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ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis Week of January 26-30, 2026ES FUTURES | Week of Jan 26-30, 2026 | FOMC + Mag 7 Collision ES closed Friday at 6,914.50 — sitting at equilibrium ahead of the most catalyst-dense week of Q1. KEY CATALYSTS Tue-Wed: FOMC Meeting — 94% hold at 3.50-3.75%, Powell speaks Wed 2:30 PM Wed AMC: MSFT, META, TSLA earnings Thu 8:30 AM: Q4 GDP — Atlanta Fed nowcast 5.37% (HOT) Thu AMC: AAPL earnings Fri: PCE Inflation, Month-end flows Wild cards: Fed Chair replacement speculation, Trump-Canada 100% tariff threat, Winter storm (150M affected) SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT VIX: 16.09 (complacent) SKEW: 148 (hidden tail risk) Put/Call: 0.76 (neutral) AAII Bulls: 43% (elevated) NAAIM: 88% invested Credit Spreads: Tight (risk-on) DIX: 45%+ (dark pool buying) Margin Debt: $1.225T ATH Read: Retail bullish, institutions hedging. Late-cycle but no crash signals. KEY LEVELS Resistance: 6,956-6,970 — PWH/PDH cluster 7,040 — 4H Strong High (90%) 7,100-7,150 — Fib extensions Support: 6,892-6,907 — 1H Fibs 6,875-6,880 — Weekly EQ (key) 6,857-6,860 — PWL 6,820 — 1H Weak Low TRADE IDEA — MONDAY Bias: Long on dip Setup: Buy pullback to 6,875-6,892 support cluster Stop: Below 6,857 Targets: 6,911 then 6,948 then 6,970 Why: Pre-FOMC consolidation typical, strong breadth (65% beating SPX — 2nd best in 50 yrs), dips being bought, no bearish trigger until Wed. Invalidation: Close below 6,857 or VIX above 20 sustained. RISK FACTORS Intel crashed 17% Fri — semi headwind DXY collapsing (97.17) — policy uncertainty Gold $5,044 / Silver $107 — safe haven bid Hot GDP could trigger hawkish Fed repricing SCENARIOS Bullish (25%): Break above 6,970 targets 7,040-7,100 Range (50%): Chop 6,880-6,970 until Wed Bearish (25%): Break below 6,857 targets 6,820-6,780 RESPECT THE RANGE UNTIL PROVEN OTHERWISE. Good Luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
MNQ (15m) POI Map — Why These Levels Matter and how to use themMNQ (15m) POI Map — Why These Levels Matter (and how I’m using them) I don’t like “winging it” once the market starts moving fast. So before the session (or during quieter pre-market hours), I mark **Points of Interest (POIs)** that I expect price to **react from**—either as support/resistance, liquidity targets, or “decision zones” where bias can flip. These POIs are not magic lines. They’re **locations where order flow has already proven itself**, and where I want to be *ready* instead of *surprised*. --- ## How I chose these POIs (my filter) Each POI on this chart was mapped using 3 things: 1. **Structure (15m swings / pivots)** Where price previously *broke structure* or *rejected hard*. 2. **Liquidity (obvious targets)** Equal highs/lows, clean swing points, and “everyone sees it” areas where stops sit. 3. **Reaction history (clean reactions)** Levels that have already caused a noticeable bounce, stall, or reversal = worth respecting again. --- ## The Levels (Bull POIs) ### **BULL POI #1 — 25,810.50** This is my **first decision level** in the current zone. It’s the closest “line in the sand” where: * Holding above it keeps bullish continuation alive * Losing it opens the door for a rotation back into the lower POIs **How I use it:** If we tag this area and **hold/accept above** (strong bodies, wicks getting bought, reclaim after a sweep), I’m looking for longs targeting the next POI up. --- ### **BULL POI #2 — 25,874.25** This one is a **higher pivot / reaction zone**—the type of level where price often: * pauses to consolidate * rejects for a pullback * or breaks through and turns into support **How I use it:** If price is trending up, this is a logical **first major target** and a spot to either scale profit or look for a clean break-and-retest to continue. --- ### **BULL POI #3 — 25,927.00** This is a **liquidity + swing area**. It’s the kind of level that’s attractive for: * stop runs above prior highs * profit-taking * reversal setups if momentum stalls **How I use it:** I treat this as a “reaction expected” level. If we arrive with weak momentum, I’m cautious chasing longs into it. --- ### **BULL POI #4 — 25,949.25** This is my **upper extreme POI**—usually a bigger “decision area” where: * late longs get trapped if momentum dies * reversals can form (especially after a sweep) * or we get continuation if the tape is strong **How I use it:** I’m more likely to **take profit into this** than initiate fresh longs unless the market is clearly in expansion. --- ## The Levels (Bear POIs) ### **BEAR POI #1 — ~25,754 zone (25,754.25 on my map)** This is my **bearish trigger / pivot**. If price loses Bull POI #1 and continues lower, this becomes the next major “prove it” level. **How I use it:** If we break down into this area and **reject** (heavy wicks, failed reclaim), I’ll look for continuation shorts toward the next bear POIs. --- ### **BEAR POI #2 — 25,649.75** This is a deeper **demand/reaction pocket**—a level I expect price to *respect* or at least *pause* at. **How I use it:** This is a common “bounce zone.” If shorts are in profit, I’m scaling here. If we sweep it and reclaim, I’m watching for reversal setups. --- ### **BEAR POI #3 — 25,622.25** This is the **lower extreme / liquidity pool** level—where panic moves can exhaust and snap back. **How I use it:** I’m not trying to short *into* this level late. This is where I expect **either**: * a final flush and reversal attempt **or** * a strong breakdown continuation (if the day is truly risk-off) --- ## The whole point of mapping POIs These levels give me a simple plan: * **Hold above Bull POI #1 → bullish bias stays active** * **Lose Bull POI #1 → expect rotation to Bear POI #1** * **Each POI is either a target, a reaction zone, or a bias flip zone** I’m not predicting. I’m preparing. --- ## Execution Rules (what I wait for at a POI) At any POI, I want confirmation like: * **Sweep + reclaim** (liquidity grab then strong close back through) * **Break + retest** (clean structure change) * **Rejection candles** (wicks + follow-through away from the level) * **Acceptance** (multiple closes above/below = level flips) Then I manage risk using a simple concept: **Invalidation goes just beyond the POI. Targets are the next POI.** --- ### If you’re using my tool stack: These POIs pair well with: * **ORB direction/bias** * **VWAP/EMA context** * **Reversal confirmations** (only when the POI + context agree) --- **Not financial advice. Futures are high risk—size accordingly and protect your downside.** If you want, I can turn this into a cleaner “TradingView publish-ready” format with a tighter intro + bullet layout, and add your usual TRADESWITHB call-to-action at the end.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by TradeswithB
BTC confirmed forming a botttom - BTFDThe beauty of elliott waves is not only in their invaluable analytic tools but also in their trading methology. They tells us that previous W4 area acts as a support/resistance. When price action breaks this zone it often suggets that the trend has changed and reversal is more likely. This indeed happended recently on BTCUSD. Price action exceeded the prevous W4 termination point (In this case it was the end of wave E of triangle). It was rejected from strong 42k resistance but since we got the confirmation any pullback can be perceived as BUY THE FKING DIP. Momentum of the pullback is lowering which may indicate that reversal is near. We are also above POC and Daily MA21. This confluence provide us with a high-probability setup. I do not want to see prices below 34k. If we drop below I will start considering alternatives count but for now this count is the most likely. Keep monitoring the situation and adjust accordingly. Remember, price action knows the best. It is the current opinion of all market participants.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Tradern53
GBP/AUD could PUMP soon!Hey tradomaniacs, looking at GBP/AUD it looks like we could see a PUMP soon if market continues the climb within the current trendchannel andb reaks above the daily key-resistance-zone. As always, this pair is very risky to trade as POUND is volatile due to Brexit-Talks. Cross-Pairs are hard to predict due to the current Corona-Topic and its volatility in the market. If you want to buy this pair, wait for the break above the key-resistance-zone to get a confirmation. DAILY-CHART showing a nice previous fake-out to the downside which is showing big players doing their business with stop-loss-fishing. I personally don`t like to trade this pair and post this as inspiration for the GBP/AUD-Fans. :-) LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
Long
by Trading2ez
GBP/USD just looks like its gonna PumpHey tradomaniacs, GBP/USD is as expected the previous resistance and trendline of the current uptrend. Additionally we see a break above a key-resistance in the weekly chart. (You can see that analysis in my previous post). If GBP/USD goes up from here on it would support our EUR/GBP and GBP/AUD trade as I expect stronger momentums when the bulls are getting confirmations for this trade. LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
Long
by Trading2ez