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Goldprediction

Below 3670, shorting gold is still the main theme!After touching 3661, gold has repeatedly tested downwards today. However, this testing period repeatedly found support in the 3645-3640 area, failing to break further below. Judging from the current gold structure, gold as a whole shows a volatile and bearish trend. Although gold closed with long lower shadow candlesticks near 3627 and 3632 respectively, showing signs of bottoming out in the short term, it only exacerbated short-term volatility. Due to the obvious selling pressure from above, I expect that the rebound space for gold in the short term will be relatively limited. According to the current gold structure, gold will face resistance in the 3665-3675 area in the short term. According to the current market performance, it may be difficult to break through this horizontal area easily in the short term. After all, there is considerable selling pressure from above. So for short-term trading, as long as gold remains below 3670, we can boldly short gold! However, because today is Friday and gold has failed to fall below the 3645-3640 area many times, it is best not to have too high expectations for the retracement space. Perhaps the 3655-3650 area will be a reasonable retracement target in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold After Fed Decision: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have caught many traders by surprise, as many thought it would continue to create new daily All-Time High(ATH) with the Federal's interest rate announcement , but Gold followed the adage " Buy the rumour, sell the news ". Gold started moving emotionally yesterday after the US interest rate announcement and made a new ATH($3,707.555) . Given the volume of yesterday's candle , it seems that Gold is having a hard time creating a new ATH. Gold is currently breaking the Support lines , which is a sign of weakness in the bullish trend of Gold . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 5 and we should wait for corrective waves . Do you agree with me!? I expect Gold to at least decline after the pullback of the Support lines to the First target($3,614) . Second Target: $3,599 Third Target: $3,577 Stop Loss (SL) = $3,677 Note: To enter a short position, it is better to wait for an upward correction, but depending on the movement of gold and your strategy, you can open a short position. Do you think Gold can create a new ATH anytime soon? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
19
Gold Forecast 2025: Expert NEoWave AnalysisWe previously mentioned that wave-(E) itself is forming a diametric pattern, and we considered wave-g of (E) to be a double pattern with a small X-wave. However, wave-b of the X-wave pattern has exceeded the allowable time range, and the current wave we are in shows similarities in terms of time and price with waves (b)-(d)-(f). Conclusion: Based on the points mentioned above, it appears that wave-(E) of the higher-degree diametric is transitioning into a symmetrical pattern, and we are currently in wave-(f) of this symmetrical pattern. Wave-(f) of the symmetrical pattern is forming a bow-tie diametric, and wave-f of this bow-tie diametric is not yet complete. This wave could complete in the price range of $3,540 to $3,740, followed by a price correction to the $3,460–$3,380 range, and then a move toward the target of $3,900–$4,050. Under normal circumstances, after reaching the $3,900–$4,050 range, we would expect wave-(F) of the higher-degree diametric to form. However, given the unusual global economic conditions and geopolitical issues, we may need to update our analysis, and it might not proceed as expected. For now, our final target remains $3,900–$4,050. Good luck NEoWave Chart
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NEoWave-Chart
1
XAU/USD(20250919) Today's AnalysisMarket News: On Thursday, the U.S. reported its largest drop in initial jobless claims in nearly four years, reversing the previous week's sharp increase. (Note: Hours after the data was released, news broke that North Carolina's continuing claims data had been incorrectly and significantly understated by over 19,000. A Labor Department spokesperson stated that the matter is still under investigation.) Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 3648 Support and Resistance Levels: 3692 3676 3665 3631 3620 3603 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 3648, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 3665. If the price breaks below 3631, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 3620.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenBigAge
Gold price analysis September 19Gold has recovered in the Tokyo session and is moving towards yesterday's US session resistance around 3672. The buying pressure is not strong enough to break the resistance in the European session, so be cautious with the possibility of a deep decline in today's weekend session, towards lower support zones around 3600. The 3645 area - corresponding to the 50% level of the H4 candle - is playing an important support role. This is also the area where buying pressure is starting to accumulate and needs to be closely observed today. 📉 Trading plan: SELL when the price is rejected around 3671 🎯 Target: 3600 📌 Note: Watch the price reaction at the 3645 area, if there is a confirmation signal from the buyers, this could be a reversal point to look for a BUY opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold setup indicates a fall ahead – Stay alert, traders!This is the 15-minute chart of GOLD1! Gold is moving in a well-defined parallel channel and currently respecting the LOP resistance zone at 109750–109850. The channel’s lower boundary near 108650 may act as short-term support. If Gold breaks down below this support, the projected downside target is near 107750. In case of range-bound movement, the ideal sell zone remains at the LOP (109750–109850). If this resistance level sustains, Gold may fall and test the lower targets. Additionally, a Head & Shoulders pattern has formed within the channel, with its downside target aligning with the channel projection. Thank you.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by FiveCircles
Gold rebounds, bears should not miss this opportunity!Did gold fall as we expected? Congratulations to those who have been paying attention. We have been emphasizing from the weekend, last weekend, until yesterday that the top of gold is just above the 3700 mark, and the extreme position is in the 3720-30 area. When the Fed cuts interest rates, gold will fall. We have been saying this over and over again. I don’t know if you have listened to us. Gold, the release of yesterday's interest rate decision also made the market experience a shock. The large fluctuations back and forth without a bottom line also made the market abuse the bulls and bears wantonly. The trend was also quite magical, making the market defenseless and not giving the slightest chance. After a small rebound near 3694 when the news was announced, it began to dive rapidly, reaching the lowest point near 3652, and then quickly rose again to near 3707, and then continued to fall rapidly, reaching the lowest point near 3645. After the opening, it rebounded again at 3672 and continued to fall. The current lowest point was near 3634. A series of large-scale back and forth sweeps also made the market more fearful, and the daily line also closed in the form of a large negative line. The market is in a state of decline, directly breaking the support of the short-term moving average. It is currently hovering between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Therefore, due to the closing of yesterday's large negative line, it is relatively likely to start a pullback and repair again in the short term, and the effective support below is maintained at around 3630-3620. This area is also the key tactical defense we mentioned earlier. Once this position continues to be lost, the long and short positions may be reversed in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained at around 3675-3690. You can refer to this position to continue to short and wait. If gold rebounds to around 3675-3690 during the day, short it, and the target is around 3630-20.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Gold Not Bottomed Yet：Selling Rallies Remains Key After a deep V-shaped rebound to near 3673, gold fell sharply again, hitting a new low near 3627. Clearly, after the rate cut, most investors took profits, driving gold prices down. As gold's center of gravity shifts downward, the current short-term resistance area has shifted to 3660-3670. From the current structural perspective, gold is shifting from strength to weakness, with bears gradually recovering and taking control. Following the sharp rally, there is also a need for a technical pullback. While gold has rebounded slightly, there are no clear bottoming signals. I believe gold has not yet reached a low and is likely to continue to test the 3625-3615 area. If this area is broken, it will open up further downside potential, potentially extending the downward trend to around 3580.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold price analysis September 18✏️ #XAUUSD – Gold Price Analysis Today After the interest rate data was released, gold returned to test the important support zone and quickly saw buying pressure again. As long as the 3657 zone remains stable, the uptrend is likely to continue. The 3675 resistance zone will be the first challenge – if broken, the price could surge and move towards the target of 3720, even extending the rally to higher levels. Conversely, if 3657 is broken, gold could retreat to a deeper consolidation zone with the next support around 3620. 📉 Notable Trading Zones 🔸 BUY when price reacts at 3657 🔸 BUY around deep support zone 3620 ⭐ Target: 3720 🔺 Support: 3657 – 3620 – 3600 🔻 Resistance: 3675 – 3699 – 3720
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
The trend remains unchanged. Short sell on rebound#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD The price of gold fell below the MA5 moving average and the trend turned bearish. In the short term, gold rebounded again. If it touches 3662-3672, you can consider shorting gold again. The short-term target remains unchanged. We can continue to see 3633. If the bears are strong, it is even expected to touch the 3600 integer mark. Just follow and you will make money, let the winning rate and facts speak for themselves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedGold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,682 after a strong BOS. Liquidity is now stacked above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the fresh FVG demand at 3,669–3667. With U.S. Retail Sales scheduled today at 19:30 VN time, volatility may spike intraday, but broader positioning remains cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision this week. Expect engineered sweeps into premium before retracements back into demand. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand aligned with retracement into structure, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667) • Entry: 3,669 – 3,667 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,690  TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York open. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639) • Entry: 3,641 – 3,639 • Stop Loss: 3,632 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,655  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,685+ 👉 Strong R:R if price hunts stops below structure before Retail Sales data. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698) • Entry: 3,700 – 3,698 • Stop Loss: 3,707 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,690  TP2: 3,680  TP3: 3,670 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Retail Sales may provide short-term volatility, but Fed expectations will dominate the week. Smart money is likely to run both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while protecting buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with reduced size and confirm structure on H1 closes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
3
XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone .Key Observations: Uptrend Structure: Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure. Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659. Current Setup: The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward. A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709. Bias: As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored. If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Has gold reached its peak?The Federal Reserve's meeting met expectations with a 25 basis point interest rate cut, which did not significantly stimulate the market. Meanwhile, the market expects two more rate cuts in November and December this year. Gold briefly surged lower before retreating sharply. Is this a top or a normal correction in the bull market? The key to judging whether a market trend has ended is to look at the strength of the pullback. From a technical perspective, the price of gold has fallen below the 5-day moving average and is currently between the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average. The focus below is on the support formed by the 10-day moving average. The support level is currently in the 3645-3640 range, and this range is also yesterday's low point. Gold's ability to hold above the 10-day moving average remains to be seen. If it holds, it is expected to continue its upward trend. Focus on the 3680 first-line pressure level. If it breaks through this pressure, gold is expected to hit above 3700 again. A break below 3645 could lead to further declines to the 3620-3600 range.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
Gold Analysis: Strong Upside Potential from Key Support ZoneHey everyone, Ken here! I'm keeping a close eye on XAUUSD, and right now, gold is approaching a very important support zone that I’ve shared before. This level is not only reinforced by strong buying pressure but also aligns with the trendline, making the potential for a bounce here very high. If price confirms support here through strong price action, such as long lower wicks or a bullish engulfing candle, I believe gold will reverse and target 3,724, a reasonable goal given the current market structure. However, if price breaks and holds below this support zone, the bullish trend will be invalidated, and we could see a sharp decline. This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always assess your setups and ensure proper risk management when trading! Good luck with your trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kenn_Nguyen
4
Bull Fever Cools：The Market Still Owes Us a WaterfallAs I expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and Powell did not show a clear dovish tone in his speech. Gold fell from 3707 to around 3646, with a drop of $610. Our short positions at 3685 and 3700 that we had ambushed overnight won as expected, and we successfully locked in a profit of 750 pips in the news market. Although the Federal Reserve is inclined to take a hawkish approach to rate cuts, gold has rebounded from around 3646. Although it has performed relatively weakly, the downward momentum has slowed down and a unilateral downward trend has not formed. Overall, it is still in the high-level fluctuation range. So we can't rush to short gold at the moment. Because gold still has the possibility of rebounding back to the 3675-3685 area, and may even be expected to rebound back to the 3690-3700 area. After all, gold did not effectively fall below 3650 during the decline. Although the decline in gold prices did not change the overall structure, it weakened the market's enthusiastic bullish sentiment in the short term, and the technical resistance also moved down to the 3675-3685 area, followed by the 3695-3705 resistance area. If gold rebounds to the resistance area, we can try to short gold, and the short-term retracement target is set in the 3655-3645 area. Once gold falls below this area, it is expected to continue the downward trend to the 3635-3625 area. Of course, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely in the 3690-3650 area. Therefore, we can still make very good profits from the perspective of profit margin by shorting gold at the resistance areas of 3675-3685 .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold Rejected at $3,700 – Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,662 and moving within an upward channel structure, but showing signs of weakness near the resistance zone. Price recently tested the $3,698–$3,700 resistance area and failed to break higher, creating a potential short-term top (marked as a weak high). This rejection signals that sellers are gaining strength. If price fails to sustain above $3,675–$3,698, it increases the probability of a deeper correction toward the lower channel and demand Overall, Gold remains vulnerable to correction unless bulls reclaim and sustain above $3,700, which would invalidate the bearish setup and reopen the path toward $3,725–$3,750. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch - Resistance: 3670 – 3690 - Support: 3625 – 3600 📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger: - Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 area - Sell Trigger: If Gold retests and rejects the $3,690–$3,700 resistance zone, it becomes a valid sell entry with confirmation of bearish rejection. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defense. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685) Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711) Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610) Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680) • Entry: 3,678 – 3,680 • Stop Loss: 3,685 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,675  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,665 👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702) • Entry: 3,704 – 3,702 • Stop Loss: 3,711 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,670  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,640 👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,612–3,614) • Entry: 3,616 – 3,618 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favorable risk/reward from deep demand. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favor short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade smaller size until direction clarifies post-news.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. We’ve seen this play well so far this week so we’ll sit back and let them make the move before then looking for a set up to get in. We have initial support at the 3670 level and resistance above at the 3690 level which is the level that will need to break for price to then attempt a new high. Potential level here 3720-30 which is where we will want to assess the price action and potentially an opportunity to attempt the short trade for the swing may arise. Breaking above that level will invalidate the move. Downside, there is a hot spot at 3665 which is the level that will need a strong close, this level also has an extension of the move into the 3650-55 level and on the break 3630-35. Quick summary: Ideally, we support the 3670 level, push upside, attack the 3720-30 region and we’ll look for a reversal up there. IF we break below 3655, we’ll look further down around the 3620-30 region for a reversal for the scalp long. There is a big stretch on and in normal market conditions, this should have dropped all the way back down into the 3500’s at least. But, we have to play the game they present us with so let’s wait and see what happens. Also, FOMC might already be priced in, so it’s the press conference after the statement that will be of interest to the markets. Key levels to watch for the break: Red box level 3690 Red box level 3673 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
17