XAUUSD Long Setup – Scaling into ~4250 PullbackGold’s holding strong above 4300, and I’m eyeing a high-probability long setup on XAUUSD with a pullback to the ~4250 demand zone. Here’s my plan to scale in and target 4500:
Setup:
Entry Zone: Waiting for a pullback to ~4240–4260, a high-volume support area (confirmed by volume profile) with strong past buyer activity.
Confirmation: Looking for bullish signals in the zone (e.g., pin bar, absorption, or momentum divergence on lower timeframes).
Entry Strategy:
Machine-Gun Style: Scaling in with hundreds of micro-position buy limit orders (0.01–0.02 lots) across 4240–4260 to capture the reversal. Total risk capped at 1–2% of account.
Risk Management: Stops below 4220. If the setup fails (e.g., daily close below 4220), I’ll pause adding orders, close some positions to reduce exposure, or hedge with other pairs (e.g., EURUSD shorts) while keeping margin free.
Exit Plan:
Target: Targeting 4500, a key psychological level with potential resistance.
Profit Management: At +1% basket profit, move stops to breakeven +0.5% (securing a 0.5% win if stopped out). Trail stops to 4500, closing all positions at target.
Hedge Option: If momentum fades (e.g., daily close below 4220), I’ll consider hedging or cutting exposure to protect capital.
Market Context:
Gold’s bullish above 4300, fueled by USD weakness after the Fed’s December rate cut and ongoing safe-haven demand (recent highs near 4366). The 4240–4260 zone aligns with historical support from November 2025 consolidation. With daily volatility at 100–150 points, this setup offers a solid risk-reward for disciplined scaling.
Risk Warning: High-frequency scaling and hedging involve risks. Maintain strict risk control and ensure margin for multi-pair strategies. Trade your plan!
What’s your take on XAUUSD? Drop your setups or thoughts below!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #Scalping #PriceAction
Goldtrader
ChatGPT đã nói: Gold May Climb on a Weaker USD and Fed Cut Hope📊 Market Overview:
• Spot gold is currently trading around $4,224.65/oz.
• The bullish momentum is supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts, a weaker USD, and renewed safe-haven demand.
• Market sentiment remains “risk-off,” making gold a preferred defensive asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $4,270–4,280
• Strong resistance: $4,300
• Nearest support: $4,200
• Strong support: $4,155–4,160
• EMA: Price is holding above the EMA → bullish trend remains intact.
• Candlestick / momentum: Upward momentum is stable with no strong reversal signals. A breakout above 4,280 may push gold toward 4,300.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue rising in the short term if USD weakness persists and Fed rate-cut expectations remain firm.
However, strong US economic data that lifts bond yields could pull gold back to 4,200 or even the strong support at 4,155–4,160.
💡 Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,155–4,158
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,152
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,303–4,306
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,309
GOLD (XAUUSD): Road to ATH
As I predicted earlier, Gold successfully bounced to 4215.
The market closed, testing a key daily resistance.
Next week, I suggest looking for its breakout to buy.
Your confirmation will be a daily candle close above 4245.
With a high probability, the market will rise to a resistance
based on a current ATH.
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On November 26th, consider buying gold again after it retraces tOn the 4-hour chart for gold, the moving averages continue to trend upwards, maintaining a bullish alignment. Reviewing the intraday gold price movement, the overall trend remains upward, with a short-term pullback from the 415-4160 area. It's important to note that gold has seen minimal pullbacks throughout its upward breakout. The pullback in the European session only tested the 4110 level before continuing its upward climb. The short-term upward trend is expected to continue, and during the US session, buying on dips above 4100 is recommended.
Gold US Session Short-Term Hourly Chart Analysis Guide (NovemberGold hourly chart: Overnight, it rose steadily, and in the Asian session today, it initially continued its upward trend, reaching a high of 4156. However, due to the recent period of consolidation, the continuity of gains has been relatively weak. The initial rise suggests a potential pullback in the afternoon or European session, with a likely scenario of a correction based on the 4150-4160 resistance zone. This prediction ultimately materialized, with the price falling to a low of 4109, close to the 38.3% Fibonacci retracement level of yesterday's gains at 4111. The European session saw a further decline, breaking below the Asian session low. Any subsequent rebound should not be viewed as a bullish trap. Furthermore, based on today's high and low points, 4138 represents the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, currently acting as resistance. The best option for the US session is to wait. The next move will likely be a second downward pressure, either stabilizing at 4109 to form a double bottom, or breaking through it to confirm the 4104 annual moving average, or stabilizing at 4097 (50% retracement support) for a bullish move. These two levels also correspond to the short-term 5-day and 10-day support levels on the daily chart. Resistance is at 4138-4140. A break above this level would mean holding above the 10-day moving average, making further declines less likely and potentially pushing higher to test the 4150-4160 high. The key level is 4097. Trading above this level suggests a slightly bullish bias, while trading below it would indicate a weaker bias and a higher likelihood of wide-ranging price swings.
Buy gold on dips on November 24th.In the short term, the daily chart is currently showing signs of weakness, with moving averages turning downwards and the price breaking below the daily mid-band. Therefore, the intraday outlook is likely to be a decline followed by a rise, and our strategy should follow this pattern: short first, then long. For support, we still expect entry around 4025, with a stop-loss at 4005. Upside targets are 4050-80 and 4100. For shorting, we can wait for a rebound to around 4075 before entering, with a stop-loss above 4090. Pay close attention to the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, buy on dips before the US session; if the European session is weak, sell on rallies before the US session, targeting a bottoming out and rebound.
XAUUSDbased on tecnical only the breakout and creating new low or high will have the new confirmation what gold really up to? considering as an this week gold had played side ways and din break the inside resistent and support. lets see how gold close as weekly candle.
clear draw on the chart so take a good look and understand.
what you think leave a your comment below.
BTCUSDwhat a hug drop base drop, as my analysis i see continustion drop on btcusd after the confermation or next (nfp) as i have draw some on chart it may help to understand that support and liquidity and new low has been created, now pull back..
let me know what you all thinking drop your comment .
safe trade,
Gold prices fluctuated on November 20th, awaiting the non-farm pOn the hourly chart, gold continues to oscillate between 4000 and 4100. The current short-term trend is slightly weak, but not particularly strong. Before today's non-farm payroll data release, a strategy of buying low and selling high is recommended. Consider a small long position at 4040, targeting the 4080-4100 area. Short positions can be considered at resistance levels. The European session is expected to be relatively quiet; therefore, a cautious, small-position trading strategy is advised. Avoid chasing the market down; the potential downside is limited.
Gold prices fluctuated on November 20th, awaiting the non-farm pThe 1-hour moving average for gold has started to turn upwards, and the overall trend remains one of upward fluctuation. However, the fluctuation is currently biased towards the upper end. Gold has tested the support area of 4050 multiple times in the past two days, and has basically managed to stabilize and continue rising. This indicates that the bulls still have significant support in the 4050-4000 area. If the support area of 4040 is not broken today, then gold can continue to be bought on dips. The road to the north is long, and patience is still required.
Gold pullback on November 18th, expect a rebound.Gold prices are trading around 4015. For short positions, watch the 4050 level; a move to short at this level would be a good entry point. This level represents the low point of the initial upward move at the beginning of the week and has now become effective resistance. Hold this area for shorting. The 8-hour uptrend line provides support around 3993. If the price breaks below this uptrend line, the downtrend could accelerate, potentially reaching as low as 3924. Focus on shorting today; hold short positions below 4053 and prepare to maximize profits! Weak outlook! Specific and more winning entry points will be provided during the trading session! Take profits on the short positions!
#Intraday Strategy: Hold short positions below 4050 and maximize profits! Weak outlook!
Focus on the 3995-4005 range, a key support/resistance level!
Gold is expected to rise and then fall in the short term.After opening today, gold was pressured down by the 4110 area, finding support at around 4050 and rebounding. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show severe oversold conditions, indicating a clear short-term stabilization. Therefore, overall, while maintaining a bearish outlook for gold, a short-term rebound is likely, with a high probability of further declines.
Key resistance remains at the 4110 area, followed by the 4140-50 area. A sustained bearish stance is warranted; an unexpected upward breakout could extend the rebound, but a decline is still expected. Key support during the European session is at the 4050 area, with the 4030-40 area being a short-term key level. A break below this level would likely lead to further declines towards the 3980-3950 and 3915 areas.
Gold US Session Short-Term Technical Analysis Guide (November 13Gold is currently trending slightly higher on the 4-hour chart, maintaining a slightly bullish bias along the short-term moving averages. The price is currently trading near the previous resistance zone, but there hasn't been much room for a pullback. We should be wary of a potential continuation of the upward trend during the European and American sessions. On the hourly chart, after a second upward move from the highs, it's currently consolidating in a narrow range with insufficient momentum. We should watch for a pullback before a continuation of the upward trend. There's some divergence on the smaller timeframes; we should monitor the short-term correction and recovery.
Gold prices fluctuated at high levels on November 12th; a short-Gold has recently surged, but some uncertainty has led to fluctuations at higher levels. After reaching a high of around 4145 today, it experienced a significant pullback, briefly touching a low of around 4098 before a rapid rebound. This forms a double bottom support level with yesterday's pullback to around 4097 in the US session. The key level to watch in the near term is 4100. A decisive break below this level would indicate further upside potential; otherwise, the bulls may experience further fluctuations. For tonight, consider buying around 4100/4105, and follow the trend after a breakout.
11/12 Gold Short-Term Trading Strategy:
Sell gold around 4138, with a stop-loss at 4146, targeting below 4120/10. If it breaks below 4100, continue selling with a target around 4070. Buy gold on a pullback around 4102/4, with a stop-loss at 4096, targeting above 4120/30.
Gold pullback on November 12th: Buy on dips!The hourly moving averages for gold continue their bullish crossover and upward divergence, indicating continued upward momentum. The 4-hour chart shows gold continuing its consolidation phase, likely preparing for a breakout above the resistance level of 4160. Gold may have dipped slightly below 4100 to around 4098 before rebounding. Buying on dips above 4098 is recommended.
Gold is currently facing resistance in the 4140-4160 range.Gold # At the start of the week, gold experienced a long-awaited one-sided strong rally, surging nearly $110 intraday, a much stronger move than usual—even rare in the volatile months of September and October. The four-hour chart showed almost no pullback, maintaining an extremely strong upward trend throughout, perfectly matching our weekly prediction of a "full bullish candle," both unexpected and logical.
The daily chart closed with a long bullish candle with no upper or lower shadow, appearing within the current sideways consolidation pattern, typically indicating that the price is about to enter a 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Today, the key focus is on the 4140-60 resistance area, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous high of 4385 to 3885, holding significant technical importance.
From a longer-term perspective, the gold price has retreated nearly $500 from the high of 4385 to 3885, confirming that the market has entered a high-level, wide-range consolidation phase. The current price rebound to around 4140 (a 50% retracement of the 4385-3885 range) can be considered a resistance level at the high point of the low-level consolidation range. The main trading range below this area is expected to be between 4160 and 3990.
Intraday Strategy:
Resistance Zone: Below 4140-60, a correction is expected; avoid chasing the price higher before a breakout.
Support Zone: 4100-4080 is the recent strong/weak dividing line; above this level, the structure remains strong.
Risk Control Point: If the price breaks below 4080-70, watch for a test of the 4040-30 support level.
Trading Strategy: Consider shorting at the resistance zone; if the price stabilizes at the support zone, focus on buying on dips.
4 reasons traders are piling back into gold right now Here’s all the reasons gold is up more than 2% today:
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to its second-lowest level ON RECORD.
The government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history, is likely coming to an end this week, easing pressure on the U.S. dollar.
The US economy likely lost jobs in October, and layoffs reached a 20-year high.
Traders now see about a 70% chance of a rate cut next month.
Gold, therefore, is up ~2.8% on Monday to ~$4,115. The XAUUSD RSI indicator has moved above its midline, showing mild buying pressure, while the 50-day moving average near $3,891 may be acting as key support.
So, is 2.8% just the start of a bigger rally?
Gold bulls are making a strong comeback; buy on dips and follow From the 4-hour chart, the current resistance level to watch is 4115-23, with a key resistance level at 4145. Short-term support is at 4060-68, with a key support level at the previous low of 4030-4035.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Buy gold on a pullback to 4063-68, add to the position on a pullback to 4047-55, stop loss at 4039, target 4100-4106, break above to 4120-28.
Gold has broken out strongly; watch for resistance at 4086-4096.Gold opened easily above 4035, showing strong bullish momentum. Short-term focus is on the 4086-96 range, which acts as short-term resistance at the 4-hour trendline. A strong break above this level could lead to a further attack towards 4130. However, today's gains are not expected to be that significant. If the US session provides an opportunity around 4090-95, a short position can be considered, with a stop-loss at 4103, targeting support at 4055 and 4021. These levels also represent potential entry points for buying in batches during the US session.
Short near 4092, stop-loss at 4103, take-profit at 4055
Long near 4055, stop-loss at 4037, take-profit at 4075
Gold continues to fluctuate; patiently await the onset of a downGold prices traded in a narrow range this week, fluctuating between 3925 and 4030. The overall volatility was not significant, indicating some market caution. However, since the second decline from 4381, gold prices have shown a pullback trend, oscillating around 4000. This pullback is a corrective move within a downtrend, suggesting further downside potential. The strategy of shorting on rallies remains unchanged. Continue to monitor the 4030-50 resistance level. If this level is not broken, the short-term bias will be bearish. Key support levels to watch are the 3950-60 and 3930-20 ranges. A break below these levels would lead to a break below the recent low of 3880. Conversely, a break above 4050 would require abandoning short positions and reassessing the market.
Gold prices are consolidating on November 7th, awaiting the non-Gold has completed its technical adjustment after a period of consolidation on the hourly chart. Short-term moving averages are starting to turn upwards, and the price is gradually rising above them, suggesting potential for further rebound in the short term. The key resistance level to watch is around 4020-30. On the 4-hour chart, short-term moving averages are largely flat and converging, indicating a potential breakout. The non-farm payroll data is unlikely to be released tonight. On the hourly chart, the price is gradually trending upwards along the short-term moving averages; monitor the short-term correction.
Trading Recommendation: Focus on the 4020-30 resistance zone and begin gradually establishing short positions.
The 11.7 range is narrowing; buy low and sell high.Gold has recently exhibited a typical consolidation pattern. After a brief dip to 3928 at the beginning of the week, it gradually stabilized and rebounded from Wednesday, briefly surging to 4020 yesterday, forming a V-shaped rebound overall, but failing to break out of the large consolidation range of 4060-3915. As time progresses, the range of fluctuation continues to narrow, forming a converging triangle pattern, suggesting the market is at a critical juncture in choosing a direction.
Today's trading should focus on two key price levels: 4020 represents significant short-term resistance, while 3965 is a support level that has been repeatedly tested recently. Strategically, short-term investors can buy low and sell high within the 4020-3965 range.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Deep Consolidation
This week is very slow for Gold.
The market is stuck within a wide horizontal range on a daily time frame.
With the absence of high impact US fundamentals, I think that probabilities will be high that the market will keep consolidating.
The best strategy to follow for now is to look for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the underlined parallel channel: selling from the resistance and buying from the support after a confirmation.
As the price is closer and closer to the resistance, wait for its test and then look for selling.
That is the plan so far.
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