XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift"XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift
Price Action: Gold has recently tested the 3550 – 3600 resistance zone, where the market showed signs of rejection. This level represents a significant supply area formed by previous liquidity grabs.
Market Structure: After a strong bullish impulse, the current price behavior suggests a possible correction phase. The rally left behind areas of imbalance that could attract price back downward.
Key Observation:
The first reaction zone sits around 3480, which aligns with a structural support level from past consolidation.
A deeper correction may extend toward the 3330 – 3320 support region, a critical level where historical demand has been observed.
Context: Liquidity above recent highs has been taken, and the chart now shows potential for retracement to restore balance before determining the next directional move.
Goldprediction
DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our 1h and 4H chart this week, please now see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking. This chart idea has also played out to perfection!!
Sunday we advised that 3433 had now produced a candle body close above this level leaving gap target open for 3564 - This target is now complete!!
🔹 GAP TARGET 3564 - DONE
We will now look for a body close and/or ema5 cross and lock above this level to confirm a continuation. Failure to lock will confirm a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support.
Thanks as always for your support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD BUY NOW Got it 👍 Let’s break this chart down quickly:
Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 15m timeframe
Downtrend Breakout:
– A descending trendline (red) was respected several times.
– Price has just broken above it, signaling possible trend reversal.
Entry Zone:
– Current entry is around 3550–3552 (marked with green).
– Stop-loss placed near 3535 (red zone).
Target Zone:
– Projection suggests upside move towards 3578–3580.
– Risk/reward looks around 1:2.
Momentum:
– Strong bullish candles after breakout indicate buyers stepping in.
– Needs follow-through volume to sustain rally.
📌 Conclusion: Short-term bullish bias. If price holds above 3550, it could push towards 3578+. A drop back below 3535 invalidates the setup.
Do you want me to rewr
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to Watch | 04/09/25Gold dropped sharply into the Pullback Zone during the Asian session after the strong rally into the $3,584 resistance. Price is now trending near the $3,550 level, with the 50MA providing dynamic support.
If buyers can reclaim momentum above $3,550, the path opens toward $3,584, and a clean break there would target $3,608. On the downside, failure to hold above $3,525 risks a deeper retracement into $3,506, with extended weakness pointing toward $3,483 and the lower support zones.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,550
$3,584
$3,608
Support:
$3,525
$3,506
$3,483
$3,462
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Rest of the Week
Markets now turn to the U.S. labor data cluster:
Thursday: ADP Employment, Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth
These figures are likely to be the main catalysts for gold as the week wraps up.
⚠️ Risk Note: Expect elevated volatility, false breaks, and sharp intraday reversals around data drops. Stay disciplined on risk sizing and avoid chasing moves.
Gold/XAUUSD Intrday Move 04.09.2025Gold is currently trading near 3539, after retracing into yesterday’s demand zone at 3526–3531. This zone has shown strong reactions previously and continues to hold as a key level for buyers.
🔑 Key Reasoning
Demand Zone: Price is retesting 3526–3531, a strong support area where buyers previously stepped in.
Bullish Continuation Bias: The broader structure remains bullish, and as long as this zone holds, the outlook favors continuation to the upside.
Confirmation Level: A decisive close above 3542 would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for further upside.
Invalidation: A break below 3511 (recent low) would invalidate the bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Buy from 3526–3531 demand zone.
Confirmation: Add positions if price closes clearly above 3542.
Stop-Loss: Below 3511 (recent low).
Targets:
First target: 3578 (recent swing high).
👉 Summary: Bias stays bullish above 3526–31 demand zone. A clean break above 3542 strengthens the case for continuation toward 3578, with invalidation below 3511.
GOLD TECHNICAL OUTLOOKGold is currently trading in the 3560 – 3565 range, marking a new all-time high in its history. The market remains in a high-volatility phase, and the next few H4 candles will be crucial in defining short-term direction.
🔹 Key Pivot Level: 3555
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes above 3555, this would signal continued bullish momentum. In this case, upside targets may extend towards:
3585 – Initial bullish target
3605 – Next resistance area
3620 – Major resistance zone / potential new ATH extension
This scenario suggests the uptrend remains intact, with buyers controlling the market.
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🔻 Bearish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes below 3555, it may indicate a potential pullback or correction. Bearish levels to watch are:
3530 – First support
3515 – Next bearish target
3485 – Major support area and potential correction base
This would suggest a short-term reversal or healthy retracement after the recent rally.
📊 Summary:
Gold is at a critical decision point. A confirmed H4 close above or below 3555 will likely define the next directional move. Until confirmation, the market remains neutral with both scenarios valid.
💡 Always manage risk carefully and wait for candle confirmations before considering any positions.
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expecting price to pull lower toward demand areas before the next bullish leg.
________________________________________
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
1. Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
2. Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
________________________________________
⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context
Gold maintains a bullish order flow after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. Price is currently consolidating near the 3,533–3,540 zone, with a clear FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market shows potential for liquidity sweep before another leg upward.
________________________________________
📍 Key Levels
• Resistance (Sell Zones): 3564 | 3575–3576 | 3586 | 3595
• Support (Buy Zones): 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480–3478 | 3468
________________________________________
🛠️ Trade Ideas
✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing)
• Entry: 3480 – 3478
• SL: 3473
• TP: 3485 – 3490 – 3500 – 3515 – 3520 – 3530
📌 Expectation: Price to mitigate FVG and react from demand zone before continuation upward.
✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction)
• Entry: 3501 – 3503
• SL: 3491
• TP: 3510 – 3525 – 3545 – 3550
📌 Expectation: Short-term liquidity grab above 3500 psychological level leading to bullish push.
❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play)
• Entry: 3575 – 3573
• SL: 3582
• TP: 3565 – 3555 – 3545 – 3530 – 3520
📌 Expectation: Strong supply zone where smart money may hunt liquidity before reversal.
________________________________________
🔑 SMC Insights
• BOS confirms bullish bias, but price may retrace to fill imbalance (FVG).
• Liquidity likely resting around 3480–3500 before a push to test 3575+.
• High probability of buying dips at demand and selling extreme supply zones.
Gold’s Next Move: DOWN!!!Although gold continues its strong upward trend, it still provides opportunities for pullbacks during the day. For example, it hit a low of 3470-3467 yesterday. Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3550. Gold continues to set new historical highs. There is no price behavior and technical resistance above it as a reference. But obviously, as long as gold remains above 3540, I will not choose to aggressively chase gold at high levels.
On the contrary, while gold is rising, I will still try to short gold at the top while setting protection. In terms of price behavior, gold started to rise from around 3322 and has reached around 3550 so far, with an increase of up to $228. Although there has been no decent retracement during this period, this strong momentum is indeed easy to form a combined force. However, once the market returns to rationality, the decline will definitely not be small. So at the current stage, I do not advocate going long on gold. On the contrary, I will actively look for opportunities to short gold!
In the short term, we first need to observe gold's performance in the 3540-3530 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the retracement, it may have the potential to continue to rise. If gold falls below the 3540-3530 area, the first retracement target will be the 3525-3515 area. If this area is broken, it is likely to continue to 3500-3490.
Gold Price Analysis September 4✨ Gold analysis today ✨
In the Asian session, gold prices recorded a correction after a series of strong increases for many consecutive days. The market is moving towards important support zones, this will be a notable point to find trading opportunities.
🔹 Main trend: prioritize monitoring BUY orders at support, because the bullish force is still dominant.
🔹 With SELL orders, it is necessary to observe real-time price reactions to take advantage of short-term declines if any.
News calendar: today there is an ADP report - this could be a factor that triggers fluctuations, creating a correction for gold.
📌 Reference strategy:
BUY around the 3495 - 3458 area when there is a clear price rejection signal.
Good News and Bad News for Gold as It Hits Record HighsAs gold continues to surge to record highs (~$3600) , two major risks exist that could impact its momentum—one potentially positive, and the other negative.
The Potential Removal of Trump's Tariffs
A federal appeals court recently ruled that Trump’s tariffs, imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, were unlawful. As a result, U.S. businesses have paid over $210 billion in tariffs that are now considered illegal.
Trump’s administration is preparing an appeal to the Supreme Court, and if the tariffs are reversed, it could reduce Treasury revenue. This could lead to increased borrowing, potentially putting downward pressure on gold prices.
Concerns Over the Fed's Independence
Concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence also pose a risk to gold. If these concerns grow, markets could price in a higher risk premium against the dollar, which could boost gold’s appeal.
Helping to moderate these concerns, at least for now, two Republican senators recently announced they would block any replacement for Fed Governor Lisa Cook until her lawsuit over her firing is resolved.
Closing my Trades in [ 300 pips profits ]Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits.
As I mentioned in today’s commentary session:
• I took buy trades around 3535–3533, and I’m expecting the market to test the 3565 benchmark, with an extension towards 3575.
My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – .
My first target (3565) is achieved, Alhamdulillah.
Additional Tip:
Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable, but I believe the top is priced in and the market is cooling off. MA periods show balance, confirming this as a consolidation phase of the bull market.
Where can you buy gold?Hello friends
After the good growth we had, you can see that the price has formed a three drive pattern and this could indicate a price correction to the specified support areas.
Otherwise, if the price breaks the resistance level, we can buy with confirmation in the pullback, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After wrapping up our 1H chart idea, here’s the update on the 4H chart we shared Sunday. Absolute perfection. We saw the EMA5 cross and lock above 3424, which opened 3499, target hit. Then another EMA5 cross and lock above 3499 opened 3561, also hit perfectly, right to the point.
We were able to map a range target without any historical data, relying on the law of averages and it played out beautifully.
From here, we now need an EMA5 cross and lock above 3561 to open 3615. Failure to lock will likely see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3277
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3234
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2996
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Don't chase the rise of gold, wait for the retracement to 3500Gold retreated to 3470 yesterday before rebounding. Driven by safe-haven funds, it surged strongly, breaking through the 3500 resistance level and reaching an all-time high of 3546.
The main reason for the rise is market concerns about the UK's economic outlook. Coupled with the general rise in global bond yields, the UK's long-term borrowing costs hit their highest level since 1998 yesterday.
As for gold at this point, my view remains that it's best not to chase the rally. While the current state of gold is generally bullish, the more such times are, the greater the risks.
Especially with gold prices at their all-time high, you don't know where the top will be or where the pullback will begin. This creates the greatest uncertainty.
When it comes to trading, my philosophy has always been to avoid uncertain trades. I prefer to wait for better opportunities, as they are free.
What gold needs now is a pullback to support, which would provide momentum for further gains. However, yesterday's pullback to the crucial 3450 level wasn't reached. Currently, gold has broken through 3500, so 3500 has turned from pressure to support, so I will pay attention to 3500 next and wait to see whether it stabilizes before considering whether to enter the market.
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Move 3.9.2025🔹 Bias: Bullish Continuation After Liquidity Sweep
Gold remains in a bullish structure overall, consolidating around 3538 after failing to clear 3547, which suggests liquidity engineering beneath current levels before continuation higher.
🔹 Key Demand Zone (3526–3531)
This zone marks prior accumulation and the origin of the last bullish impulse. A controlled dip into this area would allow liquidity sweep and re-entry of buyers, making it the critical zone to watch.
🔹 Liquidity Above 3547
Equal highs have formed near 3547, indicating liquidity resting above this level. A breakout here, once demand is respected, can provide fuel for a strong push toward the 3567 objective.
🔹 Risk Management (3515 Invalidation)
The invalidation point sits at 3515. A sustained break below this level would indicate absorption of demand and shift bias away from buyers. Until then, risk-to-reward strongly favors longs.
🔹 Trade Plan
Entry: Scale in within 3526–3531 after confirmation of order flow shift (CHOCH or strong bullish displacement).
Stop-Loss: Below 3515.
Take Profits: Partial at 3544/3547, trail stop to breakeven above 3547, final target at 3567.
👉 This breakdown balances structure, liquidity, and execution plan—giving traders both reasoning and a clear actionable path.
Gold Forecast 2025: Expert NEoWave AnalysisWe previously mentioned that wave-(E) itself is forming a diametric pattern, and we considered wave-g of (E) to be a double pattern with a small X-wave. However, wave-b of the X-wave pattern has exceeded the allowable time range, and the current wave we are in shows similarities in terms of time and price with waves (b)-(d)-(f).
Conclusion:
Based on the points mentioned above, it appears that wave-(E) of the higher-degree diametric is transitioning into a symmetrical pattern, and we are currently in wave-(f) of this symmetrical pattern. Wave-(f) of the symmetrical pattern is forming a bow-tie diametric, and wave-f of this bow-tie diametric is not yet complete. This wave could complete in the price range of $3,540 to $3,740, followed by a price correction to the $3,460–$3,380 range, and then a move toward the target of $3,900–$4,050.
Under normal circumstances, after reaching the $3,900–$4,050 range, we would expect wave-(F) of the higher-degree diametric to form. However, given the unusual global economic conditions and geopolitical issues, we may need to update our analysis, and it might not proceed as expected. For now, our final target remains $3,900–$4,050.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Go with the trend.Over the past two trading days, the international gold price has exhibited a strong breakout momentum, successfully moving above the upper edge of the consolidation range it had maintained for as long as four months. This trend is fully consistent with our recent analytical view that "bulls are accumulating strength for a breakout".
From the perspective of market performance, the current gold price is in a clearly strong upward cycle. Just as the trading logic we have repeatedly emphasized goes – "A strong trend sees no correction; a correction indicates a lack of strength": In a trending upward market, if the price consistently trades at a high level with extremely shallow corrections, it precisely signals sufficient bullish momentum. On the contrary, if an unexpected deep correction occurs, it will not only disrupt the current strong rhythm but also may dampen the market's confidence in going long, thereby exerting a substantial impact on the bullish trend.
Therefore, our core operating strategy remains unchanged: we will not blindly chase the rally. Instead, we will patiently wait for the price to retrace to the key support level before deploying long positions in line with the trend. This approach not only aligns with the current trend direction but also enables better control of entry risks.