TraderTilki Gold Play: Double Sell, One TargetGood morning, Traders
Back again with my gold analysis.
Right now, gold has a clear target at 3700. It’ll either reach it straight from the 3736 level, or after a move up to 3768.
I’m opening a sell from here, aiming for 3700. If price pushes up to 3768, I’ll open another sell there—same target, 3700.
Gold will absolutely hit 3700.
Once it does, I’ll update you again.
My friends, every single like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Huge thanks to all of you who support me with your likes.
Goldshort
Gold 2H – Bearish Channel Breakdown SetupChart Overview
This chart shows a bearish setup for Gold, suggesting a short (sell) trade with the following key components:
🔵 Channel Analysis
Rising Parallel Channel: Price has been moving within an ascending channel (pink shaded area), indicating a short-term uptrend.
The recent candle breaks or touches the lower boundary of this channel, hinting at a potential breakdown.
📉 Trade Setup
This looks like a short (sell) trade idea based on a potential breakout to the downside.
Component Level Details
Entry Point 3,799.06 Entry zone marked in green; at/near the lower trendline of the ascending channel
Stop Loss 3,833.24 Just above the recent highs and the channel top
Target Point 3,616.75–3,615.99 Target area marked in blue; aligns with a prior support zone
✅ Trade Logic
Bearish Bias: Price action shows weakening momentum near the top of the channel.
Breakdown Expected: Entry assumes a breakdown of the ascending channel.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Very favorable — large potential move down compared to the stop loss range.
📊 Risk Management
Stop Loss: Properly placed above resistance zone — protects against false breakouts.
Target Zone: Based on historical support/resistance structure.
RRR Estimate: Approx. 1:5+, which is excellent if the move materializes.
⚠️ Potential Risks
False Breakout: Price could rebound back into the channel, invalidating the bearish thesis.
Fundamental Triggers: Gold is sensitive to macroeconomic news (e.g., interest rate changes, geopolitical tension, inflation data).
📌 Summary
This is a well-structured short trade setup based on a rising channel breakdown.
With a clear entry, stop loss, and profit target, it presents a high-reward, controlled-risk opportunity.
Best confirmed with:
Bearish candlestick confirmation at the entry point
Volume spike on breakdown
Fundamental catalysts supporting gold weakness
XAUUSD: Could 3790 Be the Top?After the 3740 → 3790 rally, upside momentum has weakened . Therefore, 3790 is likely a temporary top , and a short-term pullback may begin from here. However, we cannot rule out a retest of the top area or even a marginal higher high today before a sharper correction develops.
📉 Analysis
• After the push to 3,790 , price rotated within 3,778–3,788 and then broke the lower bound (3,778) on high volume . This supports the view that a swing high formed at 3,790 . However, price is currently drifting higher on lighter volume , so a retest of the top or even a marginal higher high before the pullback remains possible.
• Resistance zones: 3,784.5–3,787, 3,794–3,796 .
• Key support zones: 3,746–3,744, 3,723–3,718.
📊 Trading Plan
• Wait for reversal signals with heavy volume at the marked support/resistance zones.
• Highest-probability trigger: an 5m engulfing candle with high volume when price taps these levels.
Example: As in ENTRY 1 , if an 5m engulfing candle prints with high volume (as indicated by Superior Volume ) at a marked support/resistance zone, entry on the candle close .
• Entry on the signal and place the stop just above the signal candle (or above the resistance zone ). Move to break-even at +1R .
Gold 1H – Should We Hold or Fade Liquidity at 3800?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,776 within a corrective channel, with premium liquidity stacked above 3,800–3,798 and discount demand waiting at 3,725–3,727. Recent BOS structures confirm bullish intent, but engineered sweeps into premium zones remain likely before retracements to discount levels.
Today’s headlines on the Federal Reserve’s cautious tone and Middle East geopolitical tensions are reinforcing safe-haven demand, though intraday moves may produce liquidity grabs before directional clarity emerges.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,800–3,798 (SL 3,807): Premium resistance where sweeps may trigger rejection toward 3,770 → 3,760 → 3,755.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,727 (SL 3,720): Discount demand aligned with BOS, offering upside targets at 3,740 → 3,760 → 3,775.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,800–3,798)
• Entry: 3,800–3,798
• Stop Loss: 3,807
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,770
TP2: 3,760
TP3: 3,755
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,725–3,727)
• Entry: 3,725–3,727
• Stop Loss: 3,720
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,740
TP2: 3,760
TP3: 3,775+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With Fed caution and geopolitical risks keeping gold supported, the broader structure favors buy-the-dip setups while fading engineered sweeps into premium liquidity. Expect volatility around 3,800 liquidity runs before retracements to well-defined discount zones.
Gold Potential Reversal Ahead - Gold Sell OpportunityGold is currently trading around 3647 after making a strong bullish move. Price has reached near a weak high zone and is showing signs of exhaustion, which indicates a possible retracement. The immediate resistance at 3659 has created a weak high. If Gold fails to sustain above this level, sellers are likely to step in, pushing price down toward the levels at 3620 – 3604. A confirmed rejection candle around the sell zone will act as the sell trigger, with 3578 as a deeper bearish target if momentum increases.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: 3687 – 3712
- Support: 3,628 - 3600
📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger:
- Sell Zone: 3670 – 3685 area
- Sell Trigger: A rejection candle or confirmation of failure to break above 3670 – 3685 zone.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
CPI in Focus – Gold’s Sell Setup ActivatedGold is showing signs of weakness after failing to sustain above 3674. Any pullback toward 3635 – 3650 can provide a good sell opportunity, with confirmation below 3617 accelerating downside. Bears will eye 3599 – 3581 as the next key levels, while major support lies at 3540.
Today’s US CPI data will be the key driver — if inflation comes in hotter than expected, it could strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower. On the other hand, a softer CPI print may support gold with a bounce toward 3635–3650 before fresh selling pressure resumes.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: 3640 – 3650
- Support: 3618 - 3600
📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger:
- Sell Zone: 3640 – 3650 area
- Sell Trigger: If price retests 3635 – 3650 and rejects with bearish candles → short entries valid or Confirmation break below 3617 will add more bearish pressure.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Rejected at $3,700 – Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,662 and moving within an upward channel structure, but showing signs of weakness near the resistance zone. Price recently tested the $3,698–$3,700 resistance area and failed to break higher, creating a potential short-term top (marked as a weak high). This rejection signals that sellers are gaining strength. If price fails to sustain above $3,675–$3,698, it increases the probability of a deeper correction toward the lower channel and demand
Overall, Gold remains vulnerable to correction unless bulls reclaim and sustain above $3,700, which would invalidate the bearish setup and reopen the path toward $3,725–$3,750.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: 3670 – 3690
- Support: 3625 – 3600
📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger:
- Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 area
- Sell Trigger: If Gold retests and rejects the $3,690–$3,700 resistance zone, it becomes a valid sell entry with confirmation of bearish rejection.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold (Sep 22–26): Can Bulls Defend $3,700 as ETF Inflows Slow?1. Institutional Forecast Updates
Goldman Sachs (Sep 4, 2025): Targets $3,700/oz for Q4 2025 and $4,000/oz for Q2 2026.
J.P. Morgan (Apr 22, 2025): Projects $3,650/oz for Q4 2025 and sees prices above $4,000/oz by Q2 2026.
References:
www.reuters.com
www.reuters.com
2. Key Drivers & Risks
🟪 Gold ETF flows: Gold-backed ETF inflows surged in 2025, but high prices have caused those inflows to slow.
🟧 Central Bank Statistics: Central bank demand increased in 2025, but they largely held their reserves with little buying or selling.
🟨 Markets are anticipating further Fed rate cuts, which would lower real interest rates and reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
🟩 Political and geopolitical tensions have eased recently, with no new developments providing additional support for gold prices.
🟦 The economic environment appears stable (the S&P 500 VIX is currently low), which could shift capital toward higher-risk markets.
⇨ There are no clear signs of a sustained decline in gold prices, but caution is advised around the $3,700/oz level, as institutional inflows are weakening and downside risks are present.
Source: World Gold Council
3. 🏦📊 Technical Analysis
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
How do you think about this idea? Let us know your thoughts below :)
Gold Under Pressure - Is the Downtrend Just Beginning?Hi everyone, it’s Ken!
On the 2H chart, after careful observation, we can see a RISING WEDGE pattern forming. After XAUUSD broke the previous uptrend and completed its correction phase, there's a high likelihood that a new bearish trend will emerge, continuing the short-term downtrend we've seen recently.
Ken's target is to push the price below 3,630, aiming for a further low at 3,608 – this level perfectly aligns with Fibonacci 1.618.
What about you? Do you think XAUUSD will continue to drop, or is there a chance for a reversal to the upside? Share your thoughts and targets in the comments!
Gold 1H – Premium Sweeps Risk Before ReversalGold on the 1H chart is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. Price is balancing between the fresh FVG sell zone near 3,673–3,671 and deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains stacked above 3,705 and below 3,632, leaving room for engineered sweeps before direction is confirmed.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712)
Major premium liquidity trap before continuation lower toward 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627)
Discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671)
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into FVG before downside extension.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703)
• Entry: 3,705 – 3,703
• Stop Loss: 3,712
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,675
TP3: 3,660
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish momentum.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636)
• Entry: 3,634 – 3,636
• Stop Loss: 3,627
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,660
TP3: 3,670
👉 High R:R setup if gold defends discount demand; ideal for counter-trend scalps.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains pressured below 3,673–3,705, favoring short setups into premium sweeps. However, watch closely for accumulation signs at 3,634–3,636 as buyers may reclaim structure. Best approach: scale in smaller positions until NY session confirms directional bias.
Gold rebound encountered resistance, bears may exert force againGold continued its decline yesterday, extending the previous day's downward trend. It hit a low near 3633 before rebounding, peaking at 3672 before falling under pressure again. The US market quickly dipped to around 3627, another sign of bearishness. After breaking through the high, the upward move did not continue, but instead continued to rebound during the day, leaving room for short-term market volatility. Strong upward pressure currently persists around 3670, which also served as a barrier to yesterday's high. While prices have rebounded, the probability of reaching this level is low. A successful breakout could signal the end of the bearish correction. Yesterday, after initially reaching around 3660, the price quickly retreated. While the decline was limited, it provided a clear technical warning. Key support remains at 3620. If this fails, a direct drop below 3600, or even to around 3580, is possible. On the whole, the daily line is still biased towards a bearish retracement pattern. It is recommended to wait patiently for a pullback. If gold pulls back to the 3660-3670 area first, continue to arrange short orders on rallies, with the target first looking at the 3645-3630 area.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - What's the next plan today?Hello guys! It's me, Anfibo.
My previous OANDA:XAUUSD plan with the Sell entry at 3,670 – 3,674 delivered more than 400 pips in profit, confirming that the market reacted exactly as anticipated.
At present, observing the price structure, gold has completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse and is now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase. This is a classic scenario following a strong impulsive leg, where the market needs to rebalance before determining the next trend.
At the same time, the current price zone is also showing signs of forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, adding another layer of reliable technical confluence. This suggests that downside pressure remains in play, at least until the pattern is fully developed.
Key short-term resistance levels to watch are around 3,690 – 3,700 (maybe we will get a sell signal here)
Meanwhile, immediate support levels can be found near 3,630 – 3,620 – 3,615, with a deeper support at 3,590, which will be decisive for the longer-term bullish structure.
The preferred strategy is to wait for price reactions at these resistance confluence zones to look for short-term Sell signals, in line with the ongoing ABC correction.
Here's My Trading Plan
>>> BUY SCALP
Entry: 3,620 – 3,615
SL: 3,610
TP: 3,650 – 3,670
>>> SELL Scalp
Entry: 3,670 – 3,675
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,620 – 3,590
Always set your Stop-Loss on every trade! Wishing everyone successful trading. XOXO
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defense.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711)
Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610)
Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680)
• Entry: 3,678 – 3,680
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,675
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,665
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702)
• Entry: 3,704 – 3,702
• Stop Loss: 3,711
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,612–3,614)
• Entry: 3,616 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favorable risk/reward from deep demand.
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🔑 Strategy Note
With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favor short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade smaller size until direction clarifies post-news.
Gold Price Analysis: Sideways Now, Big Move After Fed Rates?Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near 3645 levels, consolidating inside a contracting wedge after its recent strong bullish rally. The overall trend remains positive, but momentum has slowed as markets await the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision on Wednesday, which is expected to bring volatility. If the Fed signals further easing or a dovish stance, gold could attempt another push higher, breaking the 3675 resistance and aiming toward 3700–3730. However, if the Fed maintains a cautious or less dovish tone, profit-taking may accelerate and trigger a pullback.
The key level to watch on the downside is the 3625–3600 support zone; a clear break below this area could open the door toward 3565 and 3531, with deeper correction possible to 3498. Traders should stay cautious and wait for confirmation: a break above 3675 would confirm bullish continuation, while a drop below 3600 would favor short setups targeting lower support levels. Until then, gold remains in a neutral-to-bearish consolidation phase, with the Fed decision likely to provide the breakout trigger.
📊 Trend Analysis
- Overall trend since late August has been strong bullish, but momentum has slowed in the past few sessions.
- Price is now consolidating in a wedge/triangle formation.
- Current price action is sideways-to-bearish within consolidation, indicating possible pullback/reversal setup if support breaks.
- As long as 3675 isn’t broken decisively, risk of retracement remains toward 3565 – 3530 area.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: 3670 – 3680
- Support: 3625 – 3600
🎯 Trade Setup
- Sell Bias (Short-Term):
- If price fails to break 3645–3650 resistance and breaks below 3625–3600 support zone, it can trigger a sell trade.
- Sell Trigger: Break & close below 3600.
- Targets: 3565 → 3531 → 3498.
👉 Trend Right Now:
Gold is in a short-term consolidation / bearish bias inside the wedge. The major bullish rally has already slowed down, and price is struggling to break above 3645–3650 resistance. Unless gold decisively breaks 3675, the current move looks more like a distribution phase before a pullback.
- So, near-term trend = sideways-to-bearish (towards 3600 → 3565 → 3530)
- Long-term trend = still bullish, as long as price holds above 3530–3498 support.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With CPI news today, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Gold Technical Analysis – Is a Pullback Coming?Hello everyone, Ken here!
Looking at the chart, gold is still trading within a clear rising channel, but the price has now moved up to the upper boundary. This is an area where profit-taking pressure often appears and can act as dynamic resistance.
If buying momentum weakens, the market is likely to see a short-term correction toward the support zone around 3,630 USD. If buyers defend this level, the bullish trend can continue. On the other hand, if support is broken, gold may retreat further toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The key is to watch candlestick signals and volume at these critical levels. Careful risk management should always be the top priority before making decisions. Trade safe!
A Gold/GLD Drop Scenario You Should Not IgnoreSometimes you don't need a ton of information.
Sometimes, it's just the right moment when a few facts come together, and you make up your mind.
That's the case now with Gold for me.
We know that the behavior changed when Gold left the Fork in July.
We also know that if price leaves a Fork, it's highly possible we’ll see a test/re-test at the L-MLH, the lower median line parallel.
Additionally, Allan H. Andrews, the inventor of the Median Lines/Forks, wrote back then that price could also crawl along the parallel line for a longer period. And if price can't manage to jump back into the Fork—regaining the trajectory of the slope—it will trade in the opposite direction sooner or later.
Last but not least: I checked GLD too. Surprisingly it reached the Centerline just yesterday (See screenshot in the right lower corner of the Chart). So price has a high tendency to turn in the opposite direction when balanced again.
So, there you have it.
I’m planning a short, with profits at the WL as my first target.
But what if it goes wrong, if price climbs higher?
Well, then I’ll probably get stopped out, which is nothing more than part of this business.
Any questions?
Don't hesitate to ask me. It's the only way humans learn—by asking questions.
Cheers
§8-)
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expecting price to pull lower toward demand areas before the next bullish leg.
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📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
1. Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
2. Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
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⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
GOLD 03/09 : TIME TO SELL HOLD - WHERE TO AIM BUY TODAY ? 1. Overall Analysis
Elliott Wave:
Wave (5) appears to have completed, signalling a potential distribution phase.
The market is likely entering an ABC corrective structure, with Wave A expected to retrace to key Fibonacci levels before rebounding into Wave B.
Smart Money Concept (SMC):
The BOS (Break of Structure) has been confirmed.
There’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3,500 level that price may revisit to fill.
The CP Order Buy Zone near 3,485 shows a strong liquidity area for potential long-term buy setups.
2. SELL Plan
SELL Zone: 3,550 – 3,552
Stop Loss (SL): 3,558
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 – short-term target)
TP2: 3,517 (Fib 0.382 – initial support zone)
TP3: 3,508 – 3,506 (BUY SCALP/FVG zone)
Logic:
Price has finished Wave 5, forming a distribution zone.
Smart Money is likely to sweep liquidity around 3,550 before driving the price lower to test the FVG.
3. BUY SCALP Plan
BUY Zone: 3,508 – 3,506 (aligning with FVG)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,499
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 retracement)
TP2: 3,540 (previous reaction zone)
Logic:
This zone coincides with an unfilled FVG and the 0.5–0.618 retracement levels of the previous leg.
If price maintains bullish structure here, Wave B could rebound strongly.
4. Medium-Term BUY Zone
CP Order Buy Zone: Around 3,485
Logic:
This level is a significant liquidity pool often targeted by Smart Money.
If the 3,506 zone breaks, this level becomes the next key area for medium-term accumulation, aiming for a potential Wave C push towards 3,550+.
5. Main Scenarios
Primary Setup:
Wait for a SELL entry at 3,550 – 3,552, SL 3,558, scaling out profits at the key support levels.
Watch for a BUY SCALP opportunity in the 3,508 – 3,506 range if bullish confirmations appear.
Alternate Setup:
If price breaks below 3,506 and continues to drop, look for confirmation at 3,485 to build medium-term buy positions.
6. Risk Management
Always place tight SLs for each setup.
For SELL trades: reduce position size during high-impact news releases.
For BUY SCALP trades: only enter on confirmation signals (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle, or minor structure break on M5/M15).
Is it Time to Buy Silver and Sell Gold???Analysis of the "Gold to Silver Ratio" will Reveal Curical Facts
Analysis on Weekly Timeframe:
1. The ratio is trending within a symmetrical triangle pattern near 86.5.0, indicating gold is significantly more expensive relative to silver.
2. However, the ratio started declining after reaching peak of 105.5 during April, while testing the upper trend line of the triangle.
3. The ratio is expected to further fall & at least test the lower trendline of the triangle near 80.5, if breached, then support at 75.5 could be witnessed.
4. Currently, the ratio is trending near the levels previously seen during the Global Financial Crisis - 2008, after which it drastically declined.
Silver Shines Brighter Than Gold
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What is the Gold/Silver Ratio?
- The Gold/Silver ratio measures the value of gold in relation to silver.
- Basically, it tells us how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold.
- For example, if gold was trading at $1000 and silver was priced at $20, the gold : silver ratio would be 50.
- Current Situation - Gold Rate = ~$3500 & Silver = ~$40; the gold : silver ratio would be ~87.50
Interpretation
- A high ratio means gold is more expensive relative to silver (and vice versa)
- Historically, it has been seen that, when the ratio rises above 80 (currently it is 87.5), silver gets undervalued relative to gold
- An undervalued silver makes it a potential buy against gold.






















