Get started

In

BITCOIN: BTCUSD Alernative ChoiceBitcoin Bitfinex Chart Update Alternative Choice of Updates from now on: Trying to find the best/clearest format and colors for the majority isn't easy. Putting the text all over the chart is annoying for most on Tv and is only done for the benefit of Twitter users where 140 character uploads are ridiculously restrictive for those with a deeper interest in Bitcoin and its patterns and behaviour traits. This upload is the same as the last one - but with a light background. And with no text scrawled all over it. Which one do you prefer? Am going to take a vote to decide whether to stay dark/neon or go to the light side for the background color on future chart uploads. Please could you click agree on one of the two charts (this one or the last Bitcoin upload with a black background) and that way we can determine an outcome by majority - by any that are interested enough to vote at least. Any feedback on this is welcome! So far this looks like a good Reverse/Inverse Head and Shoulders in classic formation with a perfect retest of the neck-line yesterday at 7600 (even more so because no one seems to have really mentioned it - the low today here is 7600 precisely). It carries with it a minimum implied upside target at 8163 on Bitfinex. But in the near term Bitcoin has made an 07:30gmt break higher from the 7644 line as it did yesterday too -before spending 24 hours moving sideways again. The new normal. Sheesh. Every break higher is getting faded now for hours and hours after the intial impulse. 30 minutes of action followed by 24 hours of continuation. Just like fishing on a slow day :( But this break today is still potentially significant. We now have a technical battle emerging between the power of the RHS on upside and the power of the upper dynamic of a loosely defined rising wedge-like formation on the downside, both in opposition to each-other, one a positive force and the other negative. So we can spend quite some time today in yet another continuation pattern with support at 7700 and extending to the lower parallel of the newly forming pattern from the intra-day high. Both these opposing patterns are powerful. Which pattern will prove stronger ? Well, so long as the dynamic which forms the lows of the right shoulder holds up on retests today the likelihood is that eventually the break will be higher and not lower. If so other than buying the dip to 7700 and below to 7768 and maybe to the 7644 line the only other option is to buy the break above the upper small falling dynamic from the intra- day high when and if it comes later on - need a volume spurt to follow it to know it's good - but the pattern is still overall positive at this point and the uppermost risng dynamic which capped the high today so far, is beginning to lose its power and on the 5th strike it should break too. That will open the way for a RHS to take control and begin to drive price towards the upside target at 8163. Returning to the downside Bitcoin has to break below the risng dynamic underpinning the lows of the right shoulder of the RHS to start flipping longs out back to 7644 and if this then fails to the neck-line itself again at 7600. This level must hold up throughout the day from here. Any failure by more than 15 points will flip Bitcoin back into bear hands, signalling ultimate failure of the RHS and trigger a short from this point with stops 50 points or so higher if struck later.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by sumastardon
18
6977 could be our bottomya boi just learned trend based fib retracements and i was practicing on a coinbase chart for BTC and saw this. ..so yeah. short into long might be a good play here, however the price is respecting that trend line that a lot of people are looking at... So in other words. The market is exactly at a point where reckless longs and shorts will get absolutely R E K T. If you play these levels be careful, set your stops near previous local highest highs and lowest lows (depending on your trade. local highs for shorts, local lows for longs.) set a buy order somewhere around 6977 for potential fun times for the next week 6950 if you're trying to 100x catch a knife/be a hero (not recommended) 6890 super safe for liq's super greedy for a buy, you may get missed. OR you may have bragging rights for the next year. Don't listen to me at all if you have any doubt whatsoever in what i'm saying. Trade your plan, and, once you're in it stick to it. much love. don't get rekt.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by PatrickOuch
EURUSD Still Trapped in a Relentless Down-Trend - target 1.17218th May EURUSD Update EUR made the counter-rally move back to the upper parallel precisely at 1.1978 before falling away again. Having failed to hold up at the 1.1910 level it is falling further as DXY continues its long-predicted rally. EUR should fall to 1.1815 and then bounce to the upper parallel again before falling away further still to 1.1721 as the month progresses. Any bounce back to the upper parallel can be still be viewed as another selling opportunity until the down-side target is achieved. Whilst EUR remains trapped within this clearly defined down-trend this pair remains a one way bet. The trend has to get broken at some point though - only then do we switch back to long again on this pair. Just not yet awhile.
Short
by sumastardon
1
DXY: A Tearway Move - in Context DXY Dollar Index The dollar has been been on a tearaway move ever since breaking its longer term downtrend at the 90.42 level. By 'tearaway' in DXY terms that means 2%. Huge ! Over 11 calendar days or so. The same as Bitcoin moves in 45 minutes. This is as exciting as DXY gets. And people seriously trade this for a living. Some have to but in a world of choice you can do the math - and choose. It takes all sorts to make a world ! Since breaking above and then retesting the top of the range structure at 90.93 DXY has surged up the right side of the chart as fast as fell down the same space on the left side of the chart. It's now testing the next line of resistance at the 91.92 level after an intra-day high 3 points higher. It should consolidate a little here before breaking higher still to test the 92.55-92.64 range. Over the more medium term DXY should hit 94.03. Until it does the dollar is likely to remain a buy dips market.
TVC:DXYLong
by sumastardon
EURUSD range-in-range effectGood morning, today i checked out the four-hour-chart and saw that range-in-range effect which we can see many time while the market is running sideways. This effect always has a big range, a small range in between that big range and a neutral area. Those three levels are mostly decisive for the next movement. What does it mean in this case? The market is currently in that neutral area. At this level i am not doing any trades since it is completely open whether it goes long or short. Thats why i am just spectating the market and wait for the moment when the market is leaving this area. If it leaves the area long i will focus at long trades only if it leaves short i will focus on short trades only of course. Whats the sense of it? The neutral area is mostly in the middle of the big and the small range. We know that we have a Ping-Pong-Game inside a range. So if the market is leaving this neutral area long/short it will mostly test the upper or lower range line. For example : if the market leaves the neutral area to the long side I could plan long trades with a target the range line from the small range. The small range lines will decide if the market entries the upper range or the lower range area. Thats why you can see that small range also as a "neutral area" regarding the big range if you only want to focus on trade with big range targets. Summary : i will wait for a break out of the neutral area to find possible long/short entries.
Education
by StefanKassing
2
BTC possible short - First target 8600 Hey, this is my first idea ever published. Please note that I might be completely wrong, and that It's made just to add some idea on where the price might go. I will be really glad for any comment reagrding anything wrongly interpreted in my idea since it's my first idea since I started learning TA. Right now there are two scenarios that I can see happening in the near future. Either we will break above 11500 level, which would indicate further growth to price point of 16222 measured from the bottom of the inverse H&S to the neckline projected upwards from the neckline. So far I see this scenario less likely due to the fact that volume should expand on the break from the inverse head and shoulders. It is still a possibility though, and it should be taken into consideration. In this case I would recommend to enter the market on the retracement move of the breakout from the inverse H&S since you want to avoid getting caught up in the failed break out. If the inverse H&S doesn't play out, we can see a big drop to the first support level of approximatelly 8600. From there I would expect it to form a possible falling wedge that could bottom close to the recent 6000 low. Falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern, and sucessful break above could as well mean the end of the correction. As you can see from the RSI, we broke already broke above bearish 28day RSI. If this scenarion would be about to happen, I would enter the market on the retracement move of the break out of the possible falling wedge confirmed both by RSI, and by completion of the pattern. Hope it made sense, and I hope that I didn't scare you off with my poor english, since I'm not originally from the english speaking country. Enjoy, leave a comment and have a great day!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoFlows
ETCETH Opportunity Still Exist, Several Pivots ConfirmBuilding on last idea and cleaned up chart . Same information as previous (linked) except a few extra confirmed pivots. Stop moved up from 0.0368 to 0.0398, assuming a 1-2 is in and another 1-2 (small) is being put in, stop under the 0.786 of the smallest, most recent 1-2. As with all alts, upside movement is most often associated to non "crashing" of the big 2, eth and btc that is. The red dashed lines are where the algo's will most likely sell off if they aren't closed out. Price correlation chart. www.sifrdata.com 4hr Last idea (same as this one)
by rnm410
EURUSD and DXY confirming signal of change in trend for dollarEURUSD EURUSD and DXY EUR is tracking an inverse set of parallels to DXY. When EUR breaks lower it's a second sell/add shorts signal which must be confirmed by DXY breaking above the upper parallel containing this impulse wave from inception. DXY has to break and hold above that parallel before the bears will back off - but it's fighting here, where it should if it's to turn back up from here. The confirming signal is the break above the upper parallel. DXY Dollar Index Despite the spike and noise surrounding CPI numbers yesterday DXY has been forced back down the same small parallels it was travelling down before the numbers hit the newsfeeds. As in last comment Dollar bulls still have the double bottom on their side here. The last one was one week apart, this one is 2 weeks apart. The Dollar is likely to hold here at these lower levels and then begin to rally. It's waiting on Wall St to open now but bears in London have failed to push it below the double bottom. A sign of waning downside momentum. Once it can break above the upper small parallel guiding the descent it should attract more buyers and move back up to test the 89.37 line where it will likely meet resistance again...it has to push on through here during the course of today for the bulls to gain more traction and flip DXY into more positive mode from this point. This battle may take some time to resolve - DXY has to fight its way through three lines of near term resistance at 89.37, 89.51 and then 89.62 to turn back to positive again. Look to buy dips here and on the pairs with stops under 88.40 on DXY for small loss if wrong from here. Increase longs on move above the smaller upper parallel. On downside, DXY will have to break below 88.40 today to change this view to near term negative but only back to 87.70 at lowest where DXY should find final support and begin to rally again. But so long as 88.40 holds up today the Dollar's downtrend is finally coming to an end.
by sumastardon
FTSE 100: UKX Inter-Generational High: Super Cycle only half wayFTSE 100 Inter - UKX - Inter-Generational Cycle High - Half-Way House Nine years from high to low. Nine years from low to High on FTSE in fact the secondary or final rally high set in week of 13.03 00 as Internet generation 1 peaked with Nasdaq and techs' peak reached that week). Low reached March 9th 2009. The next cycle date falls between Friday 2nd March and Friday 9th March. If the major markets break below the lows of last week we can therefore most likely expect a low to form at this point in time - and if they can hold up today and rally from here the next high is likely to be struck in the 5 trading days between March 2rd '18 and March 9 '18. Whichever way it breaks from here should be worth following in the near term - but start to look for a significant change in trend in either event come 2nd March through 9th. Looking even further out in time this peak now is likely only an inter-generational cycle high, marking the half-way point in the old 18 year generation cycle. The real grand super-cycle high (high to super-high) is not reached on this chart until March 1st 2027. Time, as always, will tell. In the meantime, there's a nearer term FTSE strategy outlined below.
TVC:UKX
by sumastardon
Dow Jones Industrials DJI Back on the buy listDow Jones Industrial Average DJI Back to buying the dips Yesterday the Dow completed a 10% drop from the high (10% off the top is 23956, the low was 23923.8, just 0.5 of one point from the support line at 23924. An 11% drop would be 23690 - there is another fixed support line at 23613, just 77 points lower. This line line should be the limit of any further downside should 23924 line give way today at any point. From there it should rally back to 24345 -24400 range where it should begin to retreat again..how it reacts here is key...if it can hold up off 24300 and then go on to break above 24400 again it becomes a buy with stops below 24345. Otherwise we ait for lower levels. But so far this is a sharp fast standard 10% decline ina bull market. Done and dusted so long as 23611 holds out this week. Back to buyng dips for now.
DJ:DJILong
by sumastardon
Bitcoin: BTCUSD First Signs of a Bottom in SightBitcoin BTCUSD Update Next Buy and Sell Points We have a low here on Bitstamp at 5920, on Bitfinex at exactly 6000 and on Coinbase at 5873 - so far. Earlier in London Bitcoin has been driven up through the upper parallel that has been controlling this sell-wave from yesterday. It's the first early sign that this is getting close to the bottom now. It's finally trying to put up a fight here at these lower levels...so on downside will not be looking for another short unless 5900 is broken on Bitstamp and 6000 is broken on Bitfinex - and even then will only be for 300 points or so to 5636 and if so will be looking to reverse long again at this point if struck with stops 100 below On the upside it's nothing more than a speccy buy at 6300 with a stop below 6200 - it's more risky than buying the breakout as we don't know for sure that 6200 will hold out yet. Otherwise we stand by for a potential break above the upper parallel, looking for a successful restest from above once broken...it then has to break above 6610 and hold there to give us confirmation that the rally is good to go - look to enter long positions if we see this price action develop. Otherwise will look to get long again from lower levels later.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by sumastardon
3
XAUUSD and DXY - Gold top likely this weekGold Dollar XAUUSD and DXY The dollar's decline is close to finishing. Likely to be one two spots outlined below - so this is likely also to be a big week for gold, oil, and across US pairs too. Look for buy set-ups on dollar pairs and sell set-ups on gold, silver, copper and oil... As DXY tries to climb and hold above a little dynamic that underpins price from the lows,so gold is held back by a similar dynamic resistance line from the highs on the chart to left. DXY is close to changing back to positive, either from here, at 88.44 or from 87.70 at lowest. This is likely to happen this week. It means that gold also is likely to reverse from current levels, or from one last burst higher from here at best. If it's to reverse here DXY will have to break and hold above 89.53 - in so doing it will have broken key fixed resistance and the upper parallel which has controlled the current down-wave from inception and so will flip the dollar back to positive and gold back to negative again. This should be reflected by gold falling below 1341, giving the first confirmation that the trend has changed back to negative in the near term and triggering a fall back to 1306 in all likelihood. However, if 88.44 fails to hold during the course of this week it will tip the dollar into what should be one final selling climax which should culminate at around 87.70 at the extreme before DXY finds support and begins to rally again. This will carry gold to 1375 and at an extreme to a 1389 high. Look to close out remaining gold longs here, and some will consider shorting if we see this price action develop later this week.
FX:XAUUSD
by sumastardon
Bitcoin: BTCUSD New Trading Realities in a 'grown-up' worldTrading Bitcoin in the new Realities of 'Mainstream' When Reality Bites - How to Deal with it Dispassionately - or Miss up to 50% of all opportunities...trading for Adults in a grown-up world For those who like pattern spotting there have been three or four very good sell points off the Coinbase chart. Maybe 80% of the few people who read this will have Bull hats on, are inherent, full-on bulls. Only 10 to 20% will be bears. If one or the other we will miss 50% of all trading oppotunites, roughly. Who was looking for sell signals recently (after that RHS failure) ? No, because most of us are bulls we're only looking for positive signals. Try to be dispassionate about Bitcoin - that is not easy, being as we're humans. We're programmed to want to join the herd. A bison gets FOMO too, that's why he wants inside the herd and not out. Penguins too. But we are not penguins. We need to stop acting like one. Agreed? We need to be like doctors who will get sued for giving the wrong diagnosis, however bad that might be. The patient wants truth not platitudes. That's how we need to view Bitcoin. If we love it too much we cloud judgement and lose trade opportunities. So strive to be dispassionate. Or it will cost you roughly half of all opportunities. Look at the trail Bitcoin has left...get down off your horse and look...look how good those sells were on the breaks...how the first two break and then come back to retest the little dynamic from the underside and that's the sell with stops say 50 higher (never touched) and then look at the third and last arrow in the sequence - the market is moving fast at this point and there is no retest this time. And then the series of highs running right into the resistance line at 12472. Each was a fantastic near term opportunity to mine another 1000 points minimum out of this monster, and the last 2 breaks were 2000 points - that's 6000 points in breaks in 3 days. That is 60% of total value of Bitcoin right now. How crazy is that? You NEED to be Ok with shorting as well as going long to survive this market. You are not going to get every one, but half would have been good, very good. And look how simple the patterns are ! That ain't rocket science is it? One single line of dynamic support (upside doesn't really matter too much in a downtrend), we just need to get a line under the counter-rally - behaves very differently, obviously, in a slower market at top half of chart than in fast market where patterns are obscured in the noise more easily.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by sumastardon
1
Fingerprint Cards the next biometric cycle revolutionWill be multibiometric! Smartcards (contactless & batteryless, acesscards and payment cards) Iris (activeIRIS) Airportsecurity I o T In the Cloud FULL In-Display (touch your thing and it is unlocked) In the car (nu radionsignal and no more stolen cars) Outside the car (no more lost keys, look at it or touch it and its open) At the petrol station According to the company states will be the company's largest customers! It´s simple as this!
OMXSTO:FING_BLong
by FinanceHulligan
15