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$DXY - The Yo'-Yo' Dollar TVC:DXY 'Ballads of TVC:DXY ' January/2026 - Introducing Donald Trump’s newest form of entertainment: The exclusive joy of the Yo-Yo Dollar, which he brings up and brings down. Those Yo'-Yo' trends that fluctuate across a chart screen while dictating the Lives of 7 Billions People habitating Earth. From their day-to-day hard-earned money, to their debt, their life savings, their emergency funds… their Survival— all depending on worthless debt-based fiat currencies, out of blissful ignorance, not understanding the fiat monetary system. A fraudulent system. A system masterfully designed to enslave, willingly or unwillingly, the lives of 7 billion people! The Matrix Toy. The Matrix Maze. A Haze of Daze!
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
$GBIRYY - U.K CPI (December/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 3.4% December/2025 +0.2% source: Office for National Statistics - U.K consumer price inflation rose to 3.4% in December 2025, up from November’s eight-month low of 3.2% and slightly above market expectations of 3.3%. This year-end acceleration, the first since July, could complicate the Bank of England’s efforts to guide inflation back toward its 2% target, though the rise is expected to be temporary thanks to government interventions. The increase was largely driven by higher prices for alcohol and tobacco, which jumped to 5.2% from 4.0% in November due to the timing of tobacco duty changes, and transport costs, which rose to 4.0% from 3.7% on the back of higher airfares. Additional upward pressure came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.5% vs. 4.2%). Services inflation, a key gauge of domestic price pressures for the BOE, edged up slightly to 4.5% from 4.4%, below expectations. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like unprocessed food and energy, remained steady at 3.2%, marking its lowest level since December 2024.
ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
MES - Descending Channel + Liquidity Sweep at 6,940 | Reversal? What's up traders! 👋 Interesting setup developing on MES1! right now. We've got a descending channel in play, but something caught my eye - a liquidity sweep just happened around 6,940. Let's break it down. What I'm Seeing MES1! is trading at 6,966 inside a descending channel on the 45-minute timeframe. Price has been making lower highs and lower lows - textbook bearish structure. BUT we just saw a liquidity sweep around 6,940 where sellers couldn't close their positions. This is where it gets interesting. When liquidity gets swept and price bounces, it often signals smart money stepping in. The question is: reversal into the FVG zone, or continuation down to the lows? The Liquidity Sweep Setup Price swept below 6,940 - grabbed liquidity from weak longs Sellers couldn't close at those prices - trapped shorts Bounce happening now - buyers potentially stepping in FVG zone at 6,965-6,985 is the first target if reversal confirms If FVG fails to hold, continuation to 6,925 and 6,912.25 lows Market Context The broader picture: S&P 500 fell 0.53% to 6,926.60 today - risk-off sentiment JPMorgan dropped 4% despite beating earnings (credit card cap fears) Financials dragging the market lower Core CPI came in cooler (0.2% vs 0.3%) - but market still selling Trump vs Powell drama continues - uncertainty elevated Forward curve still pricing 7,100+ by end of 2026 - long-term bullish Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 6,965-6,985 - FVG zone (first target if reversal) 7,002 - Day's high 7,036 - 52-WEEK HIGH / Major resistance Support: 6,940 - Liquidity sweep zone 6,925 - Horizontal support 6,912.25 - LOWEST LOW (channel bottom) Two Scenarios Bullish reversal: The liquidity sweep at 6,940 trapped shorts and smart money is stepping in. Price bounces into the FVG zone (6,965-6,985), reclaims it, and pushes toward 7,000+. This would be a classic sweep → reversal pattern. Bearish continuation: The descending channel continues to dominate. Price retests the FVG zone but gets rejected, then breaks below 6,940 and targets 6,925, eventually hitting 6,912.25 (the lowest low). High impact news or Fed drama could accelerate this. My Take I'm NEUTRAL here but watching closely for the reversal. The liquidity sweep at 6,940 is significant - that's where trapped sellers create buying pressure. If we can reclaim the FVG zone and hold above 6,965, the reversal thesis gains strength. However, the descending channel is still intact. Until we break above the upper trendline, the trend is technically bearish. Don't fight the trend unless you see clear reversal confirmation. Watch the FVG zone reaction. That's your tell. Drop your thoughts below - reversal or continuation? 👇
CME_MINI:MES1!
by officialjackofalltrades
ES - Ascending Channel Near ATH | FVG Retest in Play Hey TradingView community! 👋 S&P 500 futures are consolidating just below all-time highs. Let me break down what I'm seeing on the 45-minute chart. The Setup ES1! is trading at 7,001 inside an ascending channel, currently retesting the FVG zone around 6,970-6,990. Price keeps pushing up to resistance, pulling back to the FVG, then bouncing again. Classic consolidation near highs before the next move. We're literally 0.19% away from the record high. The question is: breakout or rejection? Why I'm Cautiously Bullish Ascending channel intact - higher highs, higher lows FVG zone holding as support - buyers defending this level Third highest close in HISTORY yesterday Up 19.39% over the past year - strong momentum CPI came in line with expectations - Fed cuts still on table Forward curve pricing 8,000+ by 2031 - long-term bullish The News Context Mixed signals but leaning bullish: S&P 500 hit record high 6,977.27 on Monday - just 0.19% away CPI in line with expectations - supports Fed rate cut narrative JPMorgan beat earnings but stock dropped 4% (credit card cap fears) Trump vs Powell drama continues - "that jerk will be gone soon" Financials dragging (Visa, Mastercard down 4%+) Gold hitting record highs - safe-haven demand elevated Up 22.80% since tariffs announced in April 2025 Key Levels I'm Watching Resistance: 7,036 - Day's high / immediate resistance 7,040 - Major resistance zone 7,050+ - BREAKOUT TERRITORY (new ATH) Support: 6,970-6,990 - FVG zone (current retest) 6,955 - Horizontal support 6,900 - Lower channel support 6,858 - 2026 low (major support) My Game Plan Bullish scenario (PRIMARY): If ES holds the FVG zone (6,970-6,990) and bounces, we push back to 7,036-7,040 resistance. A break above 7,040 with volume = new all-time highs. Target 7,050+, then 7,100. The ascending channel is intact and we're consolidating near highs - this is typically bullish. Bearish scenario: If we lose the FVG zone and break below 6,955, next stop is 6,900 lower channel support. Financial sector weakness (JPM, V, MA) could drag the index lower. Watch for Fed drama escalation. Range scenario: Price continues to oscillate between FVG support (6,970) and resistance (7,040). Trade the range until breakout. The Bottom Line I'm CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH. The ascending channel is intact, we're consolidating just below all-time highs, and the FVG zone is holding as support. This is textbook bullish structure - consolidate near highs, then break out. The risk is the financial sector weakness and Fed drama. But as long as we hold the FVG zone, the path of least resistance is higher. Watch for the breakout above 7,040. That's the trigger for new ATH. What do you think? New highs incoming? Let me know in the comments! 👇
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by officialjackofalltrades
DJI - Ascending Channel Rejection at 49,000 | Trump Policy Executive Summary Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) trading at 48,996.08 after a sharp 466-point drop (-0.94%) on January 7, 2026. Price rejected from the upper ascending channel resistance near 49,600 and is now consolidating within a key support zone between 48,500-49,000. Despite the pullback, the Dow just triggered a rare Dow Theory buy signal on January 6 when both the Dow Industrials and Dow Transports hit record highs simultaneously - the first such signal in over a year. Trump policy headlines creating volatility, but the secular bull market remains intact. BIAS: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH - Support Zone Test The trend remains bullish on higher timeframes. Current pullback is a healthy consolidation within the ascending channel. Watch the 48,500-49,000 support zone for bounce or breakdown. Current Market Data - January 8, 2026 Current Price: 48,996.08 (-466.00 / -0.94%) Day's Range: 48,951.99 - 49,621.43 52-Week Range: 36,611.78 - 49,621.43 Market Status: Closed (Last update Jan 7, 17:00 GMT-5) Index Type: CFD Performance Metrics: 1 Week: +1.29% 1 Month: +2.14% 3 Months: +5.09% 6 Months: +10.15% YTD: +1.85% 1 Year: +14.45% All timeframes positive. Best 4-day start to a year since 2018 (+1.9% through first 4 trading days). THE BIG STORY - Dow Theory Buy Signal + Trump Policy Chaos Historic Dow Theory Signal On January 6, 2026, the Dow Theory flashed a bullish signal for the first time in more than a year. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones Transportation Average tallied record closing highs on the same day - a classic confirmation that the secular bull market remains alive and well. Key points: Dow Industrials hit record high of 49,462.08 on Jan 6 Dow Transports hit first record since Nov 25, 2024 100-year-old indicator confirms bull market intact Rotation trade benefiting cyclicals and value stocks Transportation stocks big beneficiaries of rotation Trump Policy Headlines Creating Volatility We're only one week into 2026 and the market is already dealing with a flood of geopolitical headlines: Trump called for 50%+ increase in U.S. defense budget to $1.5 trillion by 2027 Executive order blocking defense contractors from dividends/buybacks until they speed up production Plans to ban Wall Street firms from buying single-family homes U.S. intervention in Venezuela - deal to import $2B of Venezuelan crude "Donroe Doctrine" drama targeting Greenland, Colombia, Cuba European defense stocks hitting record highs on spending expectations MACRO DRIVERS - What's Moving the Dow 1. Defense Sector Turmoil Trump's executive order sent defense stocks tumbling: Lockheed Martin (LMT): -4.8% Northrop Grumman: -5.5% General Dynamics: -3.6% RTX (Raytheon): -2.5% European defense stocks at record highs (BAE +5.8%, Leonardo +4.4%) Stocks bounced in afterhours trading 2. Financial Sector Weakness JPMorgan Chase (JPM): -2.3% after Wolfe Research downgrade Blackstone: -5.6% on housing ban news Invitation Homes: -6% on single-family home ban Banks expected to report higher Q4 profits next week Investment banking revenue accelerating 3. Labor Market Data Mixed JOLTS: Job openings fell to 14-month low in November ADP: Private payrolls +41,000 in December (weak) Initial jobless claims: 214,000 (better than expected) Friday's NFP report is the key data point Unemployment expected to drop to 4.5% from 4.6% 4. Fed Policy Outlook 83% odds Fed pauses at Jan 27-28 meeting Hot economy could mean fewer rate cuts Need unemployment near 5% for significant easing Few economists expect that in near term Rate cut expectations fading 5. Venezuela Oil Deal Trump deal to import up to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan crude U.S. "selectively rolling back sanctions" on Venezuelan oil Revenue to stabilize Venezuela economy Repay Exxon and ConocoPhillips for nationalized assets Oil prices fell sharply on supply expectations Brent: $59.96 | WTI: $55.99 Technical Structure Analysis - 45 Minute Timeframe Ascending Channel Pattern The chart shows a well-defined ascending channel (blue shaded area): Lower trendline support connecting higher lows Upper trendline resistance connecting higher highs Channel intact since mid-December Price rejected from upper channel resistance near 49,600 Currently testing mid-channel support zone Dashed midline providing dynamic support/resistance Key Price Action Jan 6: Hit record high 49,462.08 (Dow Theory confirmation) Jan 7: Rejected from 49,621.43 intraday high Sharp 466-point drop (-0.94%) Now consolidating at 48,996.08 Testing critical support zone Key Levels Resistance: 49,621.43 - 52-WEEK HIGH / Day's high (red line) 49,462.08 - Jan 6 record close 49,300-49,400 - Upper channel resistance zone (pink box) 50,000 - Psychological round number Support: 48,951.99 - Day's low / immediate support 48,500-49,000 - Current support zone (pink box on chart) 48,300 - Channel midline support (dashed line) 47,600 - Lower channel support (red line) 47,300 - Major support level SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH SCENARIO - Bounce from Support Zone Trigger Conditions: Price holds 48,500-49,000 support zone Bullish rejection candle on 45min/1H Volume confirmation on bounce Defense stocks stabilize Friday NFP comes in strong Price Targets if Bullish: Target 1: 49,300-49,400 (upper channel) Target 2: 49,621 (52-week high retest) Target 3: 50,000 (psychological) Extended: 50,500+ (new ATH territory) BEARISH SCENARIO - Channel Breakdown Trigger Conditions: Price breaks below 48,500 support Volume confirmation on breakdown Defense sector continues selling Weak NFP data Friday Fed hawkish signals Price Targets if Bearish: Target 1: 48,300 (channel midline) Target 2: 47,600 (lower channel support) Target 3: 47,300 (major support) Extended: 46,500 (deeper correction) NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Range Consolidation Most likely short-term outcome: Price consolidates between 48,500-49,300 Wait for Friday NFP for direction Digest Trump policy headlines Healthy consolidation before next leg Dow Theory signal provides floor MY ASSESSMENT - CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH Bullish Factors (Dominant): Dow Theory buy signal (first in over a year) Best 4-day start since 2018 All performance metrics positive Secular bull market intact since Oct 2022 Ascending channel structure holding Rotation into cyclicals/value continuing Strong Q3 GDP (4.3%) Banks expected to report strong Q4 M&A activity surging Bearish Factors (Caution): Sharp rejection from 52-week high Defense sector turmoil (Dow components) Trump policy uncertainty Fed rate cut expectations fading Friday NFP risk event Elevated valuations (98th percentile) My Stance: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH - Buy Support Zone The Dow Theory signal is significant - this 100-year-old indicator just confirmed the bull market is alive. The pullback from 49,621 to 48,996 is a healthy 1.3% correction within the ascending channel. The 48,500-49,000 support zone is the key level to watch. Strategy: Watch for bounce at 48,500-49,000 support zone Long on bullish rejection candle with volume Target 49,300-49,400 (upper channel) Extended target 49,621 (52-week high) Stop below 48,300 (channel midline) Wait for Friday NFP before large positions Trade Framework Scenario 1: Support Zone Bounce Entry Conditions: Price tests 48,500-48,800 zone Bullish rejection candle (hammer, engulfing) Volume spike on bounce RSI oversold on lower timeframes Trade Parameters: Entry: 48,500-48,800 at support Stop Loss: 48,200 below support zone Target 1: 49,300 (upper channel) Target 2: 49,621 (52-week high) Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5 Scenario 2: Breakout Above 52-Week High Entry Conditions: Price breaks above 49,621 with volume Momentum indicators confirming Strong NFP data Friday Trade Parameters: Entry: 49,650-49,700 on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: 49,200 below recent support Target 1: 50,000 (psychological) Target 2: 50,500 (new ATH territory) Risk-Reward: ~1:2 Scenario 3: Channel Breakdown Entry Conditions: Price breaks below 48,300 channel midline Volume confirmation Defense stocks continue selling Trade Parameters: Entry: 48,200-48,300 on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: 48,700 above breakdown level Target 1: 47,600 (lower channel) Target 2: 47,300 (major support) Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5 Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade Friday NFP is major risk event - reduce size before Trump headlines can move markets suddenly Defense stocks are Dow components - watch sector Scale out at targets Don't fight the trend - it's still bullish Key Events to Watch Thursday Jan 8: Initial jobless claims, trade deficit, Q3 productivity Friday Jan 9: December Non-Farm Payrolls (KEY EVENT) Next Week: Bank earnings begin (JPM, BAC, WFC, C) Jan 27-28: FOMC Meeting (83% odds of pause) Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below 47,600 (lower channel) Dow Transports break down significantly VIX spikes above 20 Major geopolitical escalation Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above 49,621 (new ATH) Strong NFP data Friday Defense stocks recover Fed signals more rate cuts Conclusion The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a critical juncture after rejecting from the 52-week high. The Dow Theory buy signal confirms the secular bull market is intact, but Trump policy headlines are creating short-term volatility. The Numbers: Current Price: 48,996.08 52-Week High: 49,621.43 YTD Performance: +1.85% 1-Year Performance: +14.45% Best 4-day start since 2018 Key Levels: 49,621 - 52-WEEK HIGH (bullish target) 49,300-49,400 - Upper channel resistance 48,996 - Current price 48,500-49,000 - Support zone (WATCH THIS) 47,600 - Lower channel support The Setup: Dow Theory just flashed a buy signal for the first time in over a year. The ascending channel is intact. The pullback is healthy. Watch the 48,500-49,000 support zone for the next move. Strategy: Buy support zone (48,500-49,000) Target 49,300-49,400 (upper channel) Extended target 49,621 (52-week high) Stop below 48,300 Wait for Friday NFP for confirmation The Dow Theory signal says the bull market is alive. Trade accordingly. List your thoughts below!
TVC:DJILong
by officialjackofalltrades
$USINTR - Fed Signals Single Cut in 2026 (December/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR 3.75% December/2025 (-0.25%/bps) source: Federal Reserve -The Federal Reserve lowered the funds rate by 25bps to 3.5%–3.75%, marking the lowest level since 2022, but signaled a tougher road ahead for further reductions. The policymakers left their projections unchanged from September, signaling only one 25bps cut in 2026. Three members of the commitee continued to vote against the cut, which hasn’t happened since September 2019.
ECONOMICS:USINTR
by Mr_J__fx
US 30 sell idea As we know, the swing structure on both the H4 and M15 timeframes is bearish. And we also know that we cannot take trades directly from the H4 timeframe, so to refine our entry we move down to the M15 timeframe and take our entry from there. Now, on the H4 timeframe, we observed that the H4 swing is bearish, and at the same time, the H4 has also swept a fractal zone, after which the market moved downward. Now, for the market to continue its trend, it will make a pullback. We will look for this pullback on the M15 timeframe because we will take our sell entry from the M15 timeframe. And on the M15 timeframe, when the price comes into our blue zone (46673.5 – 46860.8), we will take a sell trade.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by haideralikhanh947
US30 – Potential Buy Setup into Higher-Timeframe Demand 4HPrice has already printed a Break of Structure (BOS), confirming bullish order flow on the 4H timeframe. The current sell-off is corrective, not a trend reversal. As price retraces, it sweeps internal liquidity (SSS) and taps into a strong 4H demand zone – the same zone that caused the BOS. This area offers discounted pricing for a potential continuation of the bullish move. If lower-timeframe confirmations appear inside the demand zone, we can expect price to rotate upward and target the imbalance and highs left above. A value-driven buy: wait for confirmation, then aim for bullish continuation in line with the structural bias.
TRADENATION:US30Long
by Jabu_Souls07
$EUGDPQQ -Europe GDP (Q3/2025)ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ Q3/2025 +0.2% source: EUROSTAT - The Eurozone economy expanded by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, up from 0.1% in Q2 and slightly above market expectations of 0.1%, according to a flash estimate. France grew 0.5%, exceeding expectations of 0.2%, driven by a sharp rise in exports, while Spain remained the best performer among the bloc’s largest economies, expanding 0.6% as expected, supported by strong household consumption and fixed investment. Meanwhile, Germany stagnated due to a decline in exports, and Italy stalled, with the industrial sector contracting and services showing no growth. On an annual basis, Eurozone GDP rose 1.3%, above expectations of 1.2%. The better-than-expected figures ease pressure on the ECB to cut interest rates in the near term, supporting the view that the economy remains resilient despite geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty.
ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ
by Mr_J__fx
$JPINTR -Japan Interest Rates (October/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR October/2025 source: Bank of Japan - The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark short-term rate unchanged at 0.5% in October 2025, maintaining borrowing costs at their highest level since 2008 and extending a pause since the last hike in January. The decision, in line with market expectations, was approved by a 7-2 vote, with board members Naoki Tamura and Hajime Takata again proposing a rise to 0.75%, as they had in September. The central bank reaffirmed its commitment to continue raising borrowing costs if the economy follows its projections. The move came hours after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered its second rate cut of the year. In its quarterly outlook, the BoJ held core inflation for FY 2025 at 2.7%, expecting it to ease to 1.8% in FY 2026 before rising slightly to 2.0% in FY 2027. GDP growth for FY 2025 was revised up to 0.7% from 0.6%, supported by a trade deal with Washington and new leadership under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, while GDP projections for FY 2026 and 2027 remained at 0.7% and 1%, respectively.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR
by Mr_J__fx
$USINTR -Fed Delivers Rate Cut (October/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR October/2025 source: Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 bps to a target range of 3.75%–4.00% at its October 2025 meeting, in line with market expectations. The move followed a similar cut in September, bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022. Policymakers cited increasing downside risks to employment in recent months while inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated. The Fed said it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of its goals. In addition, the central bank decided to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1.
ECONOMICS:USINTR
by Mr_J__fx
$USCPCEPIMM -U.S Core Inflation (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM +0.2% September/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - Core consumer prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in September of 2025, slowing from the 0.3% in the August and July, and slightly under market expectations of a 0.3% increase. The data was released with weeks of delay as the ongoing US government shutdown suspended activity in the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Prices rose slower for shelter (0.2% vs 0.4% in August), transportation services (0.3% vs 1%), and new vehicles (0.2% vs 0.3%). In turn, the CPI rebounded for medical care services (0.3% vs -0.1%) and accelerate for apparel (0.7% vs 0.5%). From the pervious year, core consumer prices rose by 3% in September.
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM
by Mr_J__fx
$JPIRYY -Japan CPI (September/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY September/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - Japan’s annual inflation rate rose to 2.9% in September 2025 from August’s 10-month low of 2.7%. The increase was driven by the first rise in electricity prices in three months (3.2% vs -7.2%) and a rebound in gas costs (1.6% vs -2.7%), after the expiry of temporary government measures launched to offset summer heat. Price growth also persisted across most categories, including housing (1.0% vs 1.1%), clothing (2.5% vs 2.9%), transport (3.0% vs 3.0%), household items (1.0% vs 2.0%), healthcare (1.2% vs 1.3%), recreation (2.0% vs 2.3%), communications (6.7% vs 7.0%), and miscellaneous goods (0.7% vs 1.3%), while education costs fell further (-5.6% vs -5.6%). On the food side, prices increased 6.7% yoy, easing from a 7.2% rise in August and marking the softest gain in four months, largely due to the smallest rise in rice prices in a year (49.2%) amid Tokyo’s continued efforts to contain staple food costs. Core inflation came in at 2.9%, matching consensus and rising from the prior 2.7%.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
FRA40 (CAC 40 Index) – 4H Short Setup AnalysisPrice has pushed into a strong supply zone around 8,240–8,280, which has acted as a previous area of rejection. The market is currently showing exhaustion signs in that region, with consecutive wicks rejecting higher prices — suggesting potential bearish momentum buildup. Market Structure: The overall structure on the 4H timeframe remains bullish, but price is currently overextended after multiple impulsive legs. The most recent push into this supply zone shows signs of distribution, making it a high-probability area for a potential short-term correction before continuation. Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 8,240–8,280 (Supply Zone) Direction: Short / Sell Target Zones: 🥇 Take Profit One: 7,950 – minor support zone and previous consolidation area. 🥈 Take Profit Two: 7,850 – aligns with structural support from previous price accumulation. 🥉 Take Profit Three: 7,580 – major demand zone and potential swing low region. Invalidation (Stop Loss): Above 8,300 – a clean break and close above this level would invalidate the short bias, indicating bullish continuation. Confluence Factors: ✅ Strong supply zone rejection ✅ Multiple top wicks showing seller pressure ✅ Bearish divergence likely forming (if confirmed on RSI or MACD) ✅ Overextended bullish leg due for a retracement Trade Bias: 🔻 Bearish (Short-term correction expected) Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and risk management. A tight stop above the supply zone (around 8,300) keeps this setup favorable in terms of risk-to-reward. 💭 My Thoughts on Your Setup: This idea is well-structured and makes sense technically. You’re trading directly from a premium zone (the upper range of a swing), with clear targets based on structure — that’s a solid approach for 4H swing trading. Here’s what strengthens your setup: The supply zone is clean and tested only once — still fresh. You’ve placed realistic TP levels, gradually scaling out of the move. The R:R ratio looks favorable if your stop is just above 8,300. Potential improvement: Watch how price reacts around 8,200–8,240 — if momentum shifts heavily bullish with strong 4H closes above 8,280, it’s safer to wait for confirmation before entering short. Otherwise, this is a textbook short setup off supply.
FX:FRA40Short
by Kingdom-Trader
1
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate (August/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY August/2025 source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications -Japan's annual inflation rate eased to 2.7% in August 2025 from 3.1% in the previous month, marking the lowest reading since October 2024. Electricity prices fell much steeper (-7.0% vs -0.7% in July) due to government subsidies, and gas prices dropped (-2.7%) after being flat previously. Education costs also continued to drop (-5.6% vs -5.6%). Price growth slowed for household items (2.0% vs 2.5%), healthcare (1.3% vs 1.5%), and recreation (2.3% vs 2.6%). Inflation accelerated for housing (1.1% vs 1.0%), clothing (2.9% vs 2.8%), transport (3.0% vs 2.6%), communications (7.0% vs 6.4%), and miscellaneous goods (1.3% vs 1.2%). On the food side, prices rose 7.2%, easing from July’s five-month peak of 7.6%, driven by the smallest gain in rice prices in eight months at 69.7%, amid Tokyo’s efforts to curb staple food costs. Core inflation also stood at 2.7%, matching market consensus and reaching a nine-month low. Monthly, the CPI edged up 0.1%, holding steady for the third straight month.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook | Gold (XAU/USD) Correlation📈 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at Key Support | 🪙 Gold at Record Highs 🔎 Quick Summary: • DXY holding 97.70 support inside a descending channel. • A rebound could push it back toward 98.25 – 98.50. • Meanwhile, Gold is sitting near $3,600/oz, at all-time highs, fueled by safe-haven demand and central bank buying. • The DXY’s next move will help decide if Gold keeps climbing or pauses. ⸻ 💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook On the 4H chart, the Dollar Index remains inside a descending channel. It has been forming lower highs and lower lows, yet the 97.70 level has repeatedly held as strong support. • 🔹 Buyers are defending this zone, showing demand. • 🔹 A rebound could take price back to the 98.25 – 98.50 supply zone. • 🔹 A breakout above 98.50 would be significant, opening room toward 99.00+. This makes the 97.70 region a critical turning point for DXY. ⸻ 🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Context Gold is trading at record highs around $3,600/oz 🚀 — a level never seen before. • 🌍 Central banks continue to accumulate gold aggressively. • 🏦 Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. • ⚖️ Persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand. Correlation with DXY: • 📉 If the Dollar rebounds, Gold could slow down or consolidate after its massive rally. • 📈 If the Dollar breaks below support, Gold could see further upside, possibly testing higher targets near $3,700/oz and beyond. ⸻ 📊 Conclusion The Dollar Index is sitting at make-or-break support. A bounce would show Dollar strength and may cool off Gold’s rally. But if DXY weakens further, Gold could extend its surge into new record territory. At this point, Gold remains the undisputed leader in the market, with DXY’s next move likely deciding how fast momentum continues. ⸻ ⚡ Summary in one line: 💵 DXY at critical support — 🪙 Gold shining at record highs, waiting for the Dollar’s next move.
TVC:DXYLong
by KhaleelSuliman
NAS100 - Trade Setup📊 NAS100USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook 🔎 Monthly (1M) Price moving inside a bullish wedge structure, with resistance tested near 25,200. Support trendline holding firm, confirming strong macro bullish pressure. Larger structure suggests Wave (5) still has room to expand toward 26,000+ if demand zones continue to hold. 🕰 Weekly (1W) Elliott count clear: (1) → (2) → (3) extended, now correcting into (4). Demand/FVG zones around 20,400 – 21,000 remain the critical swing support. Next wave (5) projection aims at 25,000 – 26,000. ⏱ Daily (1D) Structure consolidating within daily support, reacting from demand. Breakout above 23,900 – 24,000 reactivates bullish impulse. Invalidation lies below 22,950, where daily demand would fail. ⏳ 4H Clear corrective retracement into daily demand (23,200 zone). Long setup forming: Entry: 23,222 Stop: 22,942 Target: 23,989 R:R ≈ 2.75 Short-term price action likely resolves higher into Wave (5) unless invalidation breaks. 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bullish continuation into Wave (5) Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,300 (daily demand) Targets: 23,989 (short-term), 25,200 – 26,000 (swing) Invalidation: Daily close below 22,950
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Jibzy_Trades
2