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Weekly & Monthly Supports!KSE100 Analysis Trading at 163501.60 (24-10-2025 10:40am) Daily / Hourly Supports: S1 around 162500 - 163000 S2 around 159000 - 159500 Weekly Supports : S1 around 157400 - 157500 S2 around 149500 - 150000 Monthly Supports: S1 around 154200 - 155000 a Very Strong Support liest around 143500. If 157500 is broken this time, we may witness further selling pressure exposing S2 on Weekly basis & S1 on Monthly. However, to resume its Uptrend, it needs to cross 170,000 with Good Volumes.
PSX:KSE100
by House-of-Technicals
US30: Flash pump not enough to break resistanceSPREADEX:DJI Analysis – Weak flash pump signals a possible pullback ahead. 📊 Technical Overview On the 30-minute timeframe, Wall Street (US30) has recently shown a quick rebound — a flash pump — after a strong flash dump earlier in the week. Price is now trading near the 46,400 – 46,500 area, right below the major resistance zone between 46,600 – 46,750 (highlighted in green). Below, the support range around 46,050 – 46,200 (marked in red) remains the key demand area. ⚙️ Market Structure Insight The recent flash pump recovered quickly from the previous drop, but the momentum appears insufficient to break through the prior flash dump zone. This imbalance often indicates a short-term exhaustion in buying pressure, meaning the market could need one more corrective leg before finding new strength. 🧭 Main Scenario The most likely scenario is that price will move sideways or slightly pull back toward the 46,200 support zone before deciding its next major move. • If buyers defend 46,200 successfully, the index could attempt another test of 46,700. • However, failure to hold that support might open the door to a deeper correction. 💡 Personal View The weak flash pump following the previous flash dump signals that the market is still in a consolidation and absorption phase. A short-term pullback could help reset momentum before a more sustainable trend emerges. ⛔ This analysis represents a personal technical perspective and should not be taken as investment advice. Always manage your risk before entering any position. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
SPREADEX:DJIShort
by ZuperView
Future Trends in Global Index Trading1. Expansion of Thematic and Sector-Based Indices Traditional indices like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100 are giving way to thematic indices that focus on specific industries or megatrends such as artificial intelligence, green energy, cybersecurity, biotechnology, and space technology. Investors are increasingly allocating capital toward sectors that align with technological innovation or sustainability goals. This evolution will diversify index offerings and allow traders to gain exposure to cutting-edge sectors without needing to pick individual stocks. For example, ESG and renewable energy indices are expected to attract major institutional inflows as global decarbonization policies intensify. Similarly, AI-focused indices will become a major attraction as machine learning reshapes corporate productivity. 2. Rise of AI and Algorithmic Trading in Index Management Artificial Intelligence (AI) and algorithmic models are transforming index trading by enhancing speed, accuracy, and decision-making. Advanced algorithms analyze massive data sets in real time, predicting market sentiment, volatility, and correlations between global indices. These tools enable traders to rebalance portfolios instantly and exploit arbitrage opportunities. In the future, AI-driven “smart indices” could automatically adjust their weightings based on macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical risk, or investor sentiment — creating dynamic, self-optimizing benchmarks rather than static ones. 3. Increased Popularity of Passive Investing and ETFs Over the past decade, passive index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have outperformed most active managers. This trend will continue as investors seek low-cost, diversified exposure to global markets. Global ETF assets are projected to surpass $20 trillion by 2030, largely fueled by index-linked strategies. As more retail and institutional investors favor passive investing, liquidity in major indices like the MSCI World, NASDAQ-100, and Nifty 50 will deepen. Moreover, fractional and automated ETF investing platforms will make index exposure more accessible, further democratizing global market participation. 4. Integration of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) Criteria Sustainability will be one of the defining features of future global index construction. Regulators and investors alike are demanding transparency, ethical governance, and environmental accountability. ESG indices will not only track performance but also quantify corporate sustainability using measurable metrics such as carbon footprint, social equity, and board diversity. In the next decade, “green indices” may become a mainstream benchmark, influencing capital allocation toward responsible corporations. Investors will increasingly use carbon-adjusted indices or climate risk-weighted indices to mitigate environmental exposure. 5. Real-Time Global Connectivity and 24/7 Trading With technology reducing barriers between global markets, the concept of 24/7 trading across indices is becoming a reality. Cryptocurrency markets already operate continuously, setting the precedent for traditional markets to follow. Index futures and global ETFs may soon be traded around the clock, allowing traders to react instantly to geopolitical or economic developments in any region. Enhanced inter-market connectivity among exchanges in Asia, Europe, and North America will ensure smoother liquidity flow and minimize regional trading gaps. 6. Blockchain and Tokenization of Indices Blockchain technology will revolutionize how indices are built, traded, and settled. Through tokenization, entire indices could be represented as digital tokens, allowing investors to buy fractional shares of global market indices seamlessly. This innovation will make global index trading more transparent, secure, and accessible, particularly for retail investors. Smart contracts could automate dividend distribution, rebalancing, and settlement, while decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms may introduce index-backed synthetic assets, enabling trading beyond traditional market hours. The fusion of blockchain and finance will create a borderless, low-cost trading environment. 7. Customizable and Personalized Index Products Investors of the future will demand customized indices that align with their personal risk tolerance, ethical values, or investment objectives. Through AI-based portfolio construction, traders could create personal indices tracking specific sets of companies, sectors, or regions — effectively blending active and passive investing. Robo-advisors and fintech platforms are already offering custom index portfolios that automatically rebalance based on user preferences, risk profiles, or global market movements. This personalization trend will redefine how investors interact with global indices, making index trading both dynamic and individual-centric. 8. Data-Driven Trading and Predictive Analytics The future of global index trading will rely heavily on big data, alternative data, and predictive analytics. Beyond financial metrics, traders will analyze satellite imagery, shipping data, internet traffic, and sentiment analysis from social media to anticipate index trends. Predictive models powered by machine learning will improve timing, reduce drawdowns, and identify early signals of macroeconomic shifts. For example, sentiment data from millions of online sources could forecast the next market correction or bull run before it appears in traditional indicators. Data-driven decision-making will become the cornerstone of competitive index trading. 9. Geopolitical and Economic Diversification Global index traders must increasingly account for geopolitical risk, trade tensions, and currency fluctuations. The rise of regional economic blocs — such as BRICS expansion, Asian market integration, and European green reforms — will lead to new regional index compositions. Diversification across multiple regions will become essential to hedge against localized shocks like war, inflation, or policy shifts. Future indices will incorporate multi-currency and multi-region components, helping investors reduce exposure to any single market’s volatility. This diversification will also open opportunities for cross-border arbitrage and currency-hedged index products. 10. Regulatory Evolution and Market Transparency As global index trading expands, regulatory oversight will strengthen. Authorities such as SEBI, SEC, and ESMA are developing frameworks to ensure data integrity, transparency, and investor protection in index creation and trading. Future regulations will likely require disclosure of index methodologies, weighting criteria, and data sources, ensuring fairness and accountability. Moreover, with the rise of AI and algorithmic trading, governments will impose ethical and operational standards to prevent manipulation and systemic risk. Enhanced transparency will foster trust, attract more institutional participation, and create a stable global trading ecosystem. Conclusion The future of global index trading will be defined by technology-driven transformation, investor empowerment, and sustainable innovation. AI, blockchain, ESG integration, and data analytics will reshape how indices are constructed, traded, and understood. The line between active and passive investing will blur as markets evolve toward automation, customization, and inclusivity. As global economies become more interconnected, traders who embrace these trends — combining digital intelligence with strategic diversification — will thrive in the next generation of financial markets.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
SILVER (XAGUSD) 15M – Bearish Rejection Setup Ahead TVC:SILVER Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Price reached the accumulation + resistance zone, facing repeated rejections. Structure is forming a lower-high pattern beneath the descending trendline. If the rejection confirms, a sharp drop toward the next liquidity pool (49.00 area) can follow. Market Overview Silver has been ranging within a broad accumulation zone after rejecting the upper resistance region around 50.8–51.2. The market shows weakness near the top of the channel, hinting at a bearish continuation phase. If momentum fails to break above the diagonal resistance, a downside move toward 49.5–49.0 becomes highly probable before a possible reaction from the strong demand box. Key Scenarios ✅ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1: 49.52 | 🎯 Target 2: 49.03 | 🎯 Target 3: 48.70 ❌ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 50.80 | 🎯 Target 2: 51.20 (if resistance breaks cleanly) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴 : 50.80 – 51.20 Support 🟢 : 49.50 – 49.00 – 48.70 ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
TVC:SILVERShort
by vipblueprintfx
Nifty Pauses Below Resistance, Eyes Earnings-Driven MoveIndian markets closed on a strong note last week, with the Nifty rising over 1.5% to 25,285. The rally was led by IT sector (up nearly 5%) and PSU banks (up around 1.5%), reflecting sectoral strength during the earnings season. The India VIX inched up 0.42% to 10.10, still near multi-month lows, though volatility may rise as corporate results roll in. Technically, the Nifty is now testing a crucial resistance zone at 25,400–25,500, aligning with the apex of a large symmetrical triangle pattern. Open interest data shows heavy call writing at this zone, while strong put writing around 25,100–25,200 indicates immediate support. A decisive breakout on either side may set the tone for the next directional move. Looking ahead, some consolidation or range-bound movement is likely as the market digests earnings and global developments. US–China trade tensions and semiconductor supply chain concerns may weigh on sentiment if risks intensify. Given the current setup, traders are advised to adopt a cautious, stock-specific approach. While the broader bias remains positive, protecting profits and avoiding aggressive long positions until a clear breakout is confirmed would be prudent.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
S&P 500 (US500) Multi-Timeframe StrategyS&P 500 (US500) Technical Analysis | October 11, 2025 UTC+4 Multi-Timeframe Strategy Closing Price: 6,508.2 | Market Context: Trading at all-time highs with institutional accumulation evident Market Structure Analysis The S&P 500 demonstrates robust bullish momentum, having broken through the critical 6,500 psychological barrier. Daily chart reveals a mature impulse wave in Elliott Wave terminology (Wave 5 extension), supported by expanding volume profiles. Wyckoff analysis indicates we're in a Phase E markup following successful re-accumulation between 5,800-6,200. The Ichimoku cloud on 4H timeframe shows price trading above all components (bullish alignment), with Tenkan-sen (9-period) at 6,485 providing dynamic support. Gann analysis using the Square of 9 identifies 6,528 as the next natural resistance level, with time-price squaring suggesting October 15-17 as a potential pivot zone. Technical Indicators Confluence RSI (14): Daily = 68 (approaching overbought but not extreme), 4H = 71 (caution zone). Bollinger Bands: Price riding the upper band on 4H (expansion phase), suggesting continuation with potential volatility. VWAP Analysis: Anchored from October 1st shows strong positioning above 6,465; volume profile indicates acceptance above 6,480 with 82% bullish volume dominance. Moving Averages: Golden cross intact (50 EMA > 200 EMA by 340 points), 21 EMA at 6,470 acting as immediate support. Harmonic pattern detection reveals a potential Butterfly completion near 6,550-6,580 zone (1.272-1.618 Fibonacci extension). Critical Levels & Pattern Recognition Support Structure: 6,485 (Tenkan-sen + 4H demand), 6,465 (VWAP anchor), 6,440 (daily pivot + Gann 45° angle), 6,400 (psychological + Wyckoff spring test). Resistance Zones: 6,528 (Gann Square of 9), 6,550-6,580 (Butterfly PRZ + 1.618 extension), 6,620 (weekly resistance). Pattern Alert: Watch for potential bull trap formation if price spikes above 6,580 on declining volume—this would signal exhaustion. Current candlestick structure shows consistent higher highs/higher lows with no reversal patterns (no shooting stars or bearish engulfing yet). Intraday Trading Strategy (5M-4H Charts) BUY ZONES: Primary entry: 6,485-6,495 (confluence of Ichimoku + VWAP support) | Stop Loss: 6,465 (risk 20-30 points) | Targets: T1: 6,520 (quick scalp, 25 points), T2: 6,545 (risk-reward 1:2), T3: 6,575 (swing extension). Secondary Entry: Aggressive long on breakout above 6,528 with volume confirmation (minimum 20% above 20-period average) | Stop: 6,510 | Target: 6,565-6,580. SELL/SHORT ZONES: Counter-trend short only if rejection at 6,580 with bearish divergence on RSI + shooting star formation | Entry: 6,575-6,585 | Stop: 6,595 | Target: 6,520, 6,485. Intraday Bias: 75% bullish until broken below 6,465. Swing Trading Strategy (Daily-Weekly) Position Building: Accumulate on pullbacks to 6,440-6,465 zone (25-35% position) with 4-6 day holding period | Full position stop: 6,390 (swing low violation). Profit Targets: Conservative: 6,580 (exit 50%), Aggressive: 6,650-6,720 (monthly target based on Elliott Wave projection and Gann time cycles suggesting completion by October 28-31). Risk Management: Trail stops below each daily higher low; current trail at 6,465. If price closes below 21 EMA on daily (6,470), reduce exposure by 60%. Wave Count: Currently in Wave 5 of (5) of larger degree—expect final parabolic move but prepare for 8-12% correction when complete (target retracement to 5,950-6,050 zone). Market Context & Catalyst Watch Geopolitical landscape shows stabilization in Middle East tensions, supporting risk-on sentiment. Fed policy remains neutral (hold position), but monitor October 17th retail sales data and October 23rd PMI releases—strong data could push us to 6,650; weak data triggers profit-taking. VIX at 13.2 (complacency zone) suggests low fear but increases gap-risk. Volume analysis critical: Declining volume on new highs would confirm distribution (Wyckoff Phase E to Phase A transition)—watch for volume 25% below 20-day average as warning signal. Institutional flow data shows continued net buying but decelerating pace. Execution Playbook Monday-Tuesday: Expect consolidation 6,485-6,520; ideal for range scalping. Wednesday-Thursday: Gann time window suggests volatility expansion; breakout likely. Friday: Monthly options expiry could create pinning effect near 6,500. Best trades: Long on dips to 6,485-6,495 with tight stops OR breakout long above 6,528 on volume. Avoid: Chasing above 6,550 without pullback; shorting below 6,580 without clear reversal confirmation. Risk no more than 0.5-1% account per intraday trade, 2% for swing positions. This market rewards patience at support and aggression at breakouts—trade the plan, not emotions.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by sunya
US30 (DOW30) At a Critical Juncture Amid Distribution Signs The US30 consolidates near its all-time high of 45,223.8, showing early signs of exhaustion. Our multi-faceted analysis suggests a pivotal moment is at hand, with a bearish bias for the short term. The key level to watch is the recent high at 45,250, which is acting as a formidable resistance. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 4H Charts) Bearish Scenario: A rejection from the 45,150 - 45,250 resistance zone, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (like a bearish engulfing) on the 1H chart, signals a short opportunity. Initial target is the 44,900 support (recent swing low), followed by 44,750. Use a tight stop above 45,300. The 1H RSI showing divergence and price action below the VWAP support this move. Bullish Scenario: A decisive 4H close above 45,250 invalidates the immediate bearish outlook and could trigger a momentum buy. The target would then be an uncharted rally towards 45,500. However, low volume on any breakout would signal a potential bull trap. Swing Trading Outlook (4H - Daily Charts) The larger picture reveals a market potentially in a Wyckoff distribution phase. The failure to sustain new highs, coupled with rising volume on downswings, points to smart money distributing shares. An Elliott Wave count suggests we may be in a final Wave 5 extension or have completed it, priming for a larger corrective (ABC) pullback. Swing Sell: A daily close below the key support at 44,500 would confirm a shift in medium-term momentum, opening targets down to 43,800 (50-day EMA and a significant psychological level). Swing Buy: A sustained hold above 45,250, supported by strong volume and a bullish RSI crossover on the daily chart, would delay the bearish count and target new highs. Key Technical Rationale: RSI Divergence: The daily RSI is forming a bearish divergence against the higher price highs, indicating weakening momentum. VWAP & Volume: Anchored VWAP from the last significant low shows price is extended. Recent up-moves appear on weaker volume, characteristic of a weak bullish trend. Gann & Ichimoku: Price is trading at the upper range of a Gann square, suggesting a potential reversal zone. The Ichimoku Cloud on the 4H is thin, offering little dynamic support below 44,800. Market Context: Geopolitical tensions and political uncertainty are injectting volatility, making risk assets like the DJI susceptible to sharp pullbacks. Traders should remain agile. Disclaimer: This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Always use stop-losses and manage your risk accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
NAS100 Decision Point at All-Time HighsNAS100 Decision Point at All-Time Highs Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100) 11th Oct 2025 UTC+4 Closing Price: 24,026.1 | Bias: Neutral, awaiting breakout confirmation. 1. Multi-Timeframe Market Structure Daily Chart Context: The index is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, trading near all-time highs. The recent consolidation suggests a pause within the broader bullish structure. Critical Resistance: 24,200 - 24,300. A confluence of the recent swing high and a psychological barrier. A decisive daily close above 24,300 is the key bullish trigger. Key Support Levels: Immediate: 23,900 (Recent swing low & 4H consolidation base). Primary: 23,650 - 23,750 (Previous resistance, now key support & 50 EMA area). Major: 23,400 (Would signal a deeper correction). 2. Chart Pattern & Wyckoff/Elliott Wave Context Pattern: The price action from the September low exhibits characteristics of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase, followed by a strong markup. The current pause could be a re-accumulation before the next leg up, or a distribution. Elliott Wave Count: The rally from the ~23,400 low is impulsive. We are likely in a Wave 4 (corrective) consolidation. A break above 24,200 would confirm the start of Wave 5 towards new highs. A break below 23,650 would invalidate this count. 3. Indicator Confluence & Momentum Ichimoku Cloud (Daily): Price is well above the Senkou Span (Cloud), confirming the strong bullish trend. The cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support. RSI (14): On the daily, RSI is neutral (~60), not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside. Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is hugging the upper band, indicating strength. A move to the middle band (~23,950) would be a healthy pullback. Moving Averages: The 50 EMA (23,850) and 200 EMA (23,500) are bullishly aligned, acting as dynamic support layers. Actionable Trading Plan Intraday Trading (Based on 1H/15M Charts) Bullish Breakout Setup: Trigger: Sustained price action above 24,150 with rising volume. Buy Entry: On a pullback to 24,100-24,130, or a break of 24,200. Stop Loss: Below 24,000. Targets: 24,300 (TP1), 24,450 (TP2). Bearish Rejection Setup: Trigger: Bearish reversal candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing) at 24,150-24,200. Sell Entry: On the confirmation of the rejection. Stop Loss: Above 24,250. Targets: 23,950 (TP1), 23,850 (TP2). Swing Trading (Based on 4H/Daily Charts) Long Swing Entry: Condition: Wait for a daily close above 24,300. Entry: On the next pullback towards 24,200 (new support). Stop Loss: Below 23,900. Target: 24,600 - 24,800. Short Swing Entry (Counter-Trend): Condition: A clear break and close below 23,900. Entry: On a retest of 23,900 as resistance. Stop Loss: Above 24,100. Target: 23,750, then 23,650. Risk & Trade Management Note The current setup is a high-probability bull trap if price fails at the 24,200 resistance. Conversely, a breakout opens significant upside. Do not chase price in the middle of the range. Patience for a confirmed trigger is key. Always use a stop-loss and manage position size accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
DXY Technical Analysis: Navigating Key Juncturre1. Big Picture & Market Context The DXY is consolidating near a critical technical juncture. Geopolitical tensions and shifting rate expectations continue to be the primary drivers, creating volatility perfect for both intraday scalps and strategic swing positions. 2. Multi-Timeframe Technical Snapshot Monthly/Weekly (Swing): Price is squeezed between the 50-week EMA (support ~98.20) and the 200-day SMA (resistance ~99.50). A decisive break either way will set the medium-term trend. Daily (Swing & Intraday Bias): The chart shows a potential bearish flag formation following the recent decline. RSI (14) is neutral at 48, offering no extreme bias. The Ichimoku Cloud is thick above price, representing a significant resistance zone. 3. Elliott Wave & Harmonic Perspective The pullback from the 100.50 high is being analyzed as either a Wave 4 (corrective) or the start of a larger bearish impulse. The key Harmonic zone for a potential bullish reversal (Bat pattern) lies between 98.30 - 98.50. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Strong Resistance: 99.50 (200-day SMA & prior swing high) Minor Resistance: 99.10 (Intraday) Immediate Pivot: 98.85 (Current Price) Strong Support: 98.50 (50-week EMA & 50% Fibonacci) Critical Support: 98.20 (Breakdown Level) 5. Gann & Wyckoff Analysis Gann Square of 9: Key levels align with 98.50 (support) and 99.20 (resistance). A close above 99.20 could trigger a run towards 99.80. Wyckoff Cycle: Price action suggests we are in a possible Re-Distribution phase. A failure to hold 98.50 would signal a new Markdown phase, targeting 97.80. 6. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M-1H Charts) Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: 98.55 - 98.65 (with bullish reversal candlestick confirmation) Stop Loss: 98.35 Take Profit 1: 98.95 Take Profit 2: 99.15 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: 99.05 - 99.10 (with bearish rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: 99.30 Take Profit 1: 98.70 Take Profit 2: 98.50 7. Swing Trading Strategy (4H-Daily Charts) Swing Long: Entry Zone: 98.30 - 98.45 (Accumulation Zone) Stop Loss: 97.90 (Daily Close) Target 1: 99.20 Target 2: 99.80 Swing Short: Entry Trigger: Daily close below 98.20 Stop Loss: 98.60 Target 1: 97.80 Target 2: 97.20 8. Indicator Cluster Consensus Bollinger Bands: Price is trading in the upper band, indicating neutral momentum. A squeeze is forming, signaling a volatility expansion is due. Anchored VWAP: (Anchored at last swing high) Price is below VWAP, indicating a Weak Bearish medium-term trend. Moving Averages: The 50 EMA is about to cross below the 200 SMA on the 4H chart—a potential "Death Cross" warning for the week ahead. Final Verdict: The DXY is at a make-or-break level. The bias is cautiously bearish below 99.10. The 98.50-98.20 zone is critical; a hold there could spark a relief rally, while a break opens the door for a significant swing down. Disclaimer: This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use stop-loss orders.
TVC:DXYLong
by sunya
LINK Stock Analysis CommentaryLINK Stock Analysis Commentary Daily technical indicators are positive. After a long period of sharp declines, the stock is moving sideways above the 328.25 support level. We believe that the possibility of a rebound (buying reaction) is high. If an upward movement occurs and the price breaks above the 385.25 resistance, it may have a chance to fill the price gap around 463.25. In case of a negative scenario where the stock breaks below its support, the 328.25 level should be closely monitored. Resistance Levels: 385.25 - (463.25) - 512.0 Support Levels: 328.25 - 281.50 - 253.25 We would appreciate it if you could boost (rocket) our posts and share them on your social media accounts as well. 🚀 Legal Disclaimer: The information, comments, and recommendations contained herein do not constitute investment advice. Investment advisory services are provided within the framework of an investment advisory agreement to be signed between investors and authorized institutions such as brokerage firms, portfolio management companies, and non-deposit banks. The opinions expressed on this page are solely personal views and may not be suitable for your financial situation or risk/return preferences. Therefore, no investment decisions should be made based solely on the information or commentary provided here.
BIST:LINKLong
by SinerjiPortfoy
DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal. Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in. If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63. But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport. Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
TVC:DXYLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1! Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart. Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out. Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks. Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Now_Trading
6
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy! 📈 Setup Summary Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash) 📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀 🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”: 💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage! 🔹 Sample Limit Layers: • 97.800 • 98.000 • 98.200 (💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!) 🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL): ⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone” 👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer! 💰 Target Zone (TP): 🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely 💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes! ⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅 🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning ✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure ✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈 ✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually ✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack 🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs) Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍 💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY 💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation 💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY 🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY 💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY 💡 Key Tip: When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭 ⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers 👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs): I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼 You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭 This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠 Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun #DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
EURNZD finding support at the daily 20SMASimilar to the previous 2 posts regarding GBP pairs, EURNZD is currently riding support at the daily 20SMA (overlayed on this 1H chart). The hourly RSI is also indicating this pair is oversold. RBNZ is expected to cut interest rate tomorrow by another 25 basis points which could be the catalyst to realizing this potential bullish move. Recent weakness in the NZD came after the latest interest rate cut, and if further dovish comments follow the interest rate decision tomorrow, this pair could retest the 2.03xx high hit in late September.
Long
by BorrowedClothes
How to Use The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in TradingViewMaster RSI using TradingView’s charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used momentum indicators in technical analysis. It helps traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions, spot divergences, and confirm the strength of trends. What You’ll Learn: Understanding RSI: a momentum oscillator plotted from 0 to 100 Key thresholds: how readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions and below 30 suggest oversold conditions Why RSI signals are not automatic buy/sell triggers, and how strong trends can keep RSI extended for long periods Spotting bullish and bearish price divergences Using RSI to confirm trends How to add RSI on TradingView via the Indicators menu Understanding the default inputs and how changing them affects the indicator Example on the E-mini S&P 500 futures: how RSI dipping below 30 and crossing back above can highlight momentum shifts Combining RSI with other analysis for better confirmation Practical applications across multiple timeframes, from intraday trading to swing setups This tutorial will benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate RSI into their trading strategies. The concepts covered may help you identify momentum shifts, potential reversal points, and confirmation of trend strength across different markets Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Optimus Futures
When will Microsoft (MSFT) close its monthly gap?NASDAQ:MSFT Microsoft (MSFT) saw a 7% gap up following its earnings report in May. To fill this gap, the stock would need to drop about 28.59% from its high, or 23.33% from the current level. Historically, gaps on the monthly chart have eventually been filled, so it’s reasonable to assume that this one might be as well in the long term. However, given that MSFT is one of the top three companies by market capitalization, a decline of more than 20% would likely trigger a broader correction across the Nasdaq index. Therefore, this potential gap fill should not be seen merely as an individual stock event, but rather as part of a broader market correction scenario. Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Now_Trading
US30 -Dow Jones Industrial Average Technical Analysis & ForecastCurrent Price: 46,785.30 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 46,785.30, showing consolidation near all-time highs. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bullish trend with caution signals emerging on shorter timeframes. Key resistance at 47,000-47,200 zone presents a critical decision point for continuation versus correction. Bottom Line: Bullish bias remains intact on daily/weekly charts, but intraday traders should watch for potential pullback to 46,500-46,300 support zone before next leg higher. MULTI-TIMEFRAME MARKET STRUCTURE Monthly/Weekly Context (Swing Trading) Trend: Strong bullish momentum maintained since October 2023 lows Elliott Wave Count: Potential Wave 5 of larger degree impulse, suggesting final push before correction Key Levels: Major support at 45,800-46,000 (previous breakout zone); resistance at 47,200-47,500 Daily Chart Analysis Structure: Higher highs and higher lows pattern intact Ichimoku Cloud: Price trading above bullish cloud; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish cross active Pattern Recognition: Ascending channel formation with upper boundary at 47,150 4-Hour Chart (Critical Timeframe) Candlestick Patterns: Recent doji and spinning tops indicating indecision RSI: Divergence warning - price making higher highs while RSI shows lower highs (bearish divergence) Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent push higher suggests weakening momentum 1-Hour/30-Minute (Intraday Focus) Microstructure: Double top formation developing at 46,850-46,900 zone Bollinger Bands: Price touching upper band with band width expanding VWAP: Trading 0.2% above daily VWAP (46,692) - moderately extended TECHNICAL INDICATOR DEEP DIVE Momentum Indicators RSI (14): Daily: 62 (neutral-bullish) 4H: 58 (declining from 72 two days ago) 1H: 54 (bearish divergence present) Interpretation: Momentum cooling after recent rally; not yet oversold Trend Indicators Moving Averages: 20 EMA: 46,580 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 46,200 (critical support) 200 EMA: 44,800 (long-term trend support) Golden Cross Status: Active and bullish (50 MA above 200 MA) Volatility Indicators Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price at upper band; squeeze releasing suggests increased volatility ahead ATR (14): 285 points (elevated) - expect 250-350 point daily ranges Volume Analysis Volume Weighted Average Price: 46,692 Volume Trend: Declining on up-moves (distribution warning) Anchored VWAP: From October 1st low at 46,450 - price 0.7% above anchor HARMONIC & PATTERN ANALYSIS Gann Analysis Square of 9: Next resistance at 47,088 (90° from current cycle low); support at 46,488 Gann Angles: 1x1 angle from September low projects support at 46,550 Time Cycles: October 8-10 represents potential reversal window (45-48 trading days from last pivot) Harmonic Patterns Potential Bat Pattern: Monitoring for completion at 46,950-47,000 (0.886 retracement level) Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension of recent corrective wave targets 47,150 Wyckoff Analysis Phase: Appears to be in Distribution Phase B (preliminary supply) Spring/Shakeout Watch: False breakout above 47,000 could trigger sell-off Elliott Wave Count Primary Count: Wave 5 of Intermediate (3), targeting 47,400-47,800 Alternate Count: Wave B corrective triangle forming; expect breakdown if 46,500 breaks SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FRAMEWORK Immediate Resistance Zones 46,850-46,900 - Intraday double top / psychological 47,000-47,050 - Major psychological / round number / Gann level 47,150-47,200 - Channel top / Fibonacci 1.618 / weekly pivot 47,500-47,600 - All-time high extension target Support Zones 46,650-46,700 - VWAP / hourly demand zone 46,500-46,550 - 20 EMA / Gann 1x1 angle / pivot 46,200-46,300 - 50 EMA / gap fill / strong demand 45,800-46,000 - Daily cloud / major breakout point TRAP SCENARIOS Bull Trap Alert Setup: Break above 47,000 with low volume followed by immediate reversal Confirmation: Close below 46,800 same day with volume spike Target: Retest 46,300-46,500 zone Bear Trap Potential Setup: Quick spike below 46,500 followed by rapid recovery Confirmation: Close above 46,650 with strong volume Target: Resume rally toward 47,200+ INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (October 4-11, 2025) Day Trading Strategy - Scalp Setups Bullish Scenario (60% Probability) Entry Criteria: Pullback to 46,650-46,700 with bullish engulfing or hammer on 15M chart RSI (15M) reaches 40-45 oversold region Volume contraction during pullback, expansion on reversal Trade Setup: Entry: 46,680-46,720 Stop Loss: 46,580 (100 points risk) Target 1: 46,850 (130 points, 1.3:1 R/R) - scale out 50% Target 2: 47,000 (280 points, 2.8:1 R/R) - scale out 30% Target 3: 47,150 (430 points, 4.3:1 R/R) - let 20% run Optimal Entry Times: 9:45-10:15 AM EST (post-opening volatility) 2:00-3:00 PM EST (afternoon momentum) Bearish Scenario (40% Probability) Entry Criteria: Rejection at 46,900-47,000 with bearish engulfing on 15M/30M RSI (15M) overbought above 70 Break below 46,780 (short-term support) Trade Setup: Entry: 46,760-46,800 (after break confirmation) Stop Loss: 46,920 (120-160 points risk) Target 1: 46,650 (110-150 points) - cover 50% Target 2: 46,500 (260-300 points) - cover 30% Target 3: 46,300 (460-500 points) - trail remainder Optimal Entry Times: 10:30-11:00 AM EST (if morning rally fails) 3:00-3:45 PM EST (late-day profit taking) SWING TRADING PLAN (1-4 Week Horizon) Primary Swing Setup - Bullish Continuation Entry Strategy: Ideal Entry Zone: 46,300-46,500 (if pullback materializes) Aggressive Entry: Current levels with 46,450 stop Pattern: Bull flag/ascending channel continuation Position Management: Entry: 46,400 (scale in 30% at 46,500, 40% at 46,400, 30% at 46,300 if available) Stop Loss: 46,100 (300 points, daily close below) Target 1: 47,200 (700-800 points) - reduce 40% Target 2: 47,800 (1,300-1,400 points) - reduce 30% Target 3: 48,500 (2,000+ points) - trail with 50 EMA Timeframe: 2-4 weeks Confidence Level: 65% Alternative Swing Setup - Mean Reversion Short Activation Criteria: Daily close below 46,500 with volume above 20-day average RSI daily breaks below 50 Break of ascending trendline from September Trade Setup: Entry: 46,450-46,500 (after confirmation) Stop Loss: 46,850 (350-400 points) Target 1: 46,000 (450-500 points) - cover 50% Target 2: 45,600 (850-900 points) - cover 30% Target 3: 45,200 (1,250-1,300 points) - trail remainder Timeframe: 1-3 weeks Confidence Level: 35% (lower probability setup) WEEKLY ROADMAP (October 4-11) Monday-Tuesday (Oct 6-7): Expected Range: 46,500-47,100 Bias: Neutral to bullish - watch for pullback completion Key Level: 46,700 (holding above maintains bullish structure) Wednesday-Thursday (Oct 8-9): Gann Time Window: Potential reversal period Strategy: Reduce position size; let patterns develop Watch: Economic data releases could spike volatility Friday (Oct 10): Weekly Close: Critical for swing positioning Bullish Confirmation: Close above 46,850 Bearish Warning: Close below 46,600 RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES Position Sizing Intraday: Risk 0.5-1% of capital per trade Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade Max Portfolio Heat: 4-5% across all positions Key Risk Levels Invalidation Point (Bulls): Daily close below 46,100 Invalidation Point (Bears): Daily close above 47,300 Correlation Monitoring Watch US10Y yields (inverse correlation currently strong) S&P 500 and Nasdaq leading/lagging analysis Dollar Index impact on risk appetite MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS Macroeconomic Considerations Federal Reserve policy stance remains influential Q3 earnings season beginning - watch corporate guidance Geopolitical tensions requiring monitoring (Middle East, US-China) Sentiment Indicators VIX below 15 suggests complacency - potential volatility spike risk Put/Call ratios showing neutral sentiment Institutional flows appear distributive near highs Seasonal Patterns October historically volatile (correction risk) Year-end rally potential if correction occurs early month FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS For Intraday Traders: Best Setup: Wait for pullback to 46,650-46,700 for low-risk long entries Avoid: Chasing above 46,900 without confirmation Focus Timeframes: 15-minute and 1-hour charts for entries; 5-minute for exits For Swing Traders: Patience Required: Current levels are extended; wait for 46,300-46,500 zone Alternative: Small position at current levels with very tight stops (46,650) Best Risk/Reward: Appears in the 46,300-46,400 region Overall Market Outlook: Bullish bias maintained with 60-65% probability of testing 47,200+ in coming 2-3 weeks. However, near-term consolidation or shallow pullback (5-7%) is healthy and would provide better entry opportunities. The combination of weakening momentum indicators and potential Gann time reversal window suggests patience will be rewarded. TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTES FOMO Warning: Resist urge to chase at current elevated levels Discipline: Stick to predefined entry zones even if price continues higher Flexibility: Be ready to flip bias if key levels break (46,100 bears / 47,300 bulls) Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Next Update: October 7, 2025 (Mid-week review with refined levels) Analysis combines multiple technical methodologies for comprehensive market perspective. No single indicator should be used in isolation. Confluence of signals increases probability of success.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) OutlookThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a major corrective structure after topping out in 2022. On the monthly chart, price action suggests we are in the final stages of a Wave II correction, with a potential bottom forming around key Fibonacci retracement levels. The correction appears to be forming a WXY/ABC structure, with wave c in progress. Price is currently within the 0.618 – 0.786 retracement zone of the prior impulse. The long term ascending channel from 2008 lows remains intact, with support aligning around this Fib cluster. A bullish reaction from this zone could trigger the beginning of Wave III, which historically is strong and impulsive. Invalidation: Sustained break below 87.00 would weaken the bullish count Targets: 1 = 132.91 2 = 141.88 If this count holds, DXY could be setting up for a multi-year bullish cycle, suggesting that the dollar may regain strength in the coming years, impacting major USD pairs across the board. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
TVC:DXYLong
by Timgucci