CHFJPY: Time to Sell?! 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY may continue falling after a confirmed breakout
of a neckline of a double top pattern.
I opened short position on its retest.
Goal - 185.0 psychological level.
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Howtotrade
Understanding Consolidation & Trading itWhat Consolidation Is
Consolidation is a market phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, showing indecision or balance between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears).
Characterized by low volatility, overlapping candles, and no clear trend direction.
Often occurs after strong moves (as the market pauses) or before breakouts (accumulation/distribution).
Impact on Bulls & Bears
Bulls: View consolidation near highs as accumulation (buyers building positions before a breakout upward).
Bears: View consolidation near lows as distribution (sellers unloading before a breakdown).
Both sides place stop orders outside the range → creating liquidity pools that smart money hunts.
How Traders Can Take Advantage
Range Trading – Buy near support of the range, sell near resistance, until breakout occurs.
Liquidity Strategy – Wait for fakeouts beyond consolidation, then trade in the opposite direction (stop hunt setup).
Consolidation Across Timeframes
Lower Timeframes (1m–15m):
Looks like noise but is often where scalpers range trade.
Breakouts can give small but quick moves.
Mid Timeframes (1H–4H):
Shows clear accumulation/distribution phases.
Useful for intraday & swing traders.
Higher Timeframes (Daily–Weekly):
Represents major market indecision.
Breakouts from these zones often fuel massive trend moves.
✅ Summary:
Consolidation = sideways range = balance of bulls & bears.
Inside range → fade the extremes.
Outside range → trade support & resistance or liquidity sweep.
On different timeframes → the same consolidation can be noise on 5M, but a critical accumulation on the Daily chart.
5 Elements of the Best Key Level in Forex, Gold Trading
What are the best key levels to trade?
This year I analyzed more than 1500 key structures on Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
In the today's article, I prepared for you a list of 5 elements of a perfect support and resistance for trading.
As always, remember that the best key levels are always on a daily time frame . So all the structures that we will discuss will be strictly on a daily .
Also, all the structures that I analyzed and traded are available on my TradingView page, so you can back test them by your own.
1. Clear historical significance
The structure that you spotted should act as a significant historical support or resistance.
Here are the important historical support and resistance that I spotted on USDCAD on a daily time frame.
2. Psychological significance
The structure that you identified should match with round numbers.
All the structures that we spotted on USDCAD match with psychological numbers.
3. Confluence with other technical tools
The best structure should align with other trading tools such as trend lines or Fibonacci levels , strengthening its significance.
After adding fibonacci levels and a significant falling trend line on the chart, the confluence was found in Resistance 6, Resistance 3, Resistance 2, Resistance 1, Support 2. Other structure does not match with technical tolls.
4. Volume
The level experiences high trading volumes, indicating strong participation and interest from market participants, especially smart money.
All the structures that we underlined show significant volume spikes. By volume spike, I mean a volume being higher than the average volume - a blue curve on volume.
5. Multiple touches
The more, the better. There are numerous instances where price has respected and reacted to the structure, confirming its strength (at least 2).
Only these 3 structures were confirmed by the multiple touches. These resistances will be considered the strongest ones.
That checklist will help you to identify the most significant structures from where you will be able to catch impulsive movement and make nice profits.
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Best Price Action Chart Patterns by Accuracy Last Year
Last year I shared more than 1300 free signals and forecasts for Gold, Forex, Commodities and Indexes.
In my predictions, quite often I relied on classic price action patterns.
In this article, I will reveal the win rate of each pattern, the most accurate and the least accurate formations of last year.
Please, note that all the predictions and forecasts that I shared last year are available on TradingView and you can back test any of the setup that I identified last year by your own. Just choose a relevant tag on my TradingView page.
Also, some of the forecasts & signals were based on a combination of multiple patterns.
Here is the list of the patterns that I personally trade:
🔘 Double Top or Bottom with Equal Highs
The pattern is considered to be valid when the highs or lows of the pattern are equal.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Double Top or Bottom with Lower High/Higher Low or Cup & Handle
The pattern is considered to be valid when the second top/bottom of the patterns is lower/higher than the first one.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Head & Shoulders and Inverted Head and Shoulders
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Horizontal Range
The pattern is the extension of a classic double top/bottom with at least 3 equal highs/lows.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
🔘 Bullish/Bearish Flag
The pattern represents a rising/falling parallel channel.
It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken.
🔘 Rising/Falling Wedge Pattern
The pattern represents a contracting rising/falling channel.
It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken.
🔘 Rising/Falling Expanding Wedge
The pattern represents an expanding rising/falling channel.
It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken.
🔘 Descending/Ascending Triangle
The pattern is the extension of a cup & handle pattern with at least 2 lower highs/lows.
The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken.
Please, also note that all the patterns that I identified and traded were formed on key horizontal or vertical structures.
Remember that the accuracy of any pattern drops dramatically if it is formed beyond key levels.
I consider the pattern to be a winning one if after a neckline breakout, it managed to reach the closest horizontal or vertical structure, not invalidating the pattern's highs/lows.
For example, if the price violated the high of the cup and handle pattern after its neckline breakout, such a pattern is losing one.
If it reached the closest structure without violation of the high, it is a winning pattern.
🔍 Double Top or Bottom with Equal Highs
I spotted 85 setups featuring these patterns.
Their accuracy is 62% .
🥉 Double Top or Bottom with Lower High/Higher Low or Cup & Handle
96 setups were spotted.
The performance turned out to be a little bit higher than a classic double top/bottom with 65% of the setups hitting the target.
🔍 Head & Shoulders and Inverted Head and Shoulders
58 formations spotted last year.
Average win rate is 64%
🏆 Horizontal Range
The most accurate pattern of last year.
More than 148 patterns were spotted and 74% among them gave accurate signal.
🔍 Bullish/Bearish Flag
38 setups identified last year.
The accuracy of the pattern is 57%
Rising/Falling Wedge
The pattern turned out to be a little bit more accurate.
Among 62 formations, 59% end up being profitable.
👎 Rising/Falling Expanding Wedge
The worst pattern of last year.
I recognized 24 patterns and their accuracy was just 51%.
🥈 Descending/Ascending Triangle
64 patterns were identified.
The win rate of the pattern is 66%.
The most important conclusion that we can make analyzing the performance of these patterns is that they all have an accuracy above 50%. If you properly combine these patterns with some other technical or fundamental tools, the accuracy of the setup will increase dramatically.
Good luck in your trading!
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Best Trading Confirmation. Learn 95% Accurate Entry Signal
I have analyzed 1300 forecasts and signals that I shared on TradingView last year and found 95% accurate trading confirmation.
In this article, we will discuss multiple types of confirmations and their winning rate on Forex, Gold, Indexes, Crypto & Commodities.
First, let me introduce you to the types of analysis that I provided.
1 - Structure based forecast
I have shared more than 55 trading setup with key levels analysis:
Where the price is approaching a key daily horizontal support and resistance.
Here is the example of such a post.
Test of a key horizontal or vertical support/resistance turned out to be a poor trading signal.
Total accuracy of structure based forecasts is 38%.
Please, note that if we consider the market trend in our calculations,
the trend-following structure based setup will be 42% accurate, while a performance of a counter trend setup drops to 35%
2 - Structure breakout based forecast
I analyzed and posted 73 posts with a key structure breakout as a confirmation on a daily.
Above is the example of a such a forecast.
Key levels breakout turned out to be a strong bullish or bearish confirmation with 59% accuracy.
Trend direction did not affect the efficiency of a key structure breakout that much, with a 60% accuracy of a trend following setup versus 57% of counter trend.
3 - Structure based forecast with a single intraday confirmation
I shared more than 500 setups with a test of a key structure on a daily and a single price action based bullish or bearish confirmation on a 4h/1h time frame.
My intraday confirmation is a formation of a price action pattern with a consequent breakout of its neckline/trend line in the projected direction.
Please, check the example of such a signal.
Just a single intraday confirmation dramatically increases the accuracy of a structure based setup.
Average winning rate is 66%.
4 - Structure based forecast with multiple intraday confirmations
I spotted and posted 200+ forecasts with a test of a key structure on a daily and multiple price action based bullish or bearish confirmations on a 4h/1h time frame.
Multiple confirmations imply the formation of multiple price action patterns on 4/1h t.f.
Here is the example of such a setup on EURGBP.
Two or more confirmations on a key structure increase the average winning rate to 72%.
Among multiple confirmations, I found a 95% accurate bearish signal:
The market should be in a bearish trend.
The price should test a key daily structure resistance.
The market should form a rising wedge pattern on a 4h/1h time frames and the highs of the wedge should strictly test the key structure and should not violate them.
After a test of structure, the price should form a bearish price action pattern on the highs of the wedge.
Above is a setup with the best trading confirmation.
A bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a support of the wedge was a 95% accurate trading signal last year.
Of course, there are various confirmations, depending on a trading style. The ones that I shared with you are structure/price action based.
And I am truly impressed by their accuracy.
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6 Best Tips for Small Trading Accounts (Forex, Gold)
This useful trading tips will help you to efficiently start trading with a small trading account.
A quick note: by a small account, I mean an account size from 10$ - 2000$.
1 - Trade less often
Small account implies a limited amount of money for trading. It means that among dozens of trading opportunities that you spot during a trading day, you should carefully pick only the most promising ones.
I recommend opening maximum 3 trades per day.
2 - Stick to one strategy
One of the ways to trade less frequently is to stick to one single trading strategy. Most of the traders do completely opposite: instead of focusing on one approach, they prefer to trade multiple ones simultaneously.
Trading various strategies requires a lot of capital. The more strategies you follow, the more margin is needed.
With a small trading account, you are risking being left without a free margin for all the trading opportunities that the strategies provide.
3 - Trade liquid instruments with low spreads
When you are picking the financial instruments for your trading, make sure that you select the most liquid ones. You can assess the liquidity of the instrument by a spread. The bigger is the spread, the less liquid is the asset.
Take a look at a spread difference between EURUSD and CHFJPY.
The spread on EURUSD is 0.1 pip.
While the spread on CHFJPY is 2.7 pips.
Spreads directly affect the costs of trading. Bigger spreads reduce the potential profits and increase the risks.
Make sure that you choose the assets with the lowest spreads possible.
4 - Shorten the list of trading instruments
One more option to trade less often is to narrow down the list of your trading instruments. I recommend choosing the maximum of 7 instruments.
7 USD Major Forex Pairs:
EURUSD,
GBPUSD,
USDJPY,
USDCAD
NZDUSD
AUDUSD
USDCHF
is a perfect watch list for a small account trader.
5 - Don't trade higher time frames
Be careful when deciding a time frame to trade.
Remember that the higher is the time frame, the bigger are the stop losses for your traders.
On the left chart is the swing trade that I took with my students on EURUSD chart on a daily. While on the right is the scalping trade taken on 30 minutes time frame.
A stop loss for swing trade is 90 pips and a stop loss of scalping position is 19 pips.
Big stop losses require more free margin and limit the amount of the trades that you can take simultaneously.
For that reason, prioritize lower time frame trading with a small trading account.
6 - Don't risk more than 2% per trade
When traders trade with a small trading account, they often risk a huge portion of their trading account per a single trade.
If you have 100$ trading account, and you risk 20$ per trade, the nominal value of that risk does not look huge. But from a percentage standpoint, it is 20% of the total balance.
Just a 5 trades losing streak will blow such an account.
Make sure that you apply a position size calculator and risk no more than 2% of your account per trade.
Following these recommendations, you will be able to build an effective trading plan that will help you to grow your capital quickly.
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Trade The Trend – Quick Guide In 5 StepsWhat is Trading the Trend?
Trading the trend means buying when the market is going up, and selling when it’s going down.
You're following the direction of the market, not fighting it.
If the trend is up:
Price makes higher highs and higher lows
You look for chances to buy (go long)
If the trend is down:
Price makes lower highs and lower lows
You look for chances to sell (go short)
Why it works:
You’re going with momentum
Simple rule:
Buy in an uptrend, sell in a downtrend — never trade against the flow
1. Assess the chart. Where is it headed? It's headed up.
2. Place your trend line by connecting the first two points.
3. Let the chart play out for a bit. Afterwards prepare your entry on previous failed trend line retest. Set your stop loss below the previous trend line retest, and your TP just before the previous sweep above.
4. Proceed to let the chart play out, then set your pending order.
5. Watch the Trade enter and play out with patience.
This method works for bearish trends as well, just reversed.
If you would like to see more 5 step guides, comment down below.
Thank you!
Support & Resistance – Quick Guide In 5 StepsSupport and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis that help traders identify where price is likely to react.
Support acts like a floor — a level where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines.
Resistance acts like a ceiling — a level where selling pressure can stop price from rising.
These zones often lead to bounces, reversals, or breakouts, and are used to plan entries, exits, and stop-losses.
How to Identify them:
1. Assess the chart.
2. Identify Swing Points: Look for repeated highs/lows and label them. (Flags)
3. Multiple touches: Highlight the zones with multiple touches. 2+ Touches are stronger.
4. Define: Clearly define the zones. Above is resistance, below is support.
5. Entry: When price makes it way down to support, wait for the reversal. Upon reversal enter on the low time confirmation. Ensure price has failed to break below the support.
Then set TP to the previous High/Resistance zone.
Tips:
Always treat S&R as zones, not exact lines.
Combine with trend, candlestick patterns, or volume for better confluences.
Avoid trading into strong S/R — wait for breaks or retests.
Learn 2 Essential Elements of Forex Gold Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss how Forex Gold trading is structured, and I will share with you its 2 key milestones.
Trading with its nuances and complexities can be explained as the interconnections of two processes: trading rules creation and trading rules following.
1️⃣ With the trading rules, you define what you will trade and how exactly, classifying your entry and exist conditions, risk and trade management rules. Such a set of consistent trading rules compose a trading strategy.
For example, you can have a following trading plan:
you trade only gold, you analyze the market with technical analysis,
you buy from a key support and sell from a key resistance on a daily, your entry confirmation is a formation of a reversal candlestick pattern.
You set stop loss above the high/low of the pattern, and your target is the closest support/resistance level.
Here is how the trading setup would look like.
In the charts above, all the conditions for the trade are met, and the market nicely reached the take profit.
2️⃣ Trading strategy development is a very simple process. You can find hundreds of different ones on the internet and start using one immediately.
The main obstacle comes, however, with Following Trading Rules.
Following the rules is our second key milestone. It defines your ability to stay disciplined and to stick to your trading plan.
It implies the control of emotions, patience and avoidance of rationalization.
Once you open a trade, following your rules, challenges are just beginning. Imagine how happy you would feel yourself, seeing how nicely gold is moving to your target after position opening.
And how your mood would change, once the price quickly returns to your entry.
Watching how your profits evaporate and how the initially winning position turns into a losing one, emotions will constantly intervene.
In such situations, many traders break their rules , they start adjusting tp or stop loss or just close the trading, not being able to keep holding.
The ability to follow your system is a very hard skill to acquire. It requires many years of practicing. So if you believe that a good trading strategy is what you need to make money, please, realize the fact that even the best trading strategy in the world will lose without consistency and discipline.
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Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on p rice action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match , one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
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Overtrading – The Silent Threat to Consistent PerformanceTrader Psychology | Part 1: Overtrading – The Silent Threat to Consistent Performance
In trading, more does not mean better. One of the most common and damaging psychological pitfalls traders fall into is overtrading — executing too many trades, often without clear setups, simply to stay active in the market.
It’s subtle, it feels productive… but it quietly erodes both your capital and your discipline.
💡 What Is Overtrading?
Overtrading occurs when a trader opens excessive positions, often outside of their strategy or plan. It’s driven by emotions rather than logic, and usually shows up in one of the following forms:
Taking trades without confirmation
Trying to "make back" previous losses (revenge trading)
Forcing trades during low-volume market conditions
Trading simply out of boredom or anxiety about missing out
It’s not just about the number of trades — it’s about why you’re taking them.
⚠️ How to Know You're Overtrading
You're entering trades that don’t meet your criteria
You feel uncomfortable not having an active position
You trade aggressively after a loss
You switch strategies frequently
Your trading feels more like activity than decision-making
You’re losing more in fees/spread than on price movement
🧠 Why Overtrading Happens
🔹 The Need to Be "Active"
Traders often equate activity with productivity. But the truth is, patience is a trading skill — doing nothing is sometimes the most profitable move.
🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily
Some traders feel they must generate daily profits. This mindset leads to forcing trades during uncertain or low-probability conditions.
🔹 Overconfidence After Wins
A short winning streak can create the illusion of control, pushing traders to increase frequency and risk — usually without real setups to back it up.
🔻 The Cost of Overtrading
Rapid Drawdowns: Frequent small losses and transaction costs add up quickly
Emotional Fatigue: Decision-making becomes reactive instead of rational
Loss of Trust in Your System: Not because the system failed — but because it wasn’t followed
Increased Costs: Spreads, commissions, and swaps eat into your margin
Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your balance. It damages your confidence, focus, and mental capital.
✅ How to Stop Overtrading – Practical Fixes
1. Set a Daily Trade Limit
Commit to a maximum number of trades per session (e.g., 2–3 trades). This forces you to wait for the best opportunities.
2. Track Your Trades in a Journal
Log each trade: the setup, your reasoning, emotions, and outcome. Over time, this reveals emotional patterns and helps you regain discipline.
3. Trade Only During Key Market Hours
Avoid trading during illiquid sessions. Focus on London and New York overlaps, where structure and volatility are present.
4. Accept That Flat Is a Position
Not being in a trade is often a smart decision. Staying out preserves capital and prepares you for higher-probability setups.
🎯 Final Thoughts
Overtrading is not a technical flaw — it’s a psychological leak.
If you want longevity in this game, you must master more than charts — you must master yourself.
“The market doesn’t reward activity. It rewards patience, precision, and emotional control.”
Next time you feel the urge to trade "just because" — pause, breathe, and ask yourself: Is this trade part of my edge?
📌 Coming Up Next:
Trader Psychology | Part 2: FOMO – Why Fear of Missing Out Can Destroy Good Traders
🔔 Follow this profile to be notified when the next chapter is live.
What is Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels & Zones in Forex
Dynamic supports and resistances play a crucial role in technical analysis.
Unlike classic supports and resistances, these zones change and adapt to a market price action in real time.
Learn what is dynamic support and resistance in Forex, Gold trading and how to find it easily.
Discover its main types and real market examples.
Let's start with the basics.
There are 2 major types of supports and resistances in technical analysis.
The first type is called static .
Such supports and resistances are fixed and don't change with time.
It should be strictly horizontal key levels or the zones.
Market price action and momentum beyond them do not affect these supports and resistances.
In the example above, you can find static supports and resistances on Gold. The market may return to one of those levels or the zones today, tomorrow or in a month, but it will not move.
In comparison to static supports and resistances, the dynamic ones shift with time. They constantly change and adjust as the time flies.
One of the obvious types of dynamic supports and resistances is a trend line.
Above is the example of a dynamic rising support based on trend line.
As the time goes, a support shifts and becomes higher and higher.
I found a great example of a dynamic resistance on Dollar Index.
Depending on the moment when the price tests that, the resistance will be on different levels.
The later the price tests the trend line, the lower is the resistance.
When newbie traders learn dynamic supports and resistances, they usually stop on trend lines.
But it is just a beginning.
Really significant dynamic supports are resistances will be the zones .
The areas based on static horizontal supports and resistances and trend lines.
Examine a price action on GBPCHF forex pair.
We have a static horizontal support area and a dynamic rising trend line.
Two supports intersect, composing a contracting dynamic support zone.
With time, it will become narrower, accumulating buy orders within.
On NZDCAD forex pair, I underlined a contracting dynamic resistance zone that is based on an intersection of a static horizontal resistance area and a falling trend line.
Selling orders will be distributed within.
The 2 dynamic support and resistance zones that we discussed are narrowing , but that is not always the case.
A dynamic support zone that I found on GBPNZD is expanding and broaden with time.
It is based on a dynamic falling trend line and a static horizontal support.
With time its boundaries will be wider and a bullish reaction may initiate from any level within that.
A dynamic resistance area that I spotted on EURCAD forex pair is a great example of an expanding resistance.
It is based on a static horizontal resistance and a rising trend line.
We can easily recognize how it grows with time.
Of course, another types of dynamic supports and resistances exist. But they are more nuanced and rare.
As soon as you learn to recognize the clusters that we discussed in this article, you will be able to recognize the less obvious ones as well.
Next time, when you execute a support and resistance analysis, try to find a dynamic zone. You can find it on any time frame, and forex pair and gold, and it will completely change your perspective on the market.
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GBPUSD: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed a bullish high range candle with a long lower wick going
below a key horizontal demand zone on a 4H.
A consequent recovery and a bullish London session opening suggest
a highly probable rise today.
Goal - 1.363
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Analyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical AnalysisAnalyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical Analysis
In addition to technical analysis, it's important to consider fundamental factors that could influence the market. News releases, economic reports, and central bank decisions can significantly impact price movements.
Fundamental Analysis:
Keep an eye on major economic indicators like NFP, CPI, and interest rate decisions. These factors can drive the market and change its trend direction.
Technical Analysis:
Use tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action to confirm the trend and identify entry points.
For daily updates and comprehensive market analysis, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel, where I combine both technical and fundamental analysis to give you the most accurate insights.
Conclusion:
Identifying market trends in one day doesn’t have to be complicated. By using the right tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action on TradingView, you can make better trading decisions every day. To take your trading to the next level, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel for daily updates, real-time trend analysis, and expert trading signals.
Ready to start trading with precision? Join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel today for daily market insights and trading setups. Stay updated with real-time analysis, get actionable trading signals, and take your trading skills to the next level. Follow me now on TradingView!
EURUSD: Another Pullback Trade for Today 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a double bottom pattern on a key daily horizontal support.
Its neckline violation signifies a local strength of the buyers.
I think that the pair may move up and reach 1.1753 level.
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9 Essential TIPS For Newbie Traders (Learn from my Mistakes!)
In the today's article, I will reveal trading secrets I wish I knew when I started trading.
1️⃣ Forget about becoming a pro quickly
Most of the traders believe, that you can learn how to trade easily and that it takes a very short period of time in order to master a profitable trading strategy.
The truth is, however, that trading is a long journey.
I spent more than 3 years, trying different strategies and looking for a profitable technique to trade. Once I found that, it took more than a year to polish a trading strategy and to learn how to apply that properly.
Be prepared to spend YEARS before you find a way to trade profitably.
2️⃣ Focus on One Strategy
While you are learning how to trade you will try different techniques, tools and strategies. And the thing is that newbies are trying multiple things simultaneously. The more strategies you try at once, the more setups you have on your chart. The more setups you have on your chart, the more complex and difficult is your trading.
Remember that in this game, your attention is the key.
You should meticulously study each and every trading setup.
For that reason, I highly recommend you to focus on one strategy, one approach, one technique. Test it, try it and look for a new one only when you realize that it doesn't work.
Here is the example how the same price chart can provide absolutely different trading opportunities depending on a trading strategy.
Price action pattern trader would recognize a lot of a patterns, while indicator based trader could spot absolutely different bullish and bearish signals.
Now, try to imagine how hard it would be to follow both strategies simultaneously.
3️⃣ Start with small capital that you can afford to lose
You will lose your first trading deposit and, probably, the second one and potentially the third one as well.
Losses are the only way to learn real trading. While you are on a demo account, you feel like a king, but once you start risking your savings, the perspective completely changes .
For that reason, make sure that you trade with an account that you can afford to lose. The fact of blowing such an account should be unpleasant, but that should not affect your daily life.
4️⃣ Use stop loss
I am doing trading coaching for more than 4 years.
What pisses me off is that the main reason of the substantial losses of my mentees is the absence of stop loss. Why can it be if naturally everyone: from your broker to Instagram trading gurus repeat that day after day.
Set stop loss, know in advance how much you risk per trade, and know the exact level on a price chart where you become wrong.
Imagine what could be your loss, if you shorted USDJPY and hold the trade while the market kept going against you.
5️⃣ Forget about getting rich quick
That is the iconic fallacy. I believe that around 90% of people who come in this game want to get rich quick , want easy money.
And no surprise, when I share a trading setup in my free telegram channel, and it loses I receive dozens of messages that I am a scammer.
People truly believe that professional trading implies 100% win rate and quick and easy money.
The truth is, traders, that trading is a very tough game. And with a good trading strategy, you have just a little statistical edge that will give you the profits that would slightly overcome your losses.
6️⃣ Train your eyes
Professional trading implies pattern recognition: it can be some technical indicators pattern, the price action or candlestick formation, etc.
Your main goal as a trader is to learn to identify these patterns.
Pattern recognition is a hard skill to acquire.
You should spend dozens of hours in front of the screen in order to train your eyes to identify certain patterns.
Here is how many patterns you would spot on GBPUSD chart, paying close attention.
7️⃣ Track and analyze your trades
Study all the trades that you take, especially the losing ones.
Look for mistakes, look for the reasons why a certain setup played out and why a certain one didn't. Journal your trades and make notes.
8️⃣ Don't use technical indicators
Newbies believe that technical indicators should do the work for them.
They are constantly looking for one or a bunch that will accurately show where the market will go.
However, I always say to my mentees that technical indicators make the chart messy and distract.
If you just started trading, focus on a naked chart, learn to analyze the market trend, key levels, classic price action patterns.
Learn to make accurate predictions relying on a price chart alone.
Only then add some technical indicators on your chart.
They won't do the work for you, but will help you to slightly increase the accuracy of a certain setup.
Above is the classic chart of a newbie trader.
A lot of indicators and a complete mess
The same chart would look much better without technical indicators.
9️⃣ Find a Mentor
There are hundreds of trading mentors on Instagram, YouTube, TradingView. Find the one with a trading style that you like.
Follow him, learn from his trading experience, listen to his trading recommendations.
11 years ago I found a guy on YouTube, his name was Jason.
I really liked his free teachings, and they were meaningful to me.
I decided to purchase his premium coaching program.
It was 200$ monthly - a huge amount of money for me at that time.
However, with his knowledge I saved a lot, I learned a lot of profitable techniques and tricks that helped me to become a professional forex trader.
Of course, this list could be much bigger.
The more I think about different subjects in trading, the more important tips come to my mind. However, I believe that the tips above are essential and I truly wish I knew all that before I started.
I hope that info will help you in your trading journey!
Good luck to you.
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MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD weekly time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The pair is unstoppable.
The market violated a significant weekly resistance cluster last week.
It opens more growth potential after a pullback.
2️⃣ #GBPUSD weekly time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸
In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD is now approaching a major
resistance area. I think that we can expect a retracement from that.
3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The market continues a correctional movement lower.
The closest strong support that I see is based on a rising trend line.
I think that buying interest may spark again after its text.
4️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price updated a historic low on Friday.
The next strong support that I see is based on a falling trend line.
We can expect a pullback from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX)
In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character.
Change of Character relates to market trend analysis.
In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis.
🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market.
They believe that the trend is bullish ,
if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them.
The market trend is considered to be bearish ,
if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them.
Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice.
One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs.
According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs.
🔘Of course, trends do not last forever.
A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading.
Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation.
📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high.
While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish .
However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal,
it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend.
In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern.
Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold.
After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave.
📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish.
A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern.
Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below.
In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level
quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal.
Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know.
First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal.
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NZDCAD: Confirmed Bearish Trap?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
There is a high chance that NZDCAD will bounce
after a false violation of a significant daily support cluster.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
leaves a strong bullish clue.
Goal - 0.818
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Learn The Difference Between Beginner and Expert in Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss the evolution of a mindset of a trader as he matures in trading.
✔️Beginner
For some unknown reasons, beginners assume that a couple of educational videos and books about trading is more than enough to start trading successfully.
They believe that they got a comprehensive knowledge and that very few things remain to learn.
They start trading, but quickly realize that their knowledge is not enough to make even small gains.
✔️COMPETENT
After practicing a couple of years, traders come to the conclusion
that they know everything in that field. That they learned, tested and tried all concepts and techniques that are available.
They consider themselves to be the experts in the field BUT
for some unknown reasons, these traders still are not able to trade profitably.
✔️EXPERT
After many years of learning, training and practicing, eyes finally open.
Traders realize how limited is their knowledge and how much more there is to learn .
While they already have the skills to trade in profits, they understand now that even the entire life is not enough to learn all the subtleties of trading.
And here is a little lifehack for you:
if you are a beginner, embrace a mindset of an expert.
Start from realizing how little you actually know and how much more there is to know, that will help you a lot in your trading journey.
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GBPAUD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD successfully violated a significant daily horizontal
support cluster.
I think that the pair may drop lower after a pullback.
Next key support - 2.057
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