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Goldprediction

Gold at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Breakdown?Hello guys! Let's analyze Gold! 🔸 Current Market Structure Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle after a strong bullish run. Momentum remains positive, but sellers are defending the upper trendline. Key short-term support is around 3,720 – 3,710 zone. 🔺 Bullish Scenario (More Probable) If price breaks above the triangle resistance, we could see continuation toward 3,770 – 3,790 levels. Structure favors buyers as long as price holds above 3,720. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Alternative) If the price loses the 3,710 support zone, sellers may take control. Downside targets: First support: 3,690 – 3,680 zone Key target: 3,676 area 🔹 Conclusion More probable scenario: A bullish breakout continuation. Risk to watch: If the support fails, the price could quickly revisit 3,676. Best approach: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
16
5 Mistakes Even Veteran Traders Make!Whether you're new or experienced, you can still fall into these 5 DEADLY mistakes. I'm here to point them out! Mistake #1: Not understanding what you’re trading. You’re trading forex, right? But do you know what pips or lots are? How currency pairs move? Or how news impacts them? Too many people dive in just because they see others profiting, without knowing what they’re betting on. That’s the difference between investing and gambling. Don’t jump into the ocean without knowing what’s underwater. Mistake #2: Not managing your money. Most traders obsess over making money but forget how to protect it. It’s human nature—everyone wants fast cash! But if you trade big without control, one bad move can wipe out a month or even a year’s gains. Remember, keeping your capital safe is priority number one; profits come as a result. As long as you’ve got the forest, you won’t run out of firewood. Mistake #3: No clear trading plan. Are you entering trades based on feelings? Exiting because of a “hunch”? That’s not trading—it’s playing the lottery! A trading plan is your compass, your map to stay on track. It needs clear entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets. Most importantly, you MUST stick to it! Sticking to strategy doesn't make us invincible, but it can help us retreat safely. Mistake #4: FOMO – Fear of Missing Out! You see prices soaring and chase them, or you copy someone’s trade because they’re showing off profits. Then, when you lose, you blame the market or some “expert,” forgetting it was YOUR choice to trade. Drop this habit! Stop following the crowd and own your trading decisions. You can’t live by envying someone else’s wallet. Mistake #5: Trading addiction and chasing short-term wins. Win one trade, and you want more. Lose one, and you want to “get even” with the market. This traps you in a cycle of overtrading and rash decisions. Profits don’t come from trading a lot—they come from trading RIGHT. Don’t let emotions take over. Remember, When emotions rise, logic falls. These 5 mistakes can burn all your money, no matter how much you have. Be honest with yourself and learn from them. I believe if you avoid these traps and stay disciplined, the door to success will open wide. I’m Anfibo, just sharing what I know about finance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ANFIBO_
3780-3790: A potential price reversal point; buy on dips.On Friday night, we expect gold to hit a new high of 3800-3810 after holding the key support of 3765-3755. At present, gold has broken through the expected target and is expected to move towards 3830. The current geopolitical situation has worsened, and the new round of tariffs that came into effect on October 1st has continuously stimulated the market's risk aversion sentiment, causing investors to flock to the gold market to seek risk shelter. Today's news needs to focus on the U.S. trading session. Members of the U.S. Congress from both parties are negotiating on avoiding a government shutdown. The U.S. government faces the risk of shutdown. If it is not effectively resolved, this will affect the subsequent release of key data such as NFP CPI. With the rising gold price, it has broken through previous resistance and reached a new high. The previous high of 3780-3790 has become a key level for a potential trend reversal. During the European session, if gold retraces to this range, we can consider buying gold with a target of 3820-3830.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Buying momentum continues. Has the top been reached yet?Witnessing history once again, gold hit a new all-time high during the Asian trading session, surging by nearly $48. Why did gold surge again at the start of this week? 1. Growing concerns about a US government shutdown prompted investors to seek safety in traditional store-of-value assets, thus weakening demand for the US dollar and driving gold higher. 2. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including UN sanctions against Iran, and other risk-averse factors, will continue to benefit gold. After gold broke through a new high, the previous high of 3790 has now become a potential support level. For buyers, they need to see the price close above the psychological level of 3800 to provide additional support for the record-breaking rally. In the short term, expect some price retracement. Quaid believes that if the price remains above 3800 during the European session, the next target could be 3850. A decisive break above 3850 could push gold further to around 3880. Trading Strategy: Buy around 3790, with a stop loss at 3780, and target profit between 3835 and 3850. If the price remains above 3800 during the European session without any retracement, consider a small long position at 3800.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
1
XAUUSD on swing upside XAUUSD is still intact on bullish trend towards 3930!! In our previous commantary we are expecting 3830 with the next session. My stance on XAUUSD? I'm expecting bit retracement for again pump. -First point of buying will be 3785-3795 area , just H4 candle should closes above it , my target will be 3830 then 3845. Although i took buy at 3800 and holding. - Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3780 then our buying will be compromised. Additional TIP: Buy the dips
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Gold Bulls Eyeing $3,800+ – Key Buy Areas RevealedGold is currently holding inside a rising channel structure after making an ATH near $3,790. The market has pulled back from the high and is consolidating around key trendline support. The immediate buy area lies near $3,730–$3,740, which also aligns with the trendline support. A deeper dip towards $3,710–$3,715 could offer a stronger buy trigger zone if price retests. On the upside, gold will likely revisit the $3,790 ATH, and a sustained move above this level may extend towards $3,800–$3,820 in the coming sessions. Overall, the market bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the $3,710–$3,692 support region, with consolidations and pullbacks seen as part of the broader upward trend. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: $3,760–$3,765 - Support: Immediate support $3,730 and strong support $3,710–$3,715 📌 Buy Zone & Buy Trigger: - Buy Zone: $3,720–$3,730 - Buy Trigger: The buy trigger area is $3,760–$3,765, where a breakout above the descending resistance from the ATH would indicate renewed bullish momentum. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold price analysis September 29The market recorded strong buying pressure at the beginning of the week when the price was supported from the support zone of 3757. The bullish momentum is taking the price to new highs, and there is currently no notable resistance zone. The Fibonacci area around 3834 becomes the nearest target. In the short term, if there are corrections during the day or during the week, it will still be a potential opportunity to increase buying positions, especially when the market is looking forward to the Nonfarm data at the end of the week. Trading plan: BUY when there is a price rejection signal at the support zones of 3707 – 3730 – 3757 Expected target: 3830
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
International dynamics shift. Gold prices rise.Information Summary: The United Nations imposed a new round of tough sanctions on Iran, directly impacting its economy and nuclear program, triggering a sharp escalation in regional tensions. Iran's assertive stance and refusal to compromise have fueled market concerns about escalating conflict. The rapid decline in gold prices was followed by a strong pullback, which fully confirmed the strong bullish sentiment in the market. It is expected that this geopolitical driver will continue to provide strong upward momentum for gold prices. Market Analysis: From a technical perspective, gold closed with a solid bullish candlestick on the daily chart, forming a classic bullish bottoming-out pattern and fully reversing earlier losses. The current gold price has firmly stood above all major moving averages, especially near the 3755 line, which has transformed from resistance to strong support. Influenced by the international situation, bullish momentum is strong in the market. Quaid recommends going long in line with the market, targeting the 3800 integer mark, and continuing to hold positions after breaking through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
𝐌𝐓𝐗 | Pitstop Zone to Continue the 1,300 Pip Potential Rally1️⃣ Key Levels • 729 – 737 → Major golden support zone. • 759 – 760 → Key resistance / breakout trigger. • 691 – 683 → Strongest potential buy zone of the week. ⸻ 2️⃣ Expected Scenarios • Bearish: • 4H close below 759 → retest of the 729–737 support zone. • 4H close below 729 → extension toward 709 → 700 → 691. • Zone 691–683 is the most important potential reversal area this week, with multiple confluences, possibly triggering a strong rally toward the 3800 high again. • Bullish: • 4H close above 760 → continuation toward 780 → 791. • 4H close above 792 → further bullish momentum targeting 808 → 817 → 830. ⸻ ⚖️ Summary The market is positioned between critical zones: • Holding above 759–760 confirms strength toward 830. • Breaking below 729 increases the probability of testing the 691–683 demand zone, which could be the week’s strongest reversal setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MTXmrMLK
3
The opportunity for gold short position at 3780-3790 is hereThe gold market saw a slight rebound after opening today, indicating that bulls and bears are still in a game in the short term. Although prices have rebounded, the overall trend has not yet broken away from the previously formed range of fluctuations, indicating that market sentiment is relatively cautious. From a technical perspective, gold prices have recently attempted to rise many times but have failed to effectively break through the key resistance area, indicating that the selling pressure from above is still relatively obvious. Combining last week's trading performance, prices repeatedly encountered resistance and retreated within the 3775-3785 range, forming a relatively clear technical resistance zone and providing a valuable trading reference. In this context, today's trading strategy can continue last week's overall thinking and maintain a judgment framework based on range fluctuations. If the gold price rebounds to the 3780 to 3790 area during the session and then shows signs of pressure again, such as a long upper shadow or insufficient trading volume, investors may consider establishing short positions in batches within this range and set reasonable stop-loss levels to control risks. At the same time, it is important to closely monitor the market's reaction to key economic data or macroeconomic policy developments, particularly changes in the US dollar index and US Treasury yields, as these factors will directly influence gold's short-term trend. Furthermore, the market is currently at a critical stage of selecting a corrective direction. If prices effectively break through previous highs and stabilize above the range, this could trigger a surge in technical buying, necessitating timely adjustments to holding strategies. Conversely, if prices fall below the lower limit of the range, the downward trend could accelerate. Therefore, before a clear breakthrough signal appears, it is recommended to wait and see or adopt a high-selling and low-buying approach to avoid blindly chasing highs and selling lows. Overall, a cautious approach is recommended at this stage, combining technical indicators with market dynamics to respond flexibly and enhance trading discipline and success rates.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Martin_Trading_Guide
1
Double top expected, short at the beginning of the weekLast week, after a brief sideways consolidation following the opening, gold surged steadily and hit a new all-time high around 3,791. However, after a pullback correction on Wednesday, its upward momentum weakened relatively. During Friday’s U.S. trading session, gold rallied to around 3,783 before pulling back, closing near the 3,759 level. Technically, the daily chart shows a single bearish candlestick for the pullback, while Friday formed a small bullish candlestick with an upper wick—once again standing above the moving average system. This suggests gold is relatively in the early stage of preparing for a second rally. The weekly chart also closed as a medium bullish candlestick, indicating the overall broad market sentiment remains bullish. Driven by a series of bullish patterns, gold may see a trend reversal (breakout) move next week. After all, the pullback from Friday’s U.S. session high could very well be a short-term "washout" by bears. For gold to refresh its highs next week, Friday’s secondary high must be broken in a timely manner. Meanwhile, during pullbacks, the 3,770 level—now a top-bottom conversion zone—will act as a key short-term resistance. If gold opens under pressure below this level on Monday, it may break lower again later. On the 1-hour chart, if gold fails to extend its upward move, a "double top" pattern could form. A series of major economic data releases are scheduled for next week. Gold will likely trade in a consolidation range early next week, given the lack of significant news triggers initially. Focus on the resistance at 3,790 first—we expect a pullback initially, with support to watch around the 3,720 zone. If Monday’s rebound lacks strength, prioritize short positions on rallies. As market conditions change rapidly, please follow my channel for specific trading key points, including execution details for both long-term and short-term trades. If you are willing, feel free to share your current position status—we can analyze together whether it is safer to hold patiently or adjust and rebalance your positions in a timely manner.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Short Term Market Outlook XAU/USDWhat goes up must come down! 🎯15m chart analysis 🎯 As most experienced gold traders are already aware of its aggressive ranging behaviour many new retail gold traders fail to understand this causing them to get chewed up and spit out in this power house of a pair. Having an edge against this aggressive range is the key to being able to trade gold successfully long term. I have highlighted some important areas for you guys to keep an eye out for pull backs, look for rejections and candle closures above and below these zones. Overall market sentiment remains bullish so take sells with extra caution and lighten your positions up. I will keep you guys updated with further levels throughout the week, subscribe and turn notifications on 👁️👁️ Good luck to everybody, let’s make some money this week 💥
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Fullportfrankie
2
Gold opening operation strategy News： The core PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred core inflation indicator, rose 0.2% month-over-month in August, in line with market expectations and down from the 0.3% initially reported in July (a figure that was revised downward to 0.2%). Year-over-year, the core PCE price index remained stable at 2.9%, indicating that inflation, while declining, remains above the Fed's 2% target. The overall PCE price index rose 0.3% month-over-month in August, in line with expectations and higher than the 0.2% increase in July. The year-over-year increase also edged up slightly from 2.6% in July to 2.7% in August. Specifically: Friday's US market hit near 3784 before retreating, which is also our expected target. The market closed at 3760, with the 4-hour chart showing a bearish pullback pattern. The daily chart formed a small bullish candlestick with an upper shadow on Friday, once again crossing above the moving average, indicating a potential for a secondary rally. The weekly chart also closed with a medium-sized bullish candlestick, indicating an overall bullish trend. From the 4-hour analysis, short-term support below is around 3735-3740, with important support remaining around 3720. Short-term pressure above is around 3770-3780. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, be cautious in chasing orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies in the channel, so please pay attention. Strategy： Long Position3740-3735，SL:3720，Target:3770-3790
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
Trend changes? Outlook for next week.Gold rose strongly on Friday, hitting a high of around 3783. It began to fall before the closing of the US market and did not break through the new high. So, will gold hit a historical high or start to correct? Gold has broken through the recent consolidation range on the 4-hour chart, and the upward trend extends to the historical high of $3,791. If the gold price continues to fall below $3,750, short-term trend will be more bears, and may return to the previous consolidation range. The downward target will focus on 3720-3700. On the upside, if the gold price clearly breaks through the suppression position of 3780-3790, it will release new bullish momentum and pave the way for gold prices to move towards a new price range. The gold 1-hour trend temporarily remains in a narrow range oscillation, but after continuous oscillation, there are signs of upward movement in the short-term moving average. If the 1-hour moving average cannot continue to run upward, then gold may be in a state of reaching its peak. Some major data will appear next week, and there is a high probability that the golden week will still remain fluctuating at the beginning of the golden week. If there is no stimulating news, please pay attention to the first support of 3750, followed by the support of 3720 area. In terms of short-term operation ideas in Asia on Monday, Quaid recommended that rebounds should be the main focus, and pullbacks should be the supplement. The short-term focus on the suppression position of 3780-3790, and the lower focus on the first-line support of 3740-3730. The happy weekend is approaching, I wish you all a happy transaction next week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3780 and a gap below at 3753. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3780 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3780 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3802 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3802 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3825 BEARISH TARGETS 3753 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3753 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3734 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3734 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3705 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3705 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3683 3654 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3654 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3622 3592 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see update on our 4H chart idea from last week, which is playing out as analysed and still valid to continue to track for the coming week. After completing our Bullish targets last week with ema5 cross and lock confirmation, we are now seeing price play between 3738 and 3778. . We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either of these two weighted level to determine the next range. We will also now use lower Goldturns for support and Bounce until we see further cross and lock above for a continuation. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3696 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3738 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3778 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3811 - EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3845 BEARISH TARGETS 3655 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3615 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3583 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3546 3509 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3458 3409 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update – Follow Up 3776 Target Achieved!! Previously, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That target has now been hit with precision last week. With 3776 now achieved, the key focus shifts to the daily close: A sustained candle body close above 3776 will confirm the breakout and open the path toward 3866, especially if we see the EMA5 cross and lock in alignment. For now, any rejection at this level would ideally see the channel top act as support, allowing room for a healthy correction while maintaining the broader bullish structure. However, if price rejects and slips back into the channel, then range-bound play resumes within the channel zone. Current Outlook 🔹 3683 Target Reached Our breakout sequence played out with precision, starting from the EMA5 lock above 3564 and extending to complete the 3683 objective. 🔹 3776 Target Completed Last weeks price action delivered the full upside completion into 3776. Now, new daily close will decide whether the breakout extends further into new ranges. 🔹 Key Inflection – 3776 Close above = breakout expansion toward 3866. Rejection = retest of 3683 and channel top as support, or deeper channel play if momentum fades. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3683 & Channel Top 📉 Deeper Support – 3564 & 3433 📉 Pivotal Floor – 3272 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3866 (on confirmed close and EMA5 lock above 3776) As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8