XAU/USD 05 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Goldupdate
Gold Short-Term Technical Analysis Guide (November 4th)!!!Gold is showing a converging pattern on the 1-hour chart, with moving averages clearly intertwined and failing to establish a strong directional trend. Gold is currently facing resistance around the 4000 level and hasn't shown a strong upward breakout. If gold breaks through and holds above 4000, then the 4020-4030 resistance zone should be monitored during the US session. Overall, gold is expected to remain in a range-bound market.
XAU/USD 31 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's bias date 29 October 2025.
As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.465.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Update Two 4-Hour Gold Analysis
Hello Traders
So far, yesterday's analysis target has been touched, but the seller is still present in the market, and today the 4-hour seller entered the market, and the long-term 4-hour analysis that we had last week gained more strength, the 4-hour sellers target was defined as 3773, which was explained in the relevant post about the entry of sellers. So, every pullback will still have more sellers in the market. For the sell, all the yellow lines of the TPs settled by the candlestick failure act as current resistance and are considered the pullback zone.
Good luck.
Links to the two analyses:
Beware of Black Friday as gold prices fall againOn Friday, the Asian session reaffirmed the upper resistance level of the channel at 4142-4144, further declining to 4081.
Can this trend continue, with the market holding highs and breaking lower, and breaking through the lower double-line on the hourly chart, the next support area to watch is the lower channel at 3990-3980.
The 3980 area is what we call the target point, representing a gap of exactly $400 compared to the historical high of 4380.
The hourly chart is sweeping the double-line range, with a breakout further opening up the market.
The upper channel is slightly further away at 4180, while the lower channel is getting closer. In the 4035 range
Support and resistance levels are shifting. If the market breaks below the lower double-line at 4035, the next target is the 4014-4004 low. The next target is the lower channel line, and breaking through it will continue the trend.
Holding highs is key, and breaking lows is crucial. Although the market fluctuates greatly, each initial move follows its own pattern.
Starting an uptrend, holding lows and breaking highs, holding lows throughout the process, and continuing the bullish climb.
Starting a downtrend, holding highs and breaking lows, holding highs throughout the process, and continuing the bearish decline.
To summarize, two points:
1. Maintain a cycle Regarding the rhythm of the decline, the area around 4100 should be considered as the dividing line. Looking down, we should look to the 4080 area. A break below this level could lead to further trading volume (don't expect a large rebound to confirm resistance).
2. A wide-ranging sweep, with the high of 4144 as a defensive measure, requires considering the 4133-4135 area, and then looking for leverage to complete a break below the lower low (this rebound will be more powerful, requiring additional attention to the highs).
Thus, regarding the future gold price, we should refer to the above-mentioned approach. First, the 4144 high should be used as a defensive measure. Here, we should consider the 4133-4135 area, and then look for leverage to complete a break below the lower low (this rebound will be more powerful, requiring additional attention to the highs). Pressure around 00: A slow decline is needed to break the lows. Time is used to buy space to find the lower band of the channel.
First, pressure at 4135 represents a correction. A break above 4080 will be leveraged to move lower, followed by a large-scale decline.
Focus on gains and losses at 4080. If it breaks below, the next target is the lower double line at 4035. Breaking through this level will lead to lower points at 4014-4004. Finally, focus on the lower band of the channel at 3990-3980.
Note: A break above this high will indicate a change in the nature of the market.
Clearly define your defenses, establish your strategy, implement risk control measures, and strictly enforce them.
Buy Pressure Building on GoldGold is displaying signs of buyer re-entry after a period of controlled downside movement. The recent liquidity sweep around the lower range indicates that short-term selling pressure has been largely absorbed, creating favorable conditions for a potential upward expansion.
Market activity suggests renewed interest from institutional participants accumulating within the current price zone. The consolidation phase appears to be forming a base, signaling the possibility of a directional shift as liquidity gradually migrates upward. Increasing momentum on the lower end of the range reflects confidence returning to the market, setting the stage for a possible continuation toward higher valuation areas.
The outlook remains constructive as long as current accumulation behavior sustains, with market sentiment leaning toward a recovery-driven advance in the near term.
Gold Fundamentals | Smart Money Buy Zones (10/21/2025)BELOW IS DETAILED ANALYSIS ON GOLD (10/21/2025)
Central Bank Buying Surge 🏦
Central banks, especially from BRICS nations, added 77% more gold reserves in 2025, hitting record highs and pushing prices up amid de-dollarization fears.
🥇 Silver benefits indirectly as industrial demand grows 17% YoY from solar and EVs.
This trend could add $200-300/oz to gold by year-end.
ETF Inflows Hit $41B 📈💸
Gold ETFs saw $38B inflows in H1 2025, strongest since 2020, while silver ETFs added $3.6B (95M oz).
This reflects retail and institutional flight to safety, but overbought RSI warns of 5-10% pullback risk soon ⚠️.
Silver Deficit Deepens ⚙️🥈
Cumulative silver deficit reached 750M oz over 4 years (75% of annual supply), driven by booming industrial use in renewables.
Expect prices to test $55+ if deficits persist into 2026 💥.
Latest Tweets from Key Figures Impacting Gold/Silver 🐦
Influencers warn Trump’s tariffs could spike silver to $60 on supply chain chaos.
highlights Fed dovishness fueling $4,300 gold breakouts amid trade war fears.
Option Inflows💬📊
SLV open interest peaks at Oct 17/Nov 21 expiries, with put IV at 62.9% vs call 53.8% at $46 strike showing downside hedge bets amid tariff buzz.
Net bullish $36M call premium at $49-50 strikes signals $55 targets if squeeze hits 🚀.
Latest Geopolitical Events 🌎🔥
US-China tensions escalate with new export controls on rare earths and batteries, driving safe-haven buys
gold tops $4,300, silver $54.
Russia-Ukraine stalemate and Middle East flares add volatility,
but BRICS de-dollarization supports long-term uptrend 🏦.
Latest Fundamentals 📊💵
Gold up 58% YTD on inflation hedges and $38B ETF inflows;
silver surges 79% from 1B oz supply deficit and 17% industrial demand growth.
Fed rate cuts lower holding costs, targeting gold $4,400 and silver $57 by mid-2026 🎯.
Current Prices (as of Oct 21, 2025) ⏰💰
Gold spot: $4,362 USD/oz, up 0.10% today and 16.41% monthly.
Silver spot: $51.20 USD/oz, down 5.6% from $54.47 record but up 74% YTD.
Conclusion 💎
Gold and silver are in a strong bull run, fueled by trade wars, Fed easing, and supply shortages ideal for safe-haven plays.
Gold Price Outlook | Buyers Stay in Full ControlGold remains firmly positioned within its broader bullish trajectory, supported by consistent demand from both institutional and retail investors. The market has shown strong resilience, forming a well-defined higher-low structure, which reflects continued accumulation. Price action indicates that buyers are confidently stepping in after each controlled pullback, maintaining upward momentum.
The current market tone favors continuation toward the 4,180–4,250 range if momentum persists. Short-term retracements into the 4,070–4,090 area may offer new buying opportunities for position traders aligning with the prevailing trend. Macroeconomic factors such as ongoing inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and cautious monetary policy stance continue to underpin gold’s strength.
10.20 Gold short-term resistance looks at 4280Gold prices twice confirmed their all-time high of 4380 before falling, the first time by $100 and the second time by nearly $200.
Last Friday, gold prices were insane, plummeting from 4380 to 4279, leaving $100 of room for further gains, before rising another $100 to find 4380.
After confirming resistance at 4380 for the second time, the price continued to rise, signaling a downward trend. Pressure was placed on the short side at 4380, 4355, 4350, 4321, and 4364. The price continued to move around the established downward trend, gradually shifting between levels, and finally accelerating to 4186 before ending the decline.
The price rebounded in late trading, returning to the 4250 mark to end the week!
Judging from Monday's market action, the market has entered a broad range-bound sweep. Specifically, the bullish rally may have temporarily paused, gathering momentum for a subsequent rebound.
We must clearly understand the positioning of our defensive lines. When these lines are breached, adjustments and changes must be made:
1. Coordination between the two lines on the hourly and 30-minute charts
It has fallen back into the 30-minute chart's two-line range, between 4280 and 4110.
It remains above the upper limit of the two lines on the hourly chart, at 4221. Although it broke briefly last Friday, the closing price quickly recovered. Support is also being sought at 4221 in the European session this afternoon.
The upper limit of the two lines, 4280-4220, is where the support is being sought.
If the price breaks through this range, the nature of the market will begin to change.
2. Top and bottom reversal positions and Within the small channel, pressure is building up in the 4280-4385 area. The lower band is extending and expanding, focusing on the 4180-4200 range.
In the Asian session, prices fluctuated around the 4219-4271 range. In the afternoon, we confirmed that the 4268 area was beginning to bearishly bearish. Based on this strategy, we chose to enter a bearish position from above, targeting the 4220 area. Once the price started to move, we would aggressively chase the price, pursuing the bearish trend until it accelerated to the 4221 area.
Short-term strategies for the European and US sessions
1. Short-term trading in the 4278-4282 area, with the upper pressure at 4286, a stop-loss at 4298, and a target of 4250. The next target is 4225-4215.
2. After completing the $100 sweep, focus on the 4320 area for short selling. The specific target is a bit further out, so stay tuned for real-time alerts.
3. Currently, the price has returned to around 4260, so we will wait for the plan in the first point.
XAU/USD 16 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high.
Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and has reacted from discount of 50% EQ.
Intraday expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,242.380.
Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Monday's Gold Operation Analysis Guide!!!Gold has broken through its previous high, which is a standard continued upward trend and V-shaped reversal. The original horizontal pressure of 4060 has become a thing of the past. We can only focus on the expected decline opportunity of the trend line to buy!!!
Gold will continue to rise at the end of the week!!!Gold is currently consolidating at a high level on the daily chart, nearly forming an engulfing pattern at a high level, making today's daily close crucial. On the 4-hour chart, prices are currently fluctuating at a low level, finding support around 3950. On the hourly chart, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. The short-term moving average is gradually diverging upward, and the K-line chart is slowly crossing the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is gradually strengthening, suggesting further upside potential. Keep an eye on the resistance zone around 4010.
Trade Recommendation: Buy around 3975-6, with a stop-loss at 3966.
10.10 Gold pullback continues to be bullish!!!Looking at the 4-hour market trend, watch for the important support level at 3957-3960. The bulls are rising strongly and there's no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the middle, be cautious and watchful when buying.
Gold Trading Strategies:
1. Go long on gold at 3957-3960, with a stop loss at 3948 and a target of 4015-4020. Hold if it breaks through!
10.8 Gold Daily Short-Term Operation Guide!!!In the 1-hour chart, the Asian session continues to rise with $3985 as support. A quick pullback would be an opportunity to buy in. Unless the Asian session decline continues in the European session and then in the US session, or if the Asian session breaks the bottom in the European session and fails to continue in the US session, don't try to bet on a pullback; instead, follow the trend.
Secondly, give up on speculating on the top. Currently, the strong upward trend remains unchanged on both the daily and 4-hour charts. Even after breaking through $4000 in the short term, there's still no sign of an end. While bullish, be wary of pullbacks. In other words, be prepared for a pullback and avoid chasing orders.
If the pullback approaches the $4000-3980 range, buy long. If the European session's strength doesn't offer opportunities, and there are further pullbacks before the US market opens, keep an eye on $4030-4050.
10.7 The bullish trend of gold remains unchanged! Follow the treCurrent Market:
1: Technical Analysis - The bullish trend remains unchanged, so follow the trend. Trading Methods - Follow sideways trading and pullbacks! Avoid headwinds and avoid heavily shorting! Focus on following the trend!
2: Fundamentals - The probability of an October Fed rate cut continues to increase! The Russo-Ukrainian war remains stalemated! The outlook for the Middle East remains uncertain! Global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings! The overall fundamental environment is bullish for gold.
To sum up: From both a technical and fundamental perspective, gold is primarily bullish!
US Trading Timeframe:
1: 1-hour trading, sideways resistance at high levels, with support near 3940; the Stochastic and MACD lines are temporarily blunting!
2: 4-hour trading, the Stochastic has formed a death cross, and the MACD lines are blunting! From a morphological perspective, the short-term top-bottom reversal support level is around 3940.
3: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator blunted and retraced to a golden cross, signaling a bullish trend. The MACD double lines continued to cross upward, indicating a bullish trend.
Gold is rising as expected, with the US market eyeing 4000!!!After gold retreated to around 3940, it began to rally. The strategy for the future remains to buy on dips. Short-term long positions near 3942 can be reduced, with a target of 3980 still in sight. Be mindful of the risks. Short-term investors can consider buying around 3954, with a stop-loss at 3946, and targeting a range between 3980 and 4000. Be mindful of the risks.
October 7th US Gold Trading: For those holding positions near 3942, reduce positions and hold with a profit and loss at 3946. Target resistance near 3980, and a breakout to 4000.
Short-term investors can consider buying further near 3954, with a stop-loss at 3946 and a profit target of 3980-4000. Be mindful of the risks.
10.7 Gold Intraday Short-Term Operation Guide!!!Gold typically enters a correction phase on Tuesday after a strong rally on Monday. Maintain a bullish outlook for the day, with the primary support area being the 3955-60 range (which encompasses the early morning low, opening price, and high trading volume). Bulls are expected to mount a counterattack here. Today's market will not simply replicate Monday's unilateral surge, but will likely exhibit a pattern of "high-level fluctuations, false breakouts, and subsequent declines, followed by a test of the bottom and subsequent upward movement." Trading strategies should be abandoned in favor of buying at the bottom of the market fluctuations.
10.7 Gold has no ceiling!!!The one-hour pattern of gold, the golden cross of the moving average continues to radiate upward, maintaining strong bullish momentum. Pay attention to the short-term support below 3930-3920, which was the springboard for gold to accelerate yesterday. The upper resistance level should focus on the 3980 line. Every time the gold price reaches a new high, it will fall back to accumulate power. Just remember not to chase highs. For intraday operations, we can continue to maintain low-long participation!
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar), 15M timeframe..XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar), 15M timeframe (FOREX.com).
From my setup:
Current price: $3,960
Price recently made an all-time high test near $3,970.
My drawn a trendline and marked a bearish move projection.
The Ichimoku cloud is acting as near-term support.
📉 Target Analysis (based on my chart):
If price rejects from the top and breaks below the trendline + cloud, my marked Target Point is around $3,920 – $3,925.
This zone aligns with previous support consolidation.
Immediate support before that: $3,945 – $3,946 (cloud base).
If price holds above $3,945, bounce continuation toward $3,970 – $3,980 is possible.
👉 So my downside target = $3,920 area, unless buyers defend the $3,945 support.
10.6 Gold's callback is small and it may continue to riseAfter breaking through a previous resistance zone on the 4-hour chart, gold is continuing its upward trend along its short-term moving average. Intraday pullbacks have been mild and sustained, and there are still no signs of a peak in the short term. On the hourly chart, after a surge, gold is maintaining a high-level correction, but recent high-level corrections have ultimately evolved into secondary gains, and today's pullbacks were not significant. On the short-term chart, the candlestick chart is gradually coming under pressure, maintaining a weak trend along the short-term moving average. Some short-term correction is possible. If the correction in the US market is not significant, it may even rebound to the current price after a minor correction. Further upward movement is expected after the open!!!
10.6 Gold European Short-term Technical Analysis!!!Gold has been rising for several consecutive weeks, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, and the RSI has reached the overbought zone, suggesting further upward movement. Friday saw a small bullish close, and today's Asian session saw further gains. The daily RSI has again reached the overbought zone, and the 4-hour chart is above the upward trend line, breaking through the ascending triangle.
Trade Recommendation: BUY: 3920 Target: 3940 3950
10.3 Gold US Market Technical Analysis!!!Our overall judgment on gold in October is "bumpy", that is, the market has turned from the steady slow bull market in September to a fluctuating rise. There will be a tug-of-war between long and short positions, and there will be a tug-of-war between highs and lows and a rapid rebound. However, this does not mean the end of the bull market, but only a change in the rising rhythm. We should pay attention to this pattern change in the short term. We will still view it as a strong rhythm during the day. After the volatile upward trend in the Asian and European sessions, we will choose to follow up with a bullish trend after a pullback. Pay attention to the suppression around 3874 and 3895 on the upside. At the same time, due to the uncertainty of the non-farm payroll results, whether it is announced or not will have a greater impact on today's operations.
Gold Price Today: XAUUSD Sets Stage for Continued Bullish ExpansGold (XAUUSD) Market Report – September 21, 2025
Gold remains positioned near 3,685, with recent price behavior showing a structured climb despite short bursts of volatility. The market is cycling through phases of expansion and retracement, where each corrective leg has been followed by renewed upward momentum. This rhythm signals that buyers are steadily maintaining control of the broader trend.
The current setup reflects a market that is rebalancing efficiently. Short-term pullbacks are being absorbed quickly, keeping pressure aligned toward the upside. The sequence of structural shifts on the chart points to a continuation of this momentum, suggesting that higher valuations are within reach if the present flow persists.
Overall, gold’s tone is constructive, characterized by resilience and sustained demand. The pattern unfolding indicates a market preparing for further expansion, with the potential for continuation into higher ranges in the sessions ahead.






















