GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 5085 and a gap below at 4954, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
5085
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5085 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5208
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5208 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5334
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5446
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5446 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5550
BEARISH TARGETS
4954
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4954 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4842
4715
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4715 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
4600
4493
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldtrading
XAUUSD Bullish Break: Higher Low Confirms Gold UpsideGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 5,040 – 5,050 zone, holding above a key internal support area after printing a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) followed by a Higher Low (HL).
The structure shows:
Previous Lower High (LH) formation
Break in structure → ChoCH
Formation of Higher High (HH)
Recent pullback into demand → New Higher Low (HL)
This sequence confirms a bullish market structure shift on the short-term timeframe.
🔎 Key Technical Observations
1️⃣ Change of Character (ChoCH)
Price broke the prior lower high, signaling the first shift from bearish to bullish order flow. This was the early indication that sellers were losing control.
2️⃣ Higher High (HH)
After the ChoCH, price expanded and printed a new higher high, confirming bullish intent and continuation potential.
3️⃣ Higher Low (HL) Retest
The current pullback respected the internal demand zone (green area) and formed another higher low — maintaining bullish structure integrity.
As long as price holds above the 4,900–4,950 support zone, upside pressure remains valid.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If buyers maintain control:
Short-term pullbacks remain buy opportunities
Liquidity above 5,100–5,200 becomes the next target
Expansion toward 5,300+ is possible if momentum increases
The projected path suggests consolidation followed by impulsive continuation toward previous supply liquidity.
📉 Bearish Invalidation
Bullish bias fails if:
Price closes strongly below 4,900
Structure shifts back into lower highs and lower lows
Demand zone gets decisively broken
Until then, the market structure favors buyers.
🧠 Trading Insight
This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Liquidity sweep
Structure break (ChoCH)
Internal demand mitigation
Higher low continuation
Patience during pullbacks is key. Chasing breakouts without structure confirmation increases risk.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 4,900 – 4,950
Intraday Resistance: 5,100
Liquidity Target: 5,200 – 5,300
Invalidation: Below 4,900
📌 Conclusion
Gold has transitioned from corrective behavior into a structured bullish phase. The formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests accumulation rather than distribution.
If demand continues to hold, XAUUSD could expand toward new short-term highs in the coming sessions.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 4h chart route map and trading plan for the week ahead.
We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 5075 and a gap below at 4925. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
5075
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5075 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5214
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5214 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5375
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
5482
BEARISH TARGET
4925
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4925 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4823
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4823 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4701
4592
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4592 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
4435
4297
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD – 15M Intraday StructureMarket Context
Price is moving inside a rising channel (short-term bullish structure).
Price is approaching PDH / PWH zone near 5,080–5,100.
Clear M15 Order Block (OB) marked in red.
Below price sits an M15 FVG + discount imbalance zone (4,950–4,940 area).
External liquidity rests at PDL / PWL (4,888–4,878).
This suggests price is currently in premium of the intraday range.
🧠 Liquidity & SMC Perspective
1️⃣ Buy-Side Liquidity
Equal highs forming just under PDH → liquidity likely resting above 5,080.
2️⃣ Channel Exhaustion
Price respecting ascending channel.
If upper boundary + OB rejects → possible internal BOS to downside.
3️⃣ Imbalance Magnet
The clean M15 FVG below acts as a draw on liquidity.
🎯 Conditional Short Idea
📍 Entry Area (Only on Confirmation)
5,075 – 5,095
(Upper channel + M15 OB + liquidity sweep zone)
❌ Invalidation
Strong 15M close above 5,105–5,120 with displacement.
🎯 Targets
TP1 → 5,040 (intraday structure low)
TP2 → 4,950 (M15 FVG)
TP3 → 4,888 (PDL liquidity)
📌 Execution Model (Safer Approach)
Wait for:
Liquidity sweep above equal highs
Bearish CHoCH on 5M
Displacement candle leaving small FVG
Retracement into that FVG for entry
No confirmation → No trade.
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price:
Breaks channel with strong bullish displacement
Accepts above PDH
Then continuation toward 5,120+ becomes more probable.
📊 Risk Management
Risk ≤ 1% per setup
Avoid selling mid-range
Don’t anticipate — wait for reaction
Let liquidity confirm direction
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my support and resistance analysis for Gold.
Support 1: 4878 - 4892 area
Support 2: 4654 - 4762 area
Support 3: 4340 - 4406 area
Resistance 1: 5095 - 5120 area
Resistance 2: 5581 - 5600 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD (Gold) 1H – Support Rejection Toward Range HighMarket Structure
On the 1H timeframe, Gold remains within a broader corrective range after the prior impulsive decline. Price recently swept liquidity below the previous swing low and reacted strongly from the marked support zone (4,880–4,920 area).
The reaction formed a sharp V-shaped recovery, suggesting:
Liquidity grab below support
Strong bullish absorption
Continuation toward range highs
Price is now trading above the short-term ascending trendline and reclaiming minor intraday structure.
Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 4,880 – 4,920
Immediate Resistance: 5,120 – 5,160
Current Price: ~5,038
Trend Bias (Short-Term): Bullish above 4,920
The resistance zone around 5,150 aligns with:
Prior rejection highs
Descending dynamic resistance
Range upper boundary
Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: Pullbacks toward 4,980 – 5,020
Stop Loss: Below 4,880
Target 1: 5,120
Target 2: 5,150 – 5,170
Rationale:
Higher low formation after liquidity sweep
Momentum shift with strong bullish candles
Risk-to-reward favorable toward range high
Invalidation Scenario
A clean break and close below 4,880 would invalidate the bullish structure and open room for deeper retracement.
Conclusion
Gold shows signs of short-term bullish continuation after defending key support. As long as price holds above 4,920, upside toward 5,150 remains the higher-probability path.
If you want, I can also provide this in German, French, Spanish, Italian, Polish, Turkish, or Russian.
Support-Based Long Toward Major Resistance Overview
This is a 1-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showing price consolidating above a well-defined support zone after rejecting a major resistance area.
🔵 Key Levels Identified
Support Zone:
4,965 – 4,980
Previously acted as resistance
Now flipped into support
Multiple reactions confirm buyer interest
Resistance Zone:
5,080 – 5,100
Strong supply area
Prior highs rejected from this zone
Clear liquidity resting above highs
Current Price: ~4,993
🧠 Market Structure Insight
Strong impulsive move down → sharp recovery
Price now forming higher lows near support
Compression below resistance suggests potential breakout attempt
Liquidity likely resting above 5,090–5,100
This looks like a classic support retest in an overall bullish structure.
📈 Trade Idea (Based on Chart Markup)
Entry: Near 4,970–4,980 (support zone)
Target: 5,090–5,100 (resistance sweep)
Invalidation: Clean break below 4,960
Risk-to-reward looks favorable if entry is taken near support.
⚠️ What to Watch
Strong bullish reaction candle from support
Volume expansion on breakout
Rejection wicks near 5,100
If price breaks below 4,960 with momentum, bullish bias weakens.
🎯 Conclusion
Bias: Short-term bullish toward 5,100 resistance
Structure supports a bounce play as long as support holds.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Short Setup Below Resistance
On the 1-hour chart, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of short-term weakness after a strong rally. Price recently rejected a key resistance zone and is now consolidating below it, suggesting potential downside continuation.
🔴 Key Resistance Zone (Stop Loss Area)
Zone: ~5,020 – 5,040
Price failed to break and hold above this level.
Multiple upper wicks indicate selling pressure.
This zone aligns with prior structure resistance.
This area is marked as the invalidating level for short positions.
🟢 Supply / Rejection Area (Entry Zone)
Zone: ~4,965 – 5,000
Price is currently trading inside this range.
Structure shows lower highs forming.
Momentum appears to be fading after the recent bounce.
This is the probable sell zone, assuming bearish confirmation.
🔵 Target Zone (Support / Previous Resistance)
Target: ~4,900 – 4,920
Previous resistance turned potential support.
Liquidity resting below recent lows (marked circles).
Clean downside path if sellers gain control.
📊 Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish (short-term)
Entry: Rejection inside 4,965–5,000 zone
Stop Loss: Above 5,040
Target: 4,900–4,920
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable if entry is near upper supply
⚠️ What Would Invalidate the Setup?
Strong 1H close above 5,040
Break and hold above recent highs
Increasing bullish volume
🧠 Overall Outlook
Gold is currently ranging below resistance. If price continues forming lower highs and fails to reclaim 5,020–5,040, a move toward the 4,900 area is likely. However, if buyers regain control above resistance, this bearish scenario becomes invalid.
If you'd like, I can also break this down using pure price action concepts (SMC/ICT style) or traditional support-resistance structure.
Chart Analysis – Bullish Reversal Toward Resistance
The 1-hour chart of Gold vs US Dollar (XAU/USD) shows a strong bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off. Price has reclaimed a key demand zone and is now pushing toward a major resistance level.
🟢 1. Demand Zone Holding (Bullish Structure Intact)
Price sharply dropped into the 4,880–4,920 support area
Strong rejection from the lows (highlighted reaction zone)
Higher low formed after the bounce
Momentum shifted bullish with consecutive higher highs and higher lows
This confirms buyers stepped in aggressively at discount levels.
🔴 2. Stop Loss Zone
The marked 4,930–4,950 region acts as invalidation.
A break below this zone would:
Disrupt bullish structure
Indicate potential continuation downside
Suggest failed breakout attempt
As long as price remains above this level, bullish bias remains valid.
🟩 3. Current Resistance Zone
Price is now testing 5,020–5,060 supply area
This zone previously acted as consolidation and breakdown area
Reclaiming and holding above it turns it into support
A clean breakout and close above 5,060 increases probability of continuation.
🎯 4. Upside Target
If breakout confirms:
Next major resistance: 5,120–5,150
Strong momentum could extend toward the psychological 5,200 region
📊 Technical Structure Summary
Level Type Price Zone Meaning
Major Support 4,880–4,920 Strong demand reaction
Invalidation 4,930–4,950 Stop loss area
Breakout Level 5,020–5,060 Key resistance flip
Target Zone 5,120–5,150+ Upside objective
📌 Bias: Bullish Above 4,950
Holding above support → continuation likely
Break and close above 5,060 → acceleration expected
Failure below 4,930 → bearish pressure returns
If you'd like, I can also provide:
A short trading plan version
Risk-to-reward breakdown
Intraday scalp vs swing perspective
Or convert this into a caption for social media 🚀
Range Accumulation After Sell-Off, Bullish Breakout in ProgressMarket Overview
On the 1H timeframe, BTCUSD shows a clear transition from a strong bearish impulse into a structured accumulation phase, followed by an early-stage bullish breakout attempt.
Phase 1: Distribution & Breakdown
Price formed a distribution range near the 76,000–78,000 zone.
Multiple rejection wicks at the range highs indicated supply absorption.
Breakdown below range support triggered a strong impulsive sell-off.
The descending channel structure confirms aggressive bearish momentum.
Phase 2: Capitulation & V-Shape Recovery
Sharp sell-off into the 60,000–62,000 demand zone.
A strong bullish reaction suggests liquidity sweep and institutional accumulation.
The recovery rally broke minor structure, signaling short-term trend exhaustion.
Phase 3: Consolidation Range (Accumulation)
Price entered a tight sideways structure between 67,000–71,000.
ALMA (9) flattening indicates volatility compression.
Repeated higher lows inside the range suggest buyers gradually gaining control.
Current Structure
Price is breaking above range resistance around 69,700–70,000.
Momentum shows bullish expansion after reclaiming moving average support.
Structure is shifting from range-bound to bullish continuation.
Trade Idea
Entry Zone: 69,500–70,000 (break and hold above range high)
Target Zone: 72,000–73,000 (previous supply area)
Invalidation: Clean rejection back inside the range below 68,500
Technical Confluence
Range breakout pattern
Higher low formation
Moving average support reclaim
Volatility expansion after compression
Conclusion
BTCUSD is transitioning from post-selloff consolidation into potential bullish continuation. Sustained acceptance above 70,000 increases probability of a move toward 72,000–73,000. Failure to hold above breakout level would likely return price to mid-range consolidation.
Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone, Downside Target in FocusOn the 1-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) shows a clear rejection from a well-defined supply/resistance zone around 5,070–5,120. Price previously formed a corrective structure after a strong recovery from the 4,720 lows, but bullish momentum weakened as price approached the upper resistance band.
Technical Structure
Supply / Resistance Zone:
The red highlighted area marks a strong distribution zone where sellers previously entered aggressively. Multiple rejections confirm institutional selling interest.
Trendline Confluence:
Price respected the ascending green trendline from the recent swing low near 4,880. However, the recent breakdown below short-term structure suggests weakening bullish control.
Lower High Formation:
The latest push upward failed to break the previous swing high, creating a lower high within the resistance zone — a classic bearish continuation signal.
Support to Resistance Flip:
The marked resistance level (around 4,880–4,920) previously acted as support. After the breakdown, it now serves as a downside magnet (target area).
Trade Idea
Entry Zone: Rejection within 5,040–5,080 supply region
Stop Loss: Above 5,120 (above supply and structure high)
Target: 4,900–4,880 support zone
Bias
Short-term bearish while price remains below the 5,120 resistance. A confirmed breakdown below 4,980 strengthens the probability of continuation toward the green target zone.
Invalidation
A strong 1H close above 5,120 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the path toward 5,150+.
XAUUSD 1H – Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone, Downside TargetOn the 1-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) shows a clear rejection from a well-defined supply/resistance zone around 5,070–5,120. Price previously formed a corrective structure after a strong recovery from the 4,720 lows, but bullish momentum weakened as price approached the upper resistance band.
Technical Structure
Supply / Resistance Zone:
The red highlighted area marks a strong distribution zone where sellers previously entered aggressively. Multiple rejections confirm institutional selling interest.
Trendline Confluence:
Price respected the ascending green trendline from the recent swing low near 4,880. However, the recent breakdown below short-term structure suggests weakening bullish control.
Lower High Formation:
The latest push upward failed to break the previous swing high, creating a lower high within the resistance zone — a classic bearish continuation signal.
Support to Resistance Flip:
The marked resistance level (around 4,880–4,920) previously acted as support. After the breakdown, it now serves as a downside magnet (target area).
Trade Idea
Entry Zone: Rejection within 5,040–5,080 supply region
Stop Loss: Above 5,120 (above supply and structure high)
Target: 4,900–4,880 support zone
Bias
Short-term bearish while price remains below the 5,120 resistance. A confirmed breakdown below 4,980 strengthens the probability of continuation toward the green target zone.
Invalidation
A strong 1H close above 5,120 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the path toward 5,150+.
Bearish Rejection at Resistance Overview
This is a 45-minute chart of Gold (XAUUSD) showing price reacting strongly to a marked resistance zone around 5,000. The chart highlights a potential short setup with a projected move toward a lower support/target zone near 4,880–4,900.
🧱 Key Technical Levels
🔵 Resistance Zone (~4,995–5,010)
Multiple rejections from this area.
Price tapped into resistance and failed to break higher.
Liquidity likely resting above the highs.
⚪ Entry Area (~4,990–5,000)
Suggested short entry after rejection confirmation.
Ideally triggered after bearish confirmation (rejection wick / bearish candle close).
🩶 Support / Target Zone (~4,880–4,900)
Previous demand zone.
Logical downside target.
Aligns with prior consolidation base.
📊 Market Structure Analysis
Overall short-term structure shows a lower high forming at resistance.
Strong rejection from highs after a rally.
Momentum slowing near the 5,000 psychological level.
Clear range between resistance (5,000) and support (4,880).
This suggests a range rejection trade with downside potential.
🎯 Trade Idea (Based on Chart)
Bias: Bearish (short-term)
Entry: Near 4,995–5,000 after rejection
Stop Loss: Above 5,020–5,030 (above resistance sweep)
Target: 4,890 area
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:2 or better
⚠️ What Invalidates the Setup?
Strong bullish close above 5,020–5,030.
Break and hold above resistance (turning it into support).
High momentum breakout with volume.
🧠 Conclusion
Gold is currently reacting at a well-defined resistance zone. Unless buyers break and hold above 5,000 decisively, the probability favors a short-term pullback toward the lower support zone.
Analysis – Demand Zone Bounce Toward Key Resistance🔎 Market Overview
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTCUSDT (Bybit) shows a strong bullish reaction after forming a short-term bottom near the 65,000 area. Price has broken structure to the upside and is now consolidating above a marked demand zone, suggesting buyers are in control for the short term.
🟢 Key Technical Observations
1️⃣ Demand Zone Holding (≈ 68,700 – 69,000)
Price impulsively moved up from this area.
Current consolidation above it confirms it as short-term support.
This zone aligns with the proposed entry region.
2️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (≈ 68,374)
Positioned below the demand zone.
Logical invalidation level — if price breaks below, bullish structure weakens.
3️⃣ Resistance Level (≈ 71,200)
Previous rejection zone.
Likely liquidity area where sellers may step in.
4️⃣ Upside Target (≈ 71,200+)
First major take-profit aligns with resistance.
Break above could open continuation toward 72,000+.
📊 Trade Idea Summary (Bullish Setup)
Bias: Short-term bullish
Entry: Retest/hold above 68,800–69,000
Stop Loss: Below 68,374
Target: 71,200 resistance
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable if targeting full resistance move
⚠️ What Would Invalidate This Setup?
A strong 1H close below the demand zone.
Failure to hold 68,700 with increasing selling volume.
📌 Conclusion
BTC is showing bullish momentum after reclaiming structure and holding a demand zone. As long as price remains above 68.7K, probability favors a push toward the 71.2K resistance area. A clean breakout above resistance could accelerate upside momentum.
If you'd like, I can also provide:
A bearish alternative scenario
Lower timeframe confirmation plan
Risk management sizing example
Volume/liquidity breakdown analysis
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD H1 – Resistance Rejection and Pullback Toward Key SupportMarket Overview:
On the H1 timeframe, Gold faced strong rejection near the 5,090–5,100 resistance zone after completing a sharp impulsive move from the 4,680 swing low. The failure to sustain above resistance triggered a bearish retracement toward the 4,900 region.
Technical Structure:
A clear bullish impulse leg formed from 4,680 to approximately 5,120.
Price entered consolidation beneath the 5,100 resistance and failed to break decisively.
A lower high structure developed, followed by strong bearish momentum.
The ALMA (9) has turned downward, confirming short-term bearish pressure.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 5,080–5,100
Immediate Support: 4,900–4,880
Major Support Zone: 4,850 area
Invalidation for Bears: Sustained move back above 5,100
Trade Scenario:
The current structure favors a corrective move toward the marked support zone around 4,880–4,850. If buyers defend this area and bullish confirmation appears, a potential rebound toward the 5,050–5,100 region could follow.
However, a clean H1 close below 4,850 would weaken the broader bullish structure and expose 4,800 as the next downside objective.
Conclusion:
Gold is undergoing a technical pullback after rejection at resistance. The 4,880–4,850 support zone is critical for determining whether this move is a healthy retracement within an uptrend or the beginning of a deeper bearish correction.
XAUUSD – Brian | Weekly OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | Weekly Outlook: Compression Before Expansion
Gold closed the week holding above mid-range structure after rejecting the recent short-term low. On the H2 timeframe, price remains inside a broader bullish framework, but momentum is clearly compressing beneath upper liquidity.
The market is not breaking — it is building pressure.
🔎 Technical Structure Overview
Strong rejection from previous swing high (near 1.0 Fibonacci)
Pullback respected the deeper retracement zone and formed higher lows
Current price consolidating around the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci region
Major resistance liquidity remains untouched near the upper range
This structure suggests accumulation rather than distribution.
📌 Key Levels For Next Week
Resistance / Liquidity:
5,440 – 5,460 zone (untapped sell-side liquidity)
Mid-Structure Decision Zone:
Around 5,040 – 5,060 (current balance area)
Strong Demand / Reaccumulation Zone:
4,800 – 4,860 area (major liquidity base)
📊 Probable Scenarios
🔵 Primary Scenario (Higher Probability)
Early-week pullback toward the 4,850–4,900 demand zone to sweep liquidity → followed by bullish continuation toward 5,400+.
This would create a healthy reset before expansion.
🟡 Alternative Scenario
If price holds above 5,000 and absorbs selling pressure, breakout toward upper liquidity may occur without deep retracement.
📈 Market Logic
After a strong impulsive leg earlier in the month, gold is transitioning into a compression phase.
Compression near highs often precedes expansion — direction depends on liquidity sweep.
Next week is likely about liquidity engineering before directional commitment.
🎯 Trading Focus For The Week
Do not chase highs inside compression
Watch liquidity reactions near 4,850 and 5,440
Trade confirmations at Fibonacci confluence zones
Prioritize structure over emotion
Gold is still structurally constructive on higher timeframes — but patience will define precision.
Follow Brian for structured XAUUSD breakdowns, liquidity mapping and disciplined execution planning each week.
XAUUSD Stop Hunt Completed – Liquidity Sweep Before Major Move? The recent XAUUSD price action suggests a classic stop hunt and liquidity sweep scenario. Price briefly broke below a key support zone, triggering sell-side liquidity and stop-loss orders from retail traders, before sharply reversing back into the previous range.
This move appears less like a true bearish breakdown and more like a liquidity grab engineered to fuel a larger directional expansion.
📌 What Happened?
Equal Lows Formed – Price created a visible support area where retail traders placed buy entries and tight stop losses.
Liquidity Sweep – Smart money pushed price below those lows, triggering stops.
Aggressive Rejection – Strong buying pressure immediately absorbed the sell orders.
Reclaim of Structure – Price moved back above the broken support, signaling potential bullish intent.
This pattern often signals accumulation rather than continuation.
🧠 Why This Matters for Gold Traders
In the forex market, liquidity drives momentum. A stop hunt provides the fuel required for institutions to build positions before a significant move.
For Gold (XAUUSD), this setup typically leads to:
🔹 Short squeeze potential
🔹 Strong impulsive expansion
🔹 Market structure shift on lower timeframes
🔹 Break of short-term resistance
If price continues to hold above the reclaimed level, the probability increases for a bullish continuation toward higher resistance zones.
📊 Technical Confluence
Key confirmations to watch:
Higher low formation on 1H / 4H timeframe
Break of minor lower high (structure shift)
Increasing bullish volume
Rejection wicks below swept liquidity
Failure to hold above the reclaimed support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to deeper downside continuation.
🎯 Trading Perspective
Instead of chasing the initial breakout, patient traders wait for:
Pullback into imbalance / fair value gap
Confirmation candle (bullish engulfing or strong momentum close)
Clear risk-to-reward structure
Risk management remains critical — liquidity sweeps can occur in both directions.
📈 Conclusion
The recent XAUUSD move shows characteristics of a stop hunt completion, suggesting smart money may have accumulated positions before a larger expansion.
If bullish structure confirms, Gold could be preparing for a significant upside move. However, traders should monitor key levels closely for confirmation rather than anticipating direction prematurely.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4982 and a gap below at 4863, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4982
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4982 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5077 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5200
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5200 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5334
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5446
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5446 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5550
BEARISH TARGETS
4863
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4863 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4734
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4734 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4600
4493
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XAUUSD H1 – Triangle Breakdown Confirmed | Sideway Range ResolvAfter several sessions of compression inside a symmetrical triangle, Gold has finally resolved the range with a decisive downside expansion.
The prolonged sideway structure between 5,070 and 5,020 has now transitioned into a momentum-driven breakdown, confirming liquidity sweep and structural shift on H1.
🧠 Market Structure Update
Multi-day sideway compression inside triangle
Liquidity resting above 5,070 and below 5,020
Strong impulsive candle broke below 5,043 and 5,020
Clean expansion through 5,000 psychological level
This is no longer accumulation — this is distribution confirmed.
Short-term structure has shifted bearish.
📌 Key Zones From Current Chart
🔴 Broken Support Zone – 5,043
Former triangle support
Now acting as intraday supply on pullback
Rejection here favors continuation lower
🔴 Major Supply – 5,000 – 5,005
Psychological level
Previous consolidation base
Now resistance if retested
🔵 Immediate Reaction Level – 4,956
Intraday retracement zone
Potential lower high formation area
🔵 Primary Demand / Liquidity Target – 4,882 – 4,885
Major liquidity pocket
Projected downside expansion objective
🎯 Trading Scenarios
🔽 Bearish Continuation Scenario (Primary Bias)
Condition:
Price holds below 5,000
Rejection at 5,000 or 5,043 supply
Entry:
On bearish rejection after pullback
Targets:
TP1: 4,956
TP2: 4,920
TP3: 4,882 liquidity zone
Structure favors continuation unless 5,000 is reclaimed with strength.
🔼 Counter-Trend Recovery Scenario
Condition:
Strong M30 close back above 5,000
Acceptance above 5,043
Targets:
5,070 prior range boundary
Without reclaiming 5,000, upside remains corrective only.
📊 Tactical Summary
Sideway compression has completed.
Liquidity sweep below range triggered momentum expansion.
Bias: Bearish while below 5,000.
Pullbacks into broken structure are opportunities, not reversals — unless reclaimed decisively.
From compression → expansion → continuation phase.
Gold H1: Trendline Retest Before the Next Impulse?Gold is pulling back into a key confluence zone while macro volatility remains elevated.
Is this a breakdown… or just a liquidity reload before continuation?
📊 Technical Overview (H1)
Overall structure: Higher highs & higher lows intact
Price broke below short-term support → now retesting ascending trendline
Current pullback approaching major H1 FVG demand
This is a classic trendline retest + imbalance reaction area.
🟢 Key Support Zone
Major FVG Demand:
4,800 – 4,820
This zone aligns with:
Ascending trendline
Prior bullish impulse origin
Liquidity resting below recent lows
If price sweeps liquidity into 4,805 and shows strong H1 rejection → bullish continuation probability increases.
🔴 Resistance & Upside Targets
Near-Term Resistance:
4,983 – 5,000
Expansion Target:
5,080 – 5,120
If bullish continuation confirms:
TP1: 4,983
TP2: 5,080
TP3: 5,120
❌ Invalidation
Sustained H1 close below 4,780
→ Trendline failure
→ Structure shifts to deeper correction
Bearish Breakout Below Range, Pullback Into Resistance
Current Structure:
Price was ranging under a clear resistance zone (≈ 4,992 – 5,018) before printing a strong bearish impulse candle that decisively broke structure to the downside. This move invalidated short-term bullish momentum and shifted bias intraday to bearish.
🔎 Key Observations
1. Market Structure Shift
The large bearish candle confirms a break of minor support and signals momentum expansion.
This looks like a liquidity sweep + displacement move, often followed by a corrective pullback.
2. Entry Zone (Demand) – 4,909 – 4,937
Price tapped into a marked demand/support area.
Reaction here suggests potential for a short-term retracement rather than immediate continuation.
This zone is likely where buyers attempt a bounce.
3. Resistance / Target Zone – 4,992 – 5,018
Previous consolidation + supply area.
If price retraces, this zone becomes:
A sell-on-rally area
A potential lower high formation zone
📈 Probable Scenario (Based on Structure)
Most likely flow:
Short-term bounce from demand
Retracement toward ~4,975–5,000
Rejection at resistance
Continuation lower if bearish structure holds
This would form a lower high, confirming bearish continuation.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario
If price:
Reclaims and closes strongly above 5,018
Holds above resistance
Then the bearish impulse becomes a fake breakdown and buyers regain control.
📊 Bias Summary
Intraday Bias: Bearish
Short-term Expectation: Pullback → rejection → continuation lower
Invalidation: Sustained move above resistance zone
XAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Chart Technical Analysis
🟢 Market Structure
The chart shows bullish recovery after a strong downtrend.
Price formed higher lows and higher highs, indicating buyers are gaining control.
Currently, price is moving in a consolidation range just above a demand zone.
🔵 Key Zones
✅ Demand Zone / Buy Entry
Around 5000 – 5030
Price has reacted multiple times here → strong buyer interest.
This area is marked as a potential BUY entry.
🔴 Stop Loss Zone
Around 4970 – 4990
If price breaks and closes below this zone, bullish setup becomes weak.
🟩 Resistance / Target Zone
Around 5140 – 5170
Previous rejection area.
Likely profit-taking zone if price continues upward.
📍 Current Price Behavior
Price is consolidating above demand → bullish sign.
ALMA moving average is supporting price → trend strength confirmation.
The circled region suggests a pullback and continuation pattern.
📈 Trade Idea (Based on Chart)
Buy Entry: Demand zone (≈ 5000 – 5030)
Stop Loss: Below 4970
Target: 5140 – 5170 resistance zone
⚠️ Risk Notes
If price breaks below demand zone → possible bearish continuation.
Watch for false breakouts near resistance






















