Get started

Goldprediction

Is the plunge in gold prices a trend or a correction? News： Recent fiscal and political uncertainty in the United States continues to linger, with the recurring risk of a government shutdown and the slow pace of fiscal negotiations disrupting economic data releases and expectations management. On the monetary policy front, market expectations for further Fed rate cuts persist, forming a "mildly dovish" psychological anchor alongside the Fed's forward guidance. This limits the upward potential for real interest rates, favoring gold, a non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions remain, reinforcing the value of safe-haven assets. Furthermore, any unexpected surprises in the upcoming US inflation report could trigger a repricing of the interest rate path, potentially significantly increasing short-term volatility. The dollar's temporary strength is primarily driven by the resilience of the equity market and the stickiness of short-term yields. However, this "strength" reflects more of a short-term suppression than a trend reversal. If inflation and growth weaken marginally, or if the market re-prices its assumption of two rate cuts, the dollar will have room to retreat, and gold could gain additional momentum. Specifically: Structural bullish: From a long-term perspective, gold prices have completed a large M-shaped upward trend. If they fail to break below the effective support level of 4100, the theoretical target range could gradually move towards 4200-4300 (corresponding to the linkage between trend continuation and rising risk premiums). This path relies on the macroeconomic combination of continued geopolitical uncertainty, falling inflation, and lower interest rates, which has not been overturned. Trading strategy: Buy: 4085-4075, SL: 4060, TP: 4145-4180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
Gold WEEKLY Neowave Analysis (Potential Top Forming)The top in Gold may be forming; however, confirmation requires a larger and faster decline than the strongest counter-trend wave observed within this entire structure. This phase represents one leg of a multi-decade diametric formation. The pattern itself is a newly identified structure within the realm of NeoWave theory, and much of this analysis is based on the Gold chart of Mr. Glenn Neely. The price is should break below $3,850 before the end of March 2026, and this move could occur much sooner. However, this timeframe represents the maximum limit before the outlook becomes invalid. I will post an update regarding the future of Gold , once we get a confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The9xAcademy
Gold Double Top Forming – Correction Ahead?When an asset hits an All-Time High(ATH) , technical analysis can get a bit tricky because there’s no historical resistance above and the usual technical rules might have less impact. However, right now it seems like some technical principles are still visible on gold’s chart, at least on the 1-hour timeframe , and I’d like to share that with you. At the moment, Gold has broken below the lower line of its ascending channel, the Support zone($4,320 – $4,279) , and the neckline of a Double Top Pattern . This could indicate the start of a short-term correction. Given how strong gold’s momentum has been in recent weeks, this correction might not last too long since gold remains very attractive globally. From an Elliott Wave perspective , the formation of a double top pattern might signal the end of an impulsive wave and the beginning of a corrective phase . I expect that in the next few hours, Gold could at least drop to the Double Top Pattern’s target around $4,183 . If Gold breaks the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) , we could see a deeper correction . Second target:$4,143 Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
16
XAUUSD Bearish Structure Breakdown and Retest SetupSimple Analysis & Description: The chart shows a Change of Character (CHOCH) at the top, signaling a possible end to the bullish trend. Two major breakdowns occurred after price failed to maintain the ascending trendline, confirming bearish momentum. A clear Break of Structure (BOS) formed, shifting market direction from bullish to bearish. Price made a retest of the broken structure (highlighted yellow zone), which often acts as a new supply zone. The gray zone below marks the next potential demand area or target zone, where price could react or find support. The Ichimoku Cloud is now above the candles, indicating bearish pressure and potential continuation to the downside. Summary: ➡️ Trend: Bearish ➡️ Key Zone: 4,297–4,329 (supply / retest zone) ➡️ Target Zone: 4,221 area (potential demand/support)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LUCIFER_EARNING_CLUB
1
Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone | 4H SetupOverview: Gold is maintaining a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour timeframe, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price tapped into a key Demand Zone, showing a clear rejection and early signs of buyer re-entry — signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. Technical Outlook • Trend: Bullish market structure intact. • Current Price: ~4,230.34 • Demand Zone (Buy Zone): Price has bounced from a major demand area — indicating renewed buying pressure. • Reversal Confirmation: Rejection wicks and bullish candles confirm demand reaction. • Supply Zone (Resistance): Overhead supply remains the key obstacle. A break and close above it could trigger a strong rally toward the next resistance. Trade Setup Parameter Level (Approx.) Description Entry (Buy Zone) 4,230.34 Reaction from demand zone Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4,501.59 Conservative target Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4,576.74 Extended target Stop Loss (SL) ~4,200.00 Below demand zone Market Outlook As long as the demand zone holds, the bullish structure remains valid. A confirmed break above the supply zone could invite strong momentum toward higher targets. Failure to hold the demand base may trigger a corrective move lower — hence, risk management remains crucial. Bias: 🟢 Bullish Timeframe: 4H Strategy: Supply & Demand | Market Structure | Price Action
TVC:GOLDLong
by Champ_of_Gold
3
What to do after the plunge? Strategy has been updatedGold opened higher today, testing the peak at 4381 before coming under pressure and declining. During the session, it pulled back to a low of 4317, rebounded to around the 4345 level, and then started a cascading drop. Currently, it is consolidating with fluctuations near 4266. We have only executed one successful trade during the Asian session so far today, and all traders who followed the operation have gained good profits. As this wave of gold's decline is relatively rapid, for prudence, we can first observe the market temporarily and will inform everyone when there is an opportunity for operation. Trading Strategy Keep an eye on the trend during the European session. If gold fluctuates weakly in the European session, we will go short when it rebounds in the US session. If gold rebounds strongly in the European session, we will go long on gold when it pulls back in the US session. I will update trading signals in real time in the channel. You can follow it if needed.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold attempted another run-up yesterday but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a renewed pullback this session. Price is currently trading around 4259, slipping below the MA50 as short-term momentum softens after repeated rejections from the 4362 resistance zone. Despite the rejection the broader trend remains bullish above the MA200, though short-term momentum has clearly weakened. If buyers manage to reclaim 4321, gold could reattempt the upside toward 4362 and 4406. However, a break below 4,279 would expose the First Reaction Zone (4,227–4,192), where buyers will likely defend to maintain trend structure. A deeper breakdown beneath this area could open the way toward 4,151–4,117 near the MA200. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4321 4362 4406 Support: 4279 4227 4192 4151 4117 🔎 Fundamental focus: The U.S. government shutdown continues to pressure risk sentiment, with political negotiations showing little progress. Several key data releases this week, including PMI and durable goods orders, remain uncertain due to the data blackout, adding to market caution.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold holds firm near $4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today. After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts. The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids. Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week. • Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement. • Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area. • If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249 SL: 4255 – 4257 TP targets: 4210 → 4195 🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186 SL: 4174 TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup. • Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen. • Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms. ✅ Summary XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186. Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment. The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
12
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extends its rebound near $4 250 as traders weigh the recent uptick in U.S. Treasury yields against growing expectations of a softer Federal Reserve stance. After the latest mixed U.S. economic data, markets are leaning toward a mildly dovish outlook — rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction, while the dollar remains steady. Today’s focus centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data, which could steer short-term volatility. A stronger-than-expected report may trigger temporary selling pressure on gold, while weaker figures could revive safe-haven demand and extend the rally toward $4 380 +. Expect liquidity hunts before any clear directional move, as institutional players refine positions near the week’s range extremes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Market structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming continuation after the earlier accumulation phase. • A short-term Change of Character (ChoCH) signals corrective movement — likely a liquidity sweep before the next bullish leg. • Liquidity resting below $4 200 has already been taken, aligning with the discount zone around $4 196 – $4 198. • A potential re-accumulation is forming; buyers may look for confirmation (M15 BOS/ChoCH) inside this demand zone. • Upside liquidity targets cluster near $4 375 – $4 380, coinciding with a premium supply zone where sellers might re-enter. 🔴 Sell Setup Entry: 4378 – 4376 Stop-Loss: 4386 Take-Profit Targets: 4325 → 4260 🟢 Buy Setup Entry: 4196 – 4198 Stop-Loss: 4190 Take-Profit Targets: 4250 → 4370 → 4380 + ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for lower-timeframe BOS/ChoCH confirmation before execution. • Be cautious around U.S. macro data releases — spreads and volatility can widen temporarily. • Use partial take-profits at nearby liquidity zones and trail stops once market structure confirms continuation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains its bullish bias above $4 200 after sweeping liquidity. A short-term correction could retest $4 196 – $4 198 for fresh buy entries, while the broader trend remains upward. Only a clean structural break below $4 190 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario. FOLLOW RYAN FOR MORE USEFUL TRADING IDEAS!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
6
Bullish Bias Toward $4,400+🌍 Fundamental Overview Gold is trading around $4,135–$4,155/oz, staying firm despite mild USD recovery. Friday’s U.S. data (Michigan Consumer Sentiment, inflation expectations) came slightly higher, but Fed cut expectations remain unchanged — markets still price 99% chance of a rate cut in October. Geopolitical backdrop remains tense — Middle East concerns, ongoing U.S.–China trade friction, and soft global growth outlook keep gold demand resilient. ETF inflows show renewed interest; central banks (China, Turkey, India) continue accumulating. Short-term: Profit-taking possible early this week; medium-term trend remains bullish toward $4,300+. 📊 Technical Overview Current Price Range: $4,135 – $4,155 Support Zones: $4,120 (minor intraday support) $4,080 (major short-term floor) $4,050 (psychological & structural support) Resistance Levels: $4,180 $4,200 (key breakout zone) $4,300 (next major upside target) Trend: Bullish consolidation — healthy sideways price action above $4,100 zone. RSI (H4): Resetting from overbought, suggesting space for renewed upside momentum. 🎯 Trading Strategy 1️⃣ Buy Dip Setup Entry: $4,090–$4,120 SL: below $4,050 TP: $4,180 → $4,220 2️⃣ Breakout Buy Entry: above $4,180 (confirmed 1H close) SL: below $4,150 TP: $4,250 → $4,300 3️⃣ Short Scalp (Counter-trend) Entry: $4,180–$4,200 (if rejection appears) SL: above $4,220 TP: $4,120 → $4,080 📌 Bias: Bullish above $4,080 — watch for early-week volatility and liquidity traps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AthensBySahan
Gold is trending, focusing on the 4300-4320 range.On Tuesday, the early Asian session began to confirm resistance at 4375-4372, before rebounding and finding resistance at 4355. From here, a sweeping decline began, with the final acceleration occurring at 4344. We had already entered a short position in the 4340-4337 area. The price then experienced a $100 decline, accelerating to the 4244 area. The price fell from 4375 to 4244, marking another significant decline, and the European session saw a sharp drop of nearly $100. Watch the following trends in the short term: The dual-line channel corresponds to 4260, then 4295-44300, and finally 4302. The price broke below the upper limit of the 1-hour chart at 4268. After confirming support at 4220 in the European session on Monday, the price began to rise. However, it has currently broken down. If the US market continues to experience resistance, there is room for further decline in the short term. The first resistance area is 4280-4285, and the second resistance area is around 4300-4320. If the price breaks above 4325, pause shorting and wait for resistance to enter. The price just rebounded to around 4278, but is now under pressure below 4280 and continuing to decline. In the short term, monitor the rebound's strength and wait for the next resistance level before considering shorting. The support level is around 4245, followed by 4225. I will post more real-time strategies in the channel, so stay tuned.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
1
XAUUSD on verge[ will again buy] Targeting $5500XAUUSD holding the trendline on D1& H4 from 4270- 4245 zone after the implusive drop. Market is drop after rejecting from Double Top ATH. What are my conditions For Today's session? Currently i took buy trade from 4265 zone as bait ,I'm expecting H4 and H1 Candle closing will be above 4270 and on retest then market will left again. ✳️Secondly my last buying area will be around 4245-4250 if H4 remains above trendline on that time. Targets: 4310- 4345-4370 Additional Tip: Keep in mind H4 closed below 4245 then stay away from Buy AND Keep watching drop towards 4080 in extension I will buy in Dips and my Ultimate next target on long run is 5500.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Gold Bearish Bias for the Day📅 Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025 🕓 4H Timeframe 1️⃣ Market Context After a strong impulsive bullish run, GOLD is currently consolidating near a heavy supply zone ($4340–$4370). Price has failed to make a new higher high and is now showing early signs of exhaustion — potential short-term distribution in progress. 2️⃣ Bias: Bearish (Intraday/Short-Term) Expecting a retracement or corrective leg back into the previous demand zone ($4200–$4230). This could form a clean short-term sell opportunity before the next major bullish continuation resumes. 3️⃣ Trade Plan Entry Zone: 4340–4360 (Short/Sell entries from premium supply zone) Stop Loss: Above 4375 (above previous swing high / invalidation) Targets: TP1 → 4290 TP2 → 4250 TP3 → 4205 (final demand zone retest) RRR: 1:3+ potential depending on entry precision 4️⃣ Confirmation Triggers ✅ Bearish engulfing or rejection wick from supply zone ✅ BOS (Break of short-term structure) on lower TF (1H/15M) ✅ Volume drop on retest = ideal entry signal 5️⃣ Intraday Summary If GOLD holds below 4360 — bias stays bearish. Only a clean 4H close above 4375 will flip structure bullish again. Until then, focus on shorting premium areas toward discount levels below $4250. 💬 Conclusion: "Sell the premium, buy the discount" — today GOLD looks ripe for a controlled bearish correction before the next leg up. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase longs inside supply.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Champ_of_Gold
2
Big cycle M double top, beware of big pullbackGood morning, bros. Last night we proposed a strategy of short selling in batches if gold rises first and touches the upper pressure level of 4365-4380, and achieved good profits. After today's opening, gold rebounded to this range several times, and it can be said that it has basically recovered the losses since last Friday. However, the intraday rebounds have failed to effectively break through this resistance range. If the bulls want to fully counterattack and move towards the 4400 mark, they need to break through the upper resistance. Judging from the long-term trend, the market has a tendency to form an M-shaped double top, so be cautious in chasing the rise in intraday trading and beware of possible large market corrections. Judging from the short-term trend, the resistance near 4350 is still obvious. If the European session rebounds to this level again without breaking through, the bull market will be difficult to sustain in the short term. We can consider trying a light short position once, but be sure to set a stop loss. At the same time, if the short-term support of 4330-4320 below cannot be held, gold will fall further to test yesterday's rebound low of 4305-4295. Once 4305-4295 is breached, it may trigger a technical sell-off, pushing the gold price to accelerate its correction to 4240 or even the 4220 neckline. Trade intraday at key levels, but be wary of market whipsaws. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Perfect_Allen
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone. Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields. • Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal. • Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension. Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement. • Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation. • Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push. • Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4454 – 4452 • Stop-Loss: 4463 • Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330 🟢 Buy Setup • Entry: 4270 – 4272 • Stop-Loss: 4260 • Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 + ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases. • Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction. A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+. Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
28