$GBIRYY - U.K CPI (November/2025) ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 3.2%
November/2025 (-0.4%)
source: Office for National Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the UK slowed to 3.2% in November,
the lowest in eight months, compared to 3.6% in October and forecasts of 3.5%.
The figure is also lower than the BoE's prediction of 3.4%, led by a slowdown in food and non-alcoholic beverages.
Greatbritain
Elise | GBPUSD 8H —Weak High Target in Sight | Channel StructureFX:GBPUSD
Price behavior suggests institutional accumulation after a trend rejection and channel retest. As long as price remains above channel midline and reclaim structure, bullish continuation is favored toward the major liquidity grab zone. Retracement into the demand region around 1.3100–1.3200 may occur before continuation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Primary Case)
A correction into the 1.3100–1.3200 demand zone followed by bullish rejection would support the upward flow.
🎯 Target: 1.3460 → 1.3520 (Liquidity sweep zone)
🟢 Buy Zone: 1.3100–1.3200
❌ Invalidation: Break and close below 1.3015
📉 Bearish Breakdown (Secondary + Lower Probability)
A failure to hold structure and close below trend support may trigger deeper correction toward 1.3015 and below.
Current Levels to Watch
Liquidity Target: 1.3460–1.3520
Demand Zone: 1.3100–1.3200
Major Support: 1.3015
Invalidation: 1.3015 break and hold
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice
GBPUSD 4H — Short Setup Near Premium ZoneFX:GBPUSD
Price is approaching a high-value supply zone where previous rejections occurred. Structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows, suggesting continuation unless price breaks above the invalidation level.
A rejection from the 1.3300–1.3350 zone gives a high-probability short opportunity toward the next major liquidity level.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case (Primary Bias) 📉
Entry Zone: 1.3300 – 1.3350
🎯 Target: 1.3020 – 1.2950
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 1.3461 (Invalidation Zone)
Confirmation Improvement:
• Rejection wicks
• Bearish engulfing
• Break and retest of minor support
Important Levels
Type Level
Entry Zone 📍 1.3300–1.3350
Target 🎯 1.3020 → 1.2950
Stoploss ❌ 1.3461
Invalid Zone ⚠️ Above 1.3461
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (October/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 3.6%
October/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The UK’s annual inflation rate eased to 3.6% in October,
its lowest in four months, down from 3.8% in each of the previous three months.
The figure matched expectations from both the Bank of England and market analysts,
supported by a slowdown in gas and electricity prices.
$GBGDPQQ - U.K GDP Growth Disappoints (Q3/2025)ECONOMICS:GBGDPQQ
Q3/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The UK economy grew 0.1% in Q3 2025,
easing from 0.3% in Q2 and falling short of market expectations of 0.2%.
Gains in investment, consumption, and net trade were partly offset by falling inventories. Annually, GDP rose 1.3%, slightly below expectations.
GBPUSD 4H – Preparing for a Strong Reversal Move FX:GBPUSD
Market Overview
GBPUSD has been consolidating near a demand zone after repeated rejections from the upper descending trendline. Bulls may soon step in once liquidity below 1.3340 is grabbed. A confirmed break of the descending structure could open a clean upside push toward 1.3499 and 1.3666.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Reversal from 1.3340 → 🎯 Target 1.3499 → 🎯 Target 1.3666
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Break below 1.3300 → 🎯 Downside Target 1.3250
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.3499 / 1.3666
Support 🟢: 1.3340 / 1.3300
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
GBPUSD – 30M | Testing Support Zone, Bullish Bounce ExpectedFX:GBPUSD
Market Overview
GBPUSD is consolidating within a tight structure after a strong sell-off.
The pair is currently testing a major support base where buyers previously defended aggressively.
If price maintains above this zone, we may see a bullish recovery leg toward mid and upper ranges.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
🎯 Target 1: 1.3451 (mid-range)
🎯 Target 2: 1.3485 (rejection zone retest)
🎯 Target 3: 1.3510 (extended liquidity reach)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
Invalidation below 1.3390 (if support fails to hold).
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.3451 / 1.3485
Support 🟢: 1.3400 / 1.3410
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate Flat at 3.8% (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
August/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The UK’s annual inflation rate held steady at 3.8% in August 2025, unchanged from July and remaining near the highs last seen in January 2024, in line with expectations.
Lower airfares and easing services inflation were offset by higher motor fuel costs and rising prices for restaurants and hotels and food.
Meanwhile, annual core inflation rate slowed to 3.6% from 3.8%.
GBGDPQQ -Great Britain GDP (Q2/2025)ECONOMICS:GBGDPQQ
Q2/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The British economy grew 0.3% qoq in Q2 2025, slowing from a 0.7% expansion in Q1 but surpassing forecasts of just 0.1%, according to preliminary estimates.
The moderation partly reflects activity being brought forward to February and March ahead of April’s stamp duty changes and the announcement of new US tariffs.
In Q2, growth was fuelled by a 0.4% rise in services, led by computer programming and consultancy (+4.1%).
Construction climbed 1.2%, while production fell 0.3% due to utilities (-6.8%) and mining (-0.3%), partly offset by a 0.3% increase in manufacturing.
On the expenditure side, growth was driven mainly by a 1.2% rise in government consumption, particularly in health (vaccinations) and public administration and defence.
Gross capital formation increased on the back of higher changes in valuables, inventories, and alignment adjustments, but business investment slumped 4%.
Household spending rose a modest 0.1% and exports increased 1.6%, outpacing the 1.4% rise in imports.
$GBINTR -BoE Cuts Rates as Expected (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR
August/2025
source : Bank of England
- The Bank of England voted by a 5–4 majority to cut the key Bank Rate by 25bps to 4% in August, in line with expectations.
This marks the fifth rate cut since August of last year and brings borrowing costs to their lowest level since March 2023.
However, the decision followed an initial three-way split, the first time that two rounds of voting were required to reach a conclusive decision on interest rates.
LONG ON GBP/AUDGA has given us a CHOC (change of character) to the upside after making a new low.
Price has since pulled back to the demand area that created that change leaving us with a possible double bottom forming.
I expect GA to rise to sweep buy side liquidity at the equal highs then reaching the previous supply level / previous High.
Looking to catch 200-300 pips.
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Rises to a 2024 High (June/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
June/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the UK rose to 3.6% in June, the highest since January 2024, up from 3.4% in May and above expectations that it would remain unchanged.
The main upward pressure came from transport prices, mostly motor fuel costs, airfares, rail fares and maintenance and repair of personal transport equipment.
On the other hand, services inflation remained steady at 4.7%.
Meanwhile, core inflation also accelerated, with the annual rate reaching 3.7%.
$GBINTR - Steady Rates by BoE (June/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR
June/2025
source: Bank of England
- The Bank of England voted 6-3 to keep the Bank Rate steady at 4.25% at its June meeting, amid ongoing global uncertainty and persistent inflation.
The central bank noted inflation is expected to remain at current rates for the rest of the year before easing back toward the target next year,
indicating that a gradual and cautious approach to further monetary policy easing remains appropriate.
GBIRYY - U.K Inflation (May/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
May/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
-The annual inflation rate in the UK edged down to 3.4% in May 2025 from 3.5% in April, matching expectations.
The largest downward contribution came from transport prices (0.7% vs 3.3%), reflecting falls in air fares (-5%) largely due to the timing of Easter and the associated school holidays, as well as falling motor fuel prices.
Additionally, the correction of an error in the Vehicle Excise Duty series contributed to the drop; the error affected April’s data, but the series has been corrected from May.
Further downward pressure came from cost for housing and household services (6.9% vs 7%), mostly owner occupiers' housing costs (6.7% vs 6.9%).
Services inflation also slowed to 4.7% from 5.4%. On the other hand, the largest, upward contributions came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.4% vs 3.4%), namely chocolate, confectionery and ice cream, and furniture and household goods (0.8%, the most since December 2023).
Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.2%.
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Rate Accelerates (April/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
April/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the UK jumped to 3.5% in April, the highest since January 2024, from 2.6% in March and above forecasts of 3.3%.
The main upward pressure came from higher electricity and gas prices after the Ofgem price cap increase, while new Vehicle Excise Duty on electric cars lifted transport costs, and food inflation also picked up.
Meanwhile, core inflation accelerated to 3.8%, the highest in a year.
$GBGDPQQ -UK GDP Growth Above Expectations (Q1/2025)ECONOMICS:GBGDPQQ
Q1/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The British economy expanded 0.7% on quarter in Q1 2025, compared to 0.1% in Q4 and forecasts of 0.6%, preliminary figures showed. It is the strongest growth rate in 3 quarters, with the largest contribution coming from the services sector, gross fixed capital formation and net trade. Year-on-year, the GDP expanded 1.3%.
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate (February/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
February/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The annual inflation rate in the UK fell to 2.8% in February 2025 from 3% in January, below market expectations of 2.9%, though in line with the Bank of England's forecast.
The largest downward contribution came from prices of clothing which declined for the first time since October 2021 (-0.6% vs 1.8%), led by garments for women and children's clothing.
Inflation also eased in recreation and culture (3.4% vs. 3.8%), particularly in live music admission and recording media, as well as in housing and utilities (1.9% vs. 2.1%), including actual rents for housing (7.4% vs. 7.8%).
In contrast, food inflation was unchanged at 3.3% and prices rose faster for transport (1.8% vs 1.7%) and restaurants and hotels (3.4% vs 3.3%).
Meanwhile, services inflation held steady at 5%.
The annual core inflation rate declined to 3.5% from 3.7%.
Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.4%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline but falling short of the expected 0.5% increase.
GBPNZD SHORTS MOREGBPNZD have been bearish for a while and I am looking forward to continue with the trend. I expect a third touch to the top trendline or a double top formation as an override depending on how reacts on the zone. The third touch will be more preferable for me, with 2.17015 as first target and 2.14440 as the second target.
$GBINTR -U.K Interest RatesECONOMICS:GBINTR
(December/2024)
source: Bank of England
The Bank of England left the benchmark bank rate steady at 4.75% during its December 2024 meeting,
in line with market expectations, as CPI inflation, wage growth and some indicators of inflation expectations had risen, adding to the risk of inflation persistence.
The central bank reinforced that a gradual approach to removing monetary policy restraint remains appropriate and that monetary policy will need to continue to remain restrictive for sufficiently long until the risks to inflation returning sustainably to the 2% target in the medium term have dissipated further.
The central bank will continue to decide the appropriate degree of monetary policy restrictiveness at each meeting.
$GBIRYY -U.K Inflation Rate Above Forecasts (October/2024)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.3%
October/2024
source: Office for National Statistics
- Annual inflation rate in the UK went up to 2.3% in October 2024, the highest in six months, compared to 1.7% in September.
This exceeded both the Bank of England's target and market expectations of 2.2%.
The largest upward contribution came from housing and household services (5.5% vs 3.8% in September), mainly electricity (-6.3% vs -19.5%) and gas (-7.3% vs -22.8%), reflecting the rise of the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) energy price cap in October 2024.
Also, prices rose faster for restaurants and hotels (4.3% vs 4.1%) and rebounded for housing and utilities (2.9% vs -1.7%). Prices of services increased slightly more (5% vs 4.9%), matching estimates form the central bank.
On the other hand, food inflation was steady at 1.9% and the largest offsetting downward contribution came from recreation and culture (3% vs 3.8%).
Compared to the previous month, the CPI increased 0.6%. Finally, annual core inflation edged up to 3.3% from 3.2%.
GBPUSD - Daily Bullish signsOANDA:GBPUSD has recently passed an important support zone, indicating potential for higher targets. After a clear pullback to the 1.2830 area, the pair is positioned for a further rise.
The British Pound has been bolstered by a series of positive economic indicators and political stability. According to recent reports, analysts at Investec have raised their forecast targets for the Pound against the Dollar, driven by a more promising economic outlook and favorable political conditions in the UK. This aligns with the technical setup, where GBPUSD is poised for a continuation of its upward movement following the successful retest of the support zone.
Overall, combining the technical and fundamental perspectives suggests a bullish outlook for GBPUSD, with potential for further gains as long as the support zone holds firm.






















