Gold price adjusted down below 4000 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/03/2025 - 11/07/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Friday, slipping below the $4,000 mark as traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook after this week’s rate cut. The metal trades near $3,985, down about 1% on the day and heading for a second consecutive weekly loss.
A stronger US Dollar and steady Treasury yields weigh on Gold, as markets trim bets on another Fed rate cut this year. Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious stance, noting that a December cut is “not a foregone conclusion” and policy will depend on incoming data.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price lacks bullish momentum, accumulates and corrects down below 4000
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4154, $4235
Support: $3953, $3884
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Goldshort
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO – PRIORITIZE SELLING After BREAKING THE TRENDLINE
Hello traders community,
The new week opens with a clear strategy: Prioritize SELLING after Gold has broken the previous upward trendline.
Although fundamental economic news (such as interest rate policies and politics) supports Gold potentially reaching $5,000$ USD, we must trade according to
current Price Action. Technical selling pressure is strong. We will SELL at key resistance areas and continue SELLING when the price breaks the downward structure.
📰 FUNDAMENTALS & LONG-TERM OUTLOOK
Prospect of $5,000$: Fundamental and political factors still support the scenario of Gold reaching $5,000$ USD in the long term (due to geopolitical risks and the potential loss of Fed's independence).
Short Term 🔴: Gold is under technical selling pressure after breaking through the $4,000$ USD mark.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BREAKING THE TRENDLINE
Structure: Gold has exited the upward price channel and is retesting the broken trendline.
Priority: SELL at the retest resistance area of $4024$.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Primary) - Preemptive Resistance
Entry 1: $4024$ (Sell retest trendline area)
SL: $4032$
TP1/TP2: $4012$ | $4000$
TP3: $3989$
Entry 2 (Continued SELL): When the price breaks the next trendline at $3992$
SL: $4000$
TP: $3940$
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Reversal) - Buy at Strong Support
Logic: Only buy when the price hits a strong liquidity support area, potential for short-term recovery.
Entry (BUY): Around $3960$ (Buy Scalping area)
SL: $3954$
TP1/TP2: $3972$ | $3988 FWB:TP3 : $4000$
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note) Don't let the $5,000$ USD prospect affect short-term risk management. Trade according to Price Action. Adhere to SL and prioritize SELL positions at resistance areas.
Are you ready for the SELL strategy at the start of this week?
XAU/USD | Gold Fills Liquidity Gap – Another Drop Below $3,900?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,915 demand zone, price reacted strongly and began to rise, filling the liquidity gap created by last night’s drop. Gold is currently trading around $3,973, and if it fails to hold above $4,015, we could see another strong bearish move toward lower levels below $3,900. The next short-term bearish targets are $3,955, $3,947, $3,915, and $3,899.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Price Analysis – Will Bears Drag XAUUSD Below 3900?Gold continues to trade within a clear downward structure facing consistent resistance near the 4040–4060 zone while maintaining pressure below key descending trendlines. Price recently confirmed another Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 3972 level suggesting bearish continuation. The projection shows potential short-term pullbacks toward 3980–4000 followed by a deeper drop toward targets at 3901 and 3857.
Unless bulls reclaim the 4063–4128 resistance the overall bias remains bearish with expectations of further downside toward the $3,816–$3,850 support range.
Regarding the Fed meeting tomorrow markets widely expect a 25 bps rate cut which is already priced in. The real impact will come from the Fed speech if the Fed hints at further easing (a dovish stance) gold may bounce higher as the dollar weakens. But if the Fed sounds cautious or signals a pause gold could drop sharply as yields and dollar strength return. Overall trend remains bearish traders should stay alert to post Fed volatility as it could temporarily disrupt or confirm the next major move.
🔴 Sell Zone:
The main sell zone is between 4150-4200 which aligns with the upper resistance range and the top boundary of the descending channel. This area has repeatedly acted as a rejection point where sellers step in aggressively. If price retraces into this zone and forms bearish confirmation candles it becomes a strong region to look for short entries.
⚡ Sell Trigger Area:
The sell trigger area lies around 4000 which is a key psychological and structural level. A confirmed break and candle close below 4000 would likely trigger renewed bearish momentum opening the way toward 3901-3857 as next downside targets. This break would confirm continuation of the bearish wave and strengthen the short bias.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis(Nuclear testing Resumed)Gold appears to be setting up for another potential short opportunity. Despite yesterday’s rate-cut announcement, price action showed limited bullish momentum, even after Chair Powell signaled the likelihood of an additional cut in December. This lack of upside response suggests continued bearish sentiment.
Additionally, geopolitical risk remains elevated. Reports indicate former President Trump may push to resume nuclear testing, in response to President Putin’s recent strategic posturing and threats involving advanced weapons systems. While such developments typically support safe-haven assets, gold has yet to reflect meaningful bullish follow-through following these headlines.
Overall, current structural behavior on the 4-hour chart continues to favor bearish movement unless a significant shift in fundamentals or market sentiment emerges
Gold to $4500?You’re looking at a 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) with a combination of Fibonacci extensions, RSI, and MACD indicators.
1. Price action & Fibonacci levels
• Current price: around $4,008.
• The chart shows retracement and extension levels, with key Fibonacci zones marked (0.618, 1.618, 2.618, etc.).
• The price recently retraced to the 1.618 level (~$4,010) — a common Fibonacci support zone — and bounced slightly.
• There’s also a 2.618 extension at $3,865, suggesting that if $4,000 fails as support, the next downside target could be around $3,865.
2. MACD (top indicator)
• MACD Line (blue) is well below the Signal Line (orange) → strong bearish momentum.
• Histogram is negative (–7.643), confirming the bearish trend.
• However, the histogram bars are starting to shrink, which can often signal bearish exhaustion or a potential bullish reversal coming.
3. RSI (bottom indicator)
• RSI = 35.93, with the RSI-based MA at 39.91.
• This means Gold is nearing oversold territory (below 30) — it’s not extreme yet, but buyers might soon step in.
• If RSI turns up and crosses the MA, it could confirm the beginning of a short-term reversal.
4. Projected path (orange line on chart)
• The drawn orange curve shows a possible bounce scenario:
• Gold could dip slightly below $4,000 or test $3,865 (2.618 level),
• then begin a gradual recovery toward $4,380–$4,400.
• That’s in line with a Fibonacci retracement to 1.0–1.618 area — a common recovery zone after a sharp drop.
5. Summary
Indicator Current Bias Signal
Price Action Slightly Bearish Approaching support zone
Fibonacci Key support at $4,000, next at $3,865 Possible bounce
MACD Bearish but flattening Early reversal potential
RSI Near oversold Could trigger rebound soon
Quick Take:
Gold might dip slightly lower (possibly to $3,865), but technicals suggest a bullish reversal may follow in early November, targeting the $4,380–$4,400 area.
Gold 4-hour timeframe analysisHi traders
In the 4-hour gold structure, following the break below the balance zone’s low, we can consider the entry of 4-hour sellers. The pullback zones for these sellers are at 4067 and 4090. The defined take-profit level for this time frame is 3773. As long as this balance remains intact (i.e., no 4-hour candle closes above the zone), the mentioned target will remain valid
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold has reached a key support zone after a sharp two-day drop.
From this area, we expect a corrective rebound toward the broken structure.
This retest could complete a pullback phase before the next wave of decline resumes.
A short-term rally toward the resistance zone is likely.
If price shows rejection there, the next downside targets are expected to follow.
As long as price remains below the red resistance zone, the bearish bias remains intact.
Look for bearish confirmation signals on lower timeframes before entering short positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold 1H – Bearish Reaction After Consecutive Gains🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
After several sessions of steady gains, gold is showing signs of exhaustion as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s next move.
The market’s focus today is on U.S. housing data and Fed officials’ remarks, which could shape expectations for the December policy outlook.
• A hawkish tone from policymakers may strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower.
• Conversely, softer remarks could briefly trigger buying around key discount zones, but the overall tone remains corrective after the recent rally.
Market liquidity is concentrated near the $4,230 area — where price may tap into unmitigated supply before continuing its bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: The overall bias has shifted bearish following consecutive ChoCH and BOS formations.
• Premium Zone: The 4,230–4,228 area aligns with an H1 order block and previous liquidity pool — a prime zone for short re-entry.
• Liquidity Sweep: The recent upside push toward 4,230 may sweep late buyers before the next bearish leg unfolds.
• Discount Zone: Short-term liquidity may rest around 4,080–4,100, which aligns with previous sell-side imbalance (SSI) and acts as an intraday reaction zone.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4,230 – 4,228
• Stop-Loss: 4,240
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,080 → 4,050+
🟢 Buy Scalp Setup (Short-Term Countermove)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,115
(Only valid if liquidity sweep confirms reaction within discount zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Confirm M15 BOS/ChoCH before entry — avoid blind orders during news.
• Reduce position size for scalp entries; primary directional bias remains bearish.
• Lock partial profits near first liquidity targets and trail stops as structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold faces near-term correction pressure after multiple bullish sessions.
The 4,230–4,228 zone offers a clean premium OB entry for continuation shorts, while reactive buyers may scalp intraday from 4,081 if liquidity sweeps occur.
Stay adaptive — today’s sentiment is short-term bearish within a larger range-bound structure.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
Gold Trend Shift (4hr) Time frameDescription
✅ Trend Shift : Price broke the previous bullish structure — short-term bearish momentum confirmed.
🔹 Breaker Level : Previous swing high now acts as potential resistance on any retrace.
🔹 Demand Zone : Strong buyer interest around 4,000–4,050 — watch for bullish reversal signals.
📈 Potential Move :
1. Price may drop toward the demand zone.
2. Buyers reacting here could push price back to the breaker level.
3. Reclaiming the breaker could signal continuation toward next order block: 4,300–4,350.
⚡ Key Takeaways:
Monitor the demand zone for bullish confirmations.
Breaker retest = high-probability buy setup.
Risk management is essential — structure shows a clear shift from bullish → bearish.
#DYOR
GOLD OUTLOOK TODAY | BEARISH SHORT-TERM | XAUUSD OCT 20.2025☄️ Gold Market Outlook 10/ 20 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊 Overall Market Structure
🔤Gold has just completed a strong bullish leg that topped around 4370–4380, followed by a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) to the downside.
🔤The structure now shows:
🔤CHoCH bearish confirming short-term reversal.
🔤Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside confirming momentum shift.
🔤A newly formed bearish FVG around 4275–4285, acting as a premium area for potential sell entries.
💡 Trading Plan
🔽 Scenario 1 – SELL at Premium FVG
🔤Reasoning:
CHoCH + BOS confirmed bearish structure.
Price retracing into an unmitigated bearish FVG, offering high-probability entry aligned with institutional order flow.
🔤Entry: 4275–4285
🔤Condition: Wait for lower timeframe CHoCH on M5–M15 within FVG to confirm rejection.
🔼 Scenario 2 – BUY Rejection from 4200–4220 Zone
🔤Reasoning:
Price could sweep liquidity below recent lows and tap into fresh demand from previous bullish leg.
If CHoCH bullish appears → potential for short-term buy retracement back to 4270 area.
🔤Entry: 4200–4220
🔤Condition: M5 CHoCH bullish + BOS confirmation on retest.
🔽 Scenario 3 – Break and Continuation SELL
🔤Reasoning:
If price breaks below 4200 with a strong BOS, expect continuation to lower demand (4150–4170).
Look for new FVG to form on pullback for continuation entries.
🔤Entry: After BOS below 4200, sell retracement to new FVG
🔤Condition: BOS + new FVG creation confirms momentum continuation.
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.
TLDR: SELL Gold, BUY OilGold/oil ratio seems to be evolving in a band. We've had RSI divergences every time we touched the band predicting trend reversal. RSI Divergence playing out right now as we touch the seemingly relevant support.
- FX_IDC:USDWTI / FRED:WM2NS is at an all time low support level (1998, 2016, 2020)
- TVC:GOLD / FRED:WM2NS at an all time High (1983, oct 2011)
Gold/Oil ratio looks like a Big BUY to me. Enjoy \o/.
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. CPI DataXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
________________________________________
📈 Market Context
Gold prices remain steady around $3,975, as traders await the U.S. CPI data release later today — a key event that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
If inflation cools, the dovish sentiment may boost gold’s safe-haven appeal; however, a hotter CPI print could trigger renewed dollar strength and short-term pressure on XAUUSD.
Market volatility is expected to spike near the release, so liquidity grabs and false breaks are likely before the true direction forms.
________________________________________
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirms short-term bearish control after breaking the bullish structure near 4017.
• FVG Sell Zone (4015–4017) aligns with premium imbalance and prior liquidity — ideal for short setups if price retests that zone.
• BOS to the downside was confirmed at 3960, showing sellers in control.
• The discount zone 3908–3910 is a strong demand area where buyers may step in after liquidity sweep below 3910.
________________________________________
🟢 Buy Zone: 3908–3910
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3920 → 3940 → 3960+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4015–4017
SL: 4022
TP targets: 4000 → 3985 → 3970
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entering either side.
• Use partial position sizing around CPI release — volatility may cause large wicks.
• Watch for liquidity hunts near 3980–3990 before CPI, then confirm structure direction.
________________________________________
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below key resistance while awaiting U.S. inflation data.
Smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep toward 4015–4017 (FVG) before resuming the bearish leg into 3910.
However, if CPI comes in softer than expected, buyers may defend 3908–3910, sparking a recovery back toward 3980+.
🔔 Stay alert around CPI release hours — expect manipulative price action and confirm structure breaks before committing to directional trades.
XAUUSD: Recovery after the correctionOANDA:XAUUSD After printing a new high at 4059 and retesting the prior high in yesterday’s session, gold came under clear selling pressure. A short-term downtrend has formed. For today’s session, the priority is to look for sell entry when price pulls back into the resistance zone. You can read my previous analysis here:
Today’s balance level: 3950 . If 3950 breaks to the downside, price may continue lower toward before a recovery develops.
📉 Analysis
The short-term structure has shifted to lower high/lower low (LH/LL) intraday , consistent with a tactical correction.
The zone is also a Margin Zone , containing significant CME liquidity and a cluster of Long-call contracts from prior sessions.
Key resistance:
Strong resistance:
Strong support:
📊 Trading Plan
Buy the dip:
Wait to buy at with confirmation.
Targets: first 3950, then .
Stop: below the M5 low of the signal candle. Move to BE at +1R.
Sell at resistance:
Watch reactions at .
If a clear rejection appears (rejection/engulfing), consider a sell entry for the next corrective with target is .
Stop: above the corresponding resistance, manage flexibly.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAUUSD 15m – EW Short SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 15m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a short setup. Price has completed wave (v) and is now retesting the Fibonacci cluster between the 0.618 and 0.88 retracement levels, which aligns with a potential reversal zone.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4059.16, serving as the invalidation level. My Take Profit levels are set at 3991.32 (TP1), 3985.71 (TP2), and 3965.74 (TP3), targeting the projected completion of the next corrective leg.
If price moves above the invalidation level, this wave count is no longer valid.
Good luck and trade safe!
Gold 4h Potential Short Confluence🔱 Just wanted to highlight this confluence 🔱
The yellow L-MLH and white U-MLH are lining up to form a potential short setup.
Today’s selling pressure is also giving an early warning signal.
If we open and close below the white U-MLH, we’ll likely retest it before any major drop.
Shorting this move will require a decent stop, given the inherent volatility. So maybe a play with an Options Strategy would be a more secure way.
Let’s see if the party finally takes a breather.
XAUUSD: Momentum fades after new ATH, watching for a correctionOANDA:XAUUSD is currently facing strong selling pressure after printing a new high at 4059 and gapping down at the open , which reinforces the expectation of a correction in the coming sessions.
In addition, U.S. President Donald Trump recently stated that a deal to end the war in Gaza is “very close” and he may travel to Egypt later this week, as his envoys participate in talks aimed at a ceasefire and hostage-release agreement.
⇒ All factors are aligning for a pullback in gold.
As I analyzed in yesterday’s session, a large number of Longput contracts have been deployed by CME traders as protection against downside. You can read my previous analysis here:
Today’s plan: We will look for short , with a target at .
Resistance: ,
Key support:
Strong support:
This is a strong support zone with big liquidity concentration and is also where CME traders have placed a large cluster of Longput contracts.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAUUSD: A Correction Is Coming – Don’t Miss Out!Hey everyone, Kilian here!
Let’s dive into today’s XAUUSD analysis!
The price is currently moving within a clear upward channel, with price action testing the upper boundary. This could act as a dynamic resistance level, and if the price is rejected here, we might see a slight pullback, bringing the price back to the support zone at 3,900.
If buyers can successfully defend this support level, the bullish structure will remain intact, and gold could resume its move to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below the support, a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel may open up a potential selling opportunity.
Keeping an eye on confirmation signals like engulfing candle patterns, strong rejection candles from support, or increased buying volume will help you time your entries for buying positions. That said, always prioritize risk management! Make sure to confirm the signals and implement a solid risk management strategy before entering a position.
What do you think about this move? Feel free to share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below!






















