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J-DXY

US Dollar Index: Bullish! Buy The Dip!Expecting price to retrace into the +FVGs below. Look on the 1H for a CISD when price comes into contact with either of the two poi's. Once a directional change is confirmed, buy it. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
1
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 STOP!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 3811.880 💰TP: 3654.765 ⛔️SL: 3915.820 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: Sell priority is looking for gold, and there are two scenarios (see chart). Technically, we're witnessing a buying culmination, and a downward reversal is likely coming soon. The main target is seen near the POC, specifically the 3654 level. In the longer term, deeper targets are likely to be looked for. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by StopLoss222
Bearish drop off?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.12 1st Support: 97.23 1st Resistance: 98.77 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets
Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels: Daily High (DH): 3899.5 Monthly High (MH): 3899.5 Daily Low (DL): 3820.4 Weekly High (WH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7 📊 Technical Outlook Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements. 🌍 Macro Watch All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight. If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike. A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts. 🎯 Trade Idea Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation. Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity. Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH). ✅ Summary Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key. ⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
13
BUY US Dollar! Sell xxxUSD Pairs! Buy USDxxx Pairs!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the Sept 30th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY. Keep it simple! Buy USDxxx pairs. Sell xxxUSD pairs. Just wait for valid setups. Once price shows a valid change in the state of delivery on your entry TFs, enter. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
6
DXY Daily Outlook: Bearish Pressure BuildsLooking at the DXY (US Dollar Index) chart as of September 30, 2025, the long-term structure is clearly in a descending wedge pattern, showing sustained weakness since the sharp rejection from the 100.23 level earlier this year. Price action has been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, respecting the upper and lower trendline resistance and support. Currently, DXY is trading around 97.80, slightly above the mid-support zone, but momentum suggests that bears remain in control. The chart also highlights multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) points, showing failed attempts by bulls to reverse the trend. Each rally has been capped below descending resistance, most recently around the 98–99 zone, which is now acting as a supply area. The ongoing compression in price suggests a possible breakout direction soon. From a Fibonacci perspective, the major retracement levels drawn from the swing high (100.23) to the swing low (96.18) give clear downside targets. If the wedge breaks bearish, first support lies near 96.18, followed by Fib -0.382 (94.63), then deeper at -0.618 (93.67). A strong bearish continuation could extend toward the -1.618 projection (89.62), which aligns with long-term demand. On the other side, if bulls manage to reclaim 98.50–99.00 with strong volume, it could trigger a corrective leg toward 100.23 (previous high and wedge resistance). However, given repeated rejections, this remains the less likely scenario unless macro fundamentals (such as Fed policy or global risk sentiment) strongly shift in favor of the dollar. The RSI/Momentum structure would likely be neutral-to-bearish given the flat but declining structure. The price remains below the major moving averages (200-day SMA/EMA), adding weight to the bearish bias. Momentum / indicators Momentum on the daily appears neutral-to-bearish (rallies are weaker and get rejected). RSI on daily (if checked) is likely flat-to-slightly below neutral, not showing strong bullish divergence — therefore rallies are corrective. Price is trading under the major moving averages on the daily (200MA acts as dynamic resistance), reinforcing the bearish bias unless reclaimed decisively. Key daily levels Immediate resistance / supply: 98.00 – 99.00 (daily rejection zone). Invalidation for bearish view (daily close basis): daily close above 100.23 / decisive break and hold above 100.5–101 would flip bias. Near-term support: 96.18 (first target / pivot). Secondary targets if 96.18 breaks: 94.63, 93.67 then 89.62 as extended target on a strong bearish continuation. Price-action scenarios Bearish continuation (favored): Price respects the upper descending trendline, forms a daily rejection or bearish engulfing at ~98.0–99.0 → short with first target at 96.18, partial take at 94.63 if momentum continues. Neutral / consolidation: Price oscillates 97–98.5, chopping in wedge — wait for a daily close below 96.60 or above 99.50 before taking directional trade. Bullish breakout (less likely): Daily close above 100.23 with follow-through and volume would signal trend change toward 102+ — invalidate shorts and look for long setups only after retest. In Summary Trend: Bearish within a descending wedge. Resistance: 98.50 → 99.00 → 100.23. Support: 96.18 → 94.63 → 93.67 → 89.62. Long-term bias: As long as 99–100 zone is not broken decisively, DXY is likely to head lower toward 94–90 levels in coming months. Risk factor: Only a macro-driven breakout above 100.23 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward 102+. One-line Conclusion Daily bias = bearish while price stays under the 98–100 supply zone; preferred approach is to short on daily rejections or after a break+retest of 96.18, with extended targets at 94.6 → 93.7 → 89.6, and clear invalidation only on a daily close above ~100.23. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYShort
by SibiSh
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EUR/USD continues to trade within a rising channel structure. Following the recent pullback, price reacted positively upon reaching the identified support zone. At this stage, we expect some short-term consolidation around current levels. However, as long as the support zone and the channel bottom hold, the bullish scenario remains intact, and the pair may resume its upward move towards higher resistance levels. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as price stays above the key support area. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
32
9.30 Gold continues to hit new highsThe gold market continued to rise yesterday. It opened at 3759.9 in the morning and then fell back. The daily low was 3756.3 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The daily high touched the daily high of 3834.2 and then consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 3833.9. The daily line closed with a saturated large bullish candle with a slight shadow. After ending this pattern, today's market retraced to more levels. In terms of points, the long positions at 3325 and 3322 below and the long positions at 3368-3370 last week and the long positions at 3377, 3385 and 3563 were reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 3650. Today's long positions at 3805 are conservative at 3802, and the stop loss is 3798. The target is 3838, 3845 and 3852-3855 pressure.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Gold Futures (MGCZ5) – H4 Gap in PlayPrice pushed aggressively bullish all day yesterday with little to no pullbacks. That momentum left behind a fresh H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just above the Weekly High (WH) level. If we see a pullback into this area, it could offer a solid setup for continuation higher. ⚠️ Key considerations: If buyers stay strong, price may run liquidity above 3863.7 (D-H) before any meaningful retracement. If sentiment shifts, a deeper draw into the Daily FVG below 3764 remains on the table. With global uncertainty (military meetings, de-dollarization, possible U.S. shutdown), volatility risk is elevated. 🎯 Game Plan: Watch the H4 FVG near WH for rejection / entry signals. Bias remains bullish while above 3785 (D-L). Break below D-L opens the door toward the Daily FVG.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
6
USDJPY – Wyckoff Reaccumulation & Macro OutlookUSDJPY appears to have completed a Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern. The structure suggests price is preparing for a breakout to the upside, with momentum likely carrying through into the end of the year. 🔹 Technical View • Pattern: Multiple rounded lows + higher lows confirm demand absorption. • Breakout zone: Current resistance around 149–150 is being tested. A clean break would open the path toward 156–160. • Support: Rising trendline and 146–147 base remain the key invalidation area. A decisive break below here would weaken the bullish case. • Risk/Reward: A breakout play here offers strong R:R targeting the 156 zone while keeping stops below structural support. 🔹 Macro Context • The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been firming, and USDJPY is closely tied to dollar strength. • Japan’s capital flows into U.S. assets (particularly Treasuries and equities) further reinforce why USDJPY has stayed buoyant. • As long as yield differentials remain wide, the yen continues to face devaluation pressure. 🔹 What’s Next • I expect USDJPY to push higher into year-end, with 156–160 as the near-term supply zone. • Watch DXY closely (see my DXY chart) for confirmation — if DXY extends its breakout, USDJPY likely follows. • Failure to hold 146–147 support would shift this outlook back into distribution mode. ⸻ ⚠️ Chart shows breakout projection toward 156 with invalidation at 146.7.
Long
by TheCryptoHare
U.S Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting 98.913Previous Trend: There was a strong upward move, forming a rising channel (highlighted in pink). Price reached the upper boundary of the channel and then reversed downward. Current Price Action: Price broke below the midline of the channel and is approaching a potential support zone. This zone is marked by a blue rectangle (support/demand area). Trade Idea: Long Setup (Buy Position) Entry Point: Around 97.862 Stop Loss: Around 97.665–97.679 (just below support zone) Target Point: 98.913 (near previous high) ✅ Trade Rationale Support Zone: The marked area has previously acted as a demand zone, likely to support price again. Bullish Recovery Expectation: The idea is that price will bounce from this support zone and resume upward movement. Good Risk-Reward Ratio: Risk: ~20 pips (from 97.862 to 97.665) Reward: ~105 pips (from 97.862 to 98.913) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 — a favorable setup. ⚠️ Cautions Price is still above entry level (98.020) — the setup assumes a pullback to the 97.86 area before buying. If price breaks below 97.665, the setup would be invalidated (stop loss hit). Channel Breakout Risk: Since the channel is already broken to the downside, this trade assumes a temporary dip before a rebound — which may or may not happen. 📌 Summary Parameter Value Entry 97.862 Stop Loss 97.665 Target 98.913 Risk-Reward ~1:5 Trade Direction Long (Buy) Confirmation Needed Pullback to support zone
ICEUS:DXYLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
1
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) – Bearish MomentumPrice is giving us signs of Bearish Momentum while respecting the larger descending channel structure, having recently tapped the upper trend line with a strong rejection. Expecting: A lower time frame correction to confirm continuation. Targeting 90% if price breaks impulsively to the downside. If price taps into our area of interest, we might expect a potential bullish reversal, depending on price action and correction quality. Let price do the work, wait for the correction before entering short.
TVC:DXYShort
by fxcasts
Bearish drop?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a multi-swing low support. Pivot: 98.63 1st Support: 96.61 1st Resistance: 100.19 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets
Gold Futures Weekly Outlook (MGCZ5)📍 Key Levels on Watch Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5 Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6 Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7 Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2 🧭 Technical Outlook Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move. Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point: If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6. If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in. Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails. 🌍 Macro Context De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term. Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand. US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold. Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary. 🎯 Scenarios to Watch Bullish Case: Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6. Bearish Case: Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735). Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG. 📌 My Plan Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop. BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries. Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
BTCUSD | Wedge Pattern | 1D🔺 Price Structure: Rising wedge formation unfolding in Elliott Wave count. 🔄 Current Phase: Wave (iv) correction → retesting wedge support. 📍 Demand Zone: $100K – $104K (blue box) = key accumulation area. 📈 Bullish Outlook: Holding support = launchpad for wave (v) rally. 🎯 Target Zone: $140K – $160K (potential ATH breakout). ⚠️ Invalidation: Breakdown below wedge base = structure compromised. 🧠 Mindset: Patience. Precision. Profit.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Greenfireforex
The AI Bubble's Final Act: Why $SP:SPX 6,700 May Be the TopThe AI Bubble's Final Act: Why SP:SPX 6,700 May Be the Top Unemployment + Rate Cuts = Recession (12 for 12 Since 1970) The Death Cross Pattern There's a simple rule that's worked for 55 years: When the Fed cuts rates while unemployment is rising from cycle lows, recession follows within 12 months - every single time. Think of it like a doctor taking your temperature while giving you painkillers. The medicine might make you feel better temporarily, but if the fever is rising, something serious is wrong underneath. Current Status: ✅ Fed just cut rates ECONOMICS:USINTR (September 2025) ✅ Unemployment ECONOMICS:USUR rising from 3.4% cycle low ✅ TVC:SPX at all-time high ($6,700) Historical Result: 12/12 times = recession + 35% average equity crash The Precedent: Crisis Follows a Script 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: Setup: TVC:SPX at ATH (1,550), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 3.9%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting Crisis: Technology "revolution" story breaks down Result: -49% crash over 2.5 years Recovery: 7 years to new highs 2008 Financial Crisis: Setup: CBOE:SPX at ATH (1,576), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 4.4%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting Crisis: Housing/credit bubble bursts Result: -57% crash over 1.5 years Recovery: 5 years to new highs 2025 AI Bubble: Setup: SPREADEX:SPX at ATH (6,700), ECONOMICS:USUR unemployment at 3.4%→4.2%, ECONOMICS:USINTR Fed starts cutting ✅ Crisis: AI productivity story meets employment reality Projection: -35 to -45% crash over 18 months Recovery: 3-5 years (faster due to tech infrastructure remaining) The AI Employment Paradox The Productivity Mirage Wall Street celebrates AI boosting productivity, but here's the paradox: productivity gains = job losses = reduced consumer spending = recession. Think of it like a factory owner celebrating a new machine that replaces 100 workers. Great for margins, terrible for the local economy when those 100 families stop spending. Jobs ECONOMICS:USNFP at Risk by Sector: Customer Service: 2M jobs (chatbots replacing agents) Software Development: 500K jobs (AI-assisted coding reducing teams) Transportation: 3M jobs (autonomous vehicles accelerating) Administrative: 4M jobs (AI handling routine tasks) Content Creation: 1M jobs (AI writing, design, video) Total Impact: 10+ million jobs facing displacement over next 2-3 years Why This Time is Different? Unlike previous automation waves that created new job categories, AI is targeting cognitive work directly. A factory worker could become a service worker, but what does a displaced knowledge worker become? Valuation Extremes: 1929 Levels with 2025 Leverage Current Valuation Metrics: Shiller CAPE: 38+ (higher than 1929's 33) Buffett Indicator: 195% (market cap/GDP, historical average 85%) Price/Sales: 3.3x (vs 1.4x historical average) Forward P/E: 23x (on optimistic AI earnings assumptions) Valuations today exceed 1929 by most measures - but with far more leverage embedded in the system. If 1929 was a valuation bubble, 2025 is that bubble layered with derivatives, corporate debt, and passive flows. The Leverage Layer: Margin Debt: $1.023 trillion (record high)( as of July 2025, ycharts ) Corporate Debt/GDP: 85% (vs 45% in 2000) Derivatives Exposure: $700 trillion notional ( as of June 2025, BIS semiannual data ) ETF/Passive Flows: $1.5 trillion annually (forced selling on reversals) When liquidity stress hits, derivatives amplify shocks - notional exposure dwarfs underlying assets. Think of today's market like a house of cards built on a trampoline. Even small bounces can bring the whole structure down. Technical Breakdown: The Charts Don't Lie Major Warning Signals: Market breadth has deteriorated from 90% in Q4 2024 to ~60% today, Defensives led earlier in the year, TVC:VIX Volatility’s floor has shifted higher Credit risk appetite (HYG/TLT) is stretched. Together, these signal fragility beneath the index surface. The Three-Stage Technical Collapse: Stage 1 - The Warning (Now-Q4 2025): Current Level: $6,700 Initial Support: $6,200 (previous resistance) Character: Failed rallies, rotating leadership, "healthy correction" narrative Target: 5,800-6,000 (-10 to -13%) Stage 2 - The Cascade (Q4 2025-Q2 2026): Breaking Point: Below 5,800 triggers algorithmic selling Character: "Buy the dip" stops working, margin calls begin Target: 4,800-5,200 (-25 to -30%) Stage 3 - Capitulation (Q2-Q4 2026): Final Flush: Panic selling, ETF redemptions Character: "Markets will never recover" sentiment peaks Target: 3,700-4,200 (-35 to -45%) The Catalyst: When Reality Meets Hype Q4 2025 Earnings Season - The Reckoning Companies will face impossible questions: "You spent $50B on AI - where's the revenue growth?" "Productivity is up 20%, why are you laying off workers?" "If AI is so transformative, why are margins declining?" The Employment Data Domino Effect: October/Nov NFP: First print above 250K unemployment claims November Consumer Spending: Down 2%+ as job fears spread December Holiday Sales: Weakest since 2008 January Layoff Announcements: Tech companies start "right-sizing" Think of it like the moment in 2000 when investors finally asked: "How exactly does Pets.com make money?" or 2007 when they wondered: "What's actually in these mortgage bonds?" Sector-by-Sector Breakdown Technology (-50 to -70%) AI hype stocks get destroyed first Software companies face declining growth + competition Semiconductor cycle turns negative Biggest Losers: NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL Consumer Discretionary (-40 to -55%) Unemployment hits spending immediately High-end retailers crushed first Auto sales collapse with higher rates Biggest Losers: TSLA, AMZN, NKE Financials (-30 to -45%) Credit losses surge as economy weakens Interest margin compression Commercial real estate exposure Biggest Losers: Regional banks, non-bank lenders Relative Outperformers (-15 to -25%) Utilities, Healthcare, Consumer Staples Companies with genuine AI cost savings High-dividend yielders in low-rate environment Key Dates and Catalysts October 2025: Jobs report (first warning?) Q3 earnings disappointments Fed meeting (dovish pivot?) November 2025: Election aftermath volatility Black Friday sales data Thanksgiving week low-volume crashes December 2025: Year-end tax selling Institutional rebalancing Holiday retail reality check Q1 2026: Layoff announcements surge Earnings guidance slashed Credit events begin The Recovery Setup Why This Crash Creates Opportunity: Valuation Reset: P/E ratios back to historical norms Weak Hands Flushed: Margin traders eliminated Government Response: Fiscal + monetary stimulus AI Infrastructure Remains: Real productivity gains continue post-bubble Recovery Timeline: Bottom: Q4 2026 around 3,700-4,200 Initial Rally: 30-50% bounce over 6 months New Bull Market: Begins 2027 with stronger foundation New Highs: 2029-2030 timeframe Risk Management Rules This Analysis Fails If: Fed pivots to massive QE before crisis Fiscal stimulus exceeds $2 trillion quickly AI productivity gains offset job losses faster than projected Geopolitical crisis overrides economic fundamentals Probability Assessment: 60%: Correction to 4,800-5,500 range (25-30% decline) 25%: Major crash to 3,700-4,200 range (40-45% decline) 15%: Continued melt-up through 2026 (soft landing achieved) Conclusion: The End of the Everything Era At SPX 6,700 with unemployment rising and the Fed cutting rates, we're witnessing the final act of the 15-year "everything bubble." The AI revolution is real, but like the Internet in 2000, revolutionary technology doesn't prevent financial gravity. The bubble is ending exactly like the previous ones - with everyone believing "this time is different" right until it isn't. Smart money is already rotating defensive. The question isn't whether a correction is coming - it's whether you'll be positioned for it.
SP:SPXShort
by niclaxfx
36
EURUSD: 1.18 FORTRESS ATTACK! Dollar Weakness Exposed 🚀 EURUSD: 1.18 FORTRESS ATTACK! Dollar Weakness Exposed 📊 Current Price: 1.17020 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰ 📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days) 🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 1.1680 - 1.1710 📍 Stop Loss: 1.1650 🛑 Target 1: 1.1750 🎯 Target 2: 1.1790 🚀 🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 1.1720 - 1.1750 📍 Stop Loss: 1.1780 🛑 Target 1: 1.1650 🎯 Target 2: 1.1600 📉 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN 📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS: RSI (14): 62.1 ⚡ Euro Strength Building Bollinger Bands: Expansion Mode 🔥 VWAP: 1.1695 - Dynamic Support 💪 EMA 20: 1.1675 ✅ Bullish Momentum Volume: Institutional Flow Rising 📊 🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS: Elliott Wave: Wave C Impulse Active 🌊 Fibonacci Target: 1.1850 (127.2%) 🎯 🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS: Bullish Gartley at 1.1660 Support ✨ Cypher PRZ targeting 1.1780 🔄 ⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks) 🚀 BULLISH TARGETS: Psychological: 1.1800 🏆 Weekly Resistance: 1.1850 🌙 Gann Level: 1.1875 ⭐ 📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION: Weekly Support: 1.1600 ⚠️ Critical Break: 1.1550 🚨 🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE: Trend: Ascending Channel 💪 Momentum: Dollar Weakness 🔥 Wyckoff Phase: Markup Phase 📈 Ichimoku: Bullish Cloud Break 🟢 🏰 1.18 FORTRESS BATTLE: Key Resistance: 1.1780-1.1800 ⚔️ Volume Confirmation: Needed Above 1.1750 💥 Breakout Target: 1.1850 Major Level 🔓 ⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT: Max Risk per Trade: 50 pips 🛡️ R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:2 ⚖️ London/NY Sessions: Prime Time 📏 🌍 CENTRAL BANK DYNAMICS: ECB Policy Divergence Bullish 🏛️ Fed Dovishness Supporting EUR 📈 Dollar Index Weakness Continues 💵 Rate Differential Narrowing 📊 🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS: Breakout: 1.1750 decisive close 💥 Support: 1.1680 | 1.1650 | 1.1620 🛡️ Resistance: 1.1750 | 1.1780 | 1.1800 🚧 📈 DXY CORRELATION: Dollar Index: Bearish Divergence 📉 EUR Strength: Independent Rally 💪 Cross-Currency: Bullish Flow 🔄 🎯 FINAL VERDICT: EURUSD storming 1.18 RESISTANCE! 🚀 Dollar weakness = Euro rocket fuel! 💎 Multi-timeframe bullish alignment! 📈 Trade Management: Scale in above 1.1680 💰 Breakout Alert: Watch 1.1750 hold! 🔔 --- ⚠️ Disclaimer: FX trading involves significant risk. Use proper position sizing. Educational analysis only. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 🔔 Follow FX Market Updates | 💬 What's Your 1.18 Target Timeline?
Long
by sunya
DOLLAR INDEX – Falling Wedge Pattern📉 The Dollar Index is forming a falling wedge, a classic reversal pattern. 🔹 Price is approaching the upper trendline resistance (point E). 🔹 Expect a potential pullback toward the support zone (highlighted in blue). 🔹 Pattern repeats: After E, a corrective dip is likely before the next move. ✅ Key Points: Falling wedge usually signals trend reversal or continuation. Watch for breakout confirmation above resistance for bullish continuation. Current focus: resistance zone near 98–98.2, then potential drop to 96–97 support. 💡 Lesson: Patience pays — wait for clear rejection or breakout before trading this setup. ---
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
14