US 30 sell idea As we know, the swing structure on both the H4 and M15 timeframes is bearish. And we also know that we cannot take trades directly from the H4 timeframe, so to refine our entry we move down to the M15 timeframe and take our entry from there.
Now, on the H4 timeframe, we observed that the H4 swing is bearish, and at the same time, the H4 has also swept a fractal zone, after which the market moved downward. Now, for the market to continue its trend, it will make a pullback. We will look for this pullback on the M15 timeframe because we will take our sell entry from the M15 timeframe.
And on the M15 timeframe, when the price comes into our blue zone (46673.5 – 46860.8), we will take a sell trade.
Indicies
GER40 SELL IDEAIn GER40 analysis we can see that our daily , h4 and m15 timeframes are bearish.. now we're just analysing m15 time frame and in m15 time frame we can see m15 structure is clearly bearish so now it will do pullback .as i marked 2 blue zones which are m15 demand zone for sell... by my perspective from the downside first blue zone(23220.5 - 23123.0),from this zone the market will give us sell entry and till we'll patiently wait ....let's see... :)
US30 – Potential Buy Setup into Higher-Timeframe Demand 4HPrice has already printed a Break of Structure (BOS), confirming bullish order flow on the 4H timeframe. The current sell-off is corrective, not a trend reversal. As price retraces, it sweeps internal liquidity (SSS) and taps into a strong 4H demand zone – the same zone that caused the BOS.
This area offers discounted pricing for a potential continuation of the bullish move. If lower-timeframe confirmations appear inside the demand zone, we can expect price to rotate upward and target the imbalance and highs left above.
A value-driven buy: wait for confirmation, then aim for bullish continuation in line with the structural bias.
$GBINTR - Britain Interest Rates (November/2025) ECONOMICS:GBINTR 4%
November/2025
source: Bank of England
- The Bank of England voted by a majority of 5–4 to keep the Bank Rate steady at 4%,
in line with expectations.
However, four policymakers voted to reduce borrowing costs by 25bps.
The central bank said inflation has likely peaked and risks of persistent price pressures have diminished. It added that, if disinflation continues, the Bank Rate will probably decline gradually.
$EUGDPQQ -Europe GDP (Q3/2025)ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ
Q3/2025 +0.2%
source: EUROSTAT
- The Eurozone economy expanded by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025,
up from 0.1% in Q2 and slightly above market expectations of 0.1%, according to a flash estimate.
France grew 0.5%, exceeding expectations of 0.2%, driven by a sharp rise in exports, while Spain remained the best performer among the bloc’s largest economies, expanding 0.6% as expected, supported by strong household consumption and fixed investment.
Meanwhile, Germany stagnated due to a decline in exports, and Italy stalled, with the industrial sector contracting and services showing no growth.
On an annual basis, Eurozone GDP rose 1.3%, above expectations of 1.2%.
The better-than-expected figures ease pressure on the ECB to cut interest rates in the near term, supporting the view that the economy remains resilient despite geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty.
$EUINTR -ECB Holds Rate at 2.15% (October/2025)ECONOMICS:EUINTR 2.15%
October/2025
source: European Central Bank
- The ECB kept interest rates unchanged for the 3rd meeting,
reflecting confidence in the eurozone’s economic resilience and continued easing of inflationary pressures.
In her remarks after the meeting, ECB President Lagarde emphasized that the ECB is “in a good place” and remains committed to taking all necessary actions to preserve that stability.
$JPINTR -Japan Interest Rates (October/2025)ECONOMICS:JPINTR
October/2025
source: Bank of Japan
- The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark short-term rate unchanged at 0.5% in October 2025, maintaining borrowing costs at their highest level since 2008 and extending a pause since the last hike in January.
The decision, in line with market expectations, was approved by a 7-2 vote, with board members Naoki Tamura and Hajime Takata again proposing a rise to 0.75%, as they had in September.
The central bank reaffirmed its commitment to continue raising borrowing costs if the economy follows its projections.
The move came hours after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered its second rate cut of the year.
In its quarterly outlook, the BoJ held core inflation for FY 2025 at 2.7%, expecting it to ease to 1.8% in FY 2026 before rising slightly to 2.0% in FY 2027.
GDP growth for FY 2025 was revised up to 0.7% from 0.6%, supported by a trade deal with Washington and new leadership under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, while GDP projections for FY 2026 and 2027 remained at 0.7% and 1%, respectively.
$USINTR -Fed Delivers Rate Cut (October/2025)ECONOMICS:USINTR
October/2025
source: Federal Reserve
- The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 bps to a target range of 3.75%–4.00% at its October 2025 meeting, in line with market expectations.
The move followed a similar cut in September,
bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022.
Policymakers cited increasing downside risks to employment in recent months while inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated.
The Fed said it will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of its goals.
In addition, the central bank decided to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1.
$USCPCEPIMM -U.S Core Inflation (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM +0.2%
September/2025
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Core consumer prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in September of 2025, slowing from the 0.3% in the August and July, and slightly under market expectations of a 0.3% increase.
The data was released with weeks of delay as the ongoing US government shutdown suspended activity in the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Prices rose slower for shelter (0.2% vs 0.4% in August), transportation services (0.3% vs 1%), and new vehicles (0.2% vs 0.3%).
In turn, the CPI rebounded for medical care services (0.3% vs -0.1%) and accelerate for apparel (0.7% vs 0.5%).
From the pervious year, core consumer prices rose by 3% in September.
$USIRYY -U.S Inflation Rate (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 3%
September/2025
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The US annual inflation rate rose to 3.0% in September from 2.9% in August, slightly below market expectations of 3.1%.
It was the highest rate since January, mainly due to a jump in energy prices. Meanwhile, core inflation eased to 3.0% from 3.1%, while monthly headline and core CPI increased 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.
$JPIRYY -Japan CPI (September/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
September/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- Japan’s annual inflation rate rose to 2.9% in September 2025 from August’s 10-month low of 2.7%.
The increase was driven by the first rise in electricity prices in three months (3.2% vs -7.2%) and a rebound in gas costs (1.6% vs -2.7%), after the expiry of temporary government measures launched to offset summer heat.
Price growth also persisted across most categories, including housing (1.0% vs 1.1%), clothing (2.5% vs 2.9%), transport (3.0% vs 3.0%), household items (1.0% vs 2.0%), healthcare (1.2% vs 1.3%), recreation (2.0% vs 2.3%), communications (6.7% vs 7.0%), and miscellaneous goods (0.7% vs 1.3%), while education costs fell further (-5.6% vs -5.6%).
On the food side, prices increased 6.7% yoy, easing from a 7.2% rise in August and marking the softest gain in four months, largely due to the smallest rise in rice prices in a year (49.2%) amid Tokyo’s continued efforts to contain staple food costs.
Core inflation came in at 2.9%, matching consensus and rising from the prior 2.7%.
FRA40 (CAC 40 Index) – 4H Short Setup AnalysisPrice has pushed into a strong supply zone around 8,240–8,280, which has acted as a previous area of rejection. The market is currently showing exhaustion signs in that region, with consecutive wicks rejecting higher prices — suggesting potential bearish momentum buildup.
Market Structure:
The overall structure on the 4H timeframe remains bullish, but price is currently overextended after multiple impulsive legs. The most recent push into this supply zone shows signs of distribution, making it a high-probability area for a potential short-term correction before continuation.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 8,240–8,280 (Supply Zone)
Direction: Short / Sell
Target Zones:
🥇 Take Profit One: 7,950 – minor support zone and previous consolidation area.
🥈 Take Profit Two: 7,850 – aligns with structural support from previous price accumulation.
🥉 Take Profit Three: 7,580 – major demand zone and potential swing low region.
Invalidation (Stop Loss): Above 8,300 – a clean break and close above this level would invalidate the short bias, indicating bullish continuation.
Confluence Factors:
✅ Strong supply zone rejection
✅ Multiple top wicks showing seller pressure
✅ Bearish divergence likely forming (if confirmed on RSI or MACD)
✅ Overextended bullish leg due for a retracement
Trade Bias:
🔻 Bearish (Short-term correction expected)
Risk Management:
Always use proper position sizing and risk management. A tight stop above the supply zone (around 8,300) keeps this setup favorable in terms of risk-to-reward.
💭 My Thoughts on Your Setup:
This idea is well-structured and makes sense technically. You’re trading directly from a premium zone (the upper range of a swing), with clear targets based on structure — that’s a solid approach for 4H swing trading.
Here’s what strengthens your setup:
The supply zone is clean and tested only once — still fresh.
You’ve placed realistic TP levels, gradually scaling out of the move.
The R:R ratio looks favorable if your stop is just above 8,300.
Potential improvement:
Watch how price reacts around 8,200–8,240 — if momentum shifts heavily bullish with strong 4H closes above 8,280, it’s safer to wait for confirmation before entering short. Otherwise, this is a textbook short setup off supply.
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate (August/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
August/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
-Japan's annual inflation rate eased to 2.7% in August 2025 from 3.1% in the previous month,
marking the lowest reading since October 2024.
Electricity prices fell much steeper (-7.0% vs -0.7% in July) due to government subsidies, and gas prices dropped (-2.7%) after being flat previously.
Education costs also continued to drop (-5.6% vs -5.6%). Price growth slowed for household items (2.0% vs 2.5%), healthcare (1.3% vs 1.5%), and recreation (2.3% vs 2.6%).
Inflation accelerated for housing (1.1% vs 1.0%), clothing (2.9% vs 2.8%), transport (3.0% vs 2.6%), communications (7.0% vs 6.4%), and miscellaneous goods (1.3% vs 1.2%).
On the food side, prices rose 7.2%, easing from July’s five-month peak of 7.6%, driven by the smallest gain in rice prices in eight months at 69.7%, amid Tokyo’s efforts to curb staple food costs. Core inflation also stood at 2.7%, matching market consensus and reaching a nine-month low.
Monthly, the CPI edged up 0.1%, holding steady for the third straight month.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook | Gold (XAU/USD) Correlation📈 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at Key Support | 🪙 Gold at Record Highs
🔎 Quick Summary:
• DXY holding 97.70 support inside a descending channel.
• A rebound could push it back toward 98.25 – 98.50.
• Meanwhile, Gold is sitting near $3,600/oz, at all-time highs, fueled by safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
• The DXY’s next move will help decide if Gold keeps climbing or pauses.
⸻
💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook
On the 4H chart, the Dollar Index remains inside a descending channel. It has been forming lower highs and lower lows, yet the 97.70 level has repeatedly held as strong support.
• 🔹 Buyers are defending this zone, showing demand.
• 🔹 A rebound could take price back to the 98.25 – 98.50 supply zone.
• 🔹 A breakout above 98.50 would be significant, opening room toward 99.00+.
This makes the 97.70 region a critical turning point for DXY.
⸻
🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Context
Gold is trading at record highs around $3,600/oz 🚀 — a level never seen before.
• 🌍 Central banks continue to accumulate gold aggressively.
• 🏦 Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• ⚖️ Persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand.
Correlation with DXY:
• 📉 If the Dollar rebounds, Gold could slow down or consolidate after its massive rally.
• 📈 If the Dollar breaks below support, Gold could see further upside, possibly testing higher targets near $3,700/oz and beyond.
⸻
📊 Conclusion
The Dollar Index is sitting at make-or-break support. A bounce would show Dollar strength and may cool off Gold’s rally. But if DXY weakens further, Gold could extend its surge into new record territory.
At this point, Gold remains the undisputed leader in the market, with DXY’s next move likely deciding how fast momentum continues.
⸻
⚡ Summary in one line:
💵 DXY at critical support — 🪙 Gold shining at record highs, waiting for the Dollar’s next move.
NAS100 - Trade Setup📊 NAS100USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Price moving inside a bullish wedge structure, with resistance tested near 25,200.
Support trendline holding firm, confirming strong macro bullish pressure.
Larger structure suggests Wave (5) still has room to expand toward 26,000+ if demand zones continue to hold.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
Elliott count clear: (1) → (2) → (3) extended, now correcting into (4).
Demand/FVG zones around 20,400 – 21,000 remain the critical swing support.
Next wave (5) projection aims at 25,000 – 26,000.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Structure consolidating within daily support, reacting from demand.
Breakout above 23,900 – 24,000 reactivates bullish impulse.
Invalidation lies below 22,950, where daily demand would fail.
⏳ 4H
Clear corrective retracement into daily demand (23,200 zone).
Long setup forming:
Entry: 23,222
Stop: 22,942
Target: 23,989
R:R ≈ 2.75
Short-term price action likely resolves higher into Wave (5) unless invalidation breaks.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation into Wave (5)
Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,300 (daily demand)
Targets: 23,989 (short-term), 25,200 – 26,000 (swing)
Invalidation: Daily close below 22,950
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Hits 8-Month Low (July/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
July/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- Japan’s annual inflation rate eased to 3.1% in July 2025 from 3.3% in June, the lowest since November 2024.
The moderation was driven by falling electricity prices and flat gas costs, which helped offset a faster rise in food prices, largely fueled by surging rice costs. Core inflation also stood at 3.1%, in line with the headline rate but slightly above market expectations of 3.0%.
$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Hits 18-Month High (July/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
July/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The UK’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July 2025 from 3.6% in June,
the highest since January 2024 and slightly above forecasts of 3.7%.
The uptick was led by higher transport costs linked to school summer holidays, with additional pressure from motor fuels, restaurants and hotels, and food and non-alcoholic beverages.
On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.1%,
defying forecasts of a 0.1% decline but slowing from June’s 0.3% gain.
Core inflation inched up to 3.8% from 3.7%.
XAU/USD – Ranging Market Prepping for Breakout?Gold has been ranging for the next couple months and usually I am out of the market during the months of April Through July because historically these are not my best months trading XAU/USD. However you will see me posting a lot more in the coming months because my best months historically are August - December where the market really cranks up with some bigger moves.
So in a summarized version below you will find what it is that i am looking at with gold.
Gold (XAU/USD) has remained locked in a defined consolidation range between 3,250 (support) and 3,450–3,502 (resistance) since early April. Price has printed multiple internal falling wedge formations within this zone, indicating compression before potential expansion.
🔍 Technical Overview
Range Duration: ~3.5 months
Key Range:
Support: 3,250
Resistance: 3,450–3,502
Compression Patterns: Multiple falling wedges breaking upwards inside the range, hinting at bullish pressure.
Touch Confirmations: Both range boundaries have been tested multiple times, reinforcing validity (per Multi-Touch Confirmation).
Contextual Bias: Seasonally, August–December tends to be a high-volatility trending period for Gold.
🎯 Trade Plan
Inside Range:
Maintain neutral bias.
Execute range-to-range scalps/swing setups with clear invalidation zones.
Avoid trading mid-range.
Breakout Scenario (Bullish):
A clean close above 3,502 triggers breakout watch.
Ideal setup: Retest + 15-min flag → long continuation.
Potential upside target: ~3,700 (range height extension).
Breakdown Scenario (Bearish):
Loss of 3,250 opens door to bearish continuation.
Look for clean liquidity sweep or structure flip before committing.
Initial downside target: 3,100 zone.
🛡️ Risk Notes
Avoid third-touch entries in aggressive momentum unless followed by flag formation.
Remain disciplined with the 80/20 confluence rule — don't let perfectionism delay entries.
Always execute with pre-trade checklist and defined R:R profile.
✅ Summary
Gold is at a pivotal point. The confluence of a tight multi-month range, internal compression patterns, historical breakout timing, and validated levels builds a compelling case for an imminent expansion move. Remain patient, avoid anticipation, and react to confirmed structure and price behavior.






















