XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in an uptrend, and there are no clear signs that the bullish wave has ended. We still expect the price to reach at least above $3,000 in the coming period.
However, on the daily timeframe, gold has entered the overbought zone, leading to the expected corrective phase.
At this point, we anticipate a further price correction to lower levels before a new bullish move begins.
Stay patient and look for suitable buying opportunities.
Monitor price reactions to support levels to identify an optimal entry point.
The overall trend remains bullish, and the current correction may provide a good re-entry opportunity.
What’s your outlook on gold? Do you think the $3,000 target is achievable?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: +18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin remains in a neutral, range-bound trend, currently trading below a key resistance zone. At this point, two potential scenarios could unfold:
1. Bullish Scenario:
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance level with strong momentum, it could confirm a continuation of the uptrend. A confirmed breakout would present an opportunity to enter long positions strategically.
2. Bearish Scenario:
If Bitcoin fails to break the resistance, a rejection could lead to a pullback toward lower support levels. In this case, waiting for a clear breakout confirmation before entering buy positions would be the prudent approach.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
DOTUSDT.1DMarket Structure & Key Levels:
Current Price & Trend:
DOT is trading at $4.962, reflecting a -1.19% decline.
The price has formed lower highs and lower lows, characteristic of a bearish market structure.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
S1 ($3.637): A critical support level, which has previously acted as a strong accumulation zone.
R1 (Descending Resistance): A key trendline resistance, which DOT must break to signal a potential trend reversal.
R2 ($8.089): A significant resistance zone, marking previous failed breakout attempts.
High: $11.889 (last major peak).
Low: $3.590 (historical bottom).
Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment:
🔹 Trendline Analysis:
DOT is currently trading below R1, maintaining a downtrend structure.
A break above R1 could be the first sign of a trend shift, opening the path for higher targets.
🔹 Potential Bullish Reversal Scenario:
If DOT successfully breaks R1 and holds above $5.50, a rally toward $6.50-$7.00 is likely.
A strong breakout above $8.00 would confirm a trend reversal, targeting $10-$12 in an extended rally.
🔹 Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
A rejection at R1 or failure to hold above $4.50 could lead to a retest of $3.63 (S1).
A break below $3.60 would be extremely bearish, potentially dragging DOT toward $3.00 or even lower levels.
🔹 Liquidity & Volume Analysis:
Current buying volume is weak, indicating hesitation among bulls.
A spike in volume is necessary to confirm a valid breakout above trend resistance.
🔹 Market Psychology:
The $5.00-$5.50 zone is a critical decision area, where DOT needs to reclaim momentum to shift sentiment bullish.
A breakout above R1 could trigger a wave of FOMO buying, while rejection could increase selling pressure.
Conclusion & Trading Strategy:
Given the current price structure, my trading plan involves two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout Strategy:
If DOT breaks R1 and holds above $5.50, I will enter a long position, targeting $7.00-$8.00.
A confirmed move above $8.00 could propel price toward $10-$12 in the mid-term.
2️⃣ Bearish Retest & Potential Breakdown:
If DOT fails to reclaim $5.50 and starts declining, I will look for a shorting opportunity toward $4.00-$3.60.
A break below $3.60 could lead to a capitulation event, sending price to lower levels.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss for longs: Below $4.50 to avoid false breakouts.
Stop-loss for shorts: Above $5.50, as a breakout could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Leverage approach: Conservative, due to the high volatility and uncertainty in DOT's trend.
Final Thought:
DOT is currently in a bearish market structure, but a break above R1 could initiate a trend reversal. The next few days will be critical, as buyers must step in to prevent further downside. I will be monitoring price action closely, particularly around $5.50 and $3.60, to determine the best trading approach.
GOLD I Weekly CLS range, H4 CIOD, Targets below 50%Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk
Trade Idea: ATOMUSDT🚀 Trade Idea: ATOMUSDT
🔥 Potential Move: Yearly ERL to IRL = 200% Gain Possible 📈💰
🧐 Analysis:
Price Action Looks Clean ✅
Low Resistance Liquidity (LRL) on the Left Side = Easier Expansion 🏎️💨
Satisfied with Market Structure = Strong Conviction in the Move 💡📊
🎯 Plan: Follow PA closely, manage risk, and let the trade play out! 🔥💪
GBP/USD Breaks Key Resistance: Targeting 1.2800 GBP/USD is trading at approximately 1.2580. Your target price of 1.2800 suggests an anticipated upward movement of over 200 pips, indicating a bullish outlook. The pair has recently broken above a significant resistance level, and the next key resistance is identified at 1.2800, which could potentially act as a barrier and prompt a downward correction.
Technical analysis reveals that GBP/USD has exited a multi-month downtrend, with the January rebound extending nearly 4.4% from the yearly low. This upward momentum suggests potential for further gains; however, traders should be cautious as the 1.2800 resistance level may trigger selling pressure, leading to a possible retracement.
Fundamentally, the UK's economic landscape is experiencing shifts. Inflation is expected to rise to 2.8% in January, influenced by factors such as the introduction of VAT on private school fees and increased airfares. This follows the Bank of England's recent 25 basis point rate cut, aimed at stimulating economic activity. Conversely, the U.S. economy shows resilience, with strong economic data suggesting that further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are unlikely.
In summary, while the GBP/USD pair exhibits bullish momentum with a potential target of 1.2800, traders should remain vigilant. The 1.2800 resistance level may serve as a critical point, possibly leading to a downward correction. Monitoring upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will be essential in making informed trading decisions.
Bitcoin breaking through 4H MA100 will bring a rallyBitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.096, MACD = -559.600, ADX = 41.025) as it is rising aggressively today and just hit the 1D MA50. This is its major Resistance level, which when crossed has caused the two main rallies of 2025 so far. The first (Dec 30th-Jan 7th) crossed the 0.618 Fibonacci before pulling back, while the second (Jan 9th-Jan 20th) made a full +20% rally. As you realize, if we do get a 1D candle close over the 1D MA50, the target for the modest scenario of Fib 0.618 is TP1 = 103,500 and if it continues (which as some point it will since the Bull Cycle has at least another 6-9 months more) for the good case scenario of +20%, the target will be TP2 = 113,000.
BTC USD sell zone @97,000 H4chart analysisClient Trade Signal – BTC/USD
📉 Sell Signal
🔹 Entry: 97,000
🎯 Target: 91,000
❌ Stop-Loss: 98,900
📊 Trade with caution. Manage your risk wisely!
Let me know if you want a graphic or any branding elements added to make it more engaging! Also, would you like to tag your client (if they’re okay with it) for more credibility? Client Trade Signal – BTC/USD (H4 Analysis)
📉 Sell Zone: 97,000
🕒 Timeframe: H4
🔍 Key resistance identified with potential rejection. Watch for confirmation signals like bearish candlesticks or volume spikes.
🎯 Target: 91,000
❌ Stop-Loss: 98,900
📊 Trade with caution. Risk management is key!
Would you like a custom graphic to go with this post? It could include a price chart or a clean visual of the levels!
EURJPY: Get Ready For The Next MovementEURJPY: Get Ready For The Next Movement
The EURJPY has completed a bullish harmonic pattern and has tested a strong support and psychological zone near 156.00. Despite initial weakness, EURJPY recovered very well.
The JPY's strength has been bolstered by market uncertainty related to tariffs, driving volume towards safe-haven currencies like the JPY.
Currently, the EURJPY appears to be stabilizing, suggesting for a potential correction for the moment. The bullish trend may resume during next week after the price spends some time in correction.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY TRADE IDEA FOR MONDAY📉 GBP/JPY - Bearish Setup Analysis
🔹 Pair: GBP/JPY (1H Timeframe)
🔹 Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance: 193.027 (Major Supply Zone)
Entry Zone: 191.891 (Marked Red - Potential Sell Zone)
Support Target: 189.183 (Demand Zone)
🔍 Analysis:
The market is currently consolidating within a supply zone, showing signs of distribution. A rejection from the 191.891 level indicates potential bearish momentum. If price breaks below the local support at 191.280, we could see a drop towards the demand zone at 189.183.
✅ Trade Plan:
Sell Setup: Waiting for confirmation near 191.891
Stop Loss: Above supply zone (around 192.000)
Take Profit: 189.183 (Demand Zone)
📌 Confluence Factors:
✔ Price reacting to supply zone
✔ Break of structure expected for downside move
✔ Risk-to-reward favoring short positions
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥📊
BTCUSD-A short term opportunityDaily scenario: falling wedge, rising support. Oversold rising Stoch RSI, MACD nearing crossover.
Long opportunity in case of a D close at about 98k (or over) can be achieved, within few days.
Expect growing selling pressure close to such breakout level and close to 102k $ mark if the wedge is broken up.
Nearing 102k would imply a further possibility to visit ATH area.
Flio of the coin: short term scenario is invalidated on a D close below 92,5k $.
XAUUSD-Next Big Opportunity Scalping the Golden Zone
As expected, we capitalized on the key support zone, securing an additional 100-120 pips on a quick long scalp. These fast-moving plays continue to deliver solid returns!
What’s Next for Gold?
Strong Support Zone Identified – Price has reached a critical demand area, signaling a potential short-term pullback.
1H Order Block Retest – We anticipate a retracement or a possible tag-in before further movement.
Risk-Reward Setup – A well-structured long entry from this zone could yield another profitable trade when markets open Monday.
Major Resistance in Place – Despite a bounce, selling pressure remains strong, and Friday’s momentum suggests further downside in the near term.
Trading Plan:
Look for long setups at the identified support with a tight SL & proper R:R.
Keep an eye on the 1H bearish price action for confirmation of a continued move down.
If resistance holds firm, we could see another strong sell-off later in the week.
Gold analysis!Key Support Zone: Price is consolidating near a strong support area.
Potential Move: Break above resistance → bullish momentum.
Watch Out: A sustained drop below support could signal downside continuation.
Strategy:
Entry: Long near support / Short on breakdown.
Stop Loss: Tight below key levels. Targets: Previous swing highs/lows.
BTCUSD - Bull Flag - Target $135,000 Following Eventual BreakoutMy previous idea remains on target as BTC continues to consolidate in this bull flag continuation pattern. Price action is within a bullish squeeze pattern that continues to tighten on a very slight descending trend very similar to the previous level. Golden pocket is between $89,500 and $95,000.00 for long entries. Long term target following eventual breakout $135,000.00.
EUR/JPY Bias: Bearish📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Target: Yearly Fair Value Gap (FVG) below
🕵️♂️ Analysis:
Daily TF: Price has completed an inducement grab ✅
Expectation: Price to tap into the bearish Order Block (OB) 🔄
HTF Move: Liquidity grab expected before further drop 🌊📉
🎯 Plan: Wait for price to react at the OB and look for confirmations before entering a short position. 🚀📊
BTCUSDT.1DMarket Structure & Key Levels:
Current Price & Trend:
Bitcoin is trading at $97,511, showing signs of consolidation after a strong rally.
The price is currently oscillating between the R1 trendline (support turned resistance) and a key horizontal support level near $86,359.
Support & Resistance Levels:
S1 ($86,359): A critical demand zone where previous accumulation occurred.
R1 (Local Resistance): The lower boundary of the ascending channel, which has flipped into resistance.
R2 ($110,392): A major resistance level; breaking this confirms a continuation toward new highs.
R3 (Upper Channel Resistance): Marks the upper limit of Bitcoin’s bullish structure, a potential future target.
Historical High & Low:
All-Time High: $109,588 (recent major peak)
Strongest Historical Support: $49,000 (unlikely but critical in case of a severe breakdown)
Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment:
🔹 Trendline Analysis:
Bitcoin is still inside the macro bullish channel, but price action is weakening near local resistance.
The price has formed lower highs, signaling potential exhaustion unless volume increases.
🔹 Potential Breakout Scenario:
If BTC breaks above $100,000, the next resistance will be at $110,392.
Beyond $110,000, BTC could target $125,000-$130,000 based on Fibonacci extensions.
🔹 Potential Breakdown Scenario:
A breakdown below $97,000 increases the likelihood of testing $86,359 (S1).
A further break below $86,000 may result in a sharper decline toward the $75,000-$80,000 zone.
🔹 Liquidity & Volume:
Decreasing volume near resistance suggests weakening bullish momentum.
A confirmed bullish breakout requires high volume and strong closing candles above key resistance levels.
🔹 Market Psychology:
The market remains in an accumulation-distribution phase, where large players are managing liquidity before a decisive move.
The current price action suggests that a correction is possible before a new rally.
Conclusion & Strategy:
Given the current structure, I am preparing for two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout:
If Bitcoin closes above $100,000 with strong volume, I will enter a long position targeting $110,000-$115,000.
A breakout above $110,000 opens the door for a rally toward $125,000-$130,000.
2️⃣ Bearish Pullback:
If BTC loses $97,000, I will consider reducing exposure or shorting towards $86,000.
A breakdown of $86,000 could trigger a deeper correction to $75,000-$80,000.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss for longs: Below $96,000 to avoid fake breakouts.
Stop-loss for shorts: Above $100,500 to protect against trend reversals.
Leverage strategy: Conservative, considering high volatility.
With these levels in mind, I am prepared to adapt based on Bitcoin’s reaction to its key support and resistance zones. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether BTC resumes its uptrend or enters a deeper correction phase.
Final Thought:
Bitcoin remains bullish in the long term, but the short-term structure suggests potential for either a continuation rally or retracement to lower supports before resuming its upward trajectory. I will monitor volume and key price action signals to determine the best trade entry.