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Market SnapshotHmmmnnnnn....... www.dailymail.co.uk "Hedge funds are making a multi-billion-dollar gamble against the US economy, betting Donald Trump's presidency will result in a massive market crash that could devastate 401(k)s, pensions, and household savings across America. Data from Goldman Sachs has sent shockwaves through financial circles, revealing a dramatic surge in 'short' positions against US stocks - a move that signals a belief the market is headed for a precipitous crash. Throughout January, investors placed 10 times more bets on American stocks falling than on their continued rise, a staggering shift that reflects growing unease over Wall Street's future under Trump's leadership. The timing of such financial revolt is no coincidence and comes just as the world witnessed a $600 billion wipeout in major US tech stocks earlier this week, driven by fears over Chinese AI rival DeepSeek, which disrupted the once-unshakable dominance of America's technology sector. "
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
Market Snapshotwww.elliottwavetrader.net Another great write-up by Avi Gilburt and team on the current state of things at a Macro level Not affiliated with them and not pushing any of their services of course.. Do I agree with everything they say? Nope The below snippet from the article hints at the TRUE reason why things are going to get desperate in this economy over the next decade: "QE is merely a machination through which more debt is made available in the system, which is an indirect manner to increase the money supply. It is not actual printing of dollar bills, which would directly increase the money supply. Therefore, if more debt is made available, the only way you will get inflation is if there is public demand for that additional supply of debt. Without the matching demand for the additional debt supply, QE becomes a failure."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
2
SQUEEZE ME PART DEAUXIn my weekend Gamestop update video I mentioned that although it may be poetic to some to think that a Gamestop short squeeze will cause the market to crash, rarely if ever is it one single event that causes a market to decline. Rather it's the CUMULATIVE effect of multiple market participants "getting out over their skis" from a risk perspective that ultimately brings markets to their knees (from a catalyst perspective that is) So watch me prove it. After GME peaks on 06/09 we are going to look at these plays and see how things went :)
NASDAQ:GOVXLong
by Heartbeat_Trading
3
Market Snapshot1. Excessive Speculation or Asset Bubbles Preceding downturns, markets often experience speculative mania in certain sectors (e.g., 1929 stock bubble, 2008 housing bubble, 2000 tech bubble). 2. Monetary Policy Tightening Central banks often raise interest rates or tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, reducing liquidity (e.g., Federal Reserve hikes in 1929, 1980, and 2008). 3. Leverage and Debt Crises Excessive leverage among consumers, corporations, or financial institutions increases vulnerability (e.g., margin loans in 1929, subprime mortgages in 2008). 4. Overvaluation of Financial Assets Markets often become overvalued based on metrics like P/E ratios, creating disconnects between prices and fundamentals (e.g., 1999-2000 tech stocks, 1929). 5. Liquidity Crises A lack of liquidity or credit crunch exacerbates selloffs (e.g., 2008 banking crisis, 1987 Black Monday). 6. Geopolitical or Systemic Shocks Unexpected shocks such as wars, oil crises, or pandemics trigger fear and uncertainty (e.g., OPEC oil embargo in 1973, COVID-19 in 2020). 7. Declining Consumer Confidence Consumer sentiment falls due to high unemployment, inflation, or fear of recession, dampening spending and economic activity (e.g., 2008, 1980s). 8. Corporate Earnings Decline Broad declines in corporate profits lead to stock selloffs (e.g., early 2000s dot-com bust, 2008 financial crisis). 9. Structural Economic Weakness Economic imbalances or structural issues amplify downturns (e.g., overproduction in 1929, housing bubble in 2008, supply chain disruptions in 2020). 10. Psychological Panic and Loss of Trust Fear and herd behavior lead to mass selloffs, deepening declines (e.g., 1929 panic selling, Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008).
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
2
MOASS: WC: 32.20 Target: 1800-2400 MOASS: 47k-100KTLDR: 35-40 Region is next Significant retracement will follow that will take us back down to 28-30ish VWAPS and VPOCs will ultimately provide support 100% move coming in Jan Emoji timeline is legit IMHO The Cat is signaling to Inauguration and End of April FIb TIme Axis agrees with suspected emoji timeline Swaps are a big component of the short play Swaps will AGAIN be used to resolve MOASS and this will play out AGAIN in 3-4 years
NYSE:GMELong
by Heartbeat_Trading
22
Market SnapshotMUST READ!!!! All credits to Avi Gilburt and his team www.elliottwavetrader.net “Observers’ job, as they see it, is simply to identify which external events caused whatever price changes occur. When news seems to coincide sensibly with market movement, they presume a causal relationship. When news doesn’t fit, they attempt to devise a cause-and-effect structure to make it fit. When they cannot even devise a plausible way to twist the news into justifying market action, they chalk up the market moves to “psychology,” which means that, despite a plethora of news and numerous inventive ways to interpret it, their imaginations aren’t prodigious enough to concoct a credible causal story. Most of the time it is easy for observers to believe in news causality. Financial markets fluctuate constantly, and news comes out constantly, and sometimes the two elements coincide well enough to reinforce commentators’ mental bias towards mechanical cause and effect. When news and the market fail to coincide, they shrug and disregard the inconsistency. Those operating under the mechanics paradigm in finance never seem to see or care that these glaring anomalies exist.”- Robert Prechter
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
1
Market SnapshotQuestions I've been asking myself lately: Is my Bank safe? If the market crashes will they survive? While they fight for survival is my money at risk being with them? Do I have enough money saved so that if my job decides my services are no longer needed my family is not immediately or permanently at risk? What's the safest vehicle to put my money in a highly inflationary environment? What's the safest vehicle in a deflationary environment? What if the price of oil doubles over the next 5 years? You really need to buy more gold and silver (not a question just talking to myself) How will I take advantage of the housing crash that's looming? Why haven't you opened a family trust yet and put all of your assets under the care of?
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
MOASS: WC: 27.99 Target: 1800-2400 MOASS: 47k-100KTLDR: BOOM!!! Volume Point of Control (VPOC) is critical to watch as well VPOC tracks the major waves in the wave cycle and will sit between major waves VPOC and where it sits in relation to price, like VWAP, helps us track the progression of waves Next move will take us to the 35-40 region Price will then retrace back to the 28 region which is where we will see an EXPLOSION IN PRICE That move back to 28 will be your last time, maybe ever, to get GME at anything near these levels The next move after the retracement to 28 takes us to 70 After 70 comes CHEERS EVERYBODY!!!
NYSE:GMELong
by Heartbeat_Trading
28
MOASS: WC: 29.06 Target: 1800-2400 MOASS: 47k-100KTLDR: -RK Emoji timeline and latest tweets align with our consistent prediction that Jan would see explosive price movement -Elliott Wave is our guide -500 area is the next major target area on the way to 1800-2400 -Protect your investment at all costs! -35-40 area is significant and after we reach it we will see a retracement to the 30ish area and then we should head to 75 -That move to 75 is your first clue that 100K is very possible
NYSE:GMELong
by Heartbeat_Trading
33