Aster is undervalued + IHS ; $2.7 soonAster has a 3.5B marketcap vs Hyperliquid has a 15.6B marketcap
On perpetual / derivatives volume, Aster currently seems to outpace Hyperliquid by a substantial margin (tens of billions vs a few billions), based on DefiLlama’s 24h volume figures.
On spot / pool DEX volume, Hyperliquid is strong (hundreds of millions in daily pool trades), and Aster also reports substantial volume (e.g. $793M on a high day) but it depends on the day and market conditions.
Aster is undervalued in fundamental terms
And tecnically speaking the chart is asking to run wild.
Personally I expect a 4 at least. But for now, not yet listed on Binance, that Inverted Head & Shoulders says we could see a 2.7 very very soon.
Hyperliquid
HYPE Analysis (12H)Before anything else, pay attention to the timeframe.
It seems we have a dual bullish phase on the chart, where the second phase is a triangle, and the price is likely to soon enter wave D of this second phase. The second phase is indeed a triangle.
Within the red-marked zone, we can look for sell/short setups.
You should aim for a reasonable profit target and manage your risk accordingly.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level will nullify this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
SHELL/USDT — Demand Zone: Accumulation or Final Breakdown?
SHELL is currently sitting at a critical support zone between 0.106–0.122 USDT, a region that has acted as a strong base since May. Each time price dips into this yellow zone, buyers have stepped in to absorb the selling pressure — marking it as a battlefield between bulls and bears.
However, sellers are still dominating the broader structure. The series of lower highs since August forms a clear descending triangle pattern, typically bearish — yet, in some cases, such formations become hidden accumulation zones once buying volume quietly starts building near the support.
---
Key Levels
Main Support Zone: 0.106–0.122 (highlighted in yellow — critical buyer defense)
Immediate Resistance: 0.1518 (first breakout trigger)
Next Resistance Levels: 0.1836 → 0.2047 → 0.2275 → 0.26
Major Resistance Targets: 0.33 and 0.59
Current Price: ≈ 0.1214 USDT
---
Market Structure
The current setup forms a descending triangle, defined by constant support and descending highs — a sign of ongoing bearish pressure.
Yet, if the support continues to hold and the market begins to form higher lows, this could shift into a reversal base, signaling the start of a potential trend recovery toward 0.18–0.20 USDT.
But if price breaks below 0.1058 with conviction, it may trigger a capitulation wave, driving SHELL down toward 0.06–0.08 USDT.
---
Bullish Scenario
Bullish confirmation checklist:
1. Price continues to hold above 0.106–0.122.
2. A daily close above 0.1518 with strong buying volume.
3. Successful retest of 0.1518 as new support.
Bullish targets:
0.1518 → 0.1836 → 0.2047 → 0.2275 → 0.26
Potential upside: +25% to +114% from current levels.
Bullish narrative:
If buyers manage to defend this zone, it could represent a final accumulation phase before a larger reversal. This structure often reflects where smart money starts positioning quietly before a trend shift.
---
Bearish Scenario
Bearish confirmation checklist:
1. A daily close below 0.1058 (confirmed breakdown).
2. Failed retest of previous support (turns into resistance).
3. Increasing sell volume confirming momentum continuation.
Downside projection (measured move):
Height of triangle ≈ 0.046 → Breakdown target ≈ 0.0598 USDT.
Potential drop: ~50% from current price.
Bearish narrative:
If the 0.106 zone collapses, buyers lose control. This could trigger a panic-sell phase, clearing out weak hands before the market finds its true bottom.
---
Strategic Takeaway
SHELL is at a make-or-break point:
Hold the zone: Possible start of a new accumulation and recovery.
Lose the zone: Likely continuation of the downtrend with deeper correction.
Aggressive traders may look for entries near support with tight stops below 0.1058.
Conservative traders can wait for confirmation above 0.1518 before taking a position.
Watch for volume spikes and daily closes — they’ll reveal whether this is the beginning of a new bullish cycle or a final breakdown before capitulation.
---
#SHELL #SHELLUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #SupportResistance #DescendingTriangle #Breakout #AltcoinSetup #CryptoChart #TechnicalAnalysis
BUY AND HOLDHello friends
You can see that the price is in an ascending channel and has made a fake breakout to remove short-term buyers, but in reality this is just a price correction and there is no need to worry, and in a price correction you can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move with it to the specified goals.
Note that the holding period is at least 3 months, so be patient and observe capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
Weekly Crypto Market Outlook: Trend Structures and Expectations The market continues to follow a macro-pattern similar to the previous bull cycles that unfolded in Q4 of 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021. I discussed this structure in detail in my August 18 update:
Specifically: a summer rally, several weeks of September correction and consolidation, followed by the beginning of a new upside leg in early October.
Updated BTC chart:
Another key development is the stablecoin market capitalization approaching a major technical zone. A confirmed breakout above it could signal a strong liquidity rotation into crypto assets — potentially marking the start of a new wave of growth across the crypto space, similar to the dynamics seen in 2023 and 2024.
Inverse correlation of BTC and stablecoin market cap:
Perhaps the most compelling factor is Bitcoin’s relationship with gold. Despite massive institutional adoption through ETFs, the BTC/GOLD ratio has remained stagnant since early 2021. This suggests that Bitcoin remains significantly undervalued relative to gold, leaving substantial room for appreciation as the digital asset continues its mainstream integration.
BTC/GOLD chart:
These factors — combined with the fact that most altcoins have already broken above their local resistance zones mentioned in the previous review — point to a potential recovery of upside momentum across the crypto market and higher targets into Q4.
As long as prices hold above their local and mid-term support zones, I expect continuation of the rally toward the next resistance levels. Breaking these support zones, will push odds in favor of more prolonged consolidation. But as long as BTC is not closing bellow its 50DMA for more than two weeks, macro bull cycles remains intact.
Below are the key technical levels for the main assets this week:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Chart:
Short-term support: 122–119.5K
Mid-term support: 117–115K
Resistance: 131–135K
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Chart:
Support: 4400–4375
Resistance: 4870–5070
BINANCE:BNBUSD
Chart:
Support: 1142–1089
Resistance: 1225–1275
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Chart:
Support: 2.92–2.88
Resistance: 3.20–3.35
CRYPTO:HYPEHUSD
Chart:
Support: 48.5–47.35–46
Resistance: 55.5–60
BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Chart:
Short-term support: 223–219
Mid-term support: 212–207
Resistance: 247–260
Thank you for reading - wishing you a great Sunday and a strong start to the new trading week.
15-30 days to go and we start taking profits As you can see I expect a push to 150K and then btc.d goes down and we see alts pump but this is the time to lower the risk appetite and make sure to lock your profits. I will try to be out 65-70% in alts positions and convert some to bitcoin.
I wish you, all the best.
$ASTER setup looks unstoppable.Backed by CZ.
$ASTER isn’t just another token, it’s the only DEX with direct ties to Binance’s founder. That alone gives it massive trust and liquidity potential.
Strong base at $1 . Let’s be real, CZ won’t let it break, but still, stay cautious of short-term spikes .
Technically, $4 looks inevitable , and $10’s on the table if $ASTER starts closing the gap with BINANCEUS:HYPEUSDT market cap (maybe not this cycle, but it’s coming)
Hidden Order system gives pro traders stealth execution, and buyback rumors could fuel the next expansion phase.
Hyperliquid stays a beast, but $ASTER setup is one of the cleanest plays this cycle.
DYOR, but fading $ASTER might age badly.
Hyperliquid (HYPE) Structural Breakout: Target $60+ HYPE just broke out from a major downtrend on the weekly chart and it’s looking strong.
I’m targeting $60 as a realistic level this year, and there’s a good chance HYPE makes it into the T op 10 crypto market cap if this momentum holds.
Here’s why I’m bullish:
Price broke out of the falling channel and closed above $25 weekly resistance.
Strong buying volume shows big players are stepping in, especially after that accumulation zone between $9 and $18.
Based on Fib extension, $60 lines up perfectly as the next major target and a psychological resistance level.
The Hyperliquid narrative is strong. Positioned as a real on-chain CEX alternative with solid user growth and rising TVL.
My trade setup:
Entry around $20 to $26.
First target at $37.5, final target at $60.
Stop loss if price closes below $18 weekly (that would kill the bullish case for me).
This isn’t financial advice , just sharing how I’m seeing the market.
Always manage your risk and don’t FOMO in at the top.
HYPER/USDT — Descending Triangle: Breakout or Breakdown?🔎 Overview
HYPER/USDT is currently trading inside a crucial consolidation zone (0.23–0.29 USDT) while being compressed by a descending trendline.
This setup forms a descending triangle pattern, typically a bearish continuation, but in some cases (especially after a strong rally), it can act as an accumulation phase before another bullish leg.
The market is now at a decision point — waiting for either a confirmed breakout to the upside or a breakdown below support.
---
📌 Pattern & Market Structure
Previous Trend: Strong pump in early July → followed by consolidation with selling pressure.
Main Pattern: Descending Triangle = flat horizontal support + descending trendline of lower highs.
Support Zone: 0.23 – 0.29 (highlighted yellow box on the chart).
Key Resistance Levels (if breakout occurs):
0.3449 → initial target
0.3875 → mid resistance
0.4329 → major resistance
0.5791 → extended target if momentum continues
Historical High/Low: High 0.7053 / Low 0.0863.
---
🚀 Bullish Scenario
1. Confirmation: A strong daily close above the descending trendline, ideally above 0.31.
2. Retest: Breakout gains strength if price retests the trendline and holds as new support.
3. Upside Targets:
TP1: 0.3449
TP2: 0.3875
TP3: 0.4329
TP4: 0.5791 (if rally extends)
4. Invalidation: A daily close below 0.23 invalidates the bullish setup.
---
🐻 Bearish Scenario
1. Confirmation: A daily close below 0.23 with strong volume confirms breakdown.
2. Downside Targets:
0.16 – 0.135 zone → historical support area
0.0863 → previous cycle low, major bearish target
3. Invalidation: If price reclaims and sustains above 0.34, the bearish outlook fails.
---
⚖️ Conclusion & Outlook
Neutral Zone: As long as price stays between 0.23 – 0.30, the market remains sideways without clear direction.
Bullish Outlook: Needs confirmation with daily close above trendline.
Bearish Outlook: Breakdown below 0.23 would shift momentum clearly bearish.
Best Strategy: Wait for confirmation on daily close & volume before entering, since descending triangles are prone to false breakouts.
---
📝 Notes for Traders
Apply strict risk management (1–2% risk per trade).
Take partial profits at each resistance level.
Focus on daily closes and volume spikes for confirmation, not intraday wicks.
---
#HYPERUSDT #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoin #PriceAction #ChartPattern #DescendingTriangle #Breakout #Bearish #Bullish #SupportResistance
INIT/USDT — Breakout or Continuation of Downtrend?🔎 Chart Analysis
INIT/USDT has been in a clear downtrend since its peak earlier this year. The yellow descending trendline connecting the series of lower highs continues to act as a major dynamic resistance. Current price is trading around $0.3295, right at a critical decision zone.
Key elements on the chart:
Main Trend: Bearish (lower highs & lower lows).
Dynamic Resistance: Descending trendline (yellow).
Horizontal Resistances: $0.4053 – $0.4782 – $0.5317 – $0.5799 – $0.7972 – $1.1662 – $1.3416 – $1.4477.
Nearest Support: Consolidation zone around $0.3000 – $0.3100.
The price is now pressing against the trendline. A decisive move (breakout or rejection) will determine the next major direction.
---
📈 Bullish Scenario
1. Breakout Confirmation: Daily close above the descending trendline is required.
2. Retest Validation: A successful retest of the broken trendline turning into support would strengthen the bullish case.
3. Upside Targets:
First target: $0.4053 (+23%)
Next levels: $0.4782 (+45%), $0.5317, $0.5799
Extended targets: $0.7972, $1.1662, $1.3416, up to $1.4477 if a trend reversal solidifies.
4. Risk Management: Stop loss can be placed slightly below the retest level or below the $0.31 support zone.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario
1. Rejection at Trendline: If price gets rejected at the yellow line, the downtrend remains intact.
2. Breakdown of Support: A daily close below $0.30–$0.31 support zone could trigger a move to new lows.
3. Trading Plan: Aggressive traders may short at trendline rejection with stops above the rejection candle; conservative traders may wait for a breakdown + retest confirmation.
---
📊 Pattern & Structure
The chart highlights a descending trendline pattern, typical of bearish market conditions. However, the longer the price tests this resistance, the higher the chance of a breakout. At this stage, INIT is clearly at a make-or-break level.
---
📝 Conclusion
A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger a trend shift to bullish.
A rejection at the trendline confirms further downside pressure.
Horizontal levels act as step-by-step targets/resistances.
Risk management is crucial here due to the high probability of false breakouts.
---
#INITUSDT #INIT #Crypto #Breakout #Downtrend #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading
HYPE/USDT – Bullish Setup Towards $52.30Hello guys!
Pattern Formation: HYPE has completed a head and shoulders pattern, signaling a bullish reversal after the recent downtrend.
Trend Structure: At the same time, the price is moving within an ascending channel, confirming higher lows and higher highs, which strengthens the bullish case.
Target: The measured move from the pattern points toward $52.30, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary.
Risk Factor: If price breaks below the channel’s lower trendline, the bullish outlook would weaken and the setup could be invalidated.
Weekly Crypto Market Review: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, HYPEReview of trend structures and my expectations for the coming weeks on Bitcoin and key altcoins.
The key local support zones highlighted in the previous market outlook did not hold against selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of a more prolonged consolidation across the crypto space.
As long as prices continue to close below their local resistance areas, the base scenario remains in favor of further correction toward macro support levels.
Below is a brief summary of important resistance, support zones and potential trend structures I am following:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 112–114.5k
Support: 103.5–101–98k
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 4115–4215
Support: 3700–3430
BINANCE:BNBUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 1020–1040
Support: 900–870–840
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 2.87–2.99 / 3.07
Support: 2.55–2.40–2.32
PYTH:HYPEUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 49–50–53
Support: 35.5–29–23
COINBASE:SOLUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 213–219
Support: 177–169
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you a successful week ahead.
WALRUS/USDT – Descending Triangle at Critical Support!WALRUS/USDT is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. This structure is formed by a series of lower highs pressing from above (descending trendline), while the 0.36–0.40 support zone (yellow box) acts as a major floor below.
This highlights strong selling pressure from the top, but at the same time buyers are still holding the support area. The price is now consolidating within a narrowing range, waiting for a decisive breakout that will dictate the next big move.
---
Bullish Scenario (Upside Breakout)
If WALRUS can break above the descending trendline with a daily close above 0.422–0.452, this descending triangle may flip into a bullish reversal. That would signal buyers regaining control.
Bullish Targets:
Target 1: 0.485
Target 2: 0.539
Target 3: 0.633 – 0.729 (if momentum continues strongly)
Validation: breakout with high volume + successful retest of breakout level as support.
---
Bearish Scenario (Downside Breakdown)
If WALRUS closes daily below 0.36, the descending triangle will confirm as a bearish continuation. This shows sellers overwhelming buyers at support.
Bearish Targets:
Target 1: 0.31 – 0.30
Target 2: 0.255 (long-term demand zone)
Validation: strong bearish daily close with volume, without quick recovery above 0.36.
---
Pattern & Interpretation
The descending triangle often acts as a bearish continuation pattern.
But in strong support zones, it can turn into a reversal pattern if an upside breakout occurs.
WALRUS is at a decision point: the tighter the consolidation, the bigger the potential explosive move once a breakout happens.
---
Conclusion
Bias: Neutral → Bearish as long as WALRUS remains below the descending trendline.
Bullish confirmation: daily close above 0.422–0.452 → potential rally to 0.485 – 0.539.
Bearish confirmation: daily close below 0.36 → possible drop to 0.31 and 0.255.
Traders should wait for volume-backed breakout confirmation before positioning. WALRUS is now at a make-or-break level: will it bounce or break?
---
#WALRUS #WALRUSUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DescendingTriangle #Breakout #SupportResistance #PriceAction
ASTERUSDT — Will Buy Zone Hold or Break?Overview
ASTER price is currently consolidating after a strong rally toward 2.42. On the 2-hour chart, we can clearly see two major highlighted areas: Buy Zone 1 (primary support) and Buy Zone 2 (deeper secondary support).
The structure still maintains a potential bullish continuation, but repeated weakness around support indicates risk of a breakdown if buyers fail to defend the current zone.
---
🔑 Key Levels
Nearest Support (Buy Zone 1): 1.75 – 1.95
Secondary Support (Buy Zone 2): 1.25 – 1.45
Minor Resistance: 2.12
Major Resistance: 2.33 – 2.42 (previous supply zone / local high)
Current Price: 1.91
---
📐 Technical Pattern
1. Bullish Flag / Rectangle
A sideways consolidation after a strong uptrend move, often a continuation pattern. A confirmed breakout to the upside could lead to a retest of 2.42.
2. Multiple Support Tests at Buy Zone 1
Several rejections at 1.8 – 1.9 confirm this zone as a critical short-term demand area. However, the more often a support is tested, the weaker it becomes.
3. Lower Highs Formation
Minor lower highs suggest mild selling pressure. This structure often precedes either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on which side gets taken out.
---
🚀 Bullish Scenario
Confirmation: A 2H close above 2.12 with rising volume.
Targets:
TP1 = 2.12 (breakout retest)
TP2 = 2.33
TP3 = 2.42 (previous high)
Extended Target: If 2.42 breaks, next psychological resistance sits around 2.80 – 3.00.
📌 Bullish entry ideas:
Aggressive: Buy within Buy Zone 1 with stop loss below 1.75.
Conservative: Wait for breakout above 2.12 + confirmed retest.
---
🐻 Bearish Scenario
Confirmation: A 2H close below 1.75 (breakdown from Buy Zone 1).
Targets:
TP1 = 1.50
TP2 = Buy Zone 2 (1.25 – 1.45)
Extended Target: If Buy Zone 2 fails, the structure shifts into a downtrend, potentially moving closer to 1.00.
📌 Bearish entry idea:
Enter short after breakdown (close <1.75), with stop above 1.95 (former support turned resistance).
---
📊 Risk Management
Always set stop losses below support (for longs) or above breakdown (for shorts).
Scale out profits at key resistance levels.
Keep risk per trade ≤2% of total capital.
---
⚠️ Things to Watch
False breakouts: Require volume confirmation.
Correlation with BTC/ETH: Broader market moves can strongly influence ASTER’s direction.
High volatility: Fakeouts may occur before the real move.
---
📌 Conclusion
As long as price holds above Buy Zone 1, the bullish continuation toward 2.12 – 2.42 remains valid.
A breakdown below 1.75 would invalidate the short-term bullish case and open the door toward Buy Zone 2.
Key decision point is very close — watch carefully for breakout or breakdown confirmation.
---
#ASTER #ASTRUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #BuyZone #SwingTrade #PriceAction #SupportResistance #BullishScenario #BearishScenario
HYPE 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing HYPE on the 4-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 4H timeframe for HyperLiquid coin, we can see that the project is managed by the decentralized HyperLiquid exchange, which has become one of the notable platforms these days and has strong backing. Shortly after the news, the coin started moving toward its resistance but got rejected with a whale 4H candle from the $4,767 zone. Compared to other coins, this one has held up quite well and hasn’t gone through a deep correction. Yesterday’s rejection zone after the NFP news serves as a solid trigger point and even gives us a tight stop-loss setup.
⚙️ The key RSI level for HyperLiquid is around 70, which is the Overbought threshold. If RSI pushes beyond this zone, HyperLiquid could continue upward. Another point is that the coin’s recent price action has been moving along a trendline and has held well above the 50 level for several days.
🕯 The volume and size of HyperLiquid’s green candles have increased, showing strong upward momentum. Each time it forms a higher low, buyers respect the level and push in more volume. Based on this behavior and the previous leg up, the coin is now close to its all-time high, and with market strength, it has the potential to break that level and move higher.
📊 Looking at HyperLiquid vs. Bitcoin, there isn’t a chart available on TradingView, but you can see it on CoinMarketCap. HyperLiquid is a whale-favorite coin and has shown strong bullish performance against Bitcoin, moving steadily upward.
🔔 The alert zone for HYPE is at $47.67. If this level breaks, the coin could start a strong bullish move and head toward its all-time high.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Aster vs Hyperliquid – Value BreakdownWas just taking a closer look at GETTEX:HYPE vs $ASTER. Both projects are moving fast, but the fundamentals tell two very different stories.
Hyperliquid ( GETTEX:HYPE ):
Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $46.7B
Annualized Fees: $1.1B
30D Perp Volume: $300B
Volume = ~2% of the entire stablecoin market
Valuation multiple: 42.5x fees
Aster ($ASTER):
Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $16.5B
Annualized Fees: $110M
30D Perp Volume: $27.7B
Valuation multiple: 150x fees
Takeaway:
While $ASTER has seen explosive early performance, the fee-to-FDV ratio is stretched. Meanwhile, GETTEX:HYPE is already generating serious fee revenue and market share, making it fundamentally a stronger value proposition even at current levels.
SWELL/USDT – Key Demand Zone: Relief Rally or Breakdown?Full Analysis
SWELL is currently at a critical juncture. After a prolonged downtrend since early 2025, the price has shifted into a range-bound structure, with a strong demand zone around 0.0060 – 0.0088 (highlighted in yellow).
This zone has been tested multiple times over the past few months, suggesting that buyers—potentially whales or institutions—are defending it. However, the more a support level is tested, the weaker it often becomes, raising the stakes for what comes next.
---
Structure & Price Pattern
Primary trend: bearish since the start of the year, but the momentum of the decline has slowed since Q2 → forming a range market.
Current pattern: multi-touch support combined with lower highs on the upside → signaling a phase of accumulation or distribution.
Key levels:
Support zone: 0.0060 – 0.0088.
Resistance layers: 0.0104 → 0.0116 → 0.0149 → 0.0187.
If the support zone holds, the probability of a relief rally is high. If it breaks, we could see a new capitulation phase.
---
Bullish Scenario
1. Bounce from demand zone
Confirmation: a strong daily rejection candle (hammer / bullish engulfing) with rising volume.
Short-term target: 0.0104 – 0.0116.
Extended targets: 0.0149 – 0.0187 if a breakout gains traction.
Upside potential: +30% to +100% from current levels.
2. Structural breakout
If price closes above 0.0116 on the daily chart, structure shifts into a higher-high formation.
This would significantly increase the probability of a larger bullish leg.
---
Bearish Scenario
1. Support breakdown
If the daily close falls below 0.0060, the demand zone will have failed.
This could trigger another strong sell-off and force the price to search for lower support levels.
Downside potential: at least -30% from current price, possibly more under heavy selling pressure.
---
Implications for Traders
Aggressive traders may consider entering within the demand zone with a tight stop-loss just below 0.0059. High risk, but potentially high reward if the bounce materializes.
Conservative traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above 0.0116, then enter on the retest. This approach provides a clearer bullish structure and better confirmation.
Risk management is critical here—SWELL is a small-cap altcoin with high volatility.
---
Conclusion
SWELL/USDT is standing at a major decision point. The 0.0060–0.0088 demand zone is the battlefield where the next trend direction will be decided—whether we see a relief rally toward higher resistances or a bearish breakdown into uncharted territory.
For traders, this is the time to stay patient and wait for confirmation: watch daily candle closes, volume spikes, and market reactions around this zone before making a move.
---
#SWELL #SWELLUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Altcoin #TradingView #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Breakout #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
HYPERLIQUID This is its last chance to rebound.Hyperliquid (HYPEUSD) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and today made contact with its 1W MA20 for the first time since May 06. With the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) broken also yesterday, this is the token's last chance to find Support as it sits at the bottom of the pattern.
If it holds and doesn't close a 1W candle below the 1W MA20, this would technically be the new Higher Low that initiated the next Bullish Leg. All previous sequences reached at least the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is at 64.500.
If the candle fails on the 1W MA20 however, we expect more aggressive selling towards Support 1 where contact can be possibly made with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). In that case, our Target will be 36.000.
It is also worth mentioning that the 1D RSI is just above its 6-month Support Zone, enhancing the probabilities for a rebound.
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HYPE price analysisYesterday we looked at the possible prospects of #Aster, and today let’s dive into the chart of #Hype 📉
🔥 5 consecutive red daily candles on OKX:HYPEUSDT.P — something we haven’t seen for a long time.
And there are plenty of reasons for that. We’ll name just a few, and you can add more in the comments 👇
📉 Start of a broader correction on the crypto market
⚡️ #HYPE with 300x leverage on Aster DEX, while on Hyperliquid there’s only 3x leverage for their native token — a massive imbalance attracting big arbitrage volumes that push the price down
📰 A strong media campaign “Why Aster is better than Hype” → a clear example of dirty play by big money
💡 That’s why a bounce of #HYPE from $40 shows there’s still powder in the barrels.
From $36 — also fine, a retest of the first ATH.
But a potential fall to $29–30 would trigger a full stop-loss hunt on longs accumulated over the past six months.
❓Where do you think #HYPE will find support — $40, $36, or will it slip to $30?
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
Hype betas crowding the market like agent Smith In the world of memecoins, during the previous cycle you had token with "baby" appended in front of a bigger token's name. Their purpose was to use token tax collected from its trading (5% mostly) and use it to buy the main memecoin. These were the origins of beta play memecoins.
In this cycle, we had beta plays that didn't benefit the main coin in any way but they were made as a coping mechanism for people who missed out on the main one. Examples include countless WIF derivatives, blonde and brunette on base, trump and melania on sol earlier this year.
Regardless, in both the cases arrival of beta plays kills the main coin and ofcourse itself too. In previous cycle one would argue it made people think "what is the inherent value of this token if not collecting taxes to buy the main one? Why then shouldn't I buy the main one. Then their minds would ponder " what is the inherent value of the main one even? Why should I buy it?" And everything would nosedive. In this cycle, their is shortage of retail liquidity so arrival of beta plays sucks out monetary liquidity and attention liquidity from the main coin and injects it into the derivative. The derivative coin pumps while the main one dies. And then people realise the derivative doesn't have as much meme power as the main one. So this dies too and people move on to the next one.
But that's about memecoins. Such kinds of things shouldn't happen to serious chains right? Well i don't know if we should consider anything serious really. Call me silly but i see parallels between hype this cycle and luna last cycle. Both attracted people who wanted decentralisation above anything else. Although in case of hype the decentralisation factory is disputed, we can keep that talk for a later date. So cults can take things to the top but can they keep it up there? Maintainance is harder than the rise. I'm not saying it will crash and burn like luna but at some point the bells will be rung, and we'll be too busy partying loudly to hear them.
Binance founder came out of prison and decided to launch his own version of hyperliquid to vamp attack hype. This shouldn't be that concerning because eth and bnb have coexisted forever... Right? Not really. Hype is not eth. If you were there to see eth go from ico to $100 you'd understand what I'm saying. But regardless, this cycle even eth is struggling and bnb is breaking ATH after ATH. I was never a fan of binance ecosystem but i recently learned the chinese crypto community lives in their own world. For them BNB is both BTC and ETH. And anything the binance people make them believe. I'm not the biggest fan of Aster but chinese community+ hyperliquid factory + the fact that most retail normal people outside Anglo countries use binance makes me think....
HYPE is short term bearish desu.
Hype's path to $55BYBIT:HYPEUSDT.P is currently forming a wedge shape pattern, is it indicating that it will break out and follow Path A, the blue path? I'm not so sure, I am sure we'll hit $55 either way.
If we take the red path, Path B, we'll come down to some heaviy support which could give us the fuel needed to get to $55
Out of all of the oscillators I was using, all except the chop zone on the daily mind you, were in bearish mode. So logically one would choose the red Path B right?
I can't wait to see how this plays out, shall we dip some and buy some more BYBIT:HYPEUSDT.P on Path B or experience more of a continuation of the current trendline to $55?
Let me know what you think in the comments, that'ls all for today, let's go HYPE!!! straight to $55!