Gold May See a Short-Term Pullback Before Choosing Direction📊 Market Overview
Gold prices are currently fluctuating near high levels after a strong previous rally. Short-term bullish momentum has slowed as profit-taking emerges during the session. The market is entering a waiting phase for clearer short-term signals.
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📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance
1️⃣ Near resistance zone: 4380 – 4390
2️⃣ Strong resistance: 4410 – 4420
• Key Support
1️⃣ Short-term support: 4350 – 4340
2️⃣ Deeper support: 4315 – 4305
• EMA 09:
Price is hovering around the EMA 09, indicating that the short-term trend is unclear and leaning toward sideways consolidation.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
H1 candles show repeated upper wicks with weakening volume, signaling buying pressure absorption and a high chance of a short-term technical pullback before a new direction forms.
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📌 Outlook
Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break above the 4380–4390 zone. Conversely, holding firmly above 4350 could allow accumulation and a rebound in the next session.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4390 – 4393
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4396.5
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4340 – 4337
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4333.5
Goldtrend
XAUUSD (Gold) – Short-Term Sell Before Higher-Timeframe BuyGold is currently trading below a key intraday equilibrium after failing to sustain above the prior supply zone around 4,340–4,360. The recent rejection from this area confirms bearish intent in the short term, with price now actively seeking sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows.
The structure suggests a controlled pullback rather than a trend reversal. Price is likely to continue selling into the 4,270–4,250 liquidity pocket, where a deeper demand zone and unmitigated orders sit. This area aligns with prior consolidation and represents a high-probability reaction zone.
Once sell-side liquidity is fully taken and bearish momentum weakens, I’ll be looking for bullish confirmation (displacement or strong rejection) from this lower demand region to position for a move back into premium. If confirmed, upside targets remain the 4,340–4,360 zone, with an extension toward 4,380+, where previous highs and external liquidity reside.
Bias Summary:
• Short-term: Bearish (sell to take liquidity)
• Mid-term: Bullish after liquidity sweep
• Patience required — execution only after confirmation at demand
This is a classic sell first, buy later setup. Let the market take liquidity, then follow smart money back to the upside.
Gold consolidates near 4345, watching resistance.📊 Market Overview
• Gold is currently trading around 4345 USD/oz, following a short-term technical rebound from recent lows.
• With no major news catalysts, price action is mainly driven by technical factors and short-term capital flows, increasing the likelihood of sideways movement or a mild correction.
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📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels
• 4360 – 4365 → Near-term resistance, potential short-term selling pressure
• 4380 – 4385 → Stronger resistance, a zone where price was previously rejected
• Nearest Support Levels :
• 4330 – 4325 → Intraday support, crucial for short-term direction
• 4305 – 4300 → Strong support, potential area for technical buying interest
• EMA:
• Price is hovering around the EMA 09 on the short-term timeframe → trend remains unclear, leaning toward consolidation or a mild pullback.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Bullish momentum is weakening, with no significant volume expansion → the current rebound appears technical in nature.
• No strong reversal candlestick pattern yet → confirmation is needed from price reaction at 4360 or 4330.
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📌 Outlook
Gold may consolidate or correct in the short term if it fails to break above 4360–4365.
Conversely, as long as 4330 holds, a technical rebound remains possible.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
SELL at: 4362 – 4365
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4368.5
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
BUY at: 4328 – 4325
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4321.5
Despite the rebound, continue to short gold.Gold Price Analysis: This morning, a short position was suggested around 4380. The price touched this level multiple times and fell as expected, reaching a low of around 4359 before rebounding. A total profit of 340 pips was gained. However, those who didn't exit the position would have been stopped out by this rebound. Currently, the hourly chart shows a slow, upward trend with consecutive positive candles. The resistance level is around 4380-4400. During the European session, observe the upward momentum. If the price continues to rise and encounters resistance around 4380-4400, then consider shorting again around 4380-4400, anticipating a pullback.
Gold Technical Analysis: For today's market, firstly, the 4300 level is near the 20-day moving average, indicating a short-term oversold rebound. However, a bearish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily chart. Looking at the 4-hour chart: firstly, in a weak market, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is the best entry point for shorting, which is around 4397-4400, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the 4550-4302 range. This also coincides with the 10-day moving average. Secondly, the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 have begun to turn downwards. Regarding resistance, the primary focus is on the 4380-4385 area, which is the previous high. The price has already broken below this area, and subsequent rebounds should be monitored to see if this level forms sustained resistance. The overall strategy remains bearish, suggesting looking for opportunities to short on rebounds. The downside target remains around 4310, and a break below 4300 would further target around 4270. In summary, Jin Shengfu suggests a strategy of primarily selling on rallies and secondarily buying on dips for gold trading. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4380-4400, while the key support level is around 4300-4270. Please follow the recommendations carefully.
A short-term turning point for gold is imminent.Gold surged due to news, reaching a new high near 4420. For a smooth reversal, a false breakout followed by a pullback is likely needed to trigger a trend reversal. Currently, gold has not yet completed a valid pullback confirmation after briefly breaking through the 4400 level. Typically, after a price breaks above a key psychological level, a pullback is necessary to consolidate before continuing the upward trend. While maintaining a strong upward trend, the key short-term resistance zone is 4430-4450. Consider a small short position upon reaching this level, entering in batches with small positions and managing position size carefully to avoid losses during the confirmation of a right-side high, which could be accompanied by repeated rallies and pullbacks. Downside targets are 4400-4380-4365, with further resistance at 4460-4480. Important reminder: Do not chase the price above 4400. Beware of the risk of a pullback after a surge. Markets driven by news often rise quickly, but once the positive news has been fully priced in, the pullback can be just as rapid.
Gold Price Breaks Above $4,500 for the First TimeGold Price Breaks Above $4,500 for the First Time
Just four days ago, we reported on the record breakout above the $4,400 level. The bullish gold market is now providing a new reason for analysis. As the XAU/USD chart shows, the gold price has risen above $4,530 today, marking a new all-time high.
The fundamental backdrop supporting demand for the metal is driven by expectations of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve in 2026, a weaker US dollar, and rising geopolitical tensions.
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart
The previously established ascending channel has changed in width but has maintained its angle of inclination. In this context:
→ the upper boundary is acting as resistance;
→ the channel median is providing market support.
Note that:
→ following the breakout above the $4,350 level (as indicated by the arrow), the price advanced steadily towards $4,400;
→ however, in recent days the RSI indicator has been forming bearish divergences, suggesting that bullish momentum may be losing strength.
Under these conditions, the market appears vulnerable to the formation of a corrective pullback.
Indeed, after an approximate 70% rally since the beginning of the year, profit-taking from long positions looks increasingly attractive. Nevertheless, given the holiday period, we may see gold price fluctuations simply fade near the newly reached record, with market activity resuming in the new year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Maintains Strong Uptrend – Caution for Short-Term Pullback📊 Market Overview
Gold prices continue to surge and are currently trading around 4400 USD/oz. The rally is supported by expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, a weakening U.S. dollar, and sustained safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties.
However, after such a sharp and extended rise, short-term profit-taking pressure may begin to appear.
📉 Technical Analysis
🔺 Key Resistance Levels
• 4415 – 4420: Strong psychological resistance where price may show technical reactions.
• 4455 – 4470: Extended resistance zone if gold breaks and holds firmly above 4400.
🔻 Key Support Levels
• 4378 – 4388: Immediate short-term support and technical pullback zone within the uptrend.
• 4355 – 4365: Stronger support if a deeper correction occurs during the U.S. session.
📈 EMA
• Price is trading above the EMA 09, confirming that the short-term bullish trend remains intact.
🕯️ Candlestick / Volume / Momentum
• Strong bullish candles indicate that buyers are still in control.
• Momentum is elevated, suggesting a potential pause, consolidation, or upper-wick reaction near resistance.
• No clear reversal pattern is visible on H1/H4 yet → the primary trend remains bullish.
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📌 Outlook
Gold may continue rising in the short term as long as price holds above the 4380–4390 zone.
However, as price approaches 4415–4420, technical pullbacks or strong intraday volatility are likely before the market establishes its next direction.
💡 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4368 – 4365
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4361.5
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4420 – 4423
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4426.5
Gold Price Breaks Above $4,400 for the First TimeGold Price Breaks Above $4,400 for the First Time
As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold has climbed above $4,400 today, setting a new all-time high.
On Friday, when analysing the gold chart, we highlighted a triangle formation and noted strong selling pressure near the previous record high around $4,380, set in October.
However, over the weekend geopolitical tensions intensified following reports that the United States detained an oil tanker linked to Venezuela. At the turn of the week, this resulted in a clear triangle breakout (as indicated by the arrow):
→ during the second half of Friday’s session, gold moved above the upper boundary of the pattern;
→ at the Asian open, the price turned higher after retesting that level, with former resistance acting as support.
As a result, concerns about a potential armed conflict involving the US have shifted the balance of supply and demand decisively higher.
The bullish momentum has justified the construction of an ascending channel. It is worth noting that the RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory. Intraday trading during the US session could therefore bring some corrective pullback, with potential support coming from:
→ the lower boundary of the newly formed channel;
→ the area between the previous peak at $4,380 and the psychological $4,000 level.
According to Goldman Sachs analysts, structural demand from central banks combined with falling interest rates could drive gold prices towards $4,900 by the end of 2026.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: Gold Breaks to Record HighMarket Analysis: Gold Breaks to Record High
Gold price started a fresh surge above $4,350 and traded to a new all-time high.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price rallied to a new all-time high and traded above $4,395 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $4,334 on the hourly chart of gold.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold, the price formed support near $4,240. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a fresh increase above $4,300, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
The bulls pushed the price above $4,360 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it traded to a new all-time high at $4,397. The price is still showing bullish signs above $4,380, and the RSI is above 70.
Initial support on the downside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,271 swing low to the $4,397 high at $4,365. The next area of interest might be near a key bullish trend line at $4,335 and the 50% Fib retracement.
A downside break below the trend line might send the price to $4,300. If the bulls fail to protect $4,300, the price could start a larger downside correction. In the stated case, Gold could drop toward $4,240.
The next area for the bulls might be $4,220. A daily close below $4,220 could spark bearish moves and send the price to $4,150.
If there is a fresh increase, the price could face resistance at $4,400. The next sell zone might be $4,420. An upside break above the $4,420 resistance could send Gold price toward $4,465. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase to $4,500.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Trade Update – Target Achieved (ATH Hit)After 42 days of patience and disciplined execution, Gold has successfully reached the take-profit level at all-time highs. Price respected the higher-timeframe bullish structure, defended key demand, and continued to print higher highs and higher lows throughout the move.
The consolidation phase that followed the initial impulse acted as accumulation, not weakness. Once liquidity below was absorbed and structure was reclaimed, price expanded cleanly to the upside, delivering the anticipated continuation into ATH liquidity.
This move reinforces the importance of trusting structure, allowing trades the time they need to mature, and avoiding premature exits. As long as Gold maintains bullish structure above key support, pullbacks remain corrective. For now, objectives have been met and risk has been fully realized.
Plan executed. Patience rewarded.
Gold Price Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations!Gold prices experienced a sharp rise and fall yesterday following the release of the CPI data. The price failed to break through the historical high near 4381. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates weakening bullish momentum, with the RSI retreating from overbought territory. As the daily closing price retreated after a surge, gold remains within its trading range, but the overall trend is bearish. Yesterday's sharp decline after hitting the previous high suggests a double top pattern on the daily chart, forming an M-top with the previous high of 4381. Today, the 4340-4355 area presents resistance; consider shorting near this resistance level. Support lies around 4300; a break below this level would open up further downside potential. Furthermore, it's worth noting that the US session has seen sell-offs for the past two Fridays this month; caution is advised today.
In the short term, the first resistance level to watch is the 4340-4355 area. This area has repeatedly suppressed gold prices in the past. Although gold briefly broke through this area yesterday, it failed to hold and subsequently fell back below the resistance level. The first support level to watch is the 4308-4300 area. This area is not only yesterday's low but also the trendline support formed by connecting the lows since Friday's surge and pullback. Further support is around the 4270-4260 area, a key support level formed by previous top-bottom reversals. Pay attention to the 4300 psychological support level. Short-term traders can consider a long position at this level if the price fluctuates. If it breaks through, it should not be considered. On the upside, the key resistance area to watch is the dense resistance zone around 4340-4355. If it rebounds to this level, short positions should still be considered. In summary, the recommended trading strategy for gold is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4345-4360, while the key support level is around 4270-4260. Please keep up with the market's pace.
Gold Price Analysis: Price Retreats From Record HighsGold Price Analysis: Price Retreats From Record Highs
As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold rallied yesterday to near its October all-time high around the 4,380 level, before pulling back (as indicated by the arrow).
The surge in volatility was driven by a combination of factors:
→ Expectations of US rate cuts. According to media reports, data released yesterday showed that inflation slowed to 2.7% in November, below the 3.1% forecast, while core CPI eased to 2.6%, the lowest reading since March 2021. Markets are currently pricing in roughly a 25% chance of a rate cut in January, with a cut by April seen as almost certain.
→ Geopolitical tensions. Traders are closely monitoring developments linked to Venezuela, where the risk of an armed conflict involving the United States has increased. Market participants also reacted to statements from UK and European politicians ahead of the EU summit.
On 5 December, we:
→ noted that the lack of a clear trend had resulted in the formation of a symmetrical triangle, with its midline around $4,205;
→ suggested that this pattern on the XAU/USD chart could act like a “compressed spring”, eventually leading to a volatility breakout.
Such a volatility surge materialised on 11–12 December, when gold broke out of the triangle and posted a high near $4,340.
Since then, a new triangle has begun to form, with a central axis around $4,316, reflecting a developing balance between supply and demand. In this context, it is worth highlighting that:
→ yesterday’s rally and subsequent reversal can be interpreted as a false bullish breakout, signalling strong selling pressure near the record high and suggesting that gold may retreat towards the lower boundary of the emerging triangle;
→ the approaching holiday period is typically associated with thinner market liquidity, which often amplifies price swings. In such conditions, gold could still surprise traders with another push to fresh record highs.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAU/USD – Gold Likely to Continue Short-Term Correction📊 Market Overview
Gold prices are currently fluctuating around the $4,320–$4,336/oz area and showing mild downside pressure as traders take profits ahead of key U.S. inflation data releases. While gold remains supported by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, gains are limited by a relatively firm U.S. dollar.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
1. $4,350 – $4,380 (recent high / selling pressure zone)
2. $4,380+ (psychological and historical high zone)
• Nearest Support Levels:
1. $4,280 – $4,300 (key psychological and pullback support)
2. $4,250 – $4,260 (short-term technical support)
• EMA:
Price remains above EMA 09, indicating that the broader trend is still bullish, although short-term momentum is weakening.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
RSI is hovering near the neutral zone, suggesting the market is no longer overbought.
MACD shows early bearish signals, indicating potential continuation of short-term corrective pressure.
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📌 Outlook
Gold may continue to correct or move sideways in the short term if selling pressure persists near the $4,350–$4,380 resistance zone and the U.S. dollar remains strong.
A confirmed break below the $4,280–$4,300 support area could open the door for a deeper pullback toward $4,250.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $4,375 – $4,378
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $4,381.5
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $4,295– $4,292
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $4,288.5
XAUUSD 1H – Symmetrical Compression, Breakout LoadingOANDA:XAUUSD
If price retests trendline and holds 4,185–4,200 zone, a bullish continuation toward upper resistance is expected. A clean breakout above 4,244.572 would confirm strength and open a path to further highs. However, a breakdown through 4,185 → 4,158 exposes demand deeper at 4,112 → 3,999.
Key Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Case (Continuation)
Hold trendline + break above 4,244.572
🎯 Target 1 → 4,263 – prior high range
🎯 Target 2 → 4,280 breakout expansion
🚫 Invalidation if price drops below 4,158
🔴 Bearish Case (If support fails)
Break below 4,185 floor and retest rejection
🎯 Target 1 → 4,158
🎯 Target 2 → 4,112 liquidity zone
🎯 Target 3 → 3,999 extreme sweep
Current Levels to Watch
Support: 4,185 / 4,158
Resistance: 4,244.5
Decision zone = triangle breakout
⚠️ All analysis is educational, not financial advice.
Gold Holds Steady, Eyes Higher in the Short Term📊 Market Overview
• Spot gold is trading around ~$4,300–$4,335/oz in real-time, hovering near multi-week highs as expectations for Fed rate cuts grow and safe-haven demand increases amid weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data.
• Recent news shows gold gaining approximately ~0.3–0.4%, supported by soft U.S. employment figures and a weaker U.S. dollar, which has boosted capital inflows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
– ~$4,380–$4,400 — short-term historical highs and a major psychological barrier.
– ~$4,360–$4,370 — recent highs over the past few sessions.
• Key Support Levels:
– ~$4,280–$4,290 — near-term support before deeper pullbacks.
– ~$4,230–$4,240 — short-term moving average (EMA/MA) support zone.
• EMA & Trend:
– Price is currently trading above several key moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish bias remains intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum:
– Momentum is not overly strong, but RSI remains neutral to slightly bullish, supporting a mild upside continuation as long as support holds.
📌 Outlook
In the short term, gold may continue to trade in a mildly bullish or sideways range with an upward bias, especially if the Fed maintains a more dovish stance and the USD continues to weaken. A breakout above $4,360–$4,380 could push prices to retest the $4,400+ zone. Conversely, a drop below $4,280 may trigger a deeper pullback.
💡 Proposed Trading Strategy
📉 SELL XAU/USD:
• Entry zone: 4,367–4,370
• 🎯 TP: +40 / +80 / +200 pips
• ❌ SL: 4,373.5
📈 BUY XAU/USD:
• Support zone: 4,295–4,298
• 🎯 TP: +40 / +80 / +200 pips
• ❌ SL: 4,291.5
How to navigate the volatile gold market?Gold Price Trend Analysis: Gold prices experienced a slight rise followed by a pullback during the day. Currently, gold continues to consolidate within a high-level range on the daily chart, with prices temporarily compressed between 4270 and 4350.
Gold Technical Analysis: On the hourly chart, short-term moving averages are basically converging and flat. Short-term focus is on the resistance zone around 4345. The short-term trend is likely to continue its sideways movement. There is currently some divergence on the hourly chart, with short-term moving averages starting to turn downwards. The candlestick chart is slowly putting pressure on the short-term moving averages, suggesting potential further downside in the short term. Monitor the short-term correction and recovery. Overall, the recommended trading strategy for gold is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. Key resistance levels to watch are around 4345-4355, and key support levels are around 4305-4290. Please follow the trend closely.
Gold Pulls Back Slightly, Uptrend Intact📊 Market Overview:
Spot gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4323 USD, slightly lower than the 4327 USD level seen 1–2 hours earlier. This pullback is mainly driven by short-term profit-taking following recent gains, while the US dollar has shown temporary stabilization. At this stage, there is no strong bearish fundamental catalyst capable of reversing gold’s primary trend.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance Levels:
– 4327 – 4332
– 4338 – 4345
• Nearest Support Levels:
– 4318 – 4315
– 4308 – 4305
• EMA:
Price remains above EMA 09 (H1) → the short-term bullish trend remains intact.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
H1 candles show upper wicks near the 4327 zone, indicating short-term selling pressure. However, selling volume has not expanded significantly, suggesting sellers lack strong conviction. Momentum has weakened slightly but remains above neutral levels.
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📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a minor short-term correction if price continues to be rejected around the 4327–4332 resistance zone. Conversely, if price holds above 4318 and buying pressure returns, the bullish trend is likely to resume, with potential upside toward higher resistance levels.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4327 – 4332
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4336
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4318 – 4315
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4312
Gold's double top pattern is under pressure as expected!Gold Price Trend Analysis: Gold rose to a high of around 4318 before weakening and falling. Currently, it is temporarily maintaining a high-level range-bound consolidation on the daily chart. The consecutive long upper shadows on the candlestick chart indicate insufficient upward momentum in the short term, and the price is temporarily under pressure around 4320.
Gold Technical Analysis: On the hourly chart, short-term moving averages are starting to turn downwards and diverge. The candlestick pattern continues to be pressured by short-term moving averages, maintaining a slightly weak trend. In the short term, pay attention to the support zone around 4270-4260. After a bottoming-out rebound, the hourly chart is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuation at low levels. The technical pattern shows signs of gradually completing its repair, and there may be some room for a small rebound in the short term. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair situation. Currently, near the European session, gold has fallen to a low of around 4270, which is also close to the double bottom of the previous low of 4255. The current European session suggests a continued downward trend, with the 4300-4320 level acting as a secondary resistance point. On the hourly chart, a pullback to the 4270-4255 area could present an opportunity to enter long positions. Overall, the recommended trading strategy for gold is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4300-4320, while the key support level is around 4270-4250. Please stay on track.
Short-Term Trend Pauses, Awaiting Breakout Direction📊 Market Overview
Gold is currently trading around the 4,320 level after a corrective move from higher prices. Short-term bullish momentum has slowed, and the market has shifted into a consolidation phase as buying and selling pressures are temporarily balanced, awaiting a new signal during the U.S. session.
📐 Technical Analysis
Short-term trend: Bullish correction (uptrend pausing)
Near resistance: 4,333 – 4,345
Major resistance: 4,360 – 4,380
Near support: 4,315 – 4,310
Strong support: 4,295 – 4,285
Price remains above EMA 20 & EMA 50 (M15–H1) → bullish structure remains intact
If price fails to break above 4,333–4,345, gold is likely to see a technical pullback toward lower support levels before choosing the next direction
🧠 Outlook
Gold is in a post-rally consolidation phase, with no clear bearish reversal signals, but it also lacks strong momentum for an immediate breakout. A safer approach is to buy near support and sell near resistance, avoiding entries in the middle of the range.
🎯 Trading Strategy Proposal
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4,310 – 4,305
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,299
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4,335 – 4,340
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4,347
Gold Continues Its Uptrend as USD Weakens📊 Market Overview
Spot gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4,326 – 4,330 USD/oz, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and declining U.S. Treasury yields. Market sentiment remains positive as investors await upcoming U.S. labor data, which could reinforce expectations of further Fed rate cuts in 2026. Recent Fed rate cuts have also helped sustain buying interest in gold.
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📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
🔹 4,360 – 4,380 — strong resistance zone where profit-taking pressure may emerge
🔹 4,400 — near the 2025 all-time high area
• Nearest Support Levels:
🔹 4,300 – 4,310 — psychological and short-term support
🔹 4,270 – 4,280 — deeper support in case of a corrective move
• EMA:
• Price is currently trading above EMA 9, indicating that the short-term trend remains bullish on H1/H4 timeframes.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Recent candles show sustained buying pressure after minor pullbacks.
• Trading volume has increased slightly near the 4,300 zone, suggesting bullish momentum remains intact as long as price holds above support.
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📌 Market Outlook
Gold may continue rising in the short term if the U.S. dollar remains weak and upcoming U.S. economic data comes in softer than expected, reinforcing expectations of further Fed easing.
However, stronger-than-expected labor data or a rebound in bond yields could trigger a short-term correction toward lower support levels.
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💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4,362 – 4,365
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,368
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4,300 – 4,303
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,297
Gold Holds Bullish Momentum After Breaking Key Resistance📊 Market Overview
Gold reacted exactly as expected: it touched the 4,318 zone, pulled back to 4,307, then bounced sharply and broke solidly above 4,320+. This price action shows that buyers remain in control, and bullish momentum continues to dominate the short-term trend. The prior sideways consolidation, followed by a strong breakout, has created room for an extended move upward.
📉 Technical Analysis
🔥 Key Resistance Levels
1. ~4,325 – 4,332 — current expansion zone
2. ~4,350 — major psychological and technical barrier
🟢 Nearest Support Levels
1. ~4,312 – 4,315 — breakout retest support
2. ~4,300 — key psychological and technical support
📊 EMA & Trend
• Price remains above the EMA09, confirming that the short-term uptrend is intact following the breakout. EMA continues to slope upward, indicating strong bullish momentum.
📉 Candlestick / Volume / Momentum
• A shallow retest followed by a strong rebound suggests increasing bullish momentum.
• The widening H1 candlestick range after the breakout signals growing buying pressure and solid market participation from bulls.
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📌 Market View
Gold is clearly in a short-term uptrend after breaking strongly above the 4,300–4,318 resistance zone and holding above 4,320. As long as price stays above 4,315, the probability of reaching 4,325 – 4,332 remains high. However, if price falls below 4,312, a minor correction toward 4,300 may occur.
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💡 Trade Ideas
🔼 Trend-Following BUY
Entry: 4,315 – 4,318
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,310
🔻 Scalping SELL
Entry: 4,330 – 4,334
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,338
Gold Drops from 4247 High – Watching Reaction at 4200🔹 Market Overview
Early this morning, after the FED cut rates by 0.25%, gold surged to 4247 due to a weaker USD and falling yields.
However, profit-taking and defensive flows pushed the price back down to 4213.
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🔹 Technical Analysis
• Near Resistance: 4240 – 4248
• Major Resistance: 4260 – 4280
• Near Support: 4206 – 4200
• Strong Support: 4175 – 4160
📉 EMA20/50 (H1): price cooled down to the mid-range between EMAs after the spike.
📉 RSI H1: dropped from overbought to neutral → bullish momentum weakened.
🕯️ H1 Candles: multiple wick-heavy candles appeared at 4240–4248 → selling pressure visible.
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🔹 Outlook
• Gold is in a pullback phase after a major news spike, range contracting.
• If 4200 holds, gold may rebound to 4235–4245.
• If 4200 breaks, price could fall to 4175–4160.
• Medium-term trend remains positive after the FED rate cut.
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🔹 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4243 – 4246
🛑 SL: 4249
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4200 – 4203
🛑 SL: 4196
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
Gold maintains a mild downtrend – waiting for reaction at 4205📌 Market Overview
• Gold is currently trading around 4210–4213 after a previous drop toward 4205.
• A slightly stronger USD is preventing gold from making a solid recovery.
• The market is waiting for clearer signals from U.S. session flows — volatility remains compressed.
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📌 Technical Analysis
• Short-term trend: gold leans bearish after breaking below the 4216–4210 support zone.
• Key resistance levels:
• 4218 – 4223
• 4230
• Nearest support:
• 4205 – 4200
• 4194
• EMA: price is trading below EMA20 on M15–H1 → sellers remain in control.
• Candles & momentum: multiple long upper wicks around 4215–4218 show strong selling pressure.
• If H1 closes below 4205 → further downside expansion is likely.
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📌 Outlook
Gold remains weak in the short term with no strong bullish signals yet.
Only if price breaks and holds above 4218 will the short-term bullish structure return.
Otherwise, another break below 4205 may lead to deeper declines.
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📌 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4218–4221
SL: 4224
TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4190–4187
SL: 4184
TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips






















