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EURUSD - Is there more bearish momentum ahead?Introduction Last Friday, the EURUSD experienced a sharp move to the upside following Jerome Powell’s speech, which fueled optimism and created strong bullish momentum. However, the market could not sustain this rally, and by yesterday all the gains were fully retraced. Price dropped back into the bullish inversion fair value gap (FVG), ultimately filling it entirely. While this retracement has cooled off the bullish pressure, it has also introduced some new dynamics into the market that traders should be aware of. Liquidity sweep During Friday’s impulsive rally, EURUSD swept liquidity above the recent highs and simultaneously filled all the bearish fair value gaps. This move, while initially strong, did not manage to establish a sustainable break above those highs. As a result, bearish momentum began to reappear, suggesting that the rally was more of a liquidity grab rather than the start of a prolonged bullish trend. Bullish case scenario The bullish scenario from here would require EURUSD to reclaim strength and invalidate the recently formed bearish 4-hour FVG. For this to happen, the pair would need a decisive 4-hour candle close above this zone, signaling renewed upside momentum. Should buyers manage to achieve this, the next logical target would be another attempt at the highs that were swept on Friday. A confirmed break above those levels would strengthen the bullish case and potentially open the path to higher price levels. Bearish case scenario On the other hand, the bearish scenario appears more probable if EURUSD faces rejection at the bearish 4-hour FVG. A failure to break above this area would confirm that the bearish momentum is still in play. If that occurs, price will likely seek liquidity by moving lower, potentially targeting the bullish 4-hour FVG that sits beneath the liquidity zone. This move would align with the broader bearish structure and reinforce the idea that the market remains under selling pressure despite Friday’s rally. Final thoughts In conclusion, EURUSD is currently at a critical juncture, with both bullish and bearish scenarios still on the table. The decisive factor will be how price reacts around the bearish 4-hour FVG. A strong close above could set the stage for a continuation to the upside, while rejection from this zone would likely lead to a liquidity grab to the downside and a revisit of lower fair value gaps. Traders should remain cautious and patient, waiting for clear confirmations before committing to a direction, as the market continues to balance between bullish hopes and bearish pressure. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Short
by Youriverse
40
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,381.18 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,375.22.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
XAU/USD: Gold at Make-or-Break – Will 3400 Hold or Break?Macro & Fundamental Context Gold remains highly influenced by Fed rate expectations: Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole opened the door to possible rate cuts as early as September. This is pressuring the US dollar lower and supporting precious metals, but at the same time, persistently high inflation and strong US macro data (PPI at the highest level since February) maintain a risk of two-way volatility. COT & Sentiment COT Report: Non-Commercials (speculators) remain strongly net long (275k contracts vs 62k short), but in recent weeks we’ve seen a decline of 12,800 longs and an increase of 4,000 shorts → clear signs of profit-taking. Commercials (hedgers) remain heavily net short (316k contracts), consistent with a defensive stance at current resistance levels. Retail Sentiment: 56% short vs 44% long → slightly contrarian, as retail traders tend to sell strength. Seasonality Historically, August is a bullish month for gold (+25–30 avg points over 10/15 years). However, September has one of the worst seasonal performances of the year (-11% over 20y, -29% over 10y). This reinforces the view that late-August rallies could turn into deeper corrections in September. Technical Analysis Daily Chart: Gold is currently testing a key supply zone at 3380–3400, with a bearish reaction already visible. RSI shows relative overbought conditions. Key Levels: Primary Resistance: 3400–3420 (supply + July highs). Intermediate Support: 3280–3300 (demand zone + weekly block). Bearish Target: 3240–3200 (major demand + bullish rejection block). Operational Outlook Base Case (most likely): Rejection from 3400 → retracement towards 3280/3240 → short setups favored with confirmation on H4/H1. Alternative Scenario (less likely but possible): Breakout above 3420 with a weekly close → bullish continuation confirmed → targets at 3480–3520. Risk Management: Extreme caution ahead of Powell’s speech and NFP release, as both could quickly invalidate setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
EURUSD - Stuck in Consolidation With Downside Bias[EURUSD has been trading inside a clear consolidation zone after an extended move higher, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel structure. Price action remains trapped within this range, with liquidity already taken from the upside during the recent sweep. Consolidation Dynamics The pair is currently caught in a sideways structure, compressing between resistance above and support below. We already had a perfect retest inside the fair value gap, and the reaction suggests that momentum is leaning toward the downside. Until price decisively breaks the channel, traders should treat this as a range-bound environment with strong respect for key levels. Bearish Scenarios Given that the liquidity grab on the upside of the range has already occurred, the likelihood of a downward move has increased. From here, price could drop directly from the current level to retest the channel line and the demand zone below. This would confirm the idea that buyers are struggling to push beyond the consolidation ceiling. Alternative Bullish Path It is still possible that price makes one more push higher into the red supply zone before reversing. If this happens, the move would likely serve as a final inducement before sellers step in, driving price back down into the bottom side of the channel where support and liquidity rest. Price Targets and Expectations In both scenarios, the lower boundary of the channel remains the key target area to watch. A clean retest of this level would align with previous reactions and could offer another potential base for continuation higher in the broader trend. Until then, the immediate expectation favors a move toward the downside. Conclusion EURUSD is consolidating with signs of weakness after the sweep of the highs, making a retracement toward the lower channel line the most probable outcome. Whether price drops directly from here or first taps into the red supply zone, the downside appears to be the more likely path in the short term. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
63
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 38.677 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 38.812.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD - Bullish outlook heading into next week!Introduction The EURUSD experienced a strong surge last Friday, largely driven by Jerome Powell’s speech, which added significant momentum to the market. This impulsive move to the upside successfully filled both the bearish 4-hour and 1-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). The candle that formed was notably strong and bullish, and because of its size and strength, it is highly probable that we will see at least a 50% retracement of this candle before price continues to push higher. Such a retracement would allow the market to gather liquidity and prepare for another bullish leg. Liquidity Sweep Before this sharp rally, the EURUSD executed a liquidity sweep at the recent lows, clearing out stop losses and inducing sellers into the market. This is a classic move often seen before a strong reversal to the upside. Following this sweep, price accelerated with an aggressive bullish candle. My expectation now is for the market to retrace into this candle, ideally retracing deeply enough to provide a high-probability entry for continuation to the upside. This liquidity sweep sets the stage for a bullish scenario, as it suggests that smart money has already accumulated positions at discounted levels. Resistance As price surged higher, it tapped into a key area of resistance, which aligns with both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs. This confluence of timeframes strengthens the validity of the resistance zone and explains why price has reacted from this level. I anticipate that breaking through this resistance will require additional momentum, which may not occur immediately. Instead, we could see a short-term pullback or cooldown that allows the market to gather strength before attempting to push through this supply zone. This resistance area will therefore act as a decisive battleground for buyers and sellers. Bullish Support The strong bullish candle formed during the rally now serves as a new area of support. I expect price to respect the 50% retracement level of this candle, which lies around 1.166. This midpoint often acts as a significant level in technical analysis, and holding above it would confirm bullish continuation. As long as price remains above this zone, the momentum remains to the upside, and the probability of another move higher increases. This makes the retracement into this level a potential buying opportunity. Inversion Another important factor to consider is the inversion of the 4-hour FVG. On the previous drop, the EURUSD created a bearish 4-hour FVG, which initially acted as resistance. However, with the latest bullish impulse, this same zone has now flipped into an inversion FVG, transforming from a bearish area into a bullish support. This inversion highlights a significant shift in market structure and suggests that bulls are taking control of the price action. This level will be crucial to watch, as holding above it strengthens the case for further upside. Final Thoughts In summary, the EURUSD is showing strong bullish potential following the liquidity sweep and the aggressive rally sparked by Powell’s speech. While the market has reached a significant resistance area marked by the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, a retracement into the 50% level of the bullish candle would be healthy and provide a potential entry point for buyers. With the inversion of the previous bearish FVG into bullish support, the technical picture favors the upside as long as key support levels are respected. The coming sessions will reveal whether the market has the strength to break through resistance and continue its upward trajectory.
by Youriverse
63
EURUSD: Local Bullish Bias! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17041 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17160.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals
XAU/USD Update 1Next move on the way focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades..! Confluences & Key Reason: 1. Gold has tested the resistance level, where selling pressure is expected , from this zone a possible down side move towards 3357 - 3344. 2. Also 1H SIBI still in pending. Let's see how it will work. This is not a financial advice. This setup is a little bit risky, due to recent volatility. On higher time frame the structure was bullish.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AzlaanGlobalFX