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Gold Is Compressing — The Real Move Comes After ThisGOLD – 1H | Key Points Structure: Price is moving inside a rising channel, maintaining higher highs & higher lows → bullish structure intact. Behavior: Current pullbacks are corrective, not distribution. Buyers keep defending the lower channel trendline. Key Levels: Support: ~4,460–4,480 (channel base) Resistance: ~4,550–4,570 → breakout opens 4,600+ Market Logic: This is bullish compression, volatility contracts before expansion. Bias: UP continuation after a shallow pullback. Invalidation: Clean break below channel support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Ethereum Trapped Between Supply and DemandETH/USD (4H) — Market Analysis Market Structure Ethereum is stuck in a broad sideways range after a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (~3,000–3,050). The sharp sell-off from the top confirms strong supply pressure at premium prices. Current price action shows range rotation, not trend continuation. Key Zones Strong Resistance: 3,000–3,050 → Previous rejection zone, heavy sell orders remain. Mid Resistance: ~2,960–2,980 → Short-term cap where price repeatedly fails. Support Zone: 2,880–2,910 → Buyers defended this area multiple times. Major Support: 2,760–2,800 → Last demand before structure turns bearish. Probable Scenarios Base Case (Higher Probability): Price continues sideways consolidation, bouncing between support and resistance to absorb liquidity. Bullish Scenario: A clean 4H close above 2,980–3,000 opens upside continuation toward the upper resistance zone again. Bearish Scenario: Loss of 2,880 support exposes ETH to a deeper drop toward 2,760–2,800. Momentum & Trend Context EMAs are flattening, confirming range conditions. No impulsive follow-through yet → market is waiting for a catalyst. Macro Context Risk assets remain sensitive to USD strength and bond yields. With no strong bullish macro trigger, ETH is more likely to range than trend aggressively in the near term. Bottom Line Ethereum is in balance mode. Until price clearly accepts above resistance or breaks support, expect choppy, two-sided price action rather than a sustained trend.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
The Breakout Is LoadingHELLO TRADERS ETH (Ethereum) – 4H | Key Points Market Structure: Clear range / accumulation between support and resistance. Resistance Zone: ~3,040 – 3,080 → supply still active, repeated rejections. Support Zone: ~2,780 – 2,820 → strong demand, buyers defending lows. Price Behavior: Sideways oscillation (high liquidity range), no breakout yet. Bias: Neutral → Slightly bullish while holding above support. Bullish Trigger: Clean 4H close above resistance → upside expansion. Bearish Risk: Breakdown below support → deeper retracement. Bottom line: ETH is consolidating. Patience > prediction — wait for a confirmed breakout from the range.
OANDA:ETHUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
2
ETH Is Trapped Between Liquidity WallsETHEREUM MARKET ANALYSIS (ETHUSD – H1) 1. Market Context Ethereum is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range after a previous corrective move. Price is oscillating between a well-defined support zone and a heavy resistance zone, showing classic liquidity accumulation behavior rather than trend continuation or breakdown. This type of structure often precedes a strong directional expansion, especially during low-liquidity holiday sessions. 2. Key Technical Zones Major Resistance Zone: 2,980 – 3,020 Key Support Zone: 2,880 – 2,920 Current Price Area: ~2,950–2,970 Dynamic Levels: EMA 34 & EMA 89 converging → compression Price has repeatedly failed to accept above resistance, but sellers are also unable to push below the support zone decisively. 3. Price Structure & Behavior Sideways structure with higher volatility swings inside the range Multiple liquidity sweeps on both sides No impulsive follow-through yet → confirms range environment EMAs flattening → market is waiting for a catalyst This is not a trend market at the moment — it is a pre-expansion phase. 4. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario (Bullish Expansion): Price holds above 2,900–2,920 Strong breakout & acceptance above 3,020 Upside expansion toward 3,080 → 3,120+ Alternative Scenario (Final Liquidity Sweep): One more dip into 2,880–2,900 Absorption of sell orders Sharp reversal → breakout higher afterward Invalidation: Clean breakdown and acceptance below 2,880 would shift bias to a deeper correction. 5. Trading Bias Market State: Accumulation / Compression Best Strategy: Trade the range edges or wait for confirmed breakout Risk Note: Holiday sessions = sudden spikes → reduce position size Conclusion Ethereum is coiling tightly between support and resistance. This is a decision zone, not a random range. Once liquidity is fully absorbed, the next move is likely to be fast and directional. Patience here is a position. Wait for confirmation the breakout will not be subtle.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
ETH Is Trapped at Resistance — The Next Move Is Likely Down ETHUSD (1H) — Public Market Commentary Ethereum is currently retesting a well-defined resistance zone around the 2,980–3,000 area. Price has failed multiple times to hold above this zone, signaling that sellers remain in control at higher levels. Key Observations Repeated rejection at resistance shows clear supply absorption failure. The latest impulsive move up lacked follow-through and was quickly sold. Market structure remains range-bound, not trending. Probable Scenario From a structural perspective, a pullback toward the support zone (≈ 2,880–2,900) is the higher-probability path. This move would serve to rebalance liquidity before any sustainable upside attempt. A clean breakdown into support would not be bearish continuation yet — it would be normal corrective behavior inside a range. Invalidation Only a strong H1 close above the resistance zone, followed by acceptance, would shift momentum bullish. Macro Context Risk sentiment remains fragile: Strong USD and elevated US yields continue to pressure crypto. Absence of fresh ETF inflows or bullish macro catalysts limits upside expansion. Until macro liquidity improves, ETH rallies are likely to be sold at premium zones. Conclusion: This is not a breakout market. Until resistance is clearly reclaimed, expect downside probing before any meaningful upside continuation.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
DOW THEORY – THE FOUNDATION OF TREND READINGDOW THEORY – THE FOUNDATION OF TREND READING 1. The Market Moves in Trends – Not Randomly - Price does not move randomly. What looks like chaos is actually structured movement driven by collective behavior. A trend exists when the market consistently creates: + Higher Highs & Higher Lows → Uptrend + Lower Highs & Lower Lows → Downtrend As long as this structure remains intact, the trend remains valid regardless of news, opinions, or emotions. 2. Every Trend Has Three Levels of Movement - Understanding timeframe hierarchy is critical. Markets move in three simultaneous layers: + Primary Trend – the dominant direction (weeks to months) + Secondary Move – corrective phases against the main trend + Minor Swings short-term noise Most traders lose money because they trade against the primary trend, reacting to minor swings and mistaking them for reversals. 3. The Three Phases of a Trend A trend does not start or end suddenly. It evolves through three psychological phases: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase Smart money quietly builds positions Price moves sideways, volatility is low Public interest is minimal 2️⃣ Participation Phase Trend becomes clear Breakouts occur Most trend-following profits are made here 3️⃣ Distribution Phase Late buyers enter emotionally Volatility increases Smart money exits Understanding these phases helps traders avoid buying tops and selling bottoms. 4. Structure Is the Only Valid Trend Confirmation A trend is not confirmed by indicators alone. A trend is confirmed when: + Price breaks structure in the trend direction + Pullbacks respect previous swing levels + Momentum continues after corrections If structure is not broken, there is no reversal only a correction. This is why predicting tops and bottoms is dangerous. 5. Volume Confirms Direction, Not Timing Volume does not tell you when to enter — it tells you whether the move is real. - Rising volume in the direction of the trend = confirmation - Weak volume during pullbacks = healthy correction - High volume against structure = warning sign Price leads. Volume confirms. 6. A Trend Continues Until Proven Otherwise This is the most ignored rule and the most important. A trend does NOT end because: - Price “already went too far” - Indicators are overbought/oversold - Social media says “top is in” A trend ends only when structure breaks and fails to recover. HOW TO APPLY THIS IN REAL TRADING Simple, repeatable framework: - Identify the dominant trend (HH/HL or LH/LL) - Wait for a correction not a reversal - Enter only after structure resumes in trend direction - Place stop-loss where structure becomes invalid - Hold until the market changes structure No prediction. No guessing. Just reading what price is already telling you. FINAL THOUGHT Most traders don’t lose because they lack indicators. They lose because they don’t understand trend behavior. When you stop predicting and start reading structure, the market becomes clear, calm, and repeatable.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Gold_Dominator
BTC Is Not Weak Liquidity Is Being CollectedBTCUSD – 1H | Market Structure: Clear range-bound market inside a high-liquidity box. No trend breakdown yet. Current Price Action: Sharp pullback from range high → price now reacting at range support (~86.8K). Key Zones: Support: 86.8K – 87.0K (buyers defending). Resistance: 90.5K (range high / liquidity target). Scenario: Hold above support → rebound back into range → retest 90K–90.5K. Lose 86.5K → range failure → deeper correction toward 85.2K. Macro Context: USD strength is not accelerating, risk assets remain bid → supports range continuation rather than breakdown. ➡️ Bias: Range trade. Favor longs near support, patience until liquidity is taken at the top.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gold_Dominator
XAUUSD: This Is a Breakout PreparationXAUUSD – 1H | Structure: Strong impulsive rally followed by bullish consolidation below previous high → classic continuation pattern. Key Zone: Former resistance ~4,350–4,380 flipped into strong support. Price keeps respecting this base. Momentum: Higher highs & higher lows intact → buyers still in control. No distribution signal yet. Next Objective: Clean continuation opens the path toward 4,700 (new ATH projection). Macro Drivers (Supporting the Move): Fed rate-cut expectations in 2025 keep real yields pressured. USD lacks strong upside momentum, reducing headwinds for gold. Ongoing geopolitical & fiscal uncertainty sustains safe-haven demand. ➡️ Bias: Bullish continuation. Pullbacks into support are buy-the-dip, not reversal signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Bitcoin Is Not Weak — It’s Reloading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) Structure Price is rotating inside a high-liquidity range Recent sell-off did not break structure → liquidity grab Buyers defended the range low / intraday support Key Zones Support: ~87,000 – 86,800 Range Mid: ~88,300 Resistance: ~90,500 – 90,800 Price Behavior Sharp drop = stop-hunt, not trend reversal Current bounce shows absorption + acceptance back into range Outlook Base case: Range continuation → push back to range high Bullish trigger: Acceptance above 88.5k Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 86.8k Bias Neutral → Bullish within range Strategy: Trade the range, not the breakout
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
A Christmas Setup: Is the Breakout Gift Coming?ETH/USD – 1H | Key Points: Market State: Range consolidation after a sharp pullback. Support Zone: ~2,900–2,920 → buyers defending repeatedly. Resistance Zone: ~3,030–3,060 → strong supply overhead. Structure: Higher lows forming from support → recovery attempt. Bias: Neutral → bullish only if price reclaims 3,000+. Context (Macro / Holiday): Low Christmas liquidity → slow, choppy price action. Real momentum likely comes after a clean breakout. Plan: Buy reactions at support. Confirm longs only on break & hold above resistance.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Christmas Range: BTC Is Waiting for the Real Move🎄 Christmas Market Update – BTC/USD (1H) Key Points : Market State: Range-bound / consolidation. Resistance: Upper zone holding strong → no breakout yet. Support: Lower zone still respected → buyers defending dips. Structure: Sideways with lower volatility typical for Christmas liquidity. Bias: Wait for a clean breakout. No FOMO inside the range. Macro / News Context: Christmas week = thin liquidity, reduced institutional activity. No major U.S. data → price driven mainly by technical levels, not fundamentals. Volatility likely after the holidays, not during. Execution Note: Trade the range only if experienced. Otherwise, stay patient and wait for post-Christmas expansion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin Is Quietly Absorbing — The Real Move Comes After ThisBTC/USD – 1H | Market State: Clear range-bound consolidation between strong support and resistance. Support Zone: Price is testing the lower liquidity band (~86,400–86,700) — selling pressure is slowing → signs of absorption. Resistance Zone: Major supply sits around 89,800–90,500 — the level that defines the next directional break. Structure: Current dip is corrective, not a breakdown. Momentum compression favors a range expansion soon. Scenario: Hold above support → bounce toward 88,500 → 90,000. Clean break above resistance → trend continuation. Lose support → range remains, not a crash. Bias: Neutral → bullish only after confirmation. Patience here pays.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin’s Christmas Range — Quiet Market, Loud Move AheadChristmas Range Play – BTC/USD (1H) Key Points (Short & Direct): Market State: Clear range / consolidation. Resistance: Upper range holding → sellers active. Support: Lower range still defended → no breakdown. Price Behavior: Sideways swings, liquidity grabs inside the box. Bias: Neutral → wait for clean breakout. Macro / Holiday Context: Christmas period = thin liquidity. Higher risk of fake moves and stop hunts. Real direction likely after holidays, not during. Trading Note: Range trading only (buy support / sell resistance). Avoid over-leverage and chasing impulsive candles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Christmas Calm Before the Breakout – ETH Is Still WaitingKey Points : Structure: Range / consolidation between support and resistance. Bias: Neutral → waiting for expansion. Support Zone: Holding so far, buyers still defending. Resistance Zone: Major cap; breakout needed to confirm upside. Liquidity: Thin Christmas liquidity → false moves possible. Macro Context: Holiday period = low volume, reduced institutional flow. No strong macro catalyst → price driven mainly by technical levels. Trading Note: Avoid overtrading during Christmas. Best opportunity comes after the holidays, not during.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
ETH Is Not Weak — This Is Smart Money Reloading Before the PUSHETH / USD – 1H 1. Market Structure (What Price Is Really Doing) ETH has returned precisely into the previous range support zone (~2,900–2,930). The sell-off did not break structure impulsively — instead, price formed compression + shallow lower wicks, signaling sell-side liquidity absorption. The recent down move is corrective, not a trend reversal: Lower highs are short-lived No strong bearish expansion Buyers step in immediately at range low ➡️ This is range re-accumulation, not distribution. 2. Key Levels Primary Support (High-Probability Demand): 2,900 – 2,930 Range High / Resistance: 3,050 – 3,080 Upside Liquidity Target: 3,100 – 3,150 As long as ETH holds above 2,900, bullish structure remains intact. 3. Price PatH Expected Flow: Minor dip or sweep below 2,920 (liquidity grab) Sharp reaction back into range Expansion toward range high Break above 3,080 → 3,100+ This is a classic “sell the fear, buy the base” setup inside a higher-timeframe range. 4. Macro & Crypto-Specific Tailwinds Macro Alignment USD momentum is weakening as markets price Fed easing in 2025. Risk assets remain supported → ETH benefits disproportionately vs BTC during rotations. Crypto-Specific ETH continues to gain from: ETF narrative speculation Reduced net issuance (post-merge supply dynamics) Capital rotation from BTC into ETH during consolidation phases ➡️ Macro does not support sustained downside here. 🧠 Final Takeaway ETH is not breaking down — it is reloading at the most logical level. Structure: Neutral → Bullish Location: Optimal (range low) Liquidity: Below price already taken Bias: Upside continuation toward 3,100+ Unless ETH accepts below 2,880, this remains a buy-the-dip environment, not a short-the-rally one.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
“ETH Is Testing the Floor Not Breaking ItETH/USD – 1H | Structure: Pullback is corrective, not a trend break. Price is reacting inside a major demand / support zone. Support: Strong base around 2,900–2,920 — buyers already defending this area. Trend Context: Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish; this is a re-accumulation leg. Scenario: Hold above support → rebound toward 3,020 → 3,080. Breakdown only if support fails decisively. Bias: Bullish while above support. This zone favors buyers, not panic sellers.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold Pauses, Not Reverses — Pullback Before the Next ExpansionXAUUSD – 1H KEY POINTS Technical Strong impulsive uptrend intact; current move is a healthy pullback. Price holding above prior breakout → bullish retest structure. As long as price stays above the support zone ~4,420–4,430, upside remains favored. Next upside targets sit around 4,525 → 4,570. Key Levels Support: 4,420 – 4,430 Resistance / Target: 4,500 → 4,525 → 4,570 Macro / News Impact USD softness & falling real yields continue to support gold. Ongoing geopolitical risk + rate-cut expectations keep demand strong. No risk-off shock → pullbacks are being bought, not sold. Bias Buy pullbacks above support. Trend invalidated only on a clean break below support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
1
EURUSD Pullback Is a TrapCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – EUR/USD (H1) Market Structure EURUSD is maintaining a clear bullish intraday structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature, forming a higher-low sequence above the key demand area, not a trend reversal. Price is currently retracing from the short-term high and rebalancing liquidity before the next directional move. Key Technical Levels Support Zone: 1.1760 – 1.1770 Immediate Resistance / Target: 1.1800 – 1.1805 Extended Level (Open / Expansion): 1.1818 – 1.1820 The highlighted support zone aligns with: Previous breakout base Prior demand reaction Structure support (HL confirmation) Price Behavior Insight Selling pressure is weak and overlapping, not impulsive Buyers defended the previous pullback aggressively Current move resembles a bullish flag / continuation pullback This is typical trend continuation behavior, not distribution. Probable Scenarios Primary Scenario (High Probability): Price holds above 1.1760–1.1770 Shallow pullback completes Continuation toward 1.1800 → 1.1820 Invalidation Scenario: Clean break and acceptance below 1.1760 Would signal a deeper correction toward lower demand Trading Bias Main Trend: UP Intraday Bias: Buy pullbacks, avoid chasing highs Strategy: Wait for confirmation at support before continuation entry Conclusion EURUSD is not reversing it is reloading. As long as the support zone holds, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
Long
by RexTraderSignal
ETH Is Testing DemandCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – ETH/USD (H1) Market Structure Ethereum is currently correcting within a broader bullish structure. After completing an impulsive move toward the upper resistance (Target 1 area), price has retraced back into a key demand / support zone around 2,91x – 2,93x, where buyers previously stepped in. This pullback is technical, not a trend reversal. Technical Breakdown Trend: Medium-term bullish, short-term corrective Structure: Higher high → corrective lower high → retest of demand Support Zone: 2,918 – 2,930 (must hold) Targets: Target 1: ~3,059 Target 2: ~3,162 Price is currently compressing near support, indicating potential absorption of selling pressure rather than aggressive distribution. Probable Scenarios Primary Scenario (Preferred): Support zone holds Short consolidation / base formation Continuation toward Target 1 → Target 2 Invalidation Scenario: Strong breakdown below 2,91x with momentum Would signal a deeper corrective phase before trend continuation 🔔 CRYPTO NEWS UPDATE ETF Flow Sentiment: Spot ETH ETF inflows remain stable, supporting medium-term bullish bias despite short-term volatility. Macro Context: Markets are currently pricing in rate-cut expectations, which generally favors risk assets like crypto. BTC Correlation: Bitcoin holding above key support is helping ETH maintain structural stability. 👉 No bearish fundamental catalyst is currently dominating — price movement remains technically driven. Conclusion Main Bias: Bullish continuation Current Phase: Pullback → Re-accumulation Strategy: Wait for confirmation at support; avoid chasing price
OANDA:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
“Gold Is Not Overextended — This Is Controlled Accumulation CURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS & TODAY’S TREND Gold (XAUUSD) – H1 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a dominant bullish trend on the H1 timeframe. Following the Wyckoff accumulation process (Phase B), price has shown clear absorption behavior, breaking above the previous equilibrium area. This confirms that smart money remains in control of the trend. Structure & Technical Perspective Price is developing a continuation impulsive structure, where corrective legs (2) and (4) remain purely technical and do not damage the bullish framework. The market stays above key moving averages, validating sustained upside momentum. The 4.46x – 4.47x zone is acting as a dynamic support area. As long as price holds above this region, bullish strength remains intact and continuation pressure builds. Today’s Scenario Primary bias: BUY with the trend. Focus on pullback entries, not chasing highs. If momentum persists, the market is positioned to extend toward the 4.57x zone and beyond. Only a clear breakdown below the lower support zone would require reassessing the bullish outlook. Market Conclusion Main Trend: UP Market State: Re-accumulation within a strong bullish cycle Strategy: Follow the trend, execute patiently, manage risk strictly Gold is not distributing — it is absorbing supply and preparing for the next leg higher. TODAY’S LIMITED STRATEGY — DEC 24 Intraday Bias: Re-accumulation 📌 SETUP 1: Timing Sell Zone (Counter-trend scalp) SELL ZONE: 4576 – 4579 TP: 4573 – 4568 SL: 4583 Short-term reaction trade only. Strict risk control required. 📌 SETUP 2: Timing Buy Zone (Trend-following) BUY ZONE: 4430 – 4433 TP: 4436 – 4441 SL: 4426 Preferred setup — aligns with the dominant bullish structure. Final Note: Stay disciplined. Trade in alignment with structure, respect risk management, and let the market confirm continuation rather than forcing entries.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderSignal
Ethereum Isn’t Breaking Down — It’s Absorbing SupplyETH/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) Market Structure ETH remains inside a well-defined range Current pullback = healthy retracement, not trend failure Structure still favors higher low formation Key Levels Support zone: 2,930 – 2,950 Range high / Resistance: 3,040 – 3,080 Major resistance above: ~3,180 – 3,200 Price Behavior Sellers failed to push price below support → absorption Buyers stepping in near range low = re-accumulation Volatility contracting → expansion likely next Outlook Base case: Bounce from support → retest range high Bullish continuation: Acceptance above 3,080 Bearish risk only if: Clean break below 2,930 Bias Neutral → Bullish Strategy: Buy support, sell resistance until breakout
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
EUR/USD Isn’t Chasing — It’s Preparing the BreakEUR/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) Technical Structure Strong impulsive push up, followed by a controlled pullback Price holding above former minor resistance → bullish flip Current consolidation = bullish continuation base, not distribution Key Levels Support: 1.1770 – 1.1780 Upside targets: T1: 1.1804 T2: 1.1819 Price Behavior No aggressive sell-off → sellers weak Pullbacks are shallow → buyers defending structure Momentum remains intact as long as price holds above support Macro Drivers USD softness: Markets pricing in a more cautious Fed path into year-end ECB stance: Still relatively firm vs. Fed → supports EUR Risk sentiment: Stable risk-on tone favors EUR over USD Bias Bullish continuation Strategy: Buy pullbacks above 1.1770, avoid chasing highs
Long
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Is Repricing, Not PumpingGOLD (XAUUSD) – KEY POINTS Technical Clean break & hold above previous high (~4,380) Old resistance → new support confirmed Structure shows higher highs, higher lows Pullbacks are continuation, not reversal Macro / Financial Drivers USD softening → supports gold Real yields compressing → bullish for XAUUSD Central bank buying absorbing dips Year-end defensive flows into safe havens Outlook Bias: Bullish continuation Strategy: Buy pullbacks, avoid FOMO
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator