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XAUUSD (Gold) – Short-Term Sell Before Higher-Timeframe BuyGold is currently trading below a key intraday equilibrium after failing to sustain above the prior supply zone around 4,340–4,360. The recent rejection from this area confirms bearish intent in the short term, with price now actively seeking sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows. The structure suggests a controlled pullback rather than a trend reversal. Price is likely to continue selling into the 4,270–4,250 liquidity pocket, where a deeper demand zone and unmitigated orders sit. This area aligns with prior consolidation and represents a high-probability reaction zone. Once sell-side liquidity is fully taken and bearish momentum weakens, I’ll be looking for bullish confirmation (displacement or strong rejection) from this lower demand region to position for a move back into premium. If confirmed, upside targets remain the 4,340–4,360 zone, with an extension toward 4,380+, where previous highs and external liquidity reside. Bias Summary: • Short-term: Bearish (sell to take liquidity) • Mid-term: Bullish after liquidity sweep • Patience required — execution only after confirmation at demand This is a classic sell first, buy later setup. Let the market take liquidity, then follow smart money back to the upside.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Actualjustice
TheGrove | GOLD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone GOLD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheGrove
25
Gold Sees a Technical Rebound, Main Trend Still Bearish📊 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has just experienced strong volatility, dropping sharply to the 4434 USD area before rebounding quickly to around 4452 USD. This move indicates clear bottom-fishing demand at lower levels, likely driven by profit-taking on SELL positions and short-term speculative buying. However, the current rebound remains purely technical, lacking strong fundamental support to confirm a trend reversal. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance Levels: – 4458 – 4462 – 4468 – 4472 • Nearest Support Levels: – 4430 – 4435 – 4418 – 4422 • EMA: Price remains below the EMA 09, confirming that the short-term trend is still bearish, and the recent rise is only a technical pullback within the main downtrend. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: A strong long lower wick near 4434 shows solid buying absorption. However, volume is not sufficient to confirm a trend reversal. Upward momentum weakens as price approaches the 4458–4465 zone, where selling pressure may reappear. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to rebound in the short term, but it is likely to face renewed selling pressure at resistance, unless price breaks and holds firmly above 4470. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4459 – 4462 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4465.5 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4432 – 4436 (only if price revisits this zone with clear candlestick confirmation) 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 pips ❌ SL: 4428
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
2
XAU/USD Liquidity Sweep at Resistance | Potential Fake Breakout XAU/USD has reached a strong breakout selling zone after an impulsive bullish rally. Price is showing rejection near the highs, indicating potential buy-side liquidity sweep and early signs of distribution. A failure to sustain above the 4508–4477 support band may confirm a fake breakout, opening the door for a deeper corrective move. Downside continuation could target the major demand and liquidity area near 4338, which aligns with prior structure support.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Gold_Professor_SMC
15
Elise | XAUUSD | 30M – Trend ExhaustionOANDA:XAUUSD After failing to hold above recent highs, XAUUSD formed lower highs and lower lows on the 30M timeframe. Price remains capped below descending resistance, suggesting sellers are active during pullbacks while buyers are stepping aside temporarily. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Pullback Continuation (Primary Bias) As long as price remains below descending resistance, downside pressure is favored. 🎯 Target 1: 4,420 🎯 Target 2: 4,390 – channel support ✅ Bullish Invalidation A sustained 30M close above 4,500 would invalidate the bearish structure and reopen upside continuation. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,490 – 4,500 Support 🟢: 4,420 → 4,390 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
14
XAU/USD Range Market – Sell from PremiumGold is currently trading in a clear ranging (TR) environment after the recent bullish expansion. On the H1 timeframe, price has reacted from the premium zone near the previous highs, while liquidity remains stacked below the range. 🔻 Sell Scenario: Price is expected to react from the 4303 – 4306 resistance zone, aligned with prior distribution and rejection. This area favors short-term sell opportunities while the market remains inside the range. 🔺 Buy Scenario: The 4247 – 4245 zone represents a liquidity pocket below the major value area, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup. With a tight stop-loss, buy limit orders are valid if price sweeps liquidity and shows reaction. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 4303 – 4306 Support / Liquidity: 4247 – 4245 As long as price stays within the range, sell from premium and buy from discount remains the primary strategy. Always respect stop-loss levels and manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by tuanvlapag
2
XAUUSD 51st Record High of 2025 | Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutHistoric Context - A Record-Breaking Year According to the Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Market Data released December 19, 2025: Gold futures have closed at record highs 51 times in 2025 Price has surged 66 percent year-to-date to 4387.30 USD per troy ounce This is gold's best annual performance since 1979 Silver has soared 131 percent in 2025, hitting 14 record highs Both metals are on pace for their biggest gains since 1979, the last year they hit this many records This historic context is critical for understanding current price action. We are not in a normal market environment. Gold is experiencing a generational bull run driven by central bank accumulation, geopolitical uncertainty, and monetary policy expectations. Current Market Context - December 20, 2025 Gold experienced volatility following the Federal Reserve December 18, 2025 policy decision. The central bank maintained its hawkish stance, projecting fewer rate cuts for 2026 than markets anticipated. Despite this headwind, gold recovered and hit another record high on December 19. The resilience above 4300 USD despite hawkish Fed rhetoric demonstrates the strength of underlying demand from central banks and institutional investors. Key Events This Week: December 18: Federal Reserve held rates steady, projected only two rate cuts for 2026 versus market expectations of three to four December 18: US Dollar Index surged following hawkish Fed commentary, initially pressuring gold December 19: Gold recovered to close at 51st record high of 2025 at 4387.30 USD according to WSJ December 19: CFTC COT report released showing strong speculative long positioning December 20: Price consolidating near 4338 USD within symmetrical triangle pattern Ongoing: PBOC and Chinese ETF buying continues despite record high prices Ongoing: Physical demand weakness in India and China as discounts widen to multi-year highs Technical Structure Analysis Pattern Identification - Symmetrical Triangle The 45-minute chart displays a textbook symmetrical triangle formation characterized by: Converging trendlines with lower highs and higher lows Decreasing volatility as price compresses toward the apex Volume declining during the consolidation phase Pattern duration of approximately 10-12 days Apex convergence point approaching within the next 24-48 hours Symmetrical triangles are continuation patterns approximately 55-60 percent of the time, but given the preceding choppy price action, this formation could break in either direction. Triangle Boundaries Upper Trendline (Descending Resistance): Connects the highs from December 12-13 around 4380-4390 USD Currently intersecting near 4355-4360 USD A decisive close above this trendline signals bullish breakout Lower Trendline (Ascending Support): Connects the lows from December 9-10 and December 18-19 Currently providing support near 4300-4310 USD A decisive close below this trendline signals bearish breakdown Key Price Levels Resistance Levels: 4355-4360 USD - Descending trendline resistance immediate 4380-4390 USD - Recent swing high and horizontal resistance 4400-4410 USD - Psychological resistance and previous rejection zone 4450-4475 USD - Major resistance from November 2025 highs 4500 USD - Psychological round number and measured move target Support Levels: 4310-4320 USD - Ascending trendline support immediate 4280-4290 USD - Horizontal support from December lows 4250-4260 USD - Previous consolidation zone 4200-4220 USD - Major support and psychological level 4150-4175 USD - Secondary support if breakdown accelerates Moving Average Analysis Price is oscillating around the 20-period moving average indicating indecision The 50-period moving average is relatively flat confirming the consolidation phase The 200-period moving average on higher timeframes remains in uptrend supporting long-term bullish bias A sustained move above the 20 and 50 MAs would confirm bullish momentum A breakdown below both MAs would signal bearish continuation RSI Analysis RSI on the 45-minute timeframe is currently neutral oscillating between 45-55 No overbought or oversold conditions present RSI is forming a similar compression pattern to price suggesting energy building for directional move Watch for RSI to break above 60 for bullish confirmation or below 40 for bearish confirmation Volume Analysis Volume has been declining during the triangle formation typical behavior before breakout Expect volume surge on the breakout candle to confirm validity Low volume breakouts often result in false moves and should be treated with caution Watch for volume at least 150 percent of average on breakout candle Fibonacci Analysis Measuring from the December low near 4200 USD to the December high near 4390 USD: 0.236 retracement: 4345 USD - Currently testing this level 0.382 retracement: 4317 USD - Aligns with triangle support 0.5 retracement: 4295 USD - Key level if support breaks 0.618 retracement: 4273 USD - Strong support zone Current price action around 4338 USD is testing the 0.236 Fibonacci level, a relatively shallow retracement suggesting buyers remain interested. CFTC Commitments of Traders Analysis - December 19, 2025 The latest COT report released December 19, 2025 provides critical insight into market positioning: Gold Futures Only Positions as of December 9, 2025: Open Interest: 432,569 contracts Non-Commercial Long: 268,485 contracts ( 62.1 percent of open interest) Non-Commercial Short: 44,599 contracts (10.3 percent of open interest) Commercial Long: 63,707 contracts (14.7 percent) Commercial Short: 326,286 contracts ( 75.4 percent ) Changes from December 2, 2025: Open Interest increased by 14,079 contracts Non-Commercial Longs added 7,154 contracts Non-Commercial Shorts added only 828 contracts Commercial Shorts added 10,791 contracts COT Interpretation: The positioning data reveals several important dynamics: Speculators (Non-Commercial) are heavily net long with 62.1 percent long versus only 10.3 percent short This represents a 6:1 long to short ratio among speculators - extreme bullish positioning Commercial hedgers (producers and merchants) are heavily short at 75.4 percent, which is normal hedging behavior in a bull market Open interest is increasing alongside price, confirming the uptrend has participation The continued addition of speculative longs suggests momentum traders remain committed to the bull case Warning Signal: Extreme speculative long positioning can precede corrections when longs begin to take profits. However, in strong trending markets, positioning can remain extreme for extended periods. The key is watching for a shift in the weekly changes - if longs start liquidating while price stalls, that would be a bearish signal. Physical Demand Analysis - Asia Market Weakness Reuters reported on December 19, 2025 that physical gold demand in Asia has weakened significantly due to record high prices: India Market: Dealers offering discounts of up to 37 USD per ounce to official domestic prices, up from 34 USD last week Domestic gold prices hit fresh record of 135,590 rupees per 10 grams Demand is roughly one quarter of normal levels according to PN Gadgil and Sons CEO Wedding season jewelry purchases dampened despite being peak demand period Demand expected to remain subdued as prices continue rising China Market: Bullion trading at discounts of up to 64 USD to global benchmark - highest in over five years This is the widest discount since August 2020 during COVID-19 pandemic Wholesale and retail demand described as incredibly weak by analyst Ross Norman However, ETF buying and PBOC purchases continue despite weak physical demand Other Asian Markets: Singapore: Trading from 0.5 USD discount to 2.2 USD premium Hong Kong: Trading from par to 1.8 USD premium Japan: Discounts up to 6.0 USD, though retail shops out of gold bar stocks Physical Demand Interpretation: The divergence between weak physical demand and strong prices is significant: Traditional price-sensitive buyers in India and China are stepping back at these levels However, institutional demand (ETFs, central banks) is offsetting physical weakness PBOC continues accumulating gold as part of reserve diversification strategy This suggests the rally is being driven by institutional and speculative flows rather than traditional jewelry demand A correction could occur if institutional buying slows, as physical demand is unlikely to provide support at current prices Fundamental Analysis Federal Reserve Policy Impact The December 18, 2025 FOMC meeting delivered several key takeaways affecting gold: Interest rates held steady as expected but forward guidance was more hawkish than anticipated Dot plot projections showed median expectation of only two rate cuts in 2026 Fed Chair emphasized data dependency and willingness to maintain restrictive policy longer if needed Inflation concerns remain despite progress with services inflation proving sticky Labor market remains resilient reducing urgency for rate cuts Implications for Gold: Higher-for-longer interest rates are traditionally bearish for gold as they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. However, gold has shown remarkable resilience to rate expectations in 2024-2025, suggesting other factors are driving demand. US Dollar Dynamics The US Dollar Index strengthened following the hawkish Fed reaching multi-week highs Dollar strength typically pressures gold prices due to inverse correlation However the correlation has weakened in recent months as both assets attract safe-haven flows Watch DXY price action for confirmation of gold direction A reversal in dollar strength would provide tailwind for gold Central Bank Demand Central bank gold purchases remain a crucial support factor despite weak retail demand: Global central banks have been net buyers of gold for consecutive years PBOC (People's Bank of China) continues accumulating gold alongside Chinese ETF buying according to analyst Ross Norman India central bank has increased gold reserves significantly Emerging market central banks continue accumulating gold as reserve diversification from USD This institutional and central bank demand is offsetting weak physical retail demand in Asia Central bank buying provides structural floor under prices even when retail demand weakens Geopolitical Factors Safe-haven demand remains elevated due to: Russia-Ukraine conflict continues with no resolution in sight Middle East tensions remain elevated with ongoing regional instability US-China relations remain strained with trade and technology disputes Global election cycle creating policy uncertainty Debt ceiling and fiscal concerns in major economies These factors support gold safe-haven bid and help explain its resilience despite hawkish Fed policy. Directional Bias Assessment Arguments for Bullish Breakout: Gold has hit 51 record highs in 2025 - momentum clearly favors bulls Best annual performance since 1979 with 66 percent YTD gains Long-term uptrend remains intact on daily and weekly timeframes COT data shows speculators adding to long positions with 62.1 percent long exposure Central bank and ETF demand continues despite weak physical demand PBOC accumulation ongoing according to analyst reports Geopolitical tensions maintaining safe-haven bid Technical measured move target of 4480-4500 USD if triangle breaks higher Arguments for Bearish Breakdown: Extreme speculative long positioning (6:1 ratio) creates correction risk Physical demand in India at one quarter of normal levels China discounts at 64 USD - widest since August 2020 Hawkish Fed policy supporting stronger dollar and higher yields Price has risen 66 percent in one year - mean reversion risk elevated Holiday liquidity reduction could exacerbate any profit-taking Technical measured move target of 4200-4220 USD if triangle breaks lower My Assessment - Cautiously Bullish with Correction Risk: The weight of evidence supports the bull case given the historic momentum and institutional demand. However, several warning signs warrant caution: Extreme speculative positioning creates vulnerability to profit-taking Physical demand weakness in Asia suggests price-sensitive buyers are exhausted The rally is increasingly dependent on institutional flows rather than broad-based demand Short-term (next 1-2 weeks): Neutral to slightly bearish. The combination of extreme positioning, weak physical demand, and holiday liquidity conditions creates correction risk. A pullback to 4280-4320 USD would be healthy and provide better entry for longs. Long-term (1-3 months): Bullish. The structural drivers (central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, monetary policy expectations) remain intact. Any correction should be viewed as buying opportunity. Targets of 4500-4600 USD remain valid for Q1 2026. Trade Framework Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Entry Conditions: 45-minute candle closes decisively above 4360 USD upper trendline Volume on breakout candle exceeds 150 percent of 20-period average RSI breaks above 60 confirming momentum Ideally accompanied by dollar weakness DXY declining Trade Parameters: Entry: 4365-4370 USD on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: 4330 USD below triangle midpoint Target 1: 4400-4410 USD previous resistance Target 2: 4450-4460 USD November highs Target 3: 4500-4520 USD measured move target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 to first target Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Trade Entry Conditions: 45-minute candle closes decisively below 4300 USD lower trendline Volume on breakdown candle exceeds 150 percent of 20-period average RSI breaks below 40 confirming bearish momentum Ideally accompanied by dollar strength DXY rising Trade Parameters: Entry: 4295-4300 USD on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: 4340 USD above triangle midpoint Target 1: 4250-4260 USD horizontal support Target 2: 4200-4220 USD major support Target 3: 4150-4175 USD measured move target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2 to first target Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing should not exceed 1-2 percent risk per trade given current volatility Reduce position size during holiday period due to lower liquidity Use hard stop losses do not move stops further from entry Scale out of positions at each target level 33 percent at each target Move stop to breakeven after first target achieved Avoid holding large positions over weekend given geopolitical risks Monitor DXY and Treasury yields for confirmation of gold direction Be prepared for false breakouts wait for candle close confirmation Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below 4250 USD on daily timeframe Triangle breaks down with volume confirmation DXY breaks to new highs above 110 Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above 4410 USD on daily timeframe Triangle breaks up with volume confirmation DXY reverses sharply below 106 Conclusion OANDA:XAUUSD has delivered a historic performance in 2025 with 51 record highs and 66 percent gains - the best year since 1979. The precious metal is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle near 4338 USD, setting up for the next directional move. Key Data Points: 51 record highs in 2025 according to Dow Jones Market Data 66 percent YTD gains - best since 1979 COT shows 62.1 percent speculative long positioning (6:1 long/short ratio) India physical demand at 25 percent of normal levels China discounts at 64 USD - widest since August 2020 PBOC and ETF buying continues despite weak retail demand Key Takeaways: The symmetrical triangle is approaching its apex suggesting a breakout is imminent within the next 24-72 hours Historic momentum (51 records) supports bullish bias but extreme positioning creates correction risk Physical demand weakness in Asia is a warning sign that price-sensitive buyers are exhausted Institutional demand (central banks, ETFs) is currently offsetting retail weakness Short-term bias is neutral with correction risk; long-term bias remains bullish Bullish breakout targets 4450-4500 USD; bearish breakdown targets 4250-4280 USD Risk management is critical given extreme positioning and holiday liquidity conditions The optimal approach is to wait for confirmed breakout with volume rather than anticipating direction. Given the extreme speculative positioning, any breakdown could trigger rapid profit-taking. Conversely, a breakout to new highs could accelerate as shorts cover. Trade the breakout, not the anticipation. Let price confirm direction before committing capital. This is not financial advice. Always conduct independent research and manage risk appropriately.
TVC:GOLD
by officialjackofalltrades
XAUUSD | SELL SETUP PREMIUM ANALYSIS GOLD (XAUUSD) – Sell Idea Gold is reacting from a key resistance zone on the lower time frame. Price action indicates short-term bearish momentum, and a downside continuation is possible if sellers remain in control. 🔓 Sell Zone: 4365– 4370 ❌ Stop Loss: 4385 🎯 Target: 4360 This setup is structured around price action and market structure, with clearly defined risk and a precise invalidation level. Wait for confirmation and always follow proper risk management. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. 👍 If you find this analysis useful, like & follow for more intraday trade ideas and chart updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LEO_TRADES98
Gold Price Analysis - Key Supply & Demand Zones in FocusGold is trading inside a rising channel and currently consolidating below the 4335-40 resistance zone which aligns with the channel top and recent weak highs. Price structure shows mixed momentum indicating indecision after the strong impulsive rally. As long as gold holds above 4,300–4,295 the bias remains range-to-slightly bullish, but a clear break above 4340-50 is needed to open the upside toward 4380+. Failure to break higher may lead to a pullback toward 426550 with a deeper correction possible toward 4225–4185 (strong demand zone). 📊 Technical Summary Gold remains bounded within an ascending channel with key horizontal levels playing out: - Strong Resistance: 4335–4340 (recent highs + channel top) - Near Support: 4300–4295 (minor demand) - Deeper Support Zones: 4265–4250 → 4225–4185 Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
GOLD Update|Price Reacting at a Key Resistance Zone.📊 GOLD UPDATE — Key Levels in Focus Gold is reacting near an important price zone, and this area could define the next short-term move. Price behavior around this level will be critical in determining momentum. 📌 Setup Overview: 🔓 Entry Level: 4342 ❌ Stop Loss: 4370 🎯 Target: 4324 If selling pressure holds, price may continue toward the projected target zone. Watching how the market responds near resistance remains key. What’s your technical view on Gold from here — continuation or reversal? Share your perspective below 👇 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.This reflects personal market analysis only and is shared for discussion purposes
TVC:GOLDShort
by LEO_TRADES98
XAUUSD – Short-Term Distribution, Pullback LikelyBuy-Side Liquidity: Cleared above ~4330–4350 Premium Zone: Current price region Expected Draw on Liquidity: Lower Key HTF PD Array: H4–D1 Demand / Discount Zone: 4180 – 4160 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a probabilistic market scenario, not a trading signal. Markets can invalidate any bias at any time. Always manage risk appropriately and confirm entries with your own model.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by setrader33
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair. This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance. Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges. On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230 ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement ✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4212 2. 4200 3. 4190 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188 ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4205 2. 4220 3. 4230–4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel • SL placement must respect structural invalidation • Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines 📍 Summary Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios: • A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190 or • A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232 Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
36
Gold 1H – Will 4210 Reject Again or 4166 Ignite the Rally?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (09/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to soften under $4,200 as rising US Treasury yields pressure bullion, with markets positioning ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision. According to FXStreet, yields climbing intraday are capping gold’s upside, and sellers remain active below 4200 while participants wait for clarity on the Fed’s forward guidance. This environment builds a liquidity-sensitive landscape, where institutions may engineer sweeps on both sides before committing to direction. On H1, price oscillates cleanly between premium supply (4208–4210) and discount demand (4168–4166). A valid push requires MSS → BOS → displacement from either extreme. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after consecutive CHoCH shifts Key Idea: Expect liquidity grabs above 4210 or under 4166 before real movement Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 Rules: ✔ Price taps premium zone (4208–4210) ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH confirmed on M5–M15 ✔ Strong downside BOS + displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or refined supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4185 2. 4175 3. 4168 – 4166 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4167 to collect sell-side liquidity ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH forms from discount ✔ Clean BOS + impulsive displacement upward ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4184 2. 4200 3. 4210 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Rising yields may generate deceptive spikes—avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Do not chase price inside the compression range • Keep SLs at structural invalidation, not arbitrary points • Reduce exposure ahead of Fed-related volatility this week 📍 Summary Today’s setup revolves around two institutional scenarios: • A 4210 liquidity sweep triggers bearish structure → downside delivery toward 4166 or • A 4166 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS → upside expansion back toward 4210 Let structure confirm. Patience pays the trader—SMC reacts, never predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
32
Gold Forecast - Trade Zones & Setup Before FOMCGold is still trading weak under the descending trendline and the price continues to reject the 4220–4230 resistance zone. As long as it stays below this area the chart suggests bearish pressure toward 4170 and possibly 4145–4130 where strong liquidity sits. With the Fed rate decision tomorrow volatility is expected to increase so price may remain choppy within this range until the announcement. A clear bullish shift only comes if gold breaks and holds above 4225 which could reopen the path toward 4250–4260. For now structure remains bearish with lower-high formations and clean downside targets visible. 🔵 Buy Zone - 4165–4175 → This is the main demand zone. - Buy Trigger: A strong bullish candle / rejection wick from 4165–4170 confirms buyers stepping in. - Upside Target: 4200 → 4220 → 4230. 🔴 Sell Zone - 4220–4230 → Major supply + trendline resistance. - Sell Trigger: If price retests 4220–4230 and gives rejection or bearish engulfing, downside resumes. - Downside Target: 4170 → 4145 → 4130. ⚠️ Important Note (Fed Rates Tomorrow): Before the announcement, gold may stay inside 4200–4170 range, so triggers will be cleaner after the news when volatility expands. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by SibiSh
Elise | XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD Price has reacted strongly from the LIQ PV Zone High (4,264 area), showing repeated rejection and failure to hold above 4,226 structure. A short-term range has formed near resistance, indicating absorption of buy orders and potential distribution. The break beneath the range confirms bearish intent. Market structure remains bearish while trading below 4,226 and a move toward demand zone / liquidity sweep region is the higher-probability scenario. Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias) 📉 If price continues sustaining below 4,226, downside continuation is expected. 🎯 Target 1 → 4,200 – 4,194 🎯 Target 2 → 4,174 (Main Demand Retest) 🎯 Final Target → 4,155 Liquidity Sweep Zone A clean approach to the demand block may trigger buy orders later, but first expectation remains bearish until structure shifts. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
XAUUSD delivered Excellent results [300 pips Tp]As highlighted during my TODAY'S session update: My position & stance: I waited for Gold to deliver a TAP of 4220 last Friday Rebound, and I identified it at the $4218 resistance test. I executed set of sell orders at $4212 & $4205 and closed them at the $4188 & 4175 in extension. I want to take this moment to congratulate all the traders who followed my calls and patiently held their positions. Well done — enjoy the profits, and have a wonderful Day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
2
Gold Big Sell-Off Ahead? Gold Showing Clear Bearish SignalsAs expected, Gold delivered a classic early-month liquidity grab, creating a false move before reversing. Price tapped the 4H bearish Order Block and reacted with strong downside aggression, confirming bearish intent. At this stage, I would like to see a retracement into the 1H bearish OB at the 4254–4224 zone, which sits firmly in premium, along with a fill of the 1H FVG at 4235–4220. Once these areas are mitigated, the path toward the 4100–3900 region opens up. My first partials/first target would be taken around the 4100 level.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Almenio
Gold 4H: Bearish Scenario Price is riding a clean rising trendline from the October lows, connecting multiple higher swing lows. A break and retest of this blue trendline would signal fading momentum and open the door for a deeper correction toward horizontal support. 🧱 Why 3,947 is strong support 3,947 marks the previous consolidation base where buyers stepped in aggressively after the last sharp sell‑off, turning it into a clear demand zone.​ It also aligns with the last major 4H swing low, so many stop‑losses and resting buy orders are likely clustered there, making it a natural magnet if the trendline fails. 📉 Bearish divergence While price made higher highs on the 4H chart, the RSI printed lower highs, creating a clear bearish divergence.​ This divergence suggests buyers are losing strength, increasing the probability of a trendline break and a move down into the 3,947 support area before any new major leg higher.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FlorinCharts
XAUUSD – 30m | Channel Break → Retest → Bearish Liquidity Sweep OANDA:XAUUSD The 4,240 resistance remains a strong rejection point, with price now trading inside a lower-timeframe distribution. Liquidity sits below 4,177 and 4,155 where previous reaction points remain untested. As long as market holds beneath 4,240, the downside continuation remains the more probable scenario. Key Scenarios 📉 Bearish Continuation (Primary Plan) Confirmation: Lower-high → rejection from 4,210–4,220 🎯 Target 1 → 4,177.5 (Liquidity sweep) 🎯 Target 2 → 4,155 (Support zone base) 📈 Bullish Invalidation A clean break and hold above 4,240 would flip the structure bullish again. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,240.677 Support 🟢: 4,177 | 4,155 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
8
FVG- Order Block- ChocH- H2 gold🔥 Why the ENTRY is at 4186 It sits inside the premium zone (between 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci), which is where smart money prefers to SELL. There is an unmitigated H2 FVG + Supply zone exactly there. There is liquidity above (equal highs / wick highs), so price is likely to spike into this zone first. It aligns with a previous swing high, making it a perfect reaction area. ➡ 4186 = Premium + Supply + FVG + Liquidity = A+ short entry 🛡 Why the STOP LOSS is at 4223 4220–4225 is the final liquidity pool above the supply. If price breaks this level, the entire bearish idea becomes invalid. Above 4223, H2 would create a bullish BOS, killing the short idea. ➡ 4223 = structural invalidation + liquidity protection 🎯 Why the TAKE PROFIT is at 3998 3998 is the next major H2/H4 demand zone. It is the full imbalance (iFVG) fill target. It aligns with the next liquidity pool below. ➡ 3998 = perfect smart money target
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Amigocsek