GBPUSD Extends Bearish Momentum After Structure BreakGBPUSD remains under bearish pressure after a clear break of the structure from the 1H resistance area. Price action shows a potential short-term retest before continuing lower toward the support zone, signaling sellers’ dominance in the market.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 1.3195
Take Profit: 1.3129
Stop Loss: 1.3242
Reasoning:
Technically, the pair has confirmed a downside structure break with consistent lower highs, indicating momentum in favor of sellers. The 1H chart shows price rejecting the resistance area and forming a bearish continuation setup.
Fundamentally, the British Pound remains weak amid concerns over slowing UK growth and firm U.S. dollar demand supported by steady Treasury yields and hawkish Federal Reserve outlook. This continues to weigh on GBP/USD sentiment.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
Gpusdanalysis
GBPUSD update 4/9/2025 at 2:29pm Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD
Trend & Direction:
Directional Strength:
ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend.
HT_TRENDMODE:
At 1.0, indicating an active trend.
Moving Averages & Price Forecast:
Core Levels:
EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA (1.31417), and TSF (1.31339) cluster between 1.310–1.314, suggesting the price is consolidating.
Resistance:
KAMA (1.31672) lies above the current range, hinting at a broader bearish bias.
Momentum & Oscillators:
RSI ~61: Indicates a moderately bullish stance.
MACD (0.0057) & CMO (21.96): Support upward momentum.
Stochastic (~59) & StochRSI (34): Signal energy without extreme overbought conditions.
CCI (195.50): Warns the market could be nearing overbought territory.
Price Range & Statistical Measures:
Central Price Range:
Prices mostly span from ~1.277 to 1.315.
Support & Resistance:
Short-term averages (EMA, DEMA, HT_TRENDLINE) near 1.277–1.282 suggest support, while longer-term filters (KAMA, TEMA) at 1.314–1.317 denote resistance.
Volatility:
ATR is very low in the short term (0.00037–0.0029) but climbs to ~0.0605 on longer timeframes—indicating time-dependent volatility.
Additional Forecast Tools & Volume:
Price regression tools (Linear Regression, TSF, TRIMA, T3, TEMA) consistently position prices within the 1.277–1.315 zone.
OBV and balance indicators reflect a near-balanced market on short terms, with some higher timeframe accumulation.
Price Action Overview:
GBP/USD is trading in a tight consolidation around the lower end of its recent range—approximately 1.275–1.278. Recent candles indicate modest upward momentum with repeated tests of support, suggesting buyers are starting to step in near this level. However, the price remains near a key inflection point, and with pending high-impact news, a decisive breakout (or reversal) could occur once the market digests the upcoming data.
Current Setup & Trading Consideration:
The current price at 1.27584 is at the lower end of a crucial consolidation zone (1.275–1.278), favoring a potential bounce.
Waiting for confirmation on the daily chart (or a clear intraday reversal if you’re aggressive) can help reduce risk, particularly with upcoming news events.
As a daily chart trader, i'm less focused on shorter-term noise and more on the reversal or breakout confirmed by the daily candle. For me, It’s often best to let the daily close help confirm whether this near‐support level holds.
GBPUSD not convinced yet here is whyGBPUSD
Im still not quite sure and convinced of this
price move.
I still want to confirm how this price action
ends up closing on monday or tuesday .
If u look at daily chart we have been respecting
this bearish trend line but did not quite closed
above it on daily
I would have been convinced if it closed above
On the 4h chart this 2 scenarios i want to see for BULLISH OR BEARISH price action
Update on GBPUSDIf you followed my previous analysis, now that you've hit TP, congratulations to you. But if there are some of you who don't use the TP or TP further, you can take some profit and move the SL to break even. Because on the daily timeframe the price has started to move towards the kumo cloud, we are still waiting for confirmation whether the price will bounce when it hits the kumo or enter it. However, due to the strong bullish momentum, I think the price could break above the kumo and head towards 1.37, so we'll see what happens.








