Selena | USDJPY–Japenese Yen |Demand Hold After CHoCH |BUY SETUPFX:USDJPY
After breaking the previous internal bearish structure (CHoCH), price continued higher and formed higher highs and higher lows inside an ascending channel. A liquidity sweep below the channel followed by strong rejection suggests smart money accumulation. Price is now reacting from demand, favoring continuation toward upside liquidity and previous highs.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
As long as price holds above the marked demand zone and channel support, continuation toward upper channel resistance and external liquidity remains the primary bias.
🎯 Target 1: Channel high
🎯 Target 2: Previous high / buy-side liquidity
🎯 Target 3: Trendline extension
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and close below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the bullish continuation and expose price to deeper retracement.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 157.20 – 157.70
Support 🟢: Demand zone + channel base
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Jpy
Falling towards 61.8% Fib support?GBP/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 211.94
1st Support: 210.91
1st Resistance: 214.26
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Selena | USDJPY–4H|Bullish Channel, Compression Before ExpansionFX:USDJPY
USDJPY remains in a strong bullish market structure with higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation below resistance suggests liquidity build-up, not weakness. As long as price holds above the internal demand zone and channel support, upside continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. A shallow pullback would strengthen continuation rather than invalidate it.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Holding above demand + channel support opens continuation toward higher liquidity zones above 160.00.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Clean breakdown and acceptance below channel support invalidates bullish bias and exposes a deeper corrective leg.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 158.80 – 159.20
Support 🟢: 156.20 – 155.80
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fib resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 106.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 106.69
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 105.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal setup?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 158.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 159.32
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/JPY Finally Pulls Back - Structure in-PlaceUSD/JPY has been flying-higher even as the US Dollar has faced it's own struggles in varying ways over the past four months. This has made for more accommodative backdrops in pairs like EUR/JPY or GBP/JPY, but the one that really gets the attention of the Finance Ministry in Japan is the USD/JPY pair, and the recent rally and breakout running towards 160.00 have brought another series of comments designed to stall the sell-off in JPY and the rally in USD/JPY.
This seems unlikely to be enough to reverse the pair's rally, at least until we get something in the form of actual intervention, which could compel a stop run as the trend in the pair has become more and more one-sided.
At this point, the current pullback seems to be profit taking and squaring up helped along both by that veiled threat of intervention along with a 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' announcement on snap elections announced by Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi.
While Takaichi is unlikely to support a significant run of rate hikes from the BoJ, USD/JPY getting above the 160.00 handle produces an environment that will likely be unwanted by both US and Japanese policymakers, and it was the comment from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama that she has been in communication with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent that seems to have really gotten the attention of market participants.
That could, potentially, lead to some form of swap agreement between the two countries but something of that nature would likely be incredibly complicated, and would need to be driven by fear with continued breakout in the USD/JPY pair. This is why I think both GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY could carry more long-term potential, but for now, structure is bullish in USD/JPY, as well, and the door remains open for continuation.
For support - we're coming up on a test of a prior swing-high at 157.90, and that's followed by a zone from 156.67-157.17, and then there's an 's3' zone from 154.45-155.00.
If that third zone gets taken out, it'll seem as though something had shifted, and it's time to reassess. - js
Elite | USDJPY – H1 | Range Compression & Key Decision ZoneFX:USDJPY
The pair remains range-bound between 157.75 resistance and 155.80–156.00 support. Current price action reflects equilibrium, with liquidity resting above range highs and below range lows. Directional bias will depend on confirmation, not anticipation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
– Hold above range mid + trendline
– H1 close above 157.75 → Bullish BOS
🎯 Target 1: 158.20
🎯 Target 2: 159.00
🎯 Target 3: 160.00 (HTF liquidity)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
– Failure at range mid
– Acceptance below 155.80
🎯 Downside Target: 154.35
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 157.75
Support 🟢: 156.00
Invalidation ❌: H1 close below 155.80
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish ContinuationThe price could fall to our buy entry which has been identified as a pullbak support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 157.89, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 159.29, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
USD/JPY(20260114)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The U.S. Labor Department reported on Tuesday that the U.S. CPI rose 2.7% year-on-year in December, unchanged from November. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the core CPI rose 2.6% year-on-year, also unchanged from November. Both figures were below market expectations.
On Tuesday, traders increased their bets that the Federal Reserve might not wait until Fed Chairman Powell's term ends in May to cut interest rates. While traders still believe a June rate cut is the most likely outcome, the latest data projects a 42% probability of a Fed rate cut in April, up from 38% before the data release.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
158.72
Support and Resistance Levels:
160.01
159.53
159.22
158.23
157.91
157.43
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 159.22, consider buying with a first target price of 159.53.
If the price breaks below 158.72, consider selling with a first target price of 158.23.
Falling towards pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st reiststance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 157.60
1st Support: 156.74
1st Resistance: 158.85
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USD/JPY(20260116)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The Bank of Japan will announce its next policy decision on January 23. Officials believe that maintaining the interest rate at 0.75% (the highest level in 30 years) is appropriate. Sources say the committee will make its final policy decision after monitoring economic data and financial markets until the last minute. Sources also indicate that given inflation trends are approaching its 2% target, officials will be watching how the yen affects underlying inflation, including price expectations for households and businesses.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
158.56
Support and Resistance Levels:
159.22
158.98
158.82
158.31
158.15
157.90
Trading Strategy:
A break above 158.82: Consider buying, first target price 158.98.
A break below 158.56: Consider selling, first target price 158.31.
Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 91.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 91.79
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 90.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD JPY long. As discussed yesterday As discussed, I've been waiting for the JPY post verbal intervention strength to show signs of reversal.
It's a 25 pip stop loss with 37.5 pip profit target. The profit target is well below recent highs.
The risks to the trade are escalation in Iran, the BOJ, US data which I will trade through. Or the fact, there is only a 30 min swing to place a stop loss behind.
Bullish bounce?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which serves as pullback support and could bounce back to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 113.53
1st Support: 112.96
1st Resistance: 114.52
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 106.19
1st Support: 105.49
1st Resistance: 106.68
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish boounce off 61.8% Fib support?NZD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 90.75
1st Support: 90.17
1st Resistance: 91.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
CADJPY ShortHi Traders, I have analysed this pair and from my point of view the channel has been broken. Taking in account that yen for long time has been weak, perhaps is the time to show up a little retracement of strength. The latest high is not acting as a resistance, so i expect the price to plunge for this pair.
Persistent yen weakness is lifting USDJPY
The yen continues to trade on a structurally weak footing as Japan’s persistently accommodative monetary stance contrasts with growing skepticism over further Fed rate cuts. Japan’s Katayama voiced concern over the one-sided depreciation of the yen, stressing that US Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed similar concerns following bilateral discussions.
Today’s US inflation data will have a direct impact on the dollar’s valuation and could drive heightened volatility in the yen.
USDJPY surged sharply, breaking above 159.00. Diverging bullish EMAs indicate a potential extension of the uptrend. If USDJPY closes above 159.00, the price may advance toward 159.50. Conversely, if USDJPY breaks below 159.00, the price could decline further toward 158.50.
Bullish momentum to extend?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 184.27
1st Support: 183.60
1st Resistance: 185.35
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish continuation setup?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 105.71
1st Support: 105.07
1st Resistance: 106.66
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Falling towards pullback support?NZD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 90.75
1st Support: 90.17
1st Resistance: 91.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Could we see a reversal from here?GBP/JPY could rise towards the resistance level, which aligns with the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci projections and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 214.60
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci projections.
Stop loss: 215.71
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 211.99
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.






















