Keylevel
XAUUSD: Bearish Correction Targets $3822 amidst Uptrend.Scenario: Bearish Corrective Move within a larger Uptrend.
Current Price (Approx.): $4,218.81
Chart Context: Price has already retraced from the recent high of $4,381.73 and is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,249.74) and above the 0.4 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,158.02).
Key Levels
Key Resistance Zone (Potential Reversal): $4,338 (Close to the recent high/start of the pullback).
Primary Target (Take Profit): $3,822 (Coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci Retracement level of the structure shown, indicating a full retracement of the move from $3,822.46 to $4,381.73).
NAS100 — 25,458 Liquidity Sweep, Target Revised to 24,989The NAS100 has completed a clear liquidity sweep at 25,458, taking out the previous swing high before rejecting the zone. This move confirms that the breakout above 25,458 was only a liquidity grab, not a structural shift. As long as price remains below this swept level, the bias stays bearish.
The rejection from 25,458 suggests that the market has collected buy-side liquidity and is now positioned to move toward the opposite side of the range. The first reaction zone is 25,054, but this level is likely to act only as an intermediate pause. The true downside magnet is now 24,989, where a deeper liquidity pool resides (lows + imbalance).
Key Level
25,458 — Sweep Liquidity Zone (bearish invalidation if reclaimed)
Targets
25,054 — Interim level
24,989 — Main target
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key Zones, Setups for Wed (Nov 19th)Market Analysis: A Shift in Momentum for ES
In today's market, the daily chart for the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) reveals a notable shift in momentum, characterized by a sequence of price action that signals a potential downtrend. Previously, we observed a high, followed by a lower high, and today's movement has decisively broken through the last remaining support at the higher-low shelf. This change comes after a rejection from the recent lower-high zone, situated just below the 6,900 mark, followed by a retreat through the crucial 6,700 threshold. What initially appeared to be a bullish uptick is now consolidating into a corrective downswing.
Today's significant drop marks the continuation of this emerging downward trajectory. Prices breached intraday support around 6,675 to 6,700, slid past the prior higher-low region near 6,635, and ultimately settled atop the initial daily demand zone. Notably, the selling volume during this decline expanded compared to previous sessions, underscoring that this movement reflects genuine market participation rather than mere fluctuations.
While the longer-term outlook remains bullish, reflected in the weekly trend, the daily and four-hour charts currently indicate a pronounced short-term downtrend. Key indicators include the formation of a lower high, the breach of the previous higher-low, and a liquidity run to the downside toward the extension cluster. As we move forward, this developing bearish scenario suggests potential for further declines in the coming sessions, though we are positioned within local demand territory, indicating that bounces and two-directional trading are likely in the near term.
Key Resistance Zones
Resistance 1: 6,637
This level represents today’s late-session swing high on the 30-minute chart, denoted as the S-session high (S.H 6,637). It serves as the initial resistance point above the current market price.
Resistance 2: 6,679.75 – 6,687.50
A cluster of highs, with NYAM.H marked at 6,679.75, LO.H at 6,685.75, and NYPM.H at 6,687.50, forms a critical intraday supply pocket. This region represents the primary A++ short zone should the price experience a bounce.
Resistance 3: 6,700 – 6,720
Above the NY session high band, the 4-hour chart highlights a previously broken support shelf and local supply just below 6,720. Any movement back into this area would likely be corrective within the ongoing downswing unless the E-mini S&P can close and hold a daily candle above this range.
Higher-Timeframe Cap:
Any price action remaining below the recent daily lower-high zone—situated near the last significant LH before the drop—maintains a bearish bias for the larger swing. A definitive daily close above this lower-high would be necessary to negate the current short-term downtrend.
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Key Support Zones
Support 1: 6,627.50 and 6,614.75
The AS.L level is printed at 6,627.50, with the NL.L around 6,614.75 on the 30-minute chart. Together, these levels form the initial local support shelf just beneath the current price.
Support 2: 6,606.50 – 6,603.25
Marked by NYPM.L at 6,606.50 and NYAM.L at 6,603.25, this band serves as the next area of resting liquidity from today’s trading sessions. A clean break and sustained move below this range could pave the way for the Fibonacci targets below.
Support 3 (Major Fibonacci Cluster): 6,541.50 – 6,509.00
On the 1-hour chart, the 1.272 Fibonacci level is found at 6,541.50, while the 4-hour chart places it at 6,509.00. The daily chart marks the 1.272 at 6,521.25, creating a significant demand box from approximately 6,541 down to 6,509, with 6,521 serving as a mid-pivot. This is the pivotal "bounce or break" zone.
Support 4 (Deeper Extension Pocket): 6,501.75 – 6,458.00
The 1-hour chart identifies the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at 6,501.75 and the 2.0 extension at 6,458.00. The 4-hour chart aligns the 1.618 at 6,429.25 and the 2.0 at 6,341.50, with the daily chart placing the 1.618 at 6,418.00 and the 2.0 around 6,304.00. The initial focus for tomorrow is the 6,502–6,458 region. Should the 6,541–6,509 band fail, this area becomes a strong magnet where a more pronounced short-covering bounce is likely.
The definitive structural line on the downside is the cumulative daily 1.618–2.0 cluster, ranging from approximately 6,418 down to 6,304. A decline to this range could signify a major correction leg rather than a mere shallow pullback.
A++ SETUP 1 — REJECTION SHORT FROM NY HIGH BAND
Trigger:
15m: candle wicks into 6,680–6,688 and closes back below about 6,675.
5m/1m: a failed attempt to push higher (lower high) after that rejection.
Entry:
Aggressive: enter short 6,678–6,682 after the 15m rejection close and 1m fails to make new highs.
Conservative: limit sell in 6,680–6,685 on a controlled retest from below.
Stop (hard invalidation):
Around 6,698.00 above the band and intraday highs (about 16–20 points of risk if filled 6,678–6,682).
Targets:
TP1: 6,637.00 (session swing high). From 6,680 entry with 6,698 stop ≈ 2.3R.
TP2: 6,606.50 – 6,603.25 (NYPM.L / NYAM.L shelf), ≈ 4R from 6,680 entry.
TP3: 6,541.50 – 6,521.25 (top of fib demand cluster), campaign-style extension.
A++ SETUP 2 — EXHAUSTION LONG FROM FIB CLUSTER DEMAND
Trigger:
15m: price trades below 6,530, tags 6,521–6,509, then closes back above about 6,530 (wick through, body back up).
5m/1m: a higher low forms above roughly 6,520 after that reclaim; sellers fail to push back below the cluster.
Entry:
Aggressive: 6,525–6,535 on the first higher low on 1m/5m after the 15m reclaim of 6,530.
Conservative: limit buy near 6,525 on a controlled retest into the top of the cluster after the first reaction.
Stop (hard invalidation):
Around 6,497.00 under the bottom of the cluster and recent swing low (≈ 30–38 points of risk if entered 6,525–6,535).
Targets:
TP1: 6,595–6,600 (broken structure and local VWAP zone). From 6,530 entry with 6,497 stop ≈ 2R.
TP2: 6,637.00 (S-session high and first major resistance).
TP3: 6,679.75 – 6,687.50 (NYAM.H / LO.H / NYPM.H band), where a bounce can turn into a full squeeze.
Upcoming Economic Indicators
For tomorrow's trading session (Wednesday, U.S. time), traders should keep an eye on several key economic releases:
- At 8:30 AM ET, the U.S. will release Housing Starts and Building Permits for October, along with import/export price indices. These figures are vital for gauging growth, especially after a series of subdued permits and erratic starts.
- At 10:30 AM ET, the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, alongside crude inventory data, is expected to influence energy markets and broader risk sentiment.
- Later in the afternoon, markets will be attentive to FOMC minutes and remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, both of which could impact rate-cut expectations based on the overall tone relative to recent communications.
Good luck !!!
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis for Week Ahead (Nov 17th - 21st)Market Analysis: ES1 - Navigating Recent Price Action and Upcoming Economic Catalysts
Current Price Context:
The E-mini S&P 500 (ES1) is currently trading in the range of 6,755 to 6,785, following a sharp pullback from the 6,880 to 6,900 peak and a notable rebound off the 6,650 levels. While both the weekly and daily structures exhibit an overarching uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows, we are presently experiencing a mid-pullback phase, with prices resting below a newly established supply zone spanning 6,850 to 6,900. Importantly, we remain above the key demand shelf situated around 6,650 to 6,670.
Big Picture Overview: Weekly and Daily Trends
- Weekly Analysis: Over recent months, ES has ascended from approximately 6,000 to the 6,900 level. The past few weeks have seen a new high printed, followed by a red candle signaling a pullback towards mid-range levels. Despite this corrective move, we maintain a buffer above the preceding weekly low near the 6,500 to 6,550 range, affirming the uptrend. The current price action appears more as a corrective pause rather than a definitive peak.
- Daily Perspective: After reaching a new high just shy of the 6,900 mark, the market retreated into the mid-6,600s before bouncing back. Recent daily candles indicate a phase of consolidation within the 6,730 to 6,780 range, characterized by wicks on both ends and diminishing body sizes, alongside reduced volume compared to earlier volatility. Oscillator indicators are retreating from overbought conditions but appear to be stabilizing, suggesting a digestion phase rather than a full-scale momentum breakdown.
Shorter Timeframe Analysis (4-Hour and 1-Hour):
- On the 4-hour chart, a completed downward impulse from around 6,880 to the low 6,650s has been observed, with the price touching the 1.272 Fibonacci extension at approximately 6,653. Additional Fibonacci levels below include 6,597 (1.618) and 6,536 (2.0). The price action around the 1.272 extension has prompted a robust response, featuring significant green candles and increased volume, establishing a base between 6,700 and 6,800.
- On the 1-hour chart, the market exhibits a minor uptrend (from lower lows to higher highs) that has encountered resistance around 6,780. Currently, price action is consolidating near a pivot level of 6,750, leading to the establishment of a balance range between 6,720 and 6,780 as we head into Monday.
Summary: The broader context remains bullish on higher timeframes, with a corrective phase taking root on the medium timeframe, while the short-term landscape indicates balance. This scenario represents a classic "trend pullback parked on key support," with next week's developments likely steering us either back toward the highs or engendering a deeper test of 6,600 or 6,550, contingent on forthcoming economic data and Fed commentary.
Macro and Event Landscape: A Busy Week Ahead
The recent U.S. government shutdown has resulted in a considerable backlog of economic data releases. Market participants will be closely monitoring delayed payroll data, along with other significant indicators such as industrial production and housing metrics that are being released simultaneously. This aggregation of data is anticipated to introduce intraday volatility, particularly during the 8:30 to 10:00 AM ET windows.
Key Economic Indicators to Watch:
- Core Data Releases: In the week of November 17–21, critical releases include:
- Empire State manufacturing index
- Import and export price indices
- Industrial production and capacity utilization figures for October
- Housing starts and building permits scheduled for mid-week
- Additional delayed labor data later in the week as agencies address the backlog.
- FOMC Minutes and Fed Commentary: The release of the FOMC minutes from the late October meeting will communicate the Fed's confidence in the recent improvements in inflation and its openness to potential rate cuts in December. A lineup of Fed speakers is set to take the stage, likely influencing market sentiment and causing price reactions based on their comments.
- Corporate Earnings: Noteworthy earnings reports from Nvidia and major retailers, including Walmart, are on the calendar. Nvidia's performance will be scrutinized as a barometer for the AI segment, while insights from retail giants will provide a glimpse into consumer health as the holiday season approaches. Strong results coupled with optimistic guidance tend to buoy ES, while any disappointments could weigh on index futures, especially given the concentrated leadership from a handful of major tech stocks.
Market Sentiment and Positioning: Rate-cut expectations for December have decreased to about 40%, leaving investors cautious but not overly alarmed. This environment allows for potential relief rallies if data and Fed sentiments tilt favorably, while a series of negative reports may trigger a notable risk-off sentiment.
Conclusion: The upcoming week is poised to be event-driven, lacking a singular "mega" release like CPI but rather presenting a series of medium-to-large catalysts (Fed minutes, late payrolls, industrial production, housing statistics, Nvidia, and Walmart). Traders should be prepared for choppy conditions and liquidity fluctuations around the release times, with clearer directional moves anticipated between these events.
KEY ZONES – RESISTANCE
Resistance 1: 6,780–6,800
Immediate intraday cap formed by the last 1h high and the 4h supply block from Friday. This is the ceiling that has repeatedly turned price in the last session. A 1h or 4h close above 6,800 would confirm that buyers are back in control and likely aim for 6,850+ fairly quickly.
Resistance 2: 6,840–6,880
This is the core of the recent 4h supply and sits just below the prior daily high. It’s where the last strong sell program launched. If price trades into this pocket on light volume and stalls, that favours a lower-high top and another rotation back toward 6,720–6,700. If the tape pushes through decisively, shorts will be forced to cover.
Resistance 3: 6,900–6,930
Recent swing high / weak high area on daily. It’s the obvious target for any early-week squeeze. If this zone gets cleaned out and holds on the retest, the uptrend resumes and we can start talking about higher fib extensions and a run toward the 7,000 handle. A sharp rejection here, especially around Fed minutes or Nvidia earnings, would fit a double-top pattern and could kick off a deeper pullback leg.
Resistance 4: 7,050–7,200
This band lines up with the daily fib projection cluster (around 7,180–7,325) from the prior leg and the upper edge of the larger weekly supply. It’s not expected to be reached immediately, but if data and earnings line up bullishly, this is the swing target area for longs initiated off the 6,650–6,700 support.
KEY ZONES – SUPPORT
Support 1: 6,720–6,740
This is Friday’s late-day base and Sunday evening pivot zone, sitting right around current price. It lines up with the 1h equilibrium where price has been rotating. As long as ES holds above 6,720 on closing basis, buyers are defending the immediate balance and can make another push toward 6,780–6,800.
Support 2: 6,650–6,670
This is the recent swing low on 4h and sits just above the 1.272 extension (~6,653). It’s the first real higher-timeframe demand pocket of this pullback. A clean tag and strong bounce here would look like a classic trend-pullback low forming. A sustained break under 6,650 would suggest the market isn’t done repricing and opens the door to the deeper fibs.
Support 3: 6,595–6,610
This cluster includes the 1.618 extension (~6,597) and prior breakout structure from earlier in the trend. It’s the “deeper but still healthy” retrace area; if ES flushes into this band on bad data then snaps back, it can still preserve the weekly uptrend. Failing here would start to threaten the bullish structure and invite a test toward the prior weekly low.
Support 4: 6,530–6,560
The 2.0 extension (~6,535) plus the weekly prior low / PML region. This is a major higher-timeframe floor. If ES ever gets here this week, the tape is likely under stress, but it also becomes the zone where large buyers usually test the waters for a bigger swing entry. A weekly close below ~6,530 would be the first real warning that the uptrend is morphing into something more corrective or even distributive.
Support 5 (deeper swing): 6,300–6,350
Older weekly demand and prior quarterly low / PQL area. Not a base case for this week, but important to note as the “catastrophic” downside magnet if something truly breaks (data shock, earnings disaster, geopolitical flare-up).
SETUPS – WEEK AHEAD IDEA PACK
1. Trend-pullback continuation long from support
Location: 6,650–6,670 primary, 6,595–6,610 secondary.
Trigger idea:
Look for an overnight or early-week sweep into 6,650–6,670 that quickly rejects (long lower wick on 1h / 4h, strong reclaim back above 6,680). Ideally, this happens outside the heaviest data windows so it’s more order-flow driven than headline noise.
If that fails and price drives into 6,595–6,610 instead, repeat the same logic there: washout, strong reaction, then a reclaim of 6,620–6,630 as confirmation that buyers stepped in.
Upside path from this setup:
First target is the 6,780–6,800 cap. If that gives way, next magnet is 6,840–6,880, then a possible extension run at the 6,900–6,930 recent high area. Later in the week, if macro tailwinds show up, this move can stretch toward 7,000 and, in an optimistic case, into the 7,100+ fib cluster.
Risk management conceptually:
From a swing perspective, the “line in the sand” for this idea is under 6,595. A clean daily close below that level would invalidate the shallow-pullback idea and suggest we are heading toward 6,530–6,560 or lower.
2. Short-term fade from the 6,840–6,880 / 6,900 pocket
Location: 6,840–6,880 first, 6,900–6,930 as extension.
Trigger idea:
If ES trades up into 6,840–6,880 ahead of Fed minutes or the Nvidia/Walmart prints and shows tired price action (long upper wicks on 15m/1h, loss of intraday momentum, failure to hold above 6,860), that area is attractive for a tactical short aiming back toward the 6,780–6,750 pivot.
A more aggressive fade is possible into 6,900–6,930 if the first test breaches 6,880 but immediately stalls at the prior high.
Downside path from this setup:
First magnet is the 6,780–6,800 band, then the balance base at 6,720–6,740. If that gives way on a macro shock, sellers can push for a retest of 6,650–6,670.
Risk management conceptually:
For shorts initiated at 6,840–6,880, a protective stop makes sense above 6,910–6,920. Fades taken into a full sweep of 6,900–6,930 should respect a hard stop above ~6,950; above that, risk of a proper breakout toward 7,000+ increases sharply.
3. Range-trade scalps inside 6,720–6,780
While ES is stuck inside this intraday box, there is room for mean-reversion trades: buying dips into 6,720–6,730 and selling pushes into 6,770–6,780 with tight intraday stops. This is a lower-quality idea compared to the bigger levels, but it’s relevant if Monday and early Tuesday stay choppy while everyone waits for the meat of the calendar mid-week.
TA / USDT : Breakout setup loading / Target $0.55 - $0.60TA / USDT is showing strength and currently testing a key resistance zone.
If price breaks out with strong momentum, we may see a bullish move toward $0.55 – $0.60.
Manage risk wisely and always wait for clear breakout confirmation before entering.
Resistance Cracked, GBP/JPY Targets 202.65 and 203.25Price has successfully broken above the key resistance zone around 202.200, confirming a bullish break of structure (BOS). This marks a potential shift in momentum after a period of consolidation and minor bearish pressure.
With this breakout, GBP/JPY is now positioned for a possible continuation toward the upside.
Key Upside Targets:
Target 1: 202.655
Target 2: 203.248 (previous strong high & supply zone)
Market Structure Notes:
Multiple BOS confirmations
Breakout above resistance with strong bullish intent
Clean liquidity zones above that price could seek
Outlook:
As long as price holds above the breakout zone and does not fall back into the previous range, we remain bullish toward the stated targets.
9 Weeks Bull Run Is Over, $4000 In Sight Gold has officially broken out of its 9-week bullish rally, marking a shift in market structure. The recent breakout below the ascending channel signals the end of the strong upward momentum.
Now, price is clearly respecting key support levels on its way down. Each level is acting as a temporary pause in the move, but momentum remains bearish.
If this structure continues to hold, we anticipate a continued correction toward the $4000 zone, which aligns with previous demand and technical confluence.
Bearish Outlook
Bullish channel broken
Price respecting lower support zones
Correction likely to extend to $4000
Note: A clean break below each support zone increases the probability of reaching the $4000 target.
Xau/Usd - Smart Money Setup, Targeting Liquidity Above Weak HighMarket Structure & Key Levels:
The chart shows a clear bullish trend with consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after a bearish move, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
Price reclaimed the Important Key Level (highlighted in grey), showing it now acts as a strong demand zone.
Current Price Action:
Price has formed a Weak High near the 4,128.210 level, which is likely to be targeted and taken out.
Market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Projected Move:
Expecting a short-term pullback into the demand zone (previous structure area).
Anticipating bullish continuation afterward with the target being the liquidity sweep above the Weak High.
The area around 4,150 appears to be the TARGET for this next impulsive move.
Key Zones to Watch:
Demand Zone: Between 4,050 – 4,075 (watch for bullish confirmation if price pulls back).
Liquidity Target Zone: Above 4,128.210 (Weak High), aiming for a stop-hunt/liquidity grab.
Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Watch for bullish price action at the demand zone.
Wait for confirmation (e.g., BOS on lower timeframes) before entering long positions.
Timing:
Setup likely to play out within the next 24–48 hours based on current 1H structure.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analyses, Key-Zones, Week (Mon 10/13 → Fri 10/17)Macro drivers to watch (ET)
Powell (NABE) — Tue 10/14 ~12:20. Markets will parse tone on growth/inflation. (Fed official calendar confirms time & venue.)
PPI (Sep) — Thu 10/16 8:30. First major U.S. inflation print of the week. (BLS “Next Release”.)
Advance Retail Sales (Sep) — Thu 10/16 8:30. Key read on demand into holiday season. (Census “MARTS” note; FRED release calendar.)
CPI (Sep) — not this week; rescheduled to Fri 10/24 8:30 due to the shutdown. (BLS reschedule notice; CPI schedule.)
Earnings kick-off (could move ES): JPM Tue 10/14, BAC Wed 10/15. (Company IR pages/press.)
Market conditions: U.S. bond market closed Mon 10/13 (liquidity thinner); NYSE equities open. (SIFMA; NYSE hours.)
Options expiration: standard monthly Fri 10/17. Expect pinning flows. (Cboe 2025 calendar.)
Setups (Level-KZ Protocol — 15m→5m→1m; NY kill-zones preferred)
TIER-1 (A++) — Rejection Short at 6790–6810 (NY AM)
Trigger: 15m full-body fails to hold above 6790–6810 → 5m prints a lower-high and re-closes back inside → 1m first pullback “pop-and-fail”.
Entry: 6796–6803 on the 1m failure.
Invalidation: Hard SL above the 15m fail-wick (guide 6814).
TPs: TP1 6738–6745, TP2 6690–6700, TP3 6625–6635.
TIER-1 (A++) — Quick-Reclaim Long at 6550–6560 (Asia/London → carry to NY)
Trigger: Liquidity sweep into 6550–6560, immediate 15m re-close back above 6600, 5m holds ≥6620, 1m higher-low entry.
Entry: 6602–6610 on the first pullback that holds.
Invalidation: Hard SL below the 15m sweep-low (guide 6544).
TPs: TP1 6690–6700, TP2 6738–6745, TP3 6768–6775.
TIER-2 (A+ Bounce) — 6590–6596 fast reclaim
Trigger: Wick through 6590–96 that immediately reclaims ≥6620 on 5m.
Entry/SL: Enter 6615–6622; SL below sweep-low −0.5pt.
Targets: 6690 then 6738–45. ¾ size.
TIER-3 (A Bounce) — 6515–6525 exhaustion flush
Trigger: Capitulation into the 4H PWL band with 15m reversal signal.
Entry/SL: Scale inside the band; SL below the 15m reversal wick.
Targets: 6590–96 then 6690. ½ size; only first touch.
US30: Key support breakdown signals potential sell opportunity
1. Current Market Overview 🌐
The SPREADEX:DJI index is approaching a significant resistance zone where selling pressure is expected to be strong. The price is currently consolidating and moving sideways around this area, preparing for a major move.
2. Technical Signals and Momentum Indicators 📊
Momentum indicators such as MFI, RSI, and Stochastic have all entered the oversold territory, while also showing signs of price compression (consolidation), indicating the market is waiting for the next breakout.
The strong resistance zone and the Overbought/Overextended (OB/OS) signals suggest that buying pressure is weakening, which is favorable for sellers.
3. Sell Scenario on Key Support Breakdown 🔻
If the price breaks below the important Key Support level shown on the chart, this will confirm the beginning of a downtrend.
Traders can consider opening sell positions as soon as the breakout occurs to take advantage of the downward momentum.
The price target is expected to move toward lower support zones where buying interest may emerge to cause a price correction.
4. Risk Management ⚠️
Place stop-loss orders above the resistance zone or the nearest recent highs to protect against unexpected market moves.
Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance.
5. Conclusion 🔑
The sell setup on US30 is very clear with a strong resistance zone and momentum signals indicating a potential upcoming downtrend.
Main scenario: Breaking the Key Support will trigger a strong decline, providing a profitable trading opportunity for sellers.
Wait for a confirmed support break before entering the trade to ensure safety and effectiveness.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
ES (SPX) Weekly: Levels & Setups - Sep 8-12, 2025Price is camped under a higher-timeframe supply/“weak-high” band. Trend remains constructive on the Weekly/Daily, but 4H/1H are coiling beneath resistance. I’m neutral into mid-week inflation data and will only engage on clean acceptance above the prior-high band or a rejection back into range.
Event stance: Two inflation releases hit 08:30 ET mid-week. I’ll be flat into the prints and wait for the first qualifying 15-minute close before arming anything
Key ES zones I’m trading around
6530–6545 — HTF supply / weak-high packet (primary take-profit for longs; fade candidate on rejection)
6518 — Breakout line (PMH/PWH band)
6500 — Round-number pivot
6460 ±2 — 1H equilibrium / prior LL shelf
6408–6415 — 4H HVN / equilibrium shelf
6360–6375 — 4H demand (strong-low)
Setup 1 — Breakout-Acceptance LONG
Trigger: 15m close > 6518, then two 5m bodies hold above.
Entry: 6520.5–6523.0 on the retest or break of bar-2 high.
Stop: tighter of (i) below the 15m trigger candle low, or (ii) below the last confirmed 5m swing; cap ≤ 6–8 pts.
• If neither option fits ≤ 8 pts from your fill, pass and wait for a cleaner micro HL.
TP1 (dynamic): first hard band (e.g., any workable print inside 6530–6545) that yields ≥ max(15, 2.5×SL) from your fill (front-run 0.25–0.5 pt if 2.5R is tight).
TP2/TP3: 6550, then 6570; trail by 15m/30m closes.
• Disqualifiers: any 5m body back ≤ 6518 before TP1; visible liquidity wall ≤ 5 pts beyond trigger; news window.
Setup 2 — SRR Rejection SHORT (Sweep → Recapture → Reversal)
Trigger: Sweep 6518–6530, fail, then 15m bearish close < 6518.
Entry: 6515.0–6518.0 on the retest from below.
Stop: tighter of (i) above the 15m trigger candle high, or (ii) above the last confirmed 5m LH; cap ≤ 6–8 pts.
• I f the correct structural stop is > 8 pts from your fill, skip until a micro LH tightens risk.
TP1 (dynamic): first hard band below that gives ≥ max(15, 2.5×SL) from your fill—usually 6500; if 2.5R isn’t met to 6500, promote to 6482, then 6460.
TP2/TP3: 6482, then 6460 (extend toward 6410 if momentum).
• Disqualifiers: no 15m bearish confirmation; any 5m body ≥ 6518–6522 after entry (use your exact line); news window.
BIO/USDT Analysis. Short Setup
This asset has shown a trend break. Above the current price, there are volume zones that have already received positioning. If one of them is tested and we see a reaction, we consider short entries. Target potential — ~$0.17.
Sell Zones:
$0.23–$0.26
$0.295–$0.32
*This post is not financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
XAUUSD Update | Gold Builds Energy Ahead of FOMCGold continues to consolidate within a tight range, with selling pressure becoming more visible. With just over a day left until the FOMC meeting – a key event that could set the tone for the next major trend – the market seems to be loading up for a liquidity sweep.
👉 While price action may look messy and indecisive, for KeyLevel traders, this is the perfect hunting ground. Liquidity zones are being respected with precision, offering clean setups for those who understand MMFLOW structures.
📉 Market Outlook
Primary Bias: Short-term corrective downside.
Possible Play: Liquidity grab into the 331x area before a strong rebound higher.
🔑 Key Trading Levels
Sell Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Tight SL: 4 – 5 pts
🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → stretch 3310
📌 Note: Stay disciplined around these KeyLevels. One sharp BreakOut post-FOMC could trigger the next big directional move.
✨ As always with MMFLOW: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING to catch daily setups, smart money footprints, and precision KeyLevels.
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders,
DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers.
With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392).
There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach.
Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week.
Until the next update, wish you many pips!
Stuck in the Zone: DXY Tests Balance Between 98 and 99Hello Traders,
After a sharp and uninterrupted decline in the DXY, price found support at the 97.921 level. Sellers then regained control from the weekly bearish Fair Value Gap (W-FVG), pushing price back into the 99 zone.
In this zone, neither sellers nor buyers have managed to assert dominance—suggesting that these levels may act as a pause or balance point. Given the extended drop, a temporary correction could follow if buyers gain traction after one last push.
For now, the bearish USD narrative remains intact. With upcoming catalysts like China/US talks and tomorrow’s CPI release, a renewed move toward 98 is likely to accelerate.
Whether this leads to further selling or a corrective phase will be assessed afterward.
If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling.BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis: Navigating the Range-Bound Market
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading in a range-bound market, showcasing a delicate balance between buying and selling pressures. As traders, it's essential to identify key levels and potential trading opportunities.
Key Selling Area: $88,490
We've identified a crucial selling area at $88,490, where sellers are actively participating. This level has the potential to cap upward movements, and we're waiting for the market to reach this zone.
Trading Strategy:
1. Sell Setup: If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling opportunities, targeting lower levels and taking advantage of potential downward momentum.
2. Alternative Scenario: If the market doesn't reach the $88,490 zone, we'll wait for a clear breakdown from the current range, with a candle closing below the range. This would signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
Market Outlook:
The range-bound market presents both challenges and opportunities. By monitoring key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
What to Watch:
1. $88,490 Level: A key selling area that could determine the next move.
2. Range Boundaries: Monitoring the current range and waiting for a breakdown or breakout.
3. Market Sentiment: Keeping an eye on market sentiment and adjusting our strategy accordingly.
By staying vigilant and adapting to market conditions, we can capitalize on potential trading opportunities and navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
S&P500 Next Key Levels I will be waiting to see if we get some short term buying before continuing down to $5,200 levels.
Waiting for price to reach the $5,800 area and anticipating a strong rejection to continue the bearish trend.
After confirmation of the rejection, I will be looking for simple lower lows, lower highs before entering a sell, preferably around the $5,600 mark.
What are your thoughts on the AMEX:SPY and the THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX in general?
IS BTCUSD BULLSIH FROM HERE ?🚀 BTC/USD Trading Idea - Let's Catch This Move! 🚀
Hello, traders! This is my first BTC/USD idea here, and I’m excited to share my analysis with you all. I’ve been trading BTC/USD since 2020, and I created this platform to provide valuable market insights, free education, and profitable trade setups—all for free! 📈✨
Now, let’s dive into the technical breakdown
📌 Market Overview
🔸 Since Friday night, BTC/USD has been consolidating throughout Saturday.
🔸 We observed a liquidity sweep at 83,755 on the 30-minute timeframe.
🔸 According to my strategy, once lows are swept, we shift to the 1-minute timeframe to find a valid Change of Character (ChoCh).
📌 Trade Setup
✅ After spotting a valid ChoCh, we identified a strong Order Block (OB) at 83,741.
✅ Our entry point is at 83,755 with a tight stop-loss of 30 pips (83,441).
✅ The target is 84,541, offering a solid 1:2.5 RR ratio.
📊 Main Chart: A 30M timeframe marking the liquidity sweep, and a 1M screenshot showing our precise entry
🟢 Bias: Bullish
⚠️ Don’t forget to secure profits after +30 pips!
📌 Trade Details
📍 Buy Limit: 83,755
📍 Stop-Loss: 83,441 (-30 pips)
📍 Take-Profit: 84,541 (+80 pips)
Let’s bank some profits! 💰🔥 #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep
UNIVERSOFSIGNALS| SUSHI: Key Levels and Market Outlook👋 Welcome to UNIVERSOFSIGNALS !
In this analysis, I want to review SUSHI for you. SushiSwap is a DeFi protocol operating in the DEX sector, with its token currently ranked 195th on CoinMarketCap and a market cap of $58 million.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, we can see a consolidation box between $0.534 and $1.959. Since 2022, the price has been fluctuating within this range, forming a large consolidation zone, with multiple touches to both the upper and lower boundaries of this box.
🔍 As observed, in the last bullish leg, the price broke above the box's upper boundary with a large weekly candle. However, it quickly retraced back into the range after being rejected at $2.734, resulting in a fake breakout.
🧩 Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of the range at $0.534. If this support level breaks, the price could initiate another bearish leg and move toward a new all-time low (ATL). On the other hand, if the upper boundary of the box is broken and price stabilizes above it, we could see an upward movement in SUSHI.
⚡️ The largest and most significant resistance ahead is at $20.444, which is the all-time high (ATH). Reaching this level would be extremely difficult, as it would require a significant increase in market capitalization, meaning a substantial capital inflow into the coin.
✨ Let’s now analyze the daily timeframe to gain more insight into price movement.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, as seen in the last bullish leg, the price bounced from the $0.534 support and moved upward. After breaking $0.803, strong bullish momentum entered the market. Additionally, RSI reaching the oversold zone contributed to a stronger bullish push.
🔽 Following this movement, the fake breakout at $1.855 led to the start of a corrective and bearish phase, with the price initially declining to $1.347.
📊 After breaking below $1.347 and retesting it as resistance, the price entered another bearish leg, reaching $0.803. Currently, after some range-bound movement around this level, RSI has exited the oversold zone, and the price seems to be retesting this level as resistance.
✅ If RSI re-enters the oversold zone, the price could drop further to the lower boundary of the range at $0.534, which would not be a good sign for SUSHI. As observed, buying volume has significantly decreased, and most traders in this market are sellers.
🛒 For spot buying, I recommend avoiding this coin for now and waiting for a clear bullish structure to form. At a minimum, SUSHI should start showing strength against Bitcoin.
🧲 From a USDT perspective, if the upper boundary of the range ($1.855) breaks, then $2.734 could serve as a trigger for a buying opportunity.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
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