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THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to open and attack our lower box before giving the opportunity to long into the higher defence box. We had a level above of 4375 which we mentioned as a hot spot and the path showed that region as a possible exit, and a potential opportunity to short. We managed to get 4365-70 before the decline we were expecting came through the remainder of the week giving us another mega move. As you can see, we breached lower defence and continued the move, but the best part…If you look at our lower hot spot and defence box, it did say bullish above. That was the level that was swiped and then flipped for us to get the long trade towards the end of the week. A fantastic point to point, level to level move on gold, the indicators worked a treat, the algo performed as did the hot spots and bias levels. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We may open with gaps so let’s play this one as we go along through the week. With FOMC this week we can expect tomorrow to be choppy and then potential for ranging markets which will make only scalping possible until Thursday. We have the levels above 4255 which is sticking out at the moment and the support level below sitting at 4160-55 which is quite a way down. We would like to see price take a dip into one of these levels and if held, we would anticipate an opportunity for a long back up to target the 4300 level initially. If we do get there, expect some volume to enter, and unless broken we may get the swing to form. Now, the support level again will be on the flip and will need to break downside for us to go lower, otherwise it’s very possible we could see FOMC push us all the way back up 4400’s which is what bulls will need. That however remains to be seen, for now above that 4104 level we’ll look for higher, if we break below, we’ll plan for the shorter swing high and go with it. Up, down, sideways, we’ll go with the market as we usually do. Short and simple this week. RED BOXES: BREAK ABOVE 4228 for 4254, 4265, 4274 and 4283 in extension of the move BREAK BELOW 4204 for 4190, 4180, 4173 and 4159 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 1H chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4263 and a gap below at 4209, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4263 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4263 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4317 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4441 BEARISH TARGETS 4209 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4209 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4164 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4164 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4115 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4115 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4068 4015 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Last few weeks, Gold delivered a significant technical development as our unique Goldturn Channel floor was decisively broken on the weekly chart, confirming a shift in market structure and opening the door for a move through progressively lower Goldturn levels. Channel Floor Breakdown After several weeks of trading within the rising Goldturn Channel, price failed to hold the channel floor. The breakdown was confirmed as weekly candle body closed beneath key support, signalling that bullish channel control had been lost. Goldturn Levels Broken Sequentially Following the channel breakdown, price moved lower through our Goldturn structure level by level: 5104 Goldturn - Lost support and failed to attract sustained buying. 4763 Goldturn - Weekly weakness continued and this level was broken. 4462 Goldturn - The next major support failed, opening the path lower. 4338 Goldturn - Price moved through this level as downside momentum accelerated. 4132 Goldturn - Current focus. Price has now reached and is reacting at this important Goldturn support level. The market is currently attempting to find footing around 4132 Goldturn, making this the key level to monitor in the coming weeks. What Typically Happens After This Type of Breakdown? Historically, when a weekly chart channel of this type breaks down and lower Goldturn levels begin acting as support, we often expect: A challenge back toward the broken channel floor. The former channel support then becomes potential resistance. Price will either: Establish a new lower trading range beneath the channel, or Successfully break back above the channel floor after retesting it as resistance, which would suggest the channel can be extended and the broader uptrend may resume. The most important technical event now is whether price can rally back and test the broken channel floor. The market's reaction at that retest will provide valuable clues regarding the next major directional move. Next Expectation: Retest of the channel floor as resistance We will continue to monitor price action around the 4132 Goldturn and any potential retest of the broken channel boundary. As always, we will keep you updated as new developments emerge. Mr Gold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 4H chart route map and trading plan for the week ahead. We are now seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4329 and a gap below at 4185. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4329 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4329 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4449 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4449 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4564 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4564 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4684 BEARISH TARGET 4185 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4185 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4087 3951 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
XAUUSD H4 — Recovery Is Forming, But the Bigger Test Is AboveGold has recovered from the lower area, but on the H4 chart, the market is still not fully free from the recent bearish pressure. THE SIMPLE READ Gold is trying to build a recovery after the strong drop from the higher zone. The bounce is clear, and buyers are showing some strength around the 42xx area. But when we zoom out to H4, this still looks more like a recovery phase than a confirmed bullish reversal. That is why next week, the important question is not only “can gold go higher?” The better question is: Can gold break the resistance zones above and hold there? WHAT I SEE The first area I’m watching is 4,200 - 4,218. This zone matters because it is where price is trying to hold after the short-term breakout. If buyers keep defending this area, gold may continue the recovery attempt. The next resistance is 4,259 - 4,270. This is the first H4 reaction zone above current price. If gold reaches this area, sellers may test the strength of buyers again. The bigger H4 resistance is 4,330. This zone is more important because it sits near the previous sell reaction area and the 0.618 Fibonacci region. If gold rejects here, the recovery may only be a correction inside the larger bearish structure. Above that, 4,451 is the stronger OB Sell zone. This is not the nearest target, but it is the larger resistance area to keep in mind if gold gains stronger momentum next week. Below the market, the 4,160 - 4,110 area is the key support/FVG zone. If gold loses the 42xx area, price may return here to rebalance before choosing the next direction. THE PLAN FOR NEXT WEEK 📈 IF gold holds above 4,200 - 4,218 and breaks 4,259 - 4,270 with clear strength: → Buyers may continue the recovery → The next H4 resistance to watch is 4,330 → If 4,330 breaks and holds, gold may open the way toward 4,451 → Possible entry idea: after confirmation above 4,259 - 4,270 → Invalidation: below 4,160 → Target 1: 4,270 → Target 2: 4,330 → Target 3: 4,451 📉 IF gold rejects from 4,259 - 4,330 or falls back below 4,200: → The recovery becomes weaker → Price may return to the FVG/support area → Sellers may look for a move back toward 4,160 - 4,110 → Possible entry idea: after bearish rejection near resistance, or after a clean break below 4,200 → Invalidation: above the rejection zone → Target 1: 4,160 → Target 2: 4,110 → Target 3: 4,081 ⏳ No confirmation = no trade. 💡 Tiara’s Tip: A recovery after a sharp drop is not always a reversal. On higher timeframes like H4, we need to see price break resistance, hold above it, and create stronger higher lows. If gold only rises into resistance and gets rejected, the bounce may simply be a correction before sellers return. That is why next week, I’m not only watching the bounce — I’m watching how gold behaves near 4,259, 4,270, and 4,330. YOUR TURN 💬 What’s your H4 view for next week — is gold building a real recovery, or only correcting into resistance? Drop a 🟢 for recovery continuation or 🔴 for rejection below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tiara_PrimeGold
10
Gold Weekly Outlook (June 15-19, 2026) — Reversal Confirmed, Market Overview • Macro Driver: The macroeconomic landscape experienced a massive structural shift late in the week after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly cooled down. This surprise data successfully defused the aggressive hawkish dollar rally triggered by the earlier hot CPI print. The US Dollar Index (DXY) registered a notable pullback from its local highs, and Treasury yields softened across the curve. This sudden easing of dynamic macro pressures ignited a powerful wave of institutional short-covering, breathing strong life back into safe-haven Gold arrays as we head into next week. • Market Condition: Institutional order flow has officially transitioned from a prolonged markdown phase into a bullish displacement expansion leg. Large-scale volume has aggressively swept major sell-side liquidity (SSL) at the historical floors, initiating an algorithmic price delivery back toward premium value pools. Technical Context • Structure: Structural Bullish Reversal. The H1 timeframe provides a pristine validation of a structural transition, marked by a decisive Bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) cutting through previous swing highs. Following this sharp upside displacement, price has entered a localized corrective phase ahead of the weekend, carving out a well-defined higher-low pathway. • Liquidity & Imbalance: The violent post-PPI rally left a highly clear discount demand block resting lower down, while leaving major unmitigated buy-side liquidity (BSL) pools completely exposed above. The algorithm is currently utilizing dynamic consolidation to engineer a pool of internal liquidity, which will act as the necessary fuel to drive the next major expansion leg upward. Key Zones (Weekly Outlook) • Ultimate Premium Resistance (1.0 Fibonacci Extension Target): 4,370.626 • Intermediate Supply Target: 4,288.966 • Local Retest High / Pivot: 4,243.187 • Immediate Market Price: 4,218.560 • H1 Discount Demand Floor (Unmitigated FVG Box): 4,160.290 Trading Plan (IF–THEN) • IF price delivers an early-week measured corrective pullback to mitigate the H1 discount demand floor at 4,160.290 AND validates lower-timeframe (M5/M15) bullish structural confirmation -> THEN look to execute Long positions targeting the local pivot at 4,243.187, expanding up to 4,288.966, and reaching the Ultimate Premium Resistance target at 4,370.626. • IF price invalidates this reversal thesis by printing a strong, decisive H1 candle close completely beneath the 4,160.290 demand box -> THEN the bullish transition is a confirmed fakeout, instantly reinstating the macro markdown path toward historical lows. MMFLOW View • Bias: Corrective Bullish Bias for the upcoming week. Chasing the immediate upside at the current market price carries poor risk-to-reward parameters. Our mathematical edge heavily favors adopting a strict "Buy-the-dip" execution matrix, waiting for the institutional algorithm to tap the 4,160 discount arrays before trailing long positions into the 4,370 premium supply zone. --- Are you looking to load up long positions at the 4,160 FVG retest, or do you expect the macro bears to step back in early at 4,243? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! Remember to like, follow, and visit my profile to catch the real-time tracking of this setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
12
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold. Support 1: 3997 - 4047 area Support 2: 3886 - 3932 area Support 3: 3771 - 3817 area Resistance 1: 4329 - 4435 area Resistance 2: 4570 - 4595 area Resistance 3: 4639 - 4689 area I think that the market has a strong potential to rise and reach Resistance 1. Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
BTCUSD | 2H Bearish Reversal SetupBitcoin has reached a major resistance area after an impressive bullish advance and is now showing signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary of the ascending trendline. Price action suggests the market may be completing a corrective structure, with sellers beginning to defend the current highs. The recent rally appears to have formed a potential harmonic completion zone, while the current consolidation beneath resistance indicates weakening buying momentum. A break below the short-term support structure would confirm a bearish shift and could trigger a deeper retracement. If the breakdown occurs, BTC may first revisit the 62,300 region before extending lower toward the key support area around 61,100. This level aligns with previous market structure and serves as the primary downside target for the setup. Trade Outlook 🔹 Resistance Zone: 64,700 – 64,900 🔹 Breakdown Confirmation: Loss of current support 🔹 First Target: 62,300 🔹 Main Target: 61,100 As long as price remains capped below the recent high, downside pressure is likely to increase. Traders should monitor for a decisive breakdown and volume confirmation before anticipating further bearish continuation. Bias: Bearish 📉 Always wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BTC #CryptoTrading #MarketStructure #BearishSetup #HarmonicPattern #TradingIdeas #ChartAnalysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by James_fx1
Gold Analysis: $4,200 Becomes the Market Battleground This WeekGold enters the new trading week at a critical decision point, with price continuing to hover around the key $4,200 level. In this weekly market outlook, I break down the Daily, 4H, and 1H structures, explain the sentiment behind last week's breakdown and recovery, and discuss how upcoming events, including the Federal Reserve decision, economic projections, retail sales data, and US-Iran developments, could influence the next move. Key Levels: • Support: $4,175 • Key Level: $4,200 • Resistance: $4,245 As always, this is market analysis, not financial advice. Manage your risk and trade responsibly.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
Gold Trapped in Compression Triangle -Massive Breakout ImpendingThe Gold market (XAUUSD) concludes the trading week in a highly compressed state, leaving market participants in anticipation of a massive directional expansion. After a turbulent week dictated by hot inflation prints (CPI and PPI) and escalating geopolitical frictions, market sentiment has entered a temporary consolidation phase. Institutional desks (Smart Money) are utilizing the weekend lull to absorb the weekly order flow and rebalance positions. As we approach the weekly opening, the market is bracing for whether the hawkish "higher-for-longer" Fed interest rate narrative will continue to dominate or if underlying structural liquidity demands will spark a fierce safe-haven short-squeeze. Key Technical Levels Based on the prominent M30 Compression Triangle structure visible on the layout, the core technical levels to monitor include: Major Upside Target: 4,345.000 – The primary overhead target area for a successful bullish breakout, where major liquidity pools and previous structural supply are sitting. Breakout Resistance Checkpoint: 4,259.594 – The immediate horizontal key level overlapping with the triangle's Top Edge, serving as the trigger line for buyers. Triangle Convergence Boundary: 4,232.928 – The exact focal point of the compression zone where price action is currently tightening. Major Downside Target: 4,167.000 – The crucial liquidity floor aligned with the triangle's Bottom Edge extension, acting as the ultimate target if a bearish breakdown occurs. Market Debate Is Gold preparing for a powerful bullish liftoff toward 4,345, or is this compression a distribution trap before a massive drop? The Bullish Case (Buyers): The market has formed a solid higher-low structure along the dynamic Bottom Edge. This intensive compression indicates that smart money is aggressively accumulating long positions at a discount. Once the market opens, a decisive breakout above the Top Edge and the 4,259.594 horizontal resistance will clear out late shorters, triggering a violent explosive rally straight to the 4,345 major upside target. The Bearish Case (Sellers): This triangle is a continuation pattern of the broader bearish macro environment. The overhead resistance at 4,259.594 is reinforced by heavy institutional supply blocks. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the Top Edge, converting this compression into a trap for breakout buyers before forcing a severe breakdown through the support boundaries toward 4,167. What is your take on this M30 compression pattern? Will Gold respect the ascending support to launch an aggressive breakout toward 4,345, or will the bears force a systemic breakdown? Drop your weekend analyses and charts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptionGold_Trader
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD RECOVERY TESTS MAJOR VALUE RESISTANCE Gold continues to recover after three consecutive bullish sessions, gaining nearly 3% as market sentiment improves on optimism around a possible US-Iran peace agreement. From a macro view, the weaker US dollar is supporting gold in the short term. Safe-haven demand for USD has faded as geopolitical tension cools, while softer oil prices reduce energy-driven inflation pressure. This gives gold room to rebound, but the recovery still needs confirmation above the major resistance structure. Technically, gold must break above the 200-day moving average around 4,454 to fully remove the short-term bearish outlook. Technical structure On the H1 chart, gold has recovered strongly from the lower value area and is now trading near the strong resistance zone for selling around 4,330 - 4,365. The current recovery is supported by the lower Volume Profile base, where price previously built acceptance before pushing higher. However, gold is now testing an important resistance band. If price fails here, a pullback towards the POC purchase area can appear before the next bullish attempt. The main buy area I am watching is the POC Purchase price range around 4,200 - 4,215. This zone represents the strongest volume base below current price and the cleanest area to wait for a buy reaction if gold pulls back. As long as gold holds above this POC zone, the short-term recovery structure remains valid. Important zones POC Purchase price range: 4,200 - 4,215 Main Volume Profile support and preferred buy area. Short-term support: 4,246 - 4,282 Reaction area if price starts to pull back. Strong resistance zone for selling: 4,330 - 4,365 Current resistance where gold is testing supply. Strong support zone: 4,433 Next upside liquidity area if resistance breaks. 200-day moving average: 4,454 Major level needed to clear the short-term bearish outlook. Trading scenario Buy reaction from POC Purchase price range 4,200 - 4,215 Entry: Look for buy positions only if price pulls back into 4,200 - 4,215 and shows clear bullish rejection. Stop Loss: Below the POC Purchase zone or below the local swing low. Take Profit: TP1: 4,282 TP2: 4,330 - 4,365 TP3: 4,433 - 4,454 This setup is based on the main Volume Profile support area, where buyers may defend the next pullback if the recovery structure remains valid. Final view Gold is recovering well, but price is now testing a major resistance zone. The short-term structure is improving, but the market still needs acceptance above 4,365 and later 4,454 to confirm a stronger bullish shift. For now, the professional approach is not to chase gold directly into resistance. I prefer waiting for a pullback into the POC Purchase range around 4,200 - 4,215, then watching for buy confirmation. Trade the retest. Respect the volume zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H1: Recovery Continues, Buyers Target Higher Liquidity XAUUSD H1: Recovery Continues, Buyers Target Higher Liquidity Fundamental Analysis Gold continues its recovery for the third consecutive day, gaining strong momentum as market sentiment improves around the US-Iran peace agreement outlook. At the same time, the US dollar remains under pressure while weaker oil prices reduce part of the safe-haven demand. However, from a broader technical view, gold still needs to break above the 200-day moving average around 4,454 to fully remove the short-term bearish outlook. Until then, the current move should be treated as a strong recovery phase, but not yet a complete long-term bullish reversal. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is rebounding strongly from the weekly low around 4,023. After sweeping the lower liquidity zone, price created a strong bullish reaction and is now trading around 4,325. From an SMC perspective, buyers are regaining short-term control. The recent bullish move has broken the lower corrective structure and price is now testing the near-term resistance area around 4,324 - 4,364. The key support zone is now the buyzone liquidity area around 4,285 - 4,300. If price pulls back into this zone and buyers defend it, the recovery structure remains valid. The next major upside target is 4,364. If gold breaks and holds above this level, price may continue toward the higher resistance area around 4,560, where a major OB and strong high are located. Key Price Zones Current price: 4,325 Buyzone liquidity: 4,285 - 4,300 Short-term support: 4,200 - 4,220 Weekly low: 4,023 Key breakout level: 4,364 Major technical level: 4,454 Main upside target / OB zone: 4,560 - 4,590 Bullish invalidation: Below 4,023 Trading Plan Primary Scenario: Buy From Pullback Entry: 4,285 - 4,300 after bullish confirmation Stop Loss: Below 4,240 Take Profit 1: 4,364 Take Profit 2: 4,454 Take Profit 3: 4,560 - 4,590 Entry Conditions Price pulls back into the 4,285 - 4,300 buyzone liquidity area. Buyers show clear rejection from this zone. H1 structure continues forming higher lows. Price should hold above 4,240. Avoid buying if price breaks strongly below the buyzone. Alternative Scenario: Buy After Breakout Entry: Above 4,364 after breakout and retest Stop Loss: Below 4,300 Take Profit 1: 4,454 Take Profit 2: 4,560 Take Profit 3: 4,590 Breakout Conditions Price breaks above 4,364 with strong bullish momentum. The retest of 4,364 holds as support. Buyers continue to defend the higher-low structure. Avoid breakout buys if price rejects strongly from 4,364. Sell Scenario Entry: Below 4,023 after confirmed breakdown and retest Stop Loss: Above 4,080 Take Profit 1: 3,980 Take Profit 2: 3,940 Take Profit 3: 3,900 Sell Conditions A sell setup is not the priority right now. It only becomes valid if price loses the weekly low around 4,023 and fails to reclaim it. This would show that the recovery structure has failed and sellers are returning to control. Overall View Gold is showing a strong recovery structure on the H1 timeframe. Buyers are currently holding control after price reacted from the weekly low and moved back above the lower liquidity area. The main bias is now focused on buying pullbacks as long as price stays above 4,023. The key level to watch is 4,364. If gold breaks and holds above this level, the next upside targets are 4,454 and 4,560 - 4,590. Do you think gold will break above 4,364 and continue toward 4,560, or will price pull back into the buyzone first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Owen_Steele
XAUUSD: Bearish Reload Before the Next Expansion?OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting in an interesting bearish continuation structure. The major bearish sequence already completed its first downside objective, and price is now consolidating after reaching the local ABC target area. This is exactly where a lot of traders get trapped trying to short too late. For me, the cleaner opportunity is not the low — it is the reload. The key area I’m watching is the marked WCL / BC premium zone above current price . If price pushes back into that zone and fails, it could become the next bearish reaction point. That would give sellers a much cleaner location to defend, instead of chasing price in the middle of the range. My bearish idea remains simple: Price rallies into WCL / BC → fails to reclaim the zone → SMC confirms bearish control → continuation toward the larger ABC target below. The larger downside target sits around the 4,000–4,150 area, based on the projected ABC target zone. That does not mean price must go there in a straight line. It means this is the next major draw if the bearish structure stays valid. Invalidation is clear: if price breaks above the marked invalidation level near the prior high, the bearish sequence is no longer clean and the idea needs to be reassessed. I don’t want to short randomly here. I want price to offer a premium reload, show weakness, then confirm with structure. The setup is not the drop. The setup is the failed reload before the drop.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SmellyTaz
PPI Relief Rally Fades – Rejection At Trendline Resistance?Gold initially surged after softer U.S. inflation data, but buyers are now facing a critical test beneath a major descending trendline resistance. 📊 Economic Update Yesterday's PPI data came in softer than market expectations, reinforcing the narrative that inflation pressures continue to cool. PPI m/m: Lower than forecast Core PPI: Softer than expected Jobless Claims: Slightly higher This combination weakened the USD and Treasury yields during the initial reaction, allowing Gold to stage a sharp relief rally from the weekly lows. However, the market is now entering the second phase: Can buyers sustain momentum, or was this simply a liquidity-driven short squeeze? Technical Analysis (H1) The broader structure remains bearish despite the recent recovery. Price exploded from the 4,080 demand zone and swept short-side liquidity before reaching the descending trendline and supply area around 4,230. The current reaction suggests buyers are losing momentum beneath resistance. Key Levels 🔹 Resistance Zone: 4,230 🔹 Pivot Resistance: 4,170 🔹 Intraday Support: 4,131 🔹 Demand / Liquidity Zone: 4,080 IF–THEN Scenario ✅ Bullish Case If Gold breaks and closes above 4,230, the recovery structure strengthens and buyers could target higher discount-to-premium rebalancing zones. ❌ Bearish Case (Preferred) If price remains below the trendline and fails to reclaim 4,230, sellers may re-enter aggressively. A rejection below 4,170 would expose 4,131 first, followed by a potential liquidity sweep back into the 4,080 demand zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fiora_Wintrade
4
XAUUSD — Is Gold Finally Breaking Out, or Setting a Trap?Gold is pushing above the falling trendline, but the real question is simple: can buyers hold it, or will sellers turn this into another rejection? THE SIMPLE READ Gold is showing the first signs of strength after a long move down. Price has bounced from the lower area and is now testing the trendline that has been pressing the market lower. This is an important moment because many traders will see the breakout and feel tempted to chase. But a breakout alone is not enough. What matters now is whether gold can stay above the broken trendline and build support, or fall back under it and trap late buyers. WHAT I SEE The first area I’m watching is 4,179. This zone matters because it is the nearest support area after the bounce. Buyers need to defend this level if they want the recovery to continue. If price holds above it, the breakout story stays alive. The next important level is 4,244. This is the short-term resistance area. It matters because price may slow down here first before deciding the next move. If gold breaks and holds above this zone, buyers may gain more confidence. The bigger resistance is around 4,319. This area is important because it sits near the previous supply zone. If gold reaches this level, sellers may try to defend again. A clean break above 4,319 would make the bullish reversal idea much stronger. Below the market, 4,054 is the deeper support area. If gold falls back below 4,179, it would show that the breakout may have failed, and price could search for lower support again. THE PLAN 📈 IF gold holds above 4,179 and breaks 4,244 with a clear bullish reaction: → Buyers may try to continue the recovery → The next target area could be 4,319 → If 4,319 breaks and holds, the move may extend higher → Possible entry idea: after a clean hold above 4,244 → Invalidation: below 4,179 → Target 1: 4,319 → Target 2: 4,405 📉 IF gold fails to hold above the trendline and breaks below 4,179: → The breakout idea becomes weaker → Sellers may push price back toward the lower support area → Possible entry idea: after bearish rejection or a clean break below 4,179 → Invalidation: above 4,244 → Target 1: 4,054 → Target 2: 4,020 ⏳ No confirmation = no trade. 💡 Tiara’s Tip: A trendline breakout is not confirmed just because one candle crosses the line. For beginners, a stronger breakout usually needs three things: Price breaks the trendline. Price holds above it. Sellers fail to push it back down. If one of these is missing, the move can still become a trap. That is why we wait for reaction, not emotion. YOUR TURN 💬 What’s your read today — is gold building a real breakout, or is this another buyer trap? Drop a 🟢 for breakout or 🔴 for trap below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tiara_PrimeGold
2
XAUUSD (Gold) 2H Analysis – Bullish Recovery Structure FormingGold is showing signs of a bullish recovery after completing a strong corrective decline. The recent price action has formed a rounded bottom structure, indicating that selling pressure is fading while buyers gradually regain control. The blue descending trendline has been broken, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Since the breakout, price has established a series of higher lows and is consolidating beneath the 4,220 resistance zone. A cup-shaped recovery pattern appears to be developing, with the current pullback acting as a potential handle formation. If buyers maintain momentum and push above the recent swing highs, XAUUSD could trigger a bullish continuation move toward the 4,240–4,260 region. Cup-and-handle structures are commonly viewed as bullish continuation or reversal setups when confirmed by a breakout above resistance. Key Levels: Resistance: 4,220 – 4,240 Support: 4,180 – 4,080 Bullish Target: 4,260+ Invalidation: Sustained move below 4,080 Trading Outlook: As long as price remains above the rounded-bottom support area, the short-term bias remains bullish. Traders may watch for a confirmed breakout above resistance for additional upside confirmation, while failure to hold higher lows could delay the recovery scenario. This analysis is based on price action and chart structure and is not financial advice. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Bullish #CupAndHandle #GoldTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingSetup #ChartAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by James_fx1
XAUUSD: High-Probability Long-Term Setup from Premium Supply📊 Long-Term Market Structure & Order Flow The Daily chart of XAUUSD outlines a mature macro-scale institutional delivery. The structural sequence of the market unfolded across several key historical phases: The Macro All-Time High & Shift: After establishing a major All-Time High and capturing Buy-Side Liquidity, the market initiated a powerful bearish expansion. It initially found responsive buyers inside a discount Order Block, triggering a classic pullback that delivered a clean bullish leg. The Premium Block Mitigation & Market Crash: This relief rally terminated directly into a premium Order Block (aligned with the LRLR model). Institutional supply heavily defended this zone, sparking an aggressive displacement lower that validated a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) and resulted in a massive market crash. 🔄 Liquidity Sweeps & Inefficiency Balancing Following the major crash, the market has been highly reactive to higher-timeframe price inefficiencies: First Support Touch: The aggressive downside expansion found its first major floor inside a deep discount Fair Value Gap (FVG). This triggered another intermediate bullish momentum leg upward. The Intermediate Distribution: This pullback retested a premium FVG formed during the crash, met significant supply, and pushed lower again to completely sweep the resting Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) and revisit the lower FVG zone. Current Price Action: After testing the absolute lows of this lower macro FVG zone, aggressive buyers stepped back in. The market is currently moving upward in a corrective relief rally. 📉 The Tactical Short Trade Roadmap The strategy focuses on an upcoming premium mitigation as the current corrective upward leg approaches a key institutional supply barrier. The Point of Interest (POI): We are monitoring the intermediate Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during the previous bearish leg (resting around the 4,300–4,400 region). Execution Condition: If price enters this marked FVG and exhibits clear signs of a lower-timeframe bearish rejection or institutional distribution, a high-probability Short (Sell) trade can be planned. The Draw on Liquidity (Target): The ultimate objective for this short position remains the retest and completion of the lower FVG zone at the recent major swing low, where resting sell-stops reside.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Forex_Market_Insights
1
XAUUSD — Is This Bounce Walking Into a Seller Trap?Gold bounced from the lower area, but now it is moving under a falling trendline where sellers may be waiting again. THE SIMPLE READ Gold is still inside a downtrend channel. The recent bounce looks strong at first glance, but price is not free yet. It is now sitting below the same falling structure that has been pushing gold lower. This is where beginners often make a mistake. They see price moving up and think the trend has changed. But sometimes, a bounce is only the market walking back into a better resistance zone. WHAT I SEE The first area I’m watching is 4,257. This zone matters because it is close to the falling trendline and the previous reaction area. If gold comes back here and starts slowing down, it may show that sellers are still defending the downtrend. The next higher resistance is 4,332. This is a deeper Order Sell zone. If price reaches this area, it does not automatically mean gold is bullish. It may simply mean price is testing a stronger place where sellers may look for control again. Below the market, 4,095 is the first support to watch. This zone matters because buyers may try to defend it after the recent bounce. If gold holds above this area, the market can still create another short-term recovery. But if 4,095 breaks, the next important liquidity area is around 4,022. That level is important because it sits near the previous low area. If buyers fail there too, gold may look for the next deeper reaction zone near 3,886. THE PLAN 📈 IF gold holds above 4,095 and prints a clear bullish reaction: → Buyers may try to push price back toward 4,257 → If 4,257 breaks and holds, price could extend toward 4,332 → Possible entry idea: 4,095 - 4,110 → Invalidation: below 4,070 → Target 1: 4,257 → Target 2: 4,332 📉 IF gold rejects from 4,257 or breaks below 4,095: → Sellers may retake control inside the downtrend channel → Price could move back toward 4,022 first → If 4,022 fails, the next reaction zone can open near 3,886 → Possible entry idea: after bearish rejection around 4,257, or after a clean break below 4,095 → Invalidation: above the rejection zone → Target 1: 4,022 → Target 2: 3,886 ⏳ No confirmation = no trade. 💡 Tiara’s Tip: A bounce is not the same as a reversal. A real reversal usually needs price to break resistance, hold above it, and make sellers fail on the next pullback. If price only bounces into a falling trendline and gets rejected again, it may still be part of the same downtrend. That is why we do not chase green candles. We wait to see what price does at the next important zone. YOUR TURN 💬 What’s your read today — is gold preparing for another rejection, or can buyers defend 4,095 for a stronger recovery? Drop a 🔴 for sell continuation or 🟢 for bullish bounce below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tiara_PrimeGold
6
Gold reversal into bullish impulse!The Gold market (XAUUSD) stabilizes in Friday's session, displaying a significant structural shift as buyers firmly grasp the near-term momentum. Following a highly volatile week driven by CPI and PPI releases, market participants are now shifting their focus toward the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This late-week data catalyst will provide critical insights into consumer inflation expectations and overall economic health, directly influencing how institutional desks position their capital ahead of the weekly close. Currently, a prominent tug-of-war is unfolding between short-term profit-taking and fresh structural accumulation. While long-term macroeconomic headwinds still linger, the immediate market order flow has turned strictly bullish, transitioning into an impulse structure as smart money targets higher liquidity pools. Based on the newly established Bullish Impulse Wave structure on the M30 timeframe, the core technical levels to monitor include: Major Upside Target (Potential Wave 5 Destination): 4,354.529 – The ultimate expansion target for the final leg of the impulse cycle, perfectly aligned with the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 level. Immediate Resistance (Wave 3 Peak): 4,246.948 – The horizontal structural high where initial supply capped the recent rally, now serving as a breakout threshold. Key Demand Layers (Potential Wave 4 Bottom): 4,160.882 (Fibonacci Retracement 0.5) and 4,126.709 (Fibonacci Retracement 0.382) – Vital Confluence Zones where institutional buyers are heavily expected to step in and defend the structure. What's your assessment of this newly formed M30 impulse structure? Will Gold respect the internal Fibonacci demand layers to launch Wave (5), or will the sellers break the cycle before the weekly close? Drop your technical perspectives and charts in the comments section below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptionGold_Trader
7
XAUUSD: 4.272 is a key selling zone.On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is experiencing a fairly strong rebound from the bottom around 4,040-4,060 to the 4,220 area. However, overall, the price is still under downward pressure because there is a very clear resistance zone above at 4,270-4,272. This zone coincides with the price level that was previously heavily sold off and is near the Ichimoku cloud. Therefore, if gold continues to rebound but fails to close firmly above 4,272, it is highly likely that this is only a technical rebound before sellers return. The news context is still not truly supportive of gold, as the US CPI/PPI is hotter, causing the market to continue worrying about the Fed keeping interest rates high for longer. Therefore, any rebounds in XAUUSD are still easily subject to selling pressure. Main scenario: wait for the price to rebound to 4,270-4,272. If a rejection candle appears, the downside target is 4,168.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
3
TSLA Bullish Rebound from Trendline Support – Eyes on $417.23Tesla (TSLA) is showing a potential bullish recovery after finding support near the long-term ascending trendline around the **$380–$385** region. The recent bounce indicates that buyers are stepping back into the market following the sharp decline from the previous consolidation zone. If bullish momentum continues, price may advance toward the key resistance level at **$417.23**. A breakout above this target could signal a stronger continuation of the broader uptrend. **Target:** 🎯 **Primary Target:** **$417.23** **Key Support:** 📍 **Support Zone:** **$380.00 – $385.00** **Bias:** Bullish 📈 **Timeframe:** 1H (1 Hour) **Stock:** TSLA (Tesla Inc.) **Trading Idea:** As long as TSLA remains above the rising trendline support, the probability favors an upward move toward the highlighted resistance target. Traders may look for bullish confirmation before entering positions while managing risk below the support area.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by BIGBULL-RUN
4