NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5950 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5975.
Pivot support is at 0.5820.
We look to Buy at 0.5915 (stop at 0.5895)
Our profit targets will be 0.5970 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5970 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5925 / 0.5915 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
H-setup
BTCUSD is moving exponential and here's the setupBecause BTCUSD couldn't reach the L-MLH of the red fork twice, we have 2 HAGOPIANs cooking. That means, that price will move further in the opposite direction than from where price came.
Price came from the Centerline, and that's where the high of the today's Candle peeked through. I expect more upside movement.
As for a trade, I want to see price holding above the centerline. From there, PTG1 is the U-MLH and beyond that it's the white Centerline again (...which looks like it's going to the Moon, like XRPUSD).
Of course, we seldom can eat the whole Cake. So we manage it and take partial profits on the way up.
🙏😊✨ Thanks for following and boosting folks. 🙏😊✨
XRPUSD is following our projectionThe red pressure line is broken.
After dabbling with the L-MLH, price decided to jump back into the fork, projecting a potential huge move ahead.
But not so fast!
The slope of the white fork is super steep.
In such situations I like to throw a Modified-Shiff-Fork, or a Shiff-Fork on the chart too. This gives me often more realistic profit targets.
The trade could be managed by using the light-grey fork's centerline as PTG1 and the rest of the position aims for the white mooning centerline §8-)
A second steak of the position could be loaded, after the yellow CIB-Line is broken. I like to wait for a test of it after the crack and jump-above. It's the same like a test/retest of a Medianline-Parallel if price broke out of it.
Let's have fun here §8-)
Crude Oil - Eye twinkle to go long?The Test/Retest was expected, and it was not that clean as it is mostly. Usually I don't want to see price trading back into the fork again.
This time, price managed to jump out of it again and opened above the U-MLH. If it can close outside the fork too, then this would be a good hint for me to load the boat.
The 80% target is the yellow Centerline, or even higher, since the drillers moan about a too low price (Fundamental Fact).
Let's see if we find some petro dollars.
WMT - Our profit target is near, secure some profitsWhen I posted the long trade on Aug. 29th, I did not expect it to run that quick.
Who of you guys or gals pushed it that quick? §8-)
However, I will trail my stop below the last red candles low.
We are not here to win a contest, so we secure some profit, just in case price drops before the Centerline is reached.
Don't forget to follow me and profit from further trades and educational content.
WMT ran into a buyers zone. A nice Long opportunityOn the daily time-frame we see WMT running into the old buyers zone and stopping dead, instead of breaking through it.
It's exactly where the 1/4 line is.
So, if price can't get to the L-MLH, we have a "potential" Hagopian at hand. And that tells us, price will go more in the opposite direction than from where price came - which was the Center-Line.
Additionally, Friday closed higher than the high day a day prior. This is also proper momentum long signal, and because we have a decent Risk-Reward.
A couple facts coming together, which is a clear must take signal to me.
Happy Monday folks - another day in paradise §8-)
MRK is showing some breakout signsThe white fork is pointing slightly to the upside.
CIB is broken and signals a change in behavior. The pullback to it was very nice - a Eye twinkle? §8-)
Then price opened the door to the upside by peeking through the resistance of the consolidation, asking: "Anybody here to buy me?"...silence...so far.
OK, let's be patient and wait for another sign or hint.
Until the, stalking hat on, as my mentor Shane always said.
--> NO FOMO IN THIS CLASS! <--
GBPAUD to continue in the downward move?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
2.0650 has been pivotal.
50 4hour EMA is at 2.0622.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
We look to Sell at 2.0615 (stop at 2.0665)
Our profit targets will be 2.0465 and 2.0435
Resistance: 2.0585 / 2.0620 / 2.0650
Support: 2.0487 / 2.0450 / 2.0400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
XAU/USD – FED dovish, gold extends momentum; SELL only for scalp⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Waves 🌍
The probability of a FED rate cut in September has surged to 96.6% (from 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects.
Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, turned dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance, with a scenario of just one cut.
As a result, flows rushed back into gold as the #1 safe haven , fueling a strong rally last night.
📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time):
ADP Nonfarm (7:15)
Jobless Claims (7:30)
ISM Services PMI (9:00)
👉 This trio of data could trigger significant volatility for GOLD.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
M30/H1 Chart: gold keeps forming bullish BOS , with the main trend still upward.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): old Order Block, strong support if price retraces.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): suitable only for short-term scalps.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): aligned with fibo 0.618–0.786 resistance, high chance of strong supply.
Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,477 – 3,479
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx
🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – short-term only)
Entry: 3,561 – 3,563
SL: 3,569
TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – strong resistance)
Entry: 3,573 – 3,575
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold sail is filled with dovish winds from the FED. Golden Harbor 🏝️ 3477 remains the safe anchor to ride the trend. SELL setups are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages.”
XRPUSD - How Ripple is preparing for a potential big moveThe white Fork marks the most probable path of price.
There is currently no indication, that Ripple really want's to take off to the upside, but: We have some potential points that could give us a clue:
1. Price seems to stabilize at the L-MLH.
2. There's a clear pressing going on (red line), which mostly will vanish when price pops above.
3. The L-MLH and the yellow CIB are pullback levels where price pauses
If we trade below the Support Zone, the idea is thrown in the bin.
Let's hold the water and see what happens .
Holding bullish trend, waiting for PMI to spark the next wave ⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍
The USD continues to weaken as investors increasingly believe the FED will cut rates in the coming months.
As the greenback loses appeal, big money is shifting away from cash into safe-haven assets → Gold emerges as the top choice .
👉 This supports a sustained bullish trend . If USD selling pressure continues, the market could witness new breakouts toward the year-end.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On H2, Gold just made a Higher High after BOS , confirming buyers still hold the upper hand.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,450 – 3,452): Overlaps with old FVG, high liquidity area.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB ~3,470): Intermediate support, good spot for quick pullback entries.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,538 – 3,540): Fib 0.618–0.786 resistance, profit-taking supply expected on retest.
👉 Intraday bias: Wait for pullback to Buy. Short-term Sell only if Gold tests Storm Breaker.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3,450 – 3,452
Quick Boarding 🚤 (OB Support): 3,470
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone): 3,538 – 3,540
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,450 – 3,452
SL: 3,444
TP: 3,455 → 3,458 → 3,462 → 3,465 → 34xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3,538 – 3,540
SL: 3,548
TP: 3,535 → 3,532 → 3,529 → 35xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The golden sail still rides the bullish wind, but Storm Breaker 🌊 above may stir counterwaves. Be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ for the right entry, and keep eyes on PMI at 21:00 – the catalyst for the next wave."
NQ - Nasdaq Short Playbook for the next weeksIn the NQ, they took out the high and then hit it on the head day by day. It finally stopped below the 1/4 line. If you look closely, you see that this was the slanted zone of Support — just like the slanted Resistance.
"As above, so below."
...write me in the comments who said this already a couple hundred years ago §8-)
The small Modified Schiff Fork tells a story too.
Price reached the Center Line and got rejected. Now it's on its way down towards the small Fork's L-MLH. A break of it would indicate further selling ahead.
And the last bastion is the green support level, which stems from the second-to-last prior confirmed Swing Low.
Beyond this level, it's only a question of time before price hits the Center Line.
And — God forbid — below the Center Line, the Sh...t hits the fan. So you better run... behind price with a decent short trade and ride it down to the Abyss.
No worries, I'm with you §8-)
Happy Monday, folks!
SPY washed away the Stops, and now rinse supportAt the U-MLH the air is very, very thin now.
SPY is experience this and it looks like this market shows it's hand.
It's the second time where the breakout failed.
A classical Double-Top.
Today SPY will open back into the Fork, which is a very bad sign for climbing markets. And if SPY can't close outside the Fork today, it would be a clear short to me.
So, after the Wash of the Stops at the Top, what follows is the "Rinse" of the support level and then way down to the PTG1, the 1/4 line, and further to the PTG2 at the Center-Line.
eBay - At this high, the air is thinThis overshoot of the U-MLH is a nice opportunity to stalk ebay for a Short-Trade.
1. wait for a close inside the fork
2. expect a test/retest at the U-MLH
3. on a break of a pivot, I enter short.
Profit Target 1 is the Centerline.
Further downside is possible, but has to be shown below the CL.
Happy new week folks §8-)
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
50 4hour EMA is at 86.59.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
We look to Sell at 86.48 (stop at 86.88)
Our profit targets will be 85.28 and 85.08
Resistance: 86.65 / 87.00 / 87.50
Support: 86.00 / 85.55 / 85.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NVDA - Watch the show, until the Sh** hits the FanThe expected “end of hype” around Nvidia stems from its current inability to forecast H20 chip sales to China, forced production halts, and growing political friction—despite its strong financial performance elsewhere.
The tension between U.S. export policy and China’s technological self-reliance is creating real operational and strategic obstacles for Nvidia.
In this weekly chart we still have an upward projection.
Nonetheless do we all know what a Game NVDA is playing by selling to its one companies.
The air is thin, very thin up there.
And after the Earnings Report we all know how the books are pimped.
A breach of the CIB line would make me go "hmmm....", and starting to look for a short.
Until then, just relax and watch the show.
EURAUD to see a turnaround?EURAUD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.7900 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 1.7950.
We look to Buy at 1.7850 (stop at 1.7815)
Our profit targets will be 1.7925 and 1.7950
Resistance: 1.7900 / 1.7925 / 1.7950
Support: 1.7875 / 1.7850 / 1.7825
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GC - Gold Re-Testing The L-MLH - Short AheadFirst we crack the L-MLH.
Then we got a test and now the re-test.
On a close outside the fork it's a present to short wit stops above somewhere the wicks high.
Profit at the orange Centerline (PTG1) and at the Red Centerline. All in all a wonderful trade with a decent risk/reward.
And if the train leaves without us, NO FOMO please §8-)
Crude Oil Short After Finding A Recurring BehaviorAfter I cleared the CL chart, I immediately saw a behavior that we can use for a setup right now.
You see that the highs got cracked, and then immediately price turns to the south. And since we are in a downtrend on Crude, we have a legit Short-Trade at hand.
With the modified Shiff-Fork you see how nice CL is reacting at the U-MLH, where it get's rejected. This level also coincides with the crack level.
I personally would love a pullback up to the crack-zone before shorting it. Maybe the trading Gods give us a gift on this Wednesday.
Talking about Wednesday: today we get the Crude Oil EIA numbers, which will probably move the markets.
However you plan is if you trade it, don't have FOMO. There are many more trades to come in your trading career.
Have a happy hump day §8-)
GBPNZD to continue in the upward move?GBPNZD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 2.3000 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 2.3075.
We look to Buy at 2.2950 (stop at 2.2900)
Our profit targets will be 2.3100 and 2.3125
Resistance: 2.3000 / 2.3050 / 2.3075
Support: 2.2975 / 2.2950 / 2.2925
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
BIO/USDT Analysis. Short Setup
This asset has shown a trend break. Above the current price, there are volume zones that have already received positioning. If one of them is tested and we see a reaction, we consider short entries. Target potential — ~$0.17.
Sell Zones:
$0.23–$0.26
$0.295–$0.32
*This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.