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XAU/USD | A drop before a bullish move? (READ THE CAPTION)Good morning folks, Amirali here. As you can see, last night with FOMC news, Gold price surged from 4194 all the way to 4238 before dropping again to 4204 and now it's being traded at 4214 level. Gold is respecting the supply zone and has shown reaction to it multiple times. I expect Gold to challenge the supply zone again, should it fail to go through, a drop to 4160 to sweep all the sellside liquidity there and then again another upwards move for it to happen is likely.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by AmirAliTrading
9
Elise | XAUUSD 15m — Sweep → Reaccumulation setupOANDA:XAUUSD Price grabbed upside liquidity at 4258 and reversed into range accumulation. Then price swept sell-side into strong demand at 4170–4178, reclaimed structure, and is now retesting micro-trend memory. Bullish continuation is valid only if price confirms above short-term structure. Long Scenario (Requires Break) Break + hold above 4204–4208 enables expansion toward liquidity at: • Target 1: 4218 • Target 2: 4225 liquidity pocket Invalidation Break below 4178 demand base cancels bullish structure and opens retracement toward: • 4156 • 4138 deep sweep Currently price is neutral until a bullish breaker confirms. You do not have an entry just because price is bouncing. ⚠️ This is for educational structure only. Not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
4
XAUUSD – Post FOMC | ChumTrades Daily PlanXAUUSD – Post FOMC | ChumTrades Daily Plan Market Context • Strong rejection at 4245 → buyer momentum weakening. • Prefer selling at premium zones, buying at lower demand zones. • Expect gold to continue ranging within 4245 ⇆ 4180. 🔻 SELL Zones 1) Main SELL Zone: 4238–4245 Entry: 4238–4245 SL: 4255 TP1: 4225 TP2: 4204 TP3: 4180 2) SELL SCALP: 4230–4233 TP: 4218–4210 SL: 4237 🟢 BUY Zones 1) BUY SCALP: 4188–4190–4192 TP: 4210 → 4218 → 4230 → 4240 SL: 4278 2) Main BUY Zone: 4163 SL: 100 pips TP: 100 / 200 / 300 pips RR: 1 : 3 🎯 Bias • Below 4245 → market favors sideway–down movement. • Only a breakout above 4265 signals a potential bullish shift. If you find this plan helpful, please leave a like and follow ChumTrades for daily plans & realtime updates! Feel free to drop your own market view in the comments so we can discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis Ahead of FOMC Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for Gold. As you can see, the market continues consolidating between Support 1 and Resistance 1, forming a horizontal range. Before the FED, expect a continuation of a sideways price action within. After FOMC & FED Interest rate decision, consider a breakout of one of the underlined structures as a confirmation. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold Analysis: Volatility Ahead in NY Session (Dec 11, 2025)FXOPEN:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS VOLATILITY AHEAD IN NY SESSION (December 11, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS *Market Overview* Gold rallied to $4,232/oz after the Fed’s third straight 25bp cut weakened the dollar and eased yields, giving bullion classic upside fuel. Silver outperformed with a 1.9% jump to a new all-time high amid a historic squeeze, while gold’s gains were limited by the Fed’s hawkish 2026 dot plot. Powell’s announcement of $40B/month Treasury bill buys acted as stealth QE, lifting both risk assets and safe haven flows. China’s continued gold accumulation and elevated geopolitical risks added further support. Overall, gold holds a bullish bias toward $4,300 as long as DXY stays below 98.5. *Key Fundamentals* Spot Gold: $4,215/oz, up 57% YTD, with 50+ ATHs showing strong momentum. Central Banks: 254t bought YTD, on track for 1,000t/year a powerful structural floor. ETF Flows: $64B inflows (record AUM $530B; holdings 3,932t), signaling surging investment demand. Inflation: CPI ~3% with Nov expected 2.7–2.99%; real yields near 2%, supportive for gold. Dollar & Yields: DXY at 98.59 (soft), 10Y at 4.13% (low real yields) both bullish tailwinds for gold. *Geopolitics* 1. China Warns Against US Tariffs Rising US China trade tensions pushed gold up and pressured tech/Asian markets. 2. US Tech Export Curbs on China New US restrictions on semiconductors/software lifted gold and hurt tech stocks, especially chipmakers. 3. Israel Iran Tensions Increase War rhetoric boosted safe-haven buying (gold, oil) and weakened global equities. 4. US China Trade Truce Talks Fail Talk breakdown revived trade-war fears, increasing gold ETF inflows and pressuring EM currencies. 5. Houthi Attacks in Red Sea Shipping disruptions lifted oil and gold, increasing market volatility and hurting shipping stocks. Emerging Flashpoints South Korea, Syria, and European debt worries added fresh volatility, pushing the GPR index higher and reinforcing upside risks for gold and other safe-haven assets. *Risk-On/Risk-Off Analysis* 1. Yields Stabilized After Fed Cut but Stay Elevated Treasury yields eased slightly after the Fed’s 25bp cut (10-yr at 4.13%), but real yields remain high (~2.05%), signaling persistent inflation pressure and fewer expected cuts in 2026. 2. Market Sentiment = Mild Tactical Risk-Off Yen carry unwinds, tariff fears, and the Fed’s cautious outlook have shifted markets into a 55/45 risk-off tilt, supporting gold and Treasuries, even as U.S. equities remain resilient with low VIX. 3. Cross-Asset Signals Flash Mixed Outlook Stocks rise on strong earnings and AI demand, but rising yields (-0.85 correlation), a soft USD (-0.75 correlation with gold), and global policy shifts (BoJ hikes) create a fragile setup where risk-on/bullish momentum depends heavily on next week’s CPI. *Key Insights From Credible Sources* Trump Comments on Markets & Growth Trump expressed extremely bullish views, suggesting GDP could reach 20–25% and that markets should continue rising adding short-term optimism to equities and risk assets. Powell Comment on Housing Powell said a 0.25% rate cut won’t significantly improve housing affordability, signaling limited impact of small cuts on the housing market and keeping pressure on real estate linked assets. *Key Events To Watch* 🔸 US Unemployment Claims (TODAY — HIGH IMPACT) Higher claims → Weak labor → Dovish → Bullish gold Lower claims → Strong labor → Hawkish → Bearish gold Expect immediate spike reactions toward your zones. *Conclusion* Gold remains supported by strong macro foundations Fed easing, a softer dollar, and record central-bank demand keeping the broader trend firmly bullish above $4,200. Geopolitical tensions and rising risk-off flows continue to fuel safe-haven demand, while ETF inflows reinforce a structural floor. Although yields remain elevated and sentiment is cautiously mixed, the path toward $4,300 stays intact as long as DXY holds below 98.5. With high-impact labor data ahead, expect sharp intraday volatility, but the overall bias remains upward. Support the Analysis If this breakdown added value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
XAUUSD sell level to look for!XAUUSD Bear still in contol, at least for shorter term. The daily rejection on Fed's rate cut news has not been strong enough to start a new uptrend, instead, there is lowertimeframe bearish pressure which indicating possible drop to the daily support level. Here in this 30minutes timeframe there is bearish impulse later with sideway consolidation, price is rejecting 4218.60 level, means, there is second wave of drop is possible as the market left imbalance in the downside direction. Therefore a sell trade is high probable with SL above the key level of 4218.60
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ForexWizard01
1
Gold Forming a Double Top Pattern?Last week, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) exhibited sharp movements, both upward and downward, making trading quite challenging. The key question is whether gold will continue its bullish trend. Currently, gold is positioned near a resistance zone($4,231 – $4,215) and is moving close to significant support lines. Last week, gold created a bull trap above the resistance zone($4,231 – $4,215). From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 5 with an expanding ending diagonal and is now undergoing a pullback towards the lower line of this pattern. Looking at the classic technical analysis on the 4-hour chart, there’s a potential double top formation, and the momentum from the second top is quite strong, suggesting that gold may break through the support lines and confirm the double top pattern. On the other hand, factors like the DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) and the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ), which are currently bullish, could exert downward pressure on gold. Considering all these points, I expect that gold will break through the support lines and potentially move down to $4,167. Note: If gold breaks through the support zone($4,185 – $4,133), we can expect further declines. First Target: $4,167 Second Target: $4,127 Stop Loss(SL): $4,247(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves ------------------------------------------------ We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases: JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December FOMC Statement➡️10 December FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December Unemployment Claims➡️11 December ------------------------------------------------ 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
4
Elise | GOLD (XAUUSD) – 30M | Demand Retest → Reversal SetupOANDA:XAUUSD Price is resting on demand after sweeping downside liquidity — a typical accumulation behavior before premium re-pricing. As long as market holds above the liquidity sweep zone, bullish continuation is favored toward prior inefficiencies and supply reaction levels. A breakdown below demand = structural momentum flip. Key Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Case (Primary Bias) 🚀 Hold above 4170–4180 → 🎯 Target 1: 4199.63 🎯 Target 2: 4215 🎯 Target 3: 4248–4260 retest zone ❌ Bearish Failure Point Break & close below demand zone → 🎯 Downside expansion into 4145 🎯 Deep sweep into 4115 liquidity cluster Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4215 / 4248–4260 Support 🟢: 4170–4180 sweep block ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
5
Gold maintains a mild downtrend – waiting for reaction at 4205📌 Market Overview • Gold is currently trading around 4210–4213 after a previous drop toward 4205. • A slightly stronger USD is preventing gold from making a solid recovery. • The market is waiting for clearer signals from U.S. session flows — volatility remains compressed. ________________________________________ 📌 Technical Analysis • Short-term trend: gold leans bearish after breaking below the 4216–4210 support zone. • Key resistance levels: • 4218 – 4223 • 4230 • Nearest support: • 4205 – 4200 • 4194 • EMA: price is trading below EMA20 on M15–H1 → sellers remain in control. • Candles & momentum: multiple long upper wicks around 4215–4218 show strong selling pressure. • If H1 closes below 4205 → further downside expansion is likely. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook Gold remains weak in the short term with no strong bullish signals yet. Only if price breaks and holds above 4218 will the short-term bullish structure return. Otherwise, another break below 4205 may lead to deeper declines. ________________________________________ 📌 Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: 4218–4221 SL: 4224 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 4190–4187 SL: 4184 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
GOLD ANALYSIS FOMC VOLATILITY AHEAD: What to Expect 10/Dec/2025PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS FOMC VOLATILITY AHEAD: What to Expect Today (December 10, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones. Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan. 📰 Market Overview Gold continues to consolidate inside the mid-range after reacting from discount areas earlier this week. Price is rotating upward within the 4200–4240 structure, slowly gravitating toward premium liquidity pockets ahead of the year’s final FOMC event today at 07:30 UK Time. Despite mild USD strength, gold remains fundamentally supported by: Dovish expectations for a December rate cut Rising geopolitical uncertainty 13-month streak of central-bank accumulation led by China Stabilizing U.S. yields creating favorable conditions for non-yielding assets Smart money continues its clean cycle: accumulate at discount → distribute at premium, keeping the broader trend bullish. 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move 📈 87–90% probability of a December Fed rate cut → Boosts gold’s macro upside as yield pressure softens. 💵 USD rebound remains limited → Weakens trend pressure; supports continued upside rotation. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions (US–China, Middle East) → Sustains safe-haven flow into metals. 🏦 China’s gold-buying streak hits 13 months → Reinforces long-term structural demand. 📊 Cooling bond volatility → Keeps dips shallow; encourages bullish continuation. Narrative remains unchanged: Macro uncertainty + institutional hedging + global de-dollarization = smart money remains net-long. 📰 Insights From Key Sources “Markets pricing ~88% probability of 25bps cut.” Fed officials hint rate cuts in 2026 may slow due to sticky inflation. BRICS gold-backed settlement mechanism gaining traction. ETF inflows hit strongest levels in 18 months. Miners report supply constraints and rising extraction costs. Analysts highlight potential gold revaluation risks tied to U.S. debt trajectory. The story is unified across sources: smart money continues buying dips while the macro remains supportive. 📆 KEY EVENTS TO WATCH 🔸 FOMC Rate Decision & Powell Speech (Today — 07:30 PM UK Time) Dovish outcome → strong bullish continuation toward sell zones Hawkish tone → temporary liquidity grabs into buy zones 🔸 US CPI (Tomorrow) Hot CPI → delays 2026 easing Soft CPI → boosts rate-cut expectations 🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS Gold is rotating cleanly between premium sell zones → discount buy zones, respecting institutional footprints and delivering predictable trading behavior. Price is currently positioned near mid-range, reacting between scalp levels and major sell zones. 🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4172 – 4157 Primary deep-discount institutional demand zone. Expect: ✔ Strong first-tap reaction ✔ Accumulation wicks & mitigation plays ✔ Higher-low formation if FOMC dips into discount Break below 4157 → opens liquidity draws toward 4140 → 4115. 🔸 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4237 – 4248 Intraday premium zone ideal for liquidity grabs & short-term reactions. Expect: ✔ Fast rejection wicks ✔ Scalp reversal setups before FOMC volatility ✔ Short-term fades into mid-range Clean break → price gravitates to major sell zone. 🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4267 – 4282 Major premium distribution zone high-probability reversal region. Expect: ✔ Manipulation above prior highs ✔ Stop hunts before the real move ✔ Swing short setups on rejection Break & hold above 4282 opens targets: ➡ 4300 → 4318 → 4350 liquidity 📌 Conclusion Gold remains bullish as long as the 4172–4157 demand zone holds, with smart money continuing to accumulate every dip. FOMC volatility may create temporary spikes, but structural bias stays upward unless discount levels break. Follow the zones, stay disciplined, and let liquidity guide your entries. 🙌 Support the Analysis If this breakdown added value to your trading: 👍 Drop a like 💬 Comment your levels 📈 Share your charts with the community Let’s grow together. Best Regards, M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
XAU/USD | A free fall or an bullish attempt? (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see, Gold has been moving on a range recently, with no clear intention as to where it is headed. A possible scenario could be dropping down to the 4164 NDOG and then an uptrend move above the pool of liquidity above 4265 and the 4272 FVG. However if it fails to make a move at that level, it'll drop further to 4111-4159 IFVG, which then I expect it to bounce back and go up again. However, if it fails to make a move then, we will witness a free fall of Gold. Let's see what happens.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by AmirAliTrading
11
Gold Continues to Range; Awaiting Breakout📊 Market Overview: Gold continues to trade within a tight range 4180 – 4215, reflecting strong market indecision as traders await upcoming U.S. economic data. The USD remains relatively stable, keeping gold movement suppressed. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Levels: • 4220 • 4230 – 4240 Nearest Support Levels: • 4185 – 4180 • 4160 – 4150 EMA & Trend: • Price is ranging around EMA 09, indicating lack of directional momentum. • A confirmed H1/H4 close above 4215 signals bullish continuation. • A breakdown below 4180 opens room toward 4160 – 4150. Candlestick / Momentum Notes: • Weak momentum, low volume → classic range-bound behavior. • Rejection candles at 4220 show sellers defending the highs. • Wick rejections near 4180 indicate buyers awaiting dips. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to remain range-bound between 4180–4215 until a breakout occurs. • Above 4215 → bullish bias toward 4230–4240 • Below 4180 → bearish bias toward 4160–4150 💡 Suggested Trading Plan: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4227 – 4230 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4234 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4160 – 4157 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4154
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mian-FXSignals
XAU/USD | Further drop for gold? (READ THE CAPTION) Good morning folks, Amirali here with another analysis on Gold. As you can clearly see, BSL was taken and a pool of liquidity now awaits above the 4264.50 level, exactly below the lower part of the FVG, at 4272.50 level. Gold also reached the $4174 FVG (in a lower timeframe) and then surged to $4186 level before dropping and now is being traded at 4176 level. There's an old NDOG at $4164.50 level which I expect a reaction from Gold to it. Just below this NDOG, there's an IFVG in 4111-4159 zone which I believe after the reaction to $4164 level, Gold might drop there and will react to it. Sincerely, Amirali
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by AmirAliTrading
10
XAUUSD 4H MA50 break signals lower prices.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up in the past 1.5 month. Within this pattern, every time the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) broke downwards, the price tested the Higher Lows trend-line. As a result, we expect Gold to reach 4115 next, which will be an interesting cluster as marginally below will be the Support Zone o the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and more importantly the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). That will most likely decide the long-term trend. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
4
XAU/USD – Major Resistance Test With Potential Bearish ContinuatXAU/USD is approaching a major resistance area near 4260, where price has previously shown strong rejection. The recent rising channels on the chart indicate short-term bullish attempts, but each move has been followed by a corrective decline, showing weakening momentum. If the market fails to hold above the nearby structure, a move toward the 4167 support zone may develop. A clear break below this level could signal a stronger bearish continuation toward lower liquidity levels. For now, price remains between resistance pressure above and structural support below, making these two zones important for the next directional move. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 4260 Support: 4167 Bias: Bearish if support breaks, neutral while price ranges
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wolfpips123