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Ichimoku Cloud

Bitcoin range: 110k defended, 111.9–114k caps the upside__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is consolidating above 108.7–109.0k after the pullback from ATH, capped under 111.9–114.0k. Short-term momentum is improving while 6H/12H remain corrective. Momentum: 📈 Neutral-to-slightly bullish above 110k, but capped by 111.9–113.5k; 6H/12H still in a corrective trend. Key levels: - Resistances (HTF/MTF) : 111.9–113.5k (W/720 pivots), 114.0k (240 PL→R), 120.0k (W PH). - Supports (HTF/MTF) : 110.0–110.2k (recent shelf), 108.7–109.0k (720 PL cluster), 107.3k (240 PL). Volumes: Very high on 2H/1H/30m/15m; normal on 1D → credible rebound, not yet HTF-validated. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D in NEUTRAL BUY above 108.7k; 12H/6H/4H trending down (sell-the-rips below 111.9–113.5k); STTF (2H/1H) improving on volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: SELL (moderate risk-off) → contradicts the intraday bounce, so be cautious until 114.0k is reclaimed. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Compressed range: favor opportunistic executions at the edges; wait for confirmed breaks. Global bias: Neutral-to-slightly long above 110k while 108.7k holds; swing invalidation on 1D close below 108.7k. Opportunities: - Defensive buy on 110.0–110.2k retest; target 111.9k then 113.5k if break confirms. - Tactical sell on rejection at 111.9–113.5k; target 110.0k then 108.8k. - Breakout buy if 12H/1D close >114.0k; target 117.4k. Risk zones / invalidations: - Loss of 108.7k on HTF close invalidates longs, opens 107.3k then 95.3k if weakness extends. - Acceptance >114.0k invalidates most shorts, exposing 117.4k. Macro catalysts (Twitter/News): - Fed leaning to a 25bp cut (Sep 17 FOMC) with a bull steepener → supports dip buys if ISM/Jobs confirm. - Gold at record (>3,500$/oz), softer USD, Asian equities broadly positive → mild tailwind for risk. - Policy divergence (ECB dovish, BOJ cautious) + geopolitics → potential capping below 113.5–114.0k. Action plan: - Long Plan: Entry 110.0–110.2k / Stop 109.6k / TP1 111.4k, TP2 111.9k, TP3 113.5k (≈1.8–2.5R). - Short Plan: Entry 112.0–113.0k on rejection / Stop 113.7k / TP1 110.0k, TP2 108.8k, TP3 107.3k (≈1.6–2.2R). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall, timeframes are compressing: HTF resilient, MTF corrective, STTF recovering on strong volumes. 1D: Holding above 108.7–109.0k; acceptance >114.0k would open 117.4k then 120.0k. 12H/6H/4H: Lower highs/lows, favor sell-the-rips below 111.9–113.5k; rejection there likely retests 110.0k then 108.8k. 2H/1H/30m/15m: Strong-volume rebound; as long as 110k holds, a squeeze toward 111.9k then 113.5k is possible; losing 110k points back to 108.8k. Key confluences: Multi-TF support 108.7–109.0k; ceiling 111.9–113.5k with 114.0k as decision level → compressed structure favors an imminent move. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro modestly supports dip-buys while background risk-off tempers upside; on-chain is neutral-to-cautious, aligned with the technical range. Macro events: Markets price Fed cuts with a bull steepener; gold at record (>3,500$/oz), softer USD, Asia broadly green; ECB leaning dovish, BOJ cautious; upcoming US CPI/PMI/ISM and Jobs in focus. Bitcoin analysis: Ichimoku Tenkan/Kumo as overhead resistance; key pivot 110.4–110.7k; some watch 103–100k on downside; ETFs saw net inflows in August despite -6.5% spot → ongoing institutional demand. On-chain data: Large transfers (e.g., 7,860 BTC, 6,002 BTC) → potential liquidity/volatility; 6m/CTH cost basis near 107–108.9k as support; STH stress near 113.6k; no broad capitulation (SOPR ~1). Expected impact: Confluence for a 108.7–113.6/114.0 range; easing bias may help a topside break if volumes persist, otherwise rallies cap below 114.0k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC sits between 110k support and 111.9–114.0k resistance, with strong intraday volumes but a risk-off backdrop. - Trend: neutral-to-slightly bullish above 110k, yet MTF remains corrective. - Best setup: defensive long at 110.0–110.2k with <109.6k invalidation, or rejection short at 111.9–113.5k. - Macro: Fed cut path and softer USD support dips, but caution below 114.0k. Stay nimble: trade the edges and wait for a close >114.0k or <108.7k for direction. ⚠️
Long
by Ox_kali
"XAU/USD Hits Major Demand – Is a Relief Rally Brewing?"🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Demand Zone Rejection in Play | Bullish Correction Ahead? Timeframe: 30-Minute | Date: July 25, 2025 Created by: AllyPipsExpert Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Dynamic S/R, Trendlines --- 🔍 Technical Analysis & Key Insights: 🔸 1. Market Recap – Distribution & Downtrend Confirmation: After the Break of Structure (BOS) near 3385, gold confirmed a bearish reversal following the distribution phase at the top resistance zone around 3445–3460. Bearish momentum was sustained by a descending trendline, paired with a bearish Kumo (Ichimoku cloud) crossover. 🔸 2. Major Zone Tagged – Key Demand Area Tested: Price has now reached the critical demand block at 3320–3340, a zone that previously initiated bullish impulse on July 18–19. The current bullish projection (in blue) reflects potential short-term recovery or correction phase, following oversold conditions and historical support strength. 🔸 3. Bullish Reversal Potential – Short-Term Retracement? The blue arrow reflects a likely bullish retracement toward 3360–3380, aligning with trendline retest and potential Kumo rejection. Expect sellers to re-enter if price retests former BOS/imbalance zone, creating scalp or swing sell setups on confirmation. --- 🔧 Confluences & Technical Highlights: Confluence Point Description Demand Zone Strong previous accumulation at 3320–3340 BOS Retest Area Key liquidity level now acting as resistance Ichimoku Cloud Price below cloud = bearish bias maintained Descending Trendline Reinforces bearish structure unless broken Price Action Rejection wick at demand + potential short squeeze --- 🎯 Trade Outlook: 🧭 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Rebound → Long-Term Bearish Continuation 🟩 Support: 3320 – 3340 🟥 Resistance: 3360 – 3385 (BOS & Trendline zone) 🔁 Scenario: Bounce → Retest → Continuation lower (unless breakout confirmed) --- 📘 Why This Chart Could Be Featured: ✅ Multi-layered Analysis: BOS, zones, cloud, price action, and psychological zones used together. ✅ Forward-Looking: Projects the next logical market reaction instead of just explaining the past. ✅ Clean, Structured, Educational: Layout and visuals guide the viewer through logical trade steps. ✅ Value-Packed: Provides actionable levels and flexible scenarios — helpful to traders of all levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllyPipsExpert
what is the most effective indicator?There isn’t a single "most effective" trading indicator that works for everyone, as effectiveness depends on your trading style, strategy, and the market conditions. However, some indicators are considered more versatile or reliable when used correctly. Here's a breakdown to help you choose: Most Effective for Trends: Moving Averages (EMA or SMA): Simple and effective for identifying trends. Works well in trending markets but less reliable in sideways or choppy markets. Pro Tip: Combine short-term and long-term moving averages for crossovers. Ichimoku Cloud: A comprehensive indicator that provides trend direction, support/resistance, and momentum. Effective but requires practice to interpret correctly. Most Effective for Overbought/Oversold Levels: Relative Strength Index (RSI): One of the most popular and effective indicators for spotting overbought or oversold conditions. Works well in both trending and range-bound markets when combined with other tools. Stochastic Oscillator: Similar to RSI but includes %K and %D lines for crossovers. Effective for momentum confirmation. Most Effective for Volatility: Bollinger Bands: Great for identifying periods of high or low volatility and potential breakout zones. Useful for sideways (range-bound) markets and trend reversals. Average True Range (ATR): Excellent for setting stop-loss levels and identifying market volatility trends. Works well in conjunction with trend indicators. Most Effective for Momentum: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Ideal for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts. Effective when used with a confirmation indicator like RSI. Parabolic SAR: Simple for identifying trend direction and potential exit points. Works best in trending markets. Combination for Higher Effectiveness: Trend + Momentum: Combine EMA with MACD to identify trends and entry/exit points. Overbought/Oversold + Volume: Use RSI with Volume Indicators (e.g., OBV) to confirm breakouts or reversals. Volatility + Trend: Use Bollinger Bands with Ichimoku Cloud to spot breakout opportunities with clear trend guidance.
Education
by CobraVanguard
XAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis ReportXAUMO: The Ultimate Multi-Timeframe Gold Analysis Report Period: January 27 – February 2, 2025 📊 Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Thick Kumo ($2,744-$2,752) providing strong long-term support. • Future Kumo: Steep bullish slope with (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B), reinforcing the bullish trend. • Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses: • Type of Cross: Bullish cross above the Kumo. • Support Levels: • Tenkan ($2,774): Dynamic short-term support. • Kijun ($2,761): Key support during pullbacks. • Chikou Span: • Positioned above price and Kumo, confirming strong bullish control. • Stable slope, suggesting minor consolidation. 📈 Regression Channel Analysis: • Price is moving within an upward channel, with resistance near $2,785-$2,790, signaling potential overbought conditions. 🔗 Support and Resistance Levels (VRP): • POC: $2,771 (Pivot point for accumulation). • VAH: $2,785 (Supply zone). • VAL: $2,756 (Demand zone). 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,744-$2,752. ⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles: • 26-Period Cycle: Confirms bullish continuation toward $2,800. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Upside: $2,785-$2,810 (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%). • Downside: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740 (VWAP). ⏳ 4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Moderate thickness supporting price at $2,744-$2,752. • Steep bullish slope confirming momentum. • Tenkan/Kijun (TK/KS) Crosses: • Bullish cross above the Kumo, reinforcing the trend. • Key Supports: • Tenkan ($2,774): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,761): Major support. • Chikou Span: • Positioned above price and Kumo, signaling strong bullish pressure. • Upward slope, enhancing bullish momentum. 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,744-$2,752. ⏳ Sushi Kinko Cycles: • 9-Period Cycle: Minor pullback toward $2,771. • 26-Period Cycle: Signal for a move toward $2,800. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Upside: $2,785-$2,810. • Downside: $2,756-$2,744. ⏳ 1-Hour Chart (Intraday) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Clouds (Kumo): • Weak clouds with support near $2,774-$2,771. • Moderately bullish slope. • TK/KS Crosses: • Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,773): Key support level. 📦 Supply and Demand Zones: • Supply: $2,785-$2,790. • Demand: $2,773-$2,765. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785. • Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773. ⏳ 30-Minute Chart (Scalping) 🔍 Ichimoku Analysis: • Thin clouds supporting upward momentum. • Tenkan ($2,777): Immediate support. • Kijun ($2,773): Major support for scalping. 📌 Tradeable Levels: • Buy: $2,773 targeting $2,785. • Sell: Rejection at $2,785 targeting $2,773. 🔑 Summary: • Bullish Bias: Above $2,785 targeting $2,800-$2,810. • Bearish Bias: Below $2,756 targeting $2,740. • Pivot Point: $2,771 (POC). 📌 Session Insights: • Tokyo: Scalping at $2,773. • London: Rejection at $2,785 or breakout opportunities. • New York: Breakout above $2,785 or correction toward $2,771. 🔗 A blend of analytical tools for a precise and balanced trading strategy.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Tesla (TSLA) at a Crossroads – Big Move Coming?TSLA is stuck in a consolidation phase around $406 , with a key decision point ahead! 📊 🔍 What’s happening? The stock is hovering inside a tight range (orange zone) , struggling to break out. Momentum is cooling off, but a breakout could trigger the next big trend! ⚡ Scenarios to watch: 📈 Bullish: A breakout above $425 could open the door to $475+ – clear skies ahead! 🚀 📉 Bearish: If support fails, we might see a drop toward the $350-$375 zone. 📉 🔥 Eyes on the prize! Will bulls take charge, or is a deeper pullback coming? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇
NASDAQ:TSLA
by LeFinancier_
HOW TO TRADE with the ICHIMOKUThe Ichimoku is one of the best-trending indicators out there. The best strategy you could use is the CLOUD BREAK. When the price is breaking out of the cloud, you enter into a trade in this direction. This is the best strategy because the Ichimoku Indicator shows you multiple timeframes simultaneously, but the cloud is the highest timeframe, which means it is the strongest, and you will have fewer whipsaws and false entries with it. This indicator is also a great tool, to hold onto your winning trades and let your profits run. Once you get professional with it, you will know how to recognize both trending environments and ranging environments. This means that you will know how to apply different strategies that are fit to that specific environment.
NASDAQ:COINEducation
by ZoharCho
Bitcoin Massive Bullish Signal CONFIRMEDAlright, so let's discuss what happened. Take a look at the chart below. It's Bitcoin's weekly chart containing the Ichimoku indicator. The Ichimoku Cloud is a comprehensive technical indicator. It consists of several elements. Here are the ones that are important in this case: Tenkan-Sen (blue line in the chart), Kijun-Sen (red line in the chart), and Kumo (green and red cloud in the chart). ​ In general, the Ichimoku indicator can deliver various signals. However, one particular signal is typically considered the strongest and most reliable. For the bullish version of this signal, you want the Tenkan (blue line) to cross above the Kijun (red line). Additionally, you want that cross to happen above a green cloud. Guess what? This is precisely what happened with yesterday's weekly candle close. This signal last flashed in October 2023 (!!), and we all know what happened after that. Bitcoin pumped 150% to 73k. Therefore, it looks like all engines are on and ready to go. Nevertheless, remember: Signals on the weekly chart are highly probable, but they need time to play out. The signal might not lead to an immediate price increase, but it could lead to a substantial and sustainable one.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ben_walther
1
USDJPY Rebound Faces Pushback at Key ResistanceAfter the Fed’s jumbo pivot in September and aggressive easing path, Chair Powell adopted a more reserved approach at the start of the previous week. The cautious messaging was extrapolated at the end of that same week by the strong jobs report. Markets have now priced out bets for another outsized move, expecting 50 bps of cuts by the end of the year, in line with the Fed’s projections. At the same time, the Bank of Japan has shifted to a more patient approach to monetary tightening, after last month's hold, removing guidance for further hikes ahead. The August deceleration in wage growth adds a reason for caution, while the current political landscape does not favor aggressive tightening. With elections due later this month, the new Prime Minister does not see the need for more hikes. As a result of these developments, USD/JPY posted its best week of the year and extends its gains into the daily Ichimoku Cloud, testing the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci. This creates scope for further recovery towards 151.90, but we are cautious about sustained advance as the upside is unfriendly technically and fundamentally. Inflation (ex-fresh food) in Japan has been rising for the past four months and remains above the 2% target for more than two years, wages are elevated and GDP posted strong growth in Q2. One more rate hike within the year is still reasonable and BoJ officials still see more tightening if the economy evolves as projected. Chair Powell may have struck a more cautious tone, but officials still expect another 150 bps of cuts by the end of next year, so the broader policy dynamics remains unfavorable for USD/JPY. The pair faces pushback at the 38.2% Fibonacci and rejection could send it back below the EMA200 (black line) and reaffirm the bearish bias. This would in turn create scope for new 2024 lows (139.57), although strong catalyst would be required. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”) (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
by FXCM