Gold Update 26AUG2025: Bullish Confirmation Above $3,534 The gold futures price has made a U-turn as it didn't trigger Triangle's invalidation at $3,300
This bounce back could be a harbinger of wave 3 within the larger degree wave 5
It will be confirmed once upmove breaks above the top of wave 1 beyond $3,534
I erased the complex correction scenario as the price might be taking off right now
I added the breakdown of the upcoming large wave 5 into smaller 5 waves inside
Target range remains intact between $3,900 and $4,300
J-XAU
Gold Supported by Rate-Cut Expectations, Data in SpotlightGold (XAUUSD) – Overview
Supported by Fed Cut Bets and Softer Data Outlook
Gold remains well-supported as futures markets are now pricing in two 25bps Fed rate cuts by December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled rising risks to the labor market, even amid elevated inflation, suggesting the Fed may need to adjust its restrictive stance.
This dovish bias continues to weigh on U.S. Treasury yields and supports gold. The upcoming U.S. GDP growth and PCE inflation data will be critical — softer readings could reinforce expectations of rate cuts and push gold higher.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Gold is attempting to stabilize in the bullish zone.
Stability above 3,366 keeps the upside open toward 3,383 and 3,401.
If price stabilizes below 3,366, a correction toward 3,357 – 3,350 is likely.
A confirmed break below 3,350 would shift bias bearish and expose deeper levels.
🔹 Key Levels
Resistance: 3,383 – 3,401
Support: 3,357 – 3,350 – 3,343
✅ Summary:
Gold is consolidating near its pivot with Fed policy expectations providing a bullish backdrop. Holding above 3,366 favors further upside, while a break below 3,350 would signal weakness and invite a deeper correction.
Bullish bounce off?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 3,350.47
1st Support: 3,307.78
1st Resistance: 3,431.19
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD H4 | Bullish bounceXAU/USD is falling towards the buy entry at 3,349.35, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 3,329.36, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 3,400.62, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third
Will the Fed’s dovish stance lift gold prices?
Following Fed Chair Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole remarks hinting at potential rate cuts, risk appetite in global markets revived. Powell noted that inflation has moved much closer to the target while the labor market has cooled from previously overheated levels, suggesting the Fed may need to recalibrate its policy stance. However, geopolitical risks linger as ceasefire negotiations face hurdles. Should President Trump’s proposed trilateral summit collapse, the renewed risk-on sentiment could fade quickly.
XAUUSD is consolidating within the 3300–3500 range, awaiting an additional trigger for a clear breakout. If XAUUSD holds above both EMAs, the price may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 3500. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3300, the price could retreat toward the next support at 3160.
GOLD IN THE CROSSHAIRS WITH PIPGUARDGOLD IN THE CROSSHAIRS WITH PIPGUARD
Hello there, my colleagues, welcome back!
👉 From today on, I will always use this layout. If you like it, let me know by leaving a boost and a comment with your opinion!
ANALYSIS
Hello everyone, my colleagues, how are you? I hope all is well. I hope it was a great summer for all of you, that you enjoyed your days off and holidays, and that you spent time with family and friends ❤️.
Let's pick up where we left off and see what the markets are telling us. I'll start again with gold: a peculiar summer, made of stalls, endless sideways movements, and a lot of uncertainty basically like a tired marriage.
After Friday's weekly close, the price decided to shoot up over 400 pips and close beautifully above $3,370.
So what happens on Monday? Two options:
A sideways phase, the usual liquidity war where the little guys always get screwed.
A clean retracement, with two interesting points: 3,360 (the closest) and 3,330 (the nastier one, and I admit... the one I like the most).
The key level is 3,365 : now support, but if it breaks, it becomes resistance, worse than your boss coming back from vacation pissed off. Second support at 3,325/20.
I'm waiting for a nice retracement to re-enter long at a decent price. But one thing is for sure: the bullish target is 3,385 .
NEWS
✅ Powell continues to work his magic: the Fed kept selling smoke and mirrors about rate cuts and inflation. The result? The dollar remains strong, and gold is just watching.
✅ Central banks are gobbling up gold like there's no tomorrow: they are on track to buy over 1,000 tons in 2025. Four years in a row like this, not even a junkie on methadone.
✅ 95% of reserve managers plan to increase their gold holdings: practically everyone. When even the white-collars decide they want more gold, you know the carousel is about to start.
SECRETS
Here come the real gems, the ones that stink of shady deals and under-the-table agreements:
🔓 The "Mar-a-Lago Accord": according to a Fed analysis, there's an $863 billion gap between the book and real value of US gold. And the Treasury is thinking of using it to set up a BTC fund with a million coins, just for kicks.
🔓 95% of reserve managers no longer trust the dollar: everyone is buying gold. Anyone who isn't is an idiot.
GREETINGS
Remember to leave a GREETING 🚀 or a COMMENT
Talk to you soon,
PipGuard
Article published by PipGuard™ on the TradingView® platform
GOLD IS OVERBOUGHT|SHORT|
✅GOLD will be retesting a resistance
Level of 3388$ soon from where
I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLD Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and Gold
Made some epic gains
On Friday but now it
Is locally overbought
So after Gold hits a horizontal
Resistance level above
At 3390$ we will be
Expecting local bearish
Correction on Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Market Outlook | Bearish Bias Holds Under PivotGOLD (XAUUSD) – Overview
Gold remains under bearish momentum after stabilizing below 3332.
🔎 Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario:
As long as price trades below 3332, downside targets remain at 3320 – 3312.
A confirmed 15M or 1H close below 3312 would extend the bearish trend toward 3297 – 3285.
Bullish Scenario:
If price reverses and stabilizes above 3332, a move toward 3343 is likely.
A 1H close above 3343 would strengthen bullish momentum, opening the way toward 3366 – 3383.
📍 Key Levels
Support: 3320 – 3312 – 3297 – 3285
Resistance: 3343 – 3366 – 3383
⚠️ Gold remains in a consolidation range — upcoming breakouts above 3343 or below 3312 will define the next trend direction.
Gold Futures Edge Lower in Muted Trading Ahead of Fed Chair Speech
Gold futures slipped but remained largely rangebound in quiet trading, as investors focus on the outlook for U.S. interest rates.
Market participants appear reluctant to take strong positions ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, notes Bas Kooijman of DHF Capital.
Recent remarks from Fed officials suggest caution against moving too quickly on policy easing. Still, money markets are broadly pricing in a September interest-rate cut, Kooijman adds.
Is Gold Losing Its Luster or Preparing to Shine Again?XAUUSD has been respecting a broad ascending channel for months, with clear touches on both resistance and support levels. Recently, however, price slipped into a smaller bearish channel inside the larger structure.
📉 The short-term bias remains bearish as long as price trades within the red channel.
📊 Key support lies near the $3,280 zone — a critical level where bulls might attempt to step in.
💡 A breakout from the bearish channel could open the way for another retest of the upper resistance zone, while failure to hold support may trigger deeper corrections.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,307.62
1st Support: 3,267.80
1st Resistance: 3,350.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Price Analysis – Dollar Strength vs Safe-Haven DemandGOLD (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
A stronger U.S. dollar is weighing on gold, as it makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for international buyers and competes with gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold is currently trading around 3341, holding just above the pivot zone (3343 / 3332). The market remains in consolidation, awaiting a decisive breakout.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as price trades above 3332, gold may attempt to continue its bullish move. A confirmed 1H close above 3343 would target 3365, with further extensions toward 3383 – 3401.
Bearish Scenario:
A move below 3332 would open the way to 3320, and a confirmed 4H close below 3320 could extend the decline toward 3285.
📍 Key Levels
Pivot: 3343
Support: 3332 – 3320 – 3312
Resistance: 3365 – 3383 – 3401
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish drop offThe Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 3,342.80, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 3,367.03, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,306.77, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD Technical Outlook: Bearish Below 3343, Eyeing 3332 → 3320Gold Futures Overview
Gold futures edged slightly higher but remain trapped in a tight consolidation range. The market is caught between conflicting macro signals — real yields, dollar strength, and uncertainty around the Fed’s next steps — while geopolitical risks continue to provide medium-term support.
Inflation remains the key risk factor: if it proves persistent, the Fed may be forced to maintain higher rates for longer, limiting gold’s upside.
🔹 Technical Outlook
In the short term, momentum is bearish as long as price trades below 3343, targeting 3332. A sustained break beneath this level would extend losses toward 3320 and 3313.
On the flip side, a confirmed 1H close above 3346 would shift momentum, opening the way toward 3355–3365, with potential extension to 3375.
Support: 3332, 3320, 3313
Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3375
XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (16.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3318
2nd Support – 3308
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish breakout for the Gold?The price is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support. A breakout could lead the price to drop to the first support, a multi-swing low.
Pivot: 3,310.71
1st Support: 3,271.90
1st Resistance: 3,350.00
1Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,329$
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the potential pullback
And retest we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD H4 | Potential bearish dropXAU/USD is reacting off the sell entry of 3,342.80, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the downside.
Stop loss is at 3,367.03, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,306.77, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Technical Outlook – Midpoint Support Holds, Retest of 3,500On the Daily Chart, gold has been climbing steadily since New Year’s Day, with several pullbacks along the way but maintaining its overall bullish trajectory.
After breaking into the 3,167.72 – 3,430.46 range, price has shown comfort within this zone. The midpoint at 3,286.94 (Green Line) has acted as a supportive bias, with price holding above it — reinforcing the view that bulls remain in control.
That said, this period of consolidation has lasted longer than expected, breaking the previous rising trajectory (shown by the diagonal Red Line). This suggests that momentum has weakened.
Importantly, this doesn’t confirm that the bullish run is over — but it does highlight the market’s current struggle to push higher with strength. A high of 3,500.02 was briefly tested but quickly rejected, which leads me to believe the market still has reason to retest that level in the near future.
Potential bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 3,366.54
1st Support: 3,136.16
1st Resistance: 3,503.64
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 3330$ and this is a
Strong level from where
We will expecting a local
Bullish rebound on Monday
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.