XAU/USD | Gold Update : Watching 4192 and 4240 Closely!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price followed the previous analysis perfectly and hit the first target at $4240, even pushing slightly higher to $4242. After that move, gold pulled back and corrected all the way down to $4175. Right now gold is trading around $4192, which is basically a neutral zone with no clear direction yet.
We need to see whether price can climb back above $4240 again or not. One important point: if gold fails to hold above $4192 within the next hour, we might see another heavier drop. Keep an eye on the reaction to these key levels. I will update this analysis again soon.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Goldtrading
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold continues to trade within a short-term ascending channel and is now approaching the upper boundary of this structure. This region also aligns with a major resistance zone formed by the previous swing high, creating a strong confluence area.
As price enters this resistance cluster, we expect selling pressure and a potential rejection. Based on the current momentum, it does not appear likely that gold will easily break above this zone in the short term.
Therefore, the more probable scenario is:
1-A pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel
2- If the channel breaks to the downside, an extended decline toward the next key support level becomes likely
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
As we close out the week, price action on the 1 hour chart continues to consolidate within the defined Goldturn range between 4193 and 4233. The 4193 weighted Goldturn has held as a structural support level, generating the rebound that carried price back into 4233.
Earlier in the week, we observed a cross and lock above 4233, which leaves the 4275 gap unfilled. This upside inefficiency will remain on our radar as long as price holds above the mid range structure.
We will return Sunday with a full multi-timeframe breakdown and detailed trade tracking plan for the upcoming week.
Mr Gold
XAUUSD | Broke Symmetrical Triangle pattern --> Bullish BiasMacro:
- Gold prices advanced this week as renewed demand for hedges and expectations for Fed rate cuts offset still‑elevated US yields. Persistent geopolitical risks and concerns about the global growth outlook continued to underpin safe‑haven interest in gold.
- This week’s gains were supported by softer US data, including weaker private payroll indicators, which strengthened expectations that the Fed will deliver a rate cut at its upcoming meeting. These developments have weighed on the dollar at times, helping gold prices hold near recent highs, even as benchmark US Treasury yields hover around 4.10% rather than falling decisively. Structural drivers also remain in place, with investors and central banks maintaining exposure to gold as a hedge against policy missteps and inflation surprises.
- Gold prices may stay supported if upcoming US inflation data and Fed communication confirm a path toward easier policy and a softer dollar. Any downside surprise in inflation or a more dovish‑than‑expected Fed stance would likely reinforce that narrative. At the same time, a hawkish shift or stronger‑than‑expected data could prompt a temporary pullback. Gold may also react sharply to any escalation in geopolitical tensions or negative growth surprises that tighten financial conditions, as both factors tend to boost safe-haven demand and influence real-yield expectations.
Technical:
- XAUUSD broke the Symmetrical Triangle pattern and rose toward the resistance at 4245 before consolidating within a tight range of 4200-4245. The price is above EMA21, indicating an upward momentum remains.
- If XAUUSD breaches above 4245, the price may surge and retest the ATH area at around 4365.
- Conversely, closing below 4200 may prompt a further correction toward EMA21 area.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold Hits Resistance at 4,230 — Short-Term Pullback Possible📊 Market Context
• Spot gold is trading around USD 4,230/oz, after a recent rise from ~ 4,200.
• Currently facing near-term resistance, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is likely.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance zone: ~ USD 4,260 – 4,300/oz (can cap upside).
• Immediate support zone: ~ USD 4,200 – 4,180/oz (critical support if price corrects).
• EMA 09: If EMA ~ 4,200 and price stays above — indicates a mild bullish short-term trend. A bounce from 4,200 would be a buy signal.
• Candlestick / momentum: Following recent rally, market may form “doji” or “pin-bar” on lower timeframes — suggesting possible short-term pullback or sideways action.
📌 Outlook
Gold may pull back or trade sideways short-term, forced by resistance at 4,230–4,260. But if support at 4,200 holds, price could rebound.
💡 Short-Term Trade Plan
• SELL: ~ 4,232 – 4,235
o SL: ~ 4,238
o TP: +40 / +80 / +200 pips
• BUY : ~ 4,198 – 4,195
o SL: ~ 4,192
o TP: +40 / +80 / +200 pips
Gold Uptrend: Retest 4,211 to Surge to 4,236 → 4,254After the Asian session, gold continues to maintain a short-term upward structure as prices consistently create higher lows (HL) and remain trading above the rising trendline. The weakening USD due to expectations of a dovish Fed is also supporting the flow of funds back into precious metals.
Currently, the market is entering a "compression" zone below resistance, signaling signs of accumulation before a new expansion phase.
📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Flow (H1)
1️⃣ Key Supports
4,211 – 4,212 → important retest zone + trendline confluence + previous HL low.
4,187 – 4,188 → deeper support, strong previous buying zone.
When prices hold above 4,211 → short-term trend remains bullish.
2️⃣ Key Resistances / Liquidity Zones
4,236 → nearby supply zone, liquidity cluster.
4,254 – 4,255 → expansion target, large liquidity zone above.
Prices are reacting at the descending trendline, but the upward momentum remains in control.
🧭 Trading Scenario according to MMF
▶️ Main Scenario – BUY with the trend
Wait for price retest:
🔹 BUY zone: 4,211 – 4,213
🔹 SL: below 4,206
🔹 TP1: 4,236
🔹 TP2: 4,254
Logic: Price breaks the intraday down structure, creates higher HL, and is gradually approaching the descending trendline → high breakout potential.
▶️ Alternative Scenario – Deeper BUY
If the market "flushes" to take liquidity:
🔹 BUY at 4,187 – 4,189
TP similar to the main scenario.
🎯 Daily Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish when prices hold above 4,211.
Priority: BUY at retest → SELL only for short-term scalping.
Target: 4,236 → 4,254 is a liquidity zone that the market can easily be pulled up to sweep.
Gold Holds Steady – Could Break Out If the Fed Cuts Rates📊 Market Overview:
• Spot gold is currently trading around 4,198.19 USD/ounce (based on the latest data).
• A major supportive factor is the growing expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon cut interest rates — reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, weakening the USD, and increasing the appeal of safe-haven assets.
• Additionally, concerns over global economic conditions, inflation pressures, and increased demand for safe-haven flows are helping support gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: around 4,300–4,350 USD/ounce (according to recent analyses); a nearer short-term resistance lies around 4,281.8 USD (R1 on the H4 chart).
• Nearest support: around 4,150–4,180 USD; if gold declines further, the ~4,100 USD level may act as deeper support.
• EMA & short-term trend: Several analyses indicate gold is currently in a “sideways/accumulation phase” with no strong clear trend: MACD remains in the negative zone, RSI stays neutral.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: On the H4 timeframe, gold has broken out of a previous triangle structure, suggesting a potential bullish continuation if buying pressure sustains — but price action near ~4,281.8 USD should be monitored closely.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may rise in the short term if U.S. interest rates decline or if the USD weakens, attracting safe-haven inflows. Conversely, strong U.S. economic data, higher Treasury yields, or renewed inflation concerns could push gold down toward the 4,150–4,180 USD support zone.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY XAU/USD around 4,150–4,153 USD
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~ 4147
• SELL XAU/USD around 4,283–4,286 USD
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~ 4289
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones.
Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow)
1️⃣ Key Support:
4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction.
Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains.
2️⃣ Near Resistance:
4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line.
3️⃣ Main Target Zone:
4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market.
Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out.
🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF
Main Scenario – BUY with Trend
BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or
BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests.
TP Targets:
TP1: 4,212
TP2: 4,236
TP3: 4,254
SL: below 4,182.
Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones.
Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction
Only for scalp traders:
SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238
TP: 4,212
SL: 4,243
🎯 Daily Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187.
Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp.
Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 03, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 03, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan.
📰 Market Overview
Gold continues its steady climb after reacting perfectly from Smart Money Buy Orders earlier this week. Price is now rotating upward toward major liquidity pockets and premium sell zones, keeping bulls in command despite light USD stabilization.
The U.S. Dollar Index has cooled after post-election volatility, hovering near structural lows. Combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and heavy central-bank accumulation, gold remains firmly inside a macro-bullish environment.
With key U.S. data releases (ADP, ISM Services, PCE) lined up this week and the December 9–10 FOMC meeting approaching, markets are moving cautiously. Gold remains well-positioned inside a premium–discount rotation, respecting structure cleanly.
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move
📈 88% probability of a December rate cut → lower yield competition boosts gold
💵 USD stabilizing but not strengthening → limited downside pressure
🌍 Geopolitical tensions elevated → increased safe-haven premium
🏦 Central banks remain net buyers (634t YTD) → strong long-term demand
📊 Core PCE at 2.9% → keeps Fed leaning dovish
Gold’s strength is driven by a reliable cocktail of macro uncertainty + structural demand + institutional order flow.
📆 Key Events to Watch
🔸 Unemployment Data Today at 01:15 UK Time
Weak unemployment figures signal labor softness, boosting expectations of a December rate cut.
This typically drives gold into a bullish continuation toward upper sell zones.
Stronger data, however, reduces dovish pressure and strengthens the USD temporarily.
Expect a downward liquidity sweep into discount buy areas before any recovery.
First move is often manipulation the real direction comes after liquidity is taken.
🔸 Geopolitical Landscape
Geopolitical tensions remain a major volatility driver for gold’s intraday movement.
Any escalation triggers an immediate safe-haven spike, sending price rapidly toward premium zones.
Calm conditions allow mild USD recovery, creating controlled pullbacks into discount levels.
Structure stays bullish, but momentum slows as markets wait for the next catalyst.
Overall, geopolitics amplifies whichever trend smart money is already building
🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS
Gold continues to respect rising structure, reacting precisely from discount zones and rotating toward your institutional premium blocks. Price now sits directly beneath major supply.
🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4147 – 4167
This is the primary institutional demand block, loaded with nearly $19 million in buy-side liquidity.
Expect:
✔️ Strong first-tap reactions
✔️ Accumulation + mitigation behavior
✔️ Discount long setups inside broader bullish channel
A clean breakdown below 4147 opens liquidity toward 4108 → 4075.
🟧 📌 SCALP SELL AREA: 4240 – 4252
Short-term liquidity zone used for:
✔️ Quick reaction scalps
✔️ Intraday reversals before the major premium zone
✔️ Stop hunts before the bigger move
Rejection here typically sends price back to 4200–4210 liquidity.
🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4264 – 4284
Your high-probability institutional distribution zone holding $29 million in sell-side orders.
Expect:
✔️ Manipulation wicks into premium
✔️ Stop-run behavior
✔️ Swing-reversal setups near the top of the range
A break & hold above 4284 = continuation toward 4310 → 4325.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains firmly bullish as long as the 4147–4167 Smart Money Buy Zone holds, with price continuing to rotate cleanly between institutional premium and discount areas. With unemployment data set to trigger volatility, expect liquidity sweeps rather than major trend shifts. Stay patient, react only at key zones, and let smart-money footprints guide your next move.
🙌 Support the Analysis
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Let’s grow together.
Best Regards,
M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
XAUUSD – Breakout → Retest → Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has broken above previous liquidity highs around 4,247 – 4,255, confirming bullish strength after a strong upward continuation.
Price is now retesting the fresh demand zone around 4,240–4,242 — as long as this support holds, upside continuation remains valid.
Bullish Setup
📍 Entry Zone: 4,240 – 4,242 retest
🎯 Target 1: 4,255
🎯 Target 2 (Final): 4,263+
❌ Invalidation: Clean break below 4,229 support
Structural Notes
Liquidity grab above previous ATH → bullish sentiment
Break, retest and continuation pattern cleanly visible
Demand unmitigated beneath price = buyers still active
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
XAU/USD: Pullback to OB & Fibo, then upward trend!1. Market Context
In the M30 timeframe, the price is in a correction phase after forming a strong bottom area around 4,192–4,195. From there, the market has generated a series of positive signals: the price line gradually moves higher, with consecutive CHoCH appearances, indicating weakening selling pressure and a shift in cash flow towards accumulation.
The resistance area of 4,230–4,240 remains a significant barrier. If it is broken with a clear closing candle, the upward structure will be confirmed, and the price may expand to higher areas.
2. Key Price Areas (SMC Mapping)
Upper Resistance
4,230–4,240: strong reaction area, acting as the first barrier.
4,255–4,256: the next expansion area when the upward trend is confirmed.
4,289–4,290: the final target in the expansion structure of the upward wave.
Support Area – Buying Point
4,200–4,216: OB combined with Fibo area, where the price may adjust to regenerate liquidity before rising.
4,192–4,195: strong low area, where the market has reacted strongly before.
3. Fibo & Price Action
In the current upward move, the price has approached the 0.786 Fibo and encountered resistance at 4,230–4,240. A correction to the 0.382–0.5 area (corresponding to OB 4,200–4,216) would be reasonable before the market continues to retest higher areas.
Notable price action signals:
The consecutive appearance of bullish CHoCH indicates that buying pressure is in control.
The 4,192 low is still protected and acts as an important low of the recovery phase.
If the price retests the OB cleanly, this is a good trigger point for a new upward move.
4. Trading Plan
Preferred Scenario: Buy according to structure
Buy Waiting Area: 4,200–4,216 (OB + Fibo)
Stop Loss: below 4,192
Targets:
4,230–4,240
4,255
4,289–4,290
Confirmation Conditions
The price needs to clearly break the resistance area of 4,230–4,240 to trigger upward momentum.
The retest of the OB must occur with reduced liquidity and a confirming candle pattern.
5. Summary
The market structure shows a short-term upward trend is forming. The price is likely to adjust to the 4,200–4,216 area before continuing upwards to 4,240 and further to 4,255–4,290.
The appropriate strategy is to wait to buy in the OB & Fibo area under the condition of clear confirmation signals.
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup – Breakout Target AheadGold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a major intraday support zone after a sharp correction. Price has tapped into the lower liquidity area and is showing early signs of potential bullish reversal.
🔶 Key Levels & Structure
Strong Support Zone: Price is testing a major demand area where previous bullish moves originated.
Breakout Zone: A minor breakout is expected once price breaks above the short-term resistance structure.
Strong Resistance: A bigger bearish liquidity block sits below, but the market is currently respecting the upper demand.
Breakout Target: If bulls gain momentum, price could push toward the 4165–4175 supply area.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the current support and breaks the short-term structural high, we may see a clean bullish continuation toward the upper breakout target zone.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failing to hold current support could drag price back down into the lower liquidity pools before any strong reversal attempt.
📝 Overall Outlook
Market structure favors a bullish recovery, but confirmation is required through a clear breakout of short-term resistance. Traders should wait for strong candle closures to avoid false moves.
🔥 Title Suggestions
Gold Ready for a Bullish Breakout from Key Support
XAUUSD Reversal Setup – Watching the Breakout Levels
Gold Analysis: Strong Support Holding, Breakout Target Ahead
XAUUSD Bulls Preparing for Next Rally
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Structure, Range Expansion & Bullish ContinuaOANDA:XAUUSD
Breakout above 4,240.00 confirms trend continuation toward 4,263.80. A liquidity sweep into lower range & strong rejection from trend support would also trigger higher targets later.
Below trendline break is the only structural invalidation.
📈 Bullish Case (Primary)
Hold above trendline → breakout from range → move toward 4,240 → 4,263 expected. 🚀
🎯 Target 1 → 4,240
🎯 Final Target → 4,263.8
📉 Bearish Case (Secondary Retest Play)
Liquidity sweep downward toward trendline → rejection → same bullish continuation setup.
Break below trendline = structure shift.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 → 4,240 / 4,263
Support 🟢 → Trendline + 4,180 zone
Deep liquidity zone → 4,025–3,998
⚠️ Disclaimer: For analysis & educational use only – not financial advice.
XAU/USD – Recovery structure testing 4,239 – 4,2611. Market Context
On the M30 timeframe, the previous downtrend has started to weaken. The price has formed a series of Equal Lows patterns, indicating that the short-term bottom is protected, followed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a slight Break of Structure (BOS). This reflects that the selling pressure has decreased in intensity and the market is transitioning into an accumulation phase, preparing for a recovery.
The downtrend line is still valid, but the price is approaching the breakout area. Closing candles above this line will confirm a phase transition.
2. Key Price Areas
Upper Supply Zone
4,239 – 4,240: the nearest strong reaction area, acting as the main resistance.
4,261: coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci of the correction wave, a notable liquidity area.
4,282 – 4,283: expansion target, corresponding to Fibonacci 1.618.
These areas will be points where the market may show counter-reactions during the uptrend.
Lower Demand Zone
4,168 – 4,154: the Demand Zone formed from the previous strong reversal. This is the area where the market effectively absorbed selling pressure and may continue to act as support during corrections.
3. Fibo and Price Action
The current uptrend is following a standard pullback structure: from the 4,168 bottom, the price recovers to Fibonacci levels like 0.236 – 0.382, then forms a small correction before approaching the downtrend line again.
If the price surpasses the trendline, the next targets will be:
4,213 (Fibo 0.618),
then the main supply zone 4,239 – 4,240.
Closing candles above this area will pave the way for the next targets at 4,261 and 4,282.
4. Trading Plan
Buy Scenario – prioritize during correction
Early buy position: 4,188 – 4,195
(retest small structure and trendline)
Optimal buy zone: 4,168 – 4,154
(Demand Zone + deep Fibo correction)
Stop loss: below 4,150
Targets:
4,213
4,239 – 4,240
4,261
expanding to 4,282
Short-term Sell Scalp Scenario
Reaction zone: 4,227 – 4,230
(near resistance + 0.786 Fibo)
Stop loss: 4,236
Target: 4,205 – 4,195
Note: This is only a short-term strategy, not the main trend.
5. Summary
• The market structure is transitioning from a downtrend to an accumulation – recovery phase.
• If the price surpasses and holds above the trendline, the nearest target will be 4,239 – 4,240.
• The supply zones 4,239 – 4,261 – 4,282 will play a decisive role in the next uptrend.
• The most effective trading strategy remains to wait for a buy during corrections to the strong support zone 4,168 – 4,154.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 4h chart remaining levels and targets for the coming week with one updated Goldturn.
We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4224 and a gap below at 4124. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4494
BEARISH TARGETS
4124
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4124 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4042
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4042 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3964
3873
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis Gold.
Vertical Structures:
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 4164 - 4172 area
Support 2: 4080 - 4132 area
Support 3: 3996 - 4045 area
Support 4: 3869 - 3930 area
Resistance 1: 4230 - 4264 area
Resistance 2: 4359 - 4382 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Eyes Support as Fed Cut Bets Fuel Volatility📊 Market Developments
• Gold is trading around ~4,224 USD/ounce, with strong volatility as U.S. bond yields rise slightly → creating downward pressure on gold.
• Expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates soon help gold maintain underlying buying interest.
• The market is awaiting new U.S. economic data to determine a clearer direction.
📉 Technical Analysis
Key Resistance:
1. 4,240 – 4,250 USD (near resistance – recent reaction high).
2. 4,268 – 4,275 USD (extended resistance – breaking above may open the path toward 4,300).
Key Support:
1. 4,180 – 4,200 USD (near support – strong buy zone for bulls).
2. 4,155 – 4,165 USD (mid-term support – aligns with major EMAs; losing this zone may trigger a drop toward 4,130).
EMA:
• Price is hovering around EMA09 on H1/H4 → short-term trend remains indecisive, no clear bullish or bearish confirmation yet.
Candles / Volume / Momentum:
• Volume leans bearish, momentum slightly declining.
• Waiting for confirmation candles: a bullish reversal at 4,180–4,200 or a strong breakdown below 4,165.
📌 Outlook
Gold may retest support with mild downside, especially if U.S. yields continue rising.
However, weak economic data and stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts could trigger a rebound from support.
➡️ Current trend: Neutral – slightly bearish, waiting for reaction at support.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,242 – 4,245
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4,248
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,158 – 4,155
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4,152
Gold Price Holding Near Range SupportGold is moving sideways near a key support zone after breaking its short-term trendline. If the price stays below the mid-range area, the chart suggests potential pressure toward the lower support zone. This idea highlights important levels without providing any trade signals.
XAU/USD – Waiting for 4,203 Retest Before the Next Bullish Leg(MMF Intraday Plan – Dec 03)
Gold continues to recover after last week’s deep drop, but the current bullish momentum is still weak and needs a liquidity sweep + clean pullback before pushing higher.
On the M30–H1 structure, price is still moving below the descending trendline, suggesting that Gold may need a deeper retest into the 4,203 demand zone—the key area where:
✔️ Fibo 0.618 of the latest impulse
✔️ Previous demand that created strong bullish displacement
✔️ Liquidity resting below the recent short-term lows
✔️ The higher-low (HL) structure of the bullish wave
Once this zone holds, Gold is positioned for the next expansion upward.
🧭 Primary Scenario – MMF BUY Setup
BUY Zone: 4,203 – 4,205
Stop-Loss: below 4,197
TP1: 4,230
TP2: 4,242 (major target – supply zone + Fibo 1.272)
If price breaks above 4,242 with momentum → next bullish extension targets 4,249–4,252.
⚠️ Secondary Scenario (Scalp SELL only)
Short-term scalp, not part of the main trend plan:
SELL Reaction Zone: 4,230 – 4,232
Stop-Loss: 4,236
TP: 4,215
Use this only as a quick reaction trade while the trend waits for confirmation.
📌 Daily Bias Summary
Intraday bias remains BULLISH while price holds above 4,197.
Best setup today: wait for a clean pullback into 4,203 for the main BUY.
Expect volatility during NY session due to upcoming data → manage positions carefully.
XAU/USD – Buy Setup from Liquidity Sweep & Fibo 0.618📌 Structure Overview
• After a short-term bearish leg, price formed a sequence of ChoCH → BoS → ChoCH, signalling that selling pressure is losing momentum.
• The liquidity sweep at the 4,183 – 4,185 lows has reactivated buying interest.
• From this newly formed low, price retraced into the bearish OB above and is now correcting based on Fibonacci levels.
Overall structure leans toward accumulation – building a base before a potential recovery move.
🔍 Technical Analysis (SMC + Fibonacci)
• Key OB Zone:
The bearish OB at 4,228 – 4,241 remains a strong supply area — where price reacted on first touch.
• Fibonacci Retracement:
After the impulsive move 4,184 → 4,228, price is correcting toward standard retracement levels:
0.382
0.5
0.618
Notably: 0.618 overlaps with demand + liquidity zone → high reaction probability.
• Current Price Action:
Price is pulling back gently into the BUY zone, without forming new lower lows — confirming that selling pressure is fading.
🎯 Trade Plan – BUY Following Smart Money Flow
🟢 Primary BUY Zone: 4,184 – 4,186
✔ Confluence with Fibo 0.618
✔ Same area as liquidity sweep low
✔ Aligns with the recovery-trend demand zone
Stop Loss: Below 4,170 (clears all remaining liquidity underneath)
Short-Term Targets:
• TP1: 4,228 – first reaction zone
• TP2: 4,241 – bearish OB
• TP3 (extended): 4,256 – 4,258
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks 4,241 convincingly and closes above it on M30 → bullish continuation is confirmed → extended targets at 4,270 – 4,280.
📌 Important Notes
• Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range; wait for demand + Fibo reaction.
• When price reaches 4,228 – 4,241, consider partial profits to protect gains.
• Structure becomes invalid only if price breaks below 4,170.
💬 Conclusion
Short-term bias favours a bullish pullback, with an optimal BUY setup around 4,184 – 4,186. If this zone holds, gold has room to extend its recovery towards 4,241 → 4,256+.
GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? December 03, 2025OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (December 03, 2025)
Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we decode smart-money footprints into clean, actionable buy & sell zones.
Keep it simple. Trust the levels. Follow the plan.
📰 Market Overview
Gold continues its steady climb after reacting perfectly from Smart Money Buy Orders earlier this week. With price now rotating toward upper liquidity pockets, bulls remain firmly in control despite mild USD stabilization.
The U.S. Dollar Index has cooled after its post-election volatility, but ongoing geopolitical pressure and aggressive central-bank accumulation continue to support gold’s macro-bullish structure.
With key U.S. data (ADP, ISM Services, PCE) lined up this week and the FOMC approaching on December 9–10, markets are moving cautiously. Gold remains well-positioned inside a clean premium–discount rotation, respecting SMC structure consistently.
🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move
📈 88% probability of a December rate cut → lower yield competition boosts gold
💵 USD stabilizing but not strengthening → limits downside pressure
🌍 Global geopolitical tensions remain elevated → strong safe-haven premium
🏦 Central banks remain net buyers (634t YTD) → long-term structural demand
📊 Core PCE at 2.9% → keeps the Fed dovish-leaning but cautious
Gold’s strength continues to be driven by a clean mix of macro uncertainty, structural demand, and institutional order-flow behavior.
📆 Key Events to Watch
🔸 ADP Employment Data — Today at 01:15 UK Time
Weak ADP → bullish continuation toward sell zones
Strong ADP → liquidity sweep downward into buy areas
🔸 ISM Services PMI — Later Today
Contraction → strengthens rate-cut expectations
Expansion → stronger USD → intraday dip
🔸 PCE Inflation — December 5
The Fed’s preferred gauge
Soft PCE → pushes gold toward 4300+
Hot PCE → deeper retracement
🔸 FOMC Decision — December 9–10
Market expects 25 bp cut.
Hawkish → tests deeper discount zones
Dovish → breaks into new highs
🔸 Geopolitical Landscape
Any escalation = instant safe-haven spike
Calm USD strength = controlled pullback
🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS
Gold continues to respect the rising structure, reacting precisely from discount zones and moving toward your institutional premium blocks. The impulsive bullish leg now positions price directly beneath the next major Smart Money Sell Area.
🟩 📌 SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS: 4147 – 4167
This is your primary institutional demand block, holding nearly $19 million in buy-side liquidity.
Expect:
✔️ First-tap reactions
✔️ Accumulation behavior
✔️ Discount long setups inside the broader bullish channel
A clean breakdown below 4147 opens liquidity toward 4108 → 4075.
🔺 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4264 – 4284
This remains your high-probability distribution block, stacked with $29 million in sell-side orders.
Expect:
✔️ Manipulation wicks into premium
✔️ Stop-run behavior
✔️ Swing reversal setups
A break & hold above 4284 = continuation toward 4310 → 4325.
📌 Conclusion
Gold continues to rotate smoothly between institutional premium and discount zones, maintaining a strong bullish structure as long as 4147–4167 holds firm. With ADP data set to inject volatility, expect liquidity-driven movements rather than trend shifts. Stay patient, let the levels do the work, and execute only where smart money is active.
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M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS
Gold Pullback to Bullish OB, Watch for Buy at 4,170–4,155⏰ Timeframe: 30 minutes
📅 Update: 12/02/2025
🔍 Market Context
After gold surged from the 4,115 USD area, the price peaked at 4,256 USD, then a small Bearish OB appeared around 4,223 USD (Fibo area 0.618–0.786) – where the market reacted with a slight decline.
Currently, the price is in a technical pullback phase after a long rally, forming a bearish CHoCH and a small BoS, indicating the market is rebalancing liquidity before deciding the next direction.
However, the main structure (H1–H4) still maintains a bullish bias, so the current adjustment area is only technical – suitable for observing buy opportunities from lower levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Bearish OB – Fibo Sell (4,223): short-term supply area, first reaction down after the peak of 4,256.
Small BoS (4,205): confirms the adjustment structure has formed.
Bullish Order Block (4,170–4,155): main demand area confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – where strong buying force may reappear.
Extended target: 4,256 → 4,271 (FE 1.272–1.618) if the uptrend continues.
💎 Key Levels
🟢 Support (Buy Zones):
• 4,205 USD → short-term balance area, may react quickly.
• 4,170–4,155 USD → main Bullish OB area, confluence with Fibo 0.786–1.0 – ideal reaction point.
🔴 Resistance (Sell Zones):
• 4,223 USD → small Bearish OB – short-term supply area.
• 4,256 USD → main peak, short-term profit-taking area.
• 4,271 USD → extended target, upper liquidity area.
🎯 Trading Plan
Main Scenario – BUY SETUP (priority):
Wait for price to adjust to 4,170–4,155 USD.
Observe for bullish reversal signals (CHoCH, engulfing, long rejection).
Target increase: 4,223 → 4,256 → 4,271 USD.
Alternative Scenario – Deeper Sweep:
If price breaks 4,155, expect further liquidity test at 4,138–4,130 USD, before bouncing back.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is following the “pullback in an uptrend structure” model.
As long as the price stays above 4,155 USD, the larger trend remains bullish.
The reasonable scenario is to watch for reactions at Bullish OB 4,170–4,155 – this is the area with the highest probability for the next recovery.
⚙️ Reaction Plan
BUY zone: 4,170 → 4,155
TP1: 4,223 TP2: 4,256 TP3: 4,271
Invalidation: M30 candle closes below 4,155
🛡️ Risk Note
Limit orders between the area (4,205–4,215).
Only confirm the trend with clear structural signals at the OB area.
Analysis is purely technical – not investment advice.
XAUUSD 15m – Bullish Continuation Toward Final TargetOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold swept liquidity beneath the descending channel, then immediately broke out with strong momentum, confirming a new demand zone at the lows. After reclaiming mid-range structure, price is pushing upward toward the next liquidity bracket at $4,230, where a small corrective pullback is likely before continuation. Market sentiment remains bullish as long as price stays above the newly formed demand zone.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Maintain support above $4,215 – $4,218
Small correction from liquidity target zone
Continuation to:
🎯 Target 1: $4,230
🎯 Final Target: $4,264 (major liquidity + top resistance zone)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Only valid if price breaks below $4,181
🎯 Downside Target: $4,164 (previous sweep level)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: $4,230 / $4,264
Support 🟢: $4,215 / $4,181 / $4,164
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.






















