XAUUSD 23/7/24This week’s gold markup is looking very similar to EUR/USD. We have trendline liquidity sitting under the current lows. We have taken some obvious liquidity, so this could be an early sign that price action may be shifting bearish for a longer-term move. Bear in mind, we have taken all-time highs on gold, as we have across the higher timeframes, meaning that our higher timeframe bias is bullish, and we must, of course, respect that. However, this does not mean we are not going to have a pullback that could last for several days or several sessions, so keeping this in mind is key.
Now, if you see on the chart in front of you, there are three separate scenarios that I have marked:
1. Scenario one: We break the bearish 4-hour high, bringing us back into a bullish directional movement. I am looking at the trendline area and the higher timeframe area of supply for possible sell-offs into the lows we have marked on our chart. If we break the 4-hour high, we will be back into a bullish directional bias. This does not mean that the price is 100% going to sell off, as we will be bullish if we do not react at the trendline area and the supply area. I will be looking for the previously created all-time high to be taken and price action to continue the bullish delivery.
2. Scenario two: We continue bearish within the 4-hour selling range that we are currently in. This causes price action to break down, and we will look for the liquidity lows to be taken. This will, of course, give us a deeper pullback on the higher timeframe, and I will then be looking for longs if we shift structure.
Stick to your plan and trade what the price is showing you. I hope you all have an amazing week.
J-XAU
GOLD to find sellers at market price?Gold - 24h expiry
Posted a Double Top formation.
Short term bias has turned negative.
5 negative daily performances in succession.
20 4hour EMA is at 2411.5.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 2411.5 (stop at 2427.5)
Our profit targets will be 2371.5 and 2361.5
Resistance: 2404.0 / 2412.2 / 2420.0
Support: 2383.9 / 2370.0 / 2350.0
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Could Gold rise from here?The price is currently reacting off the pivot which is an overlap support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,392.79
1st Support: 2,371
1st Resistance: 2,419.04
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After breakout of support line, Gold can continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time declined to the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level and started to grow inside the wedge, where it at once rebounded from the support line to the resistance line. When the price reached the resistance line of the wedge, which is located in the seller zone, it turned around and made a downward movement, breaking the resistance level. After this, Gold tried to grow, but failed and dropped to the support line of the wedge, after which turned around and bounced back to the resistance line of the wedge. Then the price declined to support line again and then started to grow, after which soon exited from the wedge. Price continued to grow near the support line and later reached the 2430 level, broke it, and rose even higher than the seller zone to 2483 points. But some time ago it turned around and made impulse down to the support line, breaking the resistance level one more time, and now Gold tried to break the support line too. So, I think that the price can finally break this line and then make a retest, after which continue to decline. Therefore I set my TP at 2340 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2465, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2425
2nd Support – 2403
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2487. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
GOLD Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a nice
Bearish correction duping
Us all in the process with
The fakeout of the all-time-high
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support level of 2386$
From where we will be
Expecting a nice bullish rebound
Buy!
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Gold (XAUUSD): Bearish Signals Hint at Possible Drop to $1000!Upon examining the monthly gold chart, it appears there could be a significant price drop, a secondary scenario in our analysis. We don't foresee a 50% decrease in the near future, though it's not impossible, especially if the market downturn affects all sectors, including gold. It's crucial to consider all possibilities due to market unpredictability, even a drop to $1000 per ounce.
This view is backed by a bearish RSI divergence since 1966 and signs that we might be completing the first 5-wave cycle, which could reach up to $3000 per ounce but should not exceed this level.
Currently, the apparent breakout seems to be a fake-out. Surpassing $3000 would mean our analysis underestimates the bullish potential.
Elliott Wave Theory suggests Wave 5 might break out from the trendline formed by Waves 1 and 3, create a fake-out, then sharply decline, aligning with our secondary scenario for gold. We plan to further explore and outline our primary scenario in the next section.
Anyway, when closely examining the 12-hour gold chart, we primarly anticipate a continued upward movement rather than a sharp downturn. We believe that the minor Wave 1 has concluded, and we should see a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level, where we expect to find support at the High-Volume Node.
The recent upward trend has been quite extreme. Therefore, we predict finding support between $2,200 and $2,130, before potentially breaking through the $2,500 mark, which we expect to coincide with the completion of the major Wave (3) or minor Wave 3.
Gold - 4H , Are you ready for a dip correction?In the 4H and Daily chart, XAUUSD has exhibited three pushes, and today the price consolidated under the trend line. This formation is an ascending channel, which can break from the top, but the last bullish leg didn’t have enough pullbacks. It seems bulls are taking some profits now, indicating a potential fall from this area.
Could Gold bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,423.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,391.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 2,453.68
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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GOLD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD broke the key
Horizontal level of 2450$
Which is now a support and
The price is making a pullback
And a retest of the new support
From where we will be
Expecting a rebound and
And further move up
Buy!
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Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2419.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2446.50
2nd Resistance – 2462
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2390. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
Trump, Fed Speculation Drive Gold to New Heights Trump, Fed Speculation Drive Gold to New Heights
Gold price cleared the May 20 high of $2450 on Tuesday, as expectations intensify that the U.S. Federal Reserve will commence an easing cycle in September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell addressed the Economic Club of Washington this week, noting the economy's solid performance and signaling potential rate cuts once inflation trends towards the 2% target.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates near-certain odds of a 25-basis point rate cut in September, with many forecasting a total of 50 basis points in cuts through 2024. But one has to question the accuracy of these optimistic predictions. The next FOMC meeting is in 14 days.
Adding to the upward momentum on gold is the potential election of former President Donald Trump in November. Trump's proposed policies, including tariff hikes and tax cuts, are anticipated to increase the U.S. budget deficit and spur inflationary pressures.
Bullish momentum in gold appears intact, supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart. Although it is trending higher and approaching typical overbought conditions.
GOLD MASSIVE BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and the price just
Broke the key horizontal level
Of 2450$ which was an all-time-high
And is now a support level because
The breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Move up after a potential
Pullback and retest of the
New support level
LONG🚀
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GOLD Heading to the 2500$ zone(7/16/2024)After a long and intense Correction, Gold made a Lower high and finally broke the correction trendline and made some upward moves. In this way, NFP and CPI data helped the price reach higher.
Right now, the price will move a little higher, after some corrections, Gold will head for the 2500$ zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
XAUUSD M15 - Long Signal XAUUSD M15
Here is the signal update from yesterday, we have seen a maximum of 2.1R so far, currently in active play of 1.75R. We have banked partials and we are holding the remaining 50% position risk free. I'm hoping this setup has plenty more mileage in it.
Last week, we caught an amazing long position from a key area of support. And this position continued to rise a huge 530 points, it would be great to see something similar materialise here
GOLD Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is going up just
As I predicted but a
Strong horizontal resistance
Which also happens to be
An all-time-high level is
Ahead so after the retest
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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XAUUSD H1 - Long Signal $2000/ozXAUUSD H1
Here is a potential outlook for XAUUSD going forward, we have sold off since market opened, the opposite move I would have expected. However, we haven't really seen an influx of relevant trading volume yet, I would expect to see this during LON partially, but most likely the US open, both FX markets and subsequent US stock markets.
$2400/oz is in the crosshairs for obvious reasons, we have traded from this price previously (with the exception of the PPI dump). Targets would be $2425/oz before potentially breaking higher. XAUUSD is undoubtedly up-trending. Lets see if this weekends headlines can add fuel to the fire.
XAUUSD 14/7/24XAU (Gold)
Following last week's markup, the hourly new bullish directional bias played perfectly into the bias we provided on Wednesday for the bullish hourly range to hold. We now have a new 4-hour high and low, which gives us another bullish range heading into this week.
The options we have for this week are:
The price liquidates our high, pulls back into the area of demand, and then goes bullish.
If the area of demand is contacted and fails, the price falls into the larger higher time frame area of demand.
If both areas of demand fail, we will look for a run of the liquidity built up last week, leading us into a bearish bias for this week. However, as it stands, we are looking for the bullishness to continue. Even if we pull down into the lower areas of demand, we will still look for bullishness once we get there.
Remember, the overall principle here is to focus on areas where the price could react and consider possible moves. Only if the price gets to these areas can we really begin to capitalize on them.