Zone 4: Where Gold’s Next Move Will Be DecidedTVC:GOLD continues its impressive bullish structure, climbing cleanly through all prior resistance zones. Each expansion phase has been measured and consistent - alternating between ~1.7% impulsive legs and ~4.4% corrective expansions, forming a rhythmic price behavior that reflects controlled institutional flow rather than retail volatility.
Price is now operating within Zone 4, approaching the $3,987–$3,990 resistance target. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the current expansion range, making it a critical decision point.
If price follows the same historical rhythm observed in September, there’s a high probability we’ll see a tap of $3,987, followed by a retracement toward $3,914 (zone support) before any continuation attempt.
However, it's important to note that we’re currently in a blackout phase, with no tangible U.S. economic data releases to fuel directional conviction. This means momentum here is largely technically driven, and could mark the final phase for gold before a broader trend shift.
Key Note:
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation remains valid while above $3,900 support. I expect price to hit 3987 and then pullback to 3914 where possible re-accumulation repeats.
Volume remains steady but not euphoric - signaling disciplined accumulation rather than late FOMO.
Conclusion:
TVC:GOLD structure remains intact, but the market is entering a decision zone. The next move from here within 24-48 hours window, will likely determine whether we witness a final extension or the start of a deeper correction.
💭 Share your thoughts below if following this trade.
Goldprediction
XAU/USD Short-Term Buy Opportunity Near $3,950 SupportCurrent price: around $3,949.60
Support zone: near $3,940
Resistance targets: around $3,962, $3,965, and $3,970
Setup type: A long position with a defined entry near current price, stop loss just below $3,940, and take profit around $3,962–$3,970.
The green box indicates the reward zone, while the red box shows the risk area.
✅ Interpretation: The trader anticipates a short-term bullish rebound after a corrective move down.
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected Before Key CPI Data💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is stabilizing below the $4,000 mark as traders await this week’s U.S. CPI data and fresh remarks from the Federal Reserve. After a strong multi-week rally, the metal is showing early exhaustion near premium liquidity zones, where engineered pullbacks often occur before continuation.
While the mid-term bias remains bullish, several analysts — including those from Citi and UBS — caution that gold could face short-term corrections if the dollar regains strength. The market continues to price in around a 65% probability of a December rate cut, keeping volatility elevated and sentiment uncertain.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has slipped slightly below the ascending channel after consecutive BOS signals, indicating a potential short-term retracement before resuming the uptrend.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3932–3930 (Breakout & FVG zone) – an ideal discount area where buyers may re-enter the market.
🔴 Sell Zone: 4009–4007 (Premium liquidity) – a key region for short setups if price rejects strongly.
🔑 Key Levels
• BUY Zone: 3932–3930 (main support 3923)
• SELL Zone: 4009–4007 (liquidity reaction area)
• Psychological Resistance: 4000
💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3932–3930
SL: 3923
TP: 3945 – 3955 – 3965 – 3975 – 3980+
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4009–4007
SL: 4016
TP: 3995 – 3980 – 3975 – 3965 – 3955
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000–4010 region acts as a high-liquidity magnet, where false breakouts and engineered sweeps may occur before reversals.
Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (BOS or rejection candle) before entry.
Avoid overleveraging ahead of CPI — expect volatility spikes and rapid shifts in sentiment.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish but vulnerable to intraday retracements near 4009–4007. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates potential buy reactions from 3932–3930 and short-term rejections near 4009–4007. Holding above 3923 keeps the bullish outlook intact with upside targets toward 3970–3980.
🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time updates, live setups, and advanced SMC insights as gold reacts to CPI data this week!
Intraday Gold Sell Setup – Risk-Reward Favoring Downside Move ?Entry Price: ~$3,973
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,980.89
Take Profit (TP): ~$3,958.85
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2
Market Context & Price Action:
Bearish Engulfing Pattern: The last red candle has engulfed the prior green candle near a recent swing high, suggesting potential short-term bearish momentum.
Resistance Zone: Around $3,977–$3,980, where price was rejected.
Bearish Projection Arrow: Indicates expected drop towards the TP zone around $3,958.
Support Area: ~$3,958 and $3,954 – prior levels where price has shown reactions.
The 3975 resistance is effective, is gold going to fall?The current price of gold has moved out of the previous high-level oscillation range on the daily trend, and has not continued to rise at the 4-hour level. On the hourly level, after continuous high-level oscillations, the technical pattern has begun to gradually weaken. On the small-level cycle trend, the K-line has also begun to slowly maintain a weak trend along the short-term moving average.
The current market situation is just as we mentioned before. The bulls' momentum is obviously insufficient. We have made two consecutive short orders near the 3975 resistance level and both have made good profits. After multiple attacks on 3977 and failure to break through, gold has adjusted and has now fallen below the early low. Pay attention to the support of 3953-3950. If this position is broken, gold will continue to test the support of 3930-3920.
Resistance levels: 3977, 3995
Support levels: 3930, 3900
For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help you avoid mistakes.
The most accurate analysis on the entire network do you follow As the US government shutdown continues, many central banks continue to increase their gold holdings. Coupled with Trump's new tariffs and geopolitical implications, the market continues to release bullish signals, contributing to a pattern of gold prices hitting new highs. Yesterday, gold in the US market tested the resistance of 3960-3970 as expected and then fell back to around 3945. Those brothers who followed the trading strategy and went short must have made good profits.
As time goes by and the price of gold continues to rise, the short-term lows are also moving higher. Gold continued to rise in the Asian session today, reaching a high of around 3977 before falling back. In the short term, pay attention to the support level below 3955-3940. If it falls back for the first time during the day, you can consider going long on gold.
In addition, observing previous gold price trends, we can see that every time gold breaks through a new high, it will experience a pullback of approximately $70-80 to accumulate momentum after hitting channel resistance. According to this trend pattern, combined with the rising channel of our chart, we can find that the next suppression point is at 3985-4000.
Overall, gold remains bullish in the medium to long term, but may experience short-term technical adjustments. The core trading strategy remains primarily long gold, supplemented by short positions. If the price falls back to the 3955-3940 range for the first time during the day, you can consider buying gold in batches according to the strength of the pullback, with the target at 3985-4000. After the resistance level is reached and under pressure, you can consider shorting gold appropriately based on the market trend.
Will Gold (Spot) Test $4,000/oz or Gold is Becoming UnsFall DownGold is Becoming Unstoppable
Made a New Record High of +3976.5
- But Will It Rise Further? Will it Test $4000 per oz?
or
- Will Fall Down From Here (The New ATHs) ?????
Taking reference from the Gold Futures Market
- Gold futures already & officially hit $4,000/oz for the first time in history.
- Generally, it is expected that the spot price & the futures prices converge as the contract expiration date approaches
- That means at expiry, gold spot & future must attain the same level
That means the spot might rise to 4000, or the future price might fall from 4000
The attached Gold mini future chart says that gold prices might fall from current levels
Upward trend. Bullish momentum persists.Gold opened higher in Asia on Monday, continuously hitting new highs, reaching a high near 3970 in the US session, a previously unimaginable high. The Asian session continued its strong performance on Tuesday, reaching near 3977. It is currently experiencing a small pullback, with gains reaching 86 points.
Given the current momentum, it's only a matter of time before it reaches 4000. Currently, the bullish structure of gold remains intact, with prices approaching the 4000 mark. The RSI indicator on the daily chart has crossed above 80, indicating overbought conditions. Bullish momentum continues, with prices slowly rising along the high of the 5-day moving average. Prices on both the 4-hour and daily charts are trading within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages trending upward.
After a short-term correction on the 1-hour moving average, gold has stabilized and continued to rise. The upward trend of the moving averages indicates continued upward momentum, and any current price corrections are opportunities to enter the market and go long.
Although the current price has exceeded imagination, the trend continues to move upward. It is important to note that stop loss must be strictly enforced.
Trading strategy:
Go long on a price pullback to around 3945, with a stop loss at 3935. Profit range: 3970-3980.
Gold price analysis October 7Gold prices continue to maintain a strong upward momentum and are getting closer to the psychological level of 4000 – earlier than initially expected. In the short term, investors should observe the price reaction at important support zones to take advantage of the recovery for the main trend.
The main strategy is still to prioritize BUY, because the uptrend has not shown clear signs of weakening.
Notable support zones: 3950 – 3921 – 3892
When there is a signal of price rejection at these zones, you can consider opening a buy position.
Short-term target: 4000, which is also an important resistance zone and a new record high for gold.
📈 Trend: BUY GOLD
🎯 Target: 4000
XAUUSD: Correction underway as selling pressure intensifiesOANDA:XAUUSD pushed through the Margin Zone toward 3976, a strong level with CME Longcall positioning—where selling pressure has begun to appear. I believe the upside objective for this leg has been met and the market is likely to enter a corrective phase in the near term. You can read my previous analysis here:
Momentum has clearly weakened, and selling pressure around has appeared.
CME traders have begun unwinding Longcall exposure , reinforcing the view that the advance may be nearing completion. However, Longput positioning has not increased materially yet, so the pullback may not accelerate immediately.
Key resistance:
Key support: ,
Contingency support:
Today’s plan:
Look for sell entries into and target the support zones below.
Confirmation: Wait for Quantum Vol-Delta at 5m timeframe to flag strong selling pressure before entering.
Stops: Place the stop above the resistance or above the most recent 5m timeframe swing high from the entry.
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Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Keep breaking new highs, is there any hope for short positions?Gold opened higher today, then retreated after hitting resistance at 3975. This trend mirrors recent trends: every rally is followed by a pullback. Even after breaking through resistance, the surge wasn't as strong as before, and the price has since fluctuated at a high level. This indicates that the current price is close to the market's target, in line with market expectations.
The recent rally was driven by news, and this seven-week rally hasn't seen a significant pullback. The risk of chasing the gains outweighs the reward, so we're primarily shorting at high levels.
The short positions we entered at 3962 and 3974 have been closed with profit taking near 3960. We will keep an eye on the pressure at 3975 above and will choose the right time to act depending on the breakthrough situation.
Resistance levels: 3975, 3995
Support levels: 3930, 3900
For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and can't achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help avoid mistakes.
The long position of 3935 gold is making a huge profit!The market is always full of possibilities. There is no so-called "highest point", only higher possibilities. When the trend is clearly upward, going with the flow is the core strategy to achieve stable profits. Avoid trading against the trend or based on emotions, especially in the current volatile market environment. Trading without clear thinking and discipline can easily lead to unnecessary losses. This is something I've been emphasizing. For those who are still on the sidelines and haven't yet developed an effective trading strategy, please follow my channel. We will continue to provide professional market analysis, comprehensive trading plans, and precise buy and sell instructions to help you better grasp the market's rhythm.
I am not surprised by the sharp rise in gold prices at the opening. Those who have read my views know that the current trend is basically consistent with my prediction, and reaching 3900 is within expectations. Since last week, we have been emphasizing that the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged. On Thursday and Friday, we established long positions in gold at 3840-3855-3874, including buying at 3893 at the beginning of the opening. This is based on the technical analysis and news analysis, which makes us dare to be so firmly bullish.
Last Friday, despite a surge and then a decline, gold prices remained volatile at high levels. Market expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts, coupled with high uncertainty regarding global geopolitical risks and the economic outlook, continued to provide stable support for gold prices, maintaining their upward trend. In particular, the recent US government shutdown crisis has stimulated rising risk aversion sentiment, helping gold prices to rise further, and the market's concerns about a long-term US government shutdown have intensified.
Judging from the gold daily chart, gold prices rebounded sharply last Friday and recorded a large real body positive candlestick pattern. Although the sharp rebound in prices last Friday failed to break through the previous high, gold prices continued to rise after opening high this week. In addition, the moving average cluster maintained a bullish arrangement, and the MACD indicator double lines maintained a golden cross operation process, indicating that the current trend is under the control of bulls.
The short-term trading strategy continues with last week's buy-on-low strategy!
There are many areas in 393-3925, the target is 3945, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3950, if it breaks through, look higher!
The above is the gold signal opinion published four hours ago. The first target of 3945 has been successfully reached. It is also correct to continue to be bullish after breaking through 3950. The accurate prediction perfectly matches the current gold trend. Welcome to click to view the original text!
Gold → Continuously hitting new highs, where will the bears go?After today's sharp opening, we shorted gold at 3946. After repeated testing of support at 3930, we took profit. Currently, gold continues to strengthen due to a variety of factors, including the US government shutdown, interest rate cuts, and geopolitical factors. However, the risks of chasing the price higher at this level outweigh the rewards. Gold has seen seven consecutive weeks of strong gains without a single pullback. If a pullback occurs, it would likely start at $100.
On the hourly chart, intraday pullbacks were mild and sustained, with the K-line chart maintaining a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. Smaller timeframes exhibited some divergence. Moreover, after gold fell back to 3930 and broke through the resistance level of 3950, it did not rise as much as before, which means that the current position is close to market expectations, and the bullish momentum is not as strong as before. We will continue to consider shorting gold on rallies in the evening.
Resistance levels: 3975, 3995
Support levels: 3930, 3900
For detailed trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
Abundant energy. Breaking through 4000?Gold continues its strong bullish trend, and the bullish outlook remains unchanged. Having already broken through the 3900 mark, the upside target could reach 4000.
Based on the cyclical rhythm, we expect continued unilateral gains in the early part of this week (Monday and Tuesday); be wary of a shift to a volatile upward trend or a reversal in the midweek (Wednesday and Thursday); Friday is likely to see a corrective rally, but if a reversal occurs midweek, there is a risk of a sharp correction on Friday.
Technically, gold maintains a healthy upward trend along its short-term moving average on the 4-hour chart. The bottoming out during the US trading session has completed the technical pattern repair, accumulating momentum for further gains. Although the current price is fluctuating at a high level, a new high is inevitable, as similar patterns have repeatedly demonstrated strong breakouts recently. Even if it maintains a high and narrow consolidation in the short term, there is a high probability that it will see a direct rise.
From the 1-hour level, the gold price is temporarily consolidating at a high level, but the small-cycle technical indicators have shown a certain degree of top divergence. This indicates that the short-term trend may continue to fluctuate at a high level and be strong, and we need to pay attention to the opportunity for bullish intervention after the correction. Watch for opportunities to enter the bull market after a pullback. The overall technical structure remains solid and supports a bullish outlook.
Trading Recommendation:
Continue to buy on a pullback to 3945, with a stop-loss at 3935. Profit range: 3970-3980-3990.
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
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#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
XAUUSD breakout ?XAUUSD market open with a significant bullihs rejection with a gap open sginaling potenial bigger move as past week there has been 2 significant breako fo structure has given fuel for the market to create a potential new all time high. Lowertimeframe price action is high bullish with multiple break of structure and liquidity sweep from the support level indicating trend continuation as smart money is still buying on a pullback.
Gold is falling after rising and focusing on the support of 3930Gold continues its ascent, reaching new highs, posting seven consecutive weeks of strong weekly gains – a rare trend.
This surge is driven by factors such as the US shutdown, growing expectations of interest rate cuts, and geopolitical conflicts. Today's market opened with a surge, and this acceleration suggests continued upward momentum and an unstoppable bullish momentum. Gold's one- and four-hour charts are all bullish, with the moving averages diverging upward in a bullish pattern. Technically, the bulls have broken through the neckline, signaling another upward move.
Our short position entered at 3946 is currently making good profits. Pay attention to the support below 3930. If it falls below this level, we can look at the 3920 line. Keep an eye on support at 3930; a break below this level could see the 3920 level.
For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help avoid mistakes.
XAUUSD: Bullish momentum is sustainedOANDA:XAUUSD continues to push to new highs with no signs of weakening momentum . I do not expect a sharp decline in the near term, and at this time we should stand aside and continue to observe price action before making any trading decisions.
Price is approaching a large liquidity area (Margin Zone) , where CME participants accept trading at high value . Therefore, this is the objective price may reach in today’s session.
Contingency at this level hosts a sizable cluster of CME long calls , so price may overshoot the Margin Zone and tag 3976 before a minor pullback.
Margin Zone:
Strong resistance:
Key support:
The levels above are areas where price may react and potentially reverse. However, at present, trading in a high value area without structure confirmation is extremely risky.
⇒ We should stand outside in today’s session and wait for the next price action.
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Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Gold is rising strongly. Here's the analysis.From a technical perspective, gold's cyclical trend is bullish. The daily chart has successfully broken out of its previous narrow range, with prices steadily rising along the short-term moving average. The next key factor will be whether a secondary rally can be launched after retracing to the 3900 support level. While the 1-hour chart remains strong, with limited pullbacks, prices continue to rise, but caution is warranted regarding the risk of a pullback after a rapid surge.
Based on the current technical pattern, a short-term bullish outlook is maintained, but a buy-on-dip strategy should be prioritized. Gold prices strongly broke through the previous key resistance level of 3900 in early Asian trading, which has now become a significant support level. An ideal long position would be to wait for prices to fall back to around 3915. If this area finds effective support and signals of stabilization emerge, this would be a relatively safe entry point.
As for upside targets, the primary focus is on the 3960 resistance level. A successful breakout would open up potential for higher prices. It's important to emphasize that when market sentiment is euphoric and prices continue to rise, volatility intensifies, significantly increasing the risk of chasing the rally. From the overall trend, the medium- and long-term upward momentum of gold still exists, but technical corrections need to be handled with caution in the short term. The core strategy is to rely on key support to find low-long opportunities.
Gold (XAUUSD) | Bullish Continuation from OB + FVG ZoneHello Billionaires!!
As you can see Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, respecting both Order Block (OB) and Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones on the 4H timeframe. After internal structure shifts and multiple FVG fills, price is expected to retrace slightly to the OB–FVG confluence before continuing higher.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Price respecting bullish structure on 4H
OB + FVG confluence acting as demand zone
Clean displacement shows institutional interest
Expecting continuation toward new highs if bullish structure holds
Smart money maintaining control — watching how price reacts at the retracement zone for potential long re-entries.