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Bitcoin Is Not Escaping Yet — This Is H2 Accumulation Hello everyone, On the H2 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate breakout, but the fact that Bitcoin remains locked inside a broad accumulation range, where price continues to rotate between clearly defined support and resistance. Structurally, BTC has spent an extended period compressing inside the 86,200–90,500 range. Multiple upside attempts toward the upper resistance zone have been rejected, while every pullback into the lower support zone has been absorbed. This repeated rotation confirms balance, not trend, and signals that liquidity is still being built. From a technical perspective, price is currently holding above the EMA34–EMA89 cluster, which has acted as dynamic support during the recent recovery. The latest dip was defended cleanly and followed by a push higher, forming a support-and-retest structure around the 88,200–88,400 area. This behavior shows that buyers are active, but not yet aggressive enough to force acceptance above resistance. Importantly, there is no structural breakout at this stage. Highs remain capped below the range top, and price action continues to print overlapping swings, typical of accumulation rather than continuation. The projected path on the chart reflects this well: a shallow pullback to retest support, followed by another attempt higher toward resistance. Resistance zone: ~90,400–90,600 — range high and breakout trigger. Mid-range support / retest: ~88,200–88,400 — current decision area. Major support: ~86,200–86,500 — accumulation floor. Invalidation: Acceptance back below the EMA cluster would weaken the constructive setup. Only a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the resistance zone would confirm that accumulation has completed and open the door for upside expansion. Until then, Bitcoin is not trending — it is absorbing liquidity and preparing, where patience and level discipline remain critical. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
1
Gold at a Tipping PointHello Traders, Gold is currently trading within a short-term recovery structure after forming a clear swing low and establishing a rising support trendline. Price has respected this ascending support well, producing higher lows and signaling that buyers are gradually regaining control following the prior impulsive sell-off. At the moment, price is pressing into a clearly defined resistance zone. This area previously acted as supply and now represents a critical decision point for the market. The recent bullish push into this zone suggests growing momentum, but continuation is not confirmed until acceptance above resistance is seen. If price breaks above this resistance and holds, the structure opens the door for upside continuation toward the next higher liquidity levels. In this scenario, the preferred execution is not chasing the initial breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken resistance as support. This confirms acceptance and provides a cleaner risk-to-reward framework. Alternatively, failure to hold above the resistance could result in a corrective rotation. A rejection here would likely send price back toward the rising support trendline. As long as this support remains intact, such a move would still be considered a healthy pullback within an emerging bullish structure rather than a reversal. The bullish outlook is invalidated if price decisively breaks below the ascending support and accepts beneath the recent swing low. That would signal a structural failure and shift the market back into a bearish or neutral regime. At this stage, Gold is at a decision zone rather than an execution zone. Patience is required. Let price confirm whether it accepts above resistance or rotates back toward support before committing to directional bias. Share your perspective below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
6
Ethereum at a Critical Inflection Zone, Breakout Acceptance or..Hello Traders, Ethereum on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined short-term bullish structure, supported by a rising curved trendline that reflects sustained higher lows and controlled upside momentum. Price has been respecting this dynamic support while gradually pushing higher, indicating that buyers remain in control in the short term. At the same time, price is now approaching a major horizontal resistance zone, which has previously acted as a supply area and is marked clearly on the chart. This zone represents a key decision point, where upside continuation requires strong acceptance rather than a simple liquidity sweep. If price manages to break above this resistance and hold above it with clean structure, continuation toward higher levels becomes a valid scenario. In this case, the preferred execution is not chasing the breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken level and holds above it. This confirms acceptance and offers a more favorable risk-to-reward profile. On the other hand, failure to hold above the resistance would likely trigger a corrective rotation. A rejection from this zone could lead price back toward the rising trendline and the nearby support levels. As long as these supports hold, such a move would still be classified as a healthy pullback within a broader bullish structure rather than a trend reversal. The bullish outlook becomes invalid if price decisively breaks below the rising structure and accepts beneath the marked support zone. That would signal a structural shift and open the door for deeper downside rotations. At this stage, Ethereum is not at an entry point but at a decision area. Patience and confirmation are critical here. Let the market reveal whether it chooses continuation or correction before committing capital. Share your view in the comments.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Ethereum Is Not Chasing — It’s Compressing Beneath Resistance Hello everyone, On the H2 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate breakout, but how Ethereum is steadily rebuilding structure while pressing into a major resistance zone. The market is transitioning from range rotation into controlled compression, a typical pre-expansion behavior. Structurally, ETH has respected the 2,880–2,920 support zone multiple times, producing higher reaction lows and preventing any downside follow-through. Each sell-off into this area has been absorbed, while rebounds have grown progressively stronger. This establishes a defended base rather than a distribution floor. From a technical standpoint, price is now holding above EMA34 and EMA89, with both averages beginning to slope upward. The recent pullbacks have been shallow and orderly, indicating that buyers are maintaining positions rather than exiting. This is not impulsive buying; it is acceptance at higher prices. Overhead, the 3,060–3,090 resistance zone remains the key obstacle. Previous approaches into this zone resulted in sharp rejections, which explains the current hesitation. However, the difference this time is structure: higher lows into resistance and tightening ranges suggest pressure building, not exhaustion. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: Continued consolidation just below resistance A brief pullback to retest dynamic support (EMA cluster) A renewed push higher, with a clean break and acceptance above resistance opening the door toward the next upside extension Only a decisive loss of the EMA cluster and acceptance back below 2,950 would weaken this constructive setup. Until then, ETH is not overextended. It is compressing beneath resistance, and the market is preparing for resolution rather than reversal. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
Ethereum Is Not Ready to Rally — This Is a DistributionHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not upside continuation, but the fact that Ethereum is stalling below a well-defined resistance zone after a completed impulsive move. The current price action suggests distribution and rebalancing, rather than the start of a new bullish leg. After the strong impulsive rally that pushed ETH sharply above 3,000, price was rejected from the upper resistance near 3,030, triggering a fast corrective sell-off. That initial drop was aggressive and directional, signaling that buyers who entered late were forced to exit. Since then, ETH has recovered partially but has failed to regain acceptance inside the resistance zone around 2,980–3,000. From a structural perspective, the market is now printing lower highs beneath resistance, with price compressing in the middle of the range. This behavior indicates that upside momentum has weakened and that buyers are no longer in control. The consolidation here is not constructive it is occurring below resistance, which favors another leg lower rather than a breakout. Technically, the current structure aligns with a bearish corrective sequence. The sideways-to-lower drift suggests that ETH is building a base for continuation down toward the 2,900–2,880 support zone, which has acted as a demand area previously. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: a shallow bounce, followed by renewed selling pressure into support. Resistance zone: 2,980–3,000 — repeated rejection, sellers active. Major resistance: ~3,030 — prior impulse high and supply. Support zone: 2,880–2,900 — next area where buyers may step in. Only a clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the 3,000–3,030 resistance would invalidate this pullback scenario and reopen bullish continuation. Until that happens, ETH remains in a post-impulse correction phase, where downside tests are more likely than upside expansion. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Is Not Collapsing — It’s Completing a Pullback at H1 DemandHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the sharp sell-off, but how gold is behaving after breaking below a descending trendline and reacting into a clearly defined support zone. The market has already delivered the impulsive leg down; what matters next is whether sellers can extend or whether price shifts into a corrective rebound. From the chart, gold completed a lower-high sequence beneath a descending resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure throughout the session. Each attempt to recover was capped by the trendline, keeping price compressed and vulnerable. That structure finally resolved with a strong impulsive breakdown, sending price directly into the 4,270–4,290 demand zone. This support area is critical. It aligns with prior reaction lows and has already triggered a sharp intraday response, indicating that sell-side momentum is slowing as liquidity is absorbed. The long downside candle into support followed by reduced follow-through suggests this move is exhaustive, not the start of a fresh acceleration lower. Structurally, price is now in a post-breakdown rebalancing phase. A brief consolidation or marginal sweep below support is possible to complete the downside sequence. However, as long as the market holds this demand area, a corrective rebound becomes the higher-probability scenario rather than immediate continuation lower. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: Short-term stabilization inside the 4,270–4,290 zone A corrective push back toward the descending trendline Potential extension higher toward the 4,390–4,400 resistance, which marks the next major supply level Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would reopen the door for deeper downside. Conversely, a decisive reclaim above the descending trendline would signal that bearish pressure has reset and that gold is ready to challenge higher resistance levels again. Until that confirmation appears, gold is not trending aggressively lower. It is working through a technical pullback after a completed bearish impulse, where patience and level awareness remain key. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
EURUSD Is Not Weak — It’s Reacting at Support After a Trendline Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not chasing direction, but understanding how EURUSD is behaving after breaking below a descending resistance line and reacting into a well-defined support zone. From the left side of the chart, price has been trading under a descending resistance trendline, repeatedly forming lower highs, which clearly capped upside attempts. Each rally into this trendline was sold, confirming that sellers were in control of short-term momentum. This structure remained intact until price finally lost altitude and accelerated lower. The critical move occurred when EURUSD broke down from the mid-range and pushed directly into the 1.1740–1.1750 support zone. This zone is not arbitrary — it aligns with multiple prior reaction lows and has already shown the ability to absorb selling pressure. The sharp sell-off into this area suggests a liquidity-driven move rather than a slow distribution. Structurally, the market is now at an inflection point. The down-move into support completed a short-term bearish leg, but follow-through has stalled, indicating that sellers are no longer as aggressive at these levels. This opens the door for a corrective rebound, not a trend reversal yet. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: A brief stabilization or marginal sweep below support is possible to finish the downside move. From there, a technical rebound toward the descending resistance line around 1.1765–1.1780 becomes the natural magnet. As long as price remains below the descending trendline, any upside should be treated as corrective, not the start of a new bullish trend. Only a clean reclaim and acceptance above the descending resistance would signal that bearish pressure has fully reset and that the market is ready to challenge the higher 1.1800 resistance zone again. Until then, EURUSD remains in a rebalance phase following a controlled breakdown, where patience and level-based execution matter most. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
by Gold_Dominator
ETH Compresses Between Supply and Demand On the 1H timeframe, Ethereum is trading inside a clearly defined range, capped by a strong resistance zone around 3,040–3,080 and supported by a demand zone near 2,880–2,920. Price is currently rotating around the mid-range near 2,970, showing hesitation rather than directional conviction. This positioning signals balance between buyers and sellers, not trend expansion. From a structure perspective, the market has failed multiple times to sustain acceptance above the resistance zone. Each push into supply has been followed by sharp rejections, indicating that sell-side liquidity remains active at higher levels. The recent rebound is corrective in nature and has not yet invalidated the broader ranging structure. On the downside, the support zone has held repeatedly, but reactions from this area are becoming increasingly overlapping and less impulsive. This behavior typically reflects absorption rather than aggressive accumulation. As long as price holds above this support, downside risk is contained, but the lack of strong follow-through limits bullish continuation. In the near-term outlook, ETH is likely to continue range oscillation unless a clear catalyst drives expansion. A rejection from the 2,980–3,000 area would favor a move back toward the lower boundary of the range, while a clean breakout and acceptance above 3,080 would be required to confirm a structural shift toward higher prices. From a macro context, crypto remains sensitive to broader risk conditions, including USD stability and liquidity expectations. Without a decisive risk-on impulse or volume expansion, moves into resistance should be treated with caution. In summary, Ethereum remains range-bound and compressed. Until price decisively breaks and holds outside the 2,880–3,080 range, the market favors patience, reaction-based trading, and respect for key zones rather than directional bias.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Liquidity Builds Before the Real MoveOn the 1H timeframe, Bitcoin remains locked inside a clearly defined sideways range, bounded by a support zone around 86,700–87,000 and a resistance zone near 90,300–90,600. Price is currently trading around 88,500, which places it firmly in the middle of the range — a location that typically favors indecision rather than directional conviction. From a market structure standpoint, Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to establish acceptance above the resistance zone. Each impulsive push into the 90K area has been met with swift rejection, signaling that sell-side liquidity remains active at the highs. These reactions confirm that the resistance is not yet weakened and continues to cap upside attempts. On the lower boundary, the support zone has been respected multiple times, producing consistent rebounds. However, these reactions have become increasingly corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests absorption and balance, not aggressive accumulation. As long as price holds above this zone, downside continuation remains limited, but the lack of strong follow-through keeps the market range-bound. The current price action shows compression and volatility contraction, a classic behavior ahead of expansion. Liquidity is being built on both sides of the range. A sustained break and acceptance above 90,600 would be required to confirm a bullish continuation scenario, while a clean loss of 86,700 support would expose lower liquidity pools and shift the bias decisively bearish. From a broader macro perspective, Bitcoin remains sensitive to overall risk sentiment and liquidity conditions. With no clear macro catalyst or volume expansion visible at this stage, the market continues to favor range rotation rather than trend development. In summary, Bitcoin is not trending it is consolidating. Until price decisively exits the 86,700–90,600 range, traders should prioritize reaction at key levels, patience, and disciplined risk management, rather than anticipating a breakout prematurely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Gold Pauses After the Breakdown — Correction Before the Next....On the 1H timeframe, Gold experienced a sharp impulsive sell-off after losing the prior key support near 4,445, confirming a clear break in short-term market structure. This move was decisive, with strong bearish candles and minimal overlap, indicating aggressive participation from sellers rather than a routine pullback. Following the sell-off, price transitioned into a bearish corrective phase, forming a descending channel. This structure reflects controlled retracement behavior: sellers remain dominant, while buyers are only able to produce shallow, overlapping rebounds. The inability to reclaim the broken 4,445 level reinforces this area as a new resistance, not support. Within the channel, price action shows lower highs and lower lows, signaling that downside pressure has not fully exhausted. The projected zigzag path highlights continued corrective swings inside the channel, suggesting that volatility compression is still in progress before a larger directional move emerges. The upside projection toward 4,445–4,460 represents a mean-reversion and liquidity-retest scenario, not trend confirmation. For any bullish continuation to be technically valid, Gold would need to break and hold above the descending channel, followed by acceptance above the prior breakdown level. Without that, upside moves remain corrective in nature. From a macro perspective, Gold remains sensitive to real yields and USD strength. The recent downside aligns with periods of firmer yields and reduced safe-haven urgency. Until macro conditions shift meaningfully, technical rallies are likely to face supply at prior structure levels. In summary, Gold is currently in a post-breakdown consolidation phase, correcting within a bearish channel. The market remains structurally vulnerable until key resistance is reclaimed. Traders should focus on reaction at the channel boundaries and the 4,445 level, as these zones will determine whether the next leg is continuation or deeper retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Ethereum Compresses Below Major Supply On the 1H timeframe, Ethereum is trading within a well-defined sideways range, capped by a strong resistance zone around 3,050–3,080 and supported by a demand area near 2,900–2,920. Price has repeatedly failed to establish acceptance above the upper boundary, confirming that this zone remains a dominant supply area rather than a breakout level. The sharp impulsive rally into resistance earlier in the session was followed by an immediate rejection, forming a classic stop-run and distribution reaction. This behavior indicates that liquidity above prior highs was absorbed by sellers, not followed by continuation. Since then, price has rotated back into the range, reinforcing the market’s balance condition rather than trend expansion. From a structural perspective, Ethereum is currently printing overlapping candles and shallow pullbacks, characteristic of range-bound price action. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are flattening and converging, which further supports the view that momentum is neutral and that the market is waiting for a catalyst to resolve the range. On the downside, the support zone around 2,900–2,920 has been respected multiple times. Each test has produced a reaction, suggesting the presence of responsive buyers. However, these bounces lack strong follow-through, highlighting that demand is defensive rather than aggressive at this stage. From a macro and sentiment standpoint, Ethereum remains highly correlated with broader crypto risk appetite and liquidity conditions. With no immediate macro shock or strong risk-on impulse, price action favors mean reversion within the range rather than a sustained directional move. In summary, Ethereum is in a clear consolidation phase between major supply and demand. A clean breakout above 3,080 with acceptance and volume would be required to shift the structure bullish. Until that occurs, rallies into resistance and dips into support should be viewed as range rotations, not trend signals.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
ejected Again — Sellers Still in ControlOANDA:EURUSD is trading in a bearish continuation structure on H1. Price has been rejected repeatedly from the descending resistance trendline and remains capped below the EMA cluster, confirming sustained selling pressure. The recent breakdown signals continuation rather than a temporary pullback. Momentum favors the downside as long as price stays below the former reaction area, with sellers defending rallies. Resistance: 1.1765 – 1.1780 Support: 1.1705 – 1.1710 Range focus: 1.1730 – 1.1780 ➡️ Primary: sell rallies below resistance → continuation toward 1.1710 → 1.1700 support. ⚠️ Risk: strong reclaim above 1.1780 weakens the bearish setup and forces reassessment.
Short
by RexTraderGOLD
Correction Completed — The Trend May Be ReloadingOANDA:XAUUSD has completed a sharp corrective leg after breaking down from the rising channel. The impulsive sell-off flushed price into the 4,265–4,280 demand zone, where buyers reacted and triggered a technical rebound. This move still fits a corrective structure (A–B–C) within a broader bullish context, not a full trend reversal. Price is now stabilizing above short-term support, suggesting the market is transitioning from liquidation into reaccumulation. Resistance: 4,380 – 4,410 Support: 4,265 – 4,300 Upside reference: 4,600 (next expansion target) ➡️ Primary: hold above 4,265 → higher low formation → recovery toward 4,410, then continuation toward 4,600. ⚠️ Risk: failure to hold 4,265 weakens the structure and delays upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
Still Ranging — The Breakout Isn’t Here YetCOINBASE:ETHUSD continues to trade in a range-reaccumulation structure on H2. Price is holding above the 2,880–2,920 support zone, while upside attempts remain capped below the 3,060–3,100 resistance area. This behavior reflects rotation and liquidity rebalancing rather than a decisive trend move. The EMA cluster is flattening, reinforcing the idea of consolidation. As long as support holds, the structure favors a gradual build-up for another upside attempt. Resistance: 3,060 – 3,100 Support: 2,880 – 2,920 Range focus: 2,900 – 3,100 ➡️ Primary: support holds → higher lows → rotation back toward 3,060–3,100 resistance. ⚠️ Risk: clean break below 2,880 opens a deeper pullback into the lower demand zone.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
Accumulation Continues — Expansion Needs a Breakout.BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is stuck in a clear accumulation range, with price rotating between the 86,000 support zone and the 90,200–90,800 resistance area. Repeated rejections near the top of the range show supply remains active, while buyers continue to defend dips, keeping structure balanced rather than trending. The EMA cluster is flattening, reinforcing range conditions and liquidity rotation. Directional expansion will require a clean break from this box. Key Levels Resistance: 90,200 – 90,800 Support: 86,000 – 86,500 Range focus: 86,000 – 90,800 ➡️ Primary: hold above 86k → range continuation → push back toward 89.5k–90.8k. ⚠️ Risk: loss of 86k → downside sweep into lower demand before reassessment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
Welcome 2026 — A New Year for Better TradesHappy New Year 2026, Traders. 2025 has been a year that truly tested every trader strong volatility, constant macro shifts, and markets that rewarded discipline while punishing emotional decisions. This year reminded us that profitability does not come from being right once, but from managing risk correctly over hundreds of trades. There were winning trades that built confidence, and losing trades that reinforced an essential truth: the market is always right, and our job is to adapt. As we step into 2026, I wish every trader a strong and stable mindset. Trade with a plan, respect your stop-loss without hesitation, and never let emotions override structure. May you stay calm during sudden spikes, remain disciplined during winning streaks, and trust your system during drawdowns. Consistent profits are the result of patience and execution not speed or prediction. May 2026 be a year of clean trading: fewer impulsive trades, less FOMO, more high-quality setups, and a steadily rising equity curve over time. Wishing you good health, mental clarity, and continuous growth as a trader. Happy New Year 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
Gold After the Flush — Stabilization, Not ReversalOn the 1H timeframe, Gold (XAU/USD) has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking the prior short-term structure and accelerating downside momentum. The decline was fast and vertical, suggesting liquidity-driven selling rather than a controlled trend transition. This type of move typically exhausts sellers in the short term but does not automatically signal a trend reversal. After the sell-off, price is now stabilizing above a clearly defined support zone around 4,300–4,320. The current candles show smaller bodies and overlapping ranges, indicating that bearish momentum has slowed. However, this behavior should be interpreted as temporary absorption, not confirmation of bullish control. Structurally, the market remains below the descending trendline that guided the sell-off. From a price action perspective, the rebound from support is corrective in nature. The market is forming a sequence of short-term higher lows, but these are developing inside a broader bearish leg, not as part of a confirmed trend change. Until price reclaims and holds above the prior breakdown area near 4,380–4,400, upside moves should be treated as pullbacks rather than trend continuation. In terms of market context, this type of reaction is typical after a high-volatility flush, especially ahead of low-liquidity periods and year-end positioning. With no immediate macro catalyst forcing aggressive dollar weakness, gold lacks the conditions for a clean upside expansion at this stage. As a result, price is likely to rotate between support and the first supply reaction zone before the next directional decision. In summary, gold is currently in a post-selloff consolidation phase. The support zone is holding for now, but the broader structure remains vulnerable. A sustained recovery would require acceptance back above key resistance levels, while failure to build continuation could expose price to another test of support or a deeper retracement. Patience and level-based execution remain critical in this environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
ETH — Relief Rally or Another Distribution Trap?On the 1H timeframe, Ethereum is staging a sharp rebound back into a well-defined resistance zone around 2,980–3,000, following a strong sell-off from above 3,030. While the bullish impulse candle appears aggressive at first glance, structurally this move is best interpreted as a counter-trend reaction rather than a confirmed trend reversal. Price is still trading below the prior breakdown area, where selling pressure previously accelerated. From a market structure perspective, ETH shows clear signs of distribution near the highs. The impulsive rejection from the 3,030 area was followed by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, indicating that sellers regained control after liquidity was taken above resistance. The current rebound lacks follow-through and occurs inside a known supply zone, increasing the probability of another rejection rather than sustained upside continuation. The support zone around 2,890–2,910 remains the key downside reference. This area has previously absorbed selling pressure, but it has now been tested multiple times. Each subsequent reaction has become less impulsive, suggesting weakening demand rather than strong accumulation. If price fails to hold above 2,950 and rolls over from resistance, a rotation back toward this support zone becomes the higher-probability scenario. From a broader macro and risk environment, crypto assets remain sensitive to U.S. dollar stability, Treasury yields, and overall risk sentiment. Without a clear risk-on catalyst or strong volume expansion, upside moves into resistance are vulnerable to selling, particularly during low-liquidity conditions where false breakouts are common. In summary, ETH is currently trapped between short-term resistance and fragile support. As long as price remains capped below 3,000, the structure favors range trading to bearish continuation, not trend expansion. A clean rejection from resistance would reinforce downside risk toward 2,900, while only a sustained acceptance above 3,030 would meaningfully shift the technical bias.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
thereum Is Not Trending — It’s Being NegotiatedCOINBASE:ETHUSD is currently trading inside a well-defined sideways range, with price repeatedly oscillating between a strong resistance zone near 3,050–3,080 and a support zone around 2,900–2,920. The chart clearly shows that neither buyers nor sellers have been able to establish sustained control, resulting in rotational price behavior rather than a directional trend. From a price action standpoint, the recent impulsive rally into the upper resistance zone was met with immediate and aggressive selling pressure. The sharp rejection from this area confirms that supply remains dominant at higher prices, and the market has not yet accepted value above this resistance. Importantly, the rejection was followed by a fast retracement back into the range, a classic sign of failed continuation rather than a healthy breakout. Structurally, COINBASE:ETHUSD continues to form overlapping highs and lows, which is characteristic of consolidation. There is no clear sequence of higher highs or lower lows on the 1H timeframe. Instead, price is rotating around the mid-range equilibrium near 2,940–2,960, where liquidity is actively exchanged. This reinforces the idea that the market is in a balance phase, not a trend phase. The moving averages (EMA 34 and EMA 89) further support this neutral bias. Both averages are flattening and converging, with price frequently crossing above and below them. This behavior typically reflects compression and indecision, not momentum. Until price can hold decisively above the EMAs with expansion, or break below them with follow-through, directional conviction remains weak. On the macro side, COINBASE:ETHUSD is currently lacking a strong catalyst. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is consolidating, U.S. yields are relatively stable, and there is no immediate Fed driven volatility pushing risk assets decisively in one direction. As a result, COINBASE:ETHUSD is trading more on technical liquidity levels than on macro narrative, which explains the repeated range-bound reactions. In summary, COINBASE:ETHUSD remains neutral and range-bound, capped by strong resistance overhead and supported by a well-defended demand zone below. The market is waiting for acceptance outside the range, not reacting to anticipation. Until a clean breakout or breakdown occurs with volume and follow-through, COINBASE:ETHUSD should be approached as a mean-reverting market, where patience and level-based execution matter more than directional bias.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold at a Crossroad: Correction Phase Still in ControlHello Traders, OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading in a critical transition zone following a sharp rejection from the all-time high (ATH) near 4,550. The sell-off from this level was impulsive and decisive, indicating strong profit-taking and distribution at premium prices. However, the subsequent price action shows stabilization rather than continuation, suggesting the market has entered a rebalancing phase after extreme volatility. From a market structure perspective, the breakdown below the former support zone around 4,430–4,450 marked a short-term structural shift. This zone now acts as a key resistance, where prior demand has turned into supply. Price is currently trading below this level, confirming that the market has not yet regained bullish control. At the same time, sellers have failed to extend price significantly lower after the initial breakdown, which limits immediate downside momentum. The rebound from the 4,300–4,320 support zone is technically significant. This area aligns with a higher-timeframe demand zone where buying interest has previously emerged. The reaction here shows that buyers are still active at discounted prices, but the recovery remains corrective in nature, characterized by overlapping candles and measured upside moves rather than impulsive expansion. Dynamic indicators support this neutral view. Price remains below the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, both of which are flattening after a prior bullish slope. This behavior typically reflects a loss of directional momentum and the development of a range. A sustained move above these moving averages would be required to shift momentum back to the upside, while rejection below them would reinforce resistance. From a macro standpoint, gold is currently influenced by mixed drivers. U.S. Treasury yields have stabilized after recent volatility, while the U.S. dollar is holding firm but not accelerating. This macro balance reduces the probability of an immediate directional breakout and instead supports range-bound price behavior, especially as markets approach year-end liquidity conditions. In conclusion, gold is not confirming a bullish continuation, nor signaling a bearish expansion at this stage. The market is trading between defined support at 4,300–4,320 and resistance at 4,430–4,450, with ATH supply overhead near 4,550. Until price either reclaims resistance with strong acceptance or breaks support with follow-through, gold remains in a neutral, level-driven environment, where discipline, confirmation, and risk management are more important than directional bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
EUR/USD Is Compressing — The Breakout Direction EUR/USD – 1H MARKET ANALYSIS Market Context EUR/USD is currently trading inside a clear range structure, bounded by a defined support zone below and a major resistance zone above. The market is transitioning from a corrective phase into a potential re-accumulation leg. 1. Price Structure Price recently reacted strongly from the support zone, confirming this area as active demand. The pullback held above EMA 89, while price is attempting to reclaim EMA 34, suggesting selling pressure is weakening. The overall structure remains higher low–based, meaning the bullish structure is still valid unless support fails. 2. Moving Average Context EMA 34 (short-term): Acting as dynamic resistance; a clean reclaim would signal momentum shift. EMA 89 (mid-term): Continues to act as dynamic support, confirming that the market is not bearish. Compression between price and EMAs indicates energy building for the next expansion. 3. Key Zones Support Zone: Strong buyer reaction area; loss of this zone would invalidate the bullish setup. Resistance Zone: Previous supply area where sellers previously stepped in; this is the main upside objective. 4. Scenarios & Outlook Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation (Preferred) Price holds above the support zone. Gradual push higher with higher lows. Upside targets: First: reclaim mid-range liquidity Final: test of the resistance zone Alternative Scenario – Range Extension Price consolidates between EMA 34 and support. Sideways movement before expansion. Invalidation Scenario Strong H1 close below the support zone. This would open the door for deeper downside and trend reassessment. 5. Trading Bias Bias: Mild bullish Strategy: Buy pullbacks near support, avoid chasing price mid-range Risk Note: Confirmation is required near resistance — do not anticipate breakouts blindly Summary EUR/USD is stabilizing after a pullback, showing signs of renewed demand. As long as price remains above the support zone, the market favors a push toward the resistance area. Discipline and patience remain key in this range-based environment.
Long
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin Isn’t BREAK — It’s Being Trapped Between Liquidity WallsHi Traders, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading inside a clearly defined consolidation range between $85,000 and $90,000, with price repeatedly rotating between a strong resistance zone overhead and a well-defended support zone below. The chart shows that every attempt to push higher into the upper boundary has been met with aggressive selling, while downside moves stall once price reaches the lower demand area. This behavior confirms that the market is range-bound rather than directional. From a price action perspective, the recent impulsive move into the $89,500–$90,000 resistance zone failed to gain acceptance. The sharp rejection that followed indicates the presence of strong supply and profit-taking at higher levels. Importantly, this was not followed by continuation selling, but instead by a drift back toward the middle of the range, a typical characteristic of balanced market conditions. Structurally, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is printing overlapping highs and lows on the 1H timeframe. There is no consistent sequence of higher highs or lower lows, which means neither buyers nor sellers have control. Price continues to rotate around the mid-range equilibrium near $87,500–$88,000, an area where liquidity is actively exchanged and where short-term traders dominate order flow. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are flat and tightly compressed, with price frequently crossing above and below them. This flattening of moving averages reflects momentum exhaustion and indecision, not trend strength. In trending markets, price typically respects one side of key EMAs; here, they act more as mean-reversion magnets. From a macro standpoint, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is lacking a strong directional catalyst. U.S. yields remain relatively stable, the USD is not making decisive moves, and there is no immediate Federal Reserve policy shift driving risk appetite. As a result, Bitcoin is responding primarily to technical liquidity zones rather than macro narrative, reinforcing the ongoing consolidation. In conclusion, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains neutral and range-controlled, capped by heavy resistance near $90,000 and supported by demand around $85,000–$86,000. Until the market achieves a clean breakout with acceptance and volume, price is likely to continue oscillating within this range. In this environment, patience and discipline matter more than prediction, and trading decisions should be based on reaction at key levels, not directional bias.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Happy New Year 2026 TRADERSAs we close the chapter on 2025, it’s worth acknowledging what this year truly tested — not just strategies, but discipline, patience, and emotional control. The market offered moments of clarity and long stretches of uncertainty, sharp trends followed by brutal consolidations, and powerful macro moves that rewarded preparation while punishing impulse. Every win came from respecting structure, and every loss carried a lesson for those willing to learn from it. To all traders who stayed committed to the process managing risk, protecting capital, and waiting for high-probability setups this year has strengthened you more than any single trade ever could. Progress in trading is built quietly, over time, through consistency and self-control. As we step into 2026, may your decisions be calm, your risk disciplined, and your confidence grounded in experience rather than emotion. May you trade with clarity, adapt quickly, and continue evolving with the market. Wishing every trader health, resilience, and a year ahead filled with focus, growth, and sustainable profitability. HAPPY NEW YEAR 2026
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Raphael_TraderGOLD