Harmonic Patterns
USOIL M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 61.202
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 60.900
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 61.660
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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EURCHF H4 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 0.92530
- Pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- Fair value gap
Stop Loss: 0.92986
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 0.91913
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
AVAX: Poised for a Major Bullish SurgeAVAX: Poised for a Major Bullish Surge
AVAX is currently retesting a long-standing support area that was previously respected in both June and January of 2021. The zone between $9–$12 has acted as a strong floor for several years and has not been decisively broken. This suggests that downside risk may be limited in this region.
On the daily chart, AVAX has already completed a bullish structure, increasing the probability of a future upward move.
⚠️To be clear, I am not expecting an immediate rally, but this is the area I’m monitoring closely for a potential long-term accumulation or trading opportunity.
I’m focusing on realistic targets that the price has successfully reached in the past:
Key Targets:
$32.5
$44
$53
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
EUR/USD consolidates within a fourth wave before the Fed meetingThe weekly chart shows the major currency pair in a sustained period of consolidation since June 23. This would suggest we see a spike to the upside to take out weak stop losses.
The four-hour chart highlights a gap open from Sunday at 1.1828. We have a 261.8% extension level at 1.2081
Conclusion: I would expect a continued period of consolidation up until tomorrow's Fed meeting. Gaps tend to be closed. Elliott Wave analysis suggests we are currently consolidating within a fourth wave. The bias remains bullish, and I look for dips to find buyers
XAUUSD H1: Strong Momentum, Structure Near a Decision PointHello, I’m Amelia.
Taking a closer look at the XAUUSD H1 chart, I continue to see a clear and well-controlled uptrend. Price is moving cleanly within an ascending channel, maintaining a consistent sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The most recent strong bullish leg confirms that buyers are firmly in control. However, price is now trading some distance away from its short-term support, and in conditions like this, the market usually requires a technical pullback to rebalance supply and demand before continuing in the primary direction.
From a macro perspective, gold is still benefiting from a prolonged environment of uncertainty and a defensive market mindset. Expectations of a cautious monetary policy stance, combined with the absence of a clear and aggressive easing cycle, mean there is not yet sufficient pressure to trigger a meaningful bearish reversal in gold. This backdrop explains why upside moves are often accompanied by short-term volatility and corrective phases, rather than a straight, uninterrupted rally.
The zone I am watching most closely is the 5,380–5,420 area, where internal channel support aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulsive move. In momentum-driven uptrends, I frequently see a familiar pattern: a sharp advance that fuels breakout sentiment, followed by a pullback to test structural support. If price revisits this area and shows a clear buying reaction, the bullish structure remains clean and technically sound.
In a constructive scenario, I would expect price to rotate higher toward the 5,550–5,580 resistance zone. A successful retest and hold above this region would reinforce the case for trend continuation within the ascending channel. At this stage, I continue to treat any short-term weakness as a technical pullback within a dominant uptrend, rather than a reversal signal.
Wishing you disciplined and successful trading.
Double Top Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal Structure📚 Double Top Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal Structure
The Double Top is one of the most widely recognized and reliable bearish reversal patterns in technical analysis. It typically forms after a well-established uptrend and reflects a gradual loss of bullish momentum as market control transitions from buyers to sellers. Understanding the structure, confirmation rules, and market logic behind the Double Top helps traders avoid false signals and improve overall trade accuracy.
🔍 Structural Components of the Double Top
The Double Top consists of three primary phases:
Phase One – First Top
- Price rallies strongly in line with the prevailing uptrend and forms the first peak, indicating dominant bullish momentum.
- A subsequent pullback creates a temporary low, which later serves as the neckline of the pattern.
Phase Two – Second Top
- Price attempts another upward push but fails to break above the first top.
- This failure signals weakening buying pressure and early signs of distribution by larger market participants.
Phase Three – Neckline Breakdow n
- The pattern is confirmed only when price breaks below the neckline.
- This breakdown marks a shift in market control from buyers to sellers and confirms the potential trend reversal.
⚠️ Important note:
Without a clear neckline break, a Double Top is not considered valid.
📉 Market Meaning Behind the Pattern
From a price behavior perspective, the Double Top indicates:
- Diminishing bullish momentum after the second top
- Buyers losing the ability to push price higher
- Sellers gradually stepping in
- A confirmed neckline break signaling a trend reversal
When formed after a clear uptrend, the Double Top is considered a high-probability bearish reversal pattern.
✅ Conditions for a High-Quality Double Top
To improve reliability, the following conditions should ideally be present:
✔️ A clearly defined prior uptrend
✔️ Both tops are approximately equal in height
✔️ Volume is higher on the first top and lower on the second
✔️ Strong bearish candles or volume expansion during the neckline break
🛠️ How to Trade the Double Top
🔴 Sell Entry
The safest approach is to:
Wait for a confirmed neckline break
Enter a SELL on the retest of the neckline
This method reduces the risk of false breakdowns and improves the risk-to-reward profile.
❌ Stop Loss
Place the stop loss above the second top (or above both tops)
The stop should remain outside the structure to avoid liquidity sweeps
🎯 Take Profit
To estimate the target:
Measure the distance from the top to the neckline
Project that same distance downward from the neckline break
⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid
❌ Selling simply because a second top forms
❌ Ignoring neckline confirmation
❌ Trading without volume or candle validation
❌ Using the pattern in isolation without confluence
📌 Pro Tip for Higher Accuracy
For higher-probability setups, combine the Double Top with:
- RSI divergence
- Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
- Trendlines
- Liquidity zones
A multi-confirmation approach significantly improves trade quality and consistency.
NZDUSD 1📌 NZDUSD – Buy Limit (Professional Analysis)
Entry: 0.59600
Stop Loss: 0.58400
Take Profit: 0.60800
Market Structure & Bias
NZDUSD is currently in a clear bullish market structure on the H4 timeframe, characterized by consecutive higher highs and higher lows. Price has shown strong impulsive movement to the upside, indicating sustained buying pressure. The overall directional bias remains bullish, with expectations of continuation following a healthy pullback.
Technical Confluence
Price is approaching a previous resistance zone turned support around the 0.59600 level, aligning with the buy limit entry.
The level coincides with a bullish pullback area within the current uptrend, suggesting potential demand absorption.
Recent bullish momentum shows strong displacement, increasing the probability of continuation after retracement.
The entry sits near a minor demand zone, where prior buying interest was evident.
Overall price action suggests buyers remain in control, with pullbacks being corrective rather than impulsive.
Risk Management
The stop loss at 0.58400 is placed below the key structural low, invalidating the bullish setup if breached. This placement protects against deeper retracements while allowing sufficient room for price to react.
The take profit at 0.60800 targets the next significant resistance area, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and aligning with trend continuation objectives.
Trade Expectation
Price is expected to pull back into the 0.59600 demand area, find bullish support, and resume the upward move toward the 0.60800 target. As long as price holds above the defined stop loss, bullish continuation remains the primary expectation.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management and ensure the trade aligns with your personal trading plan and risk tolerance.
3-DRIVE SEEMS MORE PROBABLE NOWMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan. Congrats, this week we could get 3rd grabber in a row on weekly chart, that suppose downside acceleration. Everything mostly stands the same, but in the light of recent events, for me 3-Drive pattern down to 85K now looks more probable than reverse H&S, discussed last time.
EVen more, I'm not sure that market will reverse on 85K. Some reaction - maybe, but real reversal hardly likely...
Most Crypto Losses Are Self-Inflicted — Here’s How to Avoid ThemMost traders blame their crypto losses on volatility, market makers, or unexpected news.
That explanation feels safe — because it removes personal responsibility.
But after years of observing real trading behavior across different market cycles, one pattern stands out with brutal consistency:
Most losses in crypto are self-inflicted — not market-inflicted.
And that’s actually good news.
Because what you cause, you can also control.
The Market Is Neutral — Your Behavior Is Not
Crypto doesn’t hunt accounts.
It doesn’t care where you entered.
It doesn’t punish you personally.
Losses usually come from how traders react to price:
- Chasing momentum after late entries
- Panic-selling during healthy pullbacks
- Acting on fear instead of structure
- Forcing trades when the market offers no edge
Price only moves.
Your decisions determine the outcome.
Professionals don’t try to outsmart volatility — they learn to operate calmly within it.
Overtrading: The Most Expensive Habit Nobody Talks About
Many traders aren’t losing because their ideas are bad.
They’re losing because they trade too often.
Overtrading usually shows up as:
- Trading out of boredom
- Trading to recover a previous loss
- Trading every small fluctuation
- Trading without a fully defined setup
Every position carries risk.
More trades do not increase opportunity — they increase emotional exposure.
In professional trading, restraint is a skill, not a weakness.
If You Don’t Control Risk, the Market Will Do It for You
You can be directionally right and still lose money.
Self-inflicted losses often come from:
- Oversized positions
- Moving stop-losses under pressure
- Risking too much on a single idea
- Treating one trade as “the big one”
Professionals don’t think in individual trades.
They think in probability over time.
Their priority is simple:
- Capital preservation first
- Consistent execution second
- Profits as a byproduct
Survival always comes before growth.
Complex Charts Create Emotional Decisions
More indicators do not create better trades.
They often create conflicting signals.
Common mistakes:
- Indicator overload
- Strategy hopping
- Constant re-interpretation of the same chart
- Looking for certainty where none exists
Clear charts produce clear thinking.
Clear thinking reduces emotional damage.
Simplicity isn’t basic — it’s advanced.
Revenge Trading Turns Small Losses Into Big Ones
After a loss, the mind seeks relief — not logic.
That’s when traders:
- Increase position size
- Break their own rules
- Enter without confirmation
- Trade to “feel right” again
The market does not respond to frustration.
And it does not reward urgency.
Losses are part of the business.
Trying to erase them emotionally often compounds them financially.
The Hardest Skill in Trading: Doing Nothing
Some of the best trades are the ones you don’t take.
Not trading when:
- Structure is unclear
- Volatility is erratic
- You’re emotionally involved
- Your plan says “wait”
Doing nothing protects capital.
And capital protection is what allows long-term consistency.
How to Avoid Self-Inflicted Losses (A Practical Framework)
- Trade less, but with intention
- Risk small and consistently
- Follow one system until proven otherwise
- Accept losses quickly and emotionally neutral
- Never trade to fix a feeling
- Measure success by discipline, not outcome
Your job is not to win every trade.
Your job is to stay in the game long enough for probability to work.
Final Thought
Crypto is not dangerous because it’s unfair.
It’s dangerous because it exposes:
- impatience
- ego
- fear
- lack of structure
Once you stop fighting the market and start managing yourself, trading becomes clearer, calmer, and far more sustainable.
Most crypto losses are self-inflicted.
Recognize that — and you’ve already taken the first step to avoiding them.
💬 Do you believe psychology causes more losses than analysis in crypto trading?
Share your perspective below — let’s discuss.
TheGrove | GBPCAD buy | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPCAD broke through multiple resistance line and is now holding above the trendline and key level zone. The current pullback toward the marked support cluster suggests a potential continuation of the bullish move, provided price holds this structure.
GBP/CAD is trading within a rising channel, with price holding above the ascending support line after a clear bullish and is moving on Resistance level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
EURNZD Bullish Reversal Setup | Daily Head & Shoulders BreakoutEURNZD Bullish Reversal Setup | Daily Head & Shoulders Breakout
Market Structure Overview
EURNZD is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern on the Daily timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal to the upside. Price is currently approaching the neckline resistance, and a confirmed breakout will open the door for strong bullish continuation.
Pattern & Technical Context
• Daily Head and Shoulders pattern forming
• Neckline acting as key resistance
• Breakout above resistance will confirm bullish reversal
On lower timeframes, momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
Lower Timeframe Confirmation
• Bullish divergence developing on 1H and 4H timeframes
• Momentum weakening on pullbacks
• Indicates accumulation before higher timeframe breakout
Despite lower TF divergence, the main execution will be conditional on Daily breakout, not early entries.
Trade Plan (Pending Order – Conditional Buy)
Order Type: Buy Stop (on breakout confirmation)
Entry Price (EP): 1.98109
Stop Loss (SL): 1.95993
Take Profit Targets
TP 1: 2.00338
TP 2: 2.02626
TP 3: 2.04758
TP 4: 2.07015
Risk & Trade Management
• Trade activates only after daily resistance breakout
• Partial profits can be secured at each TP level
• Stop loss placed below structure to protect against false breakouts
Conclusion
EURNZD presents a high-quality bullish reversal setup. While 1H and 4H divergence signals early momentum shift, the primary confirmation remains the Daily neckline breakout. A clean break above resistance will validate the Head and Shoulders reversal and expose upside targets progressively toward 2.07015.
Wait for confirmation. Trade the breakout. Manage risk properly.
Gold Just Touched ATH — But This 1H Structure Is Warning a ShortGold has printed a clean all time high, but the 1H chart is flashing a short-term caution signal, not a trend reversal. After a near-vertical impulsive rally inside a well-defined rising channel, price stalled at ATH and immediately shifted into overlapping candles a classic sign of momentum exhaustion and liquidity distribution at premium levels. Structurally, this is not weakness: it’s range acceptance above broken resistance, now acting as intraday support around $5,500–$5,520. The blue path on the chart highlights the highest-probability scenario: a controlled pullback into the demand zone near $5,440–$5,460, where unfilled buy orders and late breakout liquidity sit, before the broader uptrend resumes. From a macro lens, nothing has changed real yields remain capped, geopolitical risk persists, and central banks continue accumulating gold, which limits downside and keeps dips corrective rather than impulsive. Trader logic is simple here: ATHs don’t collapse without distribution, and distribution takes time. As long as price holds the demand zone and the channel structure, this is a short-term sell-the-highs /buy-the-dip environment, not a bearish reversal. Smart money is reloading not exiting.
BITF | WeeklyNASDAQ:BITF — Quantum Model Projection
Bullish Alternative 📈
There has been no specific change since the prior BITF analysis. Following the advance in Minor Wave 1, the price has pulled back through Minor Wave 2, holding at the Q-Structure λ₂ along the divergent zone—setting the stage for an impulsive advance in Minor Extension Wave 3 of Intermediate (5) within the Primary Wave ⓷ uptrend.
The Q-Target ➤ $28.88 🎯 remains valid, with a probable timing window into mid-June.
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework. Within this methodology, Q-Targets represent high-probability scenarios generated by the confluence of equivalence lines. These Quantum Structures also serve as structural anchors, shaping the model's internal geometry and guiding the evolution of alternative paths as price action unfolds.
#CryptoStocks #CryptoMining #QuantumModels
What could the growth in oil indicate?In the current market conditions (late January 2026) when oil prices have risen again, this increase is usually a sign of several important economic and political things:
🔥 1) Strong geopolitical tensions
News shows that oil prices have risen by more than 1.5% in the last few days, and this growth is due to increasing concerns about escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. The market is pricing in the fear of disruption to oil supply in the Middle East.
📌 When tensions rise in major producing countries such as Iran, the oil market makes future supply risk more expensive; this causes oil prices to rise even if current supply is sufficient.
🛢️ 2) Actual or potential supply risk
Analyses have pointed out that a political premium (additional cost) is added to the price of oil due to the risk of disruptions in oil production and exports from the Middle East region. This premium can add several dollars per barrel.
📉 3) Market fundamentals are different
Although in the medium term, official analyses (such as the EIA) say that global oil supply will outstrip demand in 2026 and should put downward pressure on prices, current geopolitical pressures have prevented a sharp decline in prices.
⭐ In short:
📌 The rise in oil prices now is more about political concerns and supply risk in the market than simply about the economy or increasing real demand.
📌 Investors see oil prices as a “risk-on” asset, and any bad political news can cause prices to rise.
📌 This growth is not necessarily a clear sign of a global economic boom, but rather a reflection of uncertainty and fears of supply disruptions.
Gold faces the 361.8% barrier at $5,608; continues to post higheThe relentless push higher in Gold continues with 8 daily all-time highs in succession.
Although we remain at overbought extremes in every time frame, dips continue to find buyers.
From a technical standpoint, we have a 361.8% Fibonacci target at $5,608. We have seen a stalling in bullish momentum overnight
Gold has broken out of the channel formation to the upside. Reverse trend line support is located at $5,360. Deeper support is located at $4,954, close to the psychological $5,000 big figure
Conclusion: we face a technical barrier at $5,608. With the safe haven product continuing to make higher highs and higher lows, the preferred stance is to buy into dips.
USD/JPY sits mid-range; rallies to be sold and dips to be boughtAlthough USD/JPY posted net daily gains yesterday, breaking the sequence of three negative performances, all price action was confined to Tuesday's range (152.09 to 154.88). This candle is known as an indecisive inside Harami.
The support is located at 151.03.
On the upside, we have resistance at 155.76. We also have the gap open at 155.73.
Conclusion: we are analysed as a trading mid-range. Look for dips to be bought, and rallies to be sold
GBP/JPY moves higher to close the 212.51 gap openCurrently trading within the BC leg of a Gartley formation.
This pattern will be completed on a move to 208.50. Bespoke support is located at 208.38.
On the upside, we have a gap open at 212.51. Further resistance is located at 214.04.
The Gartley pattern will be negated on a move through the previous swing high of 214.86
Conclusion: the immediate bias remains bullish with the gap open likely to be closed.
DXY – we have the completion of a bearish 5-wave count
DXY – we have the completion of a bearish 5-wave count. That should indicate that we see a correction to the upside. I have two support levels. 95.82 and 95.72. Resistance is currently located at 97.28. As long as the swing low remains intact, I remain bullish
I am totally bullish on gold till 6000As from last few weeks the gold is making fast and big moves in a single day of $200 or $300 and I took last time one trade from $5050 to $4240 and it made me $44000 in profit. Proofs are on my social media accounts with withdrawals. Now my suggestion to you all is do not sell gold because dollar is very week and Germany demanded it's all gold reserves from USA. When a country does not trust your system they will not do a business with you. Do not trust these fake news on social media they all are buyers and want to trick you thanks.






















