Get started

Interestratecut

15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39 Last weeks low: $110,615.91 Midpoint: $113,644.15 It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much? Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%. Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term. Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA). As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
Is the US Central Bank Going to Cut Interest Rates At All?After the US announced fresh tariffs globally on 1st of August, the markets experienced a meltdown, followed by a rebound the next trading day. The reason cited: traders are anticipating that the Fed to cut interest rates soon with the 30 day Fed fund moving much higher. We will track the traders’ sentiment behind this anticipation, and learn how we can access to its fund flow. 30 Day Federal Funds Futures and Options Ticker: ZQ1! Minimum fluctuation: 1/2 of one basis point (0.005) = $20.835 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT:ZQ1!Long
by konhow
Why a Cautious Bull on the US Markets?This is a classic bull market—smooth and trendy. However, it has become a cautious bull, moving within a much wider range, similar to what we observed after March. Especially in July and August: For the Nasdaq, it was down by 17%, but it has since recovered within a two-month period. Is this good or bad? It really depends on how we've positioned ourselves. If you're an investor, seeing your July positions slump so much only to recover so quickly could be quite unsettling—it might even give you a heart attack. But if you're a trader, you should find this volatility interesting and take advantage of it. Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures & Options Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: Outright: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by konhow
2