NVO Weekly Trade Alert | Bullish Reversal Play Amid BearishSCHW Earnings Signal | 2026-01-21
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: SCHW
🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG)
🎯 Strike: 102.00
💵 Entry Price: 1.04
🎯 Profit Target: 1.56
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.62
📅 Expiry: 2026-01-23
📏 Size: 2.5
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2026-01-21 13:40:52 EST
MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence
level.
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: This isn't a blind earnings bet. It synthesizes a clear, persistent bullish AI forecast with strong technical trending confirmation and a fundamentally robust growth story (record assets).
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Earnings have already been released (EPS inline, sales miss). This trade is based on Katy's forecast for continued price appreciation in the aftermath, not on an unknown event.
Volume is below average (0.6x), which can lead to choppy price action. Be prepared for volatility.
With only 2 days to expiry, time decay (theta) accelerates rapidly. This trade requires the predicted move to begin promptly.
Katy AI confidence only 50–60%, making this a speculative contrarian trade.
Low volume + high gamma with 2 days to expiry → fast-moving options prices.
High Put/Call Ratio (1.48) suggests crowded bearish hedges; potential upside if they unwind.
Trade with caution and monitor price action closely near $58.13 support.
Harmonic Patterns
NVO Weekly Call Setup – Contrarian AI Reversal PlayNVO Weekly Signal | 2026-01-21
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: NVO
🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG)
🎯 Strike: 59.00
💵 Entry Price: 1.41
🎯 Profit Target: 2.25
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.85
📅 Expiry: 2026-01-23
📏 Size: 2.0
📈 Confidence: 60%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2026-01-21 10:02:45 EST
MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
Expiry Date: 2026-01-23 (2 days)
Recommended Strike: $59.00
Entry Price: $1.41 (Using exact mid price from table)
Target 1: $2.25 (60% gain from entry)
Stop Loss: $0.85 (40% loss from entry)
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
KATY CONFLECT EXPLANATION: The AI's "Target: $60.92" and "Stop Loss: $58.13" provide a clear bullish framework.
The override is justified because the composite score appears to weigh the bearish weekly momentum heavily, but it fails to fully incorporate the strength and specificity of Katy's price path prediction.
The presence of a MACD Bullish Divergence supports this potential reversal, making a CALL recommendation the data-driven choice.
Trade with caution due to low volume and high gamma risk with 2 days to expiry.
Micron Technology - The bullrun will end today!🏒Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is now starting a correction:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Micron Technology rallied an expected +350%. However, with the current retest of major resistance, it is quite likely that this bullrun will end soon. Just wait for sufficient bearish confirmation after this long rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$350
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
MSTR Weekly Call Setup – High-Conviction AI & Options Flow PlayMSTR Weekly Signal | 2026-01-21
Signal Date: 2026-01-21
Instrument: MSTR
Trade Direction: CALL (Long)
Strike Price: $162.50
Entry Price: $3.75–$3.85 (mid ~$3.80)
Profit Target 1: $6.08 (~60% gain)
Profit Target 2: $8.36 (~120% gain)
Stop Loss: $2.28 (~40% loss)
Expiry: 2026-01-23 (2 days)
Position Size: 2–3% of portfolio (medium conviction)
Confidence Level: 68%
Risk Level: MEDIUM-HIGH – Short-duration, high gamma, overbought RSI
Analysis Summary
Katy AI Signal: Gradual bullish trajectory from $163.63 → $164–$165.88 over next ~24 hours. Entry signal = HOLD, but directional bias = bullish.
Technicals: Weekly momentum BULLISH (+3.07%), stock in strong trending regime (100%), RSI overbought at 83.1.
News Sentiment: Slightly positive, tied to Bitcoin proxy narratives; minor caution from analysts.
Options Flow: Extremely bullish; Put/Call Ratio 0.17, unusual call activity at $188 strike.
Key Risk: High gamma, short expiry (2 days), overbought RSI; tight stops recommended.
Trade Strategy
Timing Advantage: Mid-week entry aligns with Katy AI’s projected upward move over next 24–36 hours.
Risk Mitigation: Slightly ITM strike ($162.50) reduces theta decay impact; tight stop at $2.28; small position size (2–3%).
USDJPY – 4H Technical Analysis StructureUSDJPY – 4H Technical Analysis
Structure
Price is holding above the rising 4H trendline, keeping the broader upside structure intact for now.
The last impulsive high near 159.30–159.50 remains a major supply / decision zone. This level has already produced rejection once.
Key Observations
Current price is consolidating between the rising trendline and the horizontal resistance.
Momentum slowed after the sharp push up, which is normal before a continuation or a deeper correction.
No confirmed structural breakdown yet on 4H.
Scenarios
Bullish continuation
A clean 4H close above 159.30–159.50 confirms strength.
That would open the path for continuation toward higher highs, with structure staying bullish as long as price respects the rising trendline.
Rejection / corrective move
Failure to close above the resistance followed by rejection candles increases the probability of a pullback.
A 4H break and close below the rising trendline would be the first warning that the structure is weakening and a deeper correction toward lower supports can unfold.
Conclusion
Market is at a decision point.
Bias stays constructively bullish while price holds above the trendline.
No rushing trades here — confirmation at resistance or a confirmed trendline break is required before committing.
— Avo.Trades
KMI Contrarian PUT Trade – AI vs Market Flow | High RiskKMI Earnings Signal | 2026-01-21
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: KMI
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 28.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.33
🎯 Profit Target: 0.66
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.17
📅 Expiry: 2026-01-23
📏 Size: 1.0
📈 Confidence: 55%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2026-01-21 13:15:52 EST
WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
Analysis Summary
Katy AI Signal: Predicts a -3% intraday decline post-earnings (target $27.71–$27.74).
Technicals: Stock slightly up (+2.13%) but overbought; weak rally (0.8x volume).
Options Flow: Strong bullish indicators (PCR 0.43, heavy $30 call volume), conflicting with AI.
News Sentiment: Neutral, earnings recently released.
Key Risk: Trade conflicts with bullish options flow and composite guidance. High speculative risk.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
⚠️ CRITICAL CONFLICT: This trade opposes strong bullish indicators (Options Flow, Composite Guidance). Only proceed with caution and strict position sizing.
⚠️ Katy AI's confidence is only 50%, making this a speculative play.
APPLE Massively oversold RSI. Short-term buy??Almost 2 months ago (December 05 2025, see chart below), we gave a massive long-term Sell Signal on APPLE (AAPL) as it hit the top of its 4-year Channel Up and the 1.236 Fibonacci extension:
The price immediately dropped and we are now on a strong weekly selling streak that is approaching the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which is generally the first technical Support during corrections.
However, the 1D RSI turned massively oversold as it hit 20.00 and this is technically the first Buy Signal but only on a short-term basis. In fact, every correction within this Channel Up pattern, always rebounded around the same point we are at today, to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then resumed the long-term downtrend to test the 1W MA50. This 1D MA50 test may take place at $265.
Whether that's a traditional Bear Cycle (like in 2022) or a shorter correction, the deciding factor will be the 1W MA50 test. We expect that to be at $236, which is also where the 0.382 Fib is (tested previously on the October 26 2023 low). A break below it, will technically open the way for further downside towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
In that case, we will maintain a long-term target/ Buy Zone within $210 - $200, whose bottom will still be marginally less than the -32.00% of 2022 or the -35.00% of early 2025.
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Earnings Conflict Alert: AI Turns Bearish Into FCXFCX Earnings Signal | 2026-01-21
🎯 Trade Bias
Primary Direction: BUY PUTS
Confidence: 55%
Conviction: MEDIUM
🧠 Trade Rationale (Why This Trade)
Katy AI predicts a short-term downside move (-0.77%)
Stock is overbought (RSI 75.7, Stochastics 85.8)
Setup favors a pre-earnings pullback / sell-the-news
Fundamentals are bullish → conflict increases volatility risk
💰 Options Trade Setup
Option Type: PUT
Strike: $60.00
Expiry: Jan 23, 2026
Entry: ~$1.40
Target 1: $2.10 (+50%)
Target 2: $2.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $0.98 (−30%)
📏 Position Sizing
Recommended Size: ≤ 2% of portfolio
Keep size small due to earnings uncertainty
⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor:
Strong bullish fundamentals may overpower AI signal
Katy AI confidence is only 50%
Exit or hedge before earnings release to avoid gamma risk
Earnings Tension Trade: Why AI Is Betting on ABT UpsidABT Earnings Signal | 2026-01-21
Direction: BUY CALLS
Strike: $117.00
Expiry: Jan 23, 2026
Entry: ~$4.85
Target: $6.50 (+34%)
Extended Target: $7.50 (+55%)
Stop Loss: $3.88 (-20%)
🧠 Why This Trade
Katy AI Forecast: Bullish price path toward $123+ despite neutral label
Technical Setup: Deeply oversold stochastic (8.2) → bounce potential
News Catalyst: CE Mark approval for new product (positive sentiment)
Options Flow: Slight call bias (PCR 0.83), unusual activity at $130 calls
⚠️ Key Risks
Low overall confidence (55%)
Weak earnings beat history (25%)
High IV → possible post-earnings IV crush
Light volume = limited market conviction
💡 Position Management
Use small size only (≤2%)
Tight stop required
Consider quick profit-taking if target hits pre-expiry
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Low conviction due to Katy AI's 50% confidence and conflicting technical signals.
Earnings beat history is poor (25%), increasing risk of miss.
High IV in options may lead to premium decay post-earnings; consider exiting before expiry.
Monitor volume for confirmation—current light volume indicates weak market participation.
USDCHF Short-term bullish + potential break-out.Early this month (January 08, see chart below) we gave a strong buy signal on the USDCHF pair, which shortly after hit our 0.80350 Target:
As it got rejected just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the price pulled back to the 7-month Support Zone and turned into a buy opportunity again.
Now, we have Target 1 at 0.80100, just below the Inner Lower Highs trend-line. If we close a 1D candle above that as well, re-buy with Target 2 at 0.80650 (Fibonacci 0.786) just below the Lower Highs trend-line.
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Speculative Options Trade — Elevated Conflict & Decay RiskAMZN Weekly Signal | 2026-01-20
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: AMZN
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 225.00
💵 Entry Price: 1.09
🎯 Profit Target: 1.85
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.75
📅 Expiry: 2026-01-23
📏 Size: N/A
📈 Confidence: 60%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2026-01-20 18:56:39 EST
⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
This is a SPECULATIVE trade due to the direct conflict between Katy AI's prediction and other bearish signals.
The primary risk is that Katy's bullish forecast materializes quickly, driving the price toward $236+ and rendering these puts worthless.
Weekly options decay accelerates rapidly in the final 3 days; time is a significant enemy.
3 Month ProjectionI think $6k is the likely major resistance. From there, depending on the Macro, it could retrace to $4.5k for support. Thats a 3 month play I think could happen. But the real question at hand in mind is, What is the true value of Gold once drama’s around currency have settled? Personally, I am thinking around $5k an ounce? IDK how it could be worth much more or less at this rate. Use case hasn’t gone up much from what I can tell unless I’m missing something?
SMCI Weekly QuantSignals: Neutral Momentum, Tactical Call BiasSMCI Weekly Signal | 2026-01-21
Ticker: SMCI
Signal Type: Weekly Options (2-day expiry)
Direction: BUY CALLS 📈
Confidence: 58% (Low)
🎯 Trade Plan
Expiration: Jan 23, 2026
Strike: $31.50
Entry Range: $0.86 – $0.92 (≈$0.89 mid)
Target 1: $1.20 (~+35%)
Target 2: $1.45 (~+63%)
Stop Loss: $0.44 (~-51%)
AI Prediction: Katy AI time series shows a slight upward bias, with price projected into the $31.68–$32.00 range over the next 1–2 days.
Neutral Momentum: Weekly trend is neutral with no strong breakout signal yet.
Balanced Options Flow: No strong skew — neutral PCR / no unusual activity.
Balanced Delta: Reference $31.50 call ~0.51 delta — a balanced directional play.
Risk Considerations:
Low Volume (0.7× average): Slippage and wide bid-ask spreads more likely.
Time Decay (Theta): With only 2 days to expiry, premium erodes quickly — monitor closely.
Watch for Reversal: If price fails to break above VWAP or key resistance swiftly, exit early.
MSTR High-Risk Setup: Smart Money Bets on a Sharp MoveMSTR Weekly Signal | 2026-01-21
Ticker: MSTR
Signal Type: Weekly (2-Day Expiry)
Confidence: 60%
🎯 Primary Trade Setup (Bearish Momentum Play)
Strategy: BUY PUTS
Strike: $160
Expiry: Jan 23, 2026
Entry: ~$4.55
Target 1: $6.83 (+50%)
Target 2: $9.10 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $2.28 (-50%)
🧠 Why PUTS
Weekly Momentum: Bearish (-2.7%)
Options Flow: Extremely bearish
Put/Call Ratio 2.58 – 3.32 (heavy institutional protection)
Price Action: Below VWAP, trading in lower weekly range
Macro Sentiment: Bitcoin weakness → negative pressure on MSTR
Composite Weekly Score: STRONG BEARISH
➡️ This is a momentum + flow-driven downside continuation trade
⚠️ Major Risk (Important)
Katy AI Forecast: Bullish path toward $165–167
Creates model conflict → raises volatility & squeeze risk
Short-dated options = fast theta decay
🔄 Alternative Contrarian Play (HIGH RISK)
Strategy: BUY CALLS (AI-only thesis)
Strike: $160
Entry: ~$0.81
Target: $1.62 – $2.43
Stop: $0.41
⚠️ KATY CONFLICT EXPLANATION
CRITICAL OVERRIDE JUSTIFICATION: The 'Weekly Directional Guidance' composite score of -4.5 strongly recommends BUY PUTS. However, the core directive mandates that the trade direction MUST align with Katy AI's prediction.
the AI's forward-looking price prediction is prioritized as the primary directional engine, overriding the composite bearish guidance. This conflict significantly elevates the trade's risk profile.
BTC | DailyCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Transitional Phase
BTC is currently holding at Q-Structure λ confluence support.
Under the second bullish alternative, the sharp Minor Wave 4 retracement within the Leading Diagonal (Int. Wave 1) appears complete near the 0.81 Fib level—a common retracement zone for 4th waves in leading diagonals—setting up a Minor Wave 5 advance toward ➤ $100k .
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
#QuantumModel #EWTheory #CryptoAnalysis #DigitalAssets #MarketCycles #TrendAnalysis
AUDUSD Intraday Buy|Target 0.6801 → 0.6814 |Bullish Above 0.6744Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute):
AUDUSD is trading with a strong intraday bullish structure. Price is holding above the key support and pivot area at 0.6744. As long as this level holds, buyers remain in control and the upside scenario stays valid.
A sustained break below 0.6744 would weaken the bullish setup and may invite selling pressure.
Trade Plan:
* Bullish above 0.6744
* Upside targets: 0.6801 then 0.6814
* Bearish scenario only if price stays below 0.6744
Technical View:
* Trend: Short-term bullish
* RSI: Above neutral zone
* MACD: Positive momentum
* Bias: Buy on pullbacks above support
Risk Management:
Capital protection first. Trade with proper lot size. No over-trading. Follow the plan, not emotions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size.
OANDA:AUDUSD CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $INTRADAY GETTEX:BUY $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW
XRPUSDT: One Final Bearish Drop And Then All The Way To $3?Dear traders,
Bears are firmly in control, causing the price to plummet and then plummet further. This suggests a likely further drop below our entry zone. Our entry zone remains a crucial point where a strong upward reversal could occur. This is a swing setup and may take time to complete.
If you enjoy our work, please like and comment for more!
Team Setupsfx_
USDCHF Intraday Buy |Target 0.7963 →0.7983 Bullish Above 0.7922Idea (Intraday – 30 Minute):
USDCHF is trading with a positive intraday structure. Price is holding above the key support zone at 0.7922, which keeps the upside scenario active. Buyers remain in control, and momentum indicators are supporting further upside movement.
If the market breaks and stays below 0.7922, bullish strength will weaken and a downside move may develop.
Trade Plan:
* Bullish above 0.7922
* Upside targets: 0.7963 then 0.7983
* Bearish scenario only if price stays below 0.7922
Technical View:
* Trend: Short-term bullish
* RSI: Above neutral zone
* MACD: Positive momentum
* Bias: Buy on pullbacks above support
Risk Management:
Protect your capital first. Use controlled lot size. No overtrading. Discipline over emotions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Always manage risk according to your account size.
OANDA:USDCHF CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $INTRADAY GETTEX:BUY $PRICEACTION $TECHNICALANALYSIS $TRADINGVIEW






















