JPN225 H4 | Potential bullish continuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry of 43,018.02, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 42,488.03, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is 43,887.74, which is a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFD
Nikkei 225 Rises After Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ResignsNikkei 225 Rises Following Resignation of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba
As the chart shows, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock index (Japan 225 on FXOpen) today approached its historic peak (B) around the 43,900 level.
Bullish sentiment was driven by political news. According to Reuters, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has stepped down. The leading candidate to replace him, Sanae Takaichi, is regarded as a supporter of stimulus measures and unprecedented monetary easing – a bullish factor for companies.
Technical Analysis of the Nikkei 225
As indicated by the 200- and 400-period moving averages on the 4-hour chart, Japan’s stock market remains in a long-term uptrend. This summer, index movements have been forming an ascending channel, highlighted in blue, with the lower boundary acting as strong support.
Other bullish signs include:
→ A bullish structure, highlighted by a normal pullback of around 50% (B→C) following the A→B impulse.
→ During the B→C decline, price movements formed a corridor (marked with red lines) resembling a bullish flag pattern. Its breakout suggests an attempt to resume the upward trend after an interim correction.
→ Recent price action, indicating that former resistance levels have turned into support. This applies both to the upper red line (marked with an arrow) and to last week’s former resistance at 43,150.
On the other hand:
→ Long upper shadows on today’s candles point to increased selling pressure near the historic peak.
→ The RSI indicator has risen to the overbought territory.
Given that the index is now around the median of the ascending channel (a level where supply and demand tend to balance), we could assume the market may consolidate in the short term. Possible scenarios include:
→ Attempts to break through the historic high, which may fail – potentially trapping overly optimistic participants and creating signs of a bearish ICT Liquidity Sweep pattern above peak B.
→ A correction with a retest of the 43,150 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
JP225 – Multi-Layer Entry, Smart SL & Steal Profits!🚀🇯🇵 JP225 (JAPAN 225) CFD - THIEF STRATEGY BULLISH PLAN 🇯🇵🚀
🎯 Core Trading Idea
The "Thief Strategy" uses layered limit orders to stealthily accumulate positions during bullish momentum, targeting a swift escape before key resistance levels. This approach maximizes entry efficiency while minimizing market impact – perfect for the current JP225 setup!
📊 THIEF STRATEGY EXECUTION PLAN
⚡ Entry Protocol (Layered Limit Orders)
🔰 Layer 1: 42,200
🔰 Layer 2: 42,400
🔰 Layer 3: 42,600
🔰 Layer 4: 42,800
💡 Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk tolerance and capital allocation
🛑 Stop Loss Configuration
Thief OG SL: 41,800 (Strategic support breach level)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Adjust SL based on your personal risk management rules. This is NOT financial advice.
🎯 Profit-Taking Target
Primary Escape Zone: 44,500 (Take profits before police barricade resistance at 45,000)
Remember: Escape with your stolen money wisely! Partial profits at 43,800 and 44,200 recommended
📈 WHY THIS PLAN? MARKET CONTEXT & ANALYSIS
🎯 Real-Time Index Snapshot (Sep 05, 2025)
Current Price: 43,002.00 (+423.82 / +1.00% 📈)
Monthly Gain: +5.48% (Strong momentum ✅)
Yearly Gain: +18.24% (Bullish trend intact ✅)
All-Time High: 43,876.42 (August 2025 🏆)
😰😊 Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index
Current Reading: Greed (Score ~70/100) 😊
Momentum: Strong (Above 125-day MA) 📈
Volatility: Low to Moderate 😌
Safe Haven Demand: Low 🚫
Options Activity: Neutral 📊
✅ Fundamental Drivers (BULLISH CATALYSTS)
🏎️ Trade Policy Win: U.S. auto tariffs reduced to 15% (from 27.5%) - massive boost for Japanese exporters
💰 Wage Growth Breakthrough: Real wages turned positive (+0.5%) for first time since December 2024
💵 Investment Surge: $550B Japanese investments in U.S. projects announced
🌍 Global Liquidity Support: Fed rate cut expectations supporting risk assets
🏢 Corporate Strength: Toyota (+1.98%), Honda (+1.14%), and Mitsubishi UFJ (+0.93%) leading gains
⚠️ Key Risks (BE AWARE)
💴 Yen Appreciation Risk: Potential JPY strength if U.S. accelerates rate cuts
🎯 Inflation Pressure: Consumer inflation at 3.6% (above BoJ's 2% target)
📉 Mixed Economic Signals: Coincident index dropped to 113.3 (from 116.7)
📊 Technical Assessment
🎯 Trend Structure: Bullish above 41,500 support
📊 Momentum: Strong upward trajectory with occasional consolidation
🧱 Resistance Levels: 43,900 (Recent high), 45,000 (Psychological barrier)
🛡️ Support Levels: 41,800 (Strategy SL), 41,200 (Strong weekly support)
🌐 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
FX:USDJPY - Critical for exporter competitiveness
INDEX:NKY - Nikkei 225 futures correlation
SP:SPX - Global risk sentiment gauge
OANDA:EURJPY - Yen strength indicator
📊 BULLISH/BEARISH SCORECARD
Technical: 80% Bullish ✅ | 20% Bearish
Fundamental: 75% Bullish ✅ | 25% Bearish
Sentiment: 70% Bullish ✅ | 30% Bearish
Risk/Reward: 80% Favorable ✅ | 20% Unfavorable
OVERALL: 76% BULLISH ✅ | 24% BEARISH
👑 TRADER PERSPECTIVES
🎯 Retail Traders: Optimistic but cautious near ATHs. Watch for breakout above 43,900
🏦 Institutional Flow: Accumulating on dips, focusing on exporters and tech names
🇯🇵 Domestic Investors: Positive on wage growth and trade developments
✨ "If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!"
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
This idea is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. The "Thief Strategy" is a personal approach and may not suit all traders. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk appropriately. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Trading CFDs carries substantial risk of loss.
#JP225 #Japan225 #NIKKEI #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #CFD #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #Investing #Stocks #Finance
JPN225 H4 | Bullish reversal off pullback supportJPN225 has bounced off the buy entry at 42,071.68, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 41,254.99, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 43,045.81, which is a multi swing high resitance that is slightly abov the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
JPN225 Technical Analysis: Comprehensive Nikkei 225# JPN225 Technical Analysis: Comprehensive Nikkei 225 Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy
Executive Summary
**Current Price:** 42,087.6 (August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4)
**Market Sentiment:** Bullish with consolidation signals near all-time highs
**Primary Trend:** Strong uptrend with potential for further extension
**Key Resistance:** 43,876 (recent all-time high)
The Nikkei 225 continues to demonstrate exceptional strength, trading near record levels after reaching its highest quote on August 19, 2025 at 43,876.42 JPY. The index has shown remarkable resilience with monthly gains of 5.08% and yearly gains of 10.53%, outperforming global peers while benefiting from accommodative global monetary policy and renewed investor confidence in Japanese equities.
Market Context & Fundamental Backdrop
Monetary Policy Environment
The Bank of Japan maintains a carefully balanced approach with the benchmark interest rate at 0.50 percent, representing a significant shift from the ultra-loose policies of recent years. Markets expect a gradual return to tighter policy likely starting in autumn 2025 or early 2026 if economic conditions remain favorable.
Economic Fundamentals
The Japanese economy shows signs of sustainable recovery with corporate earnings supporting equity valuations. The recent all-time highs reflect growing expectations of US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and improved global risk sentiment.
Key Market Drivers
Global Liquidity:** Fed rate cut expectations supporting risk assets
Corporate Governance:** Continued improvements in ROE and shareholder returns
Yen Dynamics:** Currency stability supporting foreign investment flows
Export Recovery:** Gradual improvement in global trade conditions
Technical Analysis Framework
Japanese Candlestick Analysis
**Monthly Pattern:** Strong bullish engulfing pattern confirming long-term uptrend
**Weekly Pattern:** Inside bar formation suggesting consolidation before next move
**Daily Pattern:** Small-bodied doji candles near highs indicating indecision
**Intraday Patterns:** Morning star and hammer formations frequent in 1H timeframe
Elliott Wave Analysis
**Primary Wave Count:**
Major Degree:** Wave 5 of multi-year bull market cycle in progress
Intermediate Degree:** Subwave 3 of 5 potentially completed near 43,876
Minor Degree:** Currently in subwave 4 correction within larger Wave 5
**Alternative Count:** Extended Wave 3 scenario targeting 45,000-46,000 zone
**Critical Levels:** Wave 4 support at 40,500-41,000 maintains bullish structure
Harmonic Pattern Analysis
**Active Patterns:**
Bullish Cypher:** Completion zone at 40,800-41,200 (potential retracement target)
AB=CD Extension:** Current formation targeting 44,200-44,800
Potential Bearish Gartley:** Formation risk above 44,500 suggesting reversal
**Fibonacci Confluence:**
- 61.8% retracement of major swing: 41,450
- 38.2% retracement: 42,650 (current area)
- 1.618 extension target: 44,200
Wyckoff Method Analysis
**Current Phase Assessment:** Sign of Strength (SOS) after successful test
**Accumulation Characteristics:**
- Volume increasing on advances, decreasing on declines
- Spring action completed in July 2025 low
- Markup phase showing healthy progression
**Composite Operator Activity:** Evidence of institutional accumulation between 40,000-42,000
W.D. Gann Technical Analysis
# Square of 9 Application
**Current Position:** 42,087.6 = 205.15° on the Gann wheel
**Key Resistance Levels:**
- 42,025 (205°) - recently tested
- 42,436 (206°) - immediate resistance
- 43,681 (209°) - major resistance near ATH
**Support Levels:**
- 41,616 (204°) - immediate support
- 41,209 (203°) - strong support zone
- 40,401 (201°) - major support level
# Time Theory Application
**Critical Time Cycles:**
- September 6-9: 90-degree time angle from major low
- September 23: Autumn equinox - natural turning point
- October 7: 180-degree time cycle completion
# Price Squaring Analysis
**Square Root of Price:** √42,087.6 = 205.15
**Next Square Levels:**
- 206² = 42,436 (immediate resistance)
- 207² = 42,849 (intermediate target)
- 210² = 44,100 (extended target)
**Previous Square Support:**
- 204² = 41,616
- 203² = 41,209
- 200² = 40,000 (psychological support)
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis
**Current Cloud Configuration:**
Tenkan-sen (9):** 42,155 - Price slightly below, neutral bias
Kijun-sen (26):** 41,920 - Price above, bullish confirmation
Senkou Span A:** 42,037 (cloud top)
Senkou Span B:** 40,885 (cloud bottom)
**Assessment:** Price trading above cloud with bullish bias intact, though near cloud resistance requiring breakout for continuation.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Indicator Analysis
5-Minute Chart (Scalping Focus)
**RSI(14):** 52.3 - Neutral zone with slight bullish bias
**VWAP:** 42,065 - Price oscillating around VWAP, indecision
**Bollinger Bands:** Middle band at 42,070, bands contracting (low volatility)
**Volume:** Below average, typical for consolidation phase
15-Minute Chart (Scalping Focus)
**MACD:** Histogram flattening, momentum slowing
**Stochastic(14,3,3):** 48.2 in neutral territory
**Williams %R:** -52% suggesting no extreme conditions
**Support/Resistance:** 42,040/42,130 key levels for range
1-Hour Chart (Day Trading)
**RSI(14):** 58.7 - Neutral with slight bullish momentum
**VWAP:** 41,995 providing dynamic support
**Moving Averages:** EMA(20) > EMA(50) maintaining bullish alignment
**Volume Profile:** High volume node at 42,000-42,100
**Key Levels:**
Resistance:** 42,150, 42,250, 42,380
Support:** 42,000, 41,920, 41,800
4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading)
**RSI(14):** 61.4 approaching overbought but not extreme
**MACD:** Positive but showing slight divergence with price
**Bollinger Bands:** Price near upper band, expansion needed for breakout
**ADX(14):** 31.2 indicating moderate trend strength
**Critical Levels:**
Primary Resistance:** 42,400-42,500
Secondary Resistance:** 43,000-43,200
Primary Support:** 41,700-41,800
Secondary Support:** 41,200-41,400
Daily Chart (Position Trading)
**RSI(14):** 64.8 in bullish territory but not overbought
**Moving Averages:** All major MAs (20, 50, 100, 200) aligned bullishly
**Volume:** Consolidation pattern with average volume
**Pattern:** Ascending triangle formation with apex near 42,400
Weekly Chart (Long-term Analysis)
**RSI(14):** 69.1 approaching overbought threshold
**MACD:** Strong positive momentum but rate of change slowing
**Long-term Trend:** Powerful uptrend since October 2024 low
**Major Resistance:** 43,876 (ATH) and 44,000-44,500 zone
Monthly Chart (Strategic View)
**RSI(14):** 73.2 significantly overbought (caution warranted)
**Long-term Pattern:** Multi-year cup and handle completion
**Measured Move Target:** 46,000-48,000 based on pattern analysis
**Support Structure:** 38,000-40,000 major support zone
Comprehensive Support and Resistance Analysis
Primary Support Structure
1. **42,000-42,050:** Psychological level with VWAP confluence
2. **41,920-41,950:** Kijun-sen and previous resistance turned support
3. **41,700-41,800:** Previous consolidation zone with volume
4. **41,400-41,500:** 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
5. **41,200-41,300:** Square of 9 support and trend line
6. **40,800-41,000:** Major support zone and Elliott Wave 4 target
7. **40,000-40,200:** Psychological and long-term trend support
Primary Resistance Structure
1. **42,150-42,200:** Immediate resistance with intraday significance
2. **42,380-42,450:** Square of 9 resistance and daily pivot
3. **42,800-43,000:** Intermediate resistance zone
4. **43,200-43,400:** Previous consolidation resistance
5. **43,800-43,900:** All-time high resistance zone
6. **44,100-44,300:** Extended targets and measured moves
7. **45,000-45,500:** Long-term bull market targets
Weekly Trading Strategy (September 2-6, 2025)
Monday, September 2, 2025
**Market Environment:** Post-weekend positioning, likely range-bound opening
**Primary Strategy:** Range trading with breakout preparation
**Volatility Expectation:** Below average due to consolidation phase
**Intraday Trading Levels:**
Long Entry Zone:** 42,020-42,040
- Stop Loss: 41,980
- Target 1: 42,090 (1:1 R/R)
- Target 2: 42,140 (1:2 R/R)
Short Entry Zone:** 42,140-42,160
- Stop Loss: 42,200
- Target 1: 42,090 (1:1 R/R)
- Target 2: 42,040 (1:2 R/R)
**Swing Setup:** Monitor for break above 42,200 for continuation to 42,400
Tuesday, September 3, 2025
**Market Environment:** Potential volatility increase, global macro focus
**Primary Strategy:** Momentum trading with trend following bias
**Key Events:** Watch for any BOJ communication or USD/JPY moves
**Trading Approach:**
Bullish Scenario:** Break above 42,200 targets 42,350-42,400
- Entry: 42,210-42,230
- Stop: 42,150
- Targets: 42,320, 42,400
Bearish Scenario:** Break below 42,000 targets 41,850-41,900
- Entry: 41,990-42,010
- Stop: 42,050
- Targets: 41,920, 41,850
**Risk Management:** Reduce position sizes by 25% given potential volatility
Wednesday, September 4, 2025
**Market Environment:** Mid-week consolidation expected
**Primary Strategy:** Scalping within established range
**Focus:** High-frequency opportunities with tight risk management
**Scalping Strategy:**
Range Parameters:** 42,000-42,180
Long Scalps:** 42,010-42,025, Target: 42,070-42,090
Short Scalps:** 42,150-42,165, Target: 42,100-42,080
Stop Losses:** 15-20 points maximum for scalp trades
**Breakout Preparation:**
Bullish Breakout:** Above 42,200 with volume confirmation
Bearish Breakdown:** Below 41,980 with increased selling pressure
Thursday, September 5, 2025
**Market Environment:** Potential trending day, higher volatility expected
**Primary Strategy:** Breakout trading with momentum confirmation
**Critical Factors:** Volume analysis crucial for sustained moves
**Breakout Scenarios:**
Upside Breakout:** Above 42,250
- Targets: 42,400, 42,550, 42,700
- Volume Requirement: 1.5x average
- Stop Loss: 42,150
Downside Breakdown:** Below 41,950
- Targets: 41,800, 41,650, 41,500
- Volume Requirement: 1.3x average
- Stop Loss: 42,050
**Position Management:**
- Scale into positions on confirmed breakouts
- Trail stops aggressively after first target achieved
Friday, September 6, 2025
**Market Environment:** Weekly close positioning, potential profit-taking
**Primary Strategy:** End-of-week consolidation trading
**Focus:** Weekly close levels for next week's setup
**Weekly Close Strategy:**
Bullish Close:** Above 42,150 sets up next week advance
Neutral Close:** 42,000-42,150 maintains current range
Bearish Close:** Below 42,000 suggests correction risk
**Day Trading Approach:**
Morning Session:** Trend continuation from Thursday
Afternoon Session:** Range trading and position squaring
Final Hour:** Light volume, avoid new large positions
Advanced Risk Management Framework
Position Sizing Guidelines
**Account Risk per Trade:**
5M Scalping:** 0.25-0.5% maximum risk
15M Scalping:** 0.5-0.75% maximum risk
1H Day Trading:** 1-1.5% maximum risk
4H Swing Trading:** 1.5-2% maximum risk
Daily Position Trading:** 2-3% maximum risk
Stop Loss Parameters
**Timeframe-Specific Stops:**
5-Minute Charts:** 30-50 points maximum
15-Minute Charts:** 50-80 points maximum
1-Hour Charts:** 80-120 points maximum
4-Hour Charts:** 150-250 points maximum
Daily Charts:** 300-500 points maximum
Profit-Taking Strategy
**Systematic Approach:**
First Target (50% position):** 1:1 Risk/Reward ratio
Second Target (30% position):** 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio
Third Target (20% position):** 1:3+ Risk/Reward ratio
Trailing Stops:** Implement after first target achievement
Maximum Daily Loss Limits
Scalping Combined:** -1% of account maximum
Day Trading:** -2% of account maximum
Swing Positions:** -3% of account maximum
Total Portfolio:** -5% daily stop loss (all strategies combined)
Geopolitical and Market Risk Assessment
Domestic Risk Factors
**Bank of Japan Policy:**
- Expected gradual tightening starting autumn 2025
- Communication changes could trigger volatility
- Yield curve control adjustments impacting bond markets
**Economic Indicators:**
- Corporate earnings season performance
- Wage growth and inflation data
- Consumer spending patterns
International Risk Factors
**US Federal Reserve Policy:**
- Interest rate cut expectations driving current rally
- Any hawkish surprises could trigger risk-off sentiment
- Dollar strength impacting Japanese export competitiveness
**China Economic Data:**
- Manufacturing PMI and economic indicators
- Trade relationship developments
- Commodity demand affecting Japanese materials sector
**Geopolitical Considerations:**
- Regional security tensions
- Trade policy developments
- Energy security concerns
Currency Risk (USD/JPY Impact)
**Current Dynamics:**
- Yen stability supporting foreign investment
- Intervention risk if excessive yen weakness
- Carry trade dynamics affecting equity flows
**Key Levels to Monitor:**
- USD/JPY above 155: Intervention risk increases
- USD/JPY below 140: Export competitiveness concerns
- Current range 145-150 supportive for equities
Sector Analysis and Rotation Themes
Outperforming Sectors
1. **Technology:** AI and semiconductor strength
2. **Financial Services:** Rising rate environment benefits
3. **Export-Oriented Manufacturing:** Stable yen supporting margins
4. **Tourism and Services:** Domestic consumption recovery
Underperforming Sectors
1. **Utilities:** Interest rate sensitivity
2. **Real Estate:** Commercial property concerns
3. **Traditional Retail:** E-commerce competition
4. **Energy Imports:** Cost pressures from global prices
Rotation Indicators
Growth vs Value:** Currently favoring quality growth
Domestic vs Export:** Balanced performance
Large Cap vs Small Cap:** Large cap leadership maintained
Advanced Pattern Recognition
Ichimoku Trading Signals
**Current Setup:** Tenkan/Kijun twist near cloud top
**Bullish Signals:** Price above cloud, future cloud bullish
**Entry Trigger:** Break above Tenkan-sen with volume
**Exit Signal:** Return below Kijun-sen or cloud
Gann-Based Trade Setups
**Square of 9 Long:** Buy at 203° (41,209) target 206° (42,436)
**Square of 9 Short:** Sell at 206° (42,436) target 203° (41,209)
**Time Cycles:** Major turns expected September 6-9 window
Wyckoff Phase Analysis
**Current Assessment:** Markup Phase B
**Expected Development:** Test of supply around 43,000
**Bullish Continuation:** Successful test leads to Phase C
**Distribution Risk:** Heavy volume above 43,500 warns of Phase A
Market Microstructure Considerations
High-Frequency Trading Impact
**Active Zones:** Increased HFT activity around 42,000 and 42,200
**Optimal Entry Times:** 9:00-9:30 JST and 14:30-15:00 JST
**Liquidity Concerns:** Reduced depth above 43,000 level
Algorithmic Trading Patterns
**Support/Resistance:** Algorithms defending 42,000 level
**Momentum Algos:** Active above 42,200 breakout level
**Mean Reversion:** Strong between 42,000-42,150 range
Order Flow Analysis
**Large Block Activity:** Evidence near 42,000 support
**Institutional Flows:** Accumulation on weakness below 42,000
**Retail Sentiment:** Generally bullish but positioning light
Technology Integration and Tools
Recommended Platforms
1. **TradingView:** Comprehensive charting and analysis
2. **MT5/MT4:** Order execution and automation
3. **Bloomberg Terminal:** Real-time data and news flow
4. **Refinitiv Eikon:** Fundamental analysis integration
Alert Systems
**Price Alerts:**
- 42,200 breakout level
- 42,000 breakdown level
- 43,000 major resistance
- 41,500 major support
**Volume Alerts:**
- 1.5x average volume spikes
- Unusual options activity
- Block trade notifications
**News Alerts:**
- BOJ communications
- Economic data releases
- Geopolitical developments
- Corporate earnings surprises
Seasonal and Cyclical Analysis
Historical Patterns
**September Performance:** Typically weak month for Japanese equities
**Q4 Seasonality:** Strong performance into year-end typically
**Monthly Cycles:** Pension fund flows mid-month supporting prices
Holiday Calendar Impact
**Labor Day (Sep 2):** Reduced US market activity
**Autumnal Equinox (Sep 23):** Japanese market closed
**Sports Day (Oct 13):** Market holiday consideration
Conclusion and Strategic Outlook
The Nikkei 225 stands at a critical inflection point, having achieved new all-time highs while showing signs of consolidation near these elevated levels. The technical picture remains constructively bullish across most timeframes, though some overbought conditions on longer-term charts warrant measured optimism.
**Key Investment Themes:**
1. **Trend Continuation:** Primary uptrend intact with higher high potential
2. **Range Trading Opportunity:** 42,000-42,400 range likely to persist near-term
3. **Breakout Preparation:** Accumulation above 42,400 could trigger significant advance
4. **Risk Management Priority:** Elevated levels require disciplined position sizing
**Week Ahead Strategy:**
- Favor range trading initially with breakout preparation
- Monitor volume carefully for sustained directional moves
- Reduce position sizes given September seasonality concerns
- Focus on high-probability setups with multiple confluence factors
**Medium-term Outlook (1-3 months):**
The combination of supportive global liquidity conditions, improving Japanese corporate fundamentals, and technical momentum suggests potential for further advances toward 44,000-45,000. However, traders should remain vigilant for any shift in central bank communications or global risk sentiment that could trigger meaningful corrections.
**Risk Scenarios:**
Bullish Case:** Break above 43,900 targets 45,000-46,000
Base Case:** Consolidation between 41,500-43,500 through September
Bearish Case:** Break below 41,000 suggests correction to 39,000-40,000
The technical analysis framework presented incorporates multiple methodologies to provide robust trade identification and risk management protocols. Market participants should adapt position sizes and holding periods based on their risk tolerance and market conditions while maintaining disciplined adherence to the technical levels identified.
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*This analysis represents a comprehensive technical assessment based on multiple methodologies and should be combined with proper risk management and individual risk tolerance considerations. Markets can exhibit unexpected behavior, and all trading decisions should incorporate current market conditions and individual financial circumstances.*
JPN225 H4 | Could the price drop from hereJPN225 is rising towards the sell entry at 42,648.22, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 43,358.98, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 41,323.33, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Rally Japanese style: #NIKKEI breaks recordsOn August 18, 2025, #NIKKEI hit a new all-time high (43,929). The main driver of growth was the weakening of the yen , which instantly improved export expectations and pushed up automakers: Toyota and Honda were among the leaders. plus positive corporate outlooks and an influx of foreign money amid global expectations of interest rate cuts. Banks and some chip stocks pulled in the opposite direction that day, but the weight of the auto sector and consumer leaders was enough to make the session a “record-breaking” one.
#NIKKEI on the rise: 5 keys to growth in 2025:
1. Yen exchange rate ↔ exports . A weak/volatile yen supports the margins and multipliers of exporters (automotive, industrial electronics), so any periods of currency weakness remain a catalyst for the index.
2. Soft global “rate” background . The market is pricing in a high probability of an Fed rate cut; the cheaper dollar and general risk appetite are fueling flows into Japanese stocks, especially beneficiaries of external demand.
3. Corporate reforms and buybacks . Strengthened corporate governance practices, stock market pressure to increase ROE/PB, and growth in share buyback programs remain long-term supports for the rally.
4. Industrial cycle: automotive and “new electronics.” Models with high export leverage (automotive, EV/ADAS components, semiconductor equipment) are benefiting from global fleet renewal and growth in technology CAPEX, which is maintaining the profitability of Nikkei's “core” weights. (Inference based on current trends and index structure; confirmed by the composition of session leaders.)
5. Domestic demand and earnings . Moderate wage growth and improved corporate earnings forecasts for the second half of the year are boosting the resilience of domestic demand — another plus for estimates.
The current surge is a classic mix of a weak yen + strong exporters + soft global rates . If corporate reforms and buybacks continue to work and external demand does not “collapse,” the #NIKKEI has a chance to stay close to record levels. FreshForex analysts remind us of the possible risks — a sharp reversal of the yen, delays in trade agreements, and possible tightening by the Bank of Japan — but the underlying backdrop is still playing in favor of the bulls.
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Hits 8-Month Low (July/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
July/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- Japan’s annual inflation rate eased to 3.1% in July 2025 from 3.3% in June, the lowest since November 2024.
The moderation was driven by falling electricity prices and flat gas costs, which helped offset a faster rise in food prices, largely fueled by surging rice costs. Core inflation also stood at 3.1%, in line with the headline rate but slightly above market expectations of 3.0%.
NIKKEI FUTURES: Liquidity Hunt → Rally → Major Correction SetupSharing my current outlook on Nikkei futures with a simple but effective read. 📈
**🎯 My Expectation:**
I'm anticipating a classic liquidity grab below recent lows, followed by another leg higher. After this move, we might see a more significant corrective pullback. 📉
**📍 Target Zone:**
A move up to around 44,500 would provide an ideal setup. This level would create what looks like the second touch of a potential double top pattern - that's where I'm planning to take profits. 🎯
**🧠 Market Structure Logic:**
This type of move is textbook market behavior: sweep the weak hands out with a liquidity grab below support, then drive price higher to collect stops above resistance. Simple, but effective. 🔄
**⚠️ What I'm Watching:**
- Clean break below recent lows (liquidity hunt)
- Quick reversal and momentum shift upward
- Approach to the 44,500 area for potential double top formation
**📊 Risk Consideration:**
If we don't see the expected liquidity grab first, or if price breaks structure in an unexpected way, I'll reassess the setup. The beauty of having a plan is knowing when it's not working. 🛑
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
The NIKKEI 225 reached a new high on strong Japanese Q2 GDP
Japanese equities extended their rally last week, supported by strong economic data and expectations of Fed rate cuts. Notably, Japan’s Q2 GDP exceeded consensus, helping propel the market to fresh highs. GDP grew 1.0% YoY (prev. 0.6%, cons. 0.4%), easing recession fears despite lingering uncertainty over Japan-US tariff negotiations throughout the quarter. The achievement drew particular market attention, given the challenging trade backdrop.
Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Bessent sparked controversy by openly pressuring the BoJ to tighten policy, citing Japan’s inflation as a severe problem. Markets cautioned that if such remarks were to influence actual policy action, investors could view a BoJ rate hike as politically driven, complicating its execution.
NIKKEI 225 breached above the ascending channel’s upper bound and set a new high. The widening gap between both EMAs suggests the potential extension of bullish momentum. If NIKKEI 225 holds above the channel’s upper bound, the index may test the resistance at 44000. Conversely, if NIKKEI 225 reenters the channel and breaks below the support at 42115, the index could retreat toward the next support at 40800.
Nikkei 225 Index Sets All-Time RecordNikkei 225 Index Sets All-Time Record
As the chart shows, the Nikkei 225 stock index (Japan 225 on FXOpen) rose today to the 43,000-point level, thereby:
→ surpassing its 2024 peak;
→ setting a new all-time high.
Bullish sentiment has been driven by strong quarterly earnings reports from Japanese companies and expectations regarding the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Optimism was further reinforced by news of extended trade negotiations between the United States and China. According to Reuters, the decision to prolong the tariff truce between the world’s two largest economies by a further 90 days has improved the outlook for global trade.
Technical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Chart
Earlier this month, we:
→ identified an ascending channel formed by price fluctuations in 2025;
→ suggested that bullish momentum would likely be sufficient to attempt a breakout above the 42k level;
→ noted that optimism might wane if the price approached the channel’s upper boundary.
Since then:
→ the channel has remained valid, as has the intermediate trendline (marked in orange) of the uptrend;
→ following a brief consolidation, the price broke above the 42,500 level on a long bullish candle.
However, the subsequent bearish candles appear to signal the start of a short-term correction, which is reasonable given the RSI indicator’s overbought reading. In this scenario, the correction could extend, for example, to the 42,000 level – a psychological mark where the 2025 high had previously been located.
In the longer term, a bearish scenario cannot be ruled out. Note the candle marked with an arrow: although it appears strongly bullish at first glance, the sharp surge could be linked to a buying climax and the beginning of a distribution phase (as per Richard Wyckoff’s theory).
Given that the index is at record highs, major market participants may use the positive news flow to lock in profits and sell assets at elevated prices. Confidence in this hypothesis would be reinforced if today’s sharp rise is soon reversed, signalling the bulls’ failure to maintain control at these record levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nikkei 225 Index Rises Towards the 42,000 LevelNikkei 225 Index Rises Towards the 42,000 Level
As the chart indicates, the Nikkei 225 stock index has today risen to the 42,000 mark, which is just below its all-time high.
Among the bullish drivers:
→ Corporate news. Strong quarterly results were reported by Sony Group and SoftBank.
→ Trade agreement developments. Positive news flow surrounds a potential tariff agreement between the United States and Japan, which could be finalised in the near term. According to Reuters, the Japanese government stated on Thursday that the US has pledged to adjust overlapping tariffs on Japanese goods to avoid double taxation.
Technical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Chart
Previously, we highlighted the ascending channel that has shaped price action throughout 2025. This pattern remains valid, with the price now entering the upper half of the channel. The channel’s median line might act as a support level going forward.
The recent price behaviour attracts attention: a long bullish candle has formed on the chart – immediately following a breakout above the 41,280 resistance level (as indicated by the arrow). This signals a clear imbalance in favour of buyers.
From a bearish perspective:
→ The psychological resistance at 42,000 may hold – in late July, the price failed to stay above this level.
→ The RSI indicator has entered overbought territory.
→ Failure by the bulls to sustain a break above 42,000 could validate a potential Double Top bearish pattern.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The price might advance towards the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
→ The bullish candle displays characteristics of an FVG (Fair Value Gap) bullish pattern, which might serve as a future support level.
→ Further support could be provided by the orange trendline, as well as the former resistance at 41,280.
A bullish breakout attempt above 42,000 cannot be ruled out. However, will market optimism persist if the price approaches the upper limit of the channel?
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
JPN225 H4 | Bearish reversalJapan 225 Index (JPN225) is reacting off the sell entry which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse from this level oculd indicating a double top pattern which might lead to a potential price drop to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 42,043.92, which is a swing high resistance.
Stop loss is at 42,794.15, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 41,269.97, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nikkei primary trend remains bullish.NIK225 - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around significant highs.
The primary trend remains bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 40385.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
We look to Buy at 40405 (stop at 40105)
Our profit targets will be 41305 and 41455
Resistance: 40895 / 41043 / 41315
Support: 40635 / 40375 / 40000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
JP225 Long Trap or Bull Escape? Heist in Motion.🦹♂️🎯 JP225 Ninja Heist: Breakout Loot Plan 💥💰 (Long Game Playbook)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Assallamu Allaikum!🌟
Dear Money Makers, Market Raiders & Silent Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
It’s time to gear up for the ultimate breakout heist on the JP225 / NIKKEI Index CFD Market. Based on my 🔥Thief Trading style🔥—a mix of slick technical strategy and deep fundamental recon—this operation is primed for a bullish break-in.
🧠 Plan of Attack:
Our team is targeting a long-side entry only, aiming to loot the market before it hits the Electric Trap Resistance Zone ⚡—a known danger zone where big bears lie in wait. Let’s outsmart them!
🚪 Entry Plan – The Door to Gold
📈 "The heist is on once we crack that resistance vault!"
📍Trigger: Wait for candle close above 40,100 – that's your breakout cue.
🧲Pullback Setup: Place Buy Limit near recent swing low on the 15/30 min timeframe, or stack multiple DCA-style orders to scale in silently.
🔔 Don’t forget to set alerts—you snooze, you lose.
🛡️ Stop Loss – Don’t Get Caught
🛑 "Keep your escape plan ready, always!"
📍Preferred SL: Recent swing low on 4H timeframe @ 39,500
🎯 Adjust based on your risk level and lot sizing.
🧠 Smart robbers move stop loss only after breakout confirmation—don’t let hesitation cost you your cut.
🎯 Profit Target – Secure the Bag
🏴☠️ Escape Plan: Aim for 41,200 or bail early if the scene gets messy.
Use trailing SLs to protect your stash.
Scalpers, only play long side. Let the swing traders set the traps while you slice the pie.
📊 Why This Trade Works:
JP225 is currently fueled by:
🔼 Strong bullish momentum
🔍 Technical breakout setup
💹 Fundamental backdrop: macro trends, institutional flow, COT report, and global sentiment lining up like guards on break
🗞️ Want more intel? Check out the broaderr macroeconomic, sentiment, and positioning insights 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ Risk Management Alert:
📰 During news hours, don’t act greedy.
❌ Avoid entries near big news drops.
✅ Use trailing SLs to protect profits from volatility whiplash.
❤️ Robbery Crew Boost Request
💥Hit that Boost if this plan helps you grab the market loot!
Let’s grow our Thief Trading Army together—every trader deserves a smooth escape and a fat wallet 🏆💪💸
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a masterplan from a fellow market raider. Adapt your risk and strategy based on your own style. Markets can flip faster than you can say “bank run”—stay updated, stay sharp, and stay stealthy. 🕶️
🎭 See you at the next heist.
Nikkei 225 D1 | Strong upward momentumThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 40,670.02 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 39,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% and 50% Fibonacci retracements.
Take profit is at 42,550.16 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nikkei 225 Index Surges Above 41,000 PointsNikkei 225 Index Surges Above 41,000 Points
As the chart indicates, the value of the Nikkei 225 stock index has risen above the 41,000-point level — its highest mark since July 2024.
The primary bullish driver is the conclusion of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan. According to media reports, the deal will involve Japan paying a 15% duty on exports to the US, down from the previous 25% tariff. Shares of automotive companies are among the top gainers on the Japanese stock market.
European stock indices have also risen, as EU officials are scheduled to visit Washington on Wednesday, raising hopes for a potential US-EU trade agreement.
Technical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Chart
Approximately a month ago, we outlined an ascending channel based on the price fluctuations observed in 2025. This formation remains relevant, and:
→ The price has moved into the upper half of the channel, suggesting that the median line may act as a support level going forward.
→ The nature of the latest price action is worth noting: as an immediate reaction to the news of the deal, two long bullish candles formed on the chart. However, once the price reached its 2025 high, upward momentum slowed sharply.
→ The RSI indicator signals overbought conditions.
Thus, it is reasonable to assume that, following an approximate 3.6% surge over an eight-hour period, the bullish momentum may have largely been exhausted. Nikkei 225 (Japan 225 on FXOpen) could now be vulnerable to a pullback, potentially towards the median line. Nonetheless, the ultimate direction will be shaped primarily by fundamental news.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Hits 7-Month Low (June/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 3.3%
June/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
-Japan’s annual inflation rate eased to 3.3% in June 2025 from 3.5% in May, marking the lowest reading since last November, as a sharp slowdown in electricity and gas prices offset persistent upward pressure from rice.
Core inflation also matched the headline rate at 3.3%, pointing to a three-month low and aligning with expectations.
Nikkei 225 H4 | Swing-high resistance at 50% Fibo retracementThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 40,069.57 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 40,350.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 39,371.10 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
JXY with JXY looking monthly downside and DXY looing upside i will be looking for 35 years breakout of usdjpy meanning uj is a long therm upside
How to View the Assets in Japan
It should be noted that many of the assets the government owns are not marketable, or, if so, their
price can sharply drop in the case of fiscal crisis. Therefore, the financial situation should be assessed
first by gross debt.
In addition, the assets earmarked with the liabilities (such as pension reserves and FILP loans) are
not directly related to fiscal consolidation because they are not included in “Bonds outstanding of
central and local governments”, which is the benchmark of fiscal consolidation target
Nikkei 225 H1 | Swing-high resistance at a Fibo confluence zoneThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 40,196.22 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 127.2% extension.
Stop loss is at 40,480.00 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 39,712.53 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nikkei 225 H1 | Potential bullish bounceThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 39,552.68 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 38,850.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 40,453.12 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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