparison with the One-Second LTF Chart
Data coverage: 1s gave 59 daily bars of usable history; 1m extends that to 353 bars.
Delta magnitude: 1s produced a modest delta (+83k), reflecting very fine-grained noise; 1m smooths those micro-fluctuations into a larger, clearer delta (+206k).
Interpretation: The 1s chart highlighted short-term balance, almost evenly split. The 1m chart, backed by longer history, paints a more decisive picture of buyer strength.
Key Takeaway
This comparison underscores the trade-off: the lower the LTF, the higher the detail but the shorter the history; the higher the LTF, the broader the historical coverage but at the cost of microscopic precision. The helper function bridges this gap by making the coverage explicit, ensuring traders know exactly what their analysis is built on.
Impact of TradingView Plan Levels
Another factor shaping the use of this function is the user’s access to data. TradingView accounts differ in how much intraday history they provide and which intervals are unlocked.
◉ On the free plan, the smallest available interval is one minute, with a few months of intraday history.
◉ Paid plans unlock second-based charts, but even then, history is measured in hours or days, not months.
◉ Higher tiers extend the number of bars that can be loaded per chart, which becomes relevant when pulling large volumes of lower-timeframe data into higher-timeframe studies
Conclusion
With requestUpAndDownVolume(), it becomes possible to see how each symbol behaves internally across different timeframes. The helper function makes clear where the data stops, preventing misinterpretation. By applying this setup within strategies like Hazel-nut BB Volume, one can demonstrate how changing the lower timeframe directly alters the picture seen on higher charts. In this way, the function is not just a technical option but a bridge between detail and context.
Gold Forecast: Liquidity Zones Mapped | Bullish or Bearish ReverGoldRush_Traders institutional forecast.
Price closed at 3684.975, compressing under ATH (3707).
Stacked supply zones remain valid between 3707 and 3686 — each serving a different purpose: sweep trap, blow-off top risk, and rejection base.
🔺**Bullish Path:**
• Hold 3665–3672 or sweep 3638
• Break above 3695 → 3707
• Clean ATH break = 3720–3732 possible
🔻 **Bearish Path:**
• Fail at 3686–3700 zone
• Drop to 3665 → 3638
• Break of 3628 = opens flush to 3605 or 3582
⚠️ Zones are stacked with no gaps — each has distinct algorithmic purpose.
This is a **provisional forecast** pending any weekend news shifts.
🔱 Liquidity-based | ICT/SMC inspired
Gold Under Pressure - Is the Downtrend Just Beginning?Hi everyone, it’s Ken!
On the 2H chart, after careful observation, we can see a RISING WEDGE pattern forming. After XAUUSD broke the previous uptrend and completed its correction phase, there's a high likelihood that a new bearish trend will emerge, continuing the short-term downtrend we've seen recently.
Ken's target is to push the price below 3,630, aiming for a further low at 3,608 – this level perfectly aligns with Fibonacci 1.618.
What about you? Do you think XAUUSD will continue to drop, or is there a chance for a reversal to the upside? Share your thoughts and targets in the comments!
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold 1H – Premium Sweeps Risk Before ReversalGold on the 1H chart is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. Price is balancing between the fresh FVG sell zone near 3,673–3,671 and deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains stacked above 3,705 and below 3,632, leaving room for engineered sweeps before direction is confirmed.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712)
Major premium liquidity trap before continuation lower toward 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627)
Discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671)
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into FVG before downside extension.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703)
• Entry: 3,705 – 3,703
• Stop Loss: 3,712
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,675
TP3: 3,660
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish momentum.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636)
• Entry: 3,634 – 3,636
• Stop Loss: 3,627
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,660
TP3: 3,670
👉 High R:R setup if gold defends discount demand; ideal for counter-trend scalps.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains pressured below 3,673–3,705, favoring short setups into premium sweeps. However, watch closely for accumulation signs at 3,634–3,636 as buyers may reclaim structure. Best approach: scale in smaller positions until NY session confirms directional bias.