Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 11 - pumped by a good figureCPI was much lower than expected, which fueled a strong bull run for all markets except the USDX. BTC bounced from the short-term support and gathered the strength to challenge the resistance above.
According to the strength of the triangle, the resistance today diverts to $24860.73-$24597.35. This resistance has become weak and easily broken.
Short-term bullish support arrived at $22775.99, which was broken yesterday and then flipped and diverted to $22977.50.
Breakout on the triangle resistance at 24k will open up more space above.
The drop in CPI has triggered a positive expectation of slowing the pace of interest rate hikes, however, the decision is not revealed yet. We should wait for the Fed’s final decision around Sep 21-22.
Intradaytrade
Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 10 - volatility cased by CPIThe challenge failed due to the strong resistance of the triangle. After 16:00 (UTC+8) BTC dropped and touched short-term bullish support.
Monitor today if the support could hold up the price.
According to the strength of the triangle, the resistance today diverts to $24736.27-$24457.91.
The price could drop to $22775.99 if the short-term bullish trend is broken.
Only by taking hold of $23532.87 could it stabilize on a daily frame. If $22775,99 is broken without pulling back, then it will end the short-term bullish trend.
Keep an eye on the adjusted CPI to be released at 20:30 (UTC+8). Watch out for the high volatility risks.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 9 BTC ends the consolidation and opens up the space above. Today it keeps challenging resistances.
The strength has come to a crucial point in an upward triangle, resulting in a resistance between $24876.64-$24525.19.
Short-term bullish support diverts to $23030-$22962.87.
The key support of the month is between $18393.50-$17819.71. Higher statistic support manifests stronger bullish sentiment. The relief rally yesterday was prognosticated by better statistics from last weekend until yesterday.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 8BTC is about to end the consolidation, yet still needs some time to test. If it breaks $23976.01 based on data and movement, then it could go up higher.
Consolidation range: $23976.01-$21749.97; $22638.15 is the center where longs and shorts battle severely.
Key support diverts to $22638.15. BTC stepped on this support and now moves along it.
The key support of the month is between $18295.26-$17683.49. Higher statistic support manifests stronger bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 5 BTC is still under the pressure of resistance and is yet to end consolidation. Breaking up the intraday resistance today and then holding up on $23775.37 for 4-8 hours could it end this consolidation; otherwise it’ll come to a lower area to consolidate.
The crucial support of the day is $22153.84.
The crucial range this week moves down between $24819.19-$21487.09. Breaking down $21487.09 will the market turn bearish.
The key support of the month is between $18155.27-$17565.40. Higher statistic support manifests bullish momentum and a lower level means cautious. This continuous downward diversion of the key support is the reason for the price drop these days.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 4 BTC went as high as $23657 and was rejected by resistance at $23743, which is diverted to $25853.50. Breaking up this resistance will end consolidation; breaking down $21768.94 will prolong the consolidation.
The crucial support of the day is $22490.46.
The support of the short-term bulls has diverted to $21768.94 at the beginning of a mid-term consolidation.
The crucial range this week is between $25813.19-$21533.93
The key support of the month is between $18217.13-$17613.07. Higher statistic support manifests bullish momentum and a lower level means cautious.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 3BTC is still in consolidation, breaking up $23743.41 will end the consolidation and go up against $27746.31. Breaking down $21747.08 will prolong the consolidation.
The support of the short-term bulls has diverted to $21747.08 at the beginning of a mid-term consolidation. The strength of bulls and bears is yet to break even.
The crucial range this week is between $25813.19-$21528.20
The key support of the month is between $18207.13-$17643.71. Higher statistic support manifests bullish momentum and a lower level means cautious. It’ll need to be tested and observed on a daily basis.
See detailed tp in the chart.
GBPUSD:Bears still lurking!GBPUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.2300 (stop at 1.2380)
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 1.2070 and 1.1975
Resistance: 1.2215 / 1.2450 / 1.2670
Support: 1.1975 / 1.1760 / 1.1500
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Bitcoin Trend Analytics August 1 BTC didn’t manage to break up $24716.60 and fell back into consolidation before any rally.
The support of the short-term bulls has diverted to $21704.65. Now is it in mid-term consolidation within a long-term downward trend.
The crucial range this week is between $25809.47-$21595.96.
The key support of the month is between $18300.41-$17708.48. The data of the movement slides, indicating that MC is cautious.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics July 29th - relief rallyYesterday market confidence was boosted and was looking to break up $23536. Today it’ll test $23034.32 and confirm the breakout before heading towards the next resistance.
BTC follows a short-term relief rally, but the long-term movement has not changed. The short-term support is at $21788.18; key support diverted to $20904.25.
The key support of the month keeps moving up; fund inflow increases.
The market has entered a short-term bull run and mid-term consolidation. Monitor if QT will go as planned by the Fed in September- double the amount of balance sheet reduction, which is an acid test.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics July 28th- price in & bullishYesterday $21005.51 held the price and BTC went up, breaking the key support and building up strength to break up the turning point.
Today the turning point is $23536.82.
The market priced in the 75bp interest rate hike. Powell boosted the market confidence by acknowledging that ‘the pace of rate hikes could slow at some point’.
Short-term movement is between $21656.65-$23536.82. Breaking the resistance will open up more space above. The next strong resistance concentrates at $26586.53.
Now it needs to confirm holding on the upper line of the box. The key support of the month has moved up.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics July 26thYesterday we mentioned BTC fell down and consolidate, today it’s running in the box and is testing the key support area of $20900-$20746.
If $20900-$20746 were broken, it will keep falling to test the lower edge of the box and the key support of the month.
The key support of the month has diverted to $18317.41, which either holds and sees the price jump up to break the turning point and go up higher OR is broken and BTC plunges further.
Fed’s rate hike expectation: +75bp (77.5%) / +100bp (22.5%)
Previous stats: 1.75%; expected target rate: 2.5%-2.75%.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics July 25th - back into consolidationBTC didn’t hold the key support of the box and fell back into the consolidation range.
It runs between $24800-$20959.25. Breaking up the resistance will surge higher; breaking down the support will end the bullish momentum and it turns negative.
The short-term key supports are at $21492.96; $20959.25; the key support of the month diverts to $18617.36.
Fed’s rate hike expectation: +75bp (79.9%) / +100bp (20.1%)
Previous stats: 1.75%; expected target rate: 2.5%-2.75%.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics July 21st - still needs confirmationAfter pulling back around the turning point, BTC rallied up against the next key resistance yesterday and failed. Today the key resistance is at $24698.83.
BTC will come back again and test $22700. If it holds the line, $24698.83 will be the next target.
If it breaks down into the box again, the short-term supports are $21382.70; $20825.47. The key support of the month is $18659.72.
Monitoring Fed’s decision from July 27-28. It will generate a heavy impact on the market. Previous stats: 1.75%; expected target rate: 2.5%-2.75%.















