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XAUUSD – H4 OutlookXAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Technical Rebound as Precious Metals Stabilise | Lana ✨ Precious metals are showing early signs of stabilisation after a period of heavy volatility. As silver rebounds sharply from intraday lows, gold is also attempting to rebuild structure following a strong corrective sell-off. This move appears to be a technical recovery, not yet a full trend reversal, but it provides important clues about the next directional phase. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action After failing to hold above the upper supply zone near 5,500, gold experienced a sharp bearish displacement, breaking previous structure and accelerating lower. However, price found strong demand around the 4,600–4,650 support zone, where selling pressure was absorbed. From this base, gold is now forming higher lows, indicating a short-term recovery within a broader corrective structure. The descending trendline remains intact, keeping the market in a decision-making phase. 🔍 Key Technical Zones Strong Support / Demand: 4,600 – 4,650 This area acted as a clear liquidity base and remains critical for any recovery scenario. Near-Term Resistance / Reaction Zone: ~4,900 – 4,920 Price is currently reacting here. Acceptance above this level would strengthen bullish momentum. Mid Resistance: ~5,050 – 5,100 A key zone aligned with prior structure and imbalance. Major Supply Zone: ~5,500 This remains the upper boundary where sellers previously regained control. 🎯 Possible Scenarios Base Case: Gold continues to consolidate above 4,600–4,650, building structure before attempting a push toward 4,900–5,050. Bullish Extension: Acceptance above 5,050 could open the door for a broader recovery toward higher supply zones. Failure Scenario: A breakdown below 4,600 would invalidate the rebound and shift focus back to lower liquidity. 🌍 Intermarket Context Silver’s sharp rebound after a deep sell-off suggests panic-driven liquidation is easing across metals. Historically, such moves often support short-term recoveries in gold, even if volatility remains elevated. 🧠 Lana’s View This is a recovery-in-progress, not a market to chase. The focus should remain on how price behaves at key resistance zones, especially near 4,900–5,050. Patience is key while the market decides whether this rebound develops into a broader trend shift or remains corrective. ✨ Respect the structure, trade the levels, and let the market confirm the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam ViewXAUUSD (H2) – Liam View USD strength caps gold rallies | Sell-side structure still in control Quick summary Gold remains under pressure on the H2 timeframe as a stronger USD continues to weigh on precious metals. The recent bounce is corrective in nature and lacks acceptance above key supply. With markets focused on the delayed US Non-Farm Payrolls (Feb 11), volatility is likely, but structure still favours selling rallies rather than chasing upside. Macro context A firm USD typically acts as a headwind for gold and silver. If the current USD rebound is not temporary, downside pressure on gold can persist. Markets are positioning ahead of US labour data, increasing the risk of liquidity sweeps around key levels. Technical view (H2 – from the chart) After a sharp sell-off, price rebounded from deep demand but stalled below prior distribution. Key zones to watch: Major supply / sell zone: 5115 – 5130, extending to 5535 (higher-timeframe supply) Current reaction area: around 5000 Key demand / liquidity base: 4550 – 4580 The structure shows lower highs forming beneath resistance, indicating sell-side control unless price can reclaim and hold above the 5115 area. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A – Sell the rally (primary bias) Look for sell reactions into 5000 → 5115 Weak acceptance here favours rotation back toward 4550 liquidity Scenario B – Deeper downside continuation If support near 4550 breaks cleanly, expect further downside expansion as sell-side liquidity opens. Scenario C – Bullish invalidation (low probability) Only a clean H2 acceptance above 5115 would neutralise the bearish bias and reopen upside toward higher supply. Execution notes Expect false breaks and stop runs ahead of NFP. Avoid chasing candles; wait for price to hit levels and confirm reaction. Reduce size during headline-driven sessions. Bottom line: USD strength + H2 structure keep the bias sell-side dominant. Until price proves otherwise, rallies are opportunities — not confirmation. This is Liam's personal opinion, what about yours? What do you think about the recent fluctuations in the gold market? Let Liam know in the comments below! — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
2
XAUUSD – Brian | H4 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H4 Technical Outlook – Short Bias After Exhaustion Rally Gold has completed a strong upside expansion and is now showing clear signs of trend exhaustion on the H4 timeframe. After printing a sharp impulse leg higher, price failed to sustain acceptance above the recent highs and quickly transitioned into a deep corrective move, signalling a shift in short-term market control. From a structural perspective, the market has moved from impulse → distribution → correction, favouring a short-side bias while price remains capped below key resistance. Market Structure & Fibonacci Context The recent rally stalled near the upper resistance zone, followed by an aggressive rejection. Price has retraced deeply into the Fibonacci 0.618–0.75 area, confirming that the move lower is not a minor pullback but a meaningful correction. Current price action suggests lower highs are forming, keeping selling pressure active on rebounds. As long as price fails to reclaim and accept above the prior breakdown levels, the bearish structure remains valid. Key Zones to Watch Primary SELL Zone 5,716 – 5,866 This is the major supply and sell-liquidity zone on H4. Any corrective rally into this area is likely to attract sellers, especially if price shows hesitation or rejection. Intermediate Reaction Zone Around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement area, where short-term rebounds may stall before continuation lower. Downside Targets / Demand The lower support zone near 4,800–4,850 remains the first key downside area to monitor. Deeper continuation would expose the 4,600–4,500 region, where broader demand may attempt to absorb selling pressure. Macro Context (Brief) Fundamentally, gold is facing headwinds from persistent uncertainty around interest rate expectations. Recent central bank commentary continues to signal caution toward near-term rate cuts, keeping real yields supported and limiting gold’s upside in the short term. This backdrop aligns with the current technical correction and distribution phase. Trading Outlook Bias: Short / sell-on-rallies Focus: Selling corrective rebounds into resistance zones Risk note: Avoid chasing price at lows; let structure and levels guide entries In this phase, patience is key. Selling strength at predefined zones offers higher probability than predicting bottoms. Refer to the chart for Fibonacci levels, structure shift, and highlighted sell zones. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early updates on market structure, liquidity shifts, and high-probability zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
25
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Bullish Structure Rebuild as Precious Metals Surge | Lana ✨ Precious metals are back in focus as silver surges sharply, adding momentum to the broader metals complex. In this context, gold is showing signs of structure rebuilding after a healthy correction, setting the stage for potential continuation. 📈 Market Structure & Technical Context After a strong impulsive drop, gold successfully defended the 4,420–4,450 strong support zone, where buyers stepped in decisively. Since then, price has been forming higher lows along an ascending trendline, signalling a shift from distribution into recovery. The current price action suggests this move is corrective-to-bullish, not just a short-lived bounce. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Strong Support: 4,420 – 4,450 This zone remains the structural base. As long as price holds above it, bullish scenarios stay valid. Mid Resistance / Reaction Zone: ~5,050 – 5,080 Price is currently consolidating here, absorbing supply after the rebound. Next Resistance: ~5,135 A clean break and acceptance above this level would confirm continuation strength. Upper Targets: ~5,300 – 5,350 Aligned with Fibonacci extensions and prior supply zones. Higher Objective: ~5,580 Only in play if bullish momentum accelerates across the metals market. 🎯 Bullish Scenarios If gold continues to respect the upper trendline and holds above the 5,000 psychological level: A brief pullback into 5,000–5,050 could offer structure for continuation. Acceptance above 5,135 opens the path toward 5,300+. Strong momentum, supported by silver’s breakout, could extend moves toward 5,580. Any pullbacks toward support are currently viewed as constructive corrections, not weakness. 🌍 Intermarket Insight Silver’s sharp rally highlights renewed demand across precious metals, often acting as a leading signal for broader sector strength. This backdrop supports the idea that gold’s recent correction was a reset, not a reversal. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is rebuilding its bullish structure step by step. The focus is not on chasing price, but on how price reacts at key levels. As long as structure and momentum remain aligned, the broader trend stays constructive. ✨ Stay patient, respect the zones, and let the market confirm the next expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
17
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam PlanXAUUSD (H3) – Liam Plan Safe-haven bid is back, but structure is still corrective | Trade the zones, not the headlines Quick summary Gold is up for a second day as US–Iran tensions revive safe-haven demand. At the same time, expectations for Fed rate cuts keep the USD on the defensive, which typically supports non-yielding assets like gold. However, with ADP and ISM Services PMI ahead, short-term volatility can spike fast — and that’s exactly where gold tends to run liquidity before choosing direction. My approach: respect the macro tailwind, but execute based on structure. Macro context Gold usually benefits when: geopolitical risk rises (risk-off flows), rate-cut expectations increase (lower real yields), the USD weakens or struggles to sustain a bounce. That said, pre-data sessions often produce fake moves. The market will likely “test” both sides before committing. Technical view (H3 – based on the chart) Price rebounded sharply from the recent low, but the overall swing structure is still in a correction / rebalancing phase after a major impulse down. Key zones on the chart: Major supply / premium target: 5570 – 5580 This is the clear “sell reaction” zone if price expands higher. Current decision area: around 5050 – 5100 Price is pushing back into a key mid-range level — where continuation must prove acceptance. Deep demand / liquidity base: 4408, then 4329 If the market fails to hold higher supports, these are the next magnets for sell-side liquidity. This is a classic: bounce → retest → decide environment. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A: Continuation bounce If price holds above the current base and continues to reclaim levels: Upside rotation can extend toward 5200 → 5400 → 5570–5580 Expect reactions near each resistance band, especially approaching premium. Logic: safe-haven flows + softer USD can fuel continuation, but only if price accepts above the mid-range. Scenario B: Rejection and rotation lower If price fails to hold above 5050–5100 and prints rejection: Expect a pullback back into prior demand Deeper continuation opens toward 4408, then 4329 Logic: corrective rallies often redistribute before the next leg lower, especially around major data. Execution notes With ADP + ISM ahead, avoid chasing candles. Wait for price to tag the zone and show a clear reaction. Trade smaller if spreads widen. My focus: If price accepts above the mid-range, I’ll respect the bounce. If it rejects, I’ll treat the move as a corrective rally and look for rotation lower. Either way, I’m trading levels — not headlines. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
9
Continue to adjust and identify entry points for long positions.Gold has been fluctuating by $200-300 daily recently, which is no longer unusual. Our focus should be on managing and minimizing risk. We're watching the resistance level around 5000-5020. Gold is likely to continue its consolidation before choosing a direction. On the downside, we're watching the support level around 4820-4800. Technically, we continue to focus on buying on dips that hold. Recent international developments, including the US-Iran negotiations, will be key drivers of gold's price movements. We must be cautious in the face of volatile markets. Overall, gold is expected to trend upwards with some volatility. We should continue to maintain our strategy of buying on dips. If you're interested in gold but don't know where to start or are experiencing difficulties with your trading, feel free to contact me for discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullBear-GoldDesk
A gold rebound requires more caution.Since bottoming out around 4400, the current gold rebound has reached nearly $700. From both a technical and market sentiment perspective, significant profit-taking pressure has accumulated. Blindly chasing the rally at this stage carries a relatively high risk. The current 5090-5110 range forms a clear parallel channel resistance zone, with significant technical suppression. Furthermore, with the ADP employment data release approaching, the market tends to be cautious before key data releases, and some long positions may choose to exit early to avoid uncertainty. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to try shorting gold with a small position around this resistance zone, paying attention to potential profit-taking pullbacks before and after the data release.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
XAUUSD – H4 Technical & Macro OutlookXAUUSD – H4 Technical & Macro Outlook: Liquidity Compression Ahead of Fed Expectations | Lana ✨ Gold is currently trading in a tight compression structure, while macro conditions are beginning to tilt in favour of precious metals. Weak US labour data and a growing probability of Fed rate cuts are putting pressure on the US Dollar, creating an important backdrop for the next move in gold. At the same time, price action on XAUUSD suggests the market is approaching a key liquidity-driven decision point. 📈 Technical Structure & Price Behaviour After failing to sustain above the upper supply zone near 5,200–5,300, gold entered a corrective decline and is now trading inside a descending wedge, bounded by falling resistance and rising support. Price is currently holding around 4,800–4,830, a short-term balance area. Repeated rejections from descending resistance indicate supply remains active. At the same time, sell-side liquidity is clearly resting below the structure, near 4,570–4,550. This behaviour suggests the market is not trending yet, but preparing for a liquidity expansion. 🔍 Key Levels to Monitor Near-Term Resistance: ~5,070 – 5,130 A key reaction zone aligned with Fibonacci retracement and prior structure. Compression Pivot: ~4,800 – 4,830 Holding above this area keeps price in consolidation mode. Sell-Side Liquidity: ~4,570 – 4,550 A likely downside target if the structure breaks lower. Major Supply (Higher TF): ~5,500 Still the upper boundary for any medium-term bullish continuation. 🎯 Likely Scenarios Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep Lower (Base Case): If price fails to hold the rising support, gold may dip toward 4,570–4,550 to clear sell-side liquidity. Such a move would likely be corrective, not a trend reversal, especially given the macro backdrop. Scenario 2 – Bullish Break from Compression: If price accepts above 5,070–5,130, the descending structure would be invalidated, opening the door for a recovery toward higher resistance zones. 🌍 Macro Context: USD Weakness & Fed Expectations Recent US labour data has reinforced concerns about economic momentum: JOLTS job openings fell sharply below expectations. ADP employment growth slowed significantly. CME FedWatch now shows a rising probability of a March rate cut, up from earlier in the week. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has struggled to extend its weekly gains, trading slightly lower while remaining near recent highs. This environment is typically supportive for gold, especially during corrective phases. Upcoming NFP data will be a key catalyst and may act as the trigger for the next liquidity expansion. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is currently in a waiting phase, balancing between technical compression and shifting macro expectations. The focus should remain on how price reacts at the edges of the structure, rather than predicting direction too early. Patience is essential here. The next move is likely to be fast and liquidity-driven once the market commits. ✨ Respect the structure, follow the levels, and let the market reveal the next expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Weekend OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Weekend Outlook: Volatility Reset & Range Opportunities Gold delivered a sharp volatility spike in early Asia on Feb 6, flushing down toward the 4,680 area before quickly reclaiming ground as risk sentiment stabilised and the USD softened. The earlier drop looks driven by position reduction and portfolio rebalancing (traders covering equity losses), rather than a clean trend continuation. The recovery back above 4,830 confirms that buyers are still active when price returns to value. Market Structure (H1) On the H1 chart, price has transitioned into a two-way environment: We’ve moved from an impulsive drop into a descending channel / corrective structure. The rebound is strong, but still behaves like a corrective bounce inside the larger pullback. This sets up a high-probability range/rotation into the weekend, where liquidity runs and mean-reversion moves can appear. Key Zones To Watch 1) Upper Supply / Sell Pressure 5,100 – 5,200 zone (overhead supply) This is the main area where rallies may face profit-taking and sell pressure. If price tags this zone and stalls, the market may rotate back down. 2) Mid-Range Reaction Area ~4,820 – 4,900 (current balance / pivot area) This is the “decision zone.” Holding above it supports another push higher; losing it increases the probability of a deeper pullback. 3) Lower Demand / Liquidity Floor 4,650 – 4,700 (demand + volatility base) The prior flush low area. If the market revisits this zone, watch for absorption and a potential rebound—especially if volatility spikes again. Weekend Game Plan (Brian Mindset) Primary expectation: sideways rotation with spikes (weekend-style volatility) Best approach: trade reactions at the zones, not in the middle of the range Bias handling: Above the pivot → favour pullback-buys toward resistance Into supply → be alert for rejection and rotation sells Into demand → watch for absorption before considering longs In a volatility-reset phase, levels and reactions matter more than prediction. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to catch the next structure update early and exchange ideas with Brian.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Rebounds, Volatility Risk Persists📊 Market Overview: Gold recently experienced a strong sell-off driven by profit-taking pressure and rising risk-off sentiment, pushing prices quickly down to the 4789 area. However, strong dip-buying demand emerged at this deep support zone, helping prices rebound to around 4890. This indicates that the market remains highly volatile and sensitive. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: • 4920 – 4930 • 4980 – 5000 Nearest Support: • 4850 – 4840 • 4790 – 4780 EMA: Price is still trading below the EMA 09, suggesting the short-term trend has not fully reversed to bullish. The current rebound is more of a technical pullback. Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: On the short-term timeframe, a long lower-wick candle formed from the 4789 low, with increased volume at lower levels, confirming real dip-buying interest. However, rebound momentum remains weak, and selling pressure is re-emerging near the 4920 area → risks of consolidation or another pullback remain. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to range or correct in the short term if price fails to decisively break above 4920–4930. A clearer bullish scenario would require holding firmly above 4850. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: 4997 – 5000 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips SL: 5007 BUY XAU/USD at: 4842 – 4839 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips SL: 4832
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H2 Technical Outlook – Consolidation & Range-Building Phase After the recent sharp sell-off, gold is now transitioning into a consolidation phase on the H2 timeframe. The strong bearish impulse has slowed, and current price action suggests the market is shifting from directional movement into range-building and accumulation, rather than continuing lower immediately. This type of behaviour is typical after aggressive volatility, as the market reassesses value and balances supply and demand. Market Structure & Current Behaviour Structurally, price has broken below the prior bullish leg and is now trading within a defined value range: Selling pressure has eased following the downside expansion. Price is rotating around the VAL and lower value areas, indicating acceptance rather than rejection. Momentum is no longer impulsive, pointing to sideways development rather than trend continuation. As long as price remains inside this value range, range trading conditions dominate. Key Value & Liquidity Zones Upper Resistance / Supply Sell Liquidity: 5,330 Sell Zone POC: 5,045 These zones act as overhead supply where upside attempts may be capped during consolidation. Lower Support / Demand VAL zone Buy scalping POC: 4,673 This lower area represents short-term demand, where downside moves are more likely to stall during the accumulation phase. Intraday Expectation For today’s session: Primary expectation: Sideways consolidation within the established range Price is likely to rotate between value extremes rather than trend strongly Breakouts require clear acceptance above resistance or below support to shift bias Until such acceptance occurs, patience and range awareness are more effective than directional conviction. Key Takeaway After strong volatility, markets often pause to rebuild structure. For now, gold appears to be absorbing orders and forming balance, making consolidation the higher-probability scenario. Refer to the chart for highlighted value zones and projected range behaviour. ✅ Follow the TradingView channel to receive early market structure updates and intraday outlooks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Before the Next Decision | Lana ✨ Gold is showing signs of stabilisation after a strong sell-off, and today’s price action may favour Scenario 3: a corrective rebound. This is not a full trend reversal yet, but a likely recovery phase into key imbalance zones, where the market will decide whether to continue lower or rebuild structure for a broader rebound. 📈 Market Structure & Context The recent move down was impulsive, clearing multiple supports and creating a clear bearish displacement. Price is now reacting from a lower base, suggesting selling pressure is slowing and a technical retracement can develop. In this environment, the focus is on how price reacts at FVG/supply zones above, not on chasing moves in the middle of the range. 🔍 Key Zones to Watch Today Buy Liquidity / Base Support: 4640 – 4645 This is the current stabilisation area and the most important zone to defend for any rebound scenario. FVG Support Zone: 4953 – 4958 First major upside target for a corrective rebound. This zone may act as a magnet for price, but also as a reaction area. Sell FVG (Upper Supply): ~5250 – 5320 If the rebound extends, this becomes the next resistance zone where selling pressure may return. Strong Resistance: ~5452 A higher objective only possible if price shows clear acceptance and trend rebuilding above key levels. Structural Pivot: ~5104 A key mid-level. Acceptance above it would strengthen the rebound thesis. 🎯 Scenario 3 – Corrective Rebound Plan If price holds above 4640–4645 and continues to build higher lows, the market may attempt a push back into imbalance: First recovery path: 4640–4645 → 4953–4958 If price accepts above the mid-structure: → 5104 Extension (only with strong acceptance): → 5250–5320 Higher target (less likely today): → 5452 This is a structure-first environment: the rebound is valid as long as price defends the base and prints cleaner bullish follow-through. 🧠 Lana’s View Today’s setup leans toward a retracement-driven rebound, where price rebalances into key zones after a sharp drop. The best approach is to stay patient, track reactions at 4953–4958 and 5250–5320, and let structure confirm whether this rebound is only corrective or the start of a broader recovery. ✨ Stay calm, respect the zones, and let price confirm the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
17
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Bearish OutlookXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Bearish Outlook Structure broken | Selling pressure remains dominant Quick summary Gold has shifted into a clear bearish phase after failing to hold key support levels. The strong sell-off has broken the prior bullish structure, and recent rebounds show signs of weakness rather than accumulation. At this stage, the market is no longer in a buy-the-dip environment. The priority is selling rallies, not catching bottoms. Market structure The previous uptrend has been decisively invalidated by a sharp downside impulse. Price is now trading below former support, which has flipped into resistance. Recent recovery attempts lack follow-through and are corrective in nature. This keeps the broader intraday-to-short-term bias bearish. Key technical zones Primary sell zone: 5100 – 5110 Former support turned resistance. This area favours sell reactions if price retests. Secondary sell / liquidity zone: 4860 – 4900 A corrective bounce into this zone is likely to attract sellers again. Near-term support: 4690 – 4700 A weak support area that may give way if selling pressure resumes. Deeper downside targets: 4400 – 4450, then 4120 if the bearish momentum expands. Trading plan (Liam style: sell the structure) Primary scenario – SELL rallies As long as price remains below 5100, any rebound should be treated as corrective. Sell reactions are preferred at resistance and liquidity zones, targeting further downside continuation. Secondary scenario – Breakdown continuation Failure to hold 4690 – 4700 would confirm continuation lower, opening the path toward deeper value zones. Invalidation Only a strong reclaim and acceptance back above 5100 – 5150 would force a reassessment of the bearish bias. Key notes Volatility remains elevated after the breakdown. Avoid premature longs against structure. Let price come into resistance, then execute. Trend and structure first, opinions second. Focus for now: Selling rallies while structure remains bearish. No bottom fishing. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
17
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity ResetXAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity Reset Before the Next Expansion | Lana ✨ February has opened with heightened volatility across global markets, and gold is no exception. After a strong upside run, XAUUSD has experienced a sharp corrective move, driven largely by deleveraging flows rather than a structural trend reversal. Current price action suggests gold is entering a rebalancing phase, where liquidity is being cleared before the market can attempt a renewed push higher. 📈 Market Structure & Higher-Timeframe Context Gold previously traded in a strong bullish structure, but the recent sell-off marked a clear market structure shift (MSS) on the H4 timeframe. The impulsive decline swept sell-side liquidity below prior consolidation zones, a typical behavior after an extended rally. Despite the speed of the drop, price is now approaching key support and demand areas, where selling pressure may begin to slow. This type of move often reflects position reduction and risk-off behavior, not the end of the broader bullish narrative. 🔍 Key Zones to Monitor Primary Support / Buy Zone: ~4,280 – 4,350 This area represents a strong demand zone where price may stabilize and form a base. Short-Term Reaction Zone: ~4,450 – 4,500 A zone where price could oscillate during consolidation, suitable for short-term reactions rather than trend trades. Sell-Side Liquidity Cleared: The recent drop has already taken liquidity below previous lows, reducing immediate downside pressure. Upside Rebalance Zones (FVG / Supply): ~4,850 – 4,900 ~5,200 – 5,350 These areas are likely to act as resistance during any recovery phase. 🎯 Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Controlled Correction (Base Case): Gold may continue to range or dip modestly into the 4,280–4,350 support zone, allowing the market to complete its liquidity reset. Holding this area would keep the broader bullish structure intact. Scenario 2 – Recovery After Stabilization: Once selling pressure is absorbed, price may begin a gradual recovery, targeting the 4,850–4,900 zone first. Acceptance above this level would open the door toward higher resistance areas. Scenario 3 – Deeper Reset (Lower Probability): A clean break below the main support would suggest a deeper correction, but at this stage, such a move would still be viewed as corrective within a larger cycle, not a full trend reversal. 🌍 Macro Backdrop (Brief) The sharp sell-off in gold, silver, equities, and crypto reflects a global deleveraging wave, intensified by rising geopolitical risks and shifting risk sentiment. In such environments, gold often experiences short-term drawdowns, even as its longer-term role as a hedge remains intact. This reinforces the idea that the current move is more about resetting positioning than changing long-term direction. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is not in a hurry. After a powerful run, the market often needs to pause, rebalance, and absorb liquidity before the next meaningful expansion. Lana remains patient, focusing on how price behaves around key H4 support zones, rather than reacting emotionally to volatility. ✨ Let the correction do its work. Structure will guide the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
7
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical Outlook – SELL Bias Aligned With the Main Trend Gold is entering a strong corrective phase after forming a short-term top, with the H1 structure clearly shifting to the downside. The latest bearish leg is impulsive in nature, reflecting active position unwinding and short-term distribution following the prior extended rally. In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritise sell setups in line with the dominant intraday trend, focusing on reactions around key psychological and value-based levels. Market Structure & Price Behaviour The previous bullish structure has been invalidated by a sharp downside break, confirming a structure shift on H1. Price is now trading below prior value areas, suggesting a transition from expansion into pullback and continuation to the downside. Upward moves at this stage are likely to be corrective rallies rather than trend reversals, offering potential sell opportunities. Key Psychological & Technical Zones 1) Trend-Following SELL Zone Sell VAL: 5,048 – 5,051 This zone represents the lower value area of the most recent distribution range and is acting as a psychological resistance within the current bearish context. Reactions here are critical for assessing sell-side continuation. 2) Near-Term Balance Level The 5,000 psychological level remains a focal point for intraday volatility. How price behaves around this round number will help determine momentum continuation. 3) Deeper BUY Zone (Not a Day-Trade Focus) Buy Zone VAL: 4,450 – 4,455 This is a broader structural support area and should be treated as an observation zone rather than an active long entry during the current session. Intraday Trading Bias Primary bias: SELL, aligned with the current H1 trend Strategy: Look to sell corrective pullbacks into key psychological and value zones Risk note: Avoid counter-trend long positions while the bearish structure remains intact In volatile conditions, following the dominant structure and waiting for price reactions at key levels is more effective than attempting to pick bottoms. Refer to the chart for a detailed view of structure and highlighted zones. Follow the TradingView channel for early market structure updates and ongoing analysis. If you want: a shorter intraday note, a more neutral tone, or an alternative version in UK / Indian English, just say the word and I’ll adjust it for you 👌
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
3
XAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term OutlookXAUUSD – D1 Mid-Term Outlook: Volatility Reset Before the Next Structural Move | Lana ✨ Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off from the highs, marking a clear shift from expansion into a volatility reset phase. While the broader bullish trend has not been fully invalidated, price action now suggests the market is entering a medium-term rebalancing process, where liquidity and structure will play a decisive role. At this stage, the focus moves away from short-term noise and toward key daily levels that will define the next swing direction. 📈 Higher-Timeframe Structure (D1) The strong vertical rally has been followed by a deep corrective candle, indicating distribution and profit-taking at premium levels. Price has broken below short-term momentum support but is still trading above major higher-timeframe trend structure. This behavior is typical after an extended rally, where the market needs time to absorb supply and reset positioning before choosing the next medium-term direction. The current structure favors range development or a corrective swing, rather than immediate continuation to new highs. 🔍 Key Daily Zones to Watch Major Resistance Zone: ~5400 – 5450 This area represents strong overhead supply. Any recovery into this zone is likely to face selling pressure and should be treated as a reaction zone, not a breakout zone. Strong Liquidity Level: ~5100 A key magnet for price. Acceptance above or rejection below this level will heavily influence medium-term bias. Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: ~4680 – 4700 This is a critical downside target where stops and unfilled liquidity are resting. High-Liquidity Buy Zone: ~4290 A major higher-timeframe demand area. If price reaches this zone, it would complete a deep correction within the broader bullish cycle and open the door for medium-term accumulation. 🎯 Medium-Term Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Corrective Recovery, Then Sell Pressure (Primary): Price may attempt a rebound toward 5100 or even the 5400–5450 resistance zone. As long as price remains below this resistance, rallies are more likely to be corrective, offering opportunities to reassess shorts or reduce long exposure. Scenario 2 – Continuation of the Correction: Failure to reclaim 5100 increases the probability of a continued move lower toward 4680–4700, where sell-side liquidity is resting. Scenario 3 – Deep Reset and Structural Buy: If downside momentum accelerates, a move toward the 4290 high-liquidity zone would represent a full medium-term reset. This area is where stronger buyers may re-enter and where the next swing-long narrative could begin to form. 🌍 Market Context (Medium-Term View) Such sharp daily moves often occur during periods of macro repricing and sentiment shifts, forcing the market to rebalance expectations. In these environments, gold tends to oscillate between liquidity zones, rather than trend cleanly in one direction. This makes patience and level-based execution more important than prediction. 🧠 Lana’s Perspective The market is no longer in a “buy-every-dip” phase. This is a transition environment, where gold needs to finish its liquidity work before the next sustained move develops. Lana stays neutral-to-cautious in the medium term, focusing on reactions at daily liquidity zones, not emotional bias. ✨ Let the structure reset, let liquidity clear, and wait for the market to show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
10
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly OutlookXAUUSD (H4) – Liam Weekly Outlook Uptrend under pressure, but not broken | Focus on retests and reactions Quick summary Gold has experienced a sharp corrective move after an extended bullish run. The recent sell-off has broken the steep short-term uptrend, but price has not confirmed a full trend reversal on H4. At this stage, the market is transitioning into a rebalancing phase. For the coming week, the edge is not in predicting direction, but in trading reactions at key structure, Fibonacci, and FVG levels. Market structure overview The prior bullish trend has lost momentum after a vertical expansion. Price has broken below the aggressive trendline, signaling trend exhaustion, not automatic reversal. Current price action suggests a corrective structure with potential for range development or trend resumption after liquidity is rebalanced. ➡️ Bias remains neutral-to-bullish, conditional on how price reacts at key levels. Key technical zones for the week Primary buy-on-retest zone: trendline retest area around 4850 – 4900 This area has already shown reaction and acts as the first decision point for buyers. Fibonacci 0.618 / key reaction zone: 5030 – 5050 A pivotal mid-range level. Acceptance above favors continuation; rejection keeps price corrective. FVG + Fibonacci confluence: 5235 – 5260 This is a major imbalance zone. If price rallies into this area, expect strong reaction and two-sided trade. Lower liquidity / value zone: 4540 area This remains the deeper downside objective if higher levels fail to hold and the correction expands. Weekly scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) Scenario A – Trendline retest holds (bullish continuation) If price continues to hold above the trendline retest zone and builds higher lows: Look for bullish continuation toward 5030 → 5235 Break and acceptance above the FVG zone would reopen upside continuation potential. Logic: This confirms the move as a healthy correction within a broader bullish structure. Scenario B – Rejection from mid-range (extended correction) If price fails to reclaim and hold above 5030 – 5050: Expect choppy, corrective price action Risk shifts toward a deeper pullback into 4540 Logic: Failure to hold the 0.618 zone keeps the market in rebalancing mode. Scenario C – FVG test and rejection If price rallies aggressively into 5235 – 5260: This zone favors reaction and profit-taking Acceptance above is required for any sustained bullish continuation. Logic: FVG zones after strong sell-offs often act as distribution or reaction points before direction is decided. Key notes for the week Volatility remains elevated after the sell-off — expect false breaks. Avoid mid-range trades without confirmation. Let price prove acceptance or rejection at levels before committing. This is a week for patience and execution, not conviction. Weekly focus: Will gold hold the trendline retest and rebuild higher, or fail at the 5030–5050 zone and rotate deeper into value? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
28
XAUUSD – M15 Technical Outlook XAUUSD – M15 Technical Outlook Sideways to bearish correction | Liquidity clearing phase Gold has shifted from expansion into a sideways-to-bearish corrective phase on M15. After the prior impulsive leg, current price action no longer supports immediate continuation. Instead, the market is rotating and compressing, signaling a liquidity-seeking environment, likely to the downside. This is not a trend-following setup. The focus here is liquidity behavior and reaction zones, not anticipation. Market Structure Price is trading within a descending corrective channel, reflecting short-term bearish pressure. Momentum has slowed significantly, with compressed candles and weak follow-through. Price is consolidating below prior highs, a structure that often precedes a stop sweep rather than a breakout. The structure favors further downside exploration before any meaningful stabilization. Key Technical Zones Upper supply / strong volume zone: 5460 – 5480 This area previously attracted heavy volume and remains a rejection zone on any bounce. Sell FVG: 5324 – 5330 As long as price remains below this zone, rallies are corrective and favor sell-side reactions. Current consolidation range: 5150 – 5220 This range represents indecision and liquidity build-up, not accumulation. Primary downside liquidity target: 4900 – 4906 This zone aligns with higher-timeframe structure and represents a natural area for sell-side liquidity to be cleared. Intraday Scenarios Primary scenario – Liquidity sweep lower As long as price is capped below 5324–5330, the path of least resistance remains lower. A break of the current range opens the door toward 4900–4906 to complete the liquidity objective. Secondary scenario – Corrective bounce Short-term rebounds may occur from the range, but unless price reclaims and holds above the sell FVG, these moves remain corrective only. Stabilization scenario If price reaches 4900–4906, monitor closely for absorption and structural change. Only a clear shift here would suggest the correction is complete. Liam’s Take This is liquidity cleanup, not trend failure. Compression phases punish early entries and reward patience. Let price do the work. Wait for liquidity to be taken, then reassess structure. — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
10
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook: Short-Term Sell Pressure as Liquidity Gets Cleared | Lana ✨ Gold is showing signs of short-term weakness after an aggressive upside expansion. Price action suggests the market may continue to move lower in the near term, not as a trend reversal, but as a liquidity-driven correction within a broader bullish structure. At this stage, the focus shifts from continuation to how price behaves while liquidity is being taken below structure. 📈 Market Structure & Price Behavior The recent vertical rally has left the market overextended, making a corrective phase technically healthy. Price has broken below short-term support and is now trading under a descending corrective trendline, signaling short-term bearish pressure. This type of structure often develops when the market needs to clean buy-side positions before rebuilding for the next leg. While the higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, the intraday bias has shifted to corrective / bearish until liquidity objectives are met. 🔍 Key Liquidity Zones on the Chart Short-term sell zone: the descending trendline near current price As long as price reacts below this trendline, rallies are more likely to be sold. Scalping buy liquidity: around 5050–5070 This area may generate temporary bounces, but reactions here should be treated as short-term only. Key bullish order block: 4825 – 4830 A critical zone where stronger buyer participation may appear if the sell-off extends. Major swing liquidity zone: 4613 – 4625 This is a high-confidence liquidity pocket where the market could complete a deeper correction and reset the broader bullish structure. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary scenario – Continuation of the pullback: As long as price remains below the descending trendline, gold may continue to move lower to sweep liquidity below recent lows. This favors sell-on-rallies rather than buying strength. Secondary scenario – Temporary reaction: Short-term bounces may occur around the 5050–5070 area, but without structural reclaim, these moves are more likely corrective than trend-changing. Structural defense scenario: If price reaches the 4825–4830 or 4613–4625 zones, watch closely for signs of stabilization and absorption, which would signal that the liquidity objective has been completed. 🧠 Lana’s View This move lower is best seen as liquidity cleanup, not panic selling. Lana stays patient during corrective phases, avoiding early longs and waiting for price to reach clear liquidity zones before reassessing bullish continuation. ✨ Let the market take what it needs, then look for structure to rebuild.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
10
XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After XAUUSD – Brian | 30M – Value Shift After a Sharp Volatility Move Gold has just experienced a significant volatility event, with price selling off aggressively from the highs before rebounding sharply. The market is now trading around a newly formed value area, a typical behaviour when price transitions from expansion into a rebalancing phase. In this environment, value and POC levels tend to guide price more effectively than individual candles. Macro Context (Brief) Market sentiment remains sensitive to macro risks, including commodity volatility, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy expectations. Gold ETF holdings have shown no meaningful change recently, suggesting no clear signs of institutional liquidation. The current volatility therefore appears more consistent with a positioning adjustment rather than a broader trend reversal. Technical Analysis from the Chart (30M) Following the sharp sell-off, price is now forming a well-defined trading range, with value areas acting as key reference points: 1) Upper Supply / Reaction Zones POC – SELL: 5,531–5,526 The previous high-value zone, where selling pressure may re-emerge if price retraces higher. Sell VAH: 5,365–5,369 The value area high, typically a reaction zone if distribution pressure remains present. 2) Current Balance Area The 5,180–5,200 region is currently acting as a balancing zone after the volatility. Acceptance and consolidation above this area would increase the probability of a move back towards the VAH. 3) Lower Demand / Support Zones POC Buy (scalping): 5,187 A short-term support area for technical reactions. Buy VAL – Support: 5,058–5,064 The most important lower support zone. If a deeper liquidity sweep occurs, this area is likely to attract attention for potential absorption and short-term reversal. Price Scenarios (Structure-Based) Scenario A (Preferred if value holds): Price holds above 5,180–5,200 → recovery towards 5,365–5,369 (VAH). Scenario B (Rejection from above): Price retraces into the VAH zone but faces clear rejection → rotation back towards the 5,187 / 5,180 area. Scenario C (Deeper liquidation): Loss of 5,180 → liquidity sweep into 5,058–5,064 (VAL) before attempting to rebuild. Key Takeaway In a rebalancing phase, value acceptance matters more than directional prediction. Focus on how price behaves around 5,180–5,200, the reaction at 5,365–5,369, and whether deeper support at 5,058–5,064 attracts meaningful buying interest. Refer to the chart for detailed POC, VAH and VAL levels. Follow the TradingView channel to receive early structure insights and join the discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
5
Gold, risks are looming!The current gold market is booming, surging forward with overwhelming momentum. After opening with a gap on Monday, it quickly filled the gap, touching a low of around 4989 before resuming its upward trend. Last night, it rapidly broke through the resistance level of 5110 and surpassed the 5200 mark, currently reaching a high of 5247. The price movement in the short term is dazzling. The current rise is mainly due to renewed geopolitical risks, coupled with growing market expectations of a Fed rate cut, leading to a reckless surge by the bulls. From a technical perspective, gold is at a dangerously high level, with major indicators showing signs of severe overbought conditions. There is upward pressure for a pullback, but the ultimate destination remains uncertain. Market movements often end in a frenzy, and yesterday's and the initial surge after the opening may be the last gasp from the bulls. I personally predict that gold may show signs of topping out today. Coupled with the interest rate decision, the current rapid rise may be a premature release of bullish energy. At this point, support and resistance levels are not important; it's more about psychological factors. Given this unclear pattern, we can only try small, high-risk strategies and avoid wishful thinking. Light, tentative trades are the best approach. Intraday, we can consider shorting around 5245-5260, carefully managing our position size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
1
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATHXAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 28) New ATH, strong safe-haven flow | Follow trend, buy FVG pullbacks only Quick summary Gold continues to print new all-time highs as global capital rotates into safe-haven assets amid persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty tied to recent US policy decisions. Additional support comes from concerns around Fed independence and expectations of lower US rates, keeping real yields capped. Despite the bullish backdrop, price is now extended above equilibrium. The edge is not in chasing strength, but in waiting for pullbacks into imbalance and liquidity zones. ➡️ Bias stays bullish, execution stays patient. Macro context (why gold stays bid, but volatile) Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps structural demand for gold intact. Rate-cut expectations and doubts around Fed autonomy weaken the USD’s long-term appeal. USD is attempting a technical bounce, but this has not shifted gold’s underlying bid. ➡️ Conclusion: macro supports higher prices, but short-term moves will likely rotate to rebalance inefficiencies. Technical view (H2 – based on the chart) Price is trending cleanly higher after multiple bullish BOS, riding an ascending structure and expanding into premium. Key levels from the chart: ✅ Major extension / sell-side target: 5280 – 5320 (2.618 fib expansion) ✅ FVG / continuation buy zone: 5155 – 5170 ✅ Structure support: 5000 – 5050 ✅ Trend invalidation (deeper): below 4950 Current price action suggests a likely path of push → pullback → continuation, rather than straight-line expansion. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation) A. BUY the FVG pullback (cleanest setup) ✅ Buy zone: 5155 – 5170 Condition: price taps FVG and shows bullish reaction (reclaim / HL / displacement on M15–H1) SL (guide): below 5125 or below reaction low TP1: recent high TP2: 5280 TP3: 5320+ if momentum expands Logic: This FVG aligns with prior buy-side liquidity and structure — a high-probability continuation zone. B. BUY deeper structure support (only if volatility spikes) ✅ Buy zone: 5000 – 5050 Condition: liquidity sweep + strong rejection TP: 5170 → 5280 Logic: This is value within trend. No interest in longs above premium if this level breaks. 2️⃣ SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction only) SELL at extension (scalp / tactical only) ✅ Sell zone: 5280 – 5320 Condition: clear rejection / failure to hold highs on lower TF TP: 5200 → 5170 Logic: Extension zones are for profit-taking and short-term mean rotation, not trend reversal calls. Key notes New ATHs invite FOMO — don’t be that liquidity. Best trades come after pullbacks, not during impulse candles. Reduce size around Fed headlines. What’s your plan: buying the 5155–5170 FVG pullback, or waiting for a stretch into 5280–5320 to fade the reaction? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
10
XAUUSD – M45 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – M45 Technical Outlook: Strong Momentum, Now Watch Liquidity Reactions | Lana ✨ Gold has surged above $5,250, extending its bullish run with strong momentum. Price action remains constructive, but as the market pushes deeper into premium territory, liquidity reactions become more important than raw momentum. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action Gold continues to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a strong bullish structure. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) points on the chart highlight persistent buyer control. The recent leg higher was aggressive, indicating momentum-driven buying, but also increasing the likelihood of short-term reactions. At current levels, the market is extended above value, which often precedes either consolidation or a controlled pullback. 🔍 Key Technical Zones on M45 Upper Supply / Reaction Zone: 5280 – 5310 This area represents a premium zone where price may face profit-taking or liquidity sweeps before choosing direction. Immediate Support (Channel Mid / Retest Zone): 5200 – 5220 A key area where price could pull back and attempt to hold structure. Strong Sell-Side Liquidity Zone: around 5050 Marked clearly on the chart, this is a deeper level where liquidity is resting and where stronger buyer reactions could emerge if the pullback extends. As long as price remains inside the channel, the broader bullish bias stays intact. 🎯 Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Extension With Caution: If price continues higher into the 5280–5310 zone, expect increased volatility and potential short-term rejection. This area is better suited for risk management and observation, not aggressive chasing. Scenario 2 – Healthy Pullback (Preferred): A pullback toward 5200–5220 would allow price to rebalance liquidity while maintaining structure. Holding this zone supports continuation within the channel. Scenario 3 – Deeper Liquidity Sweep: If volatility expands, a move toward the ~5050 sell-side liquidity zone could occur before a stronger continuation leg develops. 🌍 Market Context (Brief) Gold’s sharp move above $5,250 reflects ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid persistent macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Strong daily gains reinforce bullish sentiment, but such vertical moves also tend to attract short-term profit-taking, making structure and liquidity levels critical. 🧠 Lana’s View The trend is bullish, but not every bullish move is a buy. At extended levels, Lana focuses on how price reacts at liquidity zones, not on chasing momentum. ✨ Respect the structure, stay patient near extremes, and let the market come to your levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
10