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XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone. From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias. Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows: - Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend. - Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas. - There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted. - On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move. P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
2
GOLD MARKET OVERVIEW – WEEKLY SUMMARY 📉 Key Developments • Gold price (XAU/USD) dropped from a weekly high of $3,252 to a low of $3,154, indicating strong selling pressure. • U.S. bond yields have edged higher, making gold less attractive to investors. • Recent inflation data suggests the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for longer, adding downward pressure on gold. • Profit-taking has intensified following a strong rally in previous weeks when gold hit multiple all-time highs. 🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario • Market sentiment leans towards profit-taking, especially since the $3,200–$3,250 zone has failed to hold. • The inability to sustain higher levels indicates weakening buying momentum, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction. • Over the past week, gold formed strong bearish candles and repeatedly tested the $3,150 support zone, signaling that this level is weakening and could be broken soon. 📉 Conclusion & Outlook for Next Week Based on: • Weak price behavior • Negative technical indicators • Profit-taking sentiment • Bearish macroeconomic backdrop → The scenario of breaking below $3,150 support and continuing downward toward $3,100 or lower is highly plausible in the coming week. 📌 SHORT-TERM TRADING STRATEGIES 🔻 SELL • Entry Zone (SELL): 3245 – 3248 • Take Profit (TP): 3235 – 3238 • Stop Loss (SL): 3253 🔼 BUY • Entry Zone (BUY): 3120 – 3123 • Take Profit (TP): 3133 – 3135 • Stop Loss (SL): 3116 🔁 Note: Only enter trades based on clear confirmation signals. Manage risk carefully — limit exposure to no more than 1–2% of your account per trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 15.05.2025Key Supply Zones to Watch for Short Opportunities: 3170–3175 Zone: → Strong supply area. → If price rejects this zone with confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, M5/M15 BOS or CHoCH), enter sell. 3150–3155 Zone: → Mid-level supply. → If price fails to reach 3170 and breaks below this level, wait for a break & retest of this zone for potential sell entries. 📉 Trade Signal (Sell Bias): Scenario 1 – Rejection at 3170–3175: Sell Entry: On confirmation at 3170–3175 SL: Above 3178 TP1: 3155 TP2: 3145 TP3: 3125 (final target – next demand zone) Scenario 2 – Break of 3150–3155: Sell Entry: On retest of 3150–3155 zone after breakdown SL: Above 3160 TP1: 3135 TP2: 3125 ✅ Confirmation Tools: Candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / M15 BOS) Lower timeframe structure shift (M5-M15 CHoCH) Volume spike or momentum fade at zone Kindly follow, comment, like and share.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
3
Short-Term Outlook: Gold Slumps After Breaking Key Support📉 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD - Gold (XAU/USD) is under heavy selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key support level at $3,200, marking a significant shift in short-term momentum. - The $3,176 zone, which marks the April 11 low, now serves as a crucial technical support. A clear break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop toward the next key support around $3,140. If the $3,176 level fails to hold and bearish momentum continues, the market is likely to push lower toward the $3,140 support zone. 📰 Fundamental Drivers Behind the Decline No major news has been released today, but the market continues to be weighed down by: - Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, which remain unresolved. - U.S. CPI data for April came in weaker than expected, causing investors to adjust interest rate expectations and favoring short-term downside for gold. 🔮 Short-Term Technical Scenario After breaching the $3,200 support level, gold is expected to consolidate briefly in the $3,176–$3,190 range before potentially resuming its downtrend. 💡 Short-Term XAU/USD Trade Setups 🔻 SELL Entry Zone: 3193 – 3190 Take Profit: 3188 – 3185 Stop Loss: 3198 🔺 BUY Entry Zone: 3179 – 3176 Take Profit: 3184 – 3181 Stop Loss: 3171 📌 Note: In the current market environment, short-term strategies are preferred. Apply strict risk management as volatility may increase due to geopolitical headlines or technical retracements. Closely monitor price action around $3,176 — a confirmed break below this level could accelerate the move toward $3,140.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025 Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking: 🧩 1. Market Structure Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220 Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high 🛠 2. Key Confluences 🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above 💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers 🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation 🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116 🧠 3. Trade Setup Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure) TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100 RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials ⚠️ 4. Risk Management Watch for NY session reversal attempts Secure profits at first demand zone reaction Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle 📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it! 💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us! 🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
GC - Gold digging for a possible ShortAfter reaching WL2, we saw a sharp pullback followed by an immediate double top. Price failed to reach the centerline of the yellow fork, instead stalling at the 1/4 line. Then came the break of the lower median line (L-MLH), a pullback to the white WL1—then the drop began. If this market can’t push to new highs, we’ll likely fall back into the median line set. A pullback to the upper median line (U-MLH), as indicated by the red arrows, is a probable scenario. Next stop: the white centerline. I trade tiny. I trade with extremely high risk-reward setups. I’m fine getting stopped out all the time —because I’m hunting huge moves. I don’t chase. No FOMO. It’s how I sleep well, make money from trading and keep my stress level very low.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market: Is this where we should be getting worried? Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this; 🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop; 🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015; 🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range. Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically): Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities: 🎈elevated inflationary expectations, 🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments, 🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions, 🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying. Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011. Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction. Did the BBC just signal the peak?? Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize. Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction. __________________________ OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CryptoCheck-
Gold May Drop Further Below the $3,200 Level in the Short TermGold (XAU/USD) faces the risk of a deeper decline if the following factors continue to develop unfavorably for the precious metal: 📌 1. Continued Improvement in US-China Relations • The joint statement between the US and China has eased trade tensions. • If both sides announce more concrete agreements or actions (such as tariff reductions or market access), safe-haven demand may weaken significantly, leading to gold sell-offs. 📌 2. Sustained Strength in the US Dollar • The USD is strengthening on expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer. • Capital continues to flow into the USD rather than gold, especially as US bond yields rise. 📌 3. Lack of Supportive News for Gold • Geopolitical risk factors have temporarily subsided. • Inflationary pressure is no longer strong enough to support gold prices as before. 📉 Key Support Levels Ahead If gold breaks below the $3,200 level, the next potential support zones include: • $3,185 – a recent short-term low (if applicable) • $3,160 – $3,170 – a technical support confluence zone • $3,140 – a strong psychological support level, and a potential target if a sell-off intensifies ⚠️ Recommendation • If gold decisively breaks below $3,200 with rising volume and continued positive developments in US-China trade, the downtrend could accelerate. • Traders should monitor the $3,195–$3,200 range closely to assess whether to expand short positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Sees Technical Rebound, But Downtrend Remains IntactGold has seen a modest rebound from its lowest level in over a week, driven by dip-buying interest. However, the overall downtrend remains intact as risk appetite increases across markets, following a temporary trade and tariff agreement between the U.S. and China. This progress has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, if the U.S. continues to release more positive updates on bilateral trade relations, downward pressure on gold is likely to persist — especially amid a stronger U.S. Dollar. As such, current rebounds are likely to be technical in nature, and investors should exercise caution with long positions. 🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario Gold (XAU/USD) may continue a technical recovery around the $3,275–$3,280 zone due to bottom-fishing activity. However, without a clear breakout, the broader trend remains bearish, driven by: • Increasing risk-on sentiment • Continued USD strength 🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy • Short-term Sell in the zone: $3,275 – $3,280 • Short-term Buy in the zone: $3,205 – $3,210 • Always use tight stop-losses to mitigate risk from news-driven volatility. 💡 Short-Term Trade Setup 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,280 • 🎯 TP1: $3,265 • 🎯 TP2: $3,255 • 🚨 SL: $3,300 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,205 – $3,210 • 🎯 TP1: $3,215 • 🎯 TP2: $3,225 • 🚨 SL: $3,195
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 13/05/2025Major Supply Zones: Upper Supply Zone around $3,275–$3,285: Strong reaction from this area before the massive drop. Mid Supply Zone around $3,265 - $3,268: Price has reacted again here. Trendline Liquidity Grab: Price moved above the internal rising trendline (liquidity sweep). The wick into the trendline’s upper side aligns with a key supply zone, followed by rejection = potential shift in structure. Bearish Rejection from Supply: Confluence zone (circle area) where price might reverse. Strong rejection seen right after price tapped this zone. possible entry trigger. Internal Structure Shift: If price breaks $3,245 support, that confirms CHoCH (Change of Character). Bearish FVG could be forming just below the supply zone, which may act as resistance on retests. 📉 Trade Signal (Short Setup) 🔔 Entry: Sell: $3,265 - 68 (if price returns for a retest of supply zone) OR Sell Market: If current bearish candle confirms engulfing with strong momentum 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,245 (mid support zone) TP2: $3,220 (major demand zone at the bottom) TP3 (swing): $3,210–$3,200 🛡️ Stop-Loss: Above supply zone high: $3,275+ ✅ Confluences for Bearish Bias: Liquidity sweep above trendline Supply zone rejection Structure shifting lower Price action showing rejection wicks Clean imbalance zones below (liquidity magnets) Kindly follow, support, comment and share as well.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains. 🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario: This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal. 🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy: • If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200. • Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position. 💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios: SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295 • TP1: $3,240 • TP2: $3,200 🚨 SL: $3,310 BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315 • TP1: $3,325 • TP2: $3,350 🚨 SL: $3,290
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
2
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 📊 SMC Analysis + Trade Signal Market Structure Overview: Accumulation: led to strong bullish rally from 3330 to 3435. Distribution: Multiple liquidity sweeps between 3365-3394 Breakdown: Clean BoS confirms bearish shift from distribution. Current Action: Liquidity grab at bottom 3320/30 likely a retracement. 🔔 Trade Signal: SHORT Entry: 3,360 – 3,370 (pullback to supply zone) Stop Loss: Above 3,380 (last swing high) Take Profit: TP1: 3,340 TP2: 3,320 Bias: Bearish Reason: Distribution + BoS + Pullback to premium Show your support by hitting follow, support, and boost.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals: Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech; I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market; Technical aspects: Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
2
GOLD Potential ReversalIt appears that we've reached a significant top in the market, with price action showing signs of a potential dump. Liquidity has been taken out at this level, and we are now looking at lower price targets, which align with the lines below, marking new liquidity points. These areas could serve as key support levels as the market tests them for further reaction. The price structure suggests a possible drop to the target zones around 3,300 / 3,200 & 2970 where we could see renewed buying interest. Stay cautious as we approach these levels, as they may present opportunities for short entries ahead of the market correction. Keep an eye on the evolving price action for further confirmations.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by SerenityEquity
1
GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively. This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse. This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
96
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bullish Reversal Pattern in Play Hello guys! Let's analyze Gold! Gold has recently broken out of a descending wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal, with confirmation coming from a clear bullish divergence near the $3,200 zone. After reaching the target of the descending pattern, the price rebounded sharply and is now forming an ascending channel. Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone around $3,280–$3,290. If bulls manage to push through this level, we could see a rally toward the next major resistance around $3,320 and beyond. 🔍 Key Points: ✅ Descending wedge breakout confirmed ✅ Bullish divergence near the bottom signals a momentum shift ✅ Price respecting ascending channel structure 📈target of long position: $3,290–$3,320 📉 target of short position and the entry for long: $3,240 zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as the price is above the $3,240–$3,250 support area. Watch for a breakout above resistance for further upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
17
GOLD - Is this the end of the Bull Run?Gold has once again followed my previous analysis — turning bearish right at key levels! 🚩 After an incredible bull run where price kept making new highs, signs are now pointing to a possible top. We could be entering a short-term bearish phase here, with potential for a deeper correction if momentum builds. Right now, I’m holding a bearish bias. I’ll be watching for solid sell setups, especially around those well-defined resistance zones. There’s also an unfilled gap below that could attract price action — keep an eye on that level (chart shows the zone clearly 🔎). I’ll be looking for confirmation through structure breaks and clean retests before entering shorts. What’s your take — are we seeing a reversal brewing, or is this just a dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! If this analysis helps, a boost or follow would mean a lot — and keeps you in the loop for the next moves! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by omz_zz
1
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline. 🔍 Current Technical Context: Trend: Bearish Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274 Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220 Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270 A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160. 📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals) US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices. Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs. Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week. Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone. Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains. Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility. Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement. 📝 Strategy Notes: Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects) Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210 Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Possible SellsOANDA:XAUUSD My sentiments on gold for today. 1. Last buyer haven, prior to recent one This is the last place prior to the level gold is sitting on top currently (4.(black)) where buyers would have been really and truly comfortable buying which means we know there could likely be stop losses even below here. 2. Bearish momentum/bearish channel At this time gold has been bearish for about 7 days and if its one thing you know I believe in is momentum, adhere to whatever the momentum is doing - in this case its selling (bearish) so it is likely IMO to continue to do so - this is further supporting by the elements of my analysis. 3. Buyers stoplosses The area highlighted in red shows suggested buyers stop losses below the currently obvious buyer havem (4. black) which means this is likely where the market will try to attack to capture that trapped liquidity. Something to think about, if gold had the liquidity to buy, it would. Let this guide you in terms of what you allow yourself to see next. 4. Current Obvious buyer haven Pay attention to the level I've drawn to show where buyers would be heavily induced to buy at this time, this looks like a gold mine for buys (pun intended lol). Something you'd learn in this space, if it feels to good to be true, it probably is. 5. Possible move This is what I think is likely to occur, gold will crash below the current obvious buyer haven taking out all previous buyer stops, capturing all that liquidity along the way even attacking the last buyer haven. Then and only then can gold resume it's bullish activities because now it would have enough liquidity to do what it wants. What are your thoughts?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Brandon_evo4